February 20, 2014 New Market Research Techniques to Improve Product Acceptance Jonathan Honiball ● Senior Director, Customer Research Introduction Speaker Introduction Agenda – – – – – – Don’t Do Market Research?!? Learning from Outside the Industry Learning from Within the Industry New Market Research Techniques Case Story Why Invest Early in Research? February 2015 1 Don’t Do Market Research?!? “If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.” –Henry Ford February 2015 2 “Speed to Market Strategies” are Risky Lean Process Get prototype product in front of customers as fast as possible, solicit feedback, and incorporate feedback in next prototype for customer evaluation Pilot Testing Introduce new product to a sample set of all customers (e.g., of the company’s customers in a region) and evaluate customer response Launch and refine is risky for medical devices given FDA approval requirements and product reputation February 2015 3 Learning from Outside the Industry In January of 2012, CEO Ron Johnson (ex- Sr VP, Apple) launched a new retailing strategy JC Penney shoppers rejected the new model JCP stock fell from $42.44 to $14.62 in 2012/13 and the CEO was fired (Δ Mkt Cap > -$ 5 B) February 2015 4 Learning from Within the Medical Device Industry Over the past two years, we have interviewed investors involved in funding medical devices While we did hear about many successes, most of what we heard were horror stories Many products fail because of technical issues – however, even if the product is exactly as intended, it can still be a commercial failure. February 2015 5 Typical Reasons for Commercial Failure Charging the wrong price Targeting the wrong specialty Not understanding laggard behavior – A better product is not enough to cause a switch Engineers, Sales and Marketers not being on the same page February 2015 6 The Problem Many companies lack sufficient information early enough to properly define “successful” new products/services where… “successful” = – correct mix of product and service features, benefits, price points and distribution channels – which provides a “total solution” to meet/exceed customer expectations – to meet/exceed company’s product financial targets February 2015 7 Research Questions For Your New Products What price to charge? What features and functionality to offer? How big is the market? February 2015 How to position vs. competition? Product Acceptance How to promote? 8 A Solution: Sell - Build “Sell” the product before you build it. Gain customer feedback to understand their actual needs rather than focusing on pushing out a product – How to use market research to get this customer feedback February 2015 9 February 2015 10 …But Market Research has Changed Cheaper, Faster, AND Better Information February 2015 11 Ethnography Mobile Ethnography February 2015 • Invited customers perform tasks, recording and detailing as directed by a researcher leveraging mobile technology 12 Focus Groups Discussion Boards February 2015 • Invited customers respond to topics and questions presented by a moderator in an asynchronous online discussion boards 13 Customer Satisfaction (VOC) CRM Integration February 2015 • Design a feedback loop within each customer interaction. Continuously field surveys and analyze data. 14 Consumer Choice Model Consumer Choice CCM techniques to determine the most Model (CCM) successful mix 1. Determine the product-brand-price mix that will appeal to the greatest proportion of the target market 2. Understand product expectations and purchase drivers across customer segments 3. Reduce the risk of over or under investing due to mismatch between product and customers’ needs 4. Limited number of questions create a forecast of future behavior February 2015 15 Consumer Choice Modeling Has Changed 2000s More powerful, lower cost computers, more complex simulations using advanced analytical techniques 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 1970s 1990s Done using manual methods, regression analysis, mainframe computers More powerful computers, more sophisticated analytical techniques (e.g., advanced statistical methods) February 2015 Due to historically high costs, use was limited With technology, the costs are 10% of what they were Timelines are now weeks instead of months 16 What Attributes Define Product Acceptance? Product Features Aesthetics Performance Brand Service Access to service Customer care Warranty Purchase February 2015 Price Product Acceptance Financing Comparative Residual Value Switching cost Access Experience Channels Regulation Location Timeliness Expectations Function Emotion Social proof 17 CCM: Example Attribute Table Brand Effectiveness Market Usage Size Run Time Price Level 1 Company 1 99% Used by 50% 2 cubic feet 30 minutes $200 Level 2 Company 2 97% Used by 35% 4 cubic feet 25 minutes $300 Level 3 Company 3 95% Used by 25% 8 cubic feet 20 minutes $400 Level 4 Level 5 Company 4 90% 85% Used by 10% New to market 12 cubic feet 20 cubic feet 15 minutes 10 minutes $500 $600 Level 6 80% 5 minutes $700 This matrix represents 21,600 possible combinations February 2015 18 CCM: Question Example Divides a product into key attributes/product features and then combines these attributes/product features into a selection of “hypothetical products” Which of the following medical devices would you be most likely to purchase? Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 90% effective 95% effective 80% effective Product is new to market Product is used by 10% of consumers Product is used by 35% of consumers 4 cubic feet 2 cubic feet 8 cubic feet 10 minutes 15 minutes 20 minutes $500 $600 $200 m m m Testing the boundaries and not just focusing on current features February 2015 19 Market Simulator Sample Market Configuration Company 1 Company 2 90% effective 95% effective Product is used by 10% of consumers Product is new to market 2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet 10 minutes 15 minutes $600 $600 Preference Share Simulations • Add products to the marketplace • Change product attributes • “What if” scenarios for any possible market changes • External metrics can be calculated 35% 65% February 2015 20 Market Simulator Sample Market Configuration Company 1 Company 2 90% effective 95% effective Product is used by 10% of consumers Product is new to market 2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet 10 minutes 15 minutes $300 $600 Preference Share 45% Simulations • Add products to the marketplace • Change product attributes • “What if” scenarios for any possible market changes • External metrics can be calculated 55% February 2015 21 Simulator Demo February 2015 22 Simulator Snapshot February 2015 23 Can Be Analyzed for Any Sub-Segment February 2015 24 Running a Simulation February 2015 25 Running a Simulation – Selecting Options February 2015 26 Running a Simulation – The Output Increase from 35% February 2015 27 Running a Simulation – A Better Solution Increase from 35% February 2015 28 Why Invest Early in Research? Helps avoid costly, distracting and time-consuming missteps Aligns and engages customers early Makes sure that attributes are those that matter to buyers and influencers Better aligns your engineering and sales teams February 2015 29 For more information or a demonstration, please contact: Jonathan Honiball Senior Director, Customer Research jhoniball@pcgfirm.com Direct: 650-223-8228 | Office: 650-327-8108 | Mobile: 267-992-6730 Pacific Consulting Group | 200 S. California Avenue, Suite 200 | Palo Alto, CA 94306 www.pcgfirm.com February 2015 30 Case Story: Competitive positioning and timing Challenge: A life science company launched its brand in the US two years earlier as the first and only product indicated for two different conditions. Competitor launched in select overseas with plans for a US rollout. Research objectives: Determine the sales impact on existing markets from competitive launch, as well as the likely impact in yet undeveloped markets. February 2015 31 Case Story: Competitive positioning and timing Methodology: Choice Modeling was used to evaluate current and future competitive situations Market Simulator calculated a "preference share” enabling comparison of current and future market share. Results: Simulator gave the client dozens of scenarios to plan investment. Client accelerated R&D efforts in order to launch 1st in other markets. Actual market share in all markets measured are in line with model predicted preference shares. February 2015 32