December 4, 2014 New Market Research Techniques to Improve Product Acceptance Jonathan Honiball ● Senior Director, Customer Research Introduction Speaker Introduction Agenda – – – – – – Why Invest Early in Research? Learning from Within the Industry Learning from Outside the Industry Speed to Market New Market Research Techniques Case Story December 2014 1 Why Invest Early in Research? Helps avoid costly, distracting and time-consuming missteps Aligns and engages customers early Makes sure that attributes are those that matter to buyers and influencers Better aligns your engineering and sales teams December 2014 2 The Problem Many companies lack sufficient information early enough to properly define “successful” new products/services where… “successful” = – correct mix of product and service features, benefits, price points and distribution channels – which provides a “total solution” to meet/exceed customer expectations – to meet/exceed company’s product financial targets December 2014 3 Research Questions For Your New Products What price to charge? What features and functionality to offer? How big is the market? December 2014 How to position vs. competition? Product Acceptance How to promote? 4 A Starting Point: Who is the Customer? The User? – – – – Physician Patient Consumer Institution The Buyer? – – – – Single person Family Committee Health insurance Subgroups/Segments? December 2014 5 Learning from Within the Medical Device Industry Over the past year, we have interviewed investors involved in funding medical devices While we did hear about many successes, most of what we heard were horror stories Many products fail because of technical issues – however, even if the product is exactly as intended, it can still be a commercial failure. – – – – – Charging the wrong price Targeting the wrong specialty Not understanding laggard behavior A better product is not enough to cause a switch Engineers, Sales and Marketers not being on the same page December 2014 6 Learning from Outside the Industry In September of 2011, Netflix announced the creation of Qwikster In January of 2012, CEO Ron Johnson (ex- Sr VP, Apple) launched a new retailing strategy Netflix lost 800k subscribers. The Qwikster launch was cancelled. JC Penney shoppers rejected the new model Over three months in 2011 Netflix stock fell from $221.89 to $66.37 (Δ Mkt Cap = -$ 11 B) JCP stock fell from $42.44 to $14.62 in 2012/13 and the CEO was fired (Δ Mkt Cap > -$ 5 B) What do these two have in common? December 2014 7 Why? “Speed to Market Strategies” are Risky Lean Process Get prototype product in front of customers as fast as possible, solicit feedback, and incorporate feedback in next prototype for customer evaluation Pilot Testing Introduce new product to a sample set of all customers (e.g., of the company’s customers in a region) and evaluate customer response Launch and refine is risky for medical devices given FDA approval requirements and product reputation December 2014 8 A Solution “Sell” the product before you build it. Gain customer feedback to understand their actual needs rather than focusing on pushing out a product – How to use market research to get this customer feedback December 2014 9 December 2014 10 …But Market Research has Changed Cheaper, Faster, AND Better Information December 2014 11 Ethnography Mobile Ethnography December 2014 • Invited customers perform tasks, recording and detailing as directed by a researcher leveraging mobile technology 12 Focus Groups Discussion Boards December 2014 • Invited customers respond to topics and questions presented by a moderator in an asynchronous online discussion boards 13 Consumer Choice Model Consumer Choice CCM techniques to determine the most Model (CCM) successful mix 1. Determine the product-brand-price mix that will appeal to the greatest proportion of the target market 2. Understand product expectations and purchase drivers across customer segments 3. Reduce the risk of over or under investing due to mismatch between product and customers’ needs 4. Limited number of questions create a forecast of future behavior December 2014 14 Consumer Choice Modeling Has Changed 2000s More powerful, lower cost computers, more complex simulations using advanced analytical techniques 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 1970s 1990s Done using manual methods, regression analysis, mainframe computers More powerful computers, more sophisticated analytical techniques (e.g., advanced statistical methods) December 2014 Due to historically high costs, use was limited With technology, the costs are 10% of what they were Timelines are now weeks instead of months 15 What Attributes Define Product Acceptance? Product Features Aesthetics Performance Brand Service Access to service Customer care Warranty Purchase December 2014 Price Product Acceptance Financing Comparative Residual Value Switching cost Access Experience Channels Regulation Location Timeliness Expectations Function Emotion Social proof 16 CCM: Example Attribute Table Brand Effectiveness Market Usage Size Run Time Price Level 1 Company 1 99% Used by 50% 2 cubic feet 30 minutes $200 Level 2 Company 2 97% Used by 35% 4 cubic feet 25 minutes $300 Level 3 Company 3 95% Used by 25% 8 cubic feet 20 minutes $400 Level 4 Level 5 Company 4 90% 85% Used by 10% New to market 12 cubic feet 20 cubic feet 15 minutes 10 minutes $500 $600 Level 6 80% 5 minutes $700 This matrix represents 21,600 possible combinations December 2014 17 CCM: Question Example Divides a product into key attributes/product features and then combines these attributes/product features into a selection of “hypothetical products” Which of the following medical devices would you be most likely to purchase? Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 90% effective 95% effective 80% effective Product is new to market Product is used by 10% of consumers Product is used by 35% of consumers 4 cubic feet 2 cubic feet 8 cubic feet 10 minutes 15 minutes 20 minutes $500 $600 $200 m m m Testing the boundaries and not just focusing on current features December 2014 18 Market Simulator Sample Market Configuration Company 1 Company 2 90% effective 95% effective Product is used by 10% of consumers Product is new to market 2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet 10 minutes 15 minutes $600 $600 Preference Share Simulations • Add products to the marketplace • Change product attributes • “What if” scenarios for any possible market changes • External metrics can be calculated 35% 65% December 2014 19 Market Simulator Sample Market Configuration Company 1 Company 2 90% effective 95% effective Product is used by 10% of consumers Product is new to market 2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet 10 minutes 15 minutes $300 $600 Preference Share 45% Simulations • Add products to the marketplace • Change product attributes • “What if” scenarios for any possible market changes • External metrics can be calculated 55% December 2014 20 Case Story: Competitive positioning and timing Challenge: A life science company launched its brand in the US two years earlier as the first and only product indicated for two different conditions. Competitor launched in select overseas with plans for a US rollout. Research objectives: Determine the sales impact on existing markets from competitive launch, as well he likely impact in yet undeveloped markets. December 2014 21 Case Story: Competitive positioning and timing Methodology: Choice Modeling was used to evaluate current and future competitive situations Market Simulator calculated a "preference share” enabling comparison of current and future market share. Results: Simulator gave the client dozens of scenarios to plan investment. Client accelerated R&D efforts in order to launch 1st in other markets. Actual market share in all markets measured are in line with model predicted preference shares. December 2014 22 Simulator Demo December 2014 23 For more information or a demonstration, please contact: Jonathan Honiball Senior Director, Customer Research jhoniball@pcgfirm.com Direct: 650-223-8228 | Office: 650-327-8108 | Mobile: 267-992-6730 Pacific Consulting Group | 643 Bair Island Road, Suite 212 | Redwood City, CA 94063 www.pcgfirm.com December 2014 24