EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT: REMOTE ENVIRONMENT ECONOMIC FORCES The Australian soft drink market is in a steady position which leaves opportunities for new entrants. Competition is fierce however, niche markets are still available to introduce new products into. Scenario: 1. The soft drink market is so influenced by the markets top 3 companies’ that any new entrant is immediately counter attacked. 2. The global financial crisis has had such an effect on the market that consumers’ are more hesitant to invest in Virgin’s new venture. 3. The global financial crisis has lead consumers to become more spending conscious, reduced spending, reducing the likelihood of consumers trying a new brand. – reference consumer trends Implications: Compared to the dominant competitors, our price point will not be as competitive which could influence consumer purchasing decisions however compared to other healthy alternatives within the product category. A slip in consumer confidence as a result of the Global Financial Crisis. This threatens entry into any market and considering the rise in the cost of living which affects the carbonated soft drink market as it is a luxury. OPPORTUNITIES MARKET VALUE: “The Australian soft drinks market grew by 3.3% in 2010 to reach a value of $10,953 million.”1 The growing market value of the soft drink industry in Australia is an opportunity for new entrants. THREATS The top 3 players in the soft drink market (Coca-Cola, Pepsi and Asahi breweries) hold the largest market share in Australia (54.9%) “Coca-Cola Company, is the leading player in the Australian soft drinks market, generating a 39.4% share of the market’s volume.”2 MARKET VALUE FORECAST: In 2015, the Australian soft drinks market is forecast to have a value of $12,721.8 million, an increase of 16.1% since 2010.”3 The increasing market value forecast for the soft drinks market creates an opportunity for new entrants to enter a market with an increasing value forecast. “The major economic issue facing PepsiCo is the rising input costs of “Consumer confidence has slipped in the last quarter with more Australians apprehensive about economic uncertainty, financial security, and rising gas and electricity prices.”4 1 DATAMONITOR. 2011. Soft Drinks in Australia. Available at: http://360.datamonitor.com.ipacez.nd.edu.au/Product?pid=889413C8-178F-43C0-8BD7-4FD8C32C0B1F. [Accessed 05 March 12] 2 DATAMONITOR. 2011. Soft Drinks in Australia. [ONLINE] Available at: http://360.datamonitor.com.ipacez.nd.edu.au/Product?pid=889413C8-178F-43C0-8BD7-4FD8C32C0B1F. [Accessed 05 March 12]. 3 DATAMONITOR. 2011. Soft Drinks in Australia. [ONLINE] Available at: http://360.datamonitor.com.ipacez.nd.edu.au/Product?pid=889413C8-178F-43C0-8BD7-4FD8C32C0B1F. [Accessed 05 March 12]. 4 INDUSTRY PROFILE, Global Beverages, Reference Code: 0199-2014 Publication Date: May 2011, www.datamonitor.com, their businesses due to structural inflation. Agricultural, energy, and some metal industries are going through periods of steady inflation.”5 The soft drinks segment recorded revenues of $4, 463.9 million in FY2010, an increase of 10.2% over FY2009.6 A 10.2% increase in revenue in 1 year again illustrates that the soft drinks industry in Australia is a valuable market to enter into. 5 https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:C67SCDV7P8IJ:www.aaronksparks.com/portfolio/mktg360pepsireport.pdf++The+major+economic+issue+facing+PepsiCo+and+its+subdivisions+is+the+rising+input+costs+of+their+businesses+due+to+st ructural+inflation.+Agricultural,+energy,+and+some+metal+industries+are+going+through+periods+of+steady+inflation.&hl=e n&gl=au&pid=bl&srcid=ADGEEShaOJyPLjytXxMbioGVhx4wuE4Ag95Fpu9cA2LBhl9OHVV0HDGlt-ajqmPki7zCeQw1NcIBcOHS2IyMGk8zL13k8pkKErSSbK7SmtE0RJSg8ySkIsd5hgpi61R32k5pFIJaiKR&sig=AHIEtbQPGJ83HM7uJSPWnYyRvsQrecWCuA 6 Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd, Datamonitor, 26 Aug 2011, p.11 SOCIO-CULTURAL FORCES Socio-cultural forces heavily impact the carbonated soft drink market. The Australian populations expenditure on food and non-alcoholic beverages heavily impacts the carbonated soft drink market. Socio-cultural trends also have an impact on the market. The ‘health’ trend changes the way that competitors formulate new products and recreate their existing products. Scenario: 1. The top 3 players each introduce brand new flavours to keep up with the health trend, which expands the market but makes it harder for new entrants to succeed. 2. The ‘healthy’ trend is moving into the later stages of maturity of the product life cycle and consumers’ become bored/skeptical of it. 3. A further population increase will expand the market and develop more opportunities for a niche market to be introduced. 4. An increase in the birth rate will increase the amount of children that are present during the late growth, early maturity stages of a new product. Implications: Marketing a carbonated soft drink as a healthy alternative consumers may be sceptical (consider vitamin water, was marketed as a healthy alternative but is full of sugar.) 7 OPPORTUNITIES THREATS Since 1994, household spend on food and nonalcoholic beverages have increased by 14%, with the population spending over $16 a week more on these commodities.7 Coke is looking to introduce another product into its line of cola flavoured soft drinks: “Green Tea Coke”. This will appeal to women who are healthconscious and parallels with the increasing market for health products.8 Australian Bureau of Statistics. 1999. Household Expenditure Survey, Australia. Available at: http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/mf/6535.0/ Accessed 22 February 12 8 Global Edge. 2009. Viktoriya Ivanova [ONLINE].. http://globaledge.msu.edu/blog/archive/2009/6. Accessed 20 February 12 “Meals out and fast foods” (which are both sufficient opportunities to purchase a carbonated beverage such as cola) is the highest-ranking expenditure for households in 1999. 9 POLTICAL AND LEGAL FORCES The impact that political and legal forces have on the carbonated soft drink market basically relate purely to the labelling and ingredient content in the products. Scenario: 1. 2. Labelling laws change forcing companies to recall products and relabel, costing large amounts of money Drought affects Australia increasing water usage costs even higher than they already are. Implications: Virgin Cola does not have the money to spend on relabelling or changing the label of their soft drinks, therefore labelling must abide by the conditions of the ACCC to prevent any issues. OPPORTUNITIES THREATS Regulations by the government are costly to The ACCC requires by law that labelling give sugar and kilojoule content. 10 3 abide by. Water usage costs are high after drought. 5 TECHNOLOGICAL FORCES 9 Australian Bureau of Statistics. 1999. Household Expenditure Survey, Australia. Available at: http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/mf/6535.0/. Accessed 22 February 12 10 Australian Competition and Consumer Commission. 2009. Food Labelling Guide. [ONLINE] Available at: http://www.accc.gov.au/content/item.phtml?itemId=877504&nodeId=857ee6d77362422e3f724e2ad61a0271&fn=Food%20La belling%20Booklet.pdf. [Accessed 09 March 12]. Technological forces have a high impact on the carbonated beverage market in Australia, continuing technological advancements allow the supply chain of competitors to become faster and faster. The development of things such as recyclable bottles and new and improved vending machines also adds another dimension to the carbonated soft drink market. Scenario: 1. Advanced technology allows companies’ to develop 100% recyclable bottles and cans making them available to all companies’ 2. Technological advancements in the supply chain are extremely expensive and new brands are not able to afford them 3. Competitors with economies of scale are able to invest in sustainable cropping techniques Implications: OPPORTUNITIES THREATS New and improved ingredients can be used in Virgin Cola, ingredients that are cheaper can be found and worked with. Coke have been researching and planning to develop the new “PlantBottle” which is aiming at being 100% recyclable. 11 This technological advancement by Coke is a threat to other soft drink market holders Technological advancements can result in more efficient supply chain management Technology impacts this industry less which means less capital investment NATURAL ENVIRONMENT FORCES 11 Global Edge. 2000. Coca-Cola Amatil. Available at: http://globaledge.msu.edu/blog/post/562/ge-blog-series--go-green--part4.2---planting-new-ideas .Accessed 08 February 12 Primary inputs for soft drinks manufacturers include concentrates, a range of natural and synthetic sweeteners such as corn syrup and refined sugar (sucrose), aspartame, and similar ingredients 12. Scenario: 1. Drought 2. Natural disasters decreasing efficiency of raw material supply, supply chain efficiency Implications: Companies must take into account the unpredictablility of natural disasters which heavily effect natural and raw materials. OPPORTUNITIES THREATS “In the 12 months to 30 June 2010, Australia's population increased by 377,100 people, reaching 22,342,000. The annual growth rate for the year ended 30 June 2010 (1.7%) was lower than that recorded for the year ended 30 June 2009 (2.2%).” 13 12 Due to Australias unpredictable weather, water availability in the last decade has been scarce, this creates rising costs for water usage which will affect the cost of raw materials to create the product. Datamonitor 2011. Soft Drinks in Australia, Available: http://360.datamonitor.com.ipacez.nd.edu.au/Product?pid=889413C8178F-43C0-8BD7-4FD8C32C0B1F. Accessed: 05 March 12. 13 Australian Bureau of Statistics. 2010. Population by Age and Sex. Available at: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/3201.0. Accessed 05 March 12