Financial Markets Facilitate transactions between borrowers and lenders Lenders -- earn return on funds Borrowers -- permits increased flexibility for expenditure Motivations for Borrowing Consumers -- allows for nonsynchronous patterns of desired consumption and income Business -- financing short-term needs (e.g. inventories) and long-term investment projects Government (Federal as well as State and Local)-- financing existing debt and new deficits Types of “Borrowing” Debt -- A contract to pay specified amounts over a predetermined time interval (e.g. bonds, bank loans) Equity -- Purchases of shares of ownership (e.g. stock) Direct Vs Indirect Finance Direct Finance -- Borrower borrows directly from lender. Examples -- Personal transactions, Bonds Indirect Finance -- Lender loans to Financial Intermediary, who then loans to borrowers. Examples -- Mutual Funds, Banks Exchanges Versus “Over the Counter” Markets Exchange -- Buyers and sellers meet in one central location Over the Counter -- Trades made from home or office, via computers. Primary Versus Secondary Markets Primary Markets -- Markets for new issues. Secondary Markets -- Markets for issues sold before maturity Money Vs Capital Markets Money Market -- Market for bonds with maturity one year or less high denominations excellent secondary markets Capital Market -- Market for longterm bonds and equity lower denominations lower volume -- relatively narrow secondary markets Interest: Compensation to Lender for Inconvenience Inconvenience Interest Rate Sources of Inconvenience Liquidity -- ability to convert instrument into a medium of exchange Default (Credit) Risk -- likelihood that borrower will not meet promised payments Applications to Money Supply Components Passbook Savings Deposits versus Small Time Deposits Relative liquidity Money Market Deposit Accounts (MMDA) versus Money Market Mutual Funds (MMMF) MMDA -- deposit insurance MMMF -- none, more default risk Money Market Instruments Group #1 -Short-Term Bonds Buyers (Lenders): Looking for interest (or, more broadly, return), willing to tolerate various degrees of inconvenience. Sellers (Borrowers): Issued by different entities for different reasons. (1) Treasury Bills Issued by the Federal Government, to finance national debt and new deficits 3 month, 6 month, and 1 year maturities Generally viewed as having zero default risk Best secondary market within group Commonly Used by the Federal Reserve to perform Open Market Operations Generally lowest interest rate of group (2) Negotiable Certificates of Deposit (CDs) Denominations: $100,000 and above (Large Time Deposits) Issued by banks to raise money for loans. Represents cost of funds for banks -changes in iCD induce changes in bank loan rates. Low Default Risk -- deposit insurance Good secondary market (3) Commercial Paper (CP) Issued by firms to finance shortterm debt (e.g. inventories) Flexible maturities. Rated according to default risk of issuing company. Good secondary market. (4) Bankers Acceptances Issued by banks to carry out international transactions. Characteristics similar to Negotiable CDs. Overall -- Group #1 Close -- but not perfect -substitutes Interest rates --different due to “non-price differences” Liquidity (secondary market) Default Risk Group #2 -- Banks Seeking Very Short-Term Funds Eurodollars -- dollar denominated deposits in foreign banks (banks can borrow from these), Repurchase Agreements (RP) -banks selling one of their bonds to a deposit holding customer, with the promise to buy it back at a specific date and price. Another Option Federal Funds (FF) -- one bank borrowing from another bank, usually overnight. Key rate in monetary policy, Federal Reserve “targets” iFF Cost of obtaining bank reserves “in the market” Major increase in volume over the years Still Another Option Discount Window -- banks borrowing from the Federal Reserve, paying the discount rate. only non-market determined rate, preset by Federal Reserve small usage as borrowing source for short-term reserve adjustment, due to expensiveness and attraction of alternatives Typically, iDISC = 0.5% + Target iFF Capital Market Instruments Stocks -- equity, returns compete with bonds Group #1 -Long-Term Bonds (1) Treasury Bonds Issued by the Federal Government to finance debt Generally viewed as having zero default risk Best secondary market of bonds within group Financial analysts track rates of various maturities on a given date, a plot of which is called the “yield curve” (2) US Government Agency Securities Issued by the US government agencies to finance their operations (e.g. EPA) Characteristics very similar to Treasury Bonds (3) Corporate Bonds Issued by corporations to finance investment projects Rated according to default risk AAA -- least risky AA -- next grade A -- next grade BAA -- more risky Junk Bonds -- bonds rated below B Corporate Bonds, continued Narrow secondary market Typical maturity -- 20 years Difference between BAA rate and AAA rate called risk premium, economic interpretation: difference in compensation required to take on increased default risk tends to increase during economic slowdowns and recessions (4) Municipal Bonds Issued by State and Local Governments to finance projects in capital budget. Positive default risk Narrow secondary market Tends to have lowest interest rate within this group Interest is exempt from taxes (Federal taxes and within the state where they’re issued) The After-Tax Interest Rate After-tax rate = (i)(1 - ), where is the marginal tax rate. For Municipal Bonds, after-tax rate = pre-tax rate (since = 0) Example: iCORP = 8.00%, = 0.28, After-tax rate = 8.00(1 - 0.28) = 5.76% Compare with Municipal Bond rate. Group #2 -- Bank Loans “Issued” by various borrowers, “held” by banks. Secured versus unsecured loans Secured Loans -- Has collateral (e.g. consumer and commercial mortgages) Unsecured Loans -- No collateral (e.g. credit cards) (1) Mortgages Loans to individuals or business to purchases housing, land, or building structure Some default risk (e.g. sub-prime mortgages with falling house prices), but risky in other ways as well Availability highly valued in American culture (tax system) Secondary Markets -Consumer Mortgages Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA) Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC) Securitized Mortgages – bundling mortgages into a bond, then selling in the capital market (2) Other Types of Bank Loans Commercial Loans: Prime Rate -interest rate given to firms with the lowest perceived default risk Consumer Loans (e.g. auto loans) Credit Card Balances -- unsecured high default risk Tend to be shorter-term relative to consumer mortgages. (3) US Savings Bonds Issued by Federal Government to finance debt. Low denominations, available to the small saver. Generally viewed as having zero default risk. Interest assigned each year, tax-deferred until savings bond is redeemed. Tax advantages, particularly for use in funding college education What Makes Interest Rates Different? Secondary Market Maturity Default Risk Taxability Above characteristics constitute structural differences that bring about various degrees of inconvenience.