ECO 110 – Introduction to Economics Professor Mike Rizzo Second COLLECTED Problem Set – This is an assignment that WILL be collected and graded. Please feel free to talk about the assignment with your friends or with your group and I strongly encourage you to submit your assignment as a group. Assigned: Due: Monday, April 4th Monday, April 11th COMPLETE ANY 10 of the 15 1. Why do insurance policies with deductibles cost less? Give two reasons. 2. Suppose the laws against sale of marijuana are weakened (for example, by paroling drug-dealers after only 3 years), while laws against use of marijuana are strengthened (for example, by imposing a 3-year mandatory minimum sentence for use). What happens to the market for marijuana? 3. Suppose that you can buy a baseball franchise for $100 million, and its annual net revenues (revenues minus expenses) are $5 million. The interest rate is 10 percent per year. a. What are net revenues as a percent of the purchase price? This is the "rental rate" for the baseball franchise. b. If the appreciation rate of the franchise is 8 percent per year, use the profitability formula to calculate the profitability for the franchise. Should you buy the franchise? c. If your cash flow is equal to net revenues minus interest expense, calculate the first year cash flow from owning the franchise. d. Explain the difference between rent-buy analysis and cash flow analysis for this franchise. 4. You can buy a share of stock for $100. The stock pays a dividend of $1 per year. The ratio of the dividend to the price is the "rental income" from the stock. If the interest rate is 5 percent and the rate at which dividends and share prices appreciate is 3 percent, is the stock a good buy? 5. You deposit $3000 in the bank and earn 5 percent interest, compounded continuously. a. How much will you have in the bank after one year? after four years? b. How long will it take to have $10,000 in the bank? 6. If you deposit $C in the bank every year, for n years, at an interest rate of r compounded annually, after you make your deposit at the start of the nth year you 1 will have: B = C[(1+r)n-1] /r in the bank. a. Suppose that you deposit $1000 a year for 10 years at an interest rate of 6 percent (r = .06). How much will you have after you make your deposit at the start of the tenth year? b. Suppose that you want to have $100,000 after 10 years, and the interest rate is 6 percent. How much will you have to deposit each year? c. Suppose that you want to have $1 million after 30 years, and the interest rate is 7 percent. How much will you have to deposit each year? 7. Remember that the formula for an annuity is: C = rB/[1-(1+r)-n]; where C is the annuity payment, B is the initial balance, r is the interest rate, and n is the number of years that the annuity will run. Suppose that you have $500,000 and the interest rate is 6 percent, and the annuity runs for 20 years. a. What is the annuity payment? b. Suppose that the inflation rate is 2 percent per year. What is the real interest rate that would be used to calculate a real annuity payment? c. Calculate the real annuity payment assuming that inflation is 2 percent per year. d. The annuity payment in the first year is equal to the real annuity payment. In the second year, the annuity payment is the real annuity payment times (1 + .02). In the third year, the annuity payment is the real annuity payment times (1 + .02)2. Calculate the annuity payment for the second year and for the third year. 8. Suppose that you have $100,000, the interest rate is 8 percent, and the annuity runs for 4 years. If the inflation rate is 5 percent, calculate the real annuity. Calculate the actual annuity payments for each of the four years. Show that the annuity works. That is, for each year, fill out a table with the beginning balance, interest earned, annuity paid, and ending balance. Show that after four years the ending balance is exactly zero. 9. The formula for finding the monthly payment on a mortgage or an auto loan is the same as the formula for an annuity. However, the interest rate is the annual interest rate divided by 12, and the number of periods, n, is the number of years times 12. a. Find the monthly payment on a 30-year mortgage with a $100,000 initial balance and an interest rate of 12 percent. 2 b. Find the monthly payment on a 5-year auto loan with a $20,000 initial balance and an interest rate of 5 percent. 10. Daniel Kahneman, Jack L. Knetsch and Richard Thaler have done research on the notions of fairness that people apply to market transactions. One of their articles, titled, “Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking: Entitlements in the Market,” reports the results of a public opinion survey designed to determine the rules of fairness people use in evaluating actions by business firms. Here is one hypothetical situation that was described in the survey: A grocery store has several months’ supply of peanut butter in stock which it has on the shelves and in the storeroom. The owner hears that the wholesale price of peanut butter has increased and immediately raises the price on his current stock of peanut butter. Of the 147 respondents surveyed, only 21% thought this was acceptable behavior while 79% deemed it unfair. a. The wholesale price of peanut butter in stock is a sunk cost. Is it relevant to pricing decisions for a seller who shares the majority view on fairness in pricing? b. How could it be relevant to a seller who personally holds the minority view but also knows that his customers will find out what he has done if he raises the price on “old” stock? c. The economic way of thinking does not usually distinguish a sum of money paid out from a sum of money not received: both are equally costs. The majority of the public apparently does distinguish, because it holds that sellers may raise their prices to cover higher wholesale cost payments but may not do so merely because consumers are willing to pay the higher prices. Can you defend the popular distinction, or do you think it is simply the product of failure to understand what’s going on? 11. “When lenders extend credit to high-risk borrowers, they must raise the interest rate that may be charged low-risk borrowers in order to cover their losses from defaults.” Does this claim make any sense? 12. About half of all new restaurants fail within a year, and 85% close within five years. What do these figures indicate about the profitability of the restaurant business? Why do so many entrepreneurs nonetheless start up new restaurants every year? 13. Before 1980, the Interstate Commerce Commission rarely granted new permits to trucking firms to haul goods interstate, and operating rights were often extremely valuable. They were listed as assets on the books of trucking companies and made up a significant portion of the purchase price whenever such companies were sold. 3 a. What factors established the market value of such operating rights? b. When the Motor Carrier Act of 1980 took effect, allowing much easier entry into interstate trucking, the market value of operating rights fell. Why? c. Was this fall a loss? d. Losses as well as profits are the consequences of uncertainty. What was the uncertainty that produced this loss for trucking companies in 1980? e. What would have happened to the value of operating rights in the 1970s if everyone had known 10 years in advance that Congress was going to ease restrictions on entry into interstate trucking after 1980? f. The Motor Carrier Act of 1980 was a change in the rules of the game. Which were the principal property rights affected, and with what consequences? 14. “Everybody knows” that laborers receive wages and only owners receive profits. But is this true? a. If employees agree to continue working for an employer who is currently unable to pay them, because they don’t want the firm to fail, are they working for wages or profits? b. If you agree to loan your lawn-mower to someone who wants to start a lawn-care business, on condition that he pay you $2 each time he borrows it, are you a capitalist? If your $2 properly called profit? Would your answers differ if he agreed to pay you 20% of his gross receipts? 15. Take a look at the yellow pages of your local phone book, or surf the web for a little while. Can you provide a list of three entrepreneurial firms in each of the categories below, and provide reasons for your placement? Do some of the firms fall into more than one category? a. Firms that primarily engage in arbitrage activity b. Firms that primarily engage in innovative activity c. Firms that primarily engage in entrepreneurial imitation 4