Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management Multiple Choice Questions 1. In the Treynor-Black model A. portfolio weights are sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to infeasible long or short positions for many portfolio managers. B. portfolio weights are not sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to infeasible long or short positions for many portfolio managers. C. portfolio weights are sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to the optimal portfolio for most portfolio managers. D. portfolio weights are not sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to the optimal portfolio for most portfolio managers. E. None of these is true. 2. Absent research, you should assume the alpha of a stock is A. zero. B. positive. C. negative. D. not zero. E. zero or positive. 3. If you begin with a ______ and obtain additional data from an experiment you can form a ______. A. posterior distribution; prior distribution B. prior distribution; posterior distribution C. tight posterior; Bayesian analysis D. tight prior; Bayesian analysis E. None of these is true. 4. Benchmark risk is defined as A. the return difference between the portfolio and the benchmark. B. the standard deviation of the return of the benchmark portfolio. C. the standard deviation of the return difference between the portfolio and the benchmark. D. the standard deviation of the return of the actively-managed portfolio. E. None of these is true. 27-1 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 5. Benchmark risk A. is inevitable and is never a significant issue in practice. B. is inevitable and is always a significant issue in practice. C. cannot be constrained to keep a Treynor-Black portfolio within reasonable weights. D. can be constrained to keep a Treynor-Black portfolio within reasonable weights. E. None of these is true. 6. ____________ can be used to measure forecast quality and guide in the proper adjustment of forecasts. A. Regression analysis B. Exponential smoothing C. ARIMA D. Moving average models E. GAUSS 7. Even low-quality forecasts have proven to be valuable because R-squares of only ____________ in regressions of analysts' forecasts can be used to substantially improve portfolio performance. A. 0.656 B. 0.452 C. 0.258 D. 0.153 E. 0.001 8. The ____________ model allows the private views of the portfolio manager to be incorporated with market data in the optimization procedure. A. Black-Litterman B. Treynor-Black C. Treynor-Mazuy D. Black-Scholes E. None of these is true. 27-2 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 9. The Black-Litterman model and Treynor-Black model are A. nice in theory but practically useless in modern portfolio management. B. complementary tools that should be used in portfolio management. C. contradictory models that cannot be used together; therefore, portfolio managers must choose which one suits their needs. D. not useful due to their complexity. E. None of these is true. 10. The Black-Litterman model is geared toward ____________ while the Treynor-Black model is geared toward ____________. A. security analysis; security analysis B. asset allocation; asset allocation C. security analysis; asset allocation D. asset allocation; security analysis E. None of these is true. 11. Alpha forecasts must be ____________ to account for less-than-perfect forecasting quality. When alpha forecasts are ____________ to account for forecast imprecision, the resulting portfolio position becomes ____________. A. shrunk; shrunk; far less moderate B. shrunk, shrunk; far more moderate C. grossed up; grossed up; far less moderate D. grossed up; grossed up; far more moderate E. None of these is true. 12. Tracking error is defined as A. the difference between the returns on the overall risky portfolio versus the benchmark return. B. the variance of the return of the benchmark portfolio. C. the variance of the return difference between the portfolio and the benchmark. D. the variance of the return of the actively-managed portfolio. E. None of these is true. 27-3 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 13. The tracking error of an optimized portfolio can be expressed in terms of the ____________ of the portfolio and thus reveals ____________. A. return; portfolio performance B. total risk; portfolio performance C. beta; portfolio performance D. beta; benchmark risk E. relative return; benchmark risk 14. The Treynor-Black model is a model that shows how an investment manager can use security analysis and statistics to construct __________. A. a market portfolio B. a passive portfolio C. an active portfolio D. an index portfolio E. a balanced portfolio 15. If a portfolio manager consistently obtains a high Sharpe measure, the manager's forecasting ability __________. A. is above average B. is average C. is below average D. does not exist E. cannot be determined based on the Sharpe measure 16. Active portfolio management consists of __________. A. market timing B. security analysis C. indexing D. market timing and security analysis E. None of these is true. 27-4 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 17. Passive portfolio management consists of __________. A. market timing B. security analysis C. indexing D. market timing and security analysis E. None of these is true. 18. The critical variable in the determination of the success of the active portfolio is ________. A. alpha/systematic risk B. alpha/nonsystematic risk C. gamma/systematic risk D. gamma/nonsystematic risk E. None of these is true. 19. The Treynor-Black model requires estimates of ________. A. alpha/beta B. alpha/beta/residual variance C. beta/residual variance D. alpha/residual variance E. None of these is true. 20. Active portfolio managers try to construct a risky portfolio with __________. A. a higher Sharpe measure than a passive strategy B. a lower Sharpe measure than a passive strategy C. the same Sharpe measure as a passive strategy D. very few securities E. None of these is true. 27-5 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 21. The beta of an active portfolio is 1.20. The standard deviation of the returns on the market index is 20%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1%. The standard deviation of the returns on the active portfolio is __________. A. 3.84% B. 5.84% C. 19.60% D. 24.17% E. 26.0% 22. The beta of an active portfolio is 1.36. The standard deviation of the returns on the market index is 22%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1.2%. The standard deviation of the returns on the active portfolio is __________. A. 3.19% B. 31.86% C. 42.00% D. 27.57% E. 2.86% 23. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 2%. The expected return on the market index is 16%. The variance of return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1%. The risk-free rate of return is 8%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 0% B. 25% C. 50% D. 100% E. None of these is true. 27-6 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 24. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 1%. The expected return on the market index is 16%. The variance of the return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1%. The risk-free rate of return is 8%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.05. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 48.7% B. 50.0% C. 51.3% D. 100.0% E. None of these is true. 25. There appears to be a role for a theory of active portfolio management because A. some portfolio managers have produced sequences of abnormal returns that are difficult to label as lucky outcomes. B. the "noise" in the realized returns is enough to prevent the rejection of the hypothesis that some money managers have outperformed a passive strategy by a statistically small, yet economic, margin. C. some anomalies in realized returns have been persistent enough to suggest that portfolio managers who identified these anomalies in a timely fashion could have outperformed a passive strategy over prolonged periods. D. some portfolio managers have produced sequences of abnormal returns that are difficult to label as lucky outcomes; and the "noise" in the realized returns is enough to prevent the rejection of the hypothesis that some money managers have outperformed a passive strategy by a statistically small, yet economic, margin. E. some portfolio managers have produced sequences of abnormal returns that are difficult to label as lucky outcomes; the "noise" in the realized returns is enough to prevent the rejection of the hypothesis that some money managers have outperformed a passive strategy by a statistically small, yet economic, margin; and some anomalies in realized returns have been persistent enough to suggest that portfolio managers who identified these anomalies in a timely fashion could have outperformed a passive strategy over prolonged periods. 26. The Treynor-Black model A. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks. B. considers security selection only. C. is nearly impossible to implement. D. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks and is nearly impossible to implement. E. considers security selection only and is nearly impossible to implement. 27-7 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 27. Which of the following are not true regarding the Treynor-Black model? A. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks B. considers security selection only C. is nearly impossible to implement D. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks and is nearly impossible to implement E. considers security selection only and is nearly impossible to implement 28. To improve future analyst forecasts using the statistical properties of past forecasts, a regression model can be fitted to past forecasts. The intercept of the regression is a __________ coefficient, and the regression beta represents a __________ coefficient. A. bias; precision B. bias; bias C. precision; precision D. precision; bias E. None of these is true. 29. A purely passive strategy is defined as A. one that uses only index funds. B. one that allocates assets in fixed proportions that do not vary with market conditions. C. one that is mean-variance efficient. D. one that uses only index funds and one that allocates assets in fixed proportions that do not vary with market conditions. E. All of these are true. 27-8 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 30. Consider these two investment strategies: Strategy __________ is the dominant strategy because __________. A. 1; it is riskless B. 1; it has the highest reward/risk ratio C. 2; its return is at least equal to Strategy 1 and sometimes greater D. 2; it has the highest reward/risk ratio E. Both strategies are equally preferred. 31. Consider these two investment strategies: Strategy __________ is the dominant strategy because __________. A. 1; it is riskless B. 1; it has the highest reward/risk ratio C. 2; its return is at least equal to Strategy 1 and sometimes greater D. 2; it has the highest reward/risk ratio E. Both strategies are equally preferred. 32. The Treynor-Black model assumes that A. the objective of security analysis is to form an active portfolio of a limited number of mispriced securities. B. the cost of less than full diversification comes from the nonsystematic risk of the mispriced stock. C. the optimal weight of a mispriced security in the active portfolio is a function of the degree of mispricing, the market sensitivity of the security, and its degree of nonsystematic risk. D. All of these are true. E. None of these is true. 27-9 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 33. The Treynor-Black model does not assume that A. the objective of security analysis is to form an active portfolio of a limited number of mispriced securities. B. the cost of less than full diversification comes from the nonsystematic risk of the mispriced stock. C. the optimal weight of a mispriced security in the active portfolio is a function of the degree of mispricing, the market sensitivity of the security, and its degree of nonsystematic risk. D. indexing is always optimal. E. the objective of security analysis is to form an active portfolio of a limited number of mispriced securities; the cost of less than full diversification comes from the nonsystematic risk of the mispriced stock; and the optimal weight of a mispriced security in the active portfolio is a function of the degree of mispricing, the market sensitivity of the security, and its degree of nonsystematic risk. 34. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 3%. The expected return on the market index is 18%. The standard deviation of the return on the market portfolio is 25%. The nonsystematic standard deviation of the active portfolio is 15%. The risk-free rate of return is 6%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.2. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 50.0% B. 69.4% C. 72.3% D. 80.6% E. 100.0% 35. According to the Treynor-Black model, the weight of a security in the active portfolio depends on the ratio of __________ to __________. A. the degree of mispricing; the nonsystematic risk of the security B. the degree of mispricing; the systematic risk of the security C. the market sensitivity of the security; the nonsystematic risk of the security D. the nonsystematic risk of the security; the systematic risk of the security E. the total return on the security; the nonsystematic risk of the security 27-10 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 36. One property of a risky portfolio that combines an active portfolio of mispriced securities with a market portfolio is that, when optimized, its squared Sharpe measure increases by the square of the active portfolio's A. Sharpe ratio. B. information ratio. C. alpha. D. Treynor measure. E. None of these is true. 37. A purely passive strategy A. uses only index funds. B. uses weights that change in response to market conditions. C. uses only risk-free assets. D. is best if there is "noise" in realized returns. E. is useless if abnormal returns are available. 38. A manager who uses the mean-variance theory to construct an optimal portfolio will satisfy A. investors with low risk-aversion coefficients. B. investors with high risk-aversion coefficients. C. investors with moderate risk-aversion coefficients. D. all investors, regardless of their level of risk aversion. E. only clients with whom she has established long-term relationships, because she knows their personal preferences. 39. Ideally, clients would like to invest with the portfolio manager who has A. a moderate personal risk-aversion coefficient. B. a low personal risk-aversion coefficient. C. the highest Sharpe measure. D. the highest record of realized returns. E. the lowest record of standard deviations. 27-11 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 40. An active portfolio manager faces a tradeoff between I) using the Sharpe measure. II) using mean-variance analysis. III) exploiting perceived security mispricings. IV) holding too much of the risk-free asset. V) letting a few stocks dominate the portfolio. A. I and II B. II and V C. III and V D. III and IV E. II and III 41. To determine the optimal risky portfolio in the Treynor-Black Model, macroeconomic forecasts are used for the _________ and composite forecasts are used for the __________. A. passive index portfolio; active portfolio B. active portfolio, passive index portfolio C. expected return; standard deviation D. expected return; beta coefficient E. alpha coefficient; beta coefficient 42. The beta of an active portfolio is 1.45. The standard deviation of the returns on the market index is 22%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 3%. The standard deviation of the returns on the active portfolio is __________. A. 36.30% B. 5.84% C. 19.60% D. 24.17% E. 26.0% 27-12 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 43. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 1%. The expected return on the market index is 11%. The variance of return on the market portfolio is 6%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 2%. The risk-free rate of return is 4%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.1. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 45% B. 25% C. 50% D. 100% E. None of these is true. 44. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 3%. The expected return on the market index is 10%. The variance of the return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 2%. The risk-free rate of return is 3%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.15. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 48.7% B. 98.3% C. 51.3% D. 100.0% E. None of these is true. 45. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 2%. The expected return on the market index is 12%. The variance of the return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 2%. The risk-free rate of return is 3%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.15. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 48.7% B. 98.3% C. 47.6% D. 100.0% E. None of these is true. 27-13 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 46. Perfect timing ability is equivalent to having __________ on the market portfolio. A. a call option B. a futures contract C. a put option D. a commodities contract E. None of these is true. 47. Kane, Marcus, and Trippi (1999) show that the annualized fee that investors should be willing to pay for active management, over and above the fee charged by a passive index fund, depends on I) the investor's coefficient of risk aversion. II) the value of at-the-money call option on the market portfolio. III) the value of out-of-the-money call option on the market portfolio. IV) the precision of the security analyst. V) the distribution of the squared information ratio of in the universe of securities. A. I, II, IV B. I, III, V C. II, IV, V D. I, IV, V E. II, III, V 48. Kane, Marcus, and Trippi (1999) show that the annualized fee that investors should be willing to pay for active management, over and above the fee charged by a passive index fund, does not depend on I) the investor's coefficient of risk aversion. II) the value of at-the-money call option on the market portfolio. III) the value of out-of-the-money call option on the market portfolio. IV) the precision of the security analyst. V) the distribution of the squared information ratio of in the universe of securities. A. I, II, IV B. II, III, V C. II, III D. I, IV, V E. II, IV, V Short Answer Questions 27-14 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 49. Discuss the Treynor-Black model. 50. You have a record of an analyst's past forecasts of alpha. Describe how you would use this information within the context of the Treynor-Black model to determine the forecasting ability of the analyst. 27-15 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management Answer Key Multiple Choice Questions 1. In the Treynor-Black model A. portfolio weights are sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to infeasible long or short positions for many portfolio managers. B. portfolio weights are not sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to infeasible long or short positions for many portfolio managers. C. portfolio weights are sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to the optimal portfolio for most portfolio managers. D. portfolio weights are not sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to the optimal portfolio for most portfolio managers. E. None of these is true. In the Treynor-Black model portfolio weight are sensitive to large alpha values which can lead to infeasible long or short positions for many portfolio managers. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 2. Absent research, you should assume the alpha of a stock is A. zero B. positive C. negative D. not zero E. zero or positive In efficient markets, alpha should be assumed to be zero. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-16 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 3. If you begin with a ______ and obtain additional data from an experiment you can form a ______. A. posterior distribution; prior distribution B. prior distribution; posterior distribution C. tight posterior; Bayesian analysis D. tight prior; Bayesian analysis E. None of these is true. If you begin with a prior distribution and obtain additional data from an experiment you can form a posterior distribution. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 4. Benchmark risk is defined as A. the return difference between the portfolio and the benchmark B. the standard deviation of the return of the benchmark portfolio C. the standard deviation of the return difference between the portfolio and the benchmark D. the standard deviation of the return of the actively-managed portfolio E. None of these is true. Benchmark portfolio risk is defined as the standard deviation of the return difference between the portfolio and the benchmark. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-17 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 5. Benchmark risk A. is inevitable and is never a significant issue in practice. B. is inevitable and is always a significant issue in practice. C. cannot be constrained to keep a Treynor-Black portfolio within reasonable weights. D. can be constrained to keep a Treynor-Black portfolio within reasonable weights. E. None of these is true. Benchmark portfolio risk can be constrained to keep a Treynor-Black portfolio within reasonable weights. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 6. ____________ can be used to measure forecast quality and guide in the proper adjustment of forecasts. A. Regression analysis B. Exponential smoothing C. ARIMA D. Moving average models E. GAUSS Regression analysis can be used to measure forecast quality and guide in the proper adjustment of forecasts. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-18 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 7. Even low-quality forecasts have proven to be valuable because R-squares of only ____________ in regressions of analysts' forecasts can be used to substantially improve portfolio performance. A. 0.656 B. 0.452 C. 0.258 D. 0.153 E. 0.001 The text provides an example where forecasts improved as r-squared improved from 0.001134 to 0.001536. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 8. The ____________ model allows the private views of the portfolio manager to be incorporated with market data in the optimization procedure. A. Black-Litterman B. Treynor-Black C. Treynor-Mazuy D. Black-Scholes E. None of these is true. The Black-Litterman model allows the private views of the portfolio manager to be incorporated with market data in the optimization procedure. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-19 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 9. The Black-Litterman model and Treynor-Black model are A. nice in theory but practically useless in modern portfolio management. B. complementary tools that should be used in portfolio management. C. contradictory models that cannot be used together; therefore, portfolio managers must choose which one suits their needs. D. not useful due to their complexity. E. None of these is true. The Black-Litterman model and Treynor-Black model are complementary tools that should be used in portfolio management. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 10. The Black-Litterman model is geared toward ____________ while the Treynor-Black model is geared toward ____________. A. security analysis; security analysis B. asset allocation; asset allocation C. security analysis; asset allocation D. asset allocation; security analysis E. None of these is true. The Black-Litterman model is geared toward asset allocation while the Treynor-Black model is geared toward security analysis. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-20 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 11. Alpha forecasts must be ____________ to account for less-than-perfect forecasting quality. When alpha forecasts are ____________ to account for forecast imprecision, the resulting portfolio position becomes ____________. A. shrunk, shrunk, far less moderate B. shrunk, shrunk, far more moderate C. grossed up, grossed up, far less moderate D. grossed up, grossed up, far more moderate E. None of these is true. Alpha forecasts must be shrunk to account for less-than-perfect forecasting quality. When alpha forecasts are shrunk to account for forecast imprecision, the resulting portfolio position becomes far more moderate. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 12. Tracking error is defined as A. the difference between the returns on the overall risky portfolio versus the benchmark return B. the variance of the return of the benchmark portfolio C. the variance of the return difference between the portfolio and the benchmark D. the variance of the return of the actively-managed portfolio E. None of these is true. Tracking error is defined as the difference between the returns on the overall risky portfolio versus the benchmark return. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-21 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 13. The tracking error of an optimized portfolio can be expressed in terms of the ____________ of the portfolio and thus reveals ____________. A. return; portfolio performance B. total risk; portfolio performance C. beta; portfolio performance D. beta; benchmark risk E. relative return; benchmark risk The tracking error of an optimized portfolio can be expressed in terms of the beta of the portfolio and thus reveal benchmark risk. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 14. The Treynor-Black model is a model that shows how an investment manager can use security analysis and statistics to construct __________. A. a market portfolio B. a passive portfolio C. an active portfolio D. an index portfolio E. a balanced portfolio The Treynor-Black model is a model that shows how an investment manager can use security analysis and statistics to construct an active portfolio. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 27-22 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 15. If a portfolio manager consistently obtains a high Sharpe measure, the manager's forecasting ability __________. A. is above average B. is average C. is below average D. does not exist E. cannot be determined based on the Sharpe measure The manager with the highest Sharpe measure presumably has true forecasting abilities. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 16. Active portfolio management consists of __________. A. market timing B. security analysis C. indexing D. market timing and security analysis E. None of these is true. Although one can engage in various degrees of active portfolio management (security selection without market timing and vice versa), the most active portfolio management strategy consists of engaging in both pursuits. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 27-23 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 17. Passive portfolio management consists of __________. A. market timing B. security analysis C. indexing D. market timing and security analysis E. None of these is true. Although one can engage in various degrees of active portfolio management (security selection without market timing and vice versa), the most active portfolio management strategy consists of engaging in both pursuits. Passive management is an indexing strategy. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 18. The critical variable in the determination of the success of the active portfolio is ________. A. alpha/systematic risk B. alpha/nonsystematic risk C. gamma/systematic risk D. gamma/nonsystematic risk E. None of these is true. A portfolio with a positive alpha is outperforming the market. If this portfolio also has a low degree of nonsystematic risk, the portfolio is adequately diversified. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-24 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 19. The Treynor-Black model requires estimates of ________. A. alpha/beta B. alpha/beta/residual variance C. beta/residual variance D. alpha/residual variance E. None of these is true. Estimates of alpha, beta, and residual risk are required to determine the optimal weight of each security in the portfolio. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 20. Active portfolio managers try to construct a risky portfolio with __________. A. a higher Sharpe measure than a passive strategy B. a lower Sharpe measure than a passive strategy C. the same Sharpe measure as a passive strategy D. very few securities E. None of these is true. A higher Sharpe measure than a passive strategy is indicative of the benefits of active management. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-25 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 21. The beta of an active portfolio is 1.20. The standard deviation of the returns on the market index is 20%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1%. The standard deviation of the returns on the active portfolio is __________. A. 3.84% B. 5.84% C. 19.60% D. 24.17% E. 26.0% s = [(1.2)2(0.2)2 + 0.01]1/2 = [0.0676]1/2 = 26.0%. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 22. The beta of an active portfolio is 1.36. The standard deviation of the returns on the market index is 22%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1.2%. The standard deviation of the returns on the active portfolio is __________. A. 3.19% B. 31.86% C. 42.00% D. 27.57% E. 2.86% s = [(1.36)2(0.22)2 + 0.012]1/2 = [0.10152]1/2 = 31.86%. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 27-26 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 23. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 2%. The expected return on the market index is 16%. The variance of return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1%. The risk-free rate of return is 8%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 0% B. 25% C. 50% D. 100% E. None of these is true. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Scrambling: LockedAnswer: D Topic: Active management 24. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 1%. The expected return on the market index is 16%. The variance of the return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 1%. The risk-free rate of return is 8%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.05. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 48.7% B. 50.0% C. 51.3% D. 100.0% E. None of these is true. wO = [1%/1%]/[(16% − 8%)/4%] = 0.5; w* = 0.5/[1 + (1 − 1.05)0.5] = 0.513, or 51.3%. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 27-27 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 25. There appears to be a role for a theory of active portfolio management because A. some portfolio managers have produced sequences of abnormal returns that are difficult to label as lucky outcomes. B. the "noise" in the realized returns is enough to prevent the rejection of the hypothesis that some money managers have outperformed a passive strategy by a statistically small, yet economic, margin. C. some anomalies in realized returns have been persistent enough to suggest that portfolio managers who identified these anomalies in a timely fashion could have outperformed a passive strategy over prolonged periods. D. some portfolio managers have produced sequences of abnormal returns that are difficult to label as lucky outcomes; and the "noise" in the realized returns is enough to prevent the rejection of the hypothesis that some money managers have outperformed a passive strategy by a statistically small, yet economic, margin. E. some portfolio managers have produced sequences of abnormal returns that are difficult to label as lucky outcomes; the "noise" in the realized returns is enough to prevent the rejection of the hypothesis that some money managers have outperformed a passive strategy by a statistically small, yet economic, margin; and some anomalies in realized returns have been persistent enough to suggest that portfolio managers who identified these anomalies in a timely fashion could have outperformed a passive strategy over prolonged periods. There appears to be a role for a theory of active portfolio management because some portfolio managers have produced sequences of abnormal returns that are difficult to label as lucky outcomes, the "noise" in the realized returns is enough to prevent the rejection of the hypothesis that some money managers have outperformed a passive strategy by a statistically small, yet economic, margin, and some anomalies in realized returns have been persistent enough to suggest that portfolio managers who identified these anomalies in a timely fashion could have outperformed a passive strategy over prolonged periods. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 27-28 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 26. The Treynor-Black model A. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks. B. considers security selection only. C. is nearly impossible to implement. D. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks and is nearly impossible to implement. E. considers security selection only and is nearly impossible to implement. The Treynor-Black model considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 27. Which of the following are not true regarding the Treynor-Black model? A. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks. B. considers security selection only. C. is nearly impossible to implement. D. considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks and is nearly impossible to implement. E. considers security selection only and is nearly impossible to implement. The Treynor-Black model considers both macroeconomic and microeconomic risks. Other answers are false. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 27-29 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 28. To improve future analyst forecasts using the statistical properties of past forecasts, a regression model can be fitted to past forecasts. The intercept of the regression is a __________ coefficient, and the regression beta represents a __________ coefficient. A. bias, precision B. bias, bias C. precision, precision D. precision, bias E. None of these is true. The estimated equation adjusts future forecasts for direction and magnitude of bias and degree of imprecision in past forecasts. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 29. A purely passive strategy is defined as A. one that uses only index funds. B. one that allocates assets in fixed proportions that do not vary with market conditions. C. one that is mean-variance efficient. D. one that uses only index funds and one that allocates assets in fixed proportions that do not vary with market conditions. E. All of these are true. A purely passive strategy is one that calls for no market analysis. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 27-30 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 30. Consider these two investment strategies: Strategy __________ is the dominant strategy because __________. A. 1, it is riskless B. 1, it has the highest reward/risk ratio C. 2, its return is at least equal to Strategy 1 and sometimes greater D. 2, it has the highest reward/risk ratio E. both strategies are equally preferred. Strategy 2 dominates Strategy 1, even though it is riskier, because it always returns at least as much as Strategy 1 and sometimes more. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 31. Consider these two investment strategies: Strategy __________ is the dominant strategy because __________. A. 1, it is riskless B. 1, it has the highest reward/risk ratio C. 2, its return is at least equal to Strategy 1 and sometimes greater D. 2, it has the highest reward/risk ratio E. both strategies are equally preferred. Strategy 2 dominates Strategy 1, even though it is riskier, because it always returns at least as much as Strategy 1 and sometimes more. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-31 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 32. The Treynor-Black model assumes that A. the objective of security analysis is to form an active portfolio of a limited number of mispriced securities. B. the cost of less than full diversification comes from the nonsystematic risk of the mispriced stock. C. the optimal weight of a mispriced security in the active portfolio is a function of the degree of mispricing, the market sensitivity of the security, and its degree of nonsystematic risk. D. All of these are true. E. None of these is true. All of the statements correctly describe assumptions of the Treynor-Black model. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Understand Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 33. The Treynor-Black model does not assume that A. the objective of security analysis is to form an active portfolio of a limited number of mispriced securities. B. the cost of less than full diversification comes from the nonsystematic risk of the mispriced stock. C. the optimal weight of a mispriced security in the active portfolio is a function of the degree of mispricing, the market sensitivity of the security, and its degree of nonsystematic risk. D. indexing is always optimal. E. the objective of security analysis is to form an active portfolio of a limited number of mispriced securities; the cost of less than full diversification comes from the nonsystematic risk of the mispriced stock; and the optimal weight of a mispriced security in the active portfolio is a function of the degree of mispricing, the market sensitivity of the security, and its degree of nonsystematic risk. The Treynor-Black model does not assume that the objective of security analysis is to form an active portfolio of a limited number of mispriced securities, the cost of less than full diversification comes from the nonsystematic risk of the mispriced stock, and the optimal weight of a mispriced security in the active portfolio is a function of the degree of mispricing, the market sensitivity of the security, and its degree of nonsystematic risk. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Understand Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-32 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 34. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 3%. The expected return on the market index is 18%. The standard deviation of the return on the market portfolio is 25%. The nonsystematic standard deviation of the active portfolio is 15%. The risk-free rate of return is 6%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.2. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 50.0% B. 69.4% C. 72.3% D. 80.6% E. 100.0% wO = [3%/2.25%]/[(18% − 6%)/6.25%] = 0.6944; w* = 0.6944/[1 + (1 − 1.2)0.6944] = 0.8064, or 80.6%. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 35. According to the Treynor-Black model, the weight of a security in the active portfolio depends on the ratio of __________ to __________. A. the degree of mispricing; the nonsystematic risk of the security B. the degree of mispricing; the systematic risk of the security C. the market sensitivity of the security; the nonsystematic risk of the security D. the nonsystematic risk of the security; the systematic risk of the security E. the total return on the security; the nonsystematic risk of the security The weight of the mispriced security in the active portfolio depends on the degree of mispricing (alpha) in proportion to the nonsystematic risk added by holding the security. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Understand Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-33 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 36. One property of a risky portfolio that combines an active portfolio of mispriced securities with a market portfolio is that, when optimized, its squared Sharpe measure increases by the square of the active portfolio's A. Sharpe ratio. B. information ratio. C. alpha. D. Treynor measure. E. None of these is true. When optimized, a property of the overall risky portfolio is that its squared Sharpe measure increases by the square of the active portfolio's information ratio. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 37. A purely passive strategy A. uses only index funds. B. uses weights that change in response to market conditions. C. uses only risk-free assets. D. is best if there is "noise" in realized returns. E. is useless if abnormal returns are available. A purely passive strategy uses only index funds and keeps the proportions constant when there are changes in perceived market conditions. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-34 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 38. A manager who uses the mean-variance theory to construct an optimal portfolio will satisfy A. investors with low risk-aversion coefficients. B. investors with high risk-aversion coefficients. C. investors with moderate risk-aversion coefficients. D. all investors, regardless of their level of risk aversion. E. only clients with whom she has established long-term relationships, because she knows their personal preferences. The optimal portfolio will be the one with the highest reward-to-variability ratio. Investors can choose for themselves how they want to combine this portfolio with the risk-free asset to take on more or less risk. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 39. Ideally, clients would like to invest with the portfolio manager who has A. a moderate personal risk-aversion coefficient. B. a low personal risk-aversion coefficient. C. the highest Sharpe measure. D. the highest record of realized returns. E. the lowest record of standard deviations. The Sharpe measure is commonly used to measure the performance of professional managers. A good manager has a steeper CAL than the one from following a passive strategy. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 27-35 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 40. An active portfolio manager faces a tradeoff between I) using the Sharpe measure. II) using mean-variance analysis. III) exploiting perceived security mispricings. IV) holding too much of the risk-free asset. V) letting a few stocks dominate the portfolio. A. I and II B. II and V C. III and V D. III and IV E. II and III The active manager can use both the Sharpe measure and mean-variance analysis. The riskfree asset can be included as called for by market conditions. The active manager is seeking out mispricings and will want to exploit them. If there are a few very attractive securities the manager might have a concentration of these in the portfolio, which could lead to poor diversification. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 41. To determine the optimal risky portfolio in the Treynor-Black Model, macroeconomic forecasts are used for the _________ and composite forecasts are used for the __________. A. passive index portfolio; active portfolio B. active portfolio, passive index portfolio C. expected return; standard deviation D. expected return; beta coefficient E. alpha coefficient; beta coefficient The two factors combine to determine the optimal risky portfolio. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-36 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 42. The beta of an active portfolio is 1.45. The standard deviation of the returns on the market index is 22%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 3%. The standard deviation of the returns on the active portfolio is __________. A. 36.30% B. 5.84% C. 19.60% D. 24.17% E. 26.0% s = [(1.45)2(0.22)2 + 0.03]1/2 = [0.13176]1/2 = 36.3%. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 43. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 1%. The expected return on the market index is 11%. The variance of return on the market portfolio is 6%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 2%. The risk-free rate of return is 4%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.1. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 45% B. 25% C. 50% D. 100% E. None of these is true. wO = [1%/2%]/[(11% − 4%)/6%] = .4286, or 42.86%; w* = .4286/[1 + (1 − 1.1).4286] = 0.4478. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 27-37 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 44. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 3%. The expected return on the market index is 10%. The variance of the return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 2%. The risk-free rate of return is 3%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.15. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 48.7% B. 98.3% C. 51.3% D. 100.0% E. None of these is true. wO = [3%/2%]/[(10% − 3%)/4%] = 0.857; w* = 0.857/[1 + (1 − 1.15)0.857] = .983., or 98.3%. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 45. Consider the Treynor-Black model. The alpha of an active portfolio is 2%. The expected return on the market index is 12%. The variance of the return on the market portfolio is 4%. The nonsystematic variance of the active portfolio is 2%. The risk-free rate of return is 3%. The beta of the active portfolio is 1.15. The optimal proportion to invest in the active portfolio is __________. A. 48.7% B. 98.3% C. 47.6% D. 100.0% E. None of these is true. wO = [2%/2%]/[(12% − 3%)/4%] = 0.444; w* = 0.444/[1 + (1 − 1.15) 0.444] = .476., or 47.6%. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Apply Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 27-38 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 46. Perfect timing ability is equivalent to having __________ on the market portfolio. A. a call option B. a futures contract C. a put option D. a commodities contract E. None of these is true. Perfect foresight is equivalent to holding a call option on the equity portfolio. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Basic Topic: Active management 47. Kane, Marcus, and Trippi (1999) show that the annualized fee that investors should be willing to pay for active management, over and above the fee charged by a passive index fund, depends on I) the investor's coefficient of risk aversion II) the value of at-the-money call option on the market portfolio III) the value of out-of-the-money call option on the market portfolio IV) the precision of the security analyst V) the distribution of the squared information ratio of in the universe of securities A. I, II, IV B. I, III, V C. II, IV, V D. I, IV, V E. II, III, V Kane, Marcus, and Trippi (1999) show that the annualized fee that investors should be willing to pay for active management, over and above the fee charged by a passive index fund, depends on the investor's coefficient of risk aversion, the precision of the security analyst, and the distribution of the squared information ratio of in the universe of securities. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-39 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 48. Kane, Marcus, and Trippi (1999) show that the annualized fee that investors should be willing to pay for active management, over and above the fee charged by a passive index fund, does not depend on I) the investor's coefficient of risk aversion II) the value of at-the-money call option on the market portfolio III) the value of out-of-the-money call option on the market portfolio IV) the precision of the security analyst V) the distribution of the squared information ratio of in the universe of securities A. I, II, IV B. II, III, V C. II, III D. I, IV, V E. II, IV, V Kane, Marcus, and Trippi (1999) show that the annualized fee that investors should be willing to pay for active management, over and above the fee charged by a passive index fund, depends on the investor's coefficient of risk aversion, the precision of the security analyst, and the distribution of the squared information ratio of in the universe of securities. AACSB: Analytic Bloom's: Remember Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management Short Answer Questions 49. Discuss the Treynor-Black model. The Treynor-Black estimates the alpha, beta, and residual risk of securities under consideration for a portfolio. The model uses these estimates to determine the optimal weights of each of these securities in the portfolio. These composite estimates for the active portfolio and the macroeconomic forecasts for the passive index portfolio are used to determine the optimal risky portfolio, which will be a combination of the passive and active portfolios. Feedback: The purpose of this question is to ascertain if the student understands the basic concepts behind this model, which allows the portfolio manager to utilize both active and passive components of portfolio building to obtain an optimal portfolio. AACSB: Reflective Thinking Bloom's: Understand Difficulty: Intermediate Topic: Active management 27-40 Chapter 27 The Theory of Active Portfolio Management 50. You have a record of an analyst's past forecasts of alpha. Describe how you would use this information within the context of the Treynor-Black model to determine the forecasting ability of the analyst. You can use the index model and valid estimates of beta, you can estimate the ex-post alphas from the average realized return and the return on the market index. The equation is . Then you would estimate a regression of the forecasted alphas on the realized alphas as in the equation . The coefficients a0 and a1 reflect the bias in the forecasts. If there is no bias a0=0 and a1=1. The forecast errors are uncorrelated with the true alpha, so the variance of the forecast is . To measure the value of the forecast, you would use the squared correlation coefficient between the forecasts and the realizations. This can also be determined by the formula . If the analyst has perfect forecasting ability the correlation coefficient will be 1. If the analyst has no ability then the correlation coefficient will be 0. For values in between 0 and 1 you can adjust the forecasts by multiplying by the correlation. Feedback: The value of active management depends on the analyst's ability to forecast accurately. The best way to exploit analysts' forecasts is with the Treynor-Black model. AACSB: Reflective Thinking Bloom's: Understand Difficulty: Challenge Topic: Active management 27-41