SOIL ORGANIC CARBON STOCK IN PAMPEAN SOILS: CHANGES ASSOCIATED TO ROTATION AND TILLAGE Roberto Alvarez Facultad de Agronomía, Universidad de Buenos Aires and CONICET. Av. San Martín 4453 (1417), Buenos Aires, Argentina. E-mail: ralvarez@agro.uba.ar Abstract During the last four decades the cropped area in the Pampas doubled, soybean was introduced in rotations, replacing mainly corn, becoming nowadays the most important grain crop, and no-till adoption by farmers was massively with 80% of the area under this tillage system nowadays. Technological improvements, as the generalized use of fertilizers, lead to yield increases of 100%. Using data from soil surveys performed between 1960 and 1980, a soil organic carbon stock of 4.12 Gt to 1 m depth was estimated. In 2007-2008, 400 sites distributed along the region were sampled for organic carbon evaluation and an artificial neural network model was developed for carbon prediction as a function of vegetation cover and soil use. The model, joined to satellite image classification of the area occupied by common vegetation types and land uses, lead to an estimation of 4.22 Gt of organic carbon. Despite the overall carbon stock did not change during the last decades, decreases were observed in high carbon areas and increases in low carbon ones. Results from 7 long term field experiments were used for fitting a neural network model for estimating organic carbon mineralization. Another neural network model was adjusted to data generated in 116 experiments, which allowed relating crops yield with carbon inputs from residues to the soil. The combination of these two models was used to calculate the soil carbon balance for different rotations and soils. Carbon balances are less negative than 40 years ago or turned out positive in low carbon soils, a consequence of yield increases and higher carbon inputs from straw and roots. The meta-analysis of data from 17 tillage experiments showed that under no-till soil carbon increases by 5 % in rich organic matter soils and 15 % in low organic matter soils at surface. No-till counteracted the impact of soybean on carbon inputs helping carbon level maintenance. The models developed predict that in the following years soil organic carbon of many pampeam subregions will decrease if the proportion of soybean in rotation is not reduced. Keywords: soil carbon, crop rotation, tillage system The Pampas and its cropping history The Pampas in Argentina (30-40ºS, 58-68ºW) is a vast plain of ca. 50 Mha (1), with a flat or slightly rolling relief, and graminaceus grasslands as natural vegetation. Forests occupy around 7 % of the area (2) without changes during the last decades (3). Temperature ranges from 14ºC in the south to 18ºC in the north and rainfall varies from 500 mm in the west to 1100 mm in the east (Figure 1). Predominant soils are Mollisols, which evolved on loess like materials of eolian origin and present a broad range of depth, texture and organic matter, being illite the main clay mineral (4). The eolian origin of sediments (southwest to northeast) and the rainfall trend 1 (west-east) determined a soil gradient from sandy textured, shallow and with low organic matter in the west to fine textured, deep and with high organic matter in the east, (1, 4). Along the west and the south of the region a petrocalcic horizon is found within the upper 1 m of many soils (5, 6, 7). Figure 1. Map of the Pampean Region showing isohyets and isotherms. At the end of the 19th Century (ca. 1870) agriculture was introduced in the central humid portion of the region, on fertile soils, and expanded in the 20th Century to the north, west and south (1, 8). Low external input farming systems predominate, based on harvest crop and cattle grazing rotations (9). Because of economic reasons, joined to the increase of rainfall during the last few decades, the cropped area increased exponentially (10). Especially in humid environments the traditional pasture-crop rotation was replaced by continuous cultivation (Figure 2). Well drained soils are used for cropping and areas with hydromorphic soils destined to grazing (1). Nowadays, more than 50% of the Pampean area is cropped with soybean (Glycine max), corn (Zea mays), wheat (Triticum aestivum) and sunflower (Helianthus annuus) (Figure 3A). Cultivation intensification since 1970 was accompanied with the widespread adoption of soybean in rotations (9). This crop occupies around 60 % of the agricultural area (11), replacing corn in rotations. Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Figure 2. Common rotations used in the central portion of the Pampas. 2 Seeded surface (Mha) 30 Fertilizer consumption (Mt) Soil organic carbon depletion (8, 12, 13), losses of nutrients due to negative balances (14), and soil erosion (15), are common degradation processes in the Pampas. Fertilizers use (Figure 3B) and no-till adoption (Figure 3C) widespread exponentially for counteracting these negative effects of agriculture and, also, for economic reasons. At the same time, genetic improvement determined potential yield increases (16, 17). The combination of all these effects lead to yield increased at field conditions that are, despite soil degradation, 2-3 fold greater than four decades ago (Figure 3D). The Pampas had been considered as one of the most suitable areas for grain crop production in the World because of its extension and yield potential (18), but concern has increased in the region of the possible effects of the agricultural expansion and soybean adoption on soil organic carbon due to its low residue input to the soil. A 25 20 Soybean 15 10 5 Wheat + corn + sunflower 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 4.0 B 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1970 2010 1980 2000 2010 D Average yield (kg ha-1) No-till surface (Mha) 2010 4000 C 80 60 40 20 3000 2000 1000 0 1970 2000 Year Year 100 1990 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year 1970 1980 1990 Year Figure 3. A. Seeded surface of grain crops in the Pampas. B. Overall fertilizer consumption. C. Cropped surface under no-till. D. Yield of the average rotation. Elaborated with data form (11). Cropping effects on soil carbon stocks Research on soil organic carbon focus on productivity and on carbon sequestration for mitigating the greenhouse effect (11, 20). Climate impacts net primary productivity and mineralization regulating carbon inputs and outputs from the soil (21, 22). Soil 3 organic carbon is greater under humid or cold climates than under arid or warm scenarios (22, 23). Texture, by affecting productivity (24) and mineralization (25), impacts organic carbon, leading to greater carbon content in fine particle soils (26, 27). Net primary productivity is greater in forests than in grasslands and these ecosystems have greater productivity than crops (28). Additionally, as in cultivated areas part of the biomass is harvested, carbon input to the soil is greater in natural than in cultivates systems (28, 29). The allocation of carbon into above- belowground biomass, and roots distribution in depth depend on vegetation type (30, 31). The combination of these factors determines that organic carbon is less stratified in grasslands than in forest (31) and in cropped soils than in natural ecosystems (22). Under cultivation a depletion of organic carbon content of surface soil usually occurs (32, 28), but recent studies also showed deep soil organic carbon reductions (33, 34). In arid regions inorganic carbonate accounts for more than 50% of total soil carbon (35, 36) and may be affected by management. Irrigation with carbonate-rich water can increase soil inorganic carbon (37) but tillage exposition of buried soil (38) or acidification due to fertilization (37) lead to inorganic carbon depletion. Between 1960 and 1980 an area of ca. 74 Mha, which included the Pampas, was surveyed (39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44). Around 2000 soil profiles with their corresponding influence area were described. Using a methodology previously used (4) soil information was integrated at county level. Profile data were modelled in depth and organic-inorganic carbon and textural properties estimated for fixed soil layers (45). The surveyed area had and organic carbon stock to 1 m depth of 5.73 Gt and an inorganic carbon stock of 3.65 Gt. Organic carbon represented in average 60 % of soil carbon with higher proportions (up to 100%) in the humid portion of the region and lower proportions (20%) in arid-semiarid areas. In the 0-25 cm soil layer around 50% of the organic carbon was sequestered. During 2007-2008 another soil survey, covering and area of 48 Mha along the Pampas, was performed sampling 386 soils under contrasting vegetation types and land uses (Figure 4) (46). Organic and inorganic carbon stocks were reported (Figure 5) and significant differences (P= 0.05) were detected between scenarios in organic carbon (tree soil > uncropped soil > cropped soil under the pasture phase of a mixed rotation = cropped soil under the agriculture phase of rotation or under continuous cultivation > flooded soil destined to grazing), but not in carbonate carbon. Approximately, 50% of organic carbon was sequestered in the upper 25 cm of soil profile and 90% of carbonate carbon below 50 cm depth under all vegetation typesland uses. As reported in other regions of the World soil organic carbon was higher in the Pampas under trees than in the other soils (33), possible because of greater carbon inputs of forests compared to other ecosystems (47). Dryland cultivation usually reduces ca. 30-50% organic carbon at surface (20-30 cm) (33, 48) by decreasing carbon inputs in comparison to natural ecosystems (49). In the Pampas crops carbon inputs are 30-70 % of grasslands inputs (50), leading to the organic carbon losses reported here between cropped and uncropped sites. Soil erosion is another factor that causes carbon losses in the Pampas (15). Rotation phase had only minimal impact on carbon stocks, as showed previously in local long-term field experiments (51, 52). In the Pampas net primary productivity is 35 % lower in flooded lands than in well drained soils (53), leading to low organic carbon stocks. 4 Figure 4. Map of the Pampean Region showing sites sampled in 2007-2008. SOC (t ha-1) 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 Depth (cm) a b c c d 25 a b c c d 50 a b b b c 75 a b b b b 100 SIC (t ha-1) 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 Depth (cm) 0 a ab a a a b a 25 a a a 50 a a a a a 75 a a a a a Pasture Cropped Flooded 100 Trees Uncropped Figure 5. Soil organic (SOC) and inorganic (SIC) carbon stocks to 1 m depth of pampean soils surveyed in 2007-2008 under different vegetation types and land uses (Trees= natural or planted trees, Uncropped= sites never cultivated under graminaceus vegetation, Pasture= cropped soils sampled during the pasture phase of a mixed rotation, Agriculture= cropped soil sampled during the agriculture phase of a mixed rotation or under continuous cultivation, Flooded= hidromorphic soils at foot slope positions devoted to grazing). Different letters for a soil layer indicate significant differences (P= 0.05). Elaborated with data from (46). 5 120 -1 Observed organic carbon (t ha ) An artificial neural network was fitted with good performance for soil organic carbon prediction by soil layer using as inputs vegetation type-land use, soil depth and texture, temperature and rainfall of the site (Figure 6) (54). The model showed that organic carbon increased with annual rainfall of the site and clay content of the soil layer considered and decreased with soil depth, mean temperature of the site and sand content of the soil layer. The network, joined to satellite image classification for assessing vegetation type-land use area at county scale, allowed the estimation of present soil organic carbon of the Pampas (55). For the area surveyed in 2007-2008 (48 Mha) organic carbon stock to 1 m depth was estimated as 4.22 Gt, similar to the 1960-1980 survey for the same area (Figure 7). Consequently, no depletion of the organic carbon stock was detected between both surveyed times. Comparing results for the 0-25 cm stratum, carbon stocks were 2.12 Gt in 1960-1980 and 1.93 Gt in 2007-2008, indicating a 9% decrease. Making comparison at county scale showed that in average areas with carbon stocks greater than 95 t ha-1 to 1 m depth loss carbon but below this threshold gains were more common (Figure 8). 100 80 60 y=x R2 = 0.642 40 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Estimated organic carbon (t ha-1) Figure 6. Artificial neural network model fitted to soil organic carbon contents in pampean soils. Full drops: training data set, empty drops: validation data set. Redraw from (54). Assuming that during the last century forest and flooded land surface remained unchanged in the Pampas and that cultivation expanded on natural grassland, a net flux of 230 Mt of carbon to the atmosphere was estimated using the neural network developed. This is equivalent to the fossil fuel consumption of 6 years in the region (56). Main carbon looses to 1 m depth were produced, apparently, before the 19601980 survey and the expansion of agriculture and soybean adoption. Cultivation had no impact on inorganic carbon, possibly as the consequence of the short cropping history of the region and its low fertilizer use. 6 SOC (t ha-1) 1960-1980 SOC (t ha-1) 2007-2008 4.12 Gt SIC (t ha-1) 1960-1980 4.22 Gt SOC (t ha-1) No data SIC (t ha-1) No data 1.87 Gt Figure 7. Soil organic (SOC) and inorganic (SIC) carbon stocks at county level to 1 m depth in the Pampas at two sampling times. Numbers under the maps indicated total carbon stock of the shaded are. Data from (55). 7 Organic carbon change (t ha-1 m-1) 100 10.0 10.0 8.8 12.4 75-95 95-115 7.0 50 0 -50 -100 35-55 55-75 115-180 Organic carbon 1960-1980 survey (t ha-1 m-1) Figure 8. Box plot of the soil organic carbon change to 1 m depth between 20072008 and 1960-1980, as a function of organic carbon in 1960-1980. Boxes were calculated with county carbon stocks showing 5, 25, 50, 75 and 95 percentiles. The numbers over the boxes are the area (Mha) summed of the counties aggregated in each box. Redrawn from (55). Carbon balance in cropped soils Long-term experiments are used for evaluating management effects on soil organic carbon (58, 59, 60) because its changes are slow and difficult to detect (57). The impact on soil carbon of practices not tested in these experiments can not be assessed and results can not be extrapolated to other regions or to the future (57). Process-based models attain these goals but their use is constrained when information for the parameterization-validation process is not available (61). Simple models, like Roth-C (62), need information on crop productivity and carbon input to the soil, meanwhile the use of sophisticated models like Centtury (63) that simulate these processes, is restricted by available information for parametrization-validation in developing countries. The carbon budget approach is another option for studying soil carbon dynamics in many ecosystems (64). Because carbon fluxes to or from the soil are much greater than soil carbon changes, increases or decreases can be determined by this approach in short time periods (65, 66). Variations from kilograms to tons per hectare can be detected in yearly periods (67, 68). Inputs-outputs of carbon to the soil are usually experimentally assessed under field conditions, but when carbon changes under scenarios from which there are no available data are of interested, empirical modelling of ecosystem carbon fluxes must be performed. Carbon budget has been estimated in some pampean experiments in which contrasting tillage systems and rotations were tested. Integration of data from these experiments indicated that temperature is a main controlling factor of soil heterotrophic respiration, which shows a strong seasonal variation (Figure 9). Tillage 8 C-CO2 emission (kg ha d ) -1 80 40 Semiarid Pampa -1 Humid Pampa -1 -1 C-CO2 emission (kg ha d ) system has no deep effect on annual respiration under both humid and semiarid climates, but carbon input to the soil is affected by tillage in some environments. Meanwhile under humid scenarios tillage management has no impact on soil water content and crops productivity (71, 73), under semiarid climate greater water content and productivity had been reported under no-till when compared to tillage management (74). Consequently, under no-till soil carbon budget turned to neutral in the Semiarid Pampas in comparison to tilled systems that loose carbon (Figure 10). Experiments conducted in the Humid Pampa showed that tillage systems do not affect soil carbon budget (50). 60 40 20 0 30 20 10 0 0 60 120 180 240 Julian day 300 360 0 60 120 180 240 300 360 Julian day Figure 9. A. Seasonal evolution of soil heterotrophic respiration in the humid and the semiarid portions of the Pampas under contrasting tillage treatments. Elaborated with data from (69, 15, 70, 74, 72) for Humid Pampa and (74) for Semiarid Pampa. Full drops: tilled treatments, empty drops: no-till. Crops carbon inputs to the soil in straw and roots had been evaluated in numerous experiments (n= 113) in the central humid portion of the Pampas (75). The results, linked to data from experiments in which heterotrophic respiration was assessed, allowed the development of methods for soil carbon budget estimation (75). Artificial neural networks were generated for predicting soil microbial CO2-C emission and carbon inputs from crops (Figure 11). Daily C-CO2 flux could be estimated using as inputs the organic carbon mass in the 0-50 cm soil layer, temperature at –10 cm and water content in the upper 30 cm of the profile. Microbial respiration increased with soil carbon content and was positively affected by temperature, water content, and their interaction. Crop carbon inputs could be predicted using as inputs crop species, yield and rainfall during the growing cycle. Carbon inputs were linearly related with yield but with great scatter of data, especially in wheat and soybean, because harvest index variations. These variations were controlled by the yield x rainfall interaction. 9 Humid Pampa CO2 No-till -1.9 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 Crop C 7.1 CO2 Tilled - 0.78 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 9.0 Soil C Crop C 7.1 7.9 Soil C Semiarid Pampa CO2 No-till 0.0 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 Crop C CO2 Tilled - 1.3 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 4.0 4.0 Soil C Crop C 3.0 4.3 Soil C Figure 10. Carbon flows in the Humid and Semiarid Pampas under different tillage systems. Numbers under tillage system indicate annual soil carbon balance. Numbers on the arrows indicate annual carbon fluxes (t ha -1 yr-1). Elaborated with data from (71) for the Humid Pampa and (74) for the Semiarid Pampa. 12 y =x 2 R = 0.83 C input observed (t ha-1) CO2-C observed (kg ha-1 d-1) 80 60 40 20 A 20 40 60 CO2-C estimated (kg ha-1 d-1) 9 6 4 3 B 0 0 y= x 2 R = 0.84 80 0 0 3 6 9 12 -1 C input estimated (t ha ) Figure 11. A. Observed vs. estimated soil heterotrophic respiration in the Pampas using an artificial neural network. B. Observed vs. estimated carbon inputs from main pampean crops to the soil using an artificial neural network. Full drops: training data set, empty drops: validation data set. Redrawn from (75). 10 Soil carbon budget was calculated for a typical soil of the central portion of the Humid Pampa and two different time periods as a function of soil organic carbon content and the most common rotations implemented (Figure 12). Carbon budget was negative in medium to high carbon soils but positive in low carbon soils; consequence of greater mineralization in reach carbon profiles. In the period 20032006 carbon budget was less negative than in 1973-1976, despite the adoption of soybean as the principal component of rotations and its low carbon inputs (Figure 13). This result was the consequence of yield increases (Figure 14A) and higher biomass production in the Pampas (Figure 14B). Soil carbon trend in the future was estimated assuming that yield gain rate and plant crop structure will remain constant (Figure 152). A decrease of soil carbon was estimated for the next decades if soybean proportion in rotations is maintained (more than 50%), but a recuperation of carbon levels due to increased inputs from residues was estimated by the middle of the century. Soil carbon balance (t C ha-1 yr-1) 6 1973-1976 4 2003-2006 2 0 -2 -4 -6 50 55 60 65 70 -1 Organic carbon 0-50 cm (t ha ) Figure 12. Estimated soil carbon balance as a function of the initial soil organic carbon level during two different time periods in the Humid Pampa . Elaborated with data from (75). 11 8 B A Crop C input (t ha-1) Soybean proportion in rotation 100 80 60 40 20 0 6 4 2 0 1973-76 2003-06 Corn Time period Wheat Soybean Crop Figure 13. A. Evolution of soybean proportion in rotations used in the Humid Pampa. Redrawn from (76). B. Average carbon inputs (straw + roots) from crops to the soil determined in 113 field experiments performed between 1997 and 2006. Data from (75). 8 C-C-C-W W/S-C-S-S-S 4000 2000 A 0 Rotation C input (t ha-1 a-1) Rotation yield (kg ha-1 yr-1) 6000 Natural ecosystem C input 6 4 2 0 1973-76 2003-06 Time period B 1973-76 2003-06 Time period Figure 14. A. Yield evolution of rotation in the central portion of the Humid Pampa. Elaborated with data from (11). B. Most common rotation carbon inputs in the central portion of the Humid Pampa. Data from (75). C= corn, W= wheat and S= soybean, W/S= one year double crop wheat/soybean. Natural ecosystem carbon input was estimated using a climatic model for net primary productivity estimation and assuming that 90 % of photosynthetically fixed carbon became as input to the soil (77). 12 Soil organic C 0-30 cm (t ha-1) 100 Natural ecosystem 80 60 Cropped soil 40 20 0 0 2010 20 2020 40 60 2040 2060 Year 80 2080 100 2100 Figure 15. Future soil organic carbon evolution in the central portion of the Humid Pampa estimated using the neural networks models from Figure 11 for a double crop wheat/soybean-corn-soybean-soybean-soybean rotation. Natural ecosystem carbon level was determined by sampling 10 uncropped sites. Future yield gains of crops were estimated (averaged of the last four decades) as 35, 41 and 112 kg ha-1 yr-1 for wheat, soybean and corn respectively. The Pampas has great potential for carbon sequestration because of its high net primary productivity (78). Using NDVI, it had been estimated that the region lost 24 Mt of the net primary productivity during a 23 years period due to soil degradation (79). These losses were not produced by the introduction of soybean in rotations; the substitution of pastures by crops (11) seems a more probable cause. Potential soil organic carbon increase and global warming mitigation arises from cropland conversion from tilled systems to no-till (80, 81, 82). A meta-analysis of results from 17 pampeam experiments, in which different tillage systems were contrasted (83) (Figure 16), showed that no-till adoption produced an increase of organic carbon in the previously tilled soil layer (Figure 17A). The carbon increase was not associated to time since no-till initiation, climate, soil texture or rotation. As a mean, carbon increase was ca. 2.8 t ha-1, which accounted for 5% change in high carbon soils and up to 15% in low carbon soils (Figures 17B). 13 Figure 16. Map of the Pampas showing tillage experiments location. A -1 C change under no-till(t ha ) Mean change: 2.8 t C ha -1 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 -5 20 B 15 10 5 0 Years -10 15 C change under no-till (%) 20 20 0 20 40 60 80 100 -1 Tillage C (t ha ) Figure 17. A. Change of organic carbon stock (no-till carbon – tilled soil carbon) in the upper 20-25 cm of the soil in 17 pampean field experiments. B. Average carbon change (0-20 cm) in pampean soils as a function of carbon level under tilled management. Data are presented in an equivalent mass basis. Redrawn from (82). Carbon sequestration rate under no-till is usually an S-shape process as a function of time, reaching steady state after 15-25 years from initiation (84; 82). Average rates of no-till gains ranged from ca. 300 to 500 kg C ha -1 yr-1 (85; 82), with an overall sequestration potential from ca. 3 to 12 t C ha-1 (84, 86, 85). 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