1st Draft Pre - Feasibility Study MUSHROOM PRODUCTION AND PROCESSING PAKISTAN AGRICULTURE RESEARCH COUNCIL ISLAMABAD MINISTRY OF NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY AND RESEARCH Government of Pakistan www.parc.gov.pk January 2014 1 Contents 1. DISCLAIMER ...................................................................................................................................... 1 2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ...................................................................................................... 2 3. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME ......................................................................................................... 2 5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................. 2 6. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT ................................................................................................ 3 7. CRITICAL FACTORS ......................................................................................................................... 4 8. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKET ...................................................................................................... 4 9. PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW ...................................................................................................... 4 10. PROJECT COST SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... 5 11.1: Project Economics ........................................................................................................................... 5 11.2: Project Financing ............................................................................................................................. 6 11.3: Project Cost ...................................................................................................................................... 6 11.4: Space Requirement .......................................................................................................................... 6 11.5: Machinery and Equipment ............................................................................................................... 6 11.6: Raw Material Requirements ............................................................................................................ 7 11.7: Revenue Generation ......................................................................................................................... 7 11.8: Human Resource Requirement ........................................................................................................ 8 13. CONTACTS – SUPPLIERS, EXPERTS / CONSULTANTS ........................................................... 8 14. ANNEXURES .................................................................................................................................... 9 15: KEY ASSUMPTIONS ..................................................................................................................... 11 i List of Table Table 1. Project Economics ……………………………………………………………...............5 Table 2. Project Financing……………………………………………………………………….6 Table 3. Capital Investment for the Project……………………………………………………....6 Table 4. Land Requirement………………………………………………………………………6 Table 5. List of machinery and equipment……………………………………………………….7 Table 6. Cost of Raw Material……………………………………………………………………7 Table 7. Revenue of the Project………………………………………………………...................7 Table 8. Human Resource Requirement…………………………………………………………..8 List of Annexure Annexure 1. Income statement…………………………………………………………………11 Annexure 2. Cash flow statement……………………………………………………………....12 ii 1. DISCLAIMER This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general idea and information on the subject. Although, the material included in this document is based on data / information generated from experiments and field testing by a team of relevant scientists; however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The contained information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ accordingly from the presented information. The PARC and its employees do not assume any liability for any financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of undertaking this activity. The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to contact qualified consultant/technical expert, especially designated focal person(s) of this enterprise for reaching to an informed decision. 1 2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT The objective of the pre-feasibility study is primarily to facilitate potential entrepreneurs in project identification for investment. The project pre-feasibility may form the basis of an important investment decision and in order to serve this objective, the document covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up, and production, marketing, finance and business management. The document also provides sectoral information, brief on government policies and international scenario, which have some bearing on the project itself. The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in Mushroom Production and Processing by providing them a holistic as well as a micro view of business with the hope that such information as provided herein will help the potential investors in crucial investment decisions. The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports for undocumented or minimally documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research that precedes such reports reveal certain thumbs of rules; best practices developed by existing enterprises by trial and error, and certain industrial norms that become a guiding source regarding various aspects of business set-up and it’s successful management. Mushroom production could give employee and business investment opportunities for youth and mid-age people in rural area. Mushroom production can be managed by people who have lower level education in rural area. They may need short time training on mushroom production. 3. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME Prime Minister’s Youth Business Loan Program, for young entrepreneurs, with an allocated budget of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide subsidized financing at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand (100,000) beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions, initially through National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL). Loans from Rs. 0.1 million to Rs. 2.0 million with tenure up to 8 years inclusive of 1 year grace period, and a debt: equity of 90: 10 will be disbursed to SME beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). 4. EXECUTIVE SUMMERY Mushrooms are gradually becoming popular as they are rich in protein, minerals and vitamins and very low n fat and sugar. Fresh mushrooms have very limited life and hence they need to be consumed within few hours. But processing and canning increases their shelf life to few months. It is also known to have medicinal values and certain varieties of mushrooms can inhibit growth of cancerous tumor. The productivity of mushroom is higher than any crop. Food, nutritional and medicinal values apart, mushroom growing can be efficient means of waste disposal (agricultural, industrial and forest wastes), since it can use the wastes as medium of growth. Hence, it could be considered as eco-friendly. In Pakistan only three types, namely, button, oyster and straw mushrooms are commercially cultivated. Further, mushroom growing is highly labor intensive and requirement of land is comparatively low. 2 Market for mushrooms is growing rapidly in Pakistan because of their nice aroma, nutritious values, subtle flavor and special taste. Many exotic food preparations like soup, vegetables, pickles etc. are made from them. They are also used for garnishing, to prepare many varieties of gravy and for stuffing several food preparations. But they are still considered as up-market product and their consumption is limited to urban and semi urban areas. Fresh mushrooms have very limited shelf life but processed and canned mushrooms have fairly long shelf life and can be sold even at far off places, Star hotels and exclusive restaurants. The product can be sold even through departmental stores, super markets etc. In Pakistan the biggest mushroom supplier markets are Islamabad, Lahore and Karachi. Total cost estimate is Rs.1.9 million, with fixed investment of Rs. 0.6 million and working capital amounting to Rs. 0.9 million. Given the cost assumptions, Net Present value (NPV) Rs.1, 1756,876, Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 66%, Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) 2.4 and payback period are 1.5 years. 5. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT AND PRODUCT Following key parameters must be addressed as per pre-feasibility study: • Techniques: mushroom is indoor cultivated crop because it has no chlorophyll and there is no photosynthesis. It is grown on agricultural and industrial wastes with the little amendments of gypsum and limes. • Location: The business can be initiated in cold areas especially northern hilly areas of Pakistan like Kashmir Gilgit Swat Kaghan and Muree/ galiyat. Temperature range should be between 15-25 oC. • Product: mushroom consumption is increasing in Pakistan due to changing food habits and special preferences for high quality protein. Mushrooms are growing rapidly in Pakistan because of their nice aroma, nutritious values, subtle flavour and special taste. Many exotic food preparations like soup, vegetables, pickles etc. are made from them. They are also used for garnishing, to prepare many varieties of gravy and for stuffing several food preparations. • Target Market: In addition to major cities, such as Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad, there is an enormous export potential for Middle Eastern countries. • Employment Generation: The proposed project will provide direct employment to three individuals. Financial analysis shows the profitability of proposed business within first year of its operation. 3 6. CRITICAL FACTOR Mushroom production is planned under natural conditions. One important factor is prevailing climatic condition (cold climate) in the area where the mushroom farm will be established economically. The different mushroom that can be cultivated artificially have different temperature requirement for mycelal growing and fruiting. To obtain the good quality mushroom light, temperature, and humidity must be carefully controlled. Another critical factor is the location of the mushroom farm, one should consider the distance between the farm and the place where the substrate will be obtained, the greater the distance the higher will be the cost of transporting and hence higher the cost of production. Success of mushroom farming depends on the availability of markets. Skilled workers are required for post harvest handling, drying and packing of the mushroom prior to market. 7. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS The marketing of mushroom follows the traditional distribution channel, through middlemen or wholesalers at farm who identifies potential buyers and negotiate price, or directly to retailers in urban markets. The time and cost spent in transportation, from farm to the retail shop, varies from area to area. The key factors in marketing are availability of current market information, quality of mushroom and supply & demand which will determine the selling price. The overall production cycle for the mushroom farming comprises of 5 months under natural condition. Where as an additional crop of 5 month can be obtained under artificially controlled conditions. Fresh mushroom is marketed in the super store of Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad. The surplus produce is dried and canned which is marketed to hotels, restaurants and bakers. The potential targeted markets for the mushroom are the cold areas especially northern hilly areas of Pakistan like Kashmir Gilgit Swat Kaghan and Muree/ galiyat. 8. PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW The important channels of mushroom marketing in the area are: (1) Mushroom grower Wholesaler/Commission agent → Retailer→ Consumer, (2) Mushroom grower →Wholesaler/Commission agent → Consumer, (3) Mushroom grower→ Retailer→ Consumer, and (4) Mushroom grower→ Consumer. Following production process is generally followed: 4 Mushroom production and processing Spawn production Compose preparation Growing Mushroom Packaging Labeling Transporting Marketing 9. PROJECT COST AND BENEFIT SUMMARY A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of mushroom Production and processing under the ‘Prime Minister’s Youth Business Loan’ program. Various cost and revenue related assumptions along with results of the analysis are outlined in this section. 9.1 Project Economics All the figures in this financial model have been calculated for mushroom production of 400 sq ft room with an annual production of 200 tins of mushroom per day. The following table shows internal rate of return of mushroom. Table 1. Project Economics Description Detail Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 66% Pay back period (years) 1.5 Net present value (NPV) 1,17568,76 Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) 2.4 Returns on the scheme and its profitability are highly dependent on quality of mushroom, suitable location, good farming practices and availability of trained staff. The project will not be able to cover the potential demand of consumers and recover payments, if these factors are not efficiently managed and will also lead to increased operating cost. 5 Similarly, good quality spawn and choosing best suitable location will yield more profit in this business. 9.2 Project Financing Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank loan; Table 2. Project financing Description Detail Total equity (10%) Rs. 195620 Bank loan (90%) Rs. 1760850 Mark up to the borrowers (%/annum) 8% Tenure of loan (year) 08 Grace period (year) 01 9.3 Project Cost Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business. Table 3. Capital Investment for the Project Capital investment Amount(Rs.) Racks 450000 Vehicale 50000 Mechienary and equipment 56100 Total capital cost 556100 Initial working capital 735500 Total project cost 1291600 9.4 Space Requirement Basically mushroom production can be done vertically. A space of 3000 sq/ft area is required for mushroom shed. Its production is done by making shelves in the room. The shed space will be taken on the rental/lease basis. The rent is paid in advance for the one year. The rent of the room varies area to area and location to location. Table 4: Land Requirement Area Required Mushroom farm Total Rent Area(Sq.ft) 3000 Monthly Rent Charges(Rs.) 2,500 Yearly Rent(Rs.) 30000 30000 9.5 Machinery and Equipment Following table provides list of machinery and equipment required for production and packaging of mushroom. 6 Table 5. List of Machinery and Equipment Description Quantity Cost Rs /unit 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 6000 3000 400 1000 2000 3500 - Spray pump Humidity sensor Temperature sensor Electric paking gun Tool kit Weight machine Total 9.6 Raw Material Requirements Table 6: Cost of Raw Material Description Unit Wheat straw Poultry manure Spawn Gypsum Urea Polythin bag Rubber band Peet moss Thermopol paking Glint sheet Sticker Lime Pesticide Total (Rs) Ton Ton Kg Kg Bags Kg Kg Kg No No Bags Liter Total Rs 6000 3000 400 1000 2000 7000 19400 Quantity Rate Rs. Total 40 20 400 1200 2 200 3 10 3000 10 30000 15 10 - 7000 1800 600 8 1800 220 600 8000 2 500 0.5 300 1000 - 280000 36000 240000 9600 3600 44000 1800 80000 6000 5000 15000 4500 10000 735500 9.7 Revenue Generation Total expected mushroom crop on 3000sqft farm would be 6 ton that is 6000kg approximately. The marketing price of the mushroom is 400 Rs per Kg which is the minimum rate. The total revenue of the expected crop would be 2400000 Rs on first year. Table 7. Revenue of the Project Expected Mushroom crop Expected crop Year 1 6000 kg price 400 Sale income 2400000 9.8 Human Resource Requirement The table below provides details of human resource required to manage basic mushroom farm. The staff salaries are estimated according to the market trends. However, these requirements and pay scales may vary area to area. 7 Table 8. Human Resource Requirement Description No. of Employees Labors Sales man Total 2 1 Salary/person/ month 10000 10000 Total salary per year 20,000 10,000 30,000 10. CONTACTS – SUPPLIERS, EXPERTS / CONSULTANTS Dr. Sheikh Muhammad Iqbal PATCO Manager Ph: 051-8443211 E-mail. Iqbalsh65@hotmail.com 8 ANNEXURE 1 INCOME STATEMENT Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2,400,000 2,640,000 2,904,000 3,194,400 3,513,840 3,865,224 4,251,746 4,676,921 5,144,613 5,659,074 4,500 4,725 4,961 5,209 5,470 5,743 6,030 6,332 6,649 6,981 15,000 15,750 16,538 17,364 18,233 19,144 20,101 21,107 22,162 23,270 10,000 10,500 11,025 11,576 12,155 12,763 13,401 14,071 14,775 15,513 5,000 5,250 5,513 5,788 6,078 6,381 6,700 7,036 7,387 7,757 360,000 378,000 396,900 416,745 437,582 459,461 482,434 506,556 531,884 558,478 280,000 294,000 308,700 324,135 340,342 357,359 375,227 393,988 413,688 434,372 36,000 37,800 39,690 41,675 43,758 45,946 48,243 50,656 53,188 55,848 240,000 252,000 264,600 277,830 291,722 306,308 321,623 337,704 354,589 372,319 9,600 10,080 10,584 11,113 11,669 12,252 12,865 13,508 14,184 14,893 44,000 46,200 48,510 50,936 53,482 56,156 58,964 61,912 65,008 68,258 1,800 1,890 1,985 2,084 2,188 2,297 2,412 2,533 2,659 2,792 80,000 84,000 88,200 92,610 97,241 102,103 107,208 112,568 118,196 124,106 6,000 6,300 6,615 6,946 7,293 7,658 8,041 8,443 8,865 9,308 1,091,900 1,110,270 1,165,784 1,224,073 1,285,276 1,349,540 1,417,017 1,487,868 1,562,261 1,640,374 1,308,100 1,529,730 1,738,217 1,970,327 2,228,564 2,515,684 2,834,729 3,189,053 3,582,352 4,018,700 30,000 33,000 36,300 39,930 43,923 48,315 53,147 58,462 64,308 70,738 66,000 72,600 79,860 87,846 96,631 106,294 116,923 128,615 141,477 155,625 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 140,846 140,846 125,061 108,014 89,602 69,717 48,242 25,049 - - 292,456 302,056 296,831 291,400 285,766 279,936 273,922 267,736 261,395 281,973 1,015,644 1,227,674 1,441,385 1,678,928 1,942,798 2,235,747 2,560,807 2,921,317 3,320,957 3,736,727 78,988 105,467 137,367 181,277 233,819 292,166 359,279 449,071 548,629 652,202 936,656 1,122,206 1,304,018 1,497,651 1,708,979 1,943,581 2,201,529 2,472,246 2,772,328 3,084,525 lime Sticker Pesticide glint sheet Labour chaff wheat straw poultry manure spawn Gypsum polythin bags rubber band peet moss fresh paking thrmopol paking Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Rent Utilities Depreciation Interest on Loan Sub - Total Operating Income Tax Net Income 9 CASH FLOW STATEMENT Year 0 Net Income 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 936,656 1,122,206 1,304,018 1,497,651 1,708,979 1,943,581 2,201,529 2,472,246 2,772,328 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 55,610 (80,905) (88,996) (97,895) (107,685) (118,453) (130,298) (143,328) (157,661) (173,427) 78,988 105,467 137,367 181,277 233,819 292,166 359,279 449,071 548,629 1,399,100 1,626,853 1,879,955 2,161,059 2,473,089 2,819,266 3,203,140 125,061 108,014 89,602 69,717 48,242 25,049 1,274,039 1,518,840 1,790,353 2,091,342 2,424,847 2,794,218 3,203,140 213,097 230,145 248,557 268,441 289,917 313,110 - 213,097 230,145 248,557 268,441 289,917 313,110 - - - - - - - 1,487,136 1,748,985 2,038,910 2,359,783 2,714,764 3,107,328 3,203,140 Depreciation Net Inventory (735,500) Tax Cash from Operations Inflow / Outflow (A:G) (735,500) Interest on Loan Net Cash from Operations Inflow / Outflow (I - J) Owners Equity (735,500) 1,053,442 793,892 - 195,620 - 197,312 1,760,580 Cash from Financing Inflow / Outflow (L+M) Cash from Investment 1,956,200 racks for mushroom with 4 shelve (450,000) plastic pipe (3,200) drumwith cover (5,000) rent for building for farm (30,000) Net Cash from Investing Activities 140,846 140,846 Principal Amount Long Term Loan 1,194,288 934,739 (488,200) 197,312 - - - - Net Cash Inflow / Outflow (K+N+Q) 732,500 793,892 Opening Balance - 732,500 1,526,392 2,777,146 4,264,282 6,013,267 8,052,177 10,411,960 13,126,724 16,234,052 Closing Balance 732,500 1,526,392 2,777,146 4,264,282 6,013,267 8,052,177 10,411,960 13,126,724 16,234,052 19,437,192 1,250,754 10 11. Key Assumption Particulars Assumption Sales Price Growth Rate 5% per year Increase in cost of raw material 10% per year Increase in utilities 10% per year Debt/Equity Ratio 90:10 Building 15% Machinery 15% Loan Period 8 years Grace Period 1 year Loan installments Financial charges (interest rate) Annually 8% 11