Attila Odabasi AD 469 Valuation 2014-15_2 AD 469 Security Analysis Boğaziçi University Instructor: Office: Phone: E-mail: Web: Meetings: Office Hours: Attila Odabaşı IB 403; 212-359 6806 odabasi@boun.edu.tr http://odabasi.boun.edu.tr ThThTh 678; Local: IB 201 Tuesday and Wednesday 14:00-15:00, or by appointment Course Description: Security Analysis exposes students to applied equity valuat ion techniques employed by finance professionals. Valuing a firm’s stock is a difficult task that requires a variety of macroeconomic, industry, and company-specific forecasts. The valuation process is rarely black and white. Two individuals may reach completely different conclusions from the same information. While there is no such thing as a “good” or “bad” assumption, some are clearly more supported than others. You will not become an expert in one semester. Our primary goal for the course is to cultivate a solid understanding of basic valuation techniques and develop an aptitude for analyzing the primary drivers of a company’s value. Course Objective: You should leave the course with the knowledge of how to apply several valuation models, and an ability to comprehend investment recommendations. Required Material: The lecture presentations will follow the material in the following book: Aswath Damadoran, Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset, 3nd Ed., 2012, John Wiley. Damodaran’s web page: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/ The syllabus, lecture notes, etc., will be posted on the course web page. You are expected to visit the web page regularly: http://odabasi.boun.edu.tr. Term Project: The term project is basically about company valuation. Each student will prepare a valuation report of one company from Borsa Istanbul (BIST). Your valuation report for the company will include a section about the industry that the company /1 Attila Odabasi AD 469 Valuation 2014-15_2 operates in as well. The format for the valuation report will be discussed in class. A hard copy of the report will be submitted to the instructor at the end of the term. The suggested length for the report is 10-15 pages, excluding exhibits. You will present your analyses and recommendations to the rest of the class at the end of the semester. Once you select a stock, you are expected to monitor that company and its industry in the media, and should be prepared each week to report to the class (verbally) any major development that might affect the company’s stock. Grading Basis and Course Policies (Tentative): Midterm: Final Exam: Term Project: Class Participation and Attendance: 30% 30% 30% 10% You are expected to attend class regularly and be an active team player in class. Read any material assigned for the lectures in advance. Lecture slides will be made available on the website but they can sometimes be posted after the class. Late assignments will be punished with discounted grades. No make-up exam will be given for the midterm unless there is a force-majeure. Then you should inform me before the exam. NO early final exam will be given in any case. Project Ethics: With regard to ethical conduct, it is my sincere hope that no student in this class submits a work which is not his or her own. If I determine that any assignment is not written solely by the student whose name appears on the project, a grade of zero will be assigned for the project. In all likelihood, receiving a “0” on the project will result in an “F” for the course. The project required for this course involves extensive economic, industry, and company research. It is unlikely that one could write a quality research report without extensively utilizing a vast array of research materials. Therefore, students are free to use any available research source provided they properly cite their sources in the research document. Ignorance of source citation rules is no excuse for plagiarism. Students caught plagiarizing will be harshly penalized. /2 Attila Odabasi AD 469 Valuation 2014-15_2 Course Outline (Tentative): Topic Week Topics Introduction 1 DCF Valuation: Estimating Parameters 2-5 DCF Valuation: Valuation Examples 6 Relative Valuation Valuing Private Firms 7-8 9-10 Value Enhancement Strategies 11 Review 12 Syllabus for class Project Description Introduction to Valuation DCF Valuation:Estimating Parameters, Estimating a risk free rate Equity risk premiums Country risk Market risk – Beta Earnings and cash flows The process of converting operating lease commitments to debt The process of converting R&D expenses to capital expenses Growth rates Terminal Value Chapters in Investment Val, 3/e. 1–2 7 – 12 DCF Valuation Valuation Examples: DDM, FCFF, FCFE models Relative Valuation Valuing Financial, Startup, Private Firms, etc. 13- 16, 21 – 23 Value Enhancement Strategies Review 31 – 32 17 – 20 21 - 24 /3