Activating the unemployed: directions and divisions in Europe Paper prepared for the International Symposium “Reforming Unemployment Policy in Europe” Hamburg, May 15-16 2009 Patrizia Aurich Centre for Globalisation and Governance University of Hamburg Institute for Sociology Allende-Platz 1 20146 Hamburg Patrizia.Aurich@uni-hamburg.de 0 Abstract: One continuously debated aspect on reforming the welfare state has been the idea that policies towards the unemployed play a crucial role in activating hidden potential on the supply side of labour. Accordingly, unemployment policy has undergone major reforms in several countries since the beginning of the 1990s. Activation has become a key term for an overall description of these developments, but considerable differences in relation to content and target groups of such activation are apparent. This paper aims to contribute to an understanding of what “activating the unemployed” means in different welfare state contexts. It analyses developments for three European countries: Denmark, Germany and the United Kingdom. A multi-dimensional conception of activation based on individual action construction, on the one hand, and provision of active support, on the other, allows for distinguishing different models of activating unemployment policy. Changes are traced for programmes of unemployment insurance and social assistance over the last 15 years, comparing policies for insiders with policies for outsiders of the labour market at different points of time. It is argued that symbolic convergence towards a paradigm of activation is contrasted by different ways of ascribing responsibility for managing the risk of unemployment. The comparison of two allegedly ideal-typical schemes of activation (UK, DK) with recent reforms in Germany questions assumptions about different types of activation while making us more cautious for differences not only between, but also within countries. 1. Introduction The focus in the fight against unemployment changed in the 1990s towards questions of labour supply (OECD 1994). Continuously high unemployment rates since the 1970s supported the view that unemployment had become structural showing major divisions within the labour force (Clasen und van Oorschot 2002). Accordingly, efforts have been taken to reconstruct the labour force: since reducing the labour force through leave schemes or early retirement proved costly and inefficient (Streeck und Heinze 1999), institutional changes towards an activation of the labour force trying to reintegrate the unemployed into the labour market became the main goal. The latter concept has been promoted by a number of supra-national actors (EC 2001; OECD 1994) and informed reforms in a number of different welfare states. It has been argued, however, that this convergence was symbolical, in the sense of a similar terminology, and that policies remain distinct (Serrano Pascual 2007), resembling a type of “divergent convergence” (Hinrichs 2001; Seeleib-Kaiser 2001; Visser 2003). This paper intends to add to the debate in arguing for a differentiated view on activation. On the one hand, I argue that previous comparative analyses of reform in unemployment policy have tended to focus on indicators emphasising either convergence or divergence thereby excluding the possibility that both reform dynamics can coexist (Barbier und Ludwig-Mayerhofer 2004; Hvinden 2003; Serrano Pascual 2007). Secondly, the paper shows considerable potential for a deeper understanding of activation through applying a contextual view on policy change. It is argued that the content of activation differs not just across, but also within countries and that overall programmatic features should be taken into account. These differences become increasingly relevant if we consider the relevance of shifting and constructing target groups in order to avoid blaming (Pierson 1994). The framework suggested here allows analysing change in relation to programmes, countries and target groups. 2. Accounting for policy change: divergent convergence? With rising pressures on welfare states ideas of convergence gained in popularity (Gilbert 2002), yet have proven difficult of being substantiated (Esping-Andersen 1996; Scharpf und Schmidt 2000). While the concept of “divergent convergence” seems to be appropriate, degree and causes of such convergence are still disputed. Convergence usually means the reduction of difference over time (Knill 2005). Divergent convergence, however, implies changes in diversity with a common reference point 1 (Kitschelt 1999: 443). So as O’Connor pointed out, the most important question to be answered is the question of what we expect to have been converging and under what reference (O'Connor 2007: 221). This means that before time enters the equation, we need to take a very close look at the social phenomenon in question: on what grounds are we supposing change and what indicator is related to these? Defining activation is not an easy task: firstly, it is not as new as sometimes advertised, since active labour market policies, such as job search assistance, training schemes, subsidised employment and mobility grants (Eichhorst, et al. 2008b: 6), have long standing traditions in some countries (for Sweden: Köhler, et al. 2008). Secondly, it feeds from very different ideological positions (Serrano Pascual und Crespo Suárez 2005). However, taking the perspective of recalibrating reforms, a term coined by Paul Pierson for the adaptation of existing programmes towards new goals (Pierson 2001), it can be assumed on a very general level that, every type of activation policy aims at increasing activity levels among the unemployed. A comparative study of activation should therefore analyse how this goal is pursued differently in different cases, be it nations, programmes or target groups. Taking this common reference point just as starting point for comparison, from which the scope for more detailed policy responses needs to be developed, also avoids the problem of recalibration as a catch-all term comprising many different directions of reform, as has been critically remarked by Jørgen Goul Andersen (Andersen 2007: 4). While the chosen concept determines what we are looking for in terms of our understanding of welfare, the indicators used to measure a concept determine what kind of variety we may find (the so called “dependent variable problem” (Clasen und Siegel 2007; Kühner 2007)). In this regard, it has been controversial, which levels of policy implementation to consider (Andersen 2007). Jørgen Goul Andersen distinguishes 5 levels of policy change: paradigms and discourse, institutions, policy, expenditure and outcomes, all of which I believe can be linked to different stages of the policy process (see figure 1): discourses and paradigms frame the development of policies, institutions and policies represent the actual design of welfare in the legislative output, while expenditure and outcomes represent application and effects of policies. These phases are of course not easily disentangled and policy-making seldom proceeds in such tidy order. However, their distinction is of heuristic value (see similarly: Sabatier 2007) and it is important to state explicitly the focus of research. Figure 1: The process of policy-making. 2 Formal institutional level Social level Input Throughput Policy aims and goals Implementation through law and administrative personnel Social actors: primary, collective. Interests Culture Output • Institutionally shaped logic of the situation • Restructuring of functional relationships Outcome: effects on social order, social practices, functional relationships etc. Social relations Source: Own depiction based on Jann und Wegrich 2003. It seems that the most manifest point of institutional reform is the legislative output (see similarly: Green-Pedersen 2004). The practical output of policies, such as participants stocks or expenditure, is influenced by a number of variables not directly related to the policy process or its goals (Clasen und Clegg 2007). More analytical rigour can be applied in analysing only one level of implementation at a time asking: how have goals been translated into policies? In the following I will therefore focus on the level of legislative policy strategies. In part three, I will analyse the new policy agenda in terms of its common reference point and present the overall framework for comparison, before presenting results of the country comparison in part four. 3. Symbolic convergence vs. institutional output: what indicators? The “activation paradigm” (Serrano Pascual 2007), which frames reforms towards activation, is based on an awareness of ambiguous effects of welfare in the sense that policy instruments aimed at facilitating inclusion might at the same time produce exclusion. Developed at first in order to ease the risks of the workforce in an industrialised economy (Achinger 1971; Wilensky und Lebeaux 1965), the welfare state used to ensure that groups on the fringes of society had the means to lead a decent life. While inclusion has never been wholly unconditional (Clasen und Clegg 2007), but 3 rather a determinant of social appreciation (Lessenich 2008), the main focus of debates has been on economic support and vertical aspects of inclusion (Lahusen und Stark 2003), for example in terms of a gap to be preserved between transfers and wages. Only recently have horizontal aspects of social exclusion come into focus (see also: Luhmann 1994; Mohr 2007; Percy-Smith 2000) culminating in the view that inclusion through welfare benefits may contribute to the deprivation of other aspects of social life, such as the labour market (for example: Giddens 1998: 113).1 In this regard a central instrument of welfare policy, the de-commodification of the workforce (Esping-Andersen 1990), is called into question. It has been argued that so called “rest areas” set up by the welfare state (Streeck 1998) have reduced economic pressure and consequently the incentive to work (Layard und Nickell 1998; Sinn 2002; Streeck und Heinze 1999). The activation paradigm therefore contends that measures to achieve inclusion via paying benefits need to be complemented by efforts to bring individuals into work and that this to a certain degree requires an activation of individual capacities by reducing disincentives. Jepsen and Serrano-Pascual found that supra-national policy-making via the European Employment Strategy is very much a compromise between these two goals (Jepsen und Serrano-Pascual 2006). However, since these are two goals with no obvious hierarchy among them, it is unlikely that they will translate into one coherent strategy (see also: Serrano Pascual 2007). Rather the opposite is to be expected: depending on the relative preference on one of these goals, strategies may differ in terms of output. 3.1 Separating the dimensions A common feature in research on activation has been the analysis of differences between empirically observable national policy sets. At first, in a rather static perspective, opposing poles of activation such as “enabling” and “workfare” (Jensen 1999) or “defensive” and “offensive” (Torfing 1999) were distinguished. These distinctions were found to correspond to two main ideological positions: the neo-liberal view, on the one hand, purporting that unemployed people are rationally deciding not to work and therefore need stronger economic incentives to do so, and the egalitarian, This is a topic prominently covered by works on cultural dependency and “crowding-out”-effects of social policy: while some assume that the poor receiving welfare develop a certain culture of a life without work (Murray 1984), theorists of the “crowding-out”-hypothesis assume negative effects of social policy on selfhelp and the use of social capital in order to overcome needy situations (de Swaan 1988). 1 4 universal view emphasising the need of unemployed individuals for enabling support (Barbier und Ludwig-Mayerhofer 2004; Serrano Pascual 2007: 287). While some see these views ideal-typically represented by two countries (the UK and Denmark respectively, see: Barbier 2005), it can also be argued that most existing activation policies combine aspects of both of these types (see also: Dean 2007: 584),2 which makes these ideal-typical features useful in order to identify differing elements within those policies, but useless, if you use them separately or want to distinguish distinct configurations (likewise: Dingeldey 2003: 23).3 The space in between therefore needs to be looked at more closely assuming a continuum with a number of different possibilities along the new dimension of “dynamic social protection”4 rather than two opposing positions (likewise: Goul Andersen 2002: 3; Leisering und Hilkert 1999: 49). While the general need for a more gradual distinction of activation policies has been recognised by some scholars (Lødemel und Trickey 2001) and different combinations of workfare and enabling have been analysed (cf. Dingeldey 2007), the tools on offer are still based on a one-dimensional distinction of how labour market integration is pursued rather than on a systematic assessment of change in unemployment policy in relation to the two goals outlined above. A more refined attempt at classifying activation policies has been made in clustering formal and substantive policy traits. Amparo Serrano Pascual, for example, compared different policy sets in regard to two dimensions: their contractual balance between state and individual, on the one hand, and their modes of managing individuals, on the other (Serrano Pascual 2007). The operationalisation of these two main variables, however, seems at times ambiguous: Whereas it is not quite clear how the differences in the contractual balances are actually measured, the distinction of the managing modes is not completely convincing either. The again dichotomous distinction between “moraltherapeutic regulation of behaviour” and “matching individuals to labour market demands” doesn’t allow for measuring gradual differences. 2 The coexistence of these somewhat contradictional policy approaches is also represented in supra-national policy recommendations, such as for example the European Employment Strategy (Serrano Pascual und Crespo Suárez 2005). 3 Of course, this is a general flaw inherent in ideal types, that they are not supposed to be representing actual phenomena (Weber 1922/1980). They are, however, supposed to help explain and distinguish real phenomena and they can differ in terms of their usefulness for this task. 4 Activation can be seen as a dynamic strategy of welfare, in that it tries to achieve something (individual autonomy) in time. This time dimension can be seen as a qualitatively new aspect of activation policies (see also: Leisering und Hilkert 1999: 55; Mohr 2007: 24). 5 To sum up, current conceptualisations of activation lack a systematic and dynamic analysis of activation. I contend that this failure is due to the use of criteria derived from empirical observation of policies labelled as activation rather than through systematic assessment of activating effects of unemployment policy as a whole. Konle-Seidl and Eichhorst in their comprehensive study emphasise that programmes themselves have become moving targets concluding that this … “…,contingent convergence’ … implies the obsolescence of established typologies of activation styles” (ebd.: 432), In contrast to this view, I interpret this as a chance to elaborate on and discuss established typologies rather then discarding them altogether. Analysing change might require a different concept of ideal-types than previous cross-sectional studies used: one that is based on dimensions rather than ideal-typical categories. This would also be more in line with recent literature on incremental change in welfare policy (Streeck und Thelen 2005). In the following a theoretical model of unemployment policy5 is introduced which will, so the argument, be better able to analyse how small changes in policy sets towards either one of these goals might change the meaning of the policy as a whole. 3.2 Governing activation The described paradigm has lead to a functional shift in unemployment policies, managing the risk of unemployment via activating “hidden” potential on the supply-side of labour and via increasing activity among benefit recipients. It therefore needs to be asked how individual action is constructed, on the one hand, and how activity provision is governed, on the other. The first goal deals with aspects of social rights: Previous classifications show a spectrum of instruments in shaping individual dynamics from conditional enforcing kinds of strategies to more supportive and enabling ones (see: Barbier 2005; Fleckenstein 2004; Larsen 2005). Social rights, irrespective of their nature, determine the degree to which it is attractive for individuals to stay on welfare. However, this 5 Unemployment policy shall here be defined as policies designed specifically in order to provide for the unemployed as compared to the broader term of labour market policy, which also comprises actions towards employers and markets. Unemployment policies, however, are all social policy measures which provide for the unemployed with some form of income, training or other support to re-enter the labour market. It has increasingly been seen not only as a tool to provide social security. in case of job loss, but also as an instrument to facilitate and promote labour market integration (OECD 1994). 6 effect of unemployment policy schemes has been questioned and the provision of social rights has increasingly become conditional (Clasen und Clegg 2007). This conditionality can be understood as an increase of pushing individuals into the labour market while decreasing their range of choice, i.e. their autonomy. Concerning the dimension of action construction it therefore might be useful to rank policies along a continuum between coercion and autonomy, where the balance of social rights and conditionality sets push- and pull-incentives between work and welfare. However, as has been shown, the argumentation for activation is twofold: While some contend that unemployed individuals are financially dependent on unemployment benefits trading off disadvantages of being unemployed for financial advantages of being on benefits (Nickell 1998; Sinn 2002; Streeck und Heinze 1999), there have also been claims that unemployed individuals, especially long-term unemployed, become culturally dependent on benefits in that their work norms or their knowledge about how to behave in the world of work have diminished (Murray 1984). These complex arguments require us to take a more comprehensive view on unemployment policy than would be possible by using concepts such as de-commodification for example. Whereas studies of de-commodification are in line with the first argument focusing their analysis on the generosity of income compensation, the debate about activation shows that unemployment policy touches heavily on social aspects, such as employability, as well. A useful tool for such a re-conceptualisation of unemployment policy is the distinction made by Franz-Xaver Kaufmann. Kaufmann analyses 4 kinds of interventions through social policy: legal, economic, pedagogic and ecological (Kaufmann 2002: 86-106). While this is a richer approach towards social policy than just considering income compensation, a further distinction seems necessary: whereas the legal intervention concerns the more general construction of individual action between coercion and autonomy, the economic and the pedagogical intervention give information about the nature of those rights. Since we are dealing with questions of intervening on the supply-side of labour the ecological intervention, which aims at changing the environment of benefit recipients, is unnecessary for our analysis. However, the pedagogic intervention may prove a useful addition in the catalogue of policy analysis (I will use the term “social” intervention as a more neutral term). The main conclusion to be drawn here is that social rights as well as conditionality can be affective economically as well as socially. For instance, economic measures such as income support can increase or reduce levels of autonomy, depending on the level of 7 benefits provided (as assumed by studies on de-commodification), the benefit duration granted and additional earnings allowed while being on welfare. Likewise, the social design of policies affects the autonomy of individuals: the range of choice of activities encouraged while on benefits increases autonomy, whereas mandatory participation requirements limit autonomy. Furthermore, regulations on what constitutes reasonable employment also influence autonomy in market behaviour. In relation to the second goal of activity provision it was contended that a comparative model of activation should include aspects of how opportunities to become active are provided. Building on Lødemel and Trickey (Lødemel und Trickey 2001) it seems useful to distinguish policies according to the extent to which they pursue direct labour market attachment or facilitate attachment to work through welfare. However, while Lødemel and Trickey construct state intervention as only relevant in terms of human resource development, or in other words the enabling dimension of unemployment policy, there are also other ways, in which the state can intervene in order to achieve inclusion into work activities, such as providing work placements outside the market. While this is usually understood as “workfare” in the literature and in that sense as a case of “negative” activation, it is distinct from direct labour market attachment thereby presenting a third model that is different from the dichotomous distinction of policy types discussed above. The criterion to be applied should be the question to what extent the state is ascribed responsibility for activity provision (the right to activation) or whether individuals are left to their own devices on the market.6 Crossing both dimensions allows analysing activation policies on a four-fold scheme (Figure 1) outlining four different activation strategies. This doesn’t require actual funding for programmes, the provision of income to the unemployed during this period already constitutes state responsibility. 6 8 Figure 1: Conceptual framework for outputs of activation. Coercion Coercive Welfare Re-commodification • Most active • Partly active • high pressure • high pressure • high service provision • low social provision Low Active support High Enabling De-commodification • Partly active • most passive • low pressure • low pressure • high offer of social provision • low social provision Autonomy Construction of individual action situation Source: Own depiction. In a way the antipodes produced by dichotomous standards of comparison can be found here: While the upper right-hand field represents a strategy of activation “recommodifying” individuals, the lower left-hand field represents a strategy with high income support and comprehensive service structures thereby focusing on “enabling” individuals. However, the combination of both dimensions produces two more fields: “de-commodification”, on the one hand, which is based on high income support with a slim offer of services and activities, and “coercive welfare”, on the other, which entails mandatory service consumption or work-for-your-benefit-measures with less focus on the market. The former one seems to refrain largely from both, an activation of the individual by pressure as well as from activation via offering inclusion into work or training. In that sense, this framework serves not only to compare different types of activation, but also differing degrees of activation. The latter type of “coercive welfare” in that sense combines both activation objectives pointing out the type of “state activation” hinted at above. These programmes are not mainly oriented towards labour market integration, but, in acknowledging problems of long-term unemployment, aim at designing welfare so as to include activities for the unemployed. Whereas conventional classifications of activation policies see pressuring individuals as something opposed to helping them, so called workfare vs. enabling (Dingeldey 2007), this distinction shows 9 that social welfare provision is not always supportive, but through mandatory schemes actually can eliminate choice.7 However, the activation approach with its emphasis on individual behaviour not only touches on functional, but also on moral aspects questioning the deservingness of benefit recipients (BMWI 2005; Murray 1984; Streeck und Heinze 1999). The outlined variations of individual action institutionalise perceptions about the situation of the unemployed, the role of the state and the behaviour of benefit recipients implying different models of responsibility and the role of work in contemporary societies. The autonomous schemes assume the unemployed to behave dutifully with little responsibility for their situation of unemployment. The schemes differ, however, in their assumptions about the degree of help the individual needs to re-enter the labour market: While the enabling scheme focuses on an investment approach helping individuals to compete on labour markets, the de-commodification scheme leaves it up to the individual to engage in such activities. The coercive schemes are not based on such an optimistic view of the individual. The unemployed are assumed to be passive by nature; activities need to be forced on them and in case of non-compliance sanctions apply. As far as activities are concerned the coercive welfare scheme emphasises social intervention. Such policies entail behavioural requirements about how to pursue labour market integration, for example. However, requirements might also entail working for your benefit. Guidance is more important than direct labour market attachment; individuals are seen as unable to help themselves. The content of work varies, however: while most work-for-your-benefitschemes are targeted at low end jobs, some activities allow for more quality and the use of talent (such as voluntary jobs or higher education). The re-commodification scheme, on the other hand, is based on the assumption of self-sufficient individuals that rationally trade off time on benefits against work. These individuals are seen as able, but lacking the necessary work ethic. This scheme emphasises individual responsibility and tries to deter individuals from receiving benefits through the introduction of time limits, retrenchment, sanctions etc.. The use of 7 While Dingeldey in later publications recognises that both elements, pressure and service provision can be combined, she focuses on the enabling contribution of social service provision towards labour market integration and ignores largely that workfare doesn’t necessarily aim first and foremost at labour market integration, but rather at social integration (be it via socially including individuals or via re-validating work norms). 10 work-for-benefit-schemes may be used as further deterrence (Wolff und Hohmeyer 2008), but at the same time the engagement in such activities takes energy away from the jobseeker’s search efforts. As far as the content of work is concerned, individuals are expected to be more flexible accepting various kinds of working conditions. Again, work in general is more important than what kind of work. In the following the policy development in three formerly distinct welfare regimes is compared in order to get a more nuanced picture of change towards activation in unemployment policy in terms of degree, but also direction of change. 4. Divergent convergence? In order to investigate change towards activation in Europe, appropriate units of analysis need to be identified in relation to time as well as space. Both aspects are related in the sense that reform pace differs between countries. But in general, the international debate on activation arose in the 1990s so that the time-frame should be set from 1990 until today. Specific cases in time and corresponding hypotheses about change are discussed in more detail below. 4.1 Sample and hypotheses As in many other fields of welfare state research, the works by Esping-Andersen and his framework of ideal-typical welfare regimes have served as starting point for comparing activation (Esping-Andersen 1990). In this regard, Jean-Claude Barbier stated that two ideal-typical concepts of activation are inherent in the policies of liberal Great Britain and social-democratic Denmark. In that sense the assumption has been that the liberal welfare regime type also produces more “liberal” activation policies: based on a market-oriented type of social protection, emphasising self-reliance and taking only a limited role in providing active measures. The universalistic regime type, on the other hand, even after introducing activation reforms keeps providing more complex and extended services, while granting high degrees of living standards (Barbier 2005: 115). While Barbier and Mayerhofer contend that there is no such thing as a “conservative” type of activation (Barbier und Ludwig-Mayerhofer 2004) that would match the tripartite distinction of conventional regime types, others have argued that a distinct continental path of activation can be discerned in the selective treatment of groups (Clegg 2007). Taking this debate into account it makes sense to look at countries of different welfare regimes and to compare the ideal-typical poles of Denmark and the UK with a conservative policy scheme. Germany, as a Bismarckian welfare state with a 11 long history of welfare focused on status maintenance, has recently introduced quite transformative reforms8 and seems a good case in point. In line with Barbiers argument (Barbier 2005) it could be expected that the UK has developed along lines of pressure and reduced support, whereas the social-democratic regime of Denmark could be expected to focus on enabling measures (inclusion into work via welfare) and be less concerned with coerciveness. In terms of the above typology the UK would be expected to feature a “re-commodification”-scheme, while the policies of social-democratic Denmark would be expected to resemble an “enabling”-scheme. Implications for Germany are more difficult to estimate. Two scenarios are conceivable: if change had been minimal, it could be expected to show resemblance to the “de-commodification”-type, granting earnings-related benefits and low levels of services.9 However, considering the idea of selective activation in convervative regimes, it might be important to distinguish different programmes of unemployment protection, such as unemployment insurance and social assistance, which may differ in their approach according to different target groups (Clegg 2007). While unemployment insurance programmes cover the clientele closer to the labour market, other programmes such as social assistance cover more problematic groups with less organised interest groups. As for a direction of activation it has been claimed that Germany developed towards a liberal model (Clasen 2005; Mohr 2007; Seeleib-Kaiser und Fleckenstein 2007). The number of cases resulting from these deliberations is 13, if for all three countries policies are compared for two points in time for all programmes in unemployment protection (unemployment insurance, unemployment and social assistance).10 4.2 Methods: how to measure the concept? Two dimensions have been identified as constitutive for the paradigm of activation: the construction of individual action and the mode of activity provision. In addition, different indicators of unemployment policy were identified, by which to measure 8 The Hartz-IV-law in 2005 has been widely interpreted as a break with conservative traditions (Eichhorst, et al. 2008a; Fleckenstein 2008). 9 As van Kersbergen has shown, policies with Christian democratic roots have rather underdeveloped service sectors due to an emphasis on subsidiarity (van Kersbergen 1995). 10 Only Germany had 3 programmes in place in the 1990s, therefore the uneven number. 12 output on both dimensions. Transfers as well as measures of social intervention were assigned to the values of both dimensions the following way (see also Table 1): 1) The autonomy of an individual over the decision, whether he/she wants to stay on welfare is assumed to be the higher, the more generous the replacements rates, the broader the range of activities that can be combined with welfare and the higher the amount of income accumulation allowed. At the same time the degree of coercion can be assumed to be influenced by the number of requirements to reciprocate benefit receipt, the sanctioning instruments available and the definition of reasonable employment to be accepted, if offered. 2) The dimension of activity provision has been operationalised taking into account the degree and intensity of placement services as well as the range and quality of activity options provided. The elements were indexed in their values and then ranked comparatively on all dimensions (see Table 1). Table 1: Indicators for activation in unemployment policies. Policy elements Indicator Replacement Rates Simple more or less comparison of net replacement rates Types of activities encouraged Range of choice in activities offered by PES or allowed to undertake while on benefits Transfer reduction rate Both: degree of earnings accumulation and time expenditure allowed Definition of reasonable jobs Both: wage in relation to benefit, travel time, personal situation Sanctions Both: degree of sanction (susp. vs. gradual), timeframes Code of conduct Requirements to reciprocate benefit receipt: range of requirements, concreteness, exemption clauses Activities offered Intensity (duration), quality (education or workfare) Case management Duration, intensity and client ratio. Indices Social Rights Balance of coercion and autonomy Conditionality activity provision via Balance of market welfare and welfare Source: Own compilation. For the construction of individual action a scale ranking from 1 to 5 was used, with 5 being the highest possible and 1 the lowest possible value (for a similar approach see Hasselpflug 2005: 5), the total of the additive index was then recoded again into a scale of 1 to 5 and resulting values of autonomy and coercion were balanced against each 13 other. The mode of activity provision was measured on a scale from -5 to 5, where -5 was the most extensive provision by the state with high quality activity options and 5 the least. Data used included the MISSOC-Database, country-reports by the OECD and literature on activation reforms. While actual outcomes might differ, this comparison shows different strategies of risk management as they are inherent in different legislative settings. It should be kept in mind, however, that the data available only shows a comparison of the countries in question: the values are therefore relative. However, since the main goal was to compare the countries against each other, no absolute values were needed. Furthermore, since the countries compared are seen as rather different in most comparative studies presenting even opposite poles of welfare at times, a sufficient degree of variety seems to have been provided for. 4.3 Country-comparison The analysis shows that all programmes have increased the degree of coerciveness in their schemes for the long-term-unemployed (figure 3). Germany and Denmark show the highest increases in this regard leading to changes from de-commodifying and enabling schemes to re-commodification and coercive welfare. The order in degree of coercion stayed the same compared to the beginning of the 1990s: the UK still has the highest degree of coercion, which is due to very low benefit levels, strong obligations of benefit recipients and severity of sanctions (the JSA, which already pays rather low income compensation, can be completely suspended for weeks).11 The German assistance for long-term unemployed reached a very similar degree of coercion by now due to a reduction in benefits (now a flat-rate minimum) and a strong code of social conduct. Sanctions, however, are applied gradually in Germany starting from 10% in case of minor to 60% reductions in case of repeated misconduct. Finally, Denmark has changed from a type of policy granting recipients high autonomy to a scheme mixing autonomy with coercion. Main elements of this strategy are a redefinition of reasonable employment (after three months every job is seen as reasonable: Kvist, et. al. 2008) and a strong code of conduct (ranking equally with the UK on this: see Annex 1). However, income compensation remained relatively untouched (changes in replacement rates are due to context developments rather than changes in unemployment policy: Hansen 2007: 11). 11 Though hardship-payments are possible, if the danger of such can be proven to the agency. 14 Figure 3: Activating the long-term unemployed from 1990-2007 5 4 UK-SA-new 3 UK-UI-new 2 DK-UI-new 1 DE-SA-new DK-SA-new 0 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 DE-UI-new 0 -1 1 2 3 DE-SA-old 4 UK-UI-old DE-UI-old DE-UA-old -2 DK-UI-old -3 DK-SA-old -4 -5 Source: Own calculations based on OECD data, MISSOC database and literature. UK-SA-old 5 However, notwithstanding increased coercion in all cases there are marked differences in the direction of reform as far as the dimension of active support is concerned. This is interesting for two reasons: First, the expected differences between the UK and Denmark don’t seem to hold in reality. Both started from rather low provision in the 90s towards much more active support in the beginning of the new century. While they used to differ in terms of action construction, they have converged recently towards a coercive-welfare-pole following parallel trends. Secondly, German unemployment assistance has developed in a different direction than the other two schemes shifting towards more coerciveness as well as stronger market-orientation. These differences are discussed in more detail below considering the combined effects of both dimensions on the countries’ strategies within their particular context.12 4.3.1 Denmark As we have seen, Denmark’s development is not quite in line with assumptions about “universal activation”. While it has the strongest focus on qualification of all the schemes compared, the Danish scheme has also increased strongly the coercion applied. One explanation for this is that there has been a notable shift in Denmark from a “safety net model to a trampoline model” (Torfing 1999: 15). While originally activation was seen as an additional right unemployed persons should have, in recent years activation measures have become more mandatory and the definition of reasonable employment much broader (Andersen und Pedersen 2006). Today any job offer has to be accepted as long as it pays minimum wage and does not require more than 4 hours of daily travel (Andersen und Pedersen 2006). This is very close to definitions of reasonable employment applied by the other countries. Denmark also scores highest together with the UK on the code of conduct (see annex). As far as autonomy is concerned Denmark has a very low value on the possibility to combine employment with benefits: generally no accumulation of earnings with benefits is possible (MISSOC 2008). Overall the balance has therefore tipped towards coercion increasing individual as well as state responsibility. The new state responsibility entails a high quality provision of service and activities while being on benefits. Activities supported comprise full-time education, wage subsidies and rehabilitation over the entire benefit period (Kvist, et. al. 12 For a full over-view of the countries ranking see the Annex. 16 2008: 238). While this is the most comprehensive programme of provision of the three cases, the drastic nature of change on this dimension is also due to a rather passive history in Denmark compared to other Scandinavian countries. Whereas Sweden has quite a long active line in its policy tradition (Kvist, et al. 2008), in Denmark work duty has been weak from the 1970s to the 1990s (Andersen 2007: 14). Only very few programmes were in place in the beginning of the 1990s and these were targeted at persons unemployed longer than 2 years (Jensen 2008: 121-122). They included subsidised jobs (so called “job-offer scheme”) and were mainly intended to re-establish eligibility for benefit receipt (Kvist, et. al. 2008: 240). The chance to develop this policy area has obviously been embraced boldly leading to a fully fledged system of activation measures. The strategy is complemented with structured case management including profiling and individual action plans. The action plan entails a number of obligations and compliance requirements are high (Jensen 2005). How can we explain the strong degree of reform in Denmark with both activation strategies given similar priority? Larsen and Mailand argue that this is due to the institutional structure of corporatism, which facilitated “complementary strategies” pursuing economic as well as welfare goals (Larsen and Mailand 2007: 111). In this context the perception that unemployment had exclusionary effects was strongly acknowledged making work a solution to social problems (ibid. 106). However, there have been different phases of development: during the early years of the new socialdemocratic government in the beginning of the 1990s structural unemployment was seen as a “qualifications deficit”, later there was a shift in discourse towards interpreting the problem of unemployment as a problem of moral, a “motivational deficit” (ibid.: 105). Evaluations undertaken by various institutions showed negative lock-in effects of activation, which supported this view. The corresponding implementation of more coercive measures in order to avoid these problems was facilitated by institutional reforms that have weakened trade union influence (ibid..: 122). Furthermore, a very favourable context of labour market development may have reduced resistance of the public to coercive policies (Andersen and Pedersen 2006), since their effects are likely to be less harsh. Furthermore, such context leads to keeping the increase in labour supply in relative proportion to labour demand thereby reducing potential for the creation of low end jobs. All in all, change in the Danish unemployment policy scheme has been remarkable considering its passive nature in the beginning of the 1990s. 17 4.3.2 Germany Germany, as a status-protecting welfare state, started from a position of quite generous replacement rates and low pressure. It differed, however, from the Danish scheme having less generous net replacement rates and, more importantly, tighter regulations on reasonable employment: In 1982 a directive came into force ruling that during the first 4 months only very limited decreases (20%) in income were deemed reasonable, but that after that recipients were required to take on jobs on levels below their qualification thereby leading to possibly much higher decreases in income (Sell 1998: 536). While the decrease was cushioned by the “temporäre Qualifikationsschutz” (temporary qualification protection), a gradual approach ranking jobs from university level, to college, high school and lower education, Denmark only introduced regulations on reasonability in 1994 for persons unemployed longer than a year (Kvist, et. al. 2008: 243). With the Hartz-IV-reform in 2005 coercion has been increased further. It entailed a higher code of conduct, a very broad definition of reasonable employment and a reduction in replacement rates. A major part of the reform was a reduced benefit for long-term unemployed and a reduction of benefit duration for unemployment insurance thereby potentially enlarging this group (Aurich 2007). The formerly separate schemes of social assistance and unemployment assistance have been merged and the new “Arbeitslosengeld 2” is now the only scheme complementing unemployment insurance. Overall the rules of this new benefit for long-term unemployed shifted towards former social assistance regulation: low benefits, sanctions reducing the amount of benefit below the socio-cultural subsistence level and stricter behavioural requirements (Eichhorst, et. al. 2008). The catalogue of obligations has been extended and sanctions became to some extent individualised, since any breach against some stipulation in the integration agreement signed at the beginning of the benefit period can lead to sanctions (Eichhorst, et al. 2006). On the active support dimension conservative states have been known for relatively low service provisions (van Kersbergen 1995). However, according to the results of this study Germany actually had a relatively active level before the reform:13 unemployed had rights to vocational training and subsidised job placement, even to the relatively 13 This may however be due to the comparison with one liberal and one rather atypical social-democratic regime. 18 expensive ABM (Arbeitsbeschaffungsmaßnahmen), which offered employment in jobs with proper wages and subject to social security contributions. The reform has reduced the access to these schemes considerably. While the merger was originally intended to bring social assistance recipients into the sphere of employment law delivering more active labour market measures to this group (Aurich 2007), it has not determined specific rights of the unemployed. The new Social Security Code II (SBG II) covering the long-term unemployed refers to Social Security Code III, which regulates support for short-term unemployed with insurance benefits. However, while it stipulates that recipients covered by SGB II have a right to placement services, their access to other instruments of active support, so called “Arbeitsförderung”, is something that can be granted. This is a very clear language for German law: while the placement services have to be guaranteed, other instruments, such as activity provision, are granted at the discretion of the case manager. Furthermore, specific regulations of activity provision are part of the SGB II: § 16 describes a slimmed version of the SGB III catalogue and is exempt of any offers of ABM, training or education. It lists some financial supplements available in order to secure self-employment or an offered employment position as well as the so called “work opportunities (Arbeitsgelegenheiten)”. These work-opportunities are jobs for unemployed that have problems on the first labour market and which are paid at 1-2 € per hour. Not only are these jobs low paid, they are also supposed to be secondary activities that are not in the interest of market actors. They are therefore often jobs with low qualification and no connection to the real labour market. Germany accordingly scores lowest of the three countries on social services, since training or other activities preparing individuals for the labour market are slim and most work opportunities are intended to deter benefit receipt rather than qualifying people for better jobs. The direction of reform has even strengthened this conservative element of subsidiarity and personal responsibility. The reform has been used to emphasise work ethics and market orientation rather than increasing state intervention as seen in other countries. In line with this are the rather generous regulations on accumulating earnings while on benefits: the transfer reduction rate of the German scheme is much more sophisticated than in the other countries leading to a high number of so called “Aufstocker”, workers that need to supplement their wages with benefits. However, this is interestingly only true for the long-term unemployed, while for the insured active support has been expanded. 19 The German unemployment policy scheme has changed the content of its activation policy from an enabling to a re-commodifying one. Very often this is explained in the literature with a new “discourse” on unemployment (Seeleib-Kaiser and Fleckenstein 2007) and “ideational leadership” (Stiller 2007). During times of public discontent with rising unemployment and how it was handled (see for example the placement scandal in 2002: Fleckenstein 2008), a “window of opportunity” opened and was used by leaders such as Gerhard Schröder and Wolfgang Clement (former minister of economy and labour affairs) to promote a new policy agenda and to convince the social-democratic basis of its necessity (Eichhorst et. al. 2008: 23-25). It is argued that policy makers took the UK-experience as an example and referred to it extensively in order to justify changes (Eichhorst et. al. 2008: 23; Seeleib-Kaiser and Fleckenstein 2007: 440). However, it has been largely ignored that only part of the UK-development was mirrored in Germany leaving out the focus on social inclusion through work activities. 4.3.3 United Kingdom The British scheme has done a major shift on the active support dimension whereas the construction of action has changed only little compared to Denmark and Germany. Again this can be explained with previously existing programme structures: The UK policy was already rather coercive, when activation became a topic (see Annex: UK 1993). It scored highest of the three schemes on all three coercion-indicators. An increase in activation could therefore be more easily achieved on the dimension of support. This is especially plausible, if we take the actors of reform into account: while coercion had started to increase already under the conservative government in the mid 80s (Clasen 2005), the new government of the Labour Party endorsed something in opposition to this relatively straight retrenchment agenda. While the prefix “New” pointed out some distance to earlier Labour positions, the agenda that won the election in 1997 still distinguished itself from the former conservative government by suggesting to supplement conservative policies with ingredients to make this approach more humane (Lindsay 2007). New Labour endorsed the JSA-scheme, but it complemented it with policies that were supposed to support and ensure a transition into the labour market (Clasen 2002: 68; Lindsay 2007). One reason for this was the advice by social as well as economic scientists pointing out the dangers of long-term exclusion from the labour market: especially Richard Layard and Anthony Giddens are to be named in this regard (Cebulla 2004: 3, 20). 20 The New-Deal strategy included access to more intensive support, especially for the long-term unemployed (Finn and Schulte 2008: 313), and activities for individuals that hadn’t found a job after completing the “Gateway”-period of job counselling (Clasen 2005). The New Deal offered activity options, such as subsidised job placements, temporary employment in community projects or education (Finn and Schulte: 2008). Whereas the conservative Government withdrew from pilots of work-based training policies (Lindsay 2007), New Labour emphasised exactly this issue. Furthermore these measures were introduced as guaranteed rights. Concluding it could be said that the British activation strategy started with the conservative’s focus on coercion and ended with New Labour’s “integration policy” and these combined efforts culminated in a coercive-welfare scheme. 5. Conclusion This paper has argued for a comparative model of activation that takes account of different degrees as well as different types of activation. It was argued that in order to fully understand activation as a recalibrating reform, i.e. as an adaptation of old policy instruments to new goals, it is necessary to contrast the new ways of achieving these goals to “old” policy solutions. The dimensions of individual action construction and activity provision found to be central for the activation paradigm were chosen as comparative yardsticks along which to compare change in unemployment policy schemes. For individual action construction it seemed sensible to distinguish autonomyenhancing from coercive schemes, whereas for activity provision the distinction to be drawn related to whether it was seen as public responsibility to enable such opportunities or not. This exercise produced four ideal-typical fields of managing unemployment. It was shown that an activation of the unemployed could be pursued via offering activities (enabling), via forcing individuals into activities (coercive welfare) or via forcing individuals to engage in market activities (re-commodification). In so doing, an antagonistic concept of activation was avoided. Methodologically, the model allows for an analysis of differences between different ideal-types as well as for an analysis of change within ideal-typical fields. In addition to these different instrumental paths of activating the unemployed different normative implications of policy types were derived. 21 All three countries experienced significant changes, i.e. changes that lead to a change in the type of policy. However, while the UK and Denmark endorsed a strategy pursuing both objectives of the activation paradigm, Germany changed its focus from enabling to coercive activation. The results contradict the literature at least in two ways: firstly, the assumed differences between the British and the Danish activation schemes are not as marked, when viewed from the analytical perspective utilised in this comparison. Acknowledging that the quality of service provision still differs (full-time education in Denmark and short-term training courses in the UK), the general approach of dividing responsibility between state, market and individual is comparable.14 The second assumption of the literature contradicted here is the assumption of convergence between Germany and the United Kingdom (Clasen 2005; Mohr 2007): it could be shown that both countries developed rather different approaches of coercion. These differences in reform direction can be explained with different underlying concepts of the problem of unemployment and the corresponding interpretation of the “right” kinds of solutions. Finally, this paper has shown for the specific field of unemployment policy that activation in three European welfare regimes varies considerably questioning premature assumptions about path-dependent differences. The results indicate a “divergent convergence”, in the sense that convergence towards a new policy paradigm has resulted in different policy solutions. It would be a task of future research to account for these differences and to provide us with deeper insights about the shift towards activation in European societies. 14 Differences in quality provision may rather be interpreted as a functional equivalence matter, since the types of training can be expected to differ in relation to the context of the different national economies (Hall und Soskice 2001). 22 Annex 1): Ranking of policy elements on individual action construction. Social Rights - Autonomy enhancing replacement rates Rank Transfer reduction rate Type of activities Conditionality - Coerciveness Def. of reasonable empl. Sanctions Code of conduct DK-94 ( 79/83) DE-07 (no time limit, max. income allowance: 280 €) UK (3 programmes) UK-07 (every job on min. wage); DE-07 UK-07 (every job unless caring for (temporary children/sick) suspension) UK-07 (5 requ.), DK-07 (5 requ.) DK-04 (61/63) DK-93 (1 year of casual DK-07 (2 programmes, work up to 8000 DKK) diff. Training) DK-07 (after 3 months every job) DE-07 (3 requ.) DE-01 (54/54), UK-94 (48/74) DK-93, DE-04 UK-93 (after 13 DE-04 (max. 15h, €165 (discretionary training and weeks expansion of DE-07 (10-60% allowance) subs. Empl.) range) cuts in benefit) 5 4 3 2 DE-04 (after 6 months every job paying amount of transfer) UK-04 (45/56) UK (max. 15h, £ 5-10) UK-93 (2 discretionary programmes for LTU) DE-06 (35/46) dK-07 (accumulation not possible) DE-07 (discretionary DK-93 (after 12 training, work-for-benefit) months) net replacement rates Both: degree of earnings Both: wage in accumulation and time Range of choice of relation to benefit, expenditure allowed activities while on benefits time frame 1 Explanation UK-93 (40% of minimum ben.) DE-04 (suspension, but SA); DK-07 (suspension, but SA) DK-93 (no explicit regulation) Both: degree of sanction (susp. vs. gradual), timeframes UK-93 (actively seeking every week) DE-04 (accept reasonable jobs or integration measures) DK-93 (obligation to activ. after 4 years) Range of requirements, concreteness, time frames Annex 2): Ranking of policy elements on active support. Active Support Activity provision 5 4 3 UK-93 (projects of inDK-93 (no action plans, work-benefit and training limited guidance) schemes for LTU) UK-93 (voluntary backto-work-plan, job matching through JobCentres) 2 DE-07 (work-for-benefit, discretionary training) 1 DE-04 (guidance through PES) DK-93 (Job offers for long-term unempl., education allowances) 0 -1 DE-07 (case management, PIA asap, no contact, discretion) -2 DE-04 (rights to receive vocational training, subsidised jobs) -3 -4 -5 DK-07 (profiling, IAP after 9 months, intensive contact schemes) UK-07 (limited periods of rights-based activities which can be chosen from 4 options) UK-07 (intensive period, IAP after 2 weeks, low discretion, quarterly interviews) DK-07 (right to full-time education, wage subsidies, rehabilitation over entire benefit period) Explanation Intensity (duration, obligation), Action Plan Range, quality and legal status of activities (rights or discretion), time limits Sources: 2006 'Denmark's National Reform Programme: progress report to EU's Growth and Employment Strategy', Vol. 1: Danish Government. 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