1. Using the following table, consider as American style call option on the euro. The current euro spot exchange rate is $0.9657, and each option contract is for E62,500. 960 980 1000 1020 Calls Vol. ... 14 1 1 Jun Jun Jun Jun Puts Last ... 0.0188 0.0117 0.0600 Vol. 5 ... ... ... Last 0.0161 ... ... 0.0100 a. Is the 980 call option currently in the money, at the money, or out of the money? ANSWER. The call option is currently out of the money. b. Suppose that your corporate economist believes the euro may appreciate against the dollar to an exchange value as high as $1.02 or depreciate to an exchange value as low as $0.96. She therefore purchases eight call contracts to partially hedge an underlying short exposure of 750,000 euros. Draw a diagram illustrating the potential loss or gain on all eight contracts. ANSWER. (0.0188)(62,500) = $1,175 ($1,175)(8 contracts) = $9,400 Net Profit 10,600 0.960 0.980 1.02 0.9988 0 Break Even 9,400 Out of the Money Net Loss In the Money At the Money c. Indicate the amount of loss or profit at $0.96, $1.02 and the current spot rate. (Keep all calculations to two decimal places). ANSWER. $9,400, $.04(8*62,500) – 9,400 = $20,000 - $9,400 = $10,600. $9,400 d. Indicate the break-even rate. ANSWER. .9988 e. Add to your diagram a line indicating the gain and loss on the underlying exposure as the spot deviates from the current level. Indicate the gain or loss at $0.96 and $1.02. ANSWER. The intercepts are the spot rate (.9657) less .0141 [$10,600] and plus .0125 [$9,400], or .9516 and .9782. At $.96 the gain would be $4,275 [750,000(.0057); at $1.02 the loss would be $40,725. ALTERNATIVE ANSWER. To determine Gain/Loss, find the euro value of short exposure at current exchange rate and assume that for every exchange rate, the receiver of payment needs that many euros. Euro Obligation = $750000/0.9657 = 776,638.7077 euros Gain/Loss = Short Exposure - (Euro Obligation)*(Exchange Rate) Gain (exchange at .96) = $750,000 – (776,638.7077)*(.96) = $4,426.84 Loss (exchange at 1.02) = $750,000 – (776,638.7077)*(1.02) = ($42,171.48) (5 points) 2. Suppose a new nation decides to peg the value of its currency, the newbill, to a basket consisting of 0.625 U.S. dollars and 0.25 British pounds. Further suppose the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the British pound is 1.5 dollars per pound. If the basket constitutes one newbill, what is the appropriate exchange value between the newbill and the dollar, and between the newbill and the pound? 1 Newbill = Exchange Rate $/£ Exchange Rate £/$ $ Value of £ portion of N £ Value of $ portion of N Exchange Rate N/£ Exchange Rate £/N Exchange Rate N/$ Exchange Rate $/N $0.6250 $1.5000 £0.6667 $0.3750 £0.4167 1.5000 £0.6667 1.0000 $1.0000 £0.2500 What is the weight assigned to the U.S. dollar in the currency basket? What is the weight assigned to the British pound in the currency basket? Weight $ Weight £ (3 points) 62.5% 37.5% 3. Why is a currency futures option a “derivative of a derivative”? (2points) ANSWER. A currency future already is a derivative, because its value varies with the exchange rate. The value of a currency futures option, in turn, depends on the underlying value of a currency futures contract, so its value is derived from the futures derivative. In this way, a currency futures option is a “derivative of a derivative.” 4. A trader executes a ‘bear spread’ on the Japanese Yen consisting of a long PHLX 103 March put and a short PHLX 101 March put. a. If the price of the 103 put is 2.81 [100ths of ¢/¥], while the price of the 1.01 put is 1.6 [100ths of ¢/¥], what is the net cost of the bear spread? ANSWER. Going long on the 103 March put costs the trader 0.0281¢/¥ while going short on the 101 March put yields the trader 0.016¢/¥. The net cost is therefore 0.0121¢/¥ (0.028 - 0.016). On a contract of ¥6,250,000, this is equivalent to $756.25 b. What is the maximum amount the trader can make on the bear spread if the yen depreciates against the dollar? ANSWER. To begin, it should be pointed out that the 103 March put gives the trader the right but not the obligation to sell yen at a price of 1.03¢/¥. Similarly, the 101 March put gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to sell yen to the trader at a price of 1.01¢/¥. If the yen falls to 1.01¢/¥ or below, the trader will earn the maximum spread of 0.02¢/¥. After paying the cost of the bear spread, the trader will net 0.079¢/¥ (0.02¢ - 0.0121¢), or $493.75 on a ¥6,250,000 contract. c. Redo your answers to Parts a & b, assuming the trader executes a ‘bull spread’ consisting of a short PHLX 101 March call priced at 1.96 [100ths of ¢/¥] and a long PHLX 99 March call priced at 3.91 [100ths of ¢/¥]. What is the trader’s maximum profit? Maximum loss? ANSWER. In this case, the trader will pay 0.0391¢/¥ for the long 99 March call and receive 0.0196¢/¥ for the short 101 March call. The net cost to the trader, therefore, is 0.0195¢/¥, ($1218.75) which is also the trader's maximum potential loss. At any price of 1.01¢/¥ or greater, the trader will earn the maximum possible spread of 0.02¢/¥. After subtracting off the cost of the bull spread, the trader will net 0.0005¢/¥, or $31.25 per ¥6,250,000 contract. (5 points) 5. Suppose your company owes a 1,500,000 Australian dollar (A$) payment due in November. If the A$ were to appreciate against the dollar, the dollar value of this future payment will increase and your company will experience a loss. Because of this foreign exchange risk exposure, you decide to use a futures contract as a hedge. a. Explain how you would use A$ futures: number of contracts, long or short- and how the futures account would act as a hedge. ANSWER. To hedge a foreign exchange exposure, a customer assumes a position in the opposite direction of the exposure. In this instance the company has more A$ liabilities than A$ assets. That is: it is short A$. Hence, it must buy A$ to hedge its risk – or, go long. To fully hedge its risk the company should buy 15 long contracts since A$ currency futures contracts are sold in lots of A$ 100,000 therefore 15 x 100,000 = 1,500,000. b. Suppose you undertake this transaction with December A$ futures on the first of November at the moment the market opens. Show how your initial margin changes daily (for the first through the fourth days). Indicate any cash flows generated or margin calls. 1st 2nd 3trd 4th Open High Low Settle Change AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (CME) – 100,000A$; $ per A$ November .5251 .5267 .5213 .5252 -.0046 November .5216 .5216 .5110 .5127 -.0125 November .5108 .5120 .5029 .5115 -.0012 November .5085 .5112 .5058 .5086 -.0029 Agreement $ 100,000 Change in account st 1 2nd 3rd 4th Interest 2,007 2,180 3,037 3,363 Maintenance Initial $ 1,100 $ 1,485 CF Account end of day $ 10 $ 1,485 $ 1,495 $ (1,250) $ 1,240 $ 1,485 $ (120) $ 0 $ 1,365 $ (290) $ 410 $ 1,485 c. How would you close out your position at the end of the fourth day? ANSWER. We could close out this position at the end of the fourth day by either taking delivery of the A$ 1,500,000 by paying 1,500,000*.5086 = $762,900 or we could close it out with an offsetting trade. (2 points) 6. In May 1988, Walt Disney Productions sold Japanese investors a 20-year stream of projected yen royalties from Tokyo Disneyland. The present value of that stream of royalties, discounted at 6% (the return required by the Japanese investors), was ¥93 billion. Disney took the yen proceeds from the sale, converted them to dollars, and invested the dollars in bonds yielding 10% a. At the time of the sale, the exchange rate was ¥ 124 = $1. What dollar amount did Disney realize from the sale of its yen proceeds? ANSWER. Disney realized 93,000,000,000/124 = $750,000,000 from the sale of its future yen proceeds. b. Demonstrate the equivalence between this transaction and a currency swap. ANSWER. In a currency/interest rate swap, one party trades a stream of payments in one currency, at one interest rate, for a stream of payments in a second currency, at a second interest rate. Disney's stream of yen royalties can be treated as a yen bond, which it traded for a dollar bond, with dollar payments. The only difference between the Disney swap and a traditional swap is that the latter usually involve cash outflows whereas the Disney swap involves cash inflows. c. Did Disney achieve the equivalent of a ‘free lunch’ through this transaction? Explain. ANSWER. Gary Wilson, Disney's chief financial officer, committed an unpardonable analytical sin when he claimed that: "In effect, we got money at a 6% discount rate, reinvested it at 10%, and hedged our royalty stream against yen fluctuations -- all in one transaction." He was comparing apples with oranges: in this case, a 6% yen interest rate with a 10% dollar interest rate. The international Fisher effect tells us that the most likely reason that the yen interest rate is 4 percentage points less than the equivalent dollar interest rate is because the market expects the dollar to depreciate by about 4% annually against the yen, although as it happens the exchange rate is currently ¥ 124 = $1. Corporate bond rates on AAA-rated, eight-year maturities are about 6 percent in US and 2 percent in Japan. (3 points)