Andrew S. Wyatt FIN 311 MWF 11:00-11:50am Part 1 of Project The company I chose to do my research project on is Home Depot, Inc. I chose Home Depot, Inc. because they are one of the largest suppliers of home improvement supplies, building materials, lawn and garden supplies, and various installation services in North America. What Home Depot, Inc. provides seemed especially crucial to me considering the circumstances in New Orleans, and the amount of rebuilding that will have to be done in the area of Louisiana. Home Depot stores stock approximately 40,000 to 50,000 products a year. These products include lumber and building supplies, electrical, plumbing, kitchen, hardware, flooring, paint, and wall coverings. Basically, Home Depot carries anything related to housing and ways to build, or improve a home. In addition, Home Depot, Inc. also provides installation services for almost every product they sell. The plumbing, electrical, and kitchen group was the leader in revenue for the fiscal year 2005 with 29%. This was followed closely by hardware and seasonal with 27.6%. Third in revenue were lumber and building supplies with 24.4% and last were paint, flooring, and wall coverings with 19.7%. As currently as January 30, 2005, Home Depot, Inc. 1,890 stores throughout the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Most of these stores were Home Depot or Expo Design Center stores. These stores average approximately 100,000 square feet in total floor space. In addition, Home Depot, Inc. has opened stores to accommodate professional customers; Home Depot Supply and Home Depot Landscape Supply. Home Depot, Inc. is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Home Depot, Inc. current strategy for growth: enhancing the core, expanding the market, and extending the business, according to Management’s discussion. To back their strategy they invested $3.9 billion back into their business and $727 million for acquisitions of new businesses during the fiscal year of 2004. Home Depot, Inc. invested in technology to increase the modernization of stores and make it more streamlined for customers. They expanded their business by opening new stores all over North America and offering a wide variety of installation programs, currently 23. They expanded the market by capturing a growing share of the professional residential, heavy construction, and commercial markets. Some goals for Home Depot, Inc. include opening 175 new stores by the fiscal year ending January 29, 2006 and an increase in sales growth of 9% to 12%. Other goals of Home Depot, Inc. have been implementation or expansion of a number of in-store initiatives. These initiatives include the Pro initiative, the Appliance initiative, and Designplace initiative. Home Depot’s strengths continue to be its willingness to improve its position in the home improvement market. Its strong plan of investing in itself to improve current stores and build new ones in growing markets allow Home Depot, Inc. to position itself to dominate the market. Uncertainty of lumber prices and other commodities in the market produce a sense of ambiguity when trying to predict future sales and growth in the market. Inflation and deflation are also perceived threats. An important opportunity for Home Depot is to gain more market share in the U.S. from competitors, such as Lowe’s. Andrew S. Wyatt Project Part II October 5th, 2005 A. For the latest full year (2004), calculate the following ratios for your company. *Money is given in Millions (a) Current Ratio: Current Assets / Current Liabilities 13,328/9,554 = 1.39502 (b) Quick Ratio: (CA-Inventory)/ CL 13,328-9,076/9,554 = 0.445049 (c) Times interest earned ratio: EBIT / Interest 6,843/112 = 61.0982 (d) Total Debt/ Equity: (TA-TE)/TA (34,437-22,407)/34,437 = 0.349334 Debt/Equity: TD/TE 12,030/22407= 0.536886 (e) Inv. T/O Ratio: COGS/Inventory 43,160/9,076 = 4.7554 (f) Avg. Collection Period: Sales/A/R64816/1097 = 59.0848 Days’ Sales in Receivables: 365/59.0848 = 6.17756 (g) Total Asset Turnover: Sales / TA 64,816/ 34,437 = 1.88216 (h) ROA: NI/Total Assets 4,304/34,437 = .124982 or 12.4982% (i) ROE DuPont: PM * TAT * EM .066403 * 1.88216 * 2.53689 = .317063 or 31.7063% (j) P/E Ratio: Price Per share/ Earnings per share 38.55/ 1.88 = 20.5053 B. Download the financial ratios for the 6 years provided in “Excel Analytics.” (a) The current ratio for Home Depot, Inc. has steadily declined since 2001. This decline seems to be very small and is not much cause for concern considering the ratio is still well above 1. Also, the working capital per share and cash flow per share has increased every year since 2001. Overall Home Depot liquidity has maintained its level over the years since the current and quick ratios have declined while the other ratios have increased. (b) After reviewing the “leverage” ratios for Home Depot, Inc. the company has shown no improvement in the financial leverage department. Even though the company has not actually improved, I do not believe there is reason for concern because after coming down, they appear to be going back up. (c) The “efficiency” ratios for Home Depot show an overall slight decline from 2001 and up to date as of 2005. As Home Depot has grown in size over the years, their overall utilization of resources has slightly declined. (d) The “profitability” ratios are actually improving. The numbers for Home Depot are up all across the board and have shown improvement from year to year. Regarding Home Depot, Inc. and their overall financial strength, I am optimistic. The “profitability” ratios are a great reason to be optimistic. They continue to improve and show signs of how profitable Home Depot, Inc. can be. While some of the other ratios may not show these kinds of improvement they are little cause for concern. C. Obtain Ratios for your company and industry. Valuation Ratios a. P/E ratio & spread b. Price to book c. Price to free cash flow Profitability ratios a. Gross profit margin b. Operating profit margin c. Net profit margin Management effectiveness ratios a. Return on assets b. Return on equity Efficiency ratios a. Receivables turnover b. Inventory turnover c. Asset turnover Home Depot, Inc. 15.45, High-47.44, Low-13.36 3.25 77.84 Industry 17.54, High-46.94, Low-13.06 3.51 73.12 33.52 11.14 6.99 34.03 10.57 6.69 13.33 22.52 12.4 22.26 42.62 4.85 1.91 39.38 4.65 1.87 Based on the comparison from Reuters and the available ratios, it appears that Home Depot, Inc. is on pace or ahead of the industry in most categories. This shows that Home Depot is strong within its own industry. Even though, they are slightly behind in the current P/E ratio and Price to Book ratio they show up well in other categories, especially within the profitability ratios. Their operating and net profit margins are ahead of the industry averages. They are also strong in the management effectiveness ratios, in which they are ahead of the industry in both categories. As of now, I would recommend to buy this stock. The prices are low and Home Depot, Inc. will rebound as numbers have shown. They are also strong within their own industry, which is a good sign. I believe their numbers are not as strong as they have been because this appears to be a slow time for this industry. Andrew S. Wyatt 000767324 Project Part 3 G = [2.3 + 8.1 + 6.2 + 11.7 + 29.5 + .1 – 10 + 14.3 – 4.9 + 5.4 + 10.3 + 12.5 + 3.8 + 11 + 11.5 + 2.1 + 5.2 + 4.8 + 11.1 + 13.8] / 20 G = 7.4% or 0.074 R = 10.21% or .1021 Price = [D0 (1+G)]/(R-G) Using the Dividend & Yield from Yahoo Finance of .40 [.40 (1+.074)]/(.1021-.074) .4296/.0281 15.2883 Price = [D0 (1+G0]/(R-G) Using the EPS from Yahoo Finance of 2.58 2.58(1.074)/.0281 98.6093 Using the P/E multiple average: (12.5 + 15.8 + 14.1 + 9.0 + 10.7 + 13.4 + 31.8 + 19.7 + 17.7 + 14.2 +13.1 + 15.2 + 17.7 + 21.8 + 21.8 + 21.5 + 24.7 + 20.0 + 17.2 + 16.8)/20 P/E Multiple Average = 17.435 Price = EPS*P/E ratio Price = 2.58* 17.435 Price = 44.9823 Beta = 1.21 R = Rf + B (Rm-Rf) 4.65 + 1.20 (26.4 – 4.65) R = 30.75% Price = [.40 (1 + .074)] / (.3075 - .074) Using the Dividend & Yield from Yahoo Finance of .40 Price = 1.83983 Price = [2.58 (1 + .074)] / (.3075 - .074) Using the EPS from Yahoo Finance of 2.58 Price= 11.8669 According to Reuters, Home Depot’s stock last traded at a price of 41.22, which was down .30 or -.72% from the previous day. Based on my calculations I do not believe I would purchase this stock. All of my price calculations except the earnings per share times the P/E ratio and the earnings per share in place of the dividend resulted in a lower price than what Home Depot is actually trading at. Based on all my analysis I do not believe I would invest in Home Depot currently. I do think Home Depot is a steady earner without too much risk involved, but I think the stock price is a little too expensive currently. If the price were to continue to drop, then a later point I believe Home Depot would be a good investment. As of now though, Home Depot’s stock is priced too high based on my calculations. In several months when the stores in the south, around Louisiana mainly, have had a chance to be repaired from flood damage and customers can once again use them might be a good time to invest. I expect the price to continue to drop until this occurs though. When the price reaches its lowest point, I believe it would be a good time to invest in Home Depot then.