AP Statistics 2011-2012 Instructor: April Cruz Room: 226 Phone: 239-369-2932 ext.1226 Email: aprildc@leeschools.net URL: http//:deriverswanted.wikispaces.com AP Exam Date: Wednesday, May 16, 2012 Course Description: AP Statistics is the high school equivalent of a one semester, introductory college statistics course. In this course, students develop strategies for collecting, organizing, analyzing, and drawing conclusions from data. Students design, administer, and tabulate results from surveys and experiments. Probability and simulations aid students in constructing models for chance phenomena. Sampling distributions provide the logical structure for confidence intervals and hypothesis tests. Students use a TI-83/84 graphing calculator, statistical software, and Web-based java applets to investigate statistical concepts. To develop effective statistical communication skills, students are required to prepare frequent written and oral analyses of real data. Reading and writing are key elements to success in this course. Course Goals: In AP Statistics, students are expected to learn Skills To produce convincing oral and written statistical arguments, using appropriate terminology, in a variety of applied settings. When and how to use technology to aid them in solving statistical problems Knowledge Essential techniques for producing data (surveys, experiments, observational studies, simulations), analyzing data (graphical & numerical summaries), modeling data (probability, random variables, sampling distributions), and drawing conclusions from data (inference procedures – confidence intervals and significance tests) Habits of mind To become critical consumers of published statistical results by heightening their awareness of ways in which statistics can be improperly used to mislead, confuse, or distort the truth. Course Outline: Text: The Practice of Statistics (3rd edition), by Yates, Moore, and Starnes, W. H. Freeman & Co., 2008. (referred to below as TPS) ISBN: 0-7167-7309-0 Part I: Analyzing Data: Looking for Patterns and Departures from Patterns Chapter 1 Exploring Data Chapter 2 Describing Location in a Distribution Chapter 3 Examining Relations Chapter 4 More about Relationships between Two Variables 1.1 Displaying Distributions with Graphs 1.2 Describing Distributions with Numbers 2.1 Measures of Relative Standing and Density Curves 2.2 Normal Distributions 3.1 Scatterplots and Correlation 3.2 Least-Square Regression 3.3 Correlation and Regression Wisdom 4.1 Transforming to Achieve Linearity 4.2 Relationships between Categorical Variables 4.3 Establishing Causation Part II: Producing Data: Surveys, Observational Studies, and Experiments Chapter 5 Producing Data 5.1 Designing Samples 5.2 Designing Experiments Part III: Probability and Random Variables – Foundations for Inference Chapter 6 Probability and Simulation: The Study of Randomness Chapter 7 Random Variables Chapter 8 The Binomial and Geometric Distributions 6.1 6.2 6.3 7.1 7.2 8.1 8.2 9.1 9.2 9.3 Chapter 9 Sampling Distributions Simulation Probability Models General Probability Rules Discrete and Continuous Random Variables Means and Variances of Random Variables The Binomial Distributions The Geometric Distributions Sampling Distributions Sample Proportions Sample Means Part IV: Inference – Conclusions with Confidence Chapter 10 Estimating with Confidence Chapter 11 Testing a Claim Chapter 12 Significance Tests in Practice Chapter 13 Comparing Two Population Parameters Chapter 14 Inference for Distributions of Categorical Values: Chi-Square Procedures 10.1 10.2 10.3 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 12.1 12.2 13.1 13.2 Confidence Intervals: The Basics Estimating a Population Mean Estimating a Population Proportion Significance Tests: The Basics Carrying Out Significance Tests Use and Abuse of Tests Using Inference to Make Decisions Tests about a Population Mean Tests about a Population Proportion Comparing Two Means Comparing Two Proportions 14.1 Test of Goodness of Fit 14.2 Inference for Two-Way Tables Review and Preparation for AP Exam Students are given a mock test prior to the exam. The tests are scored and analyzed by using the AP Scoring Guidelines posted on the College Board website. Post AP Exam Final Project – identify a research question, design a study to collect data on that question, analyze the data, and answer the question using an appropriate form of inference. A rubric will be provided. Teaching Strategies ∞ Lessons are designed using around the acronym, TAPS, where students will experience instruction via the total group, working alone, working in pairs, and working in small groups ∞ Differentiated strategies are utilized for mastery learning. ∞ Each lesson begins with a brief quiz over the previous night’s homework. ∞ Quizzes may consist of rote homework type questions and/or AP sample test questions. ∞ Tests consist of mainly AP sample test questions. ∞ Homework assignments include a variety of tasks. Reading and problems from the textbook are expected to be completed daily, as well as frequent postings onto our class wikispace. ∞ Major projects require research and written solutions and explanations, allowing students to show deeper understanding using alternative assessments. ∞ The midterm and final exam consists of problems from previous AP exams. Student Evaluation Summative Items (50%) ∞ Consists of unit tests, cumulative exams, and comprehensive projects. ∞ Students must be thorough with all work and explanations in order to receive full credit. ∞ Summative assessments are announced in advance. Formative Items (50%) ∞ 30% consists of quizzes and 20% consists of homework, class-work, projects, and participation. ∞ Homework and class-work are graded for completion and quizzes are graded for accuracy. ∞ No credit will be given for problems that do not show all explanations and calculations necessary to determine an answer. Grading Scale A 90 – 100 B 80 – 89 C 70 – 79 D 60 – 69 F 0 – 59