Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review What has been the impact of PNL changes on criminality and night time safety? Overall crime has fallen in Hertfordshire. Overall crime occuring between 00:00 and 06:00 has fallen in Hertfordshire. Overall crime occuring between 00:00 and 06:00 has fallen at CSP level Methodology Recorded crime data for the period 1st September to the end of February the following year has been reviewed for 2009/10, 2010/11, 2011/12 and 2012/13. Crimes that were known to have occurred between 00:00 and 06:00 were extracted and formed the basis of a more detailed analysis. Comments It is not possible to determe which crimes or which crime types are directly related to PNL. For example, criminal damage or burglary occuring during PNL may or may not have a direct correlation to PNL. Other crime types such as drink driving, shoplifting, malicious communications, disqualified driving are unlikely to have a direct correlation with PNL. The analysis does not address feelings of insecurity that may have been caused by PNL and is outside the scope of this work. The analysis considers all crimes and also considers certain crime types that may have or may be perceived to have a relationship with PNL. For the sake of transparency all reasoning is given in the appropriatre section. There will always be some variation in levels of criminality irrespective of whether it is day or night or if street lighting is on or off. 1 Mike Rhead, Head of Crime and Business Performance, Hertfordshire Constabulary 1 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Results Chart 1 indicates a year on year reduction for all recorded crime occuring between September and February at any time of day or night. Chart 1 If there was a direct relationship between PNL and overnight crime it may be reasonable to expect to see rising levels of crime across all areas impacted by PNL as suggested in chart 2. Chart 2 (Notional chart) 2 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Chart 3 relates to recorded crime that was known to have occurred between 00:00 and 06:00 across Hertfordshire. This chart indicates a year on year reduction in recorded crime. Chart 3 Chart 4 indicates recorded crime that occurred outside these hours across Hertfordshire. This chart also indicates a year on year reduction in recorded crime. Chart 4 Recorded crime levels have fallen at county level for crimes occurring between 00:00 and 06:00 and occurring between 06:00 and 24:00. Community Safety Partnerships (CSP) 3 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Hertfordshire has ten CSPs and recorded crime has been reviewed at CSP level. The following series of tables and charts have been created for a variety of crime types where to crime took place between 00:00 and 06:00. The selected examples relate to crimes that may be associated with night time crime. These include: Burglary Theft from person Assault Criminal damage Public order Other crime types, such as drink driving, shoplifting, malicious communications, disqualified driving are also presented separately, but these are not usually thought to relate to or be rddsinfluenced by part night operating street lighting. The charts give year on year comparisons and the tables break this down at CSP level and at county level. The tables are colour coded to try to impart greater clarity. The colour coding is as follows and each block represents a 6 month period: 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Numbers in each box indicate the number of recorded crimes for that crime type occurring between 00:00 and 06:00. For example 123 This colour coding is maintained only if each subsequent year is lower or the same as the previous year. The following pattern will be seen: If any year’s recorded crime type is higher than the previous year the colour coding changes to the following: The charts convey volume by number and relative increase/decrease by colour. Burglary 4 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review With the exception of Three Rivers, all CSPs had lower levels of burglary than in 2009/10. Three Rivers had 20 burglaries in 2009/10 compared to 23 burglaries in 2012/13. Burglary 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 19 28 30 10 Dacorum 44 37 44 22 Welwyn Hatfield 31 18 29 16 St Albans 39 45 24 15 Stevenage 26 22 11 11 East Herts 33 30 19 9 North Herts 37 37 24 16 Hertsmere 41 41 20 26 Broxbourne 56 52 21 20 Three Rivers 20 34 13 23 Total 346 344 235 168 Overnight burglary has reduced Criminal Damage 5 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review With the exception of Hertsmere all CSPs were below 2009/10 levels. Hertsmere had 40 criminal damage incidents in 2009/10 compared to 50 in 2012/13 Criminal Damage 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 106 67 64 55 Dacorum 93 89 58 50 Welwyn Hatfield 84 51 61 43 St Albans 62 57 51 50 Stevenage 101 76 63 52 East Herts 86 56 54 42 North Herts 58 61 53 42 Hertsmere 40 38 43 50 Broxbourne 44 52 41 27 Three Rivers 26 25 27 18 Total 700 572 515 429 Overall criminal damage has reduced Assault 6 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review With the exception of East Herts all CSPs were below or the same as 2009/10 levels. East Herts had 96 assaults in 2009/10 compared to 114 in 2012/13 Assault 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 195 157 177 192 Dacorum 83 94 90 79 Welwyn Hatfield 136 116 126 87 St Albans 79 80 104 62 Stevenage 132 116 120 127 East Herts 96 101 100 114 North Herts 81 76 102 68 Hertsmere 77 34 58 38 Broxbourne 60 84 51 58 Three Rivers 24 30 20 24 Total 963 888 948 849 Overnight assaults were at their lowest in 2012/13 Robbery personal 7 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review All CSPs were below or the same as 2009/10 levels Robbery Personal 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 11 6 9 3 Dacorum 8 11 3 1 Welwyn Hatfield 10 11 8 1 St Albans 7 8 7 6 Stevenage 8 6 1 2 East Herts 4 3 2 2 North Herts 3 2 3 3 Hertsmere 4 3 1 2 Broxbourne 5 8 1 3 Three Rivers 3 1 0 1 Total 63 59 35 24 Overnight personal robbery has reduced Vehicle crime 8 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review With the exception of Dacorum and East Herts all CSPs were below or the same as 2009/10 levels Dacorum had 13 vehicle crimes in 2009/10 compared to 17 in 2012/13 East Herts had 6 vehicle crimes in 2009/10 compared to 16 in 2012/13 Vehicle Crime 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 12 15 16 12 Dacorum 13 21 21 17 Welwyn Hatfield 13 8 12 8 St Albans 22 13 13 12 Stevenage 20 11 3 5 East Herts 6 13 12 16 North Herts 7 15 5 2 Hertsmere 15 8 13 15 Broxbourne 19 11 22 14 Three Rivers 20 15 8 5 Total 147 130 125 106 Overnight vehicle crime has reduced Theft from person 9 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review With the exception of Watford and St Albans all CSPs were below or the same as 2009/10 levels Watford had 74 in 2009/10 compared to 76 in 2012/13 St Albans had 6 in 2009/10 compared to 38 in 2012/13 Theft from person at night is predominantly linked to mobile phones Theft from Person 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 74 153 85 76 Dacorum 3 3 3 2 Welwyn Hatfield 17 14 15 13 St Albans 6 25 25 38 Stevenage 7 14 7 11 East Herts 5 10 13 3 North Herts 5 5 3 3 Hertsmere 2 3 3 1 Broxbourne 4 2 2 3 Three Rivers 1 1 1 1 Total 124 230 157 151 Theft from person reducing Theft With the exception of Watford all CSPs were below or the same as 2009/10 levels 10 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Watford had 66 theft crimes in 2009/10 compared to 71 in 2012/13 Theft 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 66 82 76 71 Dacorum 34 42 52 30 Welwyn Hatfield 55 39 33 29 St Albans 42 35 44 30 Stevenage 40 35 30 38 East Herts 29 36 37 25 North Herts 33 33 20 19 Hertsmere 22 25 27 19 Broxbourne 21 27 23 21 Three Rivers 16 14 16 7 Total 358 368 358 289 Theft reducing Public Order With the exception of North Herts all CSPs were below 2009/10 levels 11 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review North Herts had 29 public order offences in 2009/10 compared to 32 in 2012/13 Public Order 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 162 111 65 66 Dacorum 35 32 40 22 Welwyn Hatfield 32 25 21 16 St Albans 25 20 26 13 Stevenage 70 61 52 42 East Herts 94 107 52 29 North Herts 29 19 26 32 Hertsmere 20 13 8 10 Broxbourne 23 13 11 7 Three Rivers 3 4 3 3 Total 493 405 304 240 Public order crime has reduced Summary for burglary, criminal damage, assault, robbery personal, vehicle crime, theft from person, theft and public order These crime types account for 70% of all overnight crime (00:00 to 06:00) All CSPs are the same as or below 2009/10 levels 12 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Stevenage had one offence more in 2012/13 compared to 2011/12 in this category. All CSPs are demonstrating a downward trend for the crimes considered in this section. Summary 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 645 619 522 485 Dacorum 313 329 311 223 Welwyn Hatfield 378 282 305 213 St Albans 282 283 294 226 Stevenage 404 341 287 288 East Herts 353 356 289 240 North Herts 253 248 236 185 Hertsmere 221 165 173 161 Broxbourne 232 249 172 153 Three Rivers 113 124 88 82 Total 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Crime types considered in this section have reduced from 3,194 in 2009/10 to 2,256 in 2012/13, a total reduction of 938 crimes. Residual crimes Crime types not believed to relate to PNL and not considered in the previous section are now reviewed. This section includes drugs (possession and supply), drink driving, sex crimes and possession of a weapon. 13 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review With the exception of Watford, Dacorum, Stevenage and North Herts all CSPs were below 2009/10 levels Residual crimes 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 250 239 188 282 Dacorum 129 177 122 134 Welwyn Hatfield 133 123 150 112 St Albans 135 126 128 100 Stevenage 111 104 109 119 East Herts 117 127 116 104 North Herts 80 88 111 91 Hertsmere 118 115 118 104 Broxbourne 113 96 115 89 Three Rivers 67 60 43 46 Total 1,253 1,255 1,200 1,181 There is an overall reduction in these crime types but not as marked as in the previous section Drugs (Possession and supply) 14 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Drugs 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 98 116 93 141 Dacorum 40 74 46 47 Welwyn Hatfield 45 27 61 35 St Albans 53 57 38 34 Stevenage 33 30 24 41 East Herts 53 60 47 37 North Herts 21 32 40 38 Hertsmere 48 49 53 53 Broxbourne 39 46 54 36 Three Rivers 25 26 15 26 Total 455 517 471 488 Comparatively flat Drink Driving With the exception of East Herts all CSPs were below 2009/10 levels. East Herts had 32 drink drive offences in 2009/10 compared to 41 in 2012/13 15 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Drink drive 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 65 57 31 54 Dacorum 49 68 34 39 Welwyn Hatfield 40 45 43 35 St Albans 40 36 45 30 Stevenage 42 33 35 33 East Herts 32 35 31 41 North Herts 37 33 42 31 Hertsmere 37 31 31 28 Broxbourne 46 27 39 35 Three Rivers 30 25 17 17 Total 418 390 348 343 Drink drive crime has reduced Sex crimes Have remained flat with a reduction in 2012/13 16 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Sex 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 4 5 1 6 Dacorum 0 10 4 6 Welwyn Hatfield 7 5 4 2 St Albans 4 5 3 5 Stevenage 9 5 5 1 East Herts 5 4 11 1 North Herts 3 3 4 1 Hertsmere 5 1 3 2 Broxbourne 3 4 3 1 Three Rivers 1 0 2 0 Total 41 42 40 25 Flat with a reduction in 2012/13 Possess a weapon Reducing year on year Low levels 17 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Weapon 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 4 8 4 6 Dacorum 10 2 2 4 Welwyn Hatfield 2 8 4 1 St Albans 7 3 2 3 Stevenage 5 4 4 4 East Herts 11 3 7 4 North Herts 2 4 6 3 Hertsmere 1 6 3 2 Broxbourne 5 3 2 1 Three Rivers 2 2 1 0 Total 49 43 35 28 Possession of a weapon crime has reduced Other crime types These include drunk and disorderly, harassment (including malicious communications), shop lifting, obstructing police, disqualified driving and a number of other crimes that all have low levels. 18 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Other crime types 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Watford 79 50 59 75 Dacorum 30 23 34 36 Welwyn Hatfield 39 38 38 39 St Albans 31 25 39 28 Stevenage 22 32 39 39 East Herts 16 25 20 20 North Herts 15 15 17 17 Hertsmere 27 27 28 19 Broxbourne 19 16 17 16 Three Rivers 9 7 8 3 Total 287 258 299 292 Comparatively flat Beat level analysis 196 beat codes within the 10 CSPs have been reviewed. The following tables give the combined distribution of burglary, criminal damage, assault, robbery personal, vehicle crime, theft from person, theft and public order. The left hand table gives the % distribution within each beat and the right hand table gives the volume. 19 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Distribution Three Rivers Percentage Volume 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Rickmansworth 15% 41% 15% 29% Rickmansworth West 27% 36% 0% 36% Penn 50% 38% 0% 13% Chorleywood West 36% 27% 9% 27% Chorleywood 44% 6% 25% 25% Maple Cross & West Hyde 27% 27% 27% 18% Sarratt 40% 0% 20% 40% Croxley Green North 25% 50% 13% 13% Croxley Green 24% 33% 24% 19% Croxley Green South 35% 40% 10% 15% Langleybury 35% 22% 19% 24% Leavesden 19% 35% 31% 15% Bedmond 17% 17% 33% 33% Oxhey Hall 40% 13% 33% 13% Hayling 30% 35% 30% 5% Moor Park 31% 13% 19% 38% Carpenders Park 5% 65% 15% 15% Northwick 39% 20% 29% 12% Ashridge 17% 26% 22% 35% Three Rivers County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 6 17 6 12 3 4 0 4 4 3 0 1 4 3 1 3 7 1 4 4 9 9 9 6 2 0 1 2 2 4 1 1 5 7 5 4 7 8 2 3 13 8 7 9 5 9 8 4 2 2 4 4 6 2 5 2 6 7 6 1 5 2 3 6 1 13 3 3 16 8 12 5 4 6 5 8 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 113 124 88 82 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 East Herts Percentage Volume 20 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Hertford Kingsmead Great Amwell Hertford Castle Hertford Sele Hertford Bengeo Ware Chadwell Ware St. Mary's Stanstead Abbotts Ware Trinity Ware Christchurch Bishop's Stortford Central Bishop's Stortford All Saints Bishop's Stortford Meads Bishop's Stortford South Bishop's Stortford Silverleys Sawbridgeworth Much Hadham Little Hadham Hunsdon Buntingford Puckeridge Mundens & Cottered Braughing Walkern Hertford Heath Hertford Rural South Hertford Rural North Thundridge & Standon Watton-at-Stone Datchworth & Aston East Herts County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 16% 35% 19% 29% 11% 44% 26% 19% 25% 31% 21% 23% 20% 24% 31% 24% 37% 26% 22% 15% 34% 42% 11% 13% 16% 28% 28% 28% 10% 21% 34% 34% 20% 30% 37% 13% 18% 30% 28% 24% 32% 23% 23% 21% 31% 23% 28% 17% 38% 27% 24% 11% 23% 27% 33% 17% 16% 36% 20% 28% 42% 21% 23% 14% 31% 23% 23% 23% 20% 80% 0% 0% 32% 32% 11% 26% 30% 28% 35% 8% 33% 22% 33% 11% 50% 0% 50% 0% 0% 0% 67% 33% 0% 21% 57% 21% 14% 29% 29% 29% 33% 50% 0% 17% 33% 8% 33% 25% 36% 36% 0% 29% 44% 11% 22% 22% 21% 29% 14% 36% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 5 11 6 9 3 12 7 5 119 147 100 108 10 12 15 12 20 14 12 8 18 22 6 7 4 7 7 7 3 6 10 10 6 9 11 4 13 21 20 17 73 52 52 48 20 15 18 11 73 52 47 22 7 8 10 5 4 9 5 7 30 15 16 10 4 3 3 3 1 4 0 0 6 6 2 5 12 11 14 3 3 2 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 3 8 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 0 1 4 1 4 3 5 5 0 4 4 1 2 2 3 4 2 5 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 353 356 289 240 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Welwyn and Hatfield Percentage Volume 21 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Handside Hollybush Howlands Sherrards Panshanger Peartree Haldens Welwyn North Welwyn South Hatfield Central Hatfield West Hatfield South Hatfield North Hatfield East Brookmans Park & Little Heath Welham Green Northaw Welwyn Hatfield County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 36% 23% 25% 16% 22% 24% 37% 17% 33% 21% 28% 19% 33% 19% 30% 19% 29% 23% 31% 17% 25% 27% 29% 18% 35% 27% 15% 23% 33% 17% 39% 11% 21% 19% 33% 28% 28% 21% 32% 19% 32% 29% 26% 14% 36% 24% 28% 12% 30% 22% 26% 21% 30% 27% 23% 20% 34% 19% 13% 34% 36% 21% 23% 19% 18% 18% 27% 36% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 55 35 38 25 13 14 22 10 19 12 16 11 9 5 8 5 14 11 15 8 27 29 31 19 21 16 9 14 6 3 7 2 9 8 14 12 46 35 54 32 99 89 80 42 21 14 16 7 82 60 71 58 18 16 14 12 11 6 4 11 17 10 11 9 4 4 6 8 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 378 282 305 213 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Watford Percentage Watford Central Vicarage Holywell Park Nascot Oxhey Callowland Leggatts Woodside Stanborough Meriden Tudor Watford County level Volume 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 29% 29% 21% 21% 28% 25% 28% 19% 27% 17% 23% 33% 24% 17% 31% 28% 20% 36% 16% 28% 43% 11% 31% 14% 28% 23% 34% 15% 31% 12% 19% 38% 19% 38% 17% 26% 24% 39% 24% 12% 14% 27% 41% 18% 16% 18% 47% 18% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 513 497 369 362 23 20 23 15 16 10 14 20 17 12 22 20 5 9 4 7 15 4 11 5 13 11 16 7 13 5 8 16 8 16 7 11 8 13 8 4 7 14 21 9 6 7 18 7 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 645 619 522 485 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Dacorum Percentage Volume 22 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Hemel Hempstead Central Apsley Adeyfield East Corner Hall Leverstock Green Highfield & St. Pauls Grovehill Boxmoor Gadebridge Warners End Chaulden & Shrubhill Adeyfield West Bovingdon, Flaunden etc Bennetts End Kings Langley Watling Ward Woodhall Ward Nash Mills Berkhamsted Castle Ward Berkhamsted East Berkhamsted West Northchurch Ashridge Tring East Tring Central Tring West Aldbury & Wigginton Dacorum County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 21% 27% 31% 21% 21% 36% 32% 11% 32% 26% 27% 15% 33% 38% 23% 7% 26% 34% 31% 9% 29% 40% 17% 14% 34% 30% 15% 21% 11% 52% 19% 19% 64% 12% 12% 12% 24% 24% 38% 14% 29% 12% 24% 35% 29% 22% 20% 29% 36% 21% 29% 14% 20% 41% 10% 29% 4% 8% 50% 38% 21% 24% 32% 24% 28% 28% 24% 21% 20% 40% 20% 20% 23% 37% 20% 20% 27% 21% 30% 21% 36% 8% 24% 32% 21% 29% 29% 21% 33% 33% 33% 0% 50% 0% 33% 17% 21% 29% 36% 14% 48% 4% 26% 22% 21% 14% 43% 21% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 58 76 87 60 10 17 15 5 23 19 20 11 33 38 23 7 9 12 11 3 19 26 11 9 18 16 8 11 3 14 5 5 16 3 3 3 5 5 8 3 5 2 4 6 12 9 8 12 15 9 12 6 10 20 5 14 1 2 12 9 7 8 11 8 8 8 7 6 2 4 2 2 7 11 6 6 15 12 17 12 9 2 6 8 3 4 4 3 1 1 1 0 3 0 2 1 6 8 10 4 11 1 6 5 3 2 6 3 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 313 329 311 223 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Stevenage Percentage Volume 23 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Bedwell Old Town Pin Green Chells Manor Shephall Roebuck St. Nicholas Symonds Green Bandley Hill Martins Wood Long Meadow Woodfield Stevenage County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 32% 25% 22% 20% 25% 21% 19% 35% 22% 26% 27% 26% 32% 21% 23% 24% 21% 28% 31% 21% 32% 24% 24% 20% 32% 25% 25% 17% 38% 20% 20% 23% 20% 27% 29% 24% 40% 29% 16% 16% 31% 29% 21% 19% 32% 35% 14% 19% 21% 33% 18% 28% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 240 188 160 151 50 42 39 70 18 21 22 21 21 14 15 16 6 8 9 6 29 22 22 18 32 25 25 17 21 11 11 13 10 14 15 12 18 13 7 7 18 17 12 11 12 13 5 7 12 19 10 16 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 404 341 287 288 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Broxbourne Percentage Volume 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 Hoddesdon Town 27% 31% 20% 21% Broxbourne 49% 18% 20% 13% Wormley & Turnford 30% 30% 18% 22% Rye Park 39% 32% 9% 20% Hoddesdon North 28% 48% 3% 21% Cheshunt Central 32% 22% 29% 17% Cheshunt North 29% 37% 17% 17% Theobalds 27% 27% 32% 15% Waltham Cross 22% 31% 27% 19% Rosedale 15% 38% 23% 25% Bury Green 24% 21% 36% 19% Flamstead End 23% 16% 35% 26% Goffs Oak 36% 19% 14% 31% Broxbourne County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 54 61 40 42 22 8 9 6 41 41 25 30 22 18 5 11 8 14 1 6 32 22 29 17 23 29 13 13 32 32 38 18 40 56 49 34 6 15 9 10 21 19 32 17 10 7 15 11 13 7 5 11 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 232 249 172 153 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 St. Albans Percentage Volume 24 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review St. Peters Marshalswick North Marshalswick South Batchwood Sopwell Verulam Sandridge Clarence Ashley Cunningham Harpenden South Harpenden West Harpenden North Harpenden East Wheathampstead Redbourn London Colney St. Stephens Park Street Colney Heath 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 22% 25% 29% 24% 32% 32% 18% 18% 34% 30% 11% 25% 33% 31% 19% 17% 38% 32% 8% 22% 27% 30% 36% 6% 29% 25% 32% 14% 25% 37% 22% 16% 27% 31% 25% 17% 25% 28% 18% 30% 50% 21% 21% 8% 21% 24% 36% 19% 26% 33% 31% 10% 26% 32% 24% 18% 17% 27% 33% 23% 28% 23% 31% 17% 23% 17% 26% 35% 28% 26% 33% 12% 37% 19% 24% 20% 28% 30% 19% 23% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 84 97 110 93 7 7 4 4 15 13 5 11 18 17 10 9 23 19 5 13 9 10 12 2 8 7 9 4 13 19 11 8 19 22 18 12 15 17 11 18 12 5 5 2 12 14 21 11 10 13 12 4 13 16 12 9 5 8 10 7 57 47 63 35 15 11 17 23 16 15 19 7 20 10 13 11 13 14 9 11 North Herts Percentage Volume 25 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Priory Highbury Bearton Oughton Cadwell Gravely & Wymondley Walsworth Hitchwood Offa Hoo Kimpton Codicote Knebworth Letchworth East Grange Letchworth South East Letchworth South West Wilbury Baldock Town Baldock East Weston & Sandon Royston Meridian Royston Palace Royston Heath Ermine Arbury North Herts County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 22% 24% 23% 32% 17% 24% 41% 17% 32% 27% 25% 15% 23% 25% 27% 25% 24% 24% 29% 24% 23% 38% 31% 8% 24% 29% 38% 9% 38% 38% 19% 6% 36% 27% 0% 36% 36% 29% 14% 21% 11% 22% 11% 56% 20% 10% 40% 30% 19% 38% 27% 15% 28% 25% 31% 16% 19% 34% 34% 13% 16% 22% 29% 33% 25% 30% 30% 15% 29% 31% 27% 12% 32% 30% 22% 16% 50% 13% 0% 38% 22% 33% 22% 22% 40% 5% 15% 40% 22% 26% 28% 24% 38% 26% 26% 11% 27% 18% 36% 18% 30% 25% 35% 10% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 54 58 56 78 8 11 19 8 37 31 29 17 10 11 12 11 4 4 5 4 3 5 4 1 11 13 17 4 6 6 3 1 4 3 0 4 5 4 2 3 1 2 1 5 2 1 4 3 5 10 7 4 26 23 29 15 6 11 11 4 10 14 18 21 22 27 27 13 15 16 14 6 28 26 19 14 4 1 0 3 2 3 2 2 8 1 3 8 17 20 22 19 18 12 12 5 3 2 4 2 6 5 7 2 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 253 248 236 185 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Hertsmere Percentage Volume 26 Appendix C – Hertfordshire Constabulary Review Aldenham West Aldenham East Elstree Borehamwood Brook Meadow Borehamwood Cowley Hill Borehamwood Hillside Borehamwood Kenilworth Borehamwood Shenley Bushey North Bushey St. James Bushey Park Bushey Heath Potters Bar Furzefield Potters Bar Parkfield Potters Bar Oakmere Hertsmere County level 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 32% 12% 26% 29% 33% 38% 21% 8% 33% 23% 25% 19% 25% 32% 19% 24% 20% 24% 19% 37% 37% 24% 22% 18% 29% 27% 25% 19% 28% 25% 19% 27% 21% 25% 29% 24% 24% 21% 36% 19% 21% 14% 29% 36% 29% 18% 24% 29% 36% 11% 38% 15% 30% 20% 30% 20% 40% 22% 23% 15% 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 11 4 9 10 8 9 5 2 17 12 13 10 32 41 25 31 24 29 23 44 50 32 30 24 23 21 20 15 30 27 20 29 16 19 22 18 14 12 21 11 3 2 4 5 10 6 8 10 22 7 23 9 23 15 23 15 29 16 17 11 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/13 221 165 173 161 3,194 2,996 2,677 2,256 Conclusion Crime levels in Hertfordshire have been falling for a number of years. Overnight crime (between 00:00 and 06:00) at both CSP and County level has also continued to fall. The position at beat level is more varied. Many beat have low crime levels and some of the variation will be natural variance and some may be as a direct consequence of NPL. Whilst there is some variation at beat level there is no overall aggregated increase in criminality at beat level. The evidence does not appear to support the view that PNL has caused an increase in criminality within the county. 27