CHAPTER 2 NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING 2.1 Introduction (a) National income statistics e.g., (NNP), (NDP) and (GNP), (NI) are (GDP), which describe the performance of an economy. (b) They are used as measures of all produced goods and services evaluated at prices. (c) Three key points in this definition : (i) Currently produced It is a stock / flow concept which measures the value of output per period of time (usually a year). market transaction of second hand cars, old houses should / should not be counted in the GDP. (ii) Final goods and services Intermediate goods are not counted in GDP to avoid Take a noodle making factory as an example, the value of wheat and flour ( goods) should / should not be added to the value of noodle ( goods) in calculating the GDP. (iii) Evaluated at market prices GDP is measured in dollar terms at market value. All , and self-provided goods and services are excluded from the GDP. Exercise 1 Study the following case and identify which items should be included in the calculation of GDP. On Mary’s birthday, her mother baked a cake which worth $250 if sold in the market. Mary’s mother had spent $15 on buying eggs, $20 on flour and $30 on cream. And a friend of Mary bought counterfeit CDs at $200 from a hawker as birthday gift. 1 2.2 Circular Flow of Income (p.13) Households Firms real flow -------- money flow a. c. b. d. By definition, market value of all outputs = 2.3 = Approaches of Measurement of National Income (p.20) (1) Expenditure approach GDP = Remarks : (i) Buying flats are treated as (ii) Change in stock is treated as instead of expenditure. expenditure. (iii) Buying stocks and shares are / are not investment. (iv) Government expenditure is valued at rather than at market prices. (v) Transfer payments are included / excluded. (2) Output / value-added approach (3) Income approach NI = Remarks : (i) Interest income from holding government bonds should / should not be included. (ii) A capital gain is / is not an income. (iii) NI is equal to NNP / GNP at . * From NI to personal income (PI) and disposable personal income (DPI) (p.17) PI = NI DPI = PI 2 2.4 Related Measures of National Income Accounting (1) GDP and GNP (p.18) GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced by in a given year. The factors of production may be supplied by residents or non-residents. GNP measures the total earned by from engaging in production in a given year. It does not matter where residents carry out their production. * Resident production units : They are production units which maintain a centre of in the economic territory of the country or region. ~ For organization, resident production units refer to those which normally and in the economic territory of a region. * Residents : It refers to those who in the economic territory. ~ The residents of a region may or may not have the right of abode in a region. ~ Foreign employees working in HK on long term contracts (more than 1 year) are / are not regarded as the residents of HK. GNP = GDP + Exercise 2 GNP > GDP, if the net income from abroad is GNP < GDP, if the net income from abroad is GNP = GDP, if the net income from abroad is . . . (2) NNP NNP = GNP (3) GNP at market prices (GNPm) and at factor cost (GNPf) (p.16) GNPf = GNPm NI =NNP at = GNPm (4) GNP at current market prices (nominal GNP) and at constant market prices (real 3 GNP) (p.19) Implicit GNP deflator = GNP (Y) / GNP (Q) x 100 reflect the overall price level (P) (i.e., Y/Q x 100 = P Q = Y/P x 100 Q = Y x 100/P where 100 is the price index of the base year and P is the current overall price index and is known as implicit GNP deflator.) (5) GNP per capita GNP per capita = GNP / Exercise 3 1989 1990 1991 At current market prices 499,157 555,856 633,023 At constant 1980 prices 254,434 262,189 272,480 (a) What are the GDP implicit price deflators for all three years ? (b) What are the inflation rates as measured by the GDP deflators for 1990 and 1991 ? 2.5 Limitations of National Income Statistics (p.24) (1) Non-market productive activities are left out E.g., housewives’ work and volunteer services are excluded from the GNP. In less developed countries, there are significantly proportion of non-market production. Hence, GNP may be . (2) Transactions in the underground economy are left out GNP is then . (3) GNP may be enlarged by a large population size Hence GNP is preferred to measure the standard of living across countries. (4) GNP is not a welfare measure in terms of leisure and pollution The longer we work, the the GNP, the the leisure time. Under this, GNP is . Industrial production produces pollution, but GNP does not take into account of this, so the GNP may be . 4 (5) Uneven distribution of income If national income is largely concentrated in the hands of a few people, the living standard of the majority is still . (6) Composition of output may be distorted Average standard of living will not be high (at present) if a large part of the GNP consists goods for or/and large part of government expenditure is on . (7) Prices change over time An increase in GNP at current market prices may not necessary imply a rise in real GNP (which reflects the living standard). Maybe it is only the result of a rise in the . (8) Exchange rate fluctuates overtime The fluctuation in affects the accuracy of converting statistics into one single currency for cross country comparison. 5