1 1 Type of submission: News and Views 2 Title: Leveraging Legacies: Will the Toronto 2015 Pan Am Games really benefit public 3 health? 4 Authors: 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 *Marc Mitchell1,2, PhD (c) Email: marc.mitchell@mail.utoronto.ca Heather Manson2, MD, FRCPC, MHSc Ken Allison2, PhD Jennifer Robertson2, PhD Peter Donnelly1, PhD Jack Goodman1, PhD 1University of Toronto, Faculty of Kinesiology and Physical Education, 55 Harbord Street, Toronto, ON 2Public Health Ontario, Health Promotion, Chronic Disease, and Injury Prevention, 480 University Avenue, Suite 300, Toronto, ON 2 25 Abstract 26 Toronto and the surrounding area will host the $1.4 billion Pan/Parapan American 27 Games in 2015 (TO2015). TO2015’s 2009 bid document, Your Moment is Here, 28 outlines the anticipated societal benefits, or legacies, of the Games. In this document, 29 TO2015 organizers describe the potential for the Games to create positive ‘public 30 health’ legacies in particular. Public health legacies are operationally defined as all 31 those elements assuring the conditions for populations to be healthy (e.g., employment 32 opportunities, access to affordable housing, public transit, and recreation opportunities). 33 We argue that unless certain mechanisms are in place, TO2015 is unlikely to produce 34 all the purported public health benefits outlined in its bid document. While some 35 mechanisms may be in place to facilitate positive public health legacies from TO2015 36 (e.g., new transit infrastructure), others are notably absent (e.g., access to affordable 37 housing). In view of persisting global economic instability and government austerity, 38 TO2015 legacies should not be considered as an automatic ‘trickle down’ or by-product 39 – rather, they need to be planned for, organized, and funded in the same way as 40 TO2015. While equal investment may be unrealistic, minimizing Games-time spending 41 and shifting resources for enhanced legacy planning/fulfilment is recommended. The 42 2012 Summer Olympic Games in London offer an opportunity to reflect on TO2015 and 43 whether mechanisms are in place to produce long-lasting public health benefits from the 44 Games. 45 MeSH: Anniversaries and special events, Public health, Sports 46 47 3 48 Introduction 49 The 2012 Summer Olympic Games in London are projected to cost more than $30 50 billion (US) – twice the inflation-adjusted price tag of the notoriously costly 1992 51 Summer Olympic Games in Barcelona.(1,2) As the cost of hosting a mega-sporting 52 event (MSE) has increased, the trend has been for host cities to focus on the potential 53 for these events to leverage broader societal benefits, or ‘legacies’. In particular, the 54 legacy focus of MSEs has shifted to the creation of positive ‘public health’ legacies, 55 reflecting the rising concern over high rates of chronic disease in developed nations. 56 Public health legacies, operationally defined as all those elements assuring the 57 conditions for populations to be healthy (e.g., employment opportunities, access to 58 affordable housing, public transit, recreation opportunities), have emerged as a common 59 legacy pledge in MSE bid documents, despite the lack of supporting evidence. Toronto, 60 host of the $1.441 billion 2015 Pan/Parapan American Games (TO2015), provides a 61 case in point. While a stronger tourism industry, more employment opportunities, and 62 economic growth may positively influence public health over the long term, assessing 63 the impact of MSEs on these factors was beyond the scope of this paper. The data that 64 does exist, however, is contradictory, with no clear evidence of MSEs having a positive 65 or negative impact on tourism, employment, or economic growth (3). 66 67 According to the TO2015 bid book, Your Moment is Here, Games-related investments 68 will contribute to the “creation of affordable housing and community sports facilities, 69 (and) enhanced access to public transit”.(4; p.68) Since these outcomes are important 70 socioeconomic determinants of health,(5) TO2015 organizers contend that the short- 4 71 term mega-investment in the Games will also improve the health of Torontonians and 72 Ontarians over the long-term (e.g., that new sports infrastructure will increase public 73 participation in physical activity). This is not the likely scenario, however. Rather, we 74 argue that unless certain mechanisms are in place, TO2015 is unlikely to produce the 75 purported public health benefits outlined in its bid document. 76 77 Affordable Housing 78 The TO2015 Athletes’ Village may technically “create affordable housing” (4; p.61) in 79 Toronto, with 353 units earmarked for affordable ownership/renting in the West Don 80 Lands area.(6) History suggests, however, that bid-time pledges such as this rarely 81 manifest as intended. For example, half of the 252 units set aside for social housing in 82 Vancouver’s 2010 Winter Olympic Games Athletes’ Village are now being rented out at 83 ‘market rate’ to essential service workers, and not to low-income Vancouverites as 84 initially promised.(7) 85 In addition, the meagre number of units earmarked as affordable by MSE organizers 86 usually does not offset the predictable rise in house prices following the event. Indeed, 87 evidence from a systematic review of the socioeconomic impacts of major multi-sport 88 events suggests a trend toward higher house prices in Olympic cities following the 89 MSE.(3) The rising cost of a single-family home in Toronto (a nearly 10% increase was 90 observed in the last year alone),(8) along with the anticipated ‘bump’ in house prices 91 from TO2015, may displace more low-income families in Toronto than will be supported 92 by the units earmarked as ‘affordable’ (in 2006, there were 134, 247 low income families 93 in the City of Toronto (9), while only 353 Pan Am Games housing units have been 5 94 reserved for affordable ownership/renting (6)). A more comprehensive plan to fulfill 95 TO2015’s affordable housing legacy pledge is required. 96 97 Such a plan might include securing funding for additional affordable housing units, the 98 introduction of ‘laneway housing’ legislation (e.g., permitting detached dwellings in the 99 typical garage/laneway area of single-family lots, as was enacted in Vancouver in 2009, 100 but considering recommendations from a 2006 City of Toronto Staff Report),(10,11) and 101 seeking innovative cross-sectoral partnerships. The award-winning partnership between 102 BC Housing, the Vancouver Organizing Committee, and building manufacturer WEQ 103 Britco LP (Britco) offers a model from which to work. The Britco-led partnership 104 reconfigured temporary rooms used during the 2010 Games into permanent social 105 housing units that have been relocated across British Columbia.(12) To provide a more 106 meaningful affordable housing legacy, Infrastructure Ontario could re-evaluate its 107 relationship with developer Dundee Kilmer Developments LP to encourage the 108 reconfiguration and relocation of temporary lodging from TO2015’s Athletes’ Village. 109 110 Sports Facilities 111 TO2015 organizers also claim that new and refurbished sports facilities will “increase 112 physical activity within the general population”.(4; p.210) There is little clear evidence, 113 however, that hosting a MSE consistently increases access to sports facilities or 114 produces a ‘trickle down’ effect - the often-cited phenomena where mass physical 115 activity participation is stimulated by exposure to elite sport.(13) Athlete success and 116 increased visibility during MSEs does not necessarily translate into increased public 6 117 participation in sport – other factors, like adequate facility and program infrastructures, 118 need to be in place to meet MSE-induced surges in interest).(13) According to a 119 systematic review, public access to sports facilities and subsequent use is largely 120 contingent on two factors: 1) facility location (e.g., proximity of facilities to target 121 populations) and 2) thoughtful legacy planning (e.g., ensuring user fees, if any, are not 122 prohibitively costly).(14; p.37) 123 124 A recent announcement by TO2015 CEO Ian Troop indicated that TO2015 competition 125 will be ‘clustered’ almost exclusively in Toronto, and not across southern Ontario as 126 originally planned.(15) The move, it is suggested, will save money. The cost-cutting 127 measure is occurring at the expense of populations living outside Toronto, however, 128 who have limited access to recreation opportunities. Some of the very municipalities 129 that supported the TO2015 bid for a chance at a positive sports facilities legacy are now 130 being cut out of the deal (i.e. 11 municipalities, rather than 16 as first announced, will be 131 involved in hosting TO2015 competitions).(15) Sherwood Forest Park will not be 132 retrofitted to host TO2015 soccer matches as previously described, for instance, 133 disrupting the development of a key infrastructural legacy in Burlington, Ontario. The 134 new, centralized venue cluster design may actually undermine community support 135 outside of Toronto, an important pre-condition for the development of positive MSE 136 legacies.(14) It is recommended that monies saved through further cost-saving 137 measures be re-directed to the fulfillment of bid-time facility legacy pledges. 138 7 139 In terms of long-term legacy planning, TO2015 has established a $70 million Facility 140 Operating Trust Fund to support the ongoing operation and maintenance of TO2015 141 facilities (presumably, from interest gained, as is the case with Vancouver’s $110 million 142 Legacy Endowment Fund).(16) Since the annual contribution from the Legacy 143 Endowment Fund is not sufficient to cover current operating costs of 2010 facilities,(16) 144 additional contributions to TO2015’s Operating Trust are likely needed. The strategic 145 additional investment would help optimize facility use over the long-term (e.g., >5yrs). 146 Additional funding could be leveraged through private sector partnerships, or preferably, 147 through minimizing Games-time spending. Currently, less than 5% of TO2015 capital 148 and operating expenses are dedicated to legacy spending.(4; p.195) 149 150 While clustering competition in Toronto may increase efficiency and curb costs, 151 significant changes to venue plans, on top of recent concerns from Ontario Members of 152 Parliament (MPP) including Conservative MPP Rod Jackson, over “explosive” 153 Organizing Committee salaries,(17) make it hard to believe the Games will be delivered 154 as promised, and on budget. Since final MSE budgets usually surpass initial projections 155 by 300-500%,(1) regular and transparent budget updates, as recently promised by Mr. 156 Troop, will be required (and should be mandated) to maintain the accountability 157 Canadian taxpayers deserve. 158 159 Public Transit 160 TO2015 organizers have also promised “enhanced transportation networks” (4; p.212) 161 to increase social inclusion and economic opportunities. Other jurisdictions have 8 162 successfully leveraged MSEs to improve transportation infrastructure and yield a wide- 163 range of public health benefits (e.g., less automobile use, improved air quality).(3) The 164 ‘bullet train’ built for the 1998 Winter Olympic Games in Nagano, for example, 165 significantly reduced travel time and increased transit use compared to before the 166 Games.(1) The accelerated development of transport services and pedestrian 167 improvements in Wales and Cardiff leading up to the 1999 Rugby World Cup, were key 168 infrastructural legacies as well, creating opportunities for active transportation and 169 reducing emissions.(18) 170 171 Accelerating the development of transit projects that are in the ‘pipeline’ is a common 172 path through which MSEs create positive infrastructural legacies. Toronto seems to be 173 well-positioned to capitalize on TO2015 as the development of a number of transit 174 projects have been approved and funded far earlier than expected (e.g., new roadways 175 and extensions in the West Don Lands area).(5) As well, while Toronto’s long-overdue 176 Air Rail Link between Union Station and Pearson International Airport will not directly 177 service TO2015 venues, final approval was likely spurred by the successful TO2015 bid 178 (the Link was approved a few months after the successful bid and is planned to be 179 completed in time for the Game in 2015).(20) 180 181 In the run up to the Games, however, several notable opportunities are being missed. 182 For example, while the Link is expected to eliminate 1.2 million car trips annually, it 183 appears that in a hasty effort to complete it by 2015 (a seemingly arbitrary deadline) the 184 project may fall short of expectations. The Link currently plans to construct two stops 9 185 only between the airport and Union Station. City councillors have called for more stops 186 over the concern that the Link will end up better serving those who fly to Toronto for the 187 day, than the communities through which it will pass.(16) It is recommended that 188 Metrolinx, the Government of Ontario agency responsible for Link construction, consider 189 adding stops to the line (but not necessarily by 2015). As well, to maximize ridership, it 190 is recommended that user fees be kept in line with those of other major cities (e.g., $5- 191 10). Leveraging TO2015 to increase access to public transit, reduce emissions and 192 promote active transportation, is a public health legacy worth vigorously pursuing. 193 194 Conclusion 195 MSEs provide unique opportunities for new policies, partnerships and infrastructure 196 investments that may improve public health. The 2012 Summer Olympic Games in 197 London offer an opportunity to reflect on TO2015 and whether mechanisms are in place 198 to produce purported public health benefits. While some mechanisms are in place to 199 facilitate positive public health legacies, others are notably absent. Namely, a lack of a 200 comprehensive plan linked to TO2015 to counteract rising house prices in Toronto; an 201 Operating Trust that may be too small to support facility use over the long-term; and a 202 rapid transit line that may not benefit the local population, may block the development of 203 the public health legacies outlined in TO2015’s bid document. In view of persisting 204 global economic instability and government austerity, MSE legacies should not be 205 considered as an automatic ‘trickle down’ – rather, they need to be planned for, 206 organized, and funded in the same way as MSEs. After all, legacies are the reason 207 cities choose to bid for these events, right? 10 208 Declaration of competing interests: None. 209 210 Acknowledgements: We gratefully acknowledge Dr. Scott Thomas for contributing to 211 project conception and collaborations as well as Michelle Brownrigg for critically 212 reviewing the paper. We also acknowledge the key informants who offered content 213 expertise throughout the development of this paper. 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 11 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 References 1. Zimbalist A. Is it worth it? Hosting the Olympic Games and other mega sporting events is an honour many countries aspire to-but why? Finance Dev March 2010;8-11. 2. Zarnowski, F. A Look at Olympic Costs. 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