1 1 Type of submission: News and Views 2 Title: Leveraging Legacies: Will the Toronto 2015 Pan Am Games really benefit public 3 health? 4 Word count of abstract: 193 5 Word count of body of text: 1564 6 Authors: 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 *Marc Mitchell1,2, PhD (c) Email: marc.mitchell@mail.utoronto.ca Heather Manson2, MD, FRCPC, MHSc Ken Allison2, PhD Jennifer Robertson2, PhD Peter Donnelly1, PhD Jack Goodman1, PhD 1University of Toronto, Faculty of Kinesiology and Physical Education, 55 Harbord Street, Toronto, ON 2Public Health Ontario, Health Promotion, Chronic Disease, and Injury Prevention, 480 University Avenue, Suite 300, Toronto, ON 2 34 Abstract 35 Toronto and the surrounding area will host the $1.4 billion Pan/Parapan American 36 Games in 2015 (TO2015). TO2015’s 2009 bid document, Your Moment is Here, 37 outlines the anticipated societal benefits, or legacies, of the Games. In this document, 38 TO2015 organizers describe the potential for the Games to create positive ‘public 39 health’ legacies in particular. Public health legacies are operationally defined as all 40 those elements assuring the conditions for populations to be healthy (e.g., access to 41 affordable housing, public transit, and recreation opportunities). We argue that unless 42 certain mechanisms are in place, TO2015 is unlikely to produce all the purported public 43 health benefits outlined in its bid document. While some mechanisms may be in place to 44 facilitate positive public health legacies from TO2015, others are notably absent. In view 45 of persisting global economic instability and government austerity, TO2015 legacies 46 should not be considered as an automatic ‘trickle down’ or by-product – rather, they 47 need to be planned for, organized, and funded in the same way as TO2015. The 2012 48 Summer Olympic Games in London offer an opportunity to reflect on TO2015 and 49 whether mechanisms are in place to produce long-lasting public health benefits from the 50 Games. 51 MeSH: Anniversaries and special events, Public health, Sports 52 53 54 55 56 3 57 Introduction 58 The 2012 Summer Olympic Games in London are projected to cost $30 billion (US)(1) – 59 twice the inflation-adjusted price tag of the notoriously costly 1992 Summer Olympic 60 Games in Barcelona.(2) 61 increased, the trend has been for host cities to focus on the potential for these events to 62 leverage broader societal benefits, or ‘legacies’. In particular, the legacy focus of MSEs 63 has shifted to the creation of positive ‘public health’ legacies, reflecting the rising 64 concern over high rates of chronic disease in developed nations. Public health legacies, 65 operationally defined as all those elements assuring the conditions for populations to be 66 healthy (e.g., access to affordable housing, public transit, recreation opportunities), 67 have emerged as a common legacy pledge in MSE bid documents, despite the lack of 68 supporting evidence. Toronto, host of the $1.441 billion 2015 Pan/Parapan American 69 Games (TO2015), provides a case in point. As the cost of hosting a mega-sporting event (MSE) has 70 71 According to the TO2015 bid book, Your Moment is Here, Games-related investments 72 will contribute to the “creation of affordable housing and community sports facilities, 73 (and) enhanced access to public transit”.(3; p.68) Since these outcomes are important 74 socioeconomic determinants of health,(4) TO2015 organizers contend that the short- 75 term mega-investment in the Games will also improve the health of Torontonians and 76 Ontarians over the long-term (e.g., that new sports infrastructure will increase public 77 participation in physical activity). This is not the likely scenario, however. Rather, we 78 argue, using existing knowledge and drawing from interviews with key informants, that 4 79 unless certain mechanisms are in place, TO2015 is unlikely to produce the purported 80 public health benefits outlined in its bid document. 81 82 83 84 85 86 Figure 1: 1992 Barcelona and 2012 London Summer Olympic Game cauldrons, respectively, reflect the increasing cost, and complexity, of mega-sporting events. 87 Affordable Housing 88 The TO2015 Athletes’ Village may technically “create affordable housing” (3; p.61) in 89 Toronto, with 353 units earmarked for affordable ownership/renting in the West Don 90 Lands area.(5) Past experience suggests, however, that bid-time pledges such as this 91 rarely manifest as intended. For example, half of the 252 units set aside for social 92 housing in Vancouver’s 2010 Winter Olympic Games Athletes’ Village are now being 93 rented out at ‘market rate’ to essential service workers, and not to low-income 94 Vancouverites as initially promised.(6) 95 96 In addition, the meagre number of units earmarked as affordable by MSE organizers 97 usually does not offset the predictable rise in house prices following the event. Indeed, 5 98 evidence from a systematic review of the socioeconomic impacts of major multi-sport 99 events suggests a trend toward higher house prices in Olympic cities following the 100 MSE.(7) The rising cost of a single-family home in Toronto (a nearly 10% increase was 101 observed in the last year alone),(8) along with the anticipated ‘bump’ in house prices 102 from TO2015, may displace more low-income families in Toronto than will be supported 103 by the units earmarked as ‘affordable’. A more comprehensive plan to fulfill TO2015’s 104 affordable housing legacy pledge is required. 105 106 Such a plan might include securing funding for additional affordable housing units, the 107 introduction of ‘laneway housing’ legislation (e.g., permitting detached dwellings in the 108 typical garage/laneway area of single-family lots, as was enacted in Vancouver in 109 2009),(9) and seeking innovative cross-sectoral partnerships. The award-winning 110 partnership between BC Housing, the Vancouver Organizing Committee, and building 111 manufacturer WEQ Britco LP (Britco) offers a model from which to work. The Britco-led 112 partnership reconfigured temporary rooms used during the 2010 Games into permanent 113 social housing units that have been relocated across British Columbia.(10) To provide a 114 more meaningful affordable housing legacy, Infrastructure Ontario could re-evaluate its 115 relationship with developer Dundee Kilmer Developments LP to encourage the 116 reconfiguration and relocation of temporary lodging from TO2015’s Athletes’ Village. 117 118 Sports Facilities 119 TO2015 organizers also claim that new and refurbished sports facilities will “increase 120 physical activity within the general population”.(3; p.210) There is little clear evidence, 6 121 however, that hosting a MSE consistently increases access to sports facilities or 122 produces a ‘trickle down’ effect - the often-cited phenomena where mass physical 123 activity participation is stimulated by exposure to elite sport.(11) According to a 124 systematic review, public access to sports facilities and subsequent use is largely 125 contingent on two factors: 1) facility location (e.g., proximity of facilities to target 126 populations) and 2) thoughtful legacy planning (e.g., ensuring user fees, if any, are not 127 prohibitively costly).(12; p.37) 128 129 A recent announcement by TO2015 CEO Ian Troop indicated that TO2015 competition 130 will be ‘clustered’ almost exclusively in Toronto, and not across southern Ontario as 131 originally planned.(13) The move, it is suggested, will save money. The cost-cutting 132 measure is occurring at the expense of populations living outside Toronto, however, 133 who have limited access to recreation opportunities. Some of the very municipalities 134 that supported the TO2015 bid for a chance at a positive sports facilities legacy are now 135 being cut out of the deal (i.e. 11 municipalities, rather than 16 as first announced, will be 136 involved in hosting TO2015 competitions).(13) Sherwood Forest Park will not be 137 retrofitted to host TO2015 soccer matches as previously described, for instance, 138 disrupting the development of a key infrastructural legacy in Burlington, Ontario. The 139 new, centralized venue cluster design may actually undermine community support 140 outside of Toronto, an important pre-condition for the development of positive MSE 141 legacies.(12) It is recommended that monies saved through further cost-saving 142 measures be re-directed to the fulfillment of bid-time facility legacy pledges. 143 7 144 In terms of thoughtful legacy planning, TO2015 has established a $70 million Facility 145 Operating Trust Fund to support the ongoing operation and maintenance of TO2015 146 facilities (presumably, from interest gained, as is the case with Vancouver’s $110 million 147 Legacy Endowment Fund).(14) Since the annual contribution from the Legacy 148 Endowment Fund is not sufficient to cover current operating costs of 2010 facilities,(14) 149 additional contributions to TO2015’s Operating Trust are likely needed. The strategic 150 additional investment would help optimize facility use over the long-term (e.g., >5yrs). 151 Additional funding could be leveraged through private sector partnerships, or preferably, 152 through minimizing Games-time spending. Currently, less than 5% of TO2015 capital 153 and operating expenses are dedicated to legacy spending.(3; p.195) 154 155 While clustering competition in Toronto may increase efficiency and curb costs, 156 significant changes to venue plans, on top of recent concerns over “explosive” 157 Organizing Committee salaries,(15) make it hard to believe the Games will be delivered 158 as promised, and on budget. Since final MSE budgets usually surpass initial projections 159 by 300-500%,(2) regular and transparent budget updates, as recently promised by Mr. 160 Troop, will be required (and should be mandated) to maintain the accountability 161 Canadian taxpayers deserve. 162 163 Public Transit 164 TO2015 organizers have also promised “enhanced transportation networks” (3; p.212) 165 to increase social inclusion and economic opportunities. Other jurisdictions have 166 successfully leveraged MSEs to improve transportation infrastructure and yield a wide- 8 167 range of public health benefits (e.g., less automobile use, improved air quality).(7) The 168 ‘Canada Line’, for example, a new rapid transit line from Vancouver International Airport 169 to downtown Vancouver, has successfully drawn people from their cars with 20% more 170 Vancouverites now using mass transit compared with before the Games.(14) 171 172 Accelerating the development of transit projects that are in the ‘pipeline’ is a common 173 path through which MSEs create positive infrastructural legacies. Toronto seems to be 174 well-positioned to capitalize on TO2015 as the development of a number of transit 175 projects have been approved and funded far earlier than expected (e.g., new roadways 176 and extensions in the West Don Lands area).(5) As well, while Toronto’s long-overdue 177 Air Rail Link between Union Station and Pearson International Airport will not directly 178 service TO2015 venues, final approval is believed to have been spurred by the 179 successful TO2015 bid. 180 181 In the run up to the Games, however, several notable opportunities are being missed. 182 For example, while the Link is expected to eliminate 1.2 million car trips annually, it 183 appears that in a hasty effort to complete it by 2015 (a seemingly arbitrary deadline) the 184 project may fall short of expectations. The Link currently plans to construct two stops 185 only between the airport and Union Station. City councillors have called for more stops 186 over the concern that the Link will end up better serving those who fly to Toronto for the 187 day, than the communities through which it will pass.(16) It is recommended that 188 Metrolinx, the Government of Ontario agency responsible for Link construction, consider 189 adding stops to the line (but not necessarily by 2015). As well, to maximize ridership, it 9 190 is recommended that user fees be kept in line with those of other major cities (e.g., $5- 191 10). Leveraging TO2015 to increase access to public transit, reduce emissions and 192 promote active transportation, is a public health legacy worth vigorously pursuing. 193 194 Conclusion 195 MSEs provide unique opportunities for new policies, partnerships and infrastructure 196 investments that may improve public health. The 2012 Summer Olympic Games in 197 London offer an opportunity to reflect on TO2015 and whether mechanisms are in place 198 to produce purported public health benefits. While some mechanisms are in place to 199 facilitate positive public health legacies, others are notably absent. Namely, a lack of a 200 comprehensive plan linked to TO2015 to counteract rising house prices in Toronto; an 201 Operating Trust that may be too small to support facility use over the long-term; and a 202 rapid transit line that may not benefit the local population, may block the development of 203 the public health legacies outlined in TO2015’s bid document. In view of persisting 204 global economic instability and government austerity, MSE legacies should not be 205 considered as an automatic ‘trickle down’ – rather, they need to be planned for, 206 organized, and funded in the same way as MSEs. After all, legacies are the reason 207 cities choose to bid for these events, right? 208 209 Declaration of competing interests: None. 210 Acknowledgements: We gratefully acknowledge Dr. Scott Thomas for contributing to 211 project conception and collaborations as well as Michelle Brownrigg for critically 10 212 reviewing the paper. We also acknowledge the key informants who offered content 213 expertise throughout the development of this paper. 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 11 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 References 1. Sky News. Sky Investigation: Olympics Bill Tops £12 bn. Available at: http://news.sky.com/home/london-olympics/article/16156780 (Accessed May 12, 2012). 2. Zimbalist A. Is it worth it? 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