Level 4.0 ADVANCED DIPLOMA IN MARKETING MANAGEMENT Module 15 STRATEGIC MARKETING MANAGEMENT: PLANNING & CONTROL Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 1 Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management Contents 1 INTRODUCTION TO PLANNING AND CONTROL 3 Need for Marketing Planning Establishing Strategic Business Units Market Audit Control Defined Responsibility Centre Approaches to Control Variance Analysis Taking Corrective Action 3 6 9 14 22 32 52 68 2 WHERE ARE WE NOW? 77 Control of Marketing Operations Importance of Marketing Control 77 79 3 WHERE DO WE WANT TO BE? 87 Mission Statement Environment Drivers Techniques for Conducting an Internal Appraisal Portfolio Analysis 87 89 94 96 4 HOW MIGHT WE GET THERE AND WHICH WAY IS BEST 100 Cost-Volume-Profit Analysis 100 5 HOW CAN WE ENSURE ARRIVAL The Concept of Strategic Architecture and Control Financial Control Style Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 114 114 115 2 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Need for Marketing Planning The discussion leads us to the point that wherever you have to deal with future, which is quite uncertain, and beyond visualiasation and prediction, the only way to success is to develop appropriate plans. Alternative plans are to be conceived; they must be assessed and the best may be chosen. This requires application of management principles in the marketing functional area also. Again, such plans should be well integrated into other functions of the organization and there should be a harmonious combination of all facts of an organization. Marketing planning helps to appraise performance, capitalize on strengths, minimize weaknesses and threats and finally open up new opportunities. Planning generally means ‘looking into the future’. This is inevitable in marketing because of two reasons: the incredible multiplication of products available and the multiplication of choices (and the veto power of consumers too) open to consumers. This entails great chances of failure of products. Planning is basically advocated to minimize this risk of failure. Yet another feature of marketing planning is that is an unending process. This is because selling is a continuous process, and not a single act. It is a process of building the foundation of confidence with every prospect, and the future sales rest on that foundation. This foundation is created by: Understanding the basic needs satisfied by the products Identifying the prospects who have those needs Making the prospects recognize the needs Convincing the prospect that the product will satisfy his needs Giving an opportunity to the prospect to accept the product What is Marketing Planning? Marketing planning is given systematic attention today because marketing management calls for careful coordination of corporate means and marketing ends. In fact, planning precedes marketing action and covers all business tasks. Planning process is to be carried out in all details before a programme is made operational. Henry Foyol stated: “Marketing planning refers to forecasting and providing a means of examining the future and drawing up a plan of action”. Accordingly the purpose of planning is to manipulate the present systematically in order to be prepared for the future. In short, the essential aspect of planning is to develop creative and innovative policies to guide corporate efforts in the market place. Formal marketing planning is an integrative process, which blends objectives of the firm with its policies and strategies. It is the means by which a company seeks to monitor and control the hundreds of external and internal influences on its ability to achieve profitable sales, as well as providing an understanding throughout the organization. The whole process of planning may be grouped as follows: Conceptual and Analytical Assess areas of marketing opportunities, and Determining market goals Operational Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 3 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Developing marketing action Coordinating marketing action, and Evaluation of marketing programme As Ackoff has stated, “ planning is the design of a desired future and of effective ways of bringing it about”. In a marketing context, a useful definition will be: Marketing planning involves the setting of marketing objectives, choice of the marketing mix, selection of markets and designing of marketing programmes for each product market for a specified future period. There are two more aspects one should take note of regarding marketing planning. The first is the formulation of strategic marketing planning, which is concerned with the planning of the fundamental means for achieving the company’s objectives through the markets entered and the marketing programmes used to serve them. The second is the operational marketing planning concerned with the implementation of the strategic plan. It involves the planning of marketing programmes that are designed to effect the strategic decided on. The stages involved in strategic and operational marketing planning and the relationship of the two are illustrated below: The Marketing Planning Process Figure 1 Strategic Marketing Planning 1 Assess competencies, threats and opportunities 2 Choose target product markets 3 Set strategic objectives 4 Select strategies for achieving objectives Operational Marketing Planning 5 Set operations performance standards 6 Plan marketing programmes Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 7 Plan implementation 8 Monitor results 4 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Marketing planning is necessarily practiced in all economies irrespective of the political philosophy of different governments. But, the location and nature of the planning organizations may vary widely from country to country. It may be noted that both the earliest and the greatest among systematic marketing planning have been done in the Soviet Union. It is, however, ironic that this is the country in which marketing did not exist officially till recently. Benefits of Marketing Planning The experience of firms in which planning is done obviously indicates that if sound procedures are used, formal planning of the marketing operation results in a number of benefits. Some of them are: Makes the Company Basically Market/Consumer-Oriented Encourages systematic thinking ahead by management. Informal planning, careful thought must be given to objectives and how they can be realized. Further, both objectives and how they can be realized. Further, both objectives and means of achieving them must be made explicit and communicated to others, a process that discourages uninformed analysis and careless reasoning. This would establish better communications an effective coordination between departments. Helps to identify possible developments facing the company. Rapid changes have been the hallmark of most of the world’s economies in the post-world War II period. A systematic look at these changes can help identify the opportunities and the problems they may bring for the firm. Further, new customer needs could be recognized with the help of greater communications. This will make the firm to give more attention to market enlargement rather than market maintenance. Planning, in fact, injects innovations into the organization on a systematic basis. For instance, a careful assessment of marketing opportunity will often result in some form of product or process innovation Results in better preparations to meet changes when they occur. Through the process of planning, management will have definiteness on what actions or counteractions it has to take when opportunities arise and problems occur. Considering these advantages, it is wrong to say that ‘planning is a luxury appendage of marketing’. It is a managerial element that is indispensable for the survival, growth and profitable operations of the firm. Marketing Planning Process As has been pointed out in the previous paragraphs decisions made can be classified by whether they are strategic or operational in nature. Logically, the strategic marketing decisions need to be made first, since they are to be implemented through the planned marketing operations. A cycle of marketing planning can be tentatively put as follows: Strategic Marketing Plans are Made Operating plans are put into effect The operational plans are put into effect The outcomes are monitored, and The results are fed back into both strategic and the operating marketing planning process for making necessary modifications, if required Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 5 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Strategic Marketing Planning From a marketing perspective, a strategic plan outlines what marketing actions a firm should undertake, why these actions are necessary, who is responsible for carrying them out where they will be accomplished, and how they will be completed. It also determines a firm’s current position, future orientation and allocation of resources. In other words, strategy formulation essentially involves the matching of competencies with threats and opportunities. Figure 2: The strategic process consists of seven inter-related steps illustrated below. Defining organizational goals Developing marketing strategies Establishing strategic business units (SBUs) Implementing tactics Setting marketing objectives Monitoring results Situation analysis Defining organizational goals refers to a long-term commitment to a type of business and a place in the market. Goals can be defined in terms of customer groups served, functions performed, and technologies utilized. Organizational objectives are to be specified in the context when a new good or service is introduced, an old good or service is deleted, a new customer group is abandoned, the business is diversified through acquisition, or part the business is liquidated or sold. Establishing Strategic Business Units (Sbus) The second aspect is to establish business unit in the organization. Each SBU is a self-contained division, product line or product department within an organization with a specific market focus and a manager with complete responsibility for integrating all functions into a strategy. An SBU may include all products with the same physical features or products that are bought for the same use of customers, depending on the goals of the organization. Each SBU will normally have three attributes: a specific goal, a precise target market, and a manager empowered to take decisions. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 6 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Setting Marketing Objectives Marketing objectives are not independent but are closely related to business goals. The objectives should be formulated in quantitative or qualitative statements. These are prepared taking into account the internal company situation through an interaction and evolution of other functional objectives. For example, goals could be set as follows: Quantitative goals – adding new products or increasing retail sales from 20% to 30% Qualitative goals – Trading up/Trading down policies (Adding Quality versions – good or cheap quality) Broad-range goals – Covers all aspects of the firm – Reduction in manufacturing cost Marketing objectives are, therefore, statements of the corporate mission as operationalised for specific time period. They are made specific with regard to market segments and customer needs. (Marketing objectives about marketing mix elements – the four P’s – which are only strategies with which objectives should be achieved). Strategic objectives should be stated clearly and in measurable terms. For this, a sales forecast is to be prepared. The objectives should also be closer to realities. Situation analysis. Setting marketing objectives can be done only with certain preparatory exercises. “Situation analysis” is one of them. In this problem it faces. Situation analysis seeks answers to two general questions: where is the firm now? Where it is proposed to go? These questions are answered by studying the environment, searching for opportunities, assessing strengths and weaknesses relative to competitors, and anticipating competitors’ responses to company strategies. Appraisal of the company’s or products’ strengths and/or weaknesses in the market is often termed ‘Self-appraisal’ and takes three forms: Appraisal of Industry and General Economic Trends Company analysis: done using the following methods Market share analysis defined as a ratio of company’s sales to the total industry sales either on actual or potential basis. This analysis will give an idea about the leftover quantity in total demand. Market factor analysis is an item or element, which exists in a market, which may be measured quantitatively and which is related to demand for a product. For example, it could be calculated as to how many tyres may be needed for replacement if the total number of vehicles on road is known. Market potential analysis: is the expected combined sales volume for all sellers of that product during a stated period of time in a stated market. These analyses would help the firm to plan how much to produce, when to produce, where to sell, etc. this forms the essential prerequisite for setting marketing objectives. Competitive conditions – this a comparative assessment made in respect of competitive currently adopted by other sellers. Detailed analysis is made on the differences in product features, promotional and distribution strategies. This would help features, promotional and distribution strategies. This would help in devising better plans to meet the competition effectively. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 7 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Developing Marketing Strategies A marketing strategy outlines the manner in which the marketing mix is used to attract and satisfy the target market and accomplishes the organization’s objectives. Marketing mix decisions center on product, distribution, promotion, and price plans. A separate strategy is necessary for each SBU and the strategies must be well coordinated. Often, firm must select a strategy from among two or more possible alternatives. For example, a company that has the objective of achieving a market share of 40 per cent may accomplish the objective in several ways. It can improve product image through extensive advertising increasing sales personnel, introduce a new product, lower prices, or sell through more retail outlets. Another option would be to combine these marketing elements in a well-coordinated way. Several systematic approaches are available and these approaches involve portfolio analysis by which an organization individually assesses and positions every SBU and/or product. Then, efforts and resources are allocated to each SBU and separate marketing mixes are aimed at their chosen target markets on the basis of these assessments. The product/market opportunity matrix identifies four alternatives marketing strategies that may be used to maintain and/or increase sales of business units and products as illustrated below: Table 1:The product/market opportunity matrix Market Product Present New Present New MARKET PENETRATION PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT MARKET DEVELOPMENT DIVERSIFICATION Market penetration – increasing the sales of existing products existing markets. This is done through intensive distribution, aggressive promotion, and competitive pricing. Market development – selling existing products in new markets. It is effective when market segments are emerging due to changes in consumer life-styles and demographics. Tapping the highly potential rural markets in India is an example. Product development – developing new products for sale in existing markets. It emphasizes new models; quality improvements and other minor innovations closely related to established products and market them to customers who are loyal to the company and its brands. The entry of pond’s Talcum powder manufacturer into toilet soap market is an example in the context. Diversification – developing of new products for sale in new markets. A housing finance company enters into leasing business or a company engaged in the production of beverages into fast food business is examples for this strategy. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 8 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Operational Marketing Planning The strategic planning would help a firm to prepare and set a ‘long-term grand design’. The operational marketing planning suggests the ways to be devised to achieve the ultimate aim visualized. This part is more practical than theoretical. Further there are short-term plans extending preferably for a period of one year. Operational plans are also termed as tactical plans. The specific elements to be included in the tactical plans are: What is to be done? (A statement of the specific actions to be taken) Who is to do it? (Identification of the specific individuals or units responsible for each action) When it is to done? (A schedule of actions with a time frames as to their initiation and implementation) How much will it cost? (A comprehensive budget that specifies the expected cost of each action) What are the results expected? (A statement of the anticipated outcome of each action) Evaluating and Implementing the Marketing Plan It has been suggested earlier in this chapter that a situation analysis is inevitable before planning process is adopted marketing audit is the method commonly found to be used by many firms in this context. Marketing Audit A marketing audit is a systematic critical review and appraisal of the environment and the company’s marketing operations. It is a powerful tool in ascertaining whether a company is in its dynamic phase and under rapidly changing marketing environment or not. Basically, marketing audit could reveal how a business is related to its environment in which it operates. Hence, it may also be referred to as ‘situation audit’, in a broader perspective. Usually corporate plans are envisaged for finding out appropriate answers for the following questions: 1. Where are we today? (Present status) 2. Where do we want to go? (Future objectives) 3. How do we get there? (Strategies evolved) 4. How are we getting on now? (Monitoring and control) A marketing audit included a careful appraisal of a company’s past performance as well as “a systematic”, critical and impartial review and appraisal of the total marketing operation; of the basic objectives and policies of the operation and the assumptions which underlie them as well as of the methods, procedures, personnel and organization employed to implement the policies and achieve the objectives. Marketing auditing is, thus, a systematic and thorough examination of company’s marketing position? Marketing activity of an organization is immensely complicated and dynamic as much as in the case of financial conditions of the organization. Almost the same reasons that prompt a firm to review its financial position and have its reports and procedures audited make it desirable for the company to have its marketing position and have its marketing position examined. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 9 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control In some respects, a marketing audit probes deeper into the essence of a company’s operation than does a financial audit. Types of Marketing Audit Richard D Crisp distinguishes two types of marketing audit: Horizontal and Vertical. The horizontal audit examines all of the elements that go into the whole marketing whole. In other words, it is marketing mix audit. Needless to say, in such an audit, elative importance of each element and their inter-relationship are considered. On the other hand, vertical audit singles out certain functional elements of the marketing operation and subject them to a thorough study and evaluation. For example, if a company conducts an audit exclusively on its advertising or distribution functions, it is vertical audit. If these two functions are combined with product management and marketing research then such then such an audit it takes the form of Horizontal audit. The actual conduct of marketing audit is beset with two kinds of variables. First, there are variables over which the company has complete control. These may be referred to as environmental and market variables. Secondly, there are variables over which the company has complete control. These are termed as operational variables. Thus, besides the kinds of audit mentioned in the previous paragraphs an external and an internal audit also have to be made. The external audit comprises examination of information on the general economy and conditions for the healthy growth of markets. The purpose of internal audit is to assess the organization resources as they relate to the environment and vis-à-vis the resources of the competitors. The various factors examined are in the figure below: Figure 3 Marketing audit External Business & Economic environment Economic Political Social Business Legal Technological Internal Market Environment Competitive environment By market By segment By channel By products By area By customers By buying power Products Technology Sales/market Pricing Marketing skills Marketing Organization Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management Total sales Market share Market factor Market potential Marketing effort Profit margin Marketing control All marketing mix Variables 10 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Thus, in a marketing audit process there are basically two phases: Identification, measurement, collection and analysis of all relevant facts and opinions which impinge on a firm’s problems, and Application of judgement to areas, which are still remaining uncertain. Like an accounting or financial audit, a marketing audit should be conducted regularly, because it’s primary purpose is to identify weaknesses in ongoing marketing operations and to plan the necessary improvements to correct these weaknesses. Marketing audit evaluates how effectively the marketing organization performed its assigned functions. A marketing audit may be specific and focus one or a few marketing activities, or it may be comprehensive and encompass all marketing activities of a firm. An example given in the reference may be referred. Sales Forecast One of the major planning premises in the typical business enterprise is the sales forecast. It underlies various plans pertaining to new product, production, and marketing plans and also reflects condition of the market place, which are external to the firm. A sales forecast is the key to internal planning. The sales forecast is a prediction on expected sales, by product and price, for a specific period. In other words, it is a basic tool for anticipating the nature marketing goals and strategies. It is required to measure performance, compensate sales people, and control the marketing system. Uses of Sales Forecast Reduces selling costs. Second to the production cost, selling cost occupies a prominent place in the price structure of a product. By accurately estimating the various costs on advertisement, distribution, etc. wasteful expenditure could be avoided. This ultimately reduces the final price of the product. Helps in the proper pricing of the product. The initial price fixed for a product has to be altered on account of changing market conditions. Preparation of a sales budget helps in anticipating and making necessary price changes at the appropriate time. Stabilizes production. Production and sales are closely related. A proper forecast will help in smoothing out production schedules. Variations in demand due to seasonal fluctuations could also be met without strain Sales forecasting in inevitable for budgeting and budgetary controls. Forecasting aims at coordinating various functions of an organization. According to Henry Fayol, “The act of forecasting of ensuring adaptability to changing circumstances. The collaboration of all concerned leads to unified front, an understanding of the reasons for decisions; and a broadened outlook”. The specific contributions of forecasting to the field to the field of marketing management may be summed up as follows: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. To decide whether to enter a new market or not, To determine how much production capacity to be built up; To help in the product mix decisions (to eliminate or to add a new product) To prepare standards against which to measure performance To prepare annual budgets based on estimated sales revenues; and To assess the effects of a proposed marketing programme Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 11 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 7. 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Methods of sales forecasting There are five methods in vogue: Jury of Executive opinion method. This is the historical and the simplest method of making sales forecasts. Under this method the views and opinions expressed by the executives are combined. It lays emphasis on the use of judgement, informed estimates, hunches and guesswork. In most cases, the final estimate is the opinion of the top-level managers. The method has ease and simplicity. Indirectly the person behind the preparation of the forecast becomes responsible for its achievement also. The chief demerit is that the forecast is based on opinion rather than on facts and analysis. Forecasts are not usually broken down into products, time periods, or organizational units. Sales composite method. This method tries to collect the details from the actual marketing field for the preparation of expected sales. The usual technique is to ask sales people to forecast sales for their area. Their view is combined with the views of sales managers to form a more realistic picture about the future. This method is based on the belief that those closest to the sales function have the best knowledge of the market. But the sales people are poor forecasters because they work in and give weight only to present conditions. Their knowledge would be helpful only for the preparation of short-term forecasts. In spite of this, good results could be obtained if the composite method is supplemented by various other methods. Users expectation method. This would is adopted for industrial marketing. The advantage here is that customers comprise only a small group. Clearly, if a company can obtain an adequate and reliable information sample of what customers will buy, even though the actual orders are not in hand, it will have a good basis upon which to develop a sales forecast. As pointed out, this method cannot be adopted in consumer goods marketing, as customers are large in number. Secondly, customer expectations cannot be predicted accurately. Statistical methods. In recent years, various types of sales forecasting that utilize statistical techniques have become popular. The different methods based on statistical enquiry are: Trend and cycle – believes that past trend will continue; Correlation methods – correlation between sales and other areas; and Mathematical formula – formulae are evolved to depict the relationship of a number of variables to the company’s sales. From the standpoint of reliability statistical methods are good for sales forecasting. But they require elaborate research, which is costly. Further, it should be noted that here also the prediction has to be based on past figures that do not reflect the future. Combination method. It is a combination of two or more methods suggested above. For example, an initial forecast will be made by the sales people and later improved upon by using statistical methods. Limitations of Sales Forecast The forecasts may become unrealistic on account of the following reasons: Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 12 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control 1.Changes in fashion 2.Non-availability of past history of a product, 3.Technological developments, 4.Government intervention, and 5.Changes in the patterns of consumer behaviour Table 2:A specimen of a sales forecast is given below: Annual sales forecast For the year ending UNITS: Southern area: Product A Product B Northern area Product A Product B VALUE: Southern area Product A Product B Northern area Product A Product B Last year Total - I Quarter - II Quarter - III Quarter - IV Quarter - 10,000 12,000 11,000 13,200 3,000 4,000 5,000 4,000 8,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 4,000 16,000 Rs 4,400 17,600 Rs 1,000 5,000 Rs 1,000 4,000 Rs 1,000 4,000 Rs 1,400 4,600 Rs 5,000 12,000 17,000 5,500 13,200 18,700 1,500 500 5,500 2,500 500 6,500 500 500 3,500 1,000 700 3,200 2,000 16,000 18,000 35,000 2,200 17,600 19,800 38,500 500 5,000 5,500 11,000 500 4,000 4,400 11,000 500 4,000 4,500 8,000 700 4,600 5,300 8,500 Note: in order to show responsibilities the forecasts are divided into sales area and product wise. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 13 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Since control is a process whereby management ensures that the organization is achieving desired ends, it can be defined as a set of organized (adaptive) actions directed towards achieving a specified goal in the face of constraints. To bring about particular future events it is necessary to influence the factors that lie behind those events. It is the ability to bring about a desired future outcome at will that is the essence of control. In this sense it can be seen that control itself is a process and not an event. Moreover, the idea of control can be seen to be synonymous with such notions as adaptation, influence, manipulation and regulation. But control is not synonymous with coercion in the sense in which the term is used in this book. Nor does it have as its central feature (as so often seems to be thought) the detailed study of past mistakes, but rather the focusing of attention on current and, more particularly, on future activities to ensure that they are carried through in a way that leads to desired ends. The existence of a control process enables management to know from time to time where the organization stands in relation to a predetermined future position. This requires that progress can be observed, measured, and redirected if there are discrepancies between the actual and the desired positions. Control and planning are complementary, so each should logically presuppose the existence of the other. Planning presupposes objectives (ends), and objectives are of very limited value in the absence of a facilitating plan (means) for their attainment. In the planning process management must determine the organization’s future courses of action by reconciling corporate resources with specified corporate objectives in the face of actual, and anticipated, environmental conditions. This will usually involve a consideration of various alternative courses of action and the selection of the one that is seen to be the best in the light of the objectives. In seeking to exercise control it is important to recognize that the process is inevitably value laden. The preferred future state that one is seeking to realize is unlikely to be the same for individual A as for individual B, and that which applies to individuals also, within limits, applies to organizations. In seeking to exercise control the major hindrances are uncertainty (since the relevant time horizon for control is the future, which cannot be totally known in advance) and the inherent complexity of socio-economic and socio-technical systems (such as business organizations). If one had an adequate understanding of the ways in which complex organizations function, and if this facilitated reliable predictions, then the information stemming from this predictive understanding would enable one to control the organization’s behaviour. In this sense it can be seen that information and control have an equivalence. Behind the presumption, therefore, that we can control anything there is an implied assertion that we know enough about the situation in question (e.g. what is being sought, how well things are going, what is going wrong, how matters might be put right, etc). Control Defined There are as many different definitions of control, and of management control, as there are authors. Maciariello (1984, p.5), for example, offers the following definitions of management control (MC) and management control system (MCS): Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 14 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Management control is the process of ensuring that the human, physical, and technological resources are allocated so as to achieve the overall purposes of an organization. An MCS attempts to bring unity of purpose to the diverse efforts of a multitude of organizational subunits so as to steer the overall organization and its managers toward its objectives and goals. An MCS consists of a structure and a process. A control system’s structure has relative permanence and focuses on what the system is (i.e. the designated responsibility centers, delegated authority, performance measures, etc). Its process focuses on the way in which decisions are made to establish goals, allocate resources, evaluate performance, and revise strategies, etc, in a purposive manner. Itami (1977) emphasized the fact that management control is control within an organizational context, which implies that it is of a multi-person nature. This also evident in Tannenbaum’s (1964, p.299) definition of control as being: Any process in which a person (or a group of persons or organization of persons) determines or intentionally affects what another person or group or organizations will do. However, Hofstede broadened the idea of interpersonal influence? (1968, p.11) to embrace impersonal control also: Control within an organization system is the process by which one element (person, group, machine, institution or norm) intentionally affects the action of another element. The interpersonal nature of control within organizations needs to be recognized in order to relate to motivation, goal congruence and the reward system. Within figure 4 there is not explicit recognition of this requirement, whereas figure 5 allows for it via ‘nesting’. Within the nested model the superior exercises control by influencing the subordinate’s behaviour – largely through the assessing of the subordinate’s performance against agreed plans. The behavioural aspect is highlighted by Merchant (1985, p4) who also refers to the strategic aspects of control: Control is seen as having one basic function: to help ensure the proper behaviour of the people in the organization. These behaviours should be consistent with the organization’s strategy … Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 15 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 4: The control process Feedback Controller Instructions Operating process Performance Environment Feedback Figure 5: A nested model of control systems Superior Subordinates Feedback Operating Process Performance Environment The need for control arises because individuals within the organization are not always willing to act in the organization’s best interests. Whilst strategy may be seen as being related to control it is usually separable. Thus it is possible for an enterprise having good strategies to fail because it has a poor control system, and vice versa. In general, however, the better the formulation of a strategy the greater will be the number of feasible control alternatives and the easier their implementation is likely to be. Anthony also refers both to the links between control and strategic implementation on the one hand, and the interaction among individual on the other: Control is used in the sense of assuring implementation of strategies. The management control function includes making the plans that are necessary to assure that strategies are implemented. Management control is the process by which managers influence other members of the organization to implement the organization’s strategies. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 16 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Merchant has pointed out a number of problems that have inhibited a greater understanding of control: The lack of a comprehensive and generally accepted control framework with supporting terminology control problems and solutions are discussed at different levels of analysis The solutions that are proposed also differ in accordance with the orientation of their proposers some authors argue that control should deal with facts whereas other argue that control should be future-oriented Basic Control Concepts In this section, which draws on Wilson and Chua, we will distinguish between: Open-loop control; and Closed-loop control We shall also distinguish between two main forms of closed-loop control: Feedforward control: Feedback control Open-Loop Control This form of control exists when an attempt is made by a system to achieve some desired goal, but when no adjustments are made to its actions once the sequence of intended acts is under way. A very simple example is that of a golfer hitting a golf ball: his aim is to get the ball into the hole, and with this in mind he will take into account the distance, the hazards, and so forth, prior the hitting the ball. Once the ball is in the air there is nothing that the golfer can do but hope that he did things right. Two possible refinements to the basic open-loop model are: To introduce a monitoring device for the continual scanning of both the environment and the transformation process of the system. This will provide a basis for modifying either initial plans or the transformation process itself if it appears that circumstances are likely to change before the plan has run its course and the goal realized. This is feedforward control and is illustrated in the figure below: Figure 6: A feed forward control system Input Process Output Monitor Predict Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management Regulator 17 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control To monitor the outputs achieved against desired outputs form time to time, and take whatever corrective action is necessary if a deviation exists. This is feedback control and is illustrated in the figure below: Figure 7: A feedback control system Input Process Output Regulator Standard Both feedback and feedforward control entail linking outputs with other elements within the system, and this explains why they are termed closed-loop control systems. Closed-Loop Control In an open-loop system errors cannot be corrected as it goes along, whereas likely errors can be anticipated and steps taken to avoid them in a feedforward control system, and actual errors along the way can be identified and subsequent behavior modified to achieve desired ends in a feedback control system. The inadequacy of open-loop systems as a basis for organizational control largely stems from our limited knowledge of how organizational systems operate, which in turn reflects the complexity of organizations and their environments, plus the uncertainty that clouds the likely outcome of future events. If we possessed a full understanding of organizational processes and had a perfect ability to predict the future them we would be able to rely on open-loop systems to achieve the ends we desire since we would be able to plan with the secure knowledge that our plans would be attained due to our perfect awareness of what was going to happen, and how, and when. In our current state of awareness we must rely on closed-loop systems, whether feedforward or feedback, in which control action is dependent upon the actual or anticipated state of the system. It is helpful to think of four types of outcome in connection with the application of closed-loop systems to the problem of organizational control. These are: So = Initial ex ante performance (e.g. a budget based on a set of expectations which might include: inflation at 5 per cent per annum; market growth of 10 per cent per annum; no labour disputes). S1 = Revised ex ante performance (e.g. an updated budget that has taken into account the experience of operating the system to date) Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 18 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control S2 = Ex post performance (e.g. a revised budget based on what should have been achieved in the circumstances that prevailed during the period in question, say: inflation at 7 per cent per annum; market growth of 12 per cent per annum, and a strike lasting three weeks). Ao = Observed performance (i.e. that which actually occurred). Ao shows an organization’s forecasting ability – So and, more precisely, by Ao – S1. Ao – S2 gives the extent to which the organization is not using its resources to maximum advantage. A feedforward control system will function in a way that keeps revising So as events are proceedings with a view to producing an eventual outcome in which Ao = S1. on the other hand, a feedback control system will, from time to time, compare Ao – So and So will only be revised if a discrepancy has been experienced. It is apparent that feedforward control tends to be: Ex ante, Proactive Continuous And seeks to predict the outcomes of proposed courses of action, while feedback control tends to be: Ex post Reactive Episodic Let us look at each a little more closely. Feedforward Control A feedforward system can be defined as: A measurement and prediction system, which assesses the system and predicts the output of the system at some future date This differs from a feedback system in that it seeks to anticipate, and thereby to avoid deviations between actual and desired outcomes. According to Cushing, its components are: 1.An operating process (which converts inputs and outputs) 2.A characteristic of the process (which is the subject control) 3.A measurement system (which assesses the state of the process and its inputs, and attempts to predict its outputs) 4.A set of standards or criteria (by which the predicted state of the process can be evaluated) 5.A regulator (which compares the predictions of process outputs to the standards, and which takes corrective action where there is likely to be a deviation) For a feedforward control system to be effective it must be on a reasonably predictable relationship between inputs and outputs (i.e. there must be an adequate degree of understanding of the way which the organization functions). Guidelines for developing feedforward control systems are as follows: Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 19 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Thorough planning and analysis are required (reflecting as much understanding as possible about the links amongst inputs, process, and outputs) Careful discrimination must be applied in selecting those variables that are deemed to have a significant impact on output; The feedforward system must be kept dynamic to allow for the inclusion of new influences on outputs’ A model of the system to be controlled should be developed and the most significant variables (along with their effects on process and outputs) defined within it; Data on significant variables must be regularly gathered and evaluated in order to assess their likely influence on future outcomes. Feedforward control requires action focused on the future (rather than on the correction of past errors) Feedback Control Feedback control should ensure self-regulation in the face of changing circumstances once the control system has been designed and installed. The essence of feedback control is to be found in the idea of homeostasis, which defines the process, whereby key variables are maintained in a state of equilibrium even when there are environmental disturbances As a hypothetical illustration let us consider a company planning to sell 100 000 cassette players during the next 12 months. By the end of the third month it finds that the pattern of demand has fallen to an estimated 80 000 units due to the launch by another company of a competing product. After a further three months the competitor puts up the price of its product while the original company holds its own price steady, and this suggests that the level of demand may increase to 150 000 units. Feedback signals would ensure that the company is made aware, e.g. levels). The launch of the competitive cassette player would be identified as the reason why sales levels subsequently increased. In response to deviations between actual and desired results an explanation needs to be found and actions taken to correct matters. Amending production plans to manufacture fewer (or more) cassette players, allowing inventory levels to fall (or rise) to meet the new pattern of demand, modifying promotional plans to counter competitive activities and so forth, could all stem form a feedback control system. If deviations (or variances to give them their usual accounting name) are minor it is probable that the process could absorb them without any modifications, and minor variations between expected and actual levels of demand with buffer stocks being held for this purpose. But in the caser of extreme variations – such as the pattern of demand shifting from 100 000 units to 80 000 and then to 150 000 – it will be necessary to amend the inputs n a very deliberate way once the causes of the variations have been established. Inevitably there are costs associated with variances, and these will tend to be proportional to the length of time it takes to identify and correct them. Some principles for the proper functioning of a feedback control system can be suggested and might include: The benefits fro the system should be at least as great as the costs of developing, installing, and operating it. This is the problem of ‘the cost of control’. It is often difficult to specify precisely either the benefits or the costs relating to different system designs, but it should be possible to make approximate assessments of both. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 20 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Variances, once measure, should be reported quickly to facilitate prompt control action. Feedback reports should be simple, easy to understand, and highlight the significant factors requiring managerial attention. Feedback control system should be integrated with the organizational structure of which they are a part. The boundaries of each process subject to control should be within a given manager’s span of control The most significant features of feedforward control are shown in table 2 Feedback systems are typically cheaper and easier to implement than are feedforward system, and they are more effective in restoring a system that has gone out of control. Their main disadvantage however, is that they can allow variations to persist for as long as it takes to detect and correct them. Feedforward control systems, as we have seen, depend critically for their effectiveness on the forecasting ability of those who predict future process outputs. Both feedforward and feedback lend themselves to self-regulation. Table 3: Relative strengths Characteristic Low cost Ease of implementation Effectiveness Minimal time delays Self-regulation Feedforward Feedback - - - The most effective approach to control comes form using the two approaches as complements since few processes could be expected to operate effectively and efficiently for any length of time if only one type of control was in use. (for example, in controlling inventory, feedback data can be used in connection with stock outs, rates of usage, etc., while feedforward data needs to be generated in gauging the raw material requirements for predicted levels of demand and the ability of suppliers to deliver on time). Both types of control are fundamentally intertwined with the design of MCS. In a feedback control system the functions that they system will out are: Standard setting Performance measurement Reporting of results Within a feedforward control system the role of the MCS will encompass: Standard setting Monitoring process inputs Monitoring operations Predicting process outputs The degree of overlap is modest relative to the degree of complementarity Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 21 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Responsibility Accounting In analyzing organization with a view to securing control over them there are five key variables to which one must pay attention. A change in any one of these will have consequences for one or more of the others. These variables are: The task of the organization (i.e., the purpose to be served by the outputs form the organization) The technology of the organization (i.e., the means whereby the inputs are converted into outputs); The structure of the organization (i.e. the roles, rules, etc) The people of the organization (including their expectations, career development, etc) The environment of the organization (i.e. those factors beyond the organization’s boundary). In this section we will be concerned with aspects of 3 – the structure, as reflected through individuals’ assigned responsibilities If a company is organized in such a way that lines of authority are clearly defined, with the result that each manager knows exactly what his or her responsibilities are and precisely what is expected of him or her, then it is possible to plan and control costs, revenues, profits, etc, in order that the performance of each individual may be evaluated and, one hopes, improved. In addition, a meaningful basis can be given to the design of the reporting system if it is geared to areas of responsibility. That is the essence of responsibility accounting, which is a system of accounting that is tailored to an organization so that costs, revenues, profits, etc, can be planned, accumulated, reported, and controlled by levels of responsibility within that organization. Responsibility accounting requires that costs be classified by: Responsibility Centre Their degree of controllability within their responsibility centre (on the premise that each responsible individual in an organization should only be charged wit those costs for which he or she is responsible and over which he or she has control) Their nature This approach to classification will facilitate: Self-appraisal by lower and middle management Subordinate appraisal by top management Activity Appraisal However, it is essential to the success of any control system that an individual is only held responsible for results when the following conditions prevail: That he knows what is expected to achieve That he knows what he is actually achieving Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 22 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control That it is within his power to influence what is happening When all these conditions do not occur simultaneously it may be unjust and ineffective to hold an individual responsible, and it will be impossible to achieve the desired level of organizational performance. From the above comments it will be apparent that targets or results should be compiled in a way that reflects one individual’s ‘uncontaminated’ performance. Thus mangers A’s budget should contain a clear set of items which are deemed to be controllable at his level of authority and a further set of items that are either fixed by company policy or are otherwise beyond manager A’s influence. These fixed by company policy or are otherwise beyond manager A’s influence. These later items are uncontrollable from A’s viewpoint, and his performance should not be assessed in relation to costs, etc, over which he has no control. Costs (as well as revenues, profits, and so forth) can only be controlled if they are related to the organizational framework: in other words, costs should be controlled in accordance with the concepts of responsibility – a cost should be controlled at whatever level it is originated and initially approved by the individual who did the initiating and approving. In this way it will be clear that certain costs are the responsibility of, and can only be controlled by, the chief executive of a company whereas others are controllable by responsible individuals at lower levels of the organizational hierarchy. It is important to distinguish between costs that are controllable at a given level of managerial authority within a given period of time and those that are not. This distinction is not the same as the one between variable costs and fixed costs. For example, rates are fixed cost that are uncontrollable, for a given time period, by any managerial level, whereas the annual road license fee for a particular vehicle is a fixed cost that is controllable by the fleet manager who has the power to dispense with the vehicle. In the same way the insurance premium payable on inventories is a variable cost that is not controllable at the storekeeper level, but it is controllable at the level of the executive who determines inventory policy. Both managerial authority and the element of time affect controllability – a short-run fixed cost will be a long-term variable cost. All costs are controllable to some extent over the longer term even if this involves a change in the scale of operation or a relocation of the company. The problem of distinguishing between controllable and uncontrollable costs is more difficult in relation to indirect as opposed to direct costs. It is vitally important that costs be regulated at source, and this means that for many indirect items the beneficiary of cost incurrence is very often not the person to be charged with the cost. Obvious examples are central services – maintenance, the personnel department, post room/switchboard facilities – from which all members of the company derive benefits but for which cost responsibility is accorded to the respective supervisors and managers of these service functions. To sum up so far, the approach to control that is based on the concept of responsibility accounting involves designing the control system to march the organizational structure in order that it reflects realistically the responsibilities of departmental managers, supervisors, etc. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 23 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control In devising a control system for securing control that accords with the organizational structure it will usually be found necessary to define more closely the duties of responsible individuals, and various responsibilities will have to be reassigned in order to give a logical structure to an organization that may have grown in a haphazard manner. All subsequent organizational changes that lead to changes in individual responsibilities should be accompanied by suitable modifications to the control system. Organizational charts are useful if properly detailed. Apart from showing the chain of command such a chart should also include a schedule defining the duties of those individuals and any limitations to their knowledge clearly communicated to all concerned. The figure below represents a possible marketing organization structure, giving details of duties within each functional area. Figure 8: Marketing Organizational structure Marketing director Function A - Product planning Responsibility centers 1. Product management 2. Packaging 3. Pricing 4. Service B – Advertising and 1. Advertising Promotion 2. Sales promotion 3. Merchandising/display 4. Public relations Activities product selection styling new product development Specify product mix All aspects of advertising promotion and public relations with the exception of corporate image C – Sales operations 1. Domestic sales force 2. Export sales force 3. Sales office Field selling, reporting setting sales quotas, sales analysis, sales and forecasting, etc D – Physical Distribution Management 1. Warehousing 2. Transport 3. Inventory management Selection of distribution channels stock control all other activities Necessary to gain Required distribution. E - Marketing Information And research 1. Library/information service 2. Marketing research Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management all aspects of marketing intelligence. Research studies. Model building. 24 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The implications of fixing responsibilities and of implelementing control via responsibility centers are: The organizational structure must be clearly defined and responsibility delegated so that each person knows his or her role; The extent and limits of functional control must be determined; The responsible individuals should be fully involved in preparing plans if they are to be held responsible for results; Responsible individuals must be serviced with regular performance reports; Means must be established to enable plans to be revised in line with actual performance such a way that responsible individuals are involved; Every item should be the responsibility of some individual within the organization. The ability to delegate is one sign of a good manner and responsibility accounting facilitates this. The act of passing responsibility down the line to the lowest levels of supervision gives these advantages: 1. It helps to create an atmosphere of cost consciousness throughout the organization; 2. It tends to get control action quickly without delays resulting from the need for a senior executive to receive a monthly report before decisions can be made; 3. It helps to give all levels of management a sense of team spirit with a common purpose. A central notion in considering control is the evaluation of performance – whether an ex ante (as in feedforward control) or ex post, (as in feedback control). This can be undertaken at several levels: at the societal level, at the level of the enterprise as a whole, at the level of a division or other segment – such as activities, or at the levels of the group or individual. In essence what is required is a comparison of desired outcomes with expected or actual outcomes, an assessment of any divergences, and proposals for future courses of action. Putting this in another way, three questions need to be posed. What has happened? Why has it happened? What is to be done about it? The need to view performance evaluation within a control context is highlighted by our posing all three questions, rather than just the first two. The concept of performance measurement is simple one to comprehend but it can only be put into practice if plans are carefully prepared before decisions are made. In the absence of a plan, (expressed in terms of standards and budgeted levels of performance) there is no benchmark for evaluating the performance of segments of an enterprise, individuals in responsible positions, or the organization as a whole, and attempting to improve them. The existence of standards of performance eliminates many of the opportunities and excuses for poor performance, and provides a reference point for improvements. Measuring the performance of the various types of responsibility center (i.e. cost, profit and investment) will usually focus on financial aspects of an organization’s activity. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 25 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control This will not always be appropriate, although it tends to be the general case that managers are held accountable in terms of quantifiable performance rather than performance that is qualitative (such as employee morale or public relations). It is necessary to know from time to time how actual performance compares with desired performance, and this chapter focuses on this issue. This comparison answers the question about what is happening, and responsibility accounting ensures that managers know who is to be accountable. Establishing why divergences occur is problematic, as is the question of deciding how to apply corrective action in order that control may be effective. Individuals learn through assessing their experience and organizational learn through their members. However, the extent to which individuals – and thus organizations – can learn is constrained by the rules of the organization (governing decision-making, delegation, membership and other restrictions). Dery (1982) has pursued this question by focusing on the links between erring (e.g. when variances arise) and learning. His argument is as follows: i. The recognition of errors is a function of interpretation rather than simply an observation of events – it requires that desired and actual outcome be compared and interpreted before one can assert that an error exists; ii. The interpretation of events is influenced by organizational rules, etc, which also serve to constrain the extent to which learning can take place; iii. It is insufficient to assume better learning at the organizational level can stem from the learning ability of individual members since the latter is constrained by the rules of the former, hence an additional factor is required that will change the organization’s rules. The level of performance of a responsibility center fro ma control viewpoint can be evaluated by obtaining answers to three pairs of questions; Quantity How much was accomplished? How much should have been accomplished? Quality How good was that which was accomplished? How good should it have been? Cost How much did the accomplishment cost? How much should it have cost? Performance measurement presupposes a standard of comparison. An obvious example comes form the comparison of actual results with budgeted results – the latter being the predetermined standard of performance. Standards can be compiled for almost every business activity, such as: Number of customer complaints Production costs Unit costs of handling and transporting products Market share Employee turnover Downtime Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 26 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Unfilled orders Return on investment Percentage of late deliveries of orders A variety of cost/revenue ratios Any standard can only be effective aid to control if it is to be equitable: those who are being judged (i.e. The responsible individuals whose performance is being measured) must be consulted in the setting of standards otherwise no attempt may be made to reach if they are considered to be either too high or too low. This ruins any attempt to control. Luck and Ferrell (1979) have portrayed the links among marketing strategy, plans and standards as shown in the figure below. Control reports should be suited to the various areas of individual responsibility and as one moves further up the managerial hierarchy more items will be contained, albeit in summary form, in reports prepared for each level since more items are controllable as the scope of managerial responsibility enlarges. Top management will therefore receive a summary of all items of income and expenditure. Figure 9: Standards in the marketing control processes Variables used to judge Profits Standards Operations 15% ROI $5,000 average sales per unit Of analysis (e.g. customer) Marketing plan Consumer service Cost per unit Of analysis Complaints and Warranty service Per 100 units sold Performance Marketing strategy sales per unit costs $1,000 Sales Distribution costs $1,250 Product costs $2,000 Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 27 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Such summary reports can do little to rectify past mistakes but by indicating exceptions to plans they can ensure that causes are investigated and appropriate corrective actions are taken to help preventing future mistakes. The appropriate orientation should clearly be to the future rather than to the past. A responsibility center is made up of the various cost and revenue items for which a given individual is responsible. It is consequently a personalized concept that may be made up of one or more of the following. A cost center; A profit center, or An investment center Let use look at each of these in turn. A Cost (or Expense) Centre This is the smallest segment of activity, or area of responsibility, for which costs are accumulated. In some cases the cost center may correspond with a department, but in others a department may contain several cost centers. A cost center may be created by created for cost control purposes whenever management feels that the usefulness of accumulating costs for the activity in question justifies the necessary efforts. Only input costs are measured for this organizational unit: even though there is some output this is not measured in revenue terms. Thus a production unit will product X units at a given total (or unit) cost, with the output being expressed either as a quantity or in terms of input costs. A Profit Centre This is a segment, department or division of an enterprise that is responsible for both revenue and expenditure. This is the major organizational device employed to facilitate decentralization (the essence of which is the freedom to make decisions). Among the arguments favouring decentralized profit responsibility are: A divisional manager is only in a position to make satisfactory trade-offs between revenues and costs when he has responsibility for the profit outcome of his decisions a manager’s performance can be evaluated more precisely if he has complete operating responsibility Managers’ motivation will be higher if they have greater autonomy The contribution of each division to corporate profit can be seen via divisional profit reports The advantages of profit centers are that they resemble miniature business and are a good training ground for potential general managers. When it comes to defining profit measures several alternatives are available. An example built up from the data in the table below will help to illustrate some of them. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 28 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Table 4: Decision A’s operating data for July Sales revenue generated by Division A £100,000 Direct costs of Division A: Variable operating costs Fixed operating costs under control of manager of Division A Fixed costs not under the control of manager of Division A £45,000 £25,000 £10,000 Indirect costs of Division A: Apportioned central costs £15,000 This data can be analyzed in ways such as those suggested in the table below. One can identify strengths and weaknesses relating to each other alternative measure of profit. The contribution margin is useful for short-run decision making since it is not clouded by the inclusion of costs that don not respond to short-run volume changes. From a performance evaluation point of view, however, it is unsatisfactory in that it excludes all non-variable costs. Controllable profit is a much better measure of the divisional manager’s performance because it includes all the costs – whether fixed or variable – that are within his control. When non-controllable fixed costs are taken into account we have the direct profit of the division. This is more a measure of 0ther division’s performance that it is of the divisional manager’s performance, so one needs to consider what it is that one is seeking to assess before one chooses a measure. Table 5: Analysis of Division A’s operating data Sales revenue Division A Division A Division A Division A contribution margin controllable profit direct profit net profit £ £ £ £ 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 Direct costs: Variable 45,000 Contribution margin £55,000 Fixed controllable Controllable profit Fixed non-controllable Direct profit Indirect costs Net profit Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 45,000 45,000 45,000 25,000 £20,000 25,000 25,000 10,000 £20,000 10,000 15,000 £5,000 29 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Finally, net profit helps us in assessing a division’s performance in full cost terms, but this is not a relevant means of gauging the divisional manager’s performance on account of the categories of cost that he is unable to influence either directly or indirectly. It could be argued that divisional managers benefit from seeing full cost of their division’s operations, but if the controllable elements are dwarfed by the uncontrollable it may not be highly motivational! From the above we can reasonably conclude that controllable profit is the best of the specified measures for assessing a divisional manger’s performance – at least in principle. In practice it may be found that the manager of a division acts in ways that improve his short-run profit position at the expense of both the division’s long-run profit potential and the best interests of the organization as a whole. Examples might include: Eliminating training and management development activities; Cutting back on advertising routine maintenances or R & D Countering these ways of ‘playing the system’ must be devised by top management in the form of policy guidelines, etc. but any measure of profit is inevitably sub-optimal as an index of divisional performance for at least one for the following reasons: It typically includes items that are not under the control of divisional managers; It only tells part of the story – something needs to be said about the investment that is needed to generate profit. The next sub-section picks up this point. An Investment Centre This is a segment, department or division of an enterprise that is not only responsible for profit, but also has its success measured by the relationship of its profit to the capital invested within it. This is most commonly measured by means of the rate of return on investment (ROI). The logic behind this concept is that assets are used to generate profits, and the decentralizing of profit responsibility usually requires the decentralization of relationship of profit to invested capital within a division. Much of its appeal lies in the apparent ease with which one can compare a division’s ROI with earnings opportunities elsewhere – inside or outside the company. However, ROI is an imperfect measure and needs to be used with some scepticsm and in conjunction with other performance measurements. The value of the controllable/uncontrollable cost split is primarily found in fixing responsibility and measuring efficiency. Time is an important ingredient in this context since all costs are controllable at some organizational level if a sufficiently long time-span is taken. Controllable costs are those that can be directly regulated by a given individual within a given time period. The division of costs into controllable and uncontrollable categories is important in order that performance levels may be evaluated and also for securing the cooperation of managers at all levels. The manager who is involved in planning his performance level in the knowledge that those controllable costs for which he is responsible will be monitored, accumulated, and reported, is likely to be motivated towards attaining his predetermined level of performance. In this way, it can be seen that the collecting of controllable costs by responsibility centers serves as a motivating force as well as an appraisal mechanism. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 30 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control While the ideal procedure is for each responsibility center to be assignment those costs over which its manager its manager has sole control and for which he or she is therefore responsible, in practical terms this cannot usually be achieved. It is rare for an individual to have complete control over all the factors that influence a given cost element. Apart from those costs over which a responsible individual actually has control, his responsibility center may be charged with costs that are beyond his direct control and influence but about which management wishes him to be concerned. A good example is the cost of a company’s personnel department’s costs on the grounds that either: He will be careful about making unnecessary requests for the services of the personnel department if he is made to feel somewhat responsible for its level of costs; or He may try to influence the personnel manager to exercise firm control over his department’s costs Allocating general overheads to responsibility centers is done by many companies that practice responsibility accounting (and that therefore recognize that such costs are beyond the control of those to whom they are allocated) on the grounds that each responsible individual will be able to see the magnitude of the indirect costs incurred to support this unit. There is major disadvantage that should be seriously considered: the manager of a small responsibility center incurring directly controllable costs at his level in a given time period of, say, £10,000 may be allocated £45,000 of general overhead costs. In relation to the overall level of overhead cost the manager may feel that those costs for which he is responsible are so insignificant that he may give up truing to control them. The point to note is that each cost must be made the responsibility of whoever can best influence its behavior, and allocating costs beyond this achieves at best very little from a control viewpoint and may be distinctly harmful to the cost control effort. (Since a specific example of uncontrollable costs has not been given so far the general overheads of £45,000 referred to above can be used as a suitable example. For control proposes the costs that are being considered are the costs that can be directly influenced at a given level for a specified time-span). While the head of a responsibility center may not have sole responsibility for a particular cost item this item may reasonably be considered to be controllable at his level if he has a significant influence on the amount of cost incurred, an in this case his responsibility center can properly be charged with the cost. This is one aspect of the wider problem that arises because few (if any) cost items are the sole responsibility of just one person. Guidelines that have been established for deciding which costs can appropriately center are, in summary: If an individual has authority over both the acquisition and the use of a cost incurring activity, then his responsibility center should bear the cost of that activity. If an individual does not have sole responsibility for a given cost item but is able to influence a significant extent the amount of cost incurred through his own actions, them he may reasonably be charged with the cost. Even if an individual cannot significantly influence the amount of cost through his own direct action, he may be charged with a portion of those elements of cost with which management wished him to be concerned in order that he may help influence those who are more directly responsible. That which applies to cost also, in essence, applies to revenues and assets. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 31 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Approaches to Control Anthony’s Approach to Control The views of Robert Anthony of Harvard on management control have been very influential. They are stated in Anthony 1965 and 1988. When Anthony published his 1965 framework, the management control function was not generally recognized as a discrete activity. This has changed. Management control is one of three types of planning and control activities that occur within organizations; the other categories are strategic planning and task control. Anthony’s definition of management control, given earlier presumes that goals and strategies exist, but that these do not arise automatically. Strategic planning is the process of deciding on the goals of the organization and the strategies for attaining these goals. Authors often distinguish between Planning (i.e., deciding what do); and Control (i.e. ensuring that desired results are obtained) Anthony argues that both planning and control are undertaken at direct organizational levels; hence it is more helpful to look at the mix, as shown in the figure below. Figure 10: the planning and control mix 20 80 50 80 20 Strategic planning 50 Management control Task control Strategies are the courses of action that an organization has adopted as a means of attaining its goals. They include the assignment of overall responsibility for implementation. Strategies are big plans, important plans. They state in a general way the direction in which the organization is supposed to be headed. They do not have a time dimensions that is, they exist until they are changed. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 32 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Control 1 Introduction to Planning and The purpose of the MC process is to carry out the strategies arrived at in the SP process and thereby to attain the organization’s goals. The 1988 approach links MC to the implementation of strategies in a direct way rather than to the attainment of objectives, which is an indirect purpose of MC. The key difference between MC and SP is that the latter is unsystematic: the need for strategic decision can arise at any time – whether in response to a threat or an opportunity. Another difference is that top management undertakes SP and it involves a great deal of judgement. In contrast, MC is systematic, done at all levels, and involves considerable personal interaction but less judgement than SP. SP sets the boundaries within which MC takes place. The third element in Anthony’s approach is task control: Task control is the process of ensuring that specific tasks are carried out effectively and efficiently. Anthony’s framework is shown in the figure below. While dealing with SP and TC, Anthony’s 1988 book focuses primarily on MC, which can be described in terms of a process and the environment within which it takes place. The environment is partly external and partly internal, with the latter comprising: The Organization’s Structure A set of rules, procedures, etc A culture Figure 11: Anthony’s Framework Planning and control activities strategic planning Management control Environment External Organization structure Task control Process Rules Management control of operating activities Culture Planning Execution Programming Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management Annual Planning Evaluation Management control of projects Planning Scope Execution Time Evaluation Cost 33 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The external environment contains influences that affect the level of uncertainty faced by the organization. At a highly uncertain extreme are: Newly developed products; Differentiated products; Aggressive competition; Uncertain political circumstances. At a less uncertain extreme are: Mature products; Commodity products; Price competition; Secure sourcing of inputs; Political stability. Within a highly uncertain setting an organization is likely to pay great attention to programming; to make broad budget estimates; to revise budgets frequently; to set limits to discretionary costs, to permit a good deal of management latitude; to insist on a rapid flow of information; to evaluate performance subjectively in terms of results rather than process; and to have a high proportion of bonus within the reward package. The opposite characteristics are likely to apply in a relatively certain environment. Merchants Approach to Control An organization’s control system is comprised of a variety of mechanisms, including: Personal supervision Job descriptions Rules Standard operating procedures Performance appraisal Budgets Standard costing Incentive compensation schemes However, it would be wrong to think of ‘controls’ – such as the above – as being the plural of ‘control’, and it would also be wrong to assume that more ‘controls’ would automatically give us more ‘control’ since this would assume that they meant the same thing, which they do not. ‘Control’ has the same meaning as measurement, or information, whereas ‘control is concerned with ends, and they deal respectively with facts. From this it will be appreciated that ‘controls’ tend to be analytical and operational. A summary of key differences is shown in the figure below. The increasing ability to develop ‘controls’ has not necessarily increased our ability to ‘control’ organizations. If controls are to lead to control they must encourage human actors to behave in a way that facilitates adaptive behavior on the part of the organization as a whole. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 34 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The complexity and uncertainty of the control problem are apparent when, for example, controls reveal that ‘profits are falling’. But this does not indicate how one might respond – indeed, it would not be possible even to identify the whole array of potential responses. What is needed, therefore, if control is to be effective, is a basis for forming expectations about the future as well as understanding about the past that will enable us to combine these in order that we might behave in an adaptive way by either anticipating external changes and preparing to meet them, or by creating changes. Figure 12: The different focus of control and controls ∑CONTROL ∑ CONTROL ∆CONTROLS ≠ ∆ CONTROL Controls Parts (simple) Measurement Control wholes (complex) Information *Measurable symptoms *Means *Present/past orientation ](Facts) *Positive (What was/is) *Efficiency *Hardware (Machine, physical processes) *Umeasurable causes *Ends *Future orientation (expectations) *Effectiveness *Software (through human actors) From this arises the basic question – how do we control? In large part this is resolved by the answer to another question – what do we measure in order to control? Care must be taken in measuring the key elements in any situation rather than those elements that lend themselves to easy measurement. Merchant offers some valuable advice on a range of controls but with a control perspective. He classifies these controls under the headings given below: Result Controls Reward systems – in which an individual’s pay promotion prospects, etc., depend on his performance – are a good example of results control. It is not unusual for desired results control. It is not unusual for desired results to be expressed in quantitative terms – whether financial – which gives a benchmark for exercising results control. At senior management levels this form of control predominates since it is compatible with decentralized organizational structures. At middlemanagement levels, where financial goals may be less dominant, results control can be exercised through MbO (Management by Objectives) systems. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 35 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The effectiveness of results controls derives from the ability of this approach to address some key control problems. In particular motivational problems are eased since individuals are influenced to produce the results, which will enhance both the organization’s performance and their own rewards. By focusing on future expectations the results approach to control can be useful in informing managers as to what is expected of them. This emphasizes a feedforward orientation. Three conditions need to be fulfilled before results control can be employed: It is known what results are desirable Those whose actions are being influenced can control the desired results to some extent The controllable results can be measured Action Controls Action controls are used: To ensure that individuals perform certain actins that are known to be beneficial to the organization. Categories of action controls are: Behavioral constraints (whether physical or administrative) Preaction reviews; Action accountability Redundancy (in which more resources are allocated to a task than is strictly necessary which increases the likelihood of its accomplishment). Two conditions need to be fulfilled if action controls are to be effective. Knowledge must exist as to which actions are desirable (or undesirable) The ability must be present to ensure that the desirable actions occur (or that the undesirable ones do not) Personnel Controls There are two categories of personnel control that can be usefully harnessed as part of the management control endevour. Individual self-control, which, as a naturally present force, motivates most people to want to do a good job; Social control, which is exerted by other members of a group on those individuals who deviate from group norms and values. If these two categories are insufficient they can be augmented by: Selection and placements Training Cultural control There are several advantages that personnel controls have over results controls and action controls. Feasibility is not a serious constraint There are fewer harmful side effects Their cost is typically lower Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 36 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Financial Controls Financial controls are a form of results control, which constitute the single most important types of control, used in organizations of any size. The reasons favouring financial controls are fairly obvious. Financial objectives are very important in commercial life, Financial performance indicators are easy to derive Since financial results can be achieved via various routes, the use of financial controls allows for some managerial discretion Using financial measures is relatively inexpensive since accounting systems exist within all enterprises. Inevitably there are negative effects, which can outweigh the advantages of using financial controls. The most serious are: Behavioural displacement – especially when the control system encourages managers to be overly concerned with short-term profits rather than longer-term strategic ends, or when it causes excessive risk aversion; Gamesmanship It has been argued that there is a tendency for financial measures to drive out non-financial measures within MCS design which, given the partiality of financial measures, is unfortunate. The Approach of Johnson and Scholes Strategic marketing involves strategic change. Johnson and Scholes have argued that there are two ways in which an organization can cope with strategic change. Make use of control and regulatory systems to ensure that the tasks of implementation are clear, that their execution is monitored, that individuals and groups have the capabilities to implement change, and that they are rewarded for so doing. Ensure that those charged with implementing change understand and work within the social, political and cultural systems that regulate organizational behaviour, and which can give rise to a resistance to strategic change. Figure 13: The influence of organization systems on strategy implementation Required changes in the behaviour/attitude/ Strategic plans Job tasks of people Information and control Systems Regulatory systems Culture change Political systems Their approach to dealing with these issues is reflected in the figure above. If we take the information and control systems first, it is widely recognized that quantitative measures are needed to see if desired results are being achieved. Such measures will typically include: Financial analysis Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 37 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Market Analysis Sales and distribution analysis Physical resource analysis Human resource analysis A set of guidelines for ensuring the effective design and operation of control systems would deal with such aspects as: Distinguishing between various levels of control, since different levels will require different information; Creating responsibility centers as a means of delegation and motivation, ensuring information is provided in a suitable form for each responsible manager; Identifying the critical success factors and supplying information relating t o these in a way that highlights their interrelationships; Avoiding misleading measurements by accepting that quantitative indicators of performance are not available for every activity and it is not helpful to use a measurable index as a surrogate for an unmeasurable characteristic; Being wary of negative monitoring in which only poor performance is reported since this can lead to risk adverse behavior or a tendency to ‘pass the buck’. The next means for ensuring the implementation of strategic change is via regulatory systems. These might range from training to the management style of an organization. Training and development to ensure staff are capable of implementing change, which involves both new skills and attitudes; Incentive and reward systems to encourage compliance with required change, whether in the form of pay increases or non-monetary rewards Organizational routines by which tasks are carried out may exhibit inertia so deliberate steps need to be taken to redesign them in order to facilitate change; Management style, which embodies the organization’s culture, its circumstances, and the characteristics of its managers, needs to be appropriate to the tasks of strategic implementation. Moving on from regulatory systems brings us to culture change. At its most basic focuses on the need for change to be recognized within the organization in a way that ensures those responsible for bringing change about believe in what they are doing. This can be in two stages, both which are concerned with cognitive change: The beliefs and assumptions underlying the way in which the organization’s members make sense of heir organizational world need breaking down; A reformulated set of beliefs needs to be put in their place to reoreintate the clutter from the past to the future. For cultural change to be meaningful it must impact upon the day-to-day experiences of individuals within the organization. Finally there is the political system to consider. The overlaps among control systems, regulatory systems, culture and political systems is largely self-apparent, but it is important to emphasize that planning and control are inherently political rather than neutral. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 38 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The Approach of Luck and Ferrel Once the plan/strategy has been determined and steps taken to put this into effect, the control process exists to ensure that the plan will be achieved. Control can operate at different levels. For example, the figure below shows tactical control, which focuses on the implementation of plans on the firth, and strategic control, which focuses on the possible revision of strategy on the left. This is developed further in figure 16. Figure 14: A basic control model for marketing Buyers Strategic control Offering Tactical control Market feedback Actions Plans Strategy Marketing mix Decision Internal Markets Inputs Objectives Segments Policies Targets Organization Demands Resources Potential Economy Environmental Competition Technology Social forces Government Marketing variables Product Promotion Price Distribution Control, which focuses on the possible revision of strategy on the left. This is developed further in the figure below. Tactical control typically relates to adjustments in the execution of an established marketing plan – such as fine turning on pricing or advertising schedules. Strategic control deals with the reformulation of the plans themselves. For example, actual buyer behavior patterns may indicate that a plan has been based on false premises. Strategic rethinking will thus be necessary in developing a new marketing plan. The role of the information system needed to facilitate tactical and strategic control is indicated in the figure below. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 39 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 15: Strategic and tactical marketing control Buyers Transactions Offering Strategic control Current planning gap Tactical control Diagnosis Prognosis FutureStrategy search mix planning gap Controllable marketing Forecasts Alternatives Environmental changes Strategy Marketing selection Plans approval variables Figure 16: The role of information marketing control Marketing strategy Marketing plan Monitoring Performance Taking corrective action Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management Information system 40 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Management Control Introduction Having considered the nature of control and control systems, along with a range of approaches to control, this chapter looks in more detail at the operation of some of the more widely used control systems. It then goes on to consider how corrective action might be taken if outcomes are not in accordance with plans. Controls In large organizations there are a number of insidious and unobstructive controls to be found. These are all the more dangerous and powerful because they are so deceptive. Their deceptiveness is shown in their not causing participants to feel their presence – there is no feeling of being oppressed by a despot. Instead there is perhaps just the experience of conforming to the logic of a situation, or of performing in accordance with some internalized standard. Beyond this source of ‘control’ there are other sources. To the extent that the behaviour of members of organizations is controlled such regularity may derive from the norms and definitions of subcultural groups within the organization rather than from official rules and prescriptions. The idea that organizational rules constitute the blueprint for all behaviour within organization is not a teneable one. Nevertheless, the most significant form of power within organizations is the power to limit, guide and restrict the decision making of organizational personnel such that even when they are allowed to use their own judgement they do not deviate from official expectations. In part this is due to the organization’s structure, which can be seen as a series of limitations and controls over members’ decision making, and which results from powerful, senior organizational personnel choosing what the structure should be. It is something of a paradox that the modern individual is freer form coercion through the power of command of superiors than most people have ever been, yet individuals in positions of power today probably exercise more control than any tyrant ever did. This is largely due to contemporary forms of power exercised within organizations and by organizations in society. There is a distinct trend that places less reliance on control through a fixed chain of pursue this in greater detail. Forms of control have changed with the passage of time, and these forms have had impacts not only within organizations but also through them, on contemporary society. Organizations have taken advantage of a variety of control mechanism from time to time, ranging from ones that are obviously bureaucratic in nature. We can consider the following range of control mechanisms The prototype is the authority exercised through a chain of command in which superiors give subordinates instructions which must be obeyed. This coercive form of control has strong military overtones, and an essential element is rigorous discipline that must be enforced through coercive sanctions. Such discipline is not usually a characteristic of contemporary industrial life. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 41 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The establishing of explicit regulations and procedures to govern decisions and operations gives a programmed form of control. Discipline is involved in this mechanism also, and close links can be seen between the idea of a set of rules that must be followed and the idea of following orders via a chain of command. However, explicit rules do restrict the arbitrary exercise of power by superiors because they apply to rulers as well as to the ruled. In specifying rules of how to behave in particular circumstances it is unlikely that all possible situations will be catered for. It follows that rules should ideally decisions – thus specifying criteria for decision-making will be less restrictive than the stipulating of how specific decisions should be made. Incentive systems constitute a further control mechanism. Salaries and career advancement clearly make individuals dependent to a large extent on the organization that employs them, thereby constraining them to submit to the authority exercised within that organization. Incentives are often tied directly to performance, piece of work rates and sales commissions being the most obvious examples. However, performance measures can be developed for most organizational roles, and adjustments in salary levels and promoting decisions will depend at least to some extent on measured achievements. Technology provides a control mechanism in two forms: Production technology constrains employees’ performance, thereby enabling managers to control operations. The technical knowledge possessed by an organization’s ‘technocrats’ gives them the ability to understand and perform complex tasks and thereby maintain control of a situation. Management is thus able to control operations, albeit indirectly, by hiring staff with appropriate professional/technical skills to carry out the required responsibilities This reduces the need to use alternative mechanisms, such as detailed rules or close supervision through a chain of command. Expert knowledge is a vital requirement in managing organizations. It follows that recruiting suitable technocrats is a key mechanism for controlling the organization. If technically – qualified individuals are selectively recruited and if they have the professional ability to perform assigned tasks on their own, then if the organization gives such individuals the appropriate discretion to do what needs to be done within the broad framework of basic policies and administrative guidelines, it should be possible for control to be effective. The allocation of resources is the ultimate mechanism of organizational control since these facilities certain actions and inhibits others. Within organizations one will find several of these mechanism of control in operation, yet there seems to be a trend towards a decreasing reliance on control through a chain of command and an increasing reliance on indirect forms of control, e.g. via recruitment policies. Incentive systems and machine technologies are perhaps the most prevalent mechanisms of contemporary organizational control: control via recruitment and resource allocation is indicative of the likely future pattern. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 42 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Controls may be informal as well as formal. The former are unwritten mechanisms that can influence either individual or group behavior patterns within organizations in profound ways. A distinction can be made among different types informal control by means of the level of aggregation chosen. Three categories are: Self-control in which individuals establish their own personal objectives and attempt to achieve those objectives by monitoring their own performance and adapting their behavior whenever this necessary. This can lead to high levels of job satisfaction but it may fail to achieve the outcomes sought by top management. In order to motivate individuals to act in accordance with top management’s wishes a system of incentives will be needed. Social control is applied within small group setting by members of the group. It is typically found that groups set their own informal standards of behavior and performance with which group members are expected to conform. These standards represent values and mutual commitments towards some common goal. Whenever a member of the group behaves in a deviant way by violating a group norm the other members of the group will attempt to use subtle pressures – such as humour or hints – to correct the deviance. If this fails and violations are repeated the group’s reaction is likely to be to ostracize the deviant individual. In a marketing context there may be group norms for, say, expenses and sales volumes within a sales team. Cultural control applies at a corporate level and stems form the accumulation of rituals, legends and norms of social interaction within the organization. Once an individual has internalized the cultural norms he/she can be expected to behave in accordance with those norms. This gives reason to see cultural control as being the dominant control mechanism for senior management positions involving non-routine decision making: the judgement factor will reflect the manger’s cultural conditioning. In contrast to informal controls – written management-initiated mechanisms that influence the probability that individuals, or groups, will act in a manner that is supportive of marketing objectives. Three categories of formal controls can be identified, with timing being the distinguishing factor. Input controls consist of measurable actions that are taken prior to the implementation of plans, such as specifying selection criteria for recruiting staff, establishing recruitment and training programmes, and various forms of resource allocation. The mix of these inputs can be manipulated in an attempt to secure control. Process control relates to management’s attempts to influence the means of achieving desired ends, with the emphasis being on behavior and/or activities rather than on the end results – such as requiring individuals to follow establishing procedures. There is no clear agreement in the literature as to whether the organization’s structure represents a control mechanism or not. Not unreasonable to think of structure as being part of process control. Output controls apply when results are compared with performance standards, as in feedback control. In considering control in marketing one might emphasize the control of marketing activities in a relatively detached and impersonal way, as is done by strategy formulation and variance analysis. Alternatively, on e might emphasize the control of marketing personnel the best way forward would seem to be a balanced combination of both approaches: in other words, feedforward and feedback need to be combined with marketing activities by those who devise and execute marketing activities. The ultimate test of any control system is the extent to which it brings about organizational effectiveness and it is fair to say that there is little rigorously formulated evidence to demonstrate clear linkages between any approach to control organizational effectiveness. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 43 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Audits One approach towards assessing marking effectiveness is the marketing audit. The marketing audit exists to help correct difficulties and to improve conditions that may already be good. While these aims may be achieved by a total programme of evaluation studies. The former approach is termed a ‘vertical audit’ as it is only concerned with one element of the marketing mix at any one time. In contrast, the latter approach, the ‘horizontal audit’, is concerned with optimizing the use of resources, thereby maximizing the total effectiveness of marketing efforts and outlays. As such, it is by far the more difficult of the two, and hence rarely attempted. No matter which form of marketing audit is selected, top management should ensure that no area of marketing activity goes unevaluated and that every aspect is evaluated in accordance with standards that are compatible with the total success of the marketing organization and of the firm as a whole. This, of course, requires that all activities be related to the established hierarchy of objectives. The Distribution Audit In the planning and control of costs and effectiveness in distribution activities the management audit can be of considerable value. Not surprisingly, however, it entails a complex set of procedures right across the function if it is to be carried out thoroughly. The major components are the channel audit, the PDM audit, the competitive audit, and the customer service audit. Each of these will be considered briefly in turn. The Channel Audit Channels are made up of the intermediaries (such as wholesalers, factors, retailers) through which goods pass on their route from manufacture to consumption. The key channel decisions include Choosing intermediaries; Determining the implications (from a PD point of view) of alternative channel structures Assessing the available margins It follows from the nature of these decisions that the main focus of a channel audit will be on structural factors on cost/margin factors on the other. The PDM Audit There are three primary elements within this audit: that of company profile (which includes the handling cost characteristics of the product range and the service level that is needed in the light market conditions); PDM developments (both of a technological and contextual nature); and the current system’s capability. Cost aspects exist in each of these elements, but operating costs loom largest in the last since it is predominantly concerned with costs and capacity. The Competitive Audit Through this phase it should be possible to ascertain the quality of competitor’s distribution policies, and especially the level of service that competitors are able to offer (and maintain). Within the competitive audit regard should also be heard to channel structures, pricing and discount policies and market shares. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 44 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The Customer Service Audit Given that the level of service is at the center of physical distribution management it is essential to monitor regularly its cost and quality characteristics. A very through approach to the distribution audit is that develop at the Cranifeild school of management by Christopher and his colleagues. Kotler has offered the view that auditing is the ultimate control measure, although it can be seen as a means of linking the notions of efficiency and effectiveness. It achieves their latter purpose by not only evaluating performance in terms of inputs used and outputs generated but also by evaluating the assumptions underlying marketing strategies. The fact that audits are expensive and time consuming – especially when undertaken in a comprehensive, horizontal manner – may appear to contradict the striving for efficiency. However, by focusing on doing the right thing they should help in ensuring effectiveness, which is of greater importance. Kling has addressed selecting the right person to carry out the audit. He observed that a balance of experience and objectivity is needed which tends to favour outside auditors who have a broader range of experience than insiders and who can stand back in a reasonably impartial way form policies and procedures that they were not involved in either formulating or implementing. The range of possible auditors includes: Self-audit; Audit from across Audit form above Company auditing office; Company task-force audit Outside auditors It may be better to have a combination of 6 with one of 2-5, thereby bringing together an external view with the perspective of insiders in a joint endevour. There is little evidence of support for 1, although it exists as a possibility in he absence of any alternative. In carrying out a marketing audit it will be evident that the enterprise needs to exhibit adaptive behavior if its is to remain goal striving in a dynamic environment. Effectiveness is concerned with this ability to achieve goals in an ever-changing context. Budgeting Budgeting (or profile planning) is perhaps the widest-ranging control technique in that it covers the entire organization rather than merely selections of it. A budget is a quantitative plan of action that aids in the co-ordination and control of the acquisition, allocation and utilization of resources over a given period of time. The building of the budget may be looked upon as the integration of the varied interests that constitute the organization into a programme that all have agreed in workable in attempting to attain objectives. Budgeting involves more than just forecasting since it involves the planned manipulation of all the variables that determine the company’s performance in an effort to arrive at some preferred position in the future. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 45 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The agreed plan must be developed in a co-ordinated manner if the requirements of each sub-system are to be balanced in line with company objectives. Each manger must consider the others and to the company as a whole in the budgetary planning phase. This trends to reduce departmental bias and empire building, as well as isolating weaknesses in the organizational structure and highlighting problems of communication. Furthermore, it encourages the delegation of authority by a reliance on the principle of management by exception. Having determined the plan, this provides the frame of reference for judging subsequent performance. There can be no doubt that budgeted performance is a better bench-mark that past performance on account of the inefficiencies that are usually hidden in the latter and the effect of constantly changing conditions. There are essentially two types of budget – the long-term and the short-term. Time obviously distinguishes one from the other, and this raises the point that users of budgets should not be unduly influenced by conventional accounting periods: the budget period that is most meaningful to the company should be adopted. For example, the life cycle of a product form its development right calendar units because it links marketing production, and financial planning on a unified basis. The actual choice of a budget period will tend to depend very much on the company’s ability to forecast accurately. Typically, however, budgets tend to be compiled on an annual basis, with this time-span being broken down into lesser time intervals for reporting, scheduling and control reasons. Within this framework of one year the operating budget is prepared. This is composed of tow parts, with each part looking the same things in a slightly different way, but both arriving at the same net profit and return on investment. The progrmme (or activity) budget that specifies the operations that will be performed during the forthcoming period. The most logical way to present this budget is to show, for each product, the expected revenues and their associated costs. The result is an impersonal portrayed of the expected future that is useful in ensuring that a balance exists among the various activities, profits margins, and volumes – in other words, this is the plan The responsibility budget that specifies the annual plan in terms of individual responsibilities. This is primarily a control device that indicates the target level of performance, but the personalized costs and revenues in this budget must be controllable at the level at which they are planned and reported. The significance of these tow ways of dealing with the operating budgets is of importance as the programme budget is the outcome of the planning phase former need not correspond to the organizational structure but the latter must. Consequently, the plan must be translated into the control prior to the time of doubt as to precisely what is expected of him or her. Given these two complementary aspects of the operating budget there are two basic ways in which the budget may be prepared: Periodic budgeting in which a plan is prepared for the next financial year with a minimum of revision as the year goes by. Generally the total expected annual expenditure will be spread over the year on a monthly basis on the strength of the behavior of the elemental costs. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 46 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Thus, ‘salaries’ will be spread over the months simply as one-twelfth of the expected annual cost per month, but seasonal variations in sales will require a little more attention to be paid to marketing and production costs and their behavior over time. Continuous (or rolling) budgeting in which a tentative annual plan is prepared with, say, the first quarter by month in great detail, the second and third quarters by month in great detail, the second and third quarters in lesser detail, and the fourth quarter in outline only. Every month (or quarter) in such a way that a plan still extends one year ahead. Such a budgeting procedure attempts to accommodate changing conditions and uncertainty, and is highly desirable in that it forces management constantly to think in concrete terms about the forthcoming year regardless of where one happens to be in the present financial year. Period budgeting will often be satisfactory for companies in stable industries that are able to make relatively accurate forecasts covering the planning period. Conversely, rolling budgeting is of greater value in the more usual cases of somewhat irregular cyclical activity amid the uncertainties of consumer demand. Whether the concern is with long-term or short-term budgeting or with continuous or period budgeting, there are certain fundamental requirements that must be met if budgeting is to be of maximum value. Briefly, these requirements are: Establish objectives; Top management sponsorship and support; A knowledge of cost behaviour; Flexibility; A specified time period; Adequate systems support; An effective organizational structure; A sufficient level of education in budgetary practice. If these prerequisites exist, them budgeting should enable the company to improve its effectiveness by planning for the future and controlling the execution of the plan by comparing actual results with the desired level of performance. Deviations between actual and budgeted results will be of managerial concern for such reasons as the following: To indicate the need for budget revision; To pinpoint those activities requiring remedial attention. To highlight errors in budgeting procedures; The principles of management by exception should be applied to this process of comparison with the focusing of attention on significant variations. However, if the budgeted level of activity differs from the actual level of activity it will be apparent that variances of an artificial nature arise – such variances are based purely on volume rather than efficiency. This emphasizes the need for flexibility within the budgeting system: it should be able to allow for varying circumstances by recognizing and adapting to significant changes in the fundamental operating conditions of the firm. Such adaptability can be achieved by a flexible budget. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 47 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control In a flexible budgeting system the budgeted cost is adjusted in accordance with the level of activity experienced in the budget period. For example, a budget that is based on sales of 10 000 units during a particular period is of little value for control purposes if 12 000 units (or 8000 units) are actually sold. The sales of commission, order processing/invoicing, freight, and similar cost-incurring activities will tend to depend on the actual level of activity which requires that the budget be adjusted in order to show the efficient budgeted for 5 percent, 10 percent, 15 percent above and below this level. The major advantage of the flexible budget is its ability to specifying the budgeted level of costs, revenues and profits without revision when sales and production progrmames are changed. It achieves this by distinguishing between those costs that vary with changes in the level of activity and those that do not. In other words, it is based on a through knowledge of cost behavior patterns. A static budget can result in misleading actions. An example should make this carrier. The table below shows the comparison of a budgeted level of 10 000 units with an actual sales level of 11 000 units. It appears that profit has improved by £300 but not all costs vary in the same way, so a flexible budget analysis is called for. This is shown in table 6 and indicates clearly that the comparison should be between the actual level of activity and the budgeted costs, revenue, and profit for that level. While profit was higher than the budgeted figure, the difference was only £20 rather than £300. Table 6: Fixed budget analysis Sales (units) Sales revenue Expenditure Direct Indirect Profit Budget 10,000 £15,000 10,000 4,200 £1 000 Actual 11,000 £16000 11,000 4,200 £1300 Variance +1,000 +£1,500 +1,000 +200 +£300 Flexible actual 10,000 £15000 10,000 1,500 2,000 500 £1,000 Actual 11,000 16,000 11,000 1,500 2,200 520 £1,300 Variance -50 +40 -10 +20 Table 7: Flexible budget analysis Fixed budget Sales (units) Sales revenue Expenditure Direct Fixed indirect Variable indirect Mixed indirect Profit The need to distinguish fixed costs (which remain constant in total during a period) from variable costs (which remain constant per unit of output) is of paramount importance, and any costs that are neither one nor the other (i.e. semi-fixed or semi-variable expenses) can usefully be classified as mixed costs. Apart from showing the cost breakdown in some detail, in the figure above shows the target level of activity (i.e. the fixed budget) as well as the efficiency with which the actual level of activity was attained. This information is vital to effective control. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 48 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control It is important to appreciate what budgeting cannot take the place of management but rather forms a vital aid to management. Indeed, budgets are based on estimates, and judgment must be applied to determine how valid the estimates are and, consequently, how significant deviations are form those estimates. The adequacy of managerial judgment. In the light of the need for judgment it is clear that budgeting should not introduce unnecessary rigidity into the management process. A budget should be a flexible framework that is capable of accommodating changing circumstances, but care must be exercised lest the budgetary targets come to supersede the objectives of the company. The budget is a means to an end, not an end in itself. In its traditional application budgeting has a major weakness in planning and another in control: in the planning phase there is usually considerations of too few alternative courses of action form which the best is to be selected, and in the control phase it is difficult to adjust operating budgets to reflect rapidly changing conditions – they are at best flexible with respect to changing sales or production levels. Nevertheless, these weaknesses should not outweigh the general role of budgeting in drawing attention to problem areas, encouraging forward thinking and developing company-wide cooperation. Other Approaches to Budgeting: ZBB And PPBS In order to accommodate the particular needs of non-profit organizations (such as government agencies) as well as providing a focus for more rigorous thinking in relation to programmed or discretionary costs (i.e. those which are determined purely by managerial discretion – such as R & D, training, and many marketing outlays), a number of recent developments in budgeting techniques are worthy of mention. In particular, zero-base budgeting (ZBB) and output budgeting (which is also known as a planning-programming-budgeting system, hence the initials (PPBS) have generated considerable interest, so we will take note of them at this point. Zero-Base Budgeting (ZBB) Among other failings it is generally agreed that traditional budgeting (or incremental budgeting as it is often known due to the tendency to add on a bit more – an increment – to last year’s budget level in order to arrive at a figure for next year) is number-oriented, fails to identify priorities, and starts with the existing level of activity or expenditure. It will be appreciated from this last point that in taking as given the current level of expenditure, and the activities that this represents, the traditional approach to budgeting, by looking only at desired increases or, occasionally, decreases, is ignoring the majority of the organization’s expenditure. This is rather myopic. The zero-base budgeting alternative is to evaluate simultaneously existing and new ways of achieving specified ends in order to establish priorities among them which could mean that there are trade-offs between existing and new activities. For example, a new project A that is considered to be more desirable essence the approach is carried out in two stages: Decision packages are identified within each decision unit. These decision units are essentially discrete activities that can be described in away that packages cover both existing and projected incremental, and the organizational units responsible for carrying them out are much akin to the responsibility centers that were discussed earlier in the chapter. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 49 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The object is to define for each decision unit the basic requirements that are needed if excess of this basic level are deemed increment. (It will be seen, therefore, that the title ‘zero base’ is something of a misnomer since the base is certainly greater than zero!). in considering what is needed in order to fulfill a particular purpose, over and above the base level, it is probable that alternative ways of achieving the same end will be identified, and these should be described and evaluated as they arise: these are the decision packages. Once the manage of a decision unit has submitted his statement of evaluated decision packages to his superior it is the latter’s job to assign priorities to the various submissions from all his subordinates, and to select limit. There are a number of ways in which priorities can be determined in order that competing packages may be ranked. This approach is logical and has much to commend it in relation to discretionary outlays. Output Budgeting In the traditional approach to budgeting there trends to be an overall emphasis on the functional areas of an organization. Thus one has the budget for the marketing function, and that for the data processing department. However, no organization was ever established in order that it might have these functions as a definition of what it exists to achieve, so it is helpful to look at the situation from anther angle. In a typical business organization there will be functions such as those shown in the figure, but the organization really exists in order to achieve various purposes, which have been simplified in the ‘missions’ of figure 21. in developing a business plan the major concern is with the ‘missions’ subject to the resource limitations within the functions, etc, whereas the development of controls will usually be via the responsibility centers that are contained within the functions. Figure 17: Functional activities Research and development Manufacturing Engineering Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management Marketing Distribution Administration 50 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control If we now superimpose the (horizontal) missions over the (vertical) functions we have crux of the output budgeting approach. What this does is to focus attention on the purposes to be served by the organization, as shown by the missions, and the contribution that each function must make to each mission if the missions are to be successful. Figure 22 suggests this in the most simplified manner. Figure 18: Missions Reformulation and relaunch of product X Continued market success with product Y The successful development and launch of product z Figure 19: A simplified output budgeting format Research and development Manufacturing Engineering Marketing Distribution Administration Reformulation and relaunch of product Continued market success with product Y The successful development and launch of product Z Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 51 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Variance Analysis When actual selling price differ from standard selling prices a sales price variance can be computed. Standard selling prices will be used in compiling budgets, but it may be necessary to adapt to changing market conditions by raising or lowering prices, so it becomes desirable to segregate variances due to price changes from variances due to change in quantity and product mix. Quantity and mix are the two components of sales volume variances, and variations in profit can be explained to some extent by analyzing sales quantity and sales mix. The formulae for computing sales variances are: Sales price variance = actual units sold X (actual price – standard price); Sales volume variance = sales quantity variance + sales mix variance; Sales quantity variance=budgeted profit on budgeted sales-expected profit on actual sales; Sales mix variance=expected profit on actual sales-standard profit on actual sales ‘Expected profit on actual sales’ is calculated as though profit increases or decreases proportionality with changes in the level of sales. ‘Standard profit on actual sales’ is the sum of the standard profit for all units sold. (for a single product range, the standard profit on actual sales is equal to the expected profit on actual sales, and the sales mix variance will necessarily be nil.) Let us clarify the methodology with an example. Assume budgeted sales of a company’s tow products for a forthcoming period were as follows: Product A 500 units at £2.00 per unit Product B 700 units at £1.50 per unit and their costs were: Product A £1.75 per unit Product B £1.30 per unit Actual sales for the period were: Product A 560 units at £1.95 per unit Product B 710 at £1.40 per unit Budgeted sales revenue = £[(500 X 2.00) + (700 X 1.50)] = £2,500 Actual sales revenue = £[(560 X 1.95) + (710 X 1.40)] = £2,086 Budgeted profit = £[(500 x 0.25) + (700 X 0.20)] = £265 Actual profit = £[(560 X 0.20) + (710 X 0.10)] = £ 183 Total profit Sales price variance -£82 = £[560 X (1.95 – 2.00)] + = [(710 X (1.40 – 1.50)] Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management = -£99 52 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Sales volume variance: Quantity variance = £265 – [2,086/2,050 X 265] = Mix variance = £269 – [(560 x 0.25) + (710 x 0.20)] = Sales volume variance Total sales variance +£4 +£13 +£17 -£82 Standard can be developed for repetitive activities, and it is possible to determine the standards in a marketing context for the following illustrative activities: cost per unit of sales; Cost per sales transaction; Cost per order received; Cost per customer account; Cost per mile traveled; Cost per sales call made The degree of detail can be varied to suit the particular requirements. Thus ‘cost per unit of sales’ may be ‘advertising cost per £ of sales revenue for product X’ and so on. It is clearly more difficult to establish precise standards for most marketing activities than is the case in the manufacturing or distribution functions. Physical and mechanical factors are less influential; psychological factors are more prominent; objective measurement is less conspicuous; tolerance limits must be broader; and the range of segments for which marketing standards can be developed is much greater. But the discipline of seeking to establish standards can generate insights into relationships between effort and results that are likely to outweigh any lack of precision. It is possible for an organization to develop marketing standards by participating in an interfirm comparison scheme. As Westwick has shown, integrated sets of ratios and standards can be devised to allow for detailed monitoring of performance. When budget levels and standards are being developed it is vitally important to note the assumptions on which they have been based since it is inevitable that circumstances will change and a variety of unanticipated events will occur once the budget is implemented. Bearing this in mind let us work through an example. Table below illustrates an extract from a marketing plan for product X (column 2) with actual results (column 3) and variances (column 4) being shown for a particular operating period. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 53 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Table 8: Operating results for product X Item (1) Revenues: Sales (units) Price per unit (£) Total revenue (£) Market: Total market size (units) Share of market (%) Costs: Variable cost per unit (£) Contribution Per unit (£) Total contribution (£) Plan (2) Actual (3) Variance (4) 10,000,000 1.00 10,000,000 11,000,000 0.95 10,450,000 1,000,000 0.05 450,000 25,000,000 40.0 30,000,000 36.7 5,000,000 (3.3) 0.60 0.60 - 0.40 4,000,000 0.35 3,850,000 0.05 (150,000) The unfavourable contribution variance of £150,000 shown at the foot of column 4 is due to two principal causes: A variance relating to contribution per unit; and A variance relating to sales volume In turn, a variance relating to sales volume can be attributed to differences between: Actual and anticipated total market size; and Actual and anticipated market share. Therefore a variation between planned and actual contribution may be due to variations in price per unit, variable cost per unit, total market size and market penetration. In the case of product X we have: Profit variance: (Ca – Qp) X Qa = £(0.35 – 0.40) X 11,000,000 = (£550,000) Volume variance (Qa – Qp) X Cp = (11,000,000 – 10,000,000) X £0.40 = £400,000 Net variance Profit variance Volume variance (550,000) 400,000 £(150,000) Where: Ca = Actual contribution per unit; Cp = Planned contribution per unit; Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 54 Qa = Actual quantity sold in units Qp = Planned quantity of sales in units Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 55 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control The figure below illustrates the relations. Figure 20: Marketing variances, 1 Budgeted volume Actual volume Actual volume At budget margin at budgeted margin at actual margin Cp X Qp = £0.40 X 10m Cp X Qa = £0.40 X 11m Ca X Qa = £0.35 X 11m = £4,000,000 = £4,400,00 = £3,850,000 Volume variance Profit variance £400,000 F £550,000 U Total variance £150,000 U However, 2 can be analyzed further to take into account the impact of market size and penetration variations. Market size variance: (Sa –Sp) X Sp X Cp = (30,000,000 – 25,000,000) X 0.4 X 0.4 = £800,000 Market share variance: (Sa – Sp) X Ma X Cp = (0.367 – 0.40) X 30,000,000 X 0.4 = £(400,000) Volume variance: Market size variance Market share variance 800,000 (400,000) £400,000 Where: Ma = actual total market in units Mp = planned total market in units Sa = actual market share Sp = planned market share Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 56 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control See figure 23, which illustrates these relationship. In summary, the position now appears thus: £ £ Planned profit contribution Volume variance: Market size variance 800,000 Market share variance (400,000) Profit variance (550,000) Actual profit contribution £3,850,000 4,000,000 400,000 Figure 21: Marketing variances, 2 Volume variance (F) 40.0 Market share variance (U) 36.7 Market Share (%) Planned 0 25 Actual 30 Planned Actual Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 57 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control But this is not the end of the analysis! Variances arise because of unsatisfactory performance and unsatisfactory plans. It is desirable, therefore, to distinguish variances due to the poor execution of plans from those due to the poor establishing of plans. In the latter category are likely to be found forecasting errors reflecting faulty assumptions, and the estimates of total market size may constitute poor bench-marks for gauging subsequent managerial performance. It is difficult to determine categorically whether market share variances are primarily the responsibility of forecasters or of those who execute the plans based on forecasts. On the face of it the primary responsibility is likely to be attached to the latter group. In interpreting the variances for product X it can be seen that the favourable volume variance of £400,000 resulted form tow variances relating to market size and market share. Both of these are undesirable since they led to a lower contribution that intended. Had the forecasting group correctly anticipated the larger total market it should have been possible to devise a better plan to achieve the desired share and profit contribution. The actual outcome suggests that competitive position has been lost due to a loss of market share in a rapidly growing market. This is a serious pointer. Lower prices resulted in a lower level of contribution per unit, and hence a lower overall profit contribution. The reasons for this need to be established and future plans modified as necessary. As an approach to improved learning about the links between effort and results – especially in the face of active competitive behaviour – it is helpful to take the above analysis further and to evaluate performance by considering what should have happened in the circumstances. At the end of the operating period to which table 7 refers it may become known that a large company with substantial resources made an aggressive entry into the market-place using lots of promotions and low prices. Furthermore, an unforeseen export demand for product X may have arisen due to a prolonged strike in the USA’s main manufacture. On the basis of these details it becomes possible to carry out an ex-post performance analysis in which the original plans are revised to take account of what has since become known. A clear distinction can be made via ex-post performance analysis along these lines since a distinction can be made between: Planning variances due to environmental events that were: Foreseeable Unforeseeable Performance variances that are due to problems in executing the plans. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 58 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 22: Ex-post performance analysis Total variance QaCa - QpCp Performance Planning (QaCp – QrCr) + (QrCr – QpCr Performance Profit PP Planning Volume Profit Volume Qa(Ca – Cr) + Cr (Qa – Qr) + Qr (Cr –Cp) + Cp (Qr – Qp) Legend Subscripts Performance a = actual p = planned Profit r = revised Market size Variables Planning Q = Quantity C = Contribution S = Share Share Profit Market size M = Market Share has–focused on a (Sa single product line,– but will(Sr typically Qa (Ca –This Cr) example + CrSr (Ma Mr) + CrMa – Sr) + Qr (Cr Cp) multiproduct + CpSp (Mr –companies Mp) + CpMr – Sp) have product lines with differing cost structures, prices and hence profit characteristics. It will be apparent; therefore, the mix of products sold will have an impact on the overall profit outcome. For example, an enterprise may offer three product lines with budgeted characteristics relating to the next operating period as given in the table below. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 59 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Table 9: Budgeted operating results by product line Budget sales (units) Budgeted unit selling price Budgeted unit variable cost Budgeted unit contribution Budgeted contribution Budgeted contribution Product A 100,000 £12.00 £6.00 £6.00 50% £600,000 Product B 200,000 £10.00 £4.50 £5.50 55% £1,100,000 Product C 50,000 £20.00 £8.00 £12.00 60% £600,000 Total £2,300,000 Each product line has a different contribution per unit, so the total contribution form all lines is dependent upon the particular mix of sales across all products lines. If the actual outcomes for the period in question were as shown in the table below we can explain the total variance of £275,000 U. Table 10: Actual operating results by product line Actual sales (units) Actual unit selling price Actual unit variable cost Actual unit contribution Actual contribution Actual contribution In summary we have: £ Volume variance Mix variance Profit variance Total variance Product A 90,000 £12.00 £6.00 £6.00 50% £540,000 Product B 220,000 £9.00 £4.50 £4.50 50% £990,000 Product C 45,000 £20.00 £9.00 £11.00 55% £495,000 Total £2,050,000 32,863 F 42,863 U 265,000 U £275,000 U In other words the total variance was partly due to overall volume being higher than budgeted, which gives a favorable variance of £32,863 made up of favourable volume variances for each individual product line; the actual mix of sales differed from budget in a way that produced and unfavourable variance of £42,863 made up of unfavourable variances for products A and C which were partly offset by a favourable variance for product line B; and the actual margins were less than budgeted for product lines B and C giving an unfavourable profit variance of £265,000. The volume variance can be analyzed further along the lines suggested in the previous example, but the main point is to note from this example is the impact that variations in the mix of products sold can have on the profit outcome. If all product lines had the same percentage margin there would be no mix variance, but this situations is not normal, so we need to be aware of the impact of mix changes. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 60 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Variance Analysis for Distribution Cost Control As with production costing the analysis of cost variances in distribution costing is the first step towards the goal of identifying the factors that caused the difference between the standard and the actual costs so that any inefficiency can be eliminated. To do this each enterprise will have to decide what specific variance analyses it may want to use. Often companies only compute a net variance for their distribution costs and do not attempt to break the variance down into casual factors. This practice is not to be encouraged, however, since it tends to hide inefficiencies. If the analysis is to be meaningful the variance must be further explained in terms of price and efficiency components. Such price and quantity of efficiency variances can be computed for distribution activities. The price variance is given by: (Standard price – actual price) X actual work units; And the quantity (or efficiency) variance is given by: (Budgeted work units – actual work units) X standard price. A Variance Reporting Example Territories analyze the distribution costs of the Hill Company: data for the southern territory. The warehousing and handling function’s standards are: Variable costs: Receiving Pricing, tagging and marking Sorting Handling returns Taking physical inventory Clerical handling of shipping orders Total standard for direct and indirect costs (£) 21 per shipment 6 per unit handled 5 per order 10 per return 0.50 per unit warehouse unit 2 per item Fixed costs: Rent Depression 600 per month per territory 450 per month per territory The following units of variability were budgeted and recorded for the month of January, 1998: Budgeted Shipments Units handled Orders Returns Warehouse unit Item Actual 400 200 110 70 1,600 750 420 223 108 71 1,630 780 Southern territory actual direct costs for the month of January 1998, were as follows: Receiving Pricing, tagging and marking Sorting £6,400 1,115 565 Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 61 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Handling returns Taking physical inventory Clerical handling orders Rent Depreciation 1 Introduction to Planning and Control 680 880 500 650 445 The company allocates the following indirect costs to its southern and northern territories: Receiving (allocated on actual shipments: southern 420, northern 80) Clerical handling of shipping orders (allocated on actual items Southern 780, northern 120) 1,223 £2,500 Efficiency Variance A shipment received is the unit of variability chosen for the receiving function. There were a total of 420 shipments made, while only 400 shipments were budgeted. This results in an unfavourable efficiency variance because actual shipments exceeded those budgets. The efficiency variance in this case is unfavourable because 20 more shipments were made than planned. Hence, orders of larger quantities should be encouraged to save costs in receiving. Price Variance The actual cost of £20.238 for each shipment received is less than the standard price of £21.00 which results in a favourable price variance. This difference in price is multiplied by the actual shipments to give a total favourable price variance of £320. It is not necessary to compute the actual cost per unit since the price variance can be determined by comparing total actual to he actual units. Efficiency and price variance are computed for variable costs only. Only a net variance is computed for the two fixed expenses. This measures the difference between budgeted costs and actual costs (actual units at actual price). Other Models A useful model for assessing product line performance has been proposed (and tested) by Diamantopolous and Mathews (1990). The model is based on the need to evaluate product performance in a multiproduct setting using readily-available product information and widely-used performance indicators in a systematic way. Not least of all it was deemed essential that the model be clearly understood by its intended users otherwise, for an implementation point of view, it would not have been worthwhile. Gross profit is used as the primary performance indicator since this measure is easily provided without additional analysis. If the gross profit being generated is below par this may be due to: Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 62 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 23: A model for product performance analysis Start Yes Stop Yes Is total gross Profit acceptable? Cost problem No No is product ‘new’? Can price be increased No No Is unit gross profit Is gross Acceptable? Profit margin Acceptable? Price problem Yes Volume problem Insufficient sales volume High unit cost; Prices that are too low. Investigation should reveal which of these possible causes applies. If the unit gross profit is satisfactory, for example, but the product line’s overall gross profit is unsatisfactory, the remedy may be to increase volume by revising the marketing may be to increase volume by revising the marketing that are not amendable to corrective action. In this case their continued role in the range needs to be questioned. Areas in which the model is particularly useful are: Pricing (especially the effectiveness of existing pricing policies in terms of profit and volume results); New product introductions (by using previous introduction (by using previous introductions to set realistic bench-mark expectations for new products); Product deletions (using warning signals as the stimulus to further investigations). Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 63 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Despite the need to specify target values for each element of the model (i.e., total gross profit, unit gross profit, newness for product, gross profit margin, and price) this does not take away the importance of managerial judgment in arriving at an overall assessment of each product’s performance. Indeed, judgment is needed in specifying the quantitified target values themselves as well as in interpreting any performance is considered satisfactory it is not self-evident that it should be ignored: in order to ensure sustained satisfactory performance it may be necessary to take action in anticipation of future environmental changes (i.e., feedforward control). Figure 24: analysis sales deviations Unfavorable sales deviation identified Is deviation due to uncontrollable factors? Marketing strategy is inadequate or sales objectives are too optimistic Are programme objectives being achieved. Productivity of programme in generating sales has been overestimated Programme design or budget in inadequate to achieve programme objectives Is planned level of programme effort being achieved? Programme execution is faulty or behind schedule A variation on the product line model that deals with sales deviations from plan is shown in the figure above. This protocol follows a series of logical steps. Having identified a variance that is deemed to be significant (i.e., is unlikely to have arisen by chance) the question is raised as to whether this may be due to controllable or uncontrollable factors. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 64 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control (‘Uncontrollable’ is used here in the sense of being beyond the influence of managers in the given enterprise, or beyond the forecasting ability of relevant personnel, which might cover changing market conditions leading to a decline in industry sales, or unanticipated competitive action). If the explanation for the variance is not found at this stage the next stage raises the question of the performance of marketing programmes. This can be addressed at two levels. The degree to which programme objectives are being achieved; The degree to which planned programme effort is being achieved If the degree of effort (as represented by actual sales levels, or advertising coverage) is not as planned it is unlikely that either prograrmme objectives or sales objectives are being achieved. On the other hand, if the planned input of effort is being achieved but programme objectives (such as brand awareness levels or the number of new accounts) are not, it is probable that either the budget is inadequate or the design of the programme (e.g. sales appeal, pricing level, advertising copy) is ineffective. It may be found that the sales variance is not attributable to faulty programmes or lack of effort but it is due to the sales productivity of the programme being over stimulated, or the implementation of the programme being behind schedule. Insofar as sales variance reflect revenue generation there is a corresponding need to examine the variances among the costs incurred and budget figures to secure control over the profit consequences of sales activities. The Variance Investigation Decision A major inhibiting factor in seeking to control via feedforward system is our limited ability to make reliable estimates of the outcomes of future events. (This reflects our modest understanding of causal relationships both within the subsystems of the enterprise and between the enterprise and its environment.) All planning is based on estimates (e.g. of prices, costs, volumes) and actual outcomes will rarely be precisely in line with these estimates: some variation is inevitable. Should we expect a managers to investigate every variance that might be reported when we know that some deviation between actual outcomes and budgeted outcomes is bound to occur? On the other hand, if no variances are investigated the control potential of this form of managerial control system is being ignored. An appropriate course of action lies somewhere between these two extremes. Causes of variances (or ‘deviations’) can be categorized in the following broad way (after Demski with particular variances often being due to one or more deviations: Implementation deviation results form a human or mechanical failure to achieve an attainable outcome, e.g., if the mileage rate payable to employees using their own vehicles for business trips is 35p per mile, but due to clerical error this is being paid at only 25p per mile, the required corrective action is easy t specify. The cost of correction will be exceeded by the benefits. Prediction deviation results from errors is specifying the parameter values in a decision model, e.g., in determining overhead absorption rates ex-ante predictions must be made of , inter alia, the future level of activity. If the predictions are wrong then the overhead absorption rate will be wrong and variance will result. Measurement deviation arises as a result of error in measuring the actual outcome – such as incorrectly adding up the number of calls made in Region X, or the number of units sold of product P. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 65 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Model deviation arises as a result of an erroneous formulation in a decision model. For example, in formulating a linear programme the constraints relating to the availability of input factors may be incorrectly specified. Random deviations due to chance fluctuations of a parameter for which no cause can be assigned. These deviations do not call for corrective action, but in order to identify the causes of variances it is helpful to separate random deviations from deviations 1-4 above, in order that the significance of the latter might be established. While these five categories of deviation appear to be mutually exclusive their interdependencies should not be underestimated. The traditional view is to assume that variances are due to implementation deviations but this is patently simplistic. It is also potentially inequitable since it may deem individual managers to be responsible for variances that arise for reasons beyond their control (such as 3 and 5 above). In setting up bench-marks (e.g., budget targets or standard costs) it is important to recognize that a range of possible outcomes in the vicinity of the benchmark will usually be acceptable. In other words, random variations around the benchmark are to be expected, and searching for causes of variances within the acceptable range of outcomes will incur costs without generating benefits. Only when variances fall outside the acceptable range will further investigation be desirable. This prompts the operational question of how one actually determines whether a variance should be investigated. As the figure below suggests, if it was known in advance that a variance arose on a random basis it would not be necessary to investigate it since there will be no assignable cause. On the other hand, if a variance is of a non-random nature it would not pay to ignore it if it was significant. Figure 25: the variance investigation decision Variance Random Non-random Do not investigate Investigate Do not investigate How can significance be determined? This boils down to a statistical question, and the technique that is of proven help is that developed for use in quality control situations to which we will turn very shortly. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 66 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control A more conventional approach to evaluating the significance of variances is either to: Look at the absolute size of the variance (i.e. actual – standards) such that all variances greater than, say, £1,000 are investigated, or Compute the proportionate size of the variance (i.e., variance/standard) and investigate all those exceeding, say, 10 per cent. Both 1 and 2 must depend upon the manger’s intuition or some arbitrary decision rule when it comes to deciding whether or not to investigate a given variance. The advantages of 1 and 2 are simplicity and ease of implementation, but both fail to deal adequately with the issues of significance (in statistical terms) and balancing the costs and benefits of investigation. We can resolve these issues with the help of the approach adopted in statistical quality control. Statistical quality control is based upon the established fact that the observed quality of an item is always subject to chance variability. Some variability beyond the boundaries due to chance cause. The major task of SQC is to distinguish between assignable and chance causes may be identified, their causes discovered and eliminated, and acceptable quality standards maintained. The standard of performance that is expected is that advertising expense will be 8 per cent fo sales revenue, but random causes can make this figure vary from 6 per cent to 10 per cent of sales revenue. If the range of 6-10 per cent represents three standard deviations on either side of a mean of 8 per cent, then observations would be expected to fall within the range in 998 out of 1000 cases. However, when an observation false outside these limits two opposing hypothesis can be put forward to explain the situation. The observation is the freak one out of 1000 that exceeds the control limits by pure chance, and the company still has the situation under control. The company has lost control over the situation due to some assignable cause such as a new competitor entering the market. If hypothesis 1 is accepted it is unnecessary to investigate – with the risk that something has actually happened to cause the situation to fall out of control. On the other hand, if hypothesis 2 is accepted and investigations are begun into assignable causes there is always the risk – albeit very small – of the first hypothesis being correct and hence investigation being unnecessary. Investigations to identify the causes of variances – even when the latter are deemed to be significant – involve costs, so we must again reflect on the cost – benefit issue: if the likely penalty from not identifying and correcting the cause of the variance is less than the likely cost of the investigation it hardly seems worth the trouble. Consider a hypothetical case in which the cost of investigating a reported variance is estimated at £200 while the penalty for not identifying a correctable cause is likely to be £600. if an investigation is undertaken and no cause is discovered, the enterprise will be £200 worse off, whereas it will be £400 better off if a cause is ascertained and corrected. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 67 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Taking Corrective Action Having implemented plans, monitored performance, and analyzed significant variances, the next step is to decide on the corrective action that is needed. In this section we will concentrate on responding to environmental changes – especially those of a competitive nature. How should an enterprise responds to environmental changes? There are many ways, and Barrette has pointed out two opposing possibilities. On the one hand there is the deterministic approach in which it is felt that the enterprise’s environment determines its actions, hence strategies and even its structure. This takes the idea of adaptation to environmental change to an extreme: changes in the environment – whether in the form of opportunities or threats – will result in changes in competitive strategy and the implementation of these changes may well bring about changes in organizational structure. In contrast, there is the strategic approach in which the environment is seen as constraining the enterprise’s freedom of action rather than determining it. This concentrates more on the enterprise’s strengths and its ability to influence its environment rather than simply being influenced by it. One example is the strategy of raising barriers to entry, which modifies the environment against the interests of potential competitors. Marketing intelligence has a role to play in both these approaches by identifying environmental change as a basis for reactive or proactive responses. Various responses stages are highlighted, with any given one being triggered when the intelligence signals pass thresholds. Thus, of example, a strong signal indicating a significant change in the environment will cross a number of thresholds and activate appropriate high-level responses. Barrette sets his model within a framework of power relationships – especially those involved in the allocation of resources via the budgeting process. This leads to the building in of ‘slack’ in certain parts of the enterprise in accordance with the distribution of power. How should an enterprise respond to environmental changes that manifest themselves either through the gathering of environmental data or environmental scanning – see Sanderson and Luffman or via analysis? Help is available from the technique of competitor profiling. The steps in this technique, developed by SRI international, are: Identify the industry’s four key competitive strengths. It is implicitly assumed that both current and future success in the industry is a function of a competitor’s ability to: Meet customers’ needs and communicate products’ attributes Understand and control relevant technology; Make superior products in a cost effective way; Manage the co-ordination of human, financial, and technological resources. Select single specific measure of success for each of the four keys competitive strengths identified in step 1 above. define linkages between adjacent pairs of competitive strengths to demonstrate their interdependent technology; quality to link technology and manufacturing integration to link manufacturing and management, and growth to link management and marketing . Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 68 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 26: Key competitive strengths Marketing Technology Management Manufacturing Figure 27: Measures of success Marketing Technology Sales R & D investment ROI Capacity utilization Management Manufacturing Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 69 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 28: Linkages between competitive strengths Marketing Price technology Sales Investment Growth R&D Quality Capacity ROI utilization Management Integration Manufacturing Determine average performance scores for the measures specified in step 2 and the linkages defined in step 3. This has the effect of setting up an ‘average competitor’ relative positions. In average performance for any competitor would be plotted outside the circle and below average performance on any aspect would be plotted inside the circle. Scoring can be done by using a scale of 1 (= excellent) to 5 (= inadequate) to assess a competitor’s standing on each dimension, then plotting these scores and joining them up. Generate competitors’ profile in order to identify relative strengths and weaknesses as a basis for taking action. In monitoring competitors’ activities the categories of activity most relevant in relation to the strategic needs of the user must be determined. Once the categories are established, frequency of monitoring must be set. Prescott and Smith reported on a study they undertook in the USA to identify categories and frequencies. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 70 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 29: Average competitor Price Sales R&D Investment Growth Growth ROI Capacity utilization integration Table 11: Competitive information categories and their monitoring Continuous General industry trends Marketing and sales Financial Technological development Periodic Organizational goals assumptions Customers Acquisition/divestment programmes Service provided Operations Ad hoc and Public and international affairs Human resources General administrative structure Supplier practices and procurement Channels of distribution A further aspect of the study was the extent to which different categories of information were subjected to analysis. Three levels of analysis and little/no analysis – with the extent to which implications were drawn from the analysis being limited to the first two levels. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 71 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Table 12: Extent of analysis of categories of information Extensive analysis undertaken and implications derived General industry trends Potential competitors Marketing and sales Financial Organizational goals assumption Basic analysis with some implications Technological developments Acquisition/divestment programmes Customers Services provided and Little or no analysis and no implications Distribution channels Human resources General administrative structure Public and international affairs Supplier practices Figure 30: The strategic triangle Customers Value Value Value Needs seeking benefits at acceptable prices Assets and utilization Cost differentials Assets and utilization The focal points of the triangle were initially customers, competitors, and the company in question, but Brock has emphasized the cost difference between one’s own company and competitors as a potential source of competitive advantage. Cost differentials stem from the asset bases of competing companies coupled with the way in which assets are utilized. The importance of being cost effective is evident when one considers the need to deliver value to customers at prices that are competitive while generating an adequate rate of reward to prices that are competitive while generating an adequate rate of reward to shareholders. As an example let us take a comparison with the latter using scrap steel an electric furnace technology. A detailed examination of annual reports, public statements of Mini’s chief executive, and general trade literature gave sufficient information to allow the comparative profile shown in the figure below. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 72 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 31: Cost advantages and disadvantages Maxi Mini Price per ton £500 £425 Gross margin 70 75 Supplies energy Advantage 24 Mini’s price 8 175 Wages and salaries 184 Gross margin 17 Supplies 43 Energy Material (hot metal) Wages and Salaries 214 Material (scrap) 58 132 It is evident that Mini’s manufacturing costs are only 59 per cent of those relating to Maxi per ton of hot rolled steel ready for finishing. With a price set at £425 Mini not only has a clear price advantage of £75 per ton but also a gross margin advantage of £175 versus £70, which will allow for even more aggressive pricing. Maxi can see from this type of analysis that its position is being eroded, and appropriate decisions need to be made to avoid a forced decline. Without this type of information Maxi would not be able to see how the strong strategic position it has held hitherto is being undermined by Mini. Detailed guidance on carrying out this type of cost analysis can be found in Jones. Bench-Marking This is an analytical process through which an enterprise’s performance can be compared with that of its competitors. It is used by organizations such as Xerox and Ford in order to: Identify key performance measures for each business function Measure one’s own performance as well as that of competitors Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 73 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Identify areas of competitive advantage (and disadvantage) by comparing performance; Design and implement plans to improve one’s own performance on key issues relative to competitors Furey offers a number of US case studies showing benchmarking in use. One of these concerns a company (company Y) that is a major vendor of telecommunications equipment in which the senior management was curious about the cost and productivity of its sales force. The comparisons shows on the table below were developed through a benchmarking exercise using the largest direct competitor and the best-in-class vendor of data processing equipment. Table 13: Sales force bench-marking Cost bench-marks Average total sales rep. Compensation % Compensation earned for commission Revenue per sales rep. Compensation as % of revenue Performance bench-marks Average number of calls per week per rep. Revenue quotas New account quotas Company Y Direct competitor Best-in-class competitor $38,00 $44,000 $55,000 10% 15% 30% $835,000 4.6% $900,000 4.9% $1,200,000 4.6% 16 – 18 13 – 16 20+ Yes Informal Yes No No Yes The cost of sales representative was found to be very competitive in Company Y, but low commission paid by productivity. Moreover, the direct competitor’s sales force was generating more revenue with fewer calls in the absence of new account quotas than was the case in Company Y. The best-in-class competitor was paying high rate of commission to its sales force and aggressively pursuing new customers via numerous sales calls and quotas for new accounts. Company Y’s response to this situation was to restructure the sales team’s compensation and split the team into two. By raising the rate of commission substantially, and by having one part of the sales force dealing with existing accounts, Company Y’s relative market share improved within six months. Benchmarking is applicable in other functional areas and has the potential, when properly communicated throughout the enterprise, to help change the corporate culture. In the case of benchmarking products or services offered by customers but not by itself, an enterprise’s senor managers can gain insights to guide its decision: by keeping abreast of new developments in this way it will be easier to assess how to respond. In considering how to take corrective action it is important to make some assessment to the probable response of competitors to any action that might be taken. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 74 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control This is a vital aspect of strategic behavior. It is assumed that the identities of the enterprise’s competitors – both actual and potential – are known, although this should not be taken for granted. Once the competitor’s identities are known, although they can be profiled and possible responses can be explored, taking into account conjectures regarding the beliefs that competitors have of one’s own enterprise. Let us look further at this, drawing on the approach of Amit, et al. in a simple situation involving an Enterprise X and its sole competitor, Y, there are four possible price policies available. In table 13 these possibilities for X are likely reactions. The figures in the cells represent the changes in X’s profit that are expected to result for the various interactive outcomes contained in the matrix. Thus if X reduces its price by 10 per cent and Y responds by reducing its price by 20 per cent, then X’s profits will fall by 25 per cent. If the data in the figure is valid, the optimal course of action for X will depend on the likelihood of Y responding in a particular way. For example, if it is felt to be most likely that Y will react to a price reduction on the part of X by reducing price by as much as X, then the optimal choice for X is to reduce its price by 10 per cent, giving an increase in profits of 15 per cent. It will be apparent that additional information is needed on Y’s likely reaction. This can be provided via conjectural variations, which are reactions to actions taken by one’s views of one’s own enterprise and of their likely reactions to actions taken by one’s own enterprise. Table 14: Reaction function Enterprise Xs price policy (% Competitor Y’s reaction (% change in price) change in price) 0% -5% -10% 0% 0 -10 -15 -5% +7 -5 -12 -10% +30 +15 -8 -20% +12 +5 +5 -20% -20 -22 -25 -30 In order to gauge a competitor’s likely reactions it is necessary to have information on: The structural characteristics of the industry and the technical ability plus desire of competitors to respond; Competitors’ conjecture about one’s own behavior The figure below illustrates a hypothetical situation involving different conjectural possibilities relating to a price reduction of 10 per. The deviation of conjectural variations is explored in detail elsewhere but we need to note here that it ranges from zero. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 75 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 1 Introduction to Planning and Control Figure 32: Conjectures and a price reduction policies Firm considers price reduction at 10% Competitor’s conjectural variation near zero Rival believes firm is passive Rival will probably meet price reduction Price reduction not recommended Competitor’s conjectural variation near one. Rival believes firm is aggressive Rival will probably not meet price reduction Price reduction recommended From the figure above it can be seen that when the competitor’s conjectural variation is near to unity it believes the enterprise in question will respond aggressively to a shift in pricing policy. The obvious consequences of this will be price wars of the competitor were to match a reduction in price. As a result of this belief the competitor is unlikely to match the price reduction for fear of the consequences. The opposing situation is likely to have the opposite result. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 76 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now 2: Where are we Now? Control of Marketing Operations Whenever we want to do anything, we have certain objectives before us and we plan all our efforts beforehand to achieve those objectives throughout the course of activity, we observe the progress of work to compare the actual results with the desired results of standards. If the difference between the actual result and the desired result is too much, then certain steps are to be taken to lessen this difference. All measures by which an effort is made to bring the actual results and desired results together are known as control. Thus, the main aim of control is to see that actual results are as close to the desired standards as possible. In management, different authors have defined the term control in different ways. According to Koontz and O’ Donnel, it is “the measurement and correction of the performance of subordinates”. Phelps and Westing define control as an “ exercise directing, guiding or restraining power over people or other events. In the words of Lipson and Darling it is “continuing direction and redirection of marketing operations. Philip Kotler defines control as “the process of taking steps to bring actual results and desired results closer together”. In simple words, control or marketing operations may be defined as the “managerial function of monitoring and feedback of actual marketing performance and its measurement and evaluation against the preplanned performance standards with a view to identify deviations, correct the deviations and provide inputs for plan reformulation”. Control involves the following: Observation of activity by the management –actual results Some of the actual results which are not according to the desired standards are not acceptable to the management The management has certain devices by which the difference between the actual results and the standards desired can be controlled Need for Control The need for control increases as the enterprise grows. In a one-man enterprise of a self-employed craftsman, there are no control problems. The owner-operator brings material, transforms them into products and sells them in the market. He has no subordinates to control. His only problem of control may be the quality of raw material and the finished products which should be according to a predetermined standard. As the enterprise grows or becomes large, the owner employs more persons-the production increases, sales increases, the number of employees increases and all the activities and operations of the enterprise increase, which necessitate more and more control over the increasing activities to achieve the desired objectives. The second reason of increasing need of control is the changing marketing environment and the increasing competition. There is a change in government influence, price, taxes, customers’ habits and preferences. There is a regular flow of new products, new brands, new competitive techniques and new techniques in management. Due to this dynamic environment, marketing planning becomes difficult and the management has to rely more on control of marketing operations. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 77 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now Phase of Control Every control system has the following four phases: Determination of standards Measurement of performance Analysis of deviation, and Corrective action Determination of Standards Every marketing activity must have a certain predetermined standard, goal or objective. The standard may consist of a specific amount of work to be completed within a stipulated time. For example, sales quotas are fixed for various sales managers and sales representatives. Sales expenditure standards are also determined under which sales managers and representatives are expected to achieve their sales quotas. These quotas and the sales expense budget serve as standards against which periodic results are checked. Measurement of Performance The most important part of a control system is the measurement of the performance of marketing activities. There should be a marketing information system which should send regular reports to the management about the actual performance of marketing activities. For example, after determining sales quotas and sales expense quotas at the beginning of the year, the management would like to know periodically the actual performance results to ascertain the degree to which their standards are being achieved. Some of the important methods of performance measurement are ratio-analysis and statistical control charts. Among the ratios used in marketing control are expenses to sales ratios. Profit to sales ratios, etc. with the help of a statistical control chart, different levels of performance can be measured in comparison with the standards. The statistical control chart can be used to observe a succession of ratio or other values over time and determine whether significant trends are forming. A statistical control chart gives sales expense and sales ration. Analysis of Deviation Whenever the actual performance of any marketing activity is not according to the desired standards, it becomes important to find out the factors responsible for such deviation. With the help of variance analysis, we can find out the reasons unsatisfactory performance. Variance analysis is a special accounting technique to determine relative contribution of different factors in leading to a performance deviation. Corrective Action The final phase of the control process is the corrective action which is taken when the actual performance deviates too much from the desired standards. Supposing the sales profits of a company decline mush below the standards set. Some of the corrective measures that the company may take may be price reduction, higher discounts, reduction of expenses, improving the quality of the product or packaging etc. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 78 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now Importance of Marketing Control Some of the important benefit of marketing control may be as under: Matching of Marketing Effort with Environmental Changes Regular monitoring of performance and other environmental changes helps the company in updating its marketing effort in time with environmental changes. It becomes all more important in the context of rapid changes in technological, social and political fields and in consumer’s preferences and public policy postures. Detection of Deviation in Performance A marketing control system helps the management in identifying deviations from the planned programme. It finds out the faults and lacunae in performance and takes corrective action at the proper time. Identifying Responsibility for Failure An appraisal of performance helps the management in identifying the responsibility for weak performances. The person responsible for performances below specific standards gets an opportunity for self-assessment and others are relieved of an unwarranted and misplaced blanket charge of inefficiency and ineffectiveness/ Organizational Complexity The vertical marketing system has more or less come to stay as a phenomenon of modern marketing. The size of the organization and its growth makes control more complex and yet essential. The span of control enlarges with the size of the enterprises and creates problems of control. Therefore, a realistic, effective and yet simple marketing control system is a prerequisite of effective marketing management. Assisting Plan Reformation The feedback provided by the marketing control system helps in reappraising performance standards, marketing policies and programmes. Such reappraisal helps in the realistic reformulation of the marketing plan. Characteristics of an effective marketing control system Important characteristics of an effective control system are as under: Control should be objective – appraisal of the performance of a subordinate should not be a matter of subjective determination. In other words, controls should be definite and objective. Employees will respond favorably to objective standards and impartial appraisal of their work performance. Control system should give immediate feedback – feedback is the process of adjusting future actions based upon information about past performance. An essential requirement of an ideal control system is immediate feedback of information about deviations in performance. It should be flexible – the control mechanism should be flexible in the sense that it should respond favourably to the conditions. In consequence of unforeseen circumstances, when plans are changed, control should reflect corresponding changes to remain operative under the new conditions. The basic Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 79 idea s that control should remain workable under dynamic business conditions including the failure of the control system itself. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now Organizational suitability – control is exercised through managerial positions and as such it should be according to the organizational structure. Each managerial position should be provided with adequate authority to exercise self-control and take corrective measures. control should be economical – a control system should be economical in the sense that control should be economical – a control system should be economical in the sense that the cost of its installation and maintenance should be justified by its benefits. Simply stated, control must be worth its cost. Thus, a small company can hardly afford the extensive system of control practiced by large companies. It should be simple to understand – it is essential that those who administer the control should understand it. Control specialists very often recommend sophisticated and advanced techniques of control on the pretext of proving their expertise and tend to overlook the question of their being understood by the marketing executives of the company. Control system should suggest corrective action – an important characteristic of the effective control system is that it should indicate deviations and suggest corrective actions promptly and in time. Merely recording of deviations and errors and fixing responsibility for their occurrence is not sufficient if it is not followed by suitable actions to prevent recurrence. Techniques of controlling marketing operations Some of the important techniques used to control the marketing operations are: Sales analysis Cost and profit analysis Distribution cost accounting Sales analysis Sales is regarded as the most important indicator of the marketing performance. The actual sales figures of a company are not very meaningful unless they are examined in relation to the expected sales of a given period. For example, a 20 per cent increase in sales in a year is not satisfactory if the expected increase in sales during the period was 50 per cent. An individual sales representative recording per cent of the total company sales in his territory may not be considered t have performed satisfactorily if his territory should have yielded 8 per cent of the total company sales The sales of a company may be analyzed according t the following approaches Time-wise sales analysis Territory-wise sales analysis Product-wise sales analysis, and Customer-wise sales analysis If the sales performance of a company during a particular month or year is not according to standard, the factors responsible for it may have to be found out. Similarly, if the sales in a territory is not satisfactory or sales or a particular product are not up to the desired targets or sales to a particular segment of customers are not as expected, the management will have to find the factors responsible for it and steps will have to be taken to improve the performance. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 80 Market share analysis – another approach used in sales analysis is sales performance of a company in relation to competitor’s sales and not simply the absolute sales performance of a company. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now A company’s sales in a year may have increased by 10 per cent, but the total sales in the market share analysis, in this case, will show that total sales increased by 50 per cent while the company sales increased by only 10 per cent. Therefore, the company’s sales performance, although apparently shoeing an increase in sales, is not satisfactory. Thus, market share analysis is a useful tool of marketing control. Cost Analysis A marketing programme will not be very effective if it takes into account only the sales or the company’s market share in the total sales. In such cases, the marketing executives are interested only in increasing the sales volume and do not think in terms of dropping the weaker products or customers or any such measure which may reduce the sales of the company. In such sales oriented marketing programmes, the marketing manager never thinks in terms of a check over costs. His primary objective is to see that the amount of sales is high, even though it may be at a high cost. Therefore, along with ales analysis and control, cost analysis and control should also form part of a marketing control programme because of the following reasons: Cost analysis may reveal opportunities for allocation from the limited resources at the disposal of the company in better sales generating uses. Cost analysis can help in the detection of weak products, customers and territories and a correct decision can be taken early by the company executives, and Accurate cost information helps the marketing managers in arriving at correct pricing decisions. If, due to wrong cost information, a higher price is fixed, it may adversely effect the sales of the product. The costs which are incurred to manufacture the products i.e. raw material, factory wages, factory rent, electricity and water, etc may be called production costs. The costs, which are incurred to promote the sales ie advertising, personal selling other sales promotion schemes, may be called promotional costs. The cost, which are incurred in the actual physical distribution of products from the place of manufacture to the place where the customers buy it i.e. transportation, storage, handling costs, constitute marketing costs. For proper cost analysis, it is essential costs in different heads, so that mangers of different areas can be held responsible if the cost under the area of their administration is increasing. But in actual practice it becomes difficult to identity costs under different heads, e.g. the salaries of top or middle level management production cost or marketing cost? Is the packaging cost production cost or sales promotion cost? Due to the following factors it is more difficult to measure and control marketing costs than production costs: Many criteria – there are many criteria of allocating marketing costs, such as: Products Customers Territories Size of order Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 81 Channels of distribution, and Salesmen Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now But production costs can be assigned only on the basis of products or processes. Arbitrary allocations – in marketing costs, the allocation is arbitrary because it is difficult to identify the cost in a particular sale order, whereas in the case of production costs, material and labour costs can be easily assigned to tangible products. Difficult to estimate the results of cost inputs – it is easier to estimate the effect of producing another ten or hundred units of an article the effect of increasing advertising expenditures. Because of the above reasons, marketing or distribution cost accounting is assuming more importance. In distribution cost accounting, the emphasis is not on setting of standards but on finding the cost of different marketing activities. Distribution Cost Accounting and Analysis Distribution cost analysis is concerned with the analysis of the costs of conducting different marketing and distribution activities. It is a tool, which helps the marketing manager in arriving at correct marketing decisions. With the help of distribution cost analysis, the marketing manager can easily and correctly decide as to which marketing activities should be eliminated, added or modified. The marketing manager, after finding the costs of various marketing activities, compares them with the value of these activities and then takes a decision about the levels of these activities to be undertaken during a specific period of time. In distribution cost accounting we start with the company’s profit and loss account. In a simple profit and loss account, deducting the cost of goods sold arrives at the profits and other expenses fro he sales during a specific period. The marketing manager’s objective is to develop profit statements according functional marketing breakdowns such as profit earned by the company from different products, profit earned by company from different territories. To make this, the customary expense designations such as salaries, rent, materials, etc would have to be reclassified into marketing expense designations. We will explain this with the help of the following example: The marketing manger of Bhilwara Cotton Mills Ltd., manufacturers of a variety of cotton and Terylene clothe, wishes do determine the costs and profits for selling through three different types of retail channels-wholesalers, retailers, and departmental stores. The profit and loss account of Bhilwara Cotton Mills Ltd., is shown below: Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 82 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now Table 15: profit and loss account Profit and Loss Account Particulars Sales Cost of goods sold Gross profit Expenses: Rent Materials Salaries Rs 50,000 30,000 Rs 20,000 8,000 3,000 3,000 14,000 6,000 Step 1- identifying the functional expenses Now let us assume that the expenses incurred by M/s. Bhilwara Cotton Mills Ltd., as given in table above are incurred to carry out the following marketing activities: (i) Selling (ii) advertising (iii) packaging, and (iv) office expenses. The first step is to find out how much of each natural expense was incurred in each of these activities. Suppose e.g., the total salary expense of Rs.8,00 can be distributed according to the marketing activities as follows: (i) salaries to salesmen- Rs.4,000 (ii) salary to advertising manager –Rs 2,000 (iii) salary to packaging staff – Rs1,000 (v) salary to office staff – Rs1,000. the allocation of total salary expense into the four marketing activities has been shown in the table below. Similarly, total rent expense of Rs.3,000 can also be allocated to the four marketing activities: (i) selling- Nil (ii) Advertising – 400 (iii) packaging – 1,500, and (iv) office – 1,100. no rent has been allocated to selling activity, because most of the salesmen work away from the office. Most of the floor space for which rent is paid is divided between packaging activities, office staff and advertising manager’s office. Rent expense allocation into different marketing activities is also shown in table below: Lastly, the total expense on materials – Rs 3,000-can be allocated to different marketing activities as follows: Materials used for sales promotion – 400 Advertising material – 1,200 Packaging material – 1,200 Office material and stationery – 400 As a result of this breakdown, the total expenses of Rs 14,000 have been reclassified form natural or customary basis to marketing activity basis. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 83 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Table 16 Reclassifying expenses form natural to marketing activity basis Natural Head Expenses according to marketing activities Total expenses Selling Advertising Rs Rs Rs Salaries 8,000 4,000 2,000 Rent 3,000 400 Materials 3,000 400 1,000 Total 14,000 3,400 2 Where are we Now Packaging Rs 1,000 1,500 1,200 3,700 Materials Rs 1,000 1,100 400 2,500 Step II – Assigning functional (Marketing activity) expenses to different marketing channels The next step in distribution cost analysis is to determine how much expense of each activity has gone into serving each type of channel. For example, take selling activity first. The selling effort devoted in the service of each channel of distribution can be approximated by the number of sales hours or sales called spent with each with each channel. Supposing 220 sales calls were made during the period, the total selling expense amounted to Rs 4,400, then the selling expense per call averaged Rs200. the advertising expense can be allocated on the basis of the number of advertisements addressed to the different channels of distribution. Since there were 100 advertisements and the total advertising expense was Rs3,400 the per unit advertising cost would be Rs 34. the basis of allocation of packaging expense may be the number of orders placed by each channel of distribution. Similarly, material expenses can be also allocated on the basis of the number of orders placed by each channel of distribution. Table 16 Allocation of functional expenses to different market channels (Functional Activities) Channels of Selling (No Advertising (No Packaging (No. of Materials (No. of distribution of sales calls) of advts) orders) orders) Wholesalers 20 20 20 20 Retailers 150 40 40 40 Departmental stores 50 40 40 40 220 100 100 100 Functional expense 4,400 3,400 3,700 2,500 Number of units 220 100 100 100 Per unit cost 20 34 37 25 Step III-preparing the profit and loss statement of each channel of distribution Now it becomes possible to prepare a profit and loss statement for each channel of distribution. The wholesalers accounted for half of total sales (25,000 out of 50,000) of Bhilwara cotton mills Ltd. This channel of distribution is charged with half the price of goods sold (Rs 15000 out of Rs 30,000). This leaves a gross profit of Rs 10,000 for wholesalers. From this gross profit, the functional expenses Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 84 spent on this channel o distribution is to be charged Rs 400 as selling expenses. Twenty advertisement, were made by the company for wholesalers. At the rate of Rs 34 per advertisement, the wholesaler’s channel of distribution is to be charged with Rs 680 of the advertising activity. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now Similarly, this channel was responsible for 20 orders at the rate of Rs 37 per order for packaging expenses and Rs 25 per order for expenses on materials, which comes to Rs 740 and 500 respectively. The result is that the wholesalers give rise to Rs 2,320 through the wholesale channel of distribution is Rs 7,680. Table 17 Profit & Loss Statements for Different Channels of Distribution Particulars Wholesalers Retailers Departmental stores Rs Rs Rs Sales 25,000 15,000 10,000 Cost of goods sold 15,000 9,000 6,000 Gross profit 10,000 4,000 4,000 Expenses: selling (Rs 20 400 1,000 1,000 per sales call) Advertising (Rs 34 per 680 1,360 1,360 advertisement) Packaging (Rs 37 per 740 1,480 1,480 order) Materials (Rs 25 per 500 1,000 1,000 order) Total expenses 2,320 6,840 4,840 Net profit (orders) 7,680 840 840 Whole company Rs 50,000 30,000 20,000 4,400 3,400 3,700 2,500 14,000 6,000 The cost of activities of other channels may be analyzed in the same manner. From such an analysis in case of Bhilwara cotton mills Ltd., we find that the company in incurring a loss in selling though retailers and departmental stores to the extent of Rs 840 each during the period under study. With the help of such distribution cost analysis, the management of the company is able to get a very important finding. Although total marketing operation of the company are profitable, the company’s selling operation through retail and departmental store channels are running at a loss. The cost of selling through these channels is more than their value. The distribution cost analysis, therefore, provides a rupee measure of the profit differences in selling through different channels of distribution. Distribution cost analysis can be conducted to determine the profitability of other marketing activities also, such as: Different product sold by the company Different territories of the company’s total market, and Different size of orders received by the company. The marketing manager can make such distribution cost analysis productive-wise or territory or according to the size of orders received. Distribution cost analysis is more costly and difficult to Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 85 prepare than sales analysis. A detailed record of information is to be kept for such analysis and many times special facts have to be gathered. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 2 Where are we Now Limitations of distribution cost analysis Distribution Cost Analysis is Costly and Difficult to Prepare Allocation of functional expenses to marketing activities is arbitrary. In the example given above, the selling expenses were determined on the basis of number of sales made, whereas a better method of allocation could be the number of hours spent with each channel There is an element of judgment in the determination of distribution costs. The judgement of the marketing manager may not sometimes be correct. For example, whether to allocate ‘full costs’, or ‘direct and traceable costs’. In the example given above, we have avoided this issue, but in actual analysis of distribution costs, it has to be taken into consideration. Direct costs – there are costs that can be assigned directly to the marketing activities. Some of the examples of direct costs are as follows: In territorywise distribution cost analysis, sales commissions are a direct cost. In productwise distribution cost analysis, advertising, advertising expense in relation to a product is a direct cost. Traceable common costs – there are costs that can be assigned only indirectly to the marketing activities. In the example given above, rent was analyzed in this way. The company’s building is used for different marketing activities and it is possible to estimate how much floor space was used for each activity. Non-traceable common costs – there are costs which cannot be allocated to different marketing activities on a definite basis and are, therefore, allocated arbitrary. Some examples of such costs are management salary, taxes, interests and other overheads. Direct costs can be easily allocated to different marketing activities. With some difficulty and controversy, traceable common costs can be allocated to different marketing activities. But it is extremely difficult to allocate non-traceable costs to different marketing activities. The advocates of ‘full cost approach suggest that all costs must be included to determine true profitability. But in actual practice, cost control becomes difficult because of arbitrary allocation of non-traceable costs. It may be noted here that a corrective action decisions to modify or change some marketing activity can be taken simply on the basis of distribution cost analysis. In the example given above, the marketing manager of M/s Bhilwara cotton mills Ltd., should not decide to sell the product only through wholesalers, because information supplied by distribution cost analysis shows that cost of selling through retailers and departmental stores is not profitable. The results of distribution cost analysis do not constitute an adequate information basis for deciding on corrective actions. The cost analysis represents a very important initial information input, but not the only one, in the evaluation of marketing activities. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 86 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 3 Where do we Want to be? 3: Where do we Want to be? Mission Statement A mission statement is concerned with the reason the organization exists. It tells the stakeholders what it is doing and why. It must be capable of determining the organization’s strategic intent. These days most organizations, both commercial and public, have a mission statement. Mission statements normally include the following: i. ii. iii. iv. v. A visionary statement, which represents a general long-term plan. For example, for a National football team to win the world cup. A statement of the organization’s main reason for existing. For example, “in order to provide the best possible banking services for its customers” would be a suitable statement on behalf of a bank. The organization’s main activities and its overall aim, such as Tesco’s intention “to be the UK’s number one food retailer. The organization’s key values – these are its corporate objectives in Tesco’s case these are: Offering customers best value and most competitive prices; Providing progressive returns for shareholders; Developing its employees and rewarding them fairly. With equal opportunities for all; Working with suppliers to achieve a long-term business relationship based on strict quality and price criteria; Supporting the local community and protecting the environment The organization must be capable of the necessary action to fulfill its strategic intent. Goals, Objectives and Strategies Goals are a general statement of the way the organization is moving, which is in line with its mission statement, and are qualitative in nature. For example, “to increase profit”. Corporate objectives are quantitative in nature. For example, “to increase profit before tax by 12% in the next financial year”. Strategies are objective statements which lay down a set of actions in order to achieve or maintain a particular position. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 87 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to Managers responsible for the success of an organization are concerned about the effect that factors in the external environment have upon it. They cannot control the external but they to identify, evaluate and react to those forces outside the organization which may affect them. The way in which managers attempt to achieve this is by means of a qualititatitve assessment of signals they receive which are relative to outside influences. There is therefore a need to carry out an analysis of these forces by means of the kind of methods we have just explored. In other words, to use external environmental analysis. There a number of models available for carrying out external environmental analysis and we shall explore some of these in detail later. Types of Environment To decide on the focus which environmental analysis should take it is important to consider the nature of an organization’s environment in terms of its uncertainty. A simple/static environment is the easiest to analyze. In this case, a detailed, systematic, historical analysis is probably sufficient in order to understand it. In a dynamic environment, all aspects of the environment are subjects to change. When changes are rapid and/or sudden, such environments are referred to as turbulent. Frequently, change in one element of the environment leads to changes in other elements; thus change feeds upon itself. In these conditions managers must look to the future, not just to the past. A useful model for achieving this is known as scenario building’, in which an attempt is made to construct a view of the future based not just on hunches but by building consistent views of possible developments around key factors. Complex environments are becoming more and more common in modern times. Technology, markets, politics, etc. are becoming more intricate and more involved. The globalization of organizations in the form of multinational firms and multinational political structures, such as the European Union, have greatly increased environmental complexity leading to conditions of the greatest uncertainty. Analysis of such environments is often focused on helping to sensitize managers to signals in their environment, and encouraging them to be flexible and intuitive in their responses to such signals. Both dynamism and complexity serve to increase uncertainty. As a consequence, uncertainty sets limits on the ability to predict accurately the future state of the environment. Tom Peters argues that organizations must cope with this increasing uncertainty in their environment and he emphasizes the need for flexibility as organizations set out to cope with their environments. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 88 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to Environmental Drivers Certain forces in the environment act as long-term drivers of change. These forces include rapid changes in technology, leading in turn to shorter life spans of such technology and need for increased efficiency, often achieved by economies of scale. In addition, globalization of markets has led to world-wide searches by companies to obtain skilled labour, raw materials, total markets share, etc. Nestle, for example, the world’s biggest food company, has improved sales growth by over 5% in the first half of 2001. The way in which this has been achieved is by means of what they term their “Globe” project. This is aimed at increasing business efficiency, and by increased spending in launching new products, ie by putting more money into the market. They also have plans to acquire other companies in the food sector. In particular, they are targeting mineral water and nutrition businesses. Auditing and Forecasting the Environment We have already mentioned in unit 1 the use of audits in corporate planning and their relationship to the opportunities and threats present in the environment. Such audits must consider the needs of the whole organization, as only then will they enable functional strategies to be determined. An audit produces a wealth of information which will help management to decide on both short – and mid-term planning Action may be required in the short term in order to have a firm base from which to move forward. It is essential that a corporate identity is established and for both internal and external audiences to agree on what it is. Mid-term planning can only be successful if it is based on a firm foundation and the audit process is designed to give management the information it requires to enable such a foundation to be identified and/or established. Forecasting trends and developments is the act of giving advance warning in time for beneficial action to be taken. Competitor Environmental Analysis In order to establish where an organization is placed in its environment with respect to its competitive position, it is necessary to examine the relative strengths and weaknesses of its competitors. To achieve this comparison the organization needs to scan the environment continuously and to monitor key indicators. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 89 It is also important to consider the strategies used by competitors. Are they, for instance, committed to offering products at budget prices, as with companies like Superdrug, or do they rely on a reputation for high quality, as with Boots? Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to This type of knowledge is useful when looking at how competitors have dealt with the forces within their environment in the past. It also gives an indication of how they are likely to act in the competitive environment in the future. Analysis of Competitive Structure In any market there is a huge number of competing companies and they cover a large range of geographical locations. In addition, many companies who formerly enjoyed some form of protection form competition through the operation of monopolies now have to compete openly for their business. The government for free competition between suppliers of gas and electricity encourages an example of this in the UK. Trade barriers in many areas are also less stringently applied than they used to be, particularly, within the European Community. All of this results in the need for companies to better understand their own position by examining it against its competitors, whether this means competitors in the marketplace or, as in the public sector, competitors for resources. This is the basis for what Porter calls “competitor analysis”, which broadly means looking at who the competition is, and how they perform, i.e., what strategies they use and how successful they are in doing so. It also needs to include an assessment of potential competitors as well as existing ones. When considering who the competition is it is necessary to take a very broad view. For example, a company offering package holidays abroad is not only in competition with other companies offering similar holidays but also with holiday offers in this country as well. In other words package holidays abroad, i.e., competition is with all these companies who are offering the same or similar customer benefits. Porter has extended the idea of competitor analysis to include the analysis of the competitive industry structure, as we shall see later when we consider Porter’s Five Model and strategic group analysis. How Do We Carry Our Competitor Analysis Having decided who our competitors are we then need to consider how they operate, ie what their strategies are. For this we need know: What are their objectives? - Are they seeking growth and, if so, is it profit growth, revenue growth or market share growth? - Are they competing in terms of price, quality, customers services or some other factor? Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 90 Which marketing targets are their strategies aimed at? How successful are our competitors: - Financial analysis of performance trends will be helpful here Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to What are our competitors’ strength and weaknesses? What is the current strategy of our competitors? - How are they likely to change in the future? - Do they show a consistent approach to strategy development, for example, by a tendency towards differentiation, or product development Discovering the answers to questions of this kind assist a company to understand the strategies, which their competitors currently pursue, and how they are likely to deal with them in the future. How may competitors analysis be used? By discovering the strengths and weaknesses of its competitors a company can compare these to its own strengths and weaknesses, enabling them to make a relative assessment. Based on such an assessment they can develop strategies in order to achieve a competitive advantage. An important point to make here is that the comparison of strength and weaknesses between a company and its competitors yields a relative assessment. For example, a company’s particular strength may be the ability to be very cost-effective in terms of production. However, in order to be an advantage in the marketplace, it must be better than its competitors, i.e., it is no use being good at something if your competitors are even better. Having carried out the strengths and weakness comparison with competitors the results can be used to decide future strategy in order to achieve company objective. Analysis of the competitive industry structure provides information on which strategic decisions can be made suitable markets and customer groups for targeting. This then contributes to the company finding a suitable position to take up vis-à-vis its competitors. Competitor analysis helps to identify those strategies which are likely to result in achieving a superior competitive performance. It also enables a company to consider its relative performance over time in an objective rather than subjective way. The foregoing has shown how important competitor analysis is to a company in terms of its strategic planning. Systematic procedures for comparing the relative strengths and weaknesses of the competition can produce a vital input to a company’s strategic planning. Competitor-based Strategies There is a large number of factors, both external and internal, which can have an influence on strategy formulation. These include the following: Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 91 External factors The nature of the competition and the products which are available in the marketplace Political, economic, social and technological pressures What it is that buyers need The environment in which the organization operates, whether it is stable or turbulent Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to Internal factors Corporate objectives The size and power of the organization The resources available The way the organization is operated, i.e., its procedures and practices Stakeholders’ expectations The organization’s position in the marketplace Whether the organization is a leader or follower Whether the management is aggressive or not Any aspect of the internal or external environment can have an influence on the organization’s strategy. An organization can be classified as any one of the following: A leader – one which is innovative in nature and is regularly the first to bring new products into the marketplace. This type of company is likely to be a powerful one with a large share in the market and having high resources. It will gain a competitive advantage from being first into the market as, for example, was Thermos with the first vacuum flask, but has to invest heavily in product development and has to accept a subsequent high level of risk. Leaders have to have the necessary strategies to: Protect their current market share; Encourage existing customers to increase their demand; Attract and retain new customers; Update the product design/service for its customers; Introduce new products to new markets In order to carry out these strategies, the company needs to adapt a policy of: Innovation – by always being ahead of its competitors Fortification – by pursuing activities which are aimed at keeping the competition down; Confrontation – by using such tactics as price wars in order to reduce competitors’ profits, and by aggressive promotional campaigns to increase sales; Harassment – through maintaining a high level of pressure on distributors and criticizing the competition. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 92 A follower – one, which tends to copy what leaders do. These companies do no invest heavily in research and development themselves but try to take advantage of the work done by others. They will never get the initial major market share but they do not spend money on development, nor in creating an awareness of a new product, as the leaders will already have done this. They can take advantage of any errors, which leaders may make. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to For example, if technical problems is found in new product followers may be able to put this right before launching their own version. Or they may be able to take advantage of a leader creating a greater demand for their new product than they can themselves satisfy, leaving scope for a following full the gap. In either of these situations it is possible for followers to find buyers turning from the leader’s product to their own, with the leader losing its market share. Followers can amend a leader’s product by changing its price, quality, etc, and since amendment is cheaper than development, will enjoy lower costs. Because they do not create original ideas but cling to the tails of leaders, followers are often referred to as “me-too” marketers. A challenger – one which, as with followers, tries to overtake the market leaders. The methods adopted by the companies include price-cutting incentives offered to distributors, improved levels of service to customers, sharing costs with others, etc. currently, much of the competition between supermarkets is based on who can provide the most reliable service of home delivery based on ordering via the internet. A niche marketer – an organization which offers some kind of specialized product or service, often referred to as a ‘unique service proposition’. Market leaders do not usually bother too much about niche marketers, since they are likely to be catering from only a small market segment. Despite this low market share, niche markets can be very profitable to those who operate in them. Over time, of course, both the circumstances of an organization and the environment in which it is operating change, so the stance adopted by the organization will also change. This may lead to a given organization attacking a market leader or defending itself against a predicating follower. These changes may be based upon organization looking for extra growth or profits, or even trying to survive. They may also be due to change of top management, leading to a change in the organization’s culture. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 93 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to Techniques For Conducting an Internal Appraisal Value chain analysis A value chain may be defined as: An organization’s co-ordinate set of activities to satisfy customer needs, starting with relationships with supplier and procurement, through production, selling and marketing, and delivery to the customer. Each stage of the chain is linked with the next stage and looks forward to the customer’s needs and backwards from the customer as well. Each link in the value chain must seek competitive advantage, either by being cheaper than the corresponding link in competitor’s chains, or by means of added value through superior quality or differentiated features. The value chain concept was developed by Michael Porter with particular reference to working teams functioning as service units. He uses the term ‘value activities’ to describe the different identifiable activities of which any business is a collection, e.g., marketing, production, etc. He suggests it is at this level that the unit achieves a competitive advantage, rather than at company level. Porter classified these activities as being either primary ro secondary. Primary activities are: In bound logistics – receiving, storing and distributing inputs Operators – which turn these inputs into the final product or services Outbound logistics – storage and distribution to consumers; Marketing and sales – which make consumers aware of the products or services available; Service – installation and after-sales servicing Secondary activities provide the infrastructure which enables the primary activities to take place and are: Infrastructure – systems vital to the organization’s strategic capability, which usually support the whole chain, e.g., planning, finance, quality, management; Human resources management – recruitment, training, development, etc Procurement – acquisition of the necessary resource inputs to the primary activities Value chain relationships consist of: Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 94 i. The company’s ability to transfer skills and/or expertise between similar chains; and ii. The ability of different units to share activities In (i) the skills considered must be of advanced level to assist the company to develop a competitive edge. For example, the expertise of an advertising executive, who could use the skills of marketing developed in one section of a company to improve sales in another section. In (ii) units might share a common distribution system in order to take advantage of lower fuel costs by producing economies of scale, or of reducing capital investment by sharing warehouse storage facilities. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to Steps in the process are value enhanced: 1.if the organization can procure the right resources at the right price at the right time 2.by total quality management and continuous quality improvement techniques 3.by the proper transportation and distribution of goods and services 4.when customers are informed of goods and/or services which are available and when they are assisted to make wise choices in their purchases 5.when high quality after-sales service is provided The value chain of the organization links to: The value chains of its suppliers, who will have value chains of their own; The value chains of its customers, when customer choice is assisted by customer education, e.g. Leaflets, informative labeling, helpful store layout, etc. for example, B and Q, the do-it-yourself store, provide information leaflets within their stores which show customers how to carry out activities such as wall tiling, etc. and many garden centres supply information leaflets on the care of plants. In these ways any given organization is part of the wider value system which creates a product or a service. Using the nine activities identified by Porter, a strategic planner can analyze each in turn in order to discover which of them gives rise to actual or potential customer value, and where the company is strategically distinct from its competitors. Thus it can be established where a competitive advantage can be achieved. For example, in the primary activity of service to customers, Dell computers set out to provide a faster, more efficient technical service to their users than their competitors could provide and this yielded them a competitive advantage, particularly in the business rather than the personal computer segment. The advantage arose despite the price of their packages being greater than that of competitors, because they identified that more important consideration for a company user was that their system was very rapidly put right again if it went down. The company had used the idea of value chain analysis by examining its own key strengths and weaknesses and comparing them to customers needs and to their competitors’ resource profiles in order to develop a competitive advantage. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 95 This example, is a simple one as it illustrates only one aspect of the complex analysis of the value chain. In practice, competitive advantage is often derived from the links between activities in the chain, since these are more difficult for competitors to copy. In addition, the analysis should go beyond the value chain of the company itself and consider the value chains of both suppliers to the company and to its distributors. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to Also, the needs and expectations of customers have to be taken into account, since a competitive advantage is only to be gained if it meets these. For example, if a company can only offer through its value chain activities a better quality product which its customers do not particularly want, and at a higher price which they are not prepared to pay, then it will not create a competitive advantage. Value chain analysis provides a valuable means of carrying out a resource audit for a company through a systematic analysis of its value activities with a view to create a competitive advantage over its competitors. Portfolio Analysis Investors try to maintain a balanced portfolio so that if one company or sector is doing badly others can offset it, which are doing well at the same time. Similarly, companies try to achieve a balanced portfolio in which the activities of the company are complementary, rather than trying to pursue a single product or a single market. One of the first methods for classifying business units in terms of market growth rate compared with market share was proposed by the Boston Consulting Group. The BCG growth-share matrix has developed into one that allows a comparison to be made on a relative market share basis. The model must thus be used with care. However, it is computer-friendly and can be dynamic. It provides the basis for more sophisticated techniques of portfolio analysis and is a comfortable route into modern techniques. Using the BCG model enables planners to classify their products/strategic units into four categories according to their position on the matrix. This matrix may be used as a guide to product strategy. The names are: Stars, where high market share but high market growth forces the supplier to reinvest profits into promotion to maintain market share. These are often products in the growth stage of the life cycle and are not particularly profitable. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 96 Cash cows, where high market share and low market growth minimizes promotional expenditure. They are often products in the maturity, saturation or decline stage of the life cycle. High market share guarantees good profitability. Question marks, where low market share but high market growth forces the supplier to invest heavily in promotion without earning enough profit from sales to cover expenditure. They are often products in the growth stage of the life cycle but the low market share makes them highly unprofitable. Dogs may be products that have failed to establish themselves in a matures, saturated or declining market, in which case they are likely to be unprofitable. Alternatively, they may be products, which have established a particular niche in the market. Such products can command a premium price and can be highly profitable. An example would be Morgan sports cars, which have a low market share of the total car market but earn a very satisfactory profit. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to The Boston group suggested that investment should principally be channeled into stars and those, which could be promoted to star status. Investment in cash cows should be at the level necessary to maintain market share. The profitability of dogs should be carefully monitored and the organization should withdraw from unprofitable dogs. It should also withdraw from question marks, which are without star potential. The company has only one cash cow so it is vulnerable. A loss in market share could mean trouble, even more so if there is no star to come in and take its place. In this situation the company would have to pump in finance to support its cash cow, instead of supporting other categories. If it supported other categories instead of its cash cow, this would eventually become a dog. The company has three question marks. Planners may decide to concentrate all its efforts on one of them in order to make it successful, and leave the others just ticking along until they have secured the position of the most favorable. The product which is producing a greater proportion or revenue may be chosen for extra effort as it obviously has a good earning potential. The company also has two dogs. Given that they consume cash, they are often dropped by companies but it is not always wise to do so immediately as they may still be making money. The competition must be considered, as well as the effect on customers. Dropping a product form a range can upset buyers who then look for one suppliers. If you have developed a preference for a particular food product, say a salad dressing, originally stocked by your usual supermarket, and they cease to stock it for some reason, you look to other stores instead. Having found your dressing in a rival supermarket, the chances are you will buy other things there as well, and might even transfer all your food shopping to the new store. Growth-gain Matrix In order to measure how well each strategic business unit is keeping pace with market growth, market growth rate can be plotted against product growth rate and used, together with the growth-share matrix. This matrix shown, shows share losers as those, which appear above the diagonal broken line, and share gainers below the line. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 97 Figure 33 Maximum sustainable growth rate Market growth rate Product growth rate Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to In this matrix the maximum sustainable growth rate is plotted as a solid vertical line and the weighted average growth rate of the products within the portfolio cannot be greater than this maximum. Where the weighted average growth rate, sometimes referred to as the ‘centre of gravity’, lies to the left of the line, there is scope for further growth. The significance fo this is that it shows that changes of strategy may be necessary in order that resources are directed to this area so that this potential growth is realized. Multifactor portfolio Matrix Because they were aware of the limitations of the BCG matrix, general electric and McKinsey combined together to develop a more sophisticated model called the multifactor matrix. This uses nine cells and makes a serious attempt at quantifying the situation. Criteria that may be used to establish market attractiveness and competitive position are unique to each organization and they must be established with considerable care over a period of time. A weighting figure is assigned to each factor and the total weighted score determines the position on the matrix. The following criteria are used: To measure market attractiveness - Market size - The size of key segments of the market - Growth rate - Diversity - Seasonal demand - Price sensitivity - Marketing opportunities - Competitive structure - Entry and exit barriers Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 98 - Technology Availability of necessary workforce Environmental issues Political and legal issues, etc. For competitive position - Market share - Organization growth rate - Sales force effectiveness - Depth of product line - Distribution - Financial resources - Marketing effectiveness - Price - Experience curve - Quality/reliability - Investments Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management be? 3 Where do we Want to Experience Curves It is often said that, whilst one person may have ten years’ work experience, another may have just one years’ experience repeated ten times over. Considerable research has been carried out to determine the effect of experience rather than time in carrying out manufacturing tasks. The Boston Consulting Group have established that important relationships exist between the cumulative experience gained by an organization and its unit costs, which is referred to as the experience curve, i.e., they found that experience is a key source of cost advantage. Over a period of time the costs of production will decrease in relation to the number of units produced as experience increases in terms of processes, material purchasing and so on. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 99 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? 4: How Might we get there and Which Way is Best? Cost-Volume-Profit Analysis In deciding on future courses of action management pays a great deal of attention to the alternatives that are available. However, in the case of alternatives that involve changes in the level of business activity with no changes in scale itself it is generally found that profit does not vary in direct proportion to changes in the level of activity. This is due to the interactions of costs, volume, and profits. For short-run decision-making purposes, costs can be classified as fixed, variable, and mixed. In a marketing context the costs, which are typically fixed in relation to the level of activity, are: Salaries Sales administration costs: Advertising appropriations: Market research allocations: Establishment costs of premises. Many costs depend very much on the level of activity and are often computed on a per unit basis. Such variable costs include: Commissions which may vary with sales revenue Delivery costs which may vary weight shipped; After-sales service costs which may vary with units sold; Cost of credit which may vary with debtors’ balances; Order processing/invoicing costs which may vary with number of orders received. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 100 Mixed costs are those that are neither constant over a period nor directly variable on a per unit basis. An example could be the cost of additional sales staff: outlets, but a rise in business of, say, 10 per cent that involves new outlets will probably require additional sales staff. Figure 34:The patterns that emerge are shown below: Advertising Appropriation £ Level of activity (scale revenue) Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? (a) Fixed costs Level of activity (sales revenue) (b) Variable costs Level of activity (scale revenue) © Mixed costs Sales revenue is an increasing function of the level of activity and therefore has the behavioural characteristics of the variable cost curve. Profit is a residual that depends on the interaction of sales volume, selling prices and costs. The non-uniform response of certain costs to changes in the level of activity can have a serious impact on profit in companies having a high proportion of fixed costs with the result that a seemingly insignificant decline in sales volume from the expected level may be accompanied by a major drop in expected profit. On account of the difficulties involved in many industries in accurately predicting the volume of business that may be expected during a forthcoming planning period it is a wise policy to consider the cost-volume-profit picture for each likely level of activity. This can be done by means of a profitgraph that illustrates the profit emerging from different cost/revenue combinations. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 101 Figure 35 Total revenue curve Break-even point Total costs and total Revenue (£) Total cost curve Profit area Loss area Volume (units) Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? The simple profitgraph in the figure above is compiled by combining the cost and revenue curves. The total revenue curve is simply the expected unit sales multiplied by price for each level of activity, whereas the total cost curve is made up by splitting fixed cost curve on to the variable cost curve as shown in the figure below: It is characteristic of this modeling technique that significant simplifying assumptions underlie its application. For example: It is assumed that fixed costs are constant and that variable costs vary at a constant rate; It is assumed that all costs can be broken into either fixed or variable categories; It is assumed that only one selling price applies. Figure 36:Total cost curve Total cost curve Costs (£) Variable cost curve Fixed costs Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 102 0 Volume (units) Any of these assumptions underlying cost-volume-profit analysis can be modified in order in order to produce a more realistic model that is better suited to specific circumstances. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? Figure 37:Profit-volume chart Profit curve Profit (£) Break-even point 0 sales revenue (£) Fixed costs are shown at the intersection with the vertical axis Loss (£) The reason why the total cost curve of the figures above does not pass through the origin is the same as the reason why the profit curve of the profit-volume chart cuts the vertical axis below the point of Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 103 zero profit: even when there are no sales the fixed costs must still be paid, and consequently the area below the break-even sales volume represents one of loss, being at its greatest at zero sales. When constructed, the profitgraph represents in essence a wide range of profit statements for various levels of activity. As such, it can be used as a benchmark for judging the adequacy of actual performance, or it can be used in the planning phase to portray alternative courses of action. The graphical analysis described above is a simple means of illustrating cost-volume-profit interrelationships, but the managerial applications can also be facilitated by algebraic analysis. The basic equation is simple once mixed costs have been split into their fixed and variable elements and shown as such: Sales revenue = variable costs + fixed costs + profit. The break-even (BE) equation is even simpler since at the break-even point there is no profit: BE sales revenue = variable costs + fixed costs In physical volume terms the break-even point can be calculated as follows: BE volume = fixed costs Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? (Sales revenue – variable costs) / (units sold) Thus if a firm has fixed costs of £10,000 variable costs of £15,000 and 5000 units for £30,000 the break-even volume is: 10000 = 3333 units (30,000 – 15,000)/5000 In monetary terms the break-even volume can be derived by applying the formula: Fixed costs fixed costs = 1 – (15000/30,000) contribution margin ratio Using the data referred to above the break-even volume is equal to: 10000 10 000 = = £20,000 1 – (15000/30000) 0.5 The proof is simple: unit price is £6.00 and the unit variable cost is £3.00. The unit contribution towards fixed costs and profit is therefore £6.00-£3.00 and sufficient units must be sold to cover the fixed costs of £10,000. The solution is thus 3333 units, and at a unit price of £6.00 the break-even revenue is £20,000. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 104 Reference was made in the above example to the contribution margin ratio. This is an important concept that expresses the percentage of a volume change that is composed of variable costs. In the example the revenue from an additional sale is £6.00 and the additional variable cost is £3.00. the contribution margin ratio is therefore 1 – 3/6 = 0.5 or 50 per cent. In other words, half the revenue from a change in volume is sufficient to cover the variable costs and the other half contributes to fixed costs and profits. Table18: profit-volume variations Sales Variable costs Fixed costs Total costs profits Original volume £ 30,000 15,000 10,000 25,000 5,000 Increase in volume £ +10,000 +5,000 unchanged +5,000 +5000 Decrease in volume £ -10,000 -5,000 Unchanged -5,000 -5000 The application of this ratio is based on the assumption that other factors remain constant and it should be evident that this is a somewhat unrealistic assumption. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 105 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? Nevertheless, to continue the above example, if a change in sales of £10,000 takes place the change in profits will be shown on the table above. The table above shows that with a contribution margin ratio of 50 per cent the profit variation for an upward move is the same as that for a downward move, with the former being positive and the latter negative, and with both being equal to one half of the change in sales revenue. A further equation can be devised to measure the excess of actual sales over the break-even volume. This is known as the margin of safety and is given by the equation: (Actual sales – sales at break-even point)/actual sales Again taking data from the earlier example, in monetary terms the margin of safety is: (£30,000 - £20,000)/£30,000 = 1/3 or 33 1/3% in physical terms it is: (5,000 – 3,333)/5,00 = 1/3 or 33 1/3% This ratio means that sales can fall by one-third before operations cease being profitable – assuming that the other relationships are accurately measured and remain constant. The combination of cost-volume-profit analysis with budgeting enables alternative budget figures to serve as the basis for profitgraphs. If a particular budget is shown to be unsatisfactory then the parameters can be recast until a more suitable budget results. It is not surprising that cost-volumeprofit analysis has been compared to flexible budgeting in being able to show what the cost and profit picture should be at different levels of sales, but flexible budgets are essentially concerned with cost control whereas cost-volume-profit analysis is more concerned with the predictions of profit. As with other techniques, cost-volume-profit analysis has its strengths and weaknesses. In its favour is its value as a background information device for important decisions – such as selecting distribution channels, make or buy, and pricing decisions. In this role it offers an overall view of costs and sales in relation to profit requirements. If simplicity is a virtue, then cost-volume-profit analysis has this virtue since it is easily understood. However, this very simplicity points the way to the weaknesses and limitations of cost-volume-profit analysis. As suggested earlier in this section, the major weakness is in the the underlying assumptions: profit varies not only in relation to changes in volume, but also with changes in production unable to allow for these possibilities, and at best indicates the profit that may be expected under a single set of assumed conditions regarding external factors as well as managerial policies. Thus it is a static representation of the situation it purports to illustrate: a different set of circumstances would obviously result in a different series of cost-volume-profit relationships. Furthermore, cost-volume-profit analysis can only accommodate objectives that relate to profits, costs and sales levels/revenues, and it tends to treat costs, volume, and profit as if they were independent of each other. These limitations do not outweigh the value of cost-volume-profit analysis provided that the user is aware of the assumptions and limitations. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 106 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? It is necessary of course, to supplement the assistance given by any technique with managerial judgement, and cost-volume-profit analysis is no exception to this principle. The roles of budgeting and cost-volume-profit analysis are illustrated below in another example. ABC Ltd This is a single-product company with a profit objective that is expressed as 10 per cent of net sales revenue. For the next planning period the total market potential is estimated to be 500 units. The table below indicates the costs and profit outlook at each level of sales that ABC Ltd can expect to achieve. Table 19: manufacturing costs and revenues Forecast percentage share of market Unit sales Average net price per unit Forecast net sales revenue Variable manufacturing costs at £300 per unit Contribution Fixed manufacturing costs Gross profit 10% 50 £1,500 £75,000 £15,000 12% 60 £1,500 £90,000 £18,000 14% 70 £1,450 £101,500 £21,000 16% 80 £1,400 £112,000 £24,000 £60,000 £20,000 £40,000 £72,000 £20,000 £52,000 £80,500 £20,000 £60,500 £88,000 £20,000 £68,000 The behavior of marketing costs is shown on the table two tables below for fixed and variable costs respectively. The unit costs can be extended to show the variable marketing costs of each anticipated sales level: Market share 10% Variable marketing cost Table 20: fixed costs £ Fixed costs Sales force Sales administration Advertising appropriation Establishment costs Marketing research costs Office services Totals 12% £5,000 14% £6,000 10% £6,000 £10,000 £5,000 £10,000 £2,000 £3,000 £36,000 Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 16% £7,000 12% £6,000 £10,000 £5,500 £10,000 £2,000 £3,100 £36,600 £8,000 14% £9,000 £12,000 £8,000 £12,000 £2,000 £3,200 £46,200 16% £9,000 £12,000 £12,000 £12,000 £2,000 £3,300 £50,300 107 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Table 21: variable cost per unit Delivery Order processing/invoicing Commission Average cost of credit After-sales service 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? £10 £2 £10 £30 £48 £100 Table 22: net profits Net profit statement Gross margin Marketing costs Net profit (loss) Net profit as percentage sales revenue 10% £40,000 £41,000 £(1,000) -1.33% 12% £52,000 £42,600 £9,400 10.44% 14% £60,500 £53,200 £7,300 7.19% 16% £68,000 £58,300 £9,700 8.6% The profit objective of 10 per cent of net sales revenue is only achieved if ABC Ltd secures a 12 per cent market share, but control effort must be rigorously applied because the margin for error is very small. For the selected course of action, the total cost make-up is: Variable manufacturing costs Variable marketing costs Fixed manufacturing costs Fixed marketing costs £18,000 £6,000 £24,000 £20,000 £36,600 Total costs £56,600 £80, 600 The break-even point is computed by applying the formula given earlier in this section: £56,000 = 51 units (£90.000 - £24,000)/60 This gives a margin of safety of only 15 per cent calculated thus: (60 – 51)/60 = 15%] Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 108 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? A clear and concise summary is given in this way of one particular course of action that provides a standard for management purposes. Separate charts, and analyses can easily be drawn up for other alternative courses of action prior to making a choice. Cost – volume analysis can be used to aid the decision maker faced with such choices as: Leasing or buying premises; Leasing or owning vehicles; Using agents or setting up branch offices; In the case of warehousing the figure below summarizes the situation, showing the storage space at which ownership costs are identical with leasing charges (B). at greater volume requirements ownership is cheaper, and at lesser volumes leasing is to be preferred., Figure 38: break-even chart for warehousing Total cost of leasing Costs (£) Total cost of ownership Fixed cost of ownership Leasing more profitable B Owning more profitable Product Line The product mix is a major part of the overall marketing plan, and the relationship between the mix and the level of profit can be seen to be one of the basic areas against which alternatives can be reviewed in developing the marketing plan. Not only does it involve the consideration fo the roles of single products and product groups but it also involves considerations of the related effects of decisions bearing on, for example, the choice and emphasis of alternative sales areas. However, very few companies appear to be aware of the actual gross profit contributions of either individual products or product groups. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 109 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? Furthermore, large variations would probably be found in gross contributions in most cases, and this could suggest different courses of marketing action if only the gross contributions in most cases, and this could suggest different courses of marketing action if only the gross margins were properly computed. When management adopts direct product costing and distribution cost analysis it can compute the gross contribution of each item in the product range so that the tactical significance of the mix in relation to profit objectives becomes apparent. This can reveal cases of under-recovery of direct costs that could possibly be corrected by modifications in price or cost reduction if it is decided that the product should be retained to fill out the product line. Direct costing requires the separation of fixed and variable costs, with the latter being treated as ‘period costs’. An example should make the picture clear. LMN Ltd markets four products, the most recent financial data for which are shown in the table below. For each £1 of sales of the existing product mix, therefore, 24.8p is profit contribution. If the fixed costs of LMN Ltd amount to £50,000 and total sales are £250,000, then profit is equal to: (Sales X 24.8/100) – fixed costs P = £62,000 - £50,000 = £12,000 Table 23 Product Selling (SP) A B C D £5 £6 £8 £10 price Variable cost % (VC) Contribution (SP-VC)/SP X 100 £4 20% £5 16.6% £6 25% £7 30% % of sales 10% 20% 30% 40% 100% total Contribution as % of total sales 2.0% 3.3% 7.5% 12.0% 24.8% If it is decided to vary this mix it will be necessary to forecast the costs and sales for the modified mix. For instance, product E may be launched to replace product B, having the following characteristics: Selling price per unit £7 Variable cost per unit £5.6 Percentage contribution £20% Increase in fixed costs £1,000 Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 110 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? Table 24:The effects on the product mix are, for a new total sales level of £275,000: Product A C D E Former % of sales 10% 30% 40% - Forecast % of sales 25% 30% 30% 15% 100% The total contribution picture then becomes: A: C: D: E: 20 X 25/100 = 5% 25 X 30/100 = 7.5% 30 X 30/100 = 9% 20 X 15/100 = 3% 24.5% P = (275,000 X 24.5/100) – (50,000 + 1,000) P = £67,375 - £51,000 = £16,375 The profit improvement is thus £4,357 on additional sales of £25,000 and this gives ROS of 17.6 per cent. Future planning and control are both aided by studying the progress of each product over its life cycle since no product can hold its market position indefinitely in the face of changing conditions. Rates of technological change, market acceptance, and ease of competitive entry will collectively determine the lifespan of the product. However, it may be possible to extend the lifespan by either modifying the product, changing its image to appeal to new market segments, or finding new uses for it. Generally it will be necessary to adapt the marketing effort in each phase, and the ideal situation is one in which new products are introduced at such a rate that optimum profits can be maintained by some products reaching maturity at the time that others are beginning to decline, and so on. The product in question is deleted at the time when it ceases to be profitable, even though it is still generating sales revenue. But any deletion decision should be preceded by serious consideration fo the areas n which it may be possible to improve the product’s performance. In particular, areas to consider are selling methods, channels, the advertising message, promotions, the brand image, the pack, the quality and design of the product, and the adequacy of the service offered. Under no circumstances should a declining product be allowed to continue in decline without evaluation because it may be consuming resources that could more fruitfully be employed elsewhere. A declining product will rend to take up a disproportionate amount of management time; may require frequent price adjustments; will involve short – hence expensive – production runs; and may damage the company’s image. Pareto’s law will often apply in that 80 per cent of sales will come from 20 per cent of products and the weakest 20 per cent of products may absorb 80 per cent of management’s attention. Reviewing the product line should not be a rare action but should rather be undertaken in a regular and planned manner. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 111 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? For example, all products could be reviewed every three months and any that are less profitable than, say, the average for the range should be the subject of revised plans to improve their performance. SRD Example Heskett gives the example of a marketing proposal from the safety Razor Division of the Gillette Company for a line of blank audiocassettes. The market penetration of the SRDs razors and blades was such that no further increase was likely, thus growth would have to come via diversification. Estimates of the size and rate of growth of the market for blank audiocassettes made it particularly attractive. In the USA the most popular tape was the 60-minute one, available as follows: Type Budget quality Standard quality Professional quality Price $1.00 $1.75-$2.00 $2.98 Competition was fierce and price-oriented some 50 per cent of tape sales were of budget quality, typically unbranded, with well-known companies supplying standard and professional quality tapes under such brand names as Sony, 3M, Memorex. If SRD used 10 per cent of its existing sales force’s effort to sell cassettes via existing outlets with ht e50 per cent discount off retail price that was customary for cassettes, and if an advertising budget for Year 1 was set at $2 million, and if unit costs were as follows: And if the fixed annual costs of an assembly plant with capacity to handle 1 million cassettes per month were $500,000, there is the basis for an economic appraisal of alternative marketing programmes. Cassettes case (bought out) Standard quality tape (60 minutes) Professional quality tape (60 minutes) Assembly labours $0.159 $0.214 $0.322 $0.200 The table below shows an outline programme offering standard quality cassettes at a price that is a little higher than that applicable to budget cassettes. The break-even volume is almost 40 million units per annum, which is greatly in excess of the capacity of the assembly plant. It also represents 85 per cent of the total retail market of budget-priced cassettes. On grounds of feasibility this does not appear to be a viable proposition. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 112 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? Table 25 Item Price to final consumer Price to retailer or wholesaler Variable costs per tape Cassette case Standard quality tape Assembly labour Total Contribution Fixed costs per annum Assembly plant Sales force costs (10%) Advertising Total Break-even sales volume Computation $1.30 per tape $0.650 $0.159 $0.214 $0.200 $0.573 $0.077 $500,000 $550,000 $2,000,000 $3,050,000 $3,050,000 $0.077 =39,600,000 tapes 39,600,000 X $1.30 = $51.5 million retail value Alternative marketing programmes to allow SRD to enter the cassettes market might entail: Raising list price Reducing trade margins Using a small sales team and only selling via wholesalers Reducing the proposed advertising budget Investing in manufacturing facilities. These alternatives might be considered individually or interactively and there would be knock-on effects for other elements of the marking mix also. Significant effort would need to be applied to define the market, its segments, growth rates, etc., in order to determine the viability of alternative marketing programmes. Relevant factors would include: The quality of forecasts; The rate at which market conditions favourable to entry might change; Alternatives to blank cassette tapes as vehicles for SRD’s growth; Assumed buyer behaviour patterns within the cassette market; Assumptions about other elements of the marketing mix. Three alternative marketing programmes have been developed by SRD. The steps through which they were developed are shown in the figure below. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 113 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 4 How Might we get and Which Way is Best? These alternatives are the marketing of budget cassettes, the marketing of standard cassettes at a low price, and the marketing of professional cassettes. Only the last two would use the Gillette brand name, although all three would have to generate an equivalent profit to Gillette’s overall level. Figure 39: A conceptual scheme for the economic appraisal of a marketing programme Determination of: 1. Product characteristics 2. Nature of marketing program No go Calculation of: 1. Margin to channel members 2. Price to manufacturer 3. Variable costs (possibly including profit element) 4. Contribution per unit 5. Total fixed costs 6. Sales needed to achieve target profit point 7. Size and trend of relevant market 8. Share of relevant market needed to achieve targeted sales level Appraisal of: 1. Likelihood of success, including potential for competitive response, channel and market acceptance of strategy 2. Risk 3. Rewards Go Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 114 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management 5 How can we Ensure Arrival? 5: How can we Ensure Arrival? The concepts of strategic architecture and control When considering how best to implement a chosen strategy there are a number of factors which have to be taken into account which are concerned with the design and structure of the organization. We have already seen that the environment in which the organization exists has a major influence both on what it can do, and how it can do it. How stable the environment is will have an effect on strategic implementation. In turbulent times Drucker has said, although by definition there is irregular, erratic convert the threat of change into opportunities for productive and profitable action, and these are the appropriate, and so we need to take account of the state of the environment when implementing a chosen strategic option. The diversity of an organization is also relevant to strategy implementation. There are big differences between, for example, the needs of a large multinational corporation and those of a small local business. The extent to which modern technology is employed is also an important factor. Decisions about exporting products will be different for a local pottery to make, than for a mass production company. Accountability of the management of an organization also plays a part in the strategic design. Whether they are acceptable to shareholder or to rate or taxpayers will influence how the structure is designed. Strategic control aims to be a balanced between strategic planning and financial control. In the decentralization of power from the ‘head office’ type of control to its investment in the SBUs of an organization. Complete independence is rarely obtained. The changes, which occur usually, move away from tight control at the centre towards strategic control, where the centre acts as a shaper of strategy. The Importance of Organizational Design and Structure Implementation When considering this relationship the work of Goold and Campbell is very relevant. They studied the styles of relationship between the centre of an organization and its SBUs and placed them in the following categories: Strategic planning Financial control Strategic control By looking at the planning influence and the control influence of the centre and the SBUs, they came up the following: Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 115 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Arrival? 5 How can we Ensure Planning influence is related to the centre’s efforts to shape strategies as they emerge and before decision are taken Control influence refers to the way in which the centre reacts to the results achieved. Strategic planning style This is when the centre acts as master planner, accepting inputs form SBUs but setting the broad strategy. SBUs are regarded by the centre as just providing operational delivery of the master plan. It arises due to a lack of confidence in SBUs managers and results in control and co-ordination by the centre being at a high level. It provides good integration across SBUs, which is useful if resources are shared, and, by allowing the use of unskilled labour, it reduces costs. This is a bureaucratic design, which, since decisions are taken at top management levels, does not rely on short-tem views. Problems with this system can arise due to: Slow communications Resistance by SBU managers, who see their role as entirely tactical and can spend a lot of time ‘nit-picking Fewer low-risk strategies than if the strategy came from the SBU operating managers Resistance to the closing-down of poorly performing units. This type of arrangement tends to lead to concentration in a few core areas where it is possible to have a degree of expertise. Goold and Campbell gave BOC, Cadbury and Lex as examples of this type. Financial Control Style This is the extreme opposite of strategic planning. In this case the centre acts as a shareholder or banker for the SBUs. The SBU managers lead the strategy within a budgetary control framework. The centre Sets financial targets Appraises divisions’ performance Appraises capital bids from divisions Low-risk strategies are pursued, but profitability ratios are higher. SBUs are able to diversify by deciding on entry to new markets or in developing new products. They may even be allowed to use funding from outside the parent group so as to support new developments. Growth is mainly via acquisitions rather than by internal development. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 116 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Arrival? 5 How can we Ensure Companies of this type appear to be: Quicker to replace managers Fiercer in applying pressure via monitoring Better at recognizing and rewarding good performance as compared with those who adopt the styles of strategic planning or strategic control. Goold and Campbell quote BTR, Hanson Trust and Tarmac as examples. Strategic Control Style As we saw earlier, this style aims to be a balance between the other two styles. Where the strategic control style operates the centre’s control is concerned with: The organization’s overall strategy The balance of activities and the role of each division The organization’s policies on such matters as employment, etc. The formulation of strategy begins with the SBUs but requires be testing and agreeing by corporate management, i.e., it is a bottom-up process within central guidelines. Power lies where there is the expertise. Budgets and decisions cannot be over-controlled by the centre as this would produce delays and confusion, but it remains responsible for assessing the performance of divisions against their own business plans. Within which the annual budget has an important role. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 117 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Arrival? 5 How can we Ensure Relationship between the centre and its divisions, as suggested by Goold and Campbell are shown in the table below: Table 26 Strategic planning Financial control Strategic control Description – key Centre acts as Centre act as Centre acts as ‘strategic features ‘masterplanner’ ‘shareholder/banker shaper’ Advantages Top-down Bottom-up Highly prescribed Financial targets Detailed controls Co-ordination Control of investment Responsiveness Bottom-up Strategic and financial targets Less detailed controls Centre/divisions complementary Ability to co-ordinate Potential problems Examples Centre our of touch Loss of direction Divisions tactical Centre does not add value BOC Cadbury Lex STC Public sector pre-1990s BTR Hanson Tarmac Motivation Too much bargaining Culture change needed New bureaucracies ICI Courtaulds Public sector post1990s Strategic control demands that the organization has a clear understanding of how responsibility for strategy is divided between the centre and the divisions. The centre has responsibility for: Defining key policies Allocating resources to divisions Assessing the performance of divisions All other activities may be developed to the divisions themselves. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 118 Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Arrival? 5 How can we Ensure Planning and control Having selected the CSFs, there is no particular collection of controls available to all managers because of the wide range of products and services offered by different organizations, and the number of policies and plans. There is, however, a large number of standards which can be used to measure certain types of performance. For example The contents of a product and its dimensions can be written down and used to control its quality. The rate of production can be quantified as number of products per day, shift, etc. Costs can be measured in terms of components per unit Business income can be recorded as profit Financial stability can be checked via cash available, working capital, and depreciation etc. The ability to select critical control points is an important part of management, since sound control depends upon them. Good managers know, however, that could is an integral part of the planning process, which is not an exact science, but that reviewing actual outcomes against anticipated ones will help to improve performance. There are three basic elements associated with the control process. Setting the objectives or specific standards Evaluating performance and measuring actual progress Providing feedback for management to enable them to take corrective decisions and modify plans. For the planning process to work effectively, there must be a willingness to change plans if necessary. Flexibility is essential, as also is a communication system which allows progress, developments or changes to be highlighted to management within the timeframe when effective action can be taken. Control needs to take place at the three levels of planning: Corporate Marketing Tactical/product Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 119 Managers need to be clear about how they will evaluate the effectiveness of their plans, so that where necessary feedback systems can be developed, and resources can be switched in order to achieved new objectives. Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Arrival? 5 How can we Ensure Control Mechanisms Most control systems are concerned with costs, or quality or safety. Budgets Planning is carried out in order to ensure the organization gets the best out of its limited resources. A strategic plan is essentially made up of inputs to achieve a desired output. The inputs are the resources – personnel, materials, machines, buildings, etc. and the budget is a simple financial statement of the resources necessary in order to carry out the plan. It is also a quantitative plan of activities designed to control the allocation, flow and use of resources over a given period of time. Management control will consist of a number of budgets and forecasts. This consolidated budget will reflect corporate mission, objectives and strategies. Part of this consolidated management budget is the marketing budget which we will consider here in a little detail. The marketing budgets include: Sales volumes, values and incomes Selling expenses Distribution and warehousing costs Advertising and public relations expenses Market research costs Marketing salaries, commission, expenses Customer services Marketing administration costs These costs are usually considered under five budget headings: i. The cash budget – liquidity, opening and closing balances, inflow of cash. ii. Budgeted profit and loss account – matching income received with costs incurred over a set period of time iii. Budgeted balance sheet – which looks at the total assets fo a SBU and its liabilities, such as repayments of loans iv. Budgeted funds statement – the sources of funding and how they are linked to corporate objectives v. Capital budget – which concerns resource capacity and the budgets for alternative strategic choices. The basis on which a budget is set is referred to as ‘appreciation’, and this can be: % of past or projected future sales Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 120 % increase on previous budget in order to match the competition what is considered to be needed for the task Module 15 Strategic Marketing Management Arrival? 5 How can we Ensure Quality Control Those areas, which need to be considered for quality control, include: Personnel Materials, and Products. - - - Controlling the quality of personnel involves the recruitment of the right staff in the first place, training and developing staff once they are employed, and carrying out regular appraisal in order to identify any areas which require further training and development Controlling the quality of materials requires control over suppliers by means of selection of the right suppliers in awarding contracts and checking that quality standards of the suppliers are maintained. Production control systems need to be put in place in order to maintain the quality fo the product which meets customer’s expectations. In addition, the maintenance of machinery and buildings is also an important part of quality control. Safety Anything, which is concerned with safety of personnel, customers, plant, etc. is always a priority use of resources. Advanced Diploma in Marketing Management 121