Topic Paper B Topic: Situation in Kashmir Yale Model United Nations XXXIV SPECPOL Chris Kaimmer Shazan Jiwa YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |2 Letter from the Undersecretary General Dear Delegates, A warm welcome to YMUN XXXIV and to General Assembly Committees! My name is Andrew Dean and I have the pleasure of serving as your Under Secretary General. I am currently a sophomore in beautiful Silliman College here at Yale. I was born and raised in the distant land of the Midwest, specifically Milwaukee, WI—and yes, I am most definitely a Packers fan. I began my Model UN career as a delegate at this same conference five years ago, and have since developed a passion for international studies. If all goes according to plan, I hope to combine the International Studies major with either History or Political Science. In my free time I work in the Silliman College Master’s Office, participate in the Yale branch of the ACLU, and indulge in the occasional game of Halo. The challenges and rewards of GA committees lie in their large size, and therefore the increased importance of compromise. As delegates you’ll be tasked with making convincing arguments in front of your peers and crafting resolutions that balance your personal goals as nation-states with the need for international support of your views. Your chairs have chosen fascinating topics this year, ranging from conflict diamonds in Africa, to the issue of private military contractors, to the brewing external debt crisis. Furthermore, we’ve decided to experiment with the format of several committees this year in hopes of making them more dynamic, varied, and memorable experiences for you as delegates. The talented and enthusiastic chairs and staff of the GA committees for YMUN XXXIV will do everything to make your experience here at YMUN a great one. To that end, they have prepared thorough topic guides for your committees; these should be your first stop in preparing, though research into your specific country is also necessary to be an effective delegate. If you have any questions about the committees, background guides, or YMUN in general, don’t hesitate to contact me or your committee chairs. I look forward to welcoming you all to General Assembly Committees in January! Sincerely, Andrew Dean Under Secretary General, General Assembly Committees Yale Model United Nations 2008 andrew.dean@yale.edu YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |3 Letter from the Chair Dear Delegates, It is my pleasure to welcome you to the SPECPOL committee at YMUN XXXIV. I am looking forward to working with all of you during the conference. The DAIS has worked incredibly hard to ensure that you all have an exciting experience. Let me first introduce myself. My name is Shazan Jiwa and I am a Junior, majoring in Political Science. I am a member of the Model UN Travel Team at Yale and I’ve been fortunate to attend several conferences in the USA and throughout the world (If any of you want to hear more about Model UN on the college circuit, feel free to shoot me an email or ask me during conference). Outside of school, I love traveling (this year I will be going to Kenya, Hong Kong, Turkey, and Greece) and I am a huge fan of the New England Patriots. My Co-Chair is Chris Kaimmer, who is also a Junior at Yale, double majoring in History and Political Science. He brings a wealth of Model UN experience to the committee as he was the Vice-Chair of the FIFA Committee at this year’s college conference and the International Olympic Committee at last year’s YMUN. Chris hails from Seattle and is a big soccer fan (in fact he went to the last World Cup in Germany). Our goal is to make sure that YMUN is a fun, memorable experience for all of you. We will hopefully have some guest speakers for our committee and some fun activities planned throughout the conference. Moreover, we want to be responsive to the committee’s needs. During the conference, I’d be happy to meet with any of you to discuss your ideas for the committee, working papers, resolutions, etc. In addition, if any of you have questions about the committee, please don’t hesitate to contact me beforehand (Shazan.jiwa@yale.edu). That being said, we also hope that all of you will take time to read this guide and be adequately prepared for the committee. This guide is really only a starting point: be sure to research your country’s policy in depth and study some of the resolutions that are mentioned in order to gain a better understanding of the issues at hand. The bloc positions have been kept short intentionally to encourage you to learn more about your country’s respective policies. The bibliographies should also help you all in terms of locating pertinent information. I am excited to work with all of you and I hope that all of you come out of YMUN with a greater understanding and appreciation for international diplomacy through our interactions. Best of luck in your preparation for committee, Chris and Shaz Co-Chairs, SPECPOL YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |4 History of the Committee Topic: Situation in Kashmir The Special Political and Decolonization Committee (SPECPOL), originally the Special Committee on Decolonization, is the Fourth Committee of the General Assembly. It has been integral in promoting “social, economic, political and educational progress in the Territories, to assist in developing appropriate forms of self-government and to take into account the political aspirations and stages of development and advancement of each Territory.”1 One cannot underestimate the role that SPECPOL has played: since the inception of the UN, more than 80 former colonies have gained independence. SPECPOL, through its numerous resolutions and debate, has promoted the self-determination of states and decolonization efforts. Indeed, in 1960, the Declaration on the Granting of Independence to Colonial Countries and Peoples stated that “all people have a right to self-determination and proclaimed that colonialism should be brought to a speedy and unconditional end.”2 Since the partition of the sub-continent in 1947, India and Pakistan have contested the territorial rights to the Princely State of Kashmir and Jammu. Indeed, there has been tremendously rivalry between these two states, and while there have been attempts to pacify conflict through cease fires and potential plebiscites, these have ended up failing. In the wake of a potential nuclear arms race and a looming civil conflict within Pakistan, SPECPOL needs to find some way of resolving the situation in Kashmir in order to prevent further conflict. History of the Problem The concept of creating two separate states out of the Indian subcontinent to account for religious differences was first conceived by Chaudhuri Rahmat Ali in 1933; Pakistan would consist of the northwestern provinces of India which predominantly consisted of Muslims and the Princely State of Kashmir and Jammu. Pakistan is in fact an acronym: “P for Punjab, A for the Afghanis of the north-west frontier, K for Kashmir, S for Sind and Tan denoting Baluchistan. The word also means land of the pure in Urdu.”3 1 http://www.un.org/Depts/dpi/decolonization/history.h tm 2 ibid 3 http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in_depth/south _asia/2002/india_pakistan/timeline/1947.stm YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |5 In 1947, when Great Britain finally agreed to the partition of India, over 560 princely states had the option of joining Pakistan or India, or becoming Independent States as long as the decision considered the state's geographical position and the religion of their inhabitants. Kashmir was predominantly populated by Muslims; the 1947 consensus revealed that Kashmir "was 77 per cent Muslim. Hence, it was anticipated that the Maharaja would accede to Pakistan, when the British paramountcy ended on 14-15 August. When he hesitated to do this, Pakistan launched a guerilla onslaught meant to frighten its ruler into submission. Instead the Maharaja appealed to Mountbatten for assistance, and the Governor-General agreed on the condition that the ruler accede to India.”4 The Instrument of Accession was signed on October 26, 1947 by Maharaja Singh and it effectively aligned Kashmir with India. Upon this agreement, Indian soldiers entered Kashmir and occupied a small territory, driving all Pakistani troops out of the area. It is important to note that the Accession agreement emphasized the importance of considering the political and religious views of the inhabitants of Kashmir and that before the accession became official, this would need to be verified by popular referendum. The United Nations Security Council passed Resolution 38 which “called upon both the Governments of India and Pakistan to take immediately all measures within their power (including public appeals to their people) calculated to improve the situation, and to refrain from making any statements and from doing or causing to be done or permitting any acts which might aggravate the situation.”5 The President of the Security Council proposed mediating immediate dialogue between both heads of state. In Resolution 39, passed on January 20, 1948, the Security Council proposed the creation of a commission of three representatives, one selected by India, one by Pakistan, and the third member a common person chosen by the two governments. This commission would engage the two countries to find common ground, investigate the conflict, and implement future resolutions passed by the Security Council. Resolution 47 passed in April 1948 “noted with satisfaction that both India and Pakistan desire that the question of the accession of Jammu and Kashmir to India or Pakistan should be decided through the democratic method of a free and impartial plebiscite.”6 In calling for a plebiscite to be held so that Kashmir was aligned with the political orientation of its inhabitants, the resolution called for the withdrawal of Pakistani nationals “not normally resident therein who have entered the State for the purpose of fighting and to prevent any intrusion into the State of such elements and any furnishing of 5 http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/N R0/047/63/IMG/NR004763.pdf?OpenElement 6 4 Stein, Burton. 1998. A History of India. Oxford University Press. Page 368. http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/N R0/047/72/IMG/NR004772.pdf?OpenElement YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |6 material aid to those fighting in the state.”7 India was called upon to reduce its military presence in the area to a minimum and follow certain provisions in order to allow for a peaceful plebiscite to occur. In addition, citizens who had been forced to leave their homes due to violence in the area would be invited back to vote in the plebiscite. In essence, Resolution 47 set the guidelines for a plebiscite that was supposed to be supervised by the UN. The first ever Indo-Pakistani War would escalate in May 1948, “when the regular Pakistani army was called upon to protect Pakistan's borders. Fighting continued throughout the year between Pakistani irregular troops and the Indian army.”8 Nehru used this fighting as an excuse to not have a plebiscite: Pakistani presence in Kashmir violated the terms of the UN Security Council Resolution and therefore there could not be such a vote. On January 1, 1949, the UN finally brokered a deal between the two countries and a cease-fire line was drawn where the fighting had stopped. The resolution passed included the presence of a peacekeeping force in the area (United Nations Military Observer Group in India and Pakistan). However, a referendum never happened. “In 1954 Jammu and Kashmir's accession to India was ratified by the state's constituent assembly and in 1957 it approved its own constitution. To the west of the ceasefire line, Pakistan controls roughly one third of the state. A small region, which the Pakistanis call Azad (Free) Jammu and Kashmir, and the Indians call Pakistani-occupied Kashmir, is semiautonomous. The larger area, which includes the former kingdoms of Hunza and Nagar, 7 ibid called the northern areas, is directly administered by Pakistan.”9 The second Indo-Pakistani war saw Pakistan launch an attack across the cease-fire line and India responding by invading Lahore. The UN established another cease-fire and through the Tashkent agreements, both countries stressed the importance of having a peaceful solution to the dispute. Tensions would escalate again in 1971 when India assisted Bangladesh or East Pakistan in its secession from Pakistan, which was plagued by civil war. Again, the UN Security Council intervened and passed Resolution 307 calling for another cease fire in the province. Throughout the late 1980s and 1990s, a military Islamic movement began in Kashmir. “In 1989 armed resistance to Indian rule began in the Kashmir valley. Muslim political parties complained that the 1987 elections to the state's legislative assembly were rigged against them, and they formed militant wings.”10 India claimed that these groups were sponsored (supplied and trained) by Pakistan and demanded that it stop sponsoring cross-border terrorism. That being said, regardless of whether or not Pakistan was to blame for this growing movement, Kashmir has yet to conduct a legally binding plebiscite to take into account the views of its inhabitants. 9 ibid 8 10 http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in_depth/south _asia/2002/india_pakistan/timeline/1947_48.stm http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in_depth/south _asia/2002/india_pakistan/timeline/1989.stm YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |7 Current Situation Nuclear Arms Race Although both India and Pakistan made an agreement in 1988 that they would not attack each other’s nuclear facilities, there is reason to believe otherwise as the arms race between the two countries has escalated. In May 1998, India conducted underground nuclear tests in Rajasthan, which Pakistan responded to by conducting six tests in Baluchistan. Additionally, Pakistan tested the Ghauri missile, its longest range missile which could strike targets 932 miles away. While many states placed sanctions on these countries for these tests, these have since been lifted. Both countries still have significant nuclear capacities and neither is partisan to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, which means that there is no international verification of these systems by the International Atomic Energy Agency. The use of nuclear weapons by either of these states could have a disastrous impact on the Southeast Asian region. Cease-Fire Cease-fire agreements have consistently been violated by both Pakistan and India. In 1999, Pakistani troops were caught in the mountain region of the Indian-administrated portion of Kashmir and were met with air strikes from India. “At the height of the conflict, thousands of shells were fired daily, and India launched hundreds of air strikes. The Red Cross reported that at least 30,000 people had been forced to flee their homes on the Pakistani side of the Line of Control. Correspondents reported that about 20,000 people became refugees on the Indian side.”11 Pakistan was told to withdraw its 11 http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in_depth/south _asia/2002/india_pakistan/timeline/1999.stm troops from the Indian administered territory. While a new cease-fire was agreed upon, this event, along with previous violations, demonstrates that neither party consistently follows through with these agreements. There have been recent terrorist attacks as of 2001 on the Kashmiri Assembly as well. Respect for self-determination To date, Security Council Resolution 47 has not been upheld, which is of deep concern to the international community. SPECPOL stresses the importance of self-determination for people of decolonized territories. While Pakistan strongly supports a plebiscite in order to garner the opinion of the inhabitants (which are predominantly Muslim), India asserts that the Instrument of Accession legally makes Kashmir part of India. There have been several disagreements between the two as to whether or not Indian troops were in Kashmir before or after the Instrument of Accession was signed by the Maharaja. That being said, the Security Council had intended for a plebiscite to occur shortly after it passed its resolution in 1948 and this should be respected. Pakistan and India view Kashmir as important to nationalist sentiment—Pakistan for Muslim Unity, and India for the secularist movement. Situation in Pakistan While the international community initially condemned General Pervez Musharraf’s military coup in Pakistan in October 1999 when he deposed elected Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, it has become more receptive to this regime due to the role it has YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |8 played in the post 9/11 World. Musharaff’s support in the War on Terror has been crucial in furthering the United States’ efforts to eliminate terrorist networks. While Musharraf was re-elected in October of 2007, this victory has been widely contested by the Pakistani Supreme Court due to the fact that he was President and in command of the armed forces at the same time. In response he declared the country in a state of emergency in order to assume power. While it seems that he will resign as head of the Pakistani army in order to quell any challenges to his presidency, the political climate in Pakistan is still very unstable. Despite this turmoil, the international community is also in a weak position to intervene given Musharraf’s role in the War on Terror. The international community must be very careful if it was to place sanctions or go against the actions of the current regime as it could undo much of the progress made against terrorism, and could lead to a potential backlash in the Middle East. Bloc Positions Americas The United States should act cautiously given its cordial ties to both India and Pakistan. Nonetheless, it has a very unique relationship with Pakistan due to the War on Terror and the USA should consider supporting efforts that aim to have a plebiscite within Kashmir to determine whether the territory goes to India, Pakistan, or becomes independent. Most of the North and South American countries do not have a vested interest in this topic but would favor a plebiscite nonetheless. Europe Europe is very aware of the potential danger of nuclear proliferation by these two states and should push for agreements to be made that ensure that neither India nor Pakistan attacks each other with nuclear weapons. Europe should push for greater cooperation between the two and the rest of the international community with regard to their nuclear programs especially given the presence of UN Peacekeepers along the Cease Fire Line in Kashmir. Many European countries might also favor a plebiscite The United Kingdom should be in line with European Policy but it should be cautious on the issue of the plebiscite since it supported the initial Instrument of Accession, although it does support plans that would stabilize the area. Asia and Oceania Most Asian countries should be worried about the destabilizing effect that the current situation between India and Pakistan is bringing to the area. These countries should favor solutions that address the nuclear arms race between the two. Some countries might even consider the impact of instability within Pakistan on neighboring areas if the situation escalates beyond what it currently is. That being said, there would need to be sufficient proof that political instability in Pakistan would affect neighboring areas (otherwise it would merely be a matter that could only be dealt with by Pakistan given territorial sovereignty). Africa African Countries would support a plebiscite and/or be in favor of ways that address the aspirations of self-determination for the Kashmiri people. YMUN XXXIV: SPECPOL Topic Paper B |9 Bibliography Haider, Masood. Kashmir Dispute: Islamabad demands Proactive UN Role. Accessed online at: http://www.globalpolicy.org/security/issues/ind-pak/001020.htm Stein, Burton. A History of India. Oxford University Press, England: 1998, pp 368. India and Pakistan. Accessed online at: http://www.globalpolicy.org/security/issues/indindx.htm India-Pakistan: Troubled Relations. Accessed online at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in_depth/south_asia/2002/india_pakistan/timeline/default.stm UN Security Council Resolution 38. Accessed online at: http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/047/63/IMG/NR004763.pdf?OpenElement UN Security Council Resolution 47. Accessed online at: http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/047/72/IMG/NR004772.pdf?OpenElement