Author(s) Nationalistic Attitudes and Perceived Threat Determine Romaphobia among Bulgarian and Romanian Youth Radosveta Dimitrova1 Carmen Buzea2 Vanja Ljujic3 Venzislav Jordanov4 Abstract This study explores relations among nationalism, ethnic identity, perceived threat and attitudes towards the Roma among 178 Bulgarian and 211 Romanian adolescents (age: M = 16.96, SD = .75). Results indicated that Bulgarian youth revealed stronger nationalism, ethnic identity, perceived threat and negative attitudes toward Roma than their Romanian peers. A path model showed that perceived threat was a positive predictor of Romaphobia for both groups. Furthermore, we observed that Romaphobia was strongly related to adolescents’ nationalism and this relationship was mediated by perceived economic, symbolic and physical threat. Findings are discussed in terms of difference in salience and similarity of relations between nationalism and romaphobic attitudes for youth in two neighbor countries with a similar post-communist history. Keywords: Romaphobia, nationalism, perceived threat, ethnic identity, Bulgarian and Romanian youth Introduction Attitudes toward Roma, the Europe’s largest ethnic minority are one of the greatest issues of the day. There is much interest in understanding intergroup relationships involving Roma population in line with the current European Union priorities and the Framework for National Roma Integration Strategies (European Commission, 2011). However, there is still a dearth of research examining the relationship between national in-group and out-group attitudes related to Roma and specifically across ethnically diverse samples. Only one study we are aware of has studied the influence of nationalism and perceived threat on Romaphobia in Serbian adolescents as a way of identifying 1 Stockholm University, Frescati Hagväg 14, SE-106 91, Stockholm, Sweden, radosveta.dimitrova@psychology.su.se 2 Transilvania University of Brasov, Eroilor Bvd. 29, 500036, Brasov, Romania, carmen.buzea@unitbv.ro 3 University of World and National Economy, 1700 Studentski grad, Sofia, Bulgaria venzislavjordanov@gmail.com 4 Dutch Council for Refugees, Surinameplein 122, 1058 GV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands v.ljujic@gmail.com 1 2 Romaphobia in Bulgaria and Romania antecedents and predictors in negative attitudes toward Roma (Ljujic, Vedder, & Dekker, 2012). Therefore, we set out to a) extend research on the relationship between nationalism and perceived threat in new samples of Bulgarian and Romanian youth and b) assess how nationalism, ethnic identity, and perceived threat are associated with Romaphobia among these youth. We were particularly interested in the context of Bulgaria and Romania, as these countries host the biggest Roma populations in Europe and interethnic relations between Roma and the mainstreamers are of great importance. Bulgaria and Romania are unique contexts to study Romaphobia and its relation to nationalism, ethnic identity and threat (Dimitrova, Buzea, Ljujic, & Jordanov, 2013). Both countries have faced a difficult economic and political transition to a free market economy, which created a favorable context for the rise of strong nationalism and national identity (Volgyi, 2007). Also, both countries have recorded ethnic tensions in the relationship with their Roma minority populations which favored interethnic hostilities and national in-group attitudes (Dimitrov, 2000; Mihailescu, 2005). The paper is structured as follows: first, the theoretical background of the study is presented including the threat theory and the key concepts (nationalism, ethnic identity, Romaphobia); second, the national context regarding the Roma minority in the two countries under study is introduced; third, the methodology of the study is presented, followed by results, discussion, practical implications, limitations of findings and directions for further research. Threat Theory of Prejudice The idea that perceived threat constitutes a key for negative prejudice finds its roots in realistic group conflict theory (Sherif, 1966), and symbolic racism theory (Kinder & Sears, 1981). Both theories emphasize conflict among social groups resulting from a scarcity of economic or cultural resources. Stephan and Stephan (1996; 2000) united the above theoretical frameworks into an integrated threat theory by proposing different types of threats that cause intergroup conflict. An important consideration regards whether the threat involves realistic (tangible) or symbolic (intangible) harm to the in-group. Realistic threats include economic threats, threats to political power, and threats of physical harm. Symbolic threats concern threats to the in-group’s identity, values and beliefs (Kinder & Sears, 1981; McConahay, 1982). The integrated threat theory proposes that the social and psychological mechanisms underlying negative feelings towards out-groups involve both types of perceived threat and their antecedents (e.g. in-group attitudes) (Riek, Mania, & Gaertner, 2006, for a meta-analysis). However, distinctions between types of threat are important because they may lead to different consequences. For instance, symbolic threats are more likely to elicit emotions related to moral evaluation of the out-group (e.g., contempt and disgust), whereas realistic threats tend to cause feelings of insecurity and frustration. In addition, overall perceptions of threat Author(s) 3 prone negative emotional responses and reduce emotional empathy for members of the out-group (Stephan & Stephan, 2000). These consequences, combined with a lack of empathy for the other group, can portray relevant interethnic conflicts, especially for an extremely marginalized minority such as the Roma in Bulgaria and Romania. Drawing on the integrated threat theory, this study refers to the threat hypothesis (according to which perception of threat leads to negative attitudes toward out-groups) by introducing nationalism and ethnic identity as antecedents of Romaphobia. Towards this end, we present theory and research on nationalism and ethnic identity followed by the study context, including the history of ethnic relations between Roma minority and majority population in Bulgaria and Romania. Nationalism and Ethnic Identity Nationalism has been operationalized as an ideology, a movement, a process of nation-state building, and an individual’s political orientation (Dekker, Malova & Hoogendoorn, 2003). In the current paper, the notion of nationalism is viewed as an individual’s attitude reflecting the affection and feeling of favorableness toward national in-group and the national state (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1980). The model proposed by Dekker, Malova and Hoogendoorn (2003) defines the attitude of nationalism as a wish to keep the nation as pure as possible, being first a result of common history and consanguinity. Research findings show that nationalism is closely related with historical experiences (Calhoun, 1997; Smith, 1995) involving the right to territorial selfdetermination (Brown, 2000). In countries with various ethnic groups, work based on the threat theory (Sears & Jessor, 1996) found that minority groups are perceived as threatening by mainstreamers, favoring hostile sentiments (Stephan & Stephan, 2000). Scholars also showed that negative attitudes toward ethnic minorities are associated with a strong attitude of nationalism, although the inverse relation is also viable (Kleinpenning & Hagendoorn, 1993). Other factors affecting the strengths and levels of nationalism relate to concern about political, economic, social, and/or cultural future. Most importantly, in the context of our study, research based on the integrated threat theory has shown that the experience of threat leads to a higher prevalence of nationalist attitudes among youth in postcommunist regions of Germany, Poland, and the Czech Republic (Boehnke, Kindervater, Baier, & Rippl, 2007). Closely related to national in-group attitudes is the concept of ethnic identity. A central issue for adolescents, ethnic identity has been defined as a process of maintaining positive distinctiveness, and feelings associated with a sense of ethnic group belonging (Phinney & Ong, 2007). Research indicates that ethnic identity also includes a strong desire to distinguish between the group and outgroups. In order to achieve a positive in-group identity, people’s intergroup comparison often has negative, even derogatory implications for out-groups, i.e. 4 Romaphobia in Bulgaria and Romania ethnocentrism (Weiss, 2003). However, it is not clear how the relations between ethnic identity and nationalism may influence perceived threat and in turn relate to feelings toward the Roma in Bulgarian and Romanian youth, a question this study was set out to address. In so doing, we test a model on the relationship between Romaphobia, nationalism and ethnic identity and how this relationship is mediated by perceived threat. We base our model on prior research on Romaphobia testing these relations among Serbian and Dutch youth (Ljujic et al., 2012a, 2012b). Romaphobia A closer look at social, cultural and psychological antecedents of anti-Roma attitudes has immense practical importance. The Roma history in Europe has heavily been burdened by rejection, exclusion, and persecution (Crowe, 2008) and therefore, Romaphobia remains a common denominator of limited life opportunities and discrimination against the Roma (Ljujic et al., 2012). This phenomenon in many countries of the European Union triggered interest for Roma among both scientists and policy makers. Such interest resulted in several studies that demonstrate poor life circumstances, limited access to health care, low education and high unemployment rates of Roma in South-Eastern Europe, but also rejection, stigmatization, even incidents of ethnic profiling and deportations from the receiving Western countries (Mikloš, Smederevac, & Tovilović, 2009; Milcher, 2009; Petrova, 2003; Phillips, 2010; Prieto-Flores, 2009). Furthermore, stereotypical evaluations of Roma reflect both evident discrepancy in status (i.e., poverty) and unfavorable perception of Roma culture in terms of downward contrastive comparisons (Ljujic, Vedder, Dekker, & Geel, 2012). Perceived differences in status trigger perception of economic threat, which reflects the fear to share resources with Roma, whereas perceived differences in values trigger a threat to the majority culture. Research also shows that perceived threat is not necessarily dependent on actual competition for scarce resources (such as employment and housing), which is typically related to minority proportion and contact opportunities (Burjanek, 2001; Nordberg, 2004; Sigona, 2005). A recent study among Dutch adolescents shows that the majority group members perceive Roma as a threatening out-group even in the circumstances where actual contact with Roma is minimal or virtually impossible (Ljujic et al., 2012a). Reluctance to share scarce resources with Roma, and intolerance towards the Roma culture reflect an unsupportive social context for intercultural relationships (Phillips, 2010). The current socio-economic and ideological climate in Europe is not favorable for Roma (Prieto-Flores, 2009). In particular, growing nationalism has been an important source of mistrust, perceived threat and negative evaluation of Roma minority regardless of whether they represent a historic minority (like in Eastern Europe) or a recent immigrant group (like in the Netherlands) (Ljujic et al., 2012a; Ljujic et al., 2012b). Author(s) 5 The Roma in Bulgaria and Romania Exact demographic information about Roma is unavailable, primarily because of their unclear residence status (e.g., refugees) and ethnic mimicry (the refusal to disclose ethnic identity out of fear of discrimination). Research indicates that many Roma engage in ethnic mimicry in order to secure access to equal opportunities at the job market and avoid negative stigmatization and prejudice (Prieto-Flores, 2009). The total number of Roma in Bulgaria is estimated between 325,343 and 800,000 people out of the nearly 7 million national population (National Statistics Institute, 2011). According to Romanian Census (2011), Roma people number 619,000, while informal estimates suggests that this number is almost 2,5 million (Open Society Foundation, 2007). Similar to other Eastern European post-communist societies, both Bulgaria and Romania have endured deep political and economic instability along the transition from communist to capitalist based economy (Fishkin, 2007). However, Bulgaria presents lower economic development than Romania having a higher unemployment rates, whereas in Romania there is much more positive growth due to a strong export performance and a higher GDP (The World Fact Book, 2011). Already poor, the Roma population has been affected by further impoverishment. In fact, over the past decade, the Roma in Bulgaria and Romania have been leaving their homes in search for better life in the Western Europe (Matras, 2000). Poverty and social rejection have been found to represent main reasons for massive Roma migrations (Sigona & Trehan, 2009). In both Bulgaria and Romania, the Roma constitute the largest ethnic minority group next to the Turkish-Bulgarians and the Hungarian-Romanians, respectively. As a consequence of being such a prominent minority group, Bulgarian and Romanian Roma are typically associated with unwanted distribution of social benefits and economic threat. Poor education is considered the major cause of massive unemployment for Roma, which is estimated at 48,6% in Romania and 58,7% in Bulgaria (Soros Foundation, 2011). Being a poverty profile group, the Roma are also more susceptible to health problems stemming from overcrowding, lack of sanitation and poor housing conditions (Fishkin, 2007). Although in the last decade, both the Romanian and Bulgarian governments have launched programs to improve the life circumstances of Roma, especially in the areas of education and health care (Filipescu, 2009; Russinov, 2001), still, a quarter of Romanian Roma and 12% of Bulgarian Roma remain illiterate due to the low level of school participation (Sigona & Trehan, 2009). In addition to these adverse conditions, Roma are frequently subjected to hate speech or violent attacks by rightwing groups (Wolfe-Murray, 2010). Recent mass expulsions of Bulgarian and Romanian Roma from some Western European countries add to their negative social status, therefore making them a convenient and easily identifiable scapegoat to blame for social problems in their home countries (Brearley, 2001; Nacu, 2012). 6 Romaphobia in Bulgaria and Romania The Current Study This study builds on the integrated threat theory (Stephan & Stephan, 1996) which considers perceived threat as the main predictor of negative attitude. We focus on perceived economic (intergroup competition for scarce resources), symbolic (morals, norms, and values) and physical threat (physical harm) toward the Roma. We also examine the relationships between nationalism, ethnic identity, and threat in affecting feelings towards Roma in Bulgaria and Romania. We focus on adolescents because of the important implications that social context and interethnic relations have in this age group (Masseria, Mladovsky, & HernándezQuevedo, 2010; Woodcock, 2007). Feelings of negative attitudes toward Roma among youth may lead to increase of discrimination and hostile interethnic relationships in the school years and develop further to young adulthood. In general, an unfavorable context (e.g., economic crisis, uncertainty about future, limited opportunities) has negative influence on adolescents (Berry et al., 2006). In addition, most of violent attacks against Roma youngsters are committed by their peers, i.e., national youth (United Nations Committee on the Rights of the Child, 2008). First, we analyze differences in nationalism, ethnic identity, threat, and Romaphobia between Bulgarian and Romanian youth. Second, we test a conceptual model examining whether and to what extent Romaphobia is affected by the relationship among nationalism, identity, and threat, and whether these relationships are comparable between Bulgarian and Romanian youth. The hypotheses are: 1) Following the national attitude model (Dekker et al., 2003) and generally lower socioeconomic development in Bulgaria, we anticipate stronger national attitudes, ethnic identity, threat and Romaphobia in Bulgarian than Romanian participants (Hypothesis 1). This approach has been based on previous findings on economic nationalism which place the socioeconomic development as a core factor determining national attitudes (Nakano, 2004) in the direction of a stronger nationalism in countries with scarce resources (Karolewski & Suszycki, 2011). 2) In line with previous research (Ljujic et al., 2012a,b), we expect that in both Bulgarian and Romanian samples, nationalism and ethnic identity will predict Romaphobia and that such a relation will be mediated by perceived economic, symbolic, and physical threat. More specifically, we expect that perceived threat mediates the relationship between nationalism and Romaphobia. However, given recent economic transition and instability in both countries, we expect economic threat to be a stronger predictor in both samples. Method Participants. The sample consisted of 178 Bulgarian and 211 Romanian adolescents (of which 45.2% Bulgarians and 33.6 % Romanians were female). A mean age of the whole sample was 16.96 years (SD = .75). Both samples consisted of mainstream group members (i.e., ethnic Bulgarians and ethnic Romanians) only. Author(s) 7 The mean age of the Bulgarian sample was 16.87 (SD = .72), and for the Romanian sample 17.04 (SD = .76). Fifteen percent of the Bulgarian students’ fathers and 11 % percent of the mothers had a university degree. In the Romanian sample, 34 % of students’ fathers and 32% of the mothers had a university degree. Thirty-three percent of the Bulgarian students’ fathers and 36 % percent of the mothers had a post academic degree such as Master or PhD. In the Romanian sample, 22 % of students’ fathers and 10% of the mothers had a post academic degree. Preliminary analyses revealed gender differences with more boys in the Romanian compared to the Bulgaria group, χ²(1, N = 388) = 5.40, p < .05. Groups also differed with respect to age, with Romanian being on average one year older than Bulgarian youth, F(1, 388) = 5.11, p < .05. Procedure Bulgarian data were collected in the capital Sofia, which has 1,291,591 inhabitants of whom approximately 18,000 Roma (National Statistics Institute, 2011). Roma communities are concentrated in suburban area in a neighborhood named Fakulteta. Roma in Sofia live in their own neighborhoods, also as a result of resettlement policy during the communist regime which has assigned housing in new apartment complexes for Roma. Roma in Sofia experience severe marginalization, lower educational and socioeconomic levels compared to the mainstream population (Russinov, 2001). Romanian data were collected in Brasov, a city with 227,961 inhabitants, of which 7,77% are Hungarian-Romanian and 3,55% are Roma (National Institute of Statistics, 2011). In the neighborhood of Brasov more than 10,000 Roma live in a community named Gîrcin, where the extreme poverty remains highly visible (Buzea & Buzea, 2009). The Roma from Gîrcin livein houses without electricity or running water and about 35 % rely on social aid as main source of income. Their families are characterized by high birth rates, with an average number of children from six to seven. The dropout rate is 85% at secondary school levels (Buzea & Buzea, 2009). Participants for this study were sampled from a total of five public high schools, three in Sofia (Bulgaria) and two in Brasov (Romania). Participants were recruited in classrooms with the consent of the school management staff who was previously informed about the aim of the study and the methodology. In each class, additional verbal instructions have been given and questions have been answered whenever necessary. Students were assured that participation was entirely voluntary and confidential and that they could discontinue their participation at any time. Measures Identical scales were used for the Bulgarian and Romanian samples. The scales were adapted using a translate–back translate protocol from English to 8 Romaphobia in Bulgaria and Romania Bulgarian and Romanian. The first part of the questionnaire contained demographic questions of age, ethnicity, gender, and education of the parents. Romaphobia was measured with a four-item scale, based on a measure developed by Stephan and colleagues (1999, 2000). Participants were asked to indicate to what extent the words empathy, warmth, sympathy, and approval (all reverse-scored), reflected their feelings towards the Roma. Responses ranged from 1 (totally disagree) to 5 (totally agree). Cronbach’s alpha for the Bulgarian sample was α = .85 (Bulgarian) and α = .75 (Romanian). Perceived threat. Three threat scales were used based on instruments applied in previous work on perceived out-group threat (Stephan et al., 2002). The items of both scales were scored on a five-point scale ranging from 1 (totally disagree) to 5 (totally agree). Economic threat was measured with a four-item scale (sample item: “Too much money is spent on Roma educational programs”). Cronbach’s alpha for the Bulgarian sample was .87 and .90 for the Romanian. Symbolic threat was measured with a six-item scale (sample item: “Roma do not understand the way non-Roma view the world”). Cronbach’s alpha for the Bulgarian sample was .88 and .84 for the Romanian. Physical threat was measured with a five-item scale (sample item: “Roma contribute to the increase of the crime”, “I am afraid when I see a large group of Roma”). Cronbach’s alpha for both samples was .80. Nationalism was measured with a fifteen-item scale extracted from a scale developed by Dekker and colleagues (2003). Items composing the scale tapmain attitudes of national feeling and sense of belonging to a particular nation (“I prefer being a Bulgarian/Romanian citizen more than any other citizenship in the world”, “Bulgaria/Romania is the best country in which to live”). Cronbach’s alpha was α = .88 (Bulgarian) and α = .92 (Romanian). Ethnic Identity was measured with an eight-item scale adapted from Dekker et al.’s scale (2003)reflecting a sense of belonging to own ethnic group and culture. Sample items were: “I am proud to be a member of my ethnic group (e.g., Bulgarian/Romanian)”; “I am proud to be a citizen of this country” and “I am happy to be part of my ethnic culture”. Responses are given on five-point Likert scale ranged from 1 (totally disagree) to 5 (totally agree). Cronbach’s alpha were α = .82 (Bulgarian) and α = .87 (Romanian). Results Descriptive statistics computed for both groups are presented in Table 1. We then examined group differences in nationalism, identity, threat and Romaphobia (Hypotheses 1), between Bulgarian and Romanian groups, using multivariate analyses of covariance (MANCOVA). Lastly, we tested our conceptual model on the influence of nationalism, identity, and threat on Romaphobia (Hypothesis 2) using a multigroup path analysis (Arbuckle, 2009). Fit indices used to analyze the model fit were the χ² test, the root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA; recommended value ≤ .08), and the comparative fit index Author(s) 9 (CFI; recommended value ≥.90) (Browne & Cudeck, 1993; Marsh, Hau, & Grayson, 2005). Table 1. Description of Samples Bulgarian (n = 178) Romanian (n = 211) Variable Age, M (SD) Gender, n (%) Boys Girls Romaphobia Perceived Threat Economic Symbolic Physical Ethnic identity Nationalism Group comparisons F value η2 16.87 (.72) 17.04 (.76) F(1, 388) = 5.11** 54.8 45.2 2.99 (1.02) 66.4 33.6 2.68 (.83) χ²(1, N = 388) = 5.40** F(1, 377) = 13.93*** .036 3.23 (.88) 3.55 (.91) 3.99 (.91) 4.09 (.79) 3.40 (.86) 2.83 (.91) 3.19 (.74) 3.51 (.91) 3.84 (.77) 3.15 (.24) F(1, 377) = 20.95*** F(1, 377) = 19.25*** F(1, 377) = 29.85*** F(1, 377) = 9.22*** F(1, 377) = 8.51** .053 .049 .074 .024 .022 ** p < .01; *** p < .001. Group Comparisons We conducted a MANCOVA with group (2 levels) as independent variable, nationalism, ethnic identity, perceived threat (economic, symbolic and physical), and Romaphobia as dependent variables and, age, gender as covariates. The multivariate test was significant, Wilks’ lambda = .89, F(1, 377) = 7.35, p < .001, (partial) 2 = .107. The analyses revealed a significant group effect for each dependent variable. In line with expectations, Bulgarian compared to Romanian youth reported higher scores on nationalism, (F(1, 377) = 8.51, p < .001, η2 = .022), ethnic identity (F(1, 377) = 9.22, p < .001, η2 = .024), economic threat (F(1, 377) = 20.95, p < .001, η2 = .053), symbolic threat (F(1, 377) = 19.25, p < .001, η2 = .049), physical threat (F(1, 377) = 29.85, p < .001, η2 = .074), and Romaphobia, F(1, 377) = 13.93, p < .001, η2 = .036 (Table 1). Association of Nationalism, Identity, Threat, and Romaphobia For our second hypothesis, we tested a path model using AMOS (Arbuckle, 2009). Multigroup analyses testing direct relations among nationalism, identity, threat and their influence on Romaphobia were computed. The structural residuals model showed a good fit, χ²(24, N = 389) = 46.20, p = .004, RMSEA = .049 and CFI = .957. However, the modification indices suggested adding a path between ethnic identity and symbolic threat. We rerun the model by adding direct relations between those variables, which significantly improved the model fit. The structural residuals model showed an adequate fit (χ²(23, N = 389) = 39.17, p = .019, RMSEA 10 Romaphobia in Bulgaria and Romania = .043 and CFI = .969), therefore we opted for this model as the most restrictive one with a good fit (Table 2). The parameters of nationalism, threat, and their influence on Romaphobia within both groups were statistically significant (Figure 2). There was a significant relationship between nationalism and perceived threat. It is also of interest that the relationship between nationalism and Romaphobia was significantly mediated by perceived threat. As predicted, perceived threat and specifically economic threat were the most significant predictors of Romaphobia. Ethnic identity was significantly related to symbolic threat, whereas no such relation emerged for overall perceived threat. In both groups, there was also a significant positive relation between ethnic identity and nationalism. Table 2. Fit Indices of Nationalism, Ethnic Identity Perceived Threat, and Romaphobia Path Model for Bulgarian and Romanian Groups Model Configural invariance Measurement weights Structural weights Structural covariances Structural residuals χ² (df) 25.78 (12) 28.38 (15) 36.35 (19) 38.50 (22) 39.17 (23) ∆χ² (∆df) 2.6 (3) 7.97 (4) 2.15 (3) 0.67 (1) AGFI RMSEA CFI ∆CFI .924 .935 .935 .940 .942 .974 .974 .967 .968 .969 -.007 .001 .001 .001 .054 .048 .049 .044 .043 Note. Selected model with a good fit is printed in italics. Discussion The study aimed to examine Romaphobia and its relation to nationalism, ethnic identity and perceived threat of youth from Bulgaria and Romania, two similar countries in respect to their past communist history and geographic proximity on the Eastern European map. Our results demonstrate two major findings. First, we found that Bulgarian adolescents show more nationalism and ethnic identity, perceive more threat and are more romaphobic in comparison to their Romanian peers. Second, strong national in-group attitudes predicted Romaphobia in both countries and this relation was mediated by perception of threat. Group Comparisons National attitudes and ethnic identity differed significantly in Bulgarian and Romanian youth in the direction of a more importance of national attitudes and feelings of ethnic identity recorded for the Bulgarian participants. This result may be explained in the light of differences between history of ethnic tensions and policy of assimilation among the two countries. Thus, in Bulgaria compared to Romania, more intense interethnic conflicts and negative attitudes toward Roma and Turkish ethnic minorities have been recorded. In line with this greater tension, strong attitudes of nationalism may be expected in Bulgaria rather than Romania. (Kleinpenning & Hagendoorn, 1993). As a consequence, Bulgarian youth may be Author(s) 11 more prone than Romanian youth to emphasize their culture and national unity. In addition, the lower economic development may also be a determinant of enhanced national attitudes in Bulgarian compared to Romanian youth, which suggests that the model may be able to adequately predict national attitudes and ethnic culture identification within two different former communist countries form South Eastern Europe. Nationalism .18***/.18*** .41***/.41*** Threat .28***/.32*** Romaphobia -.00/-.00 Ethnic Identity .10***/.11*** .60***/.59*** .72***/.81*** * 2*** 83***/.80*** ** Symbolic Economic Physical Figure 1. Path Model of Nationalism, Ethnic Identity, Perceived Threat, and Romaphobia of Bulgarian and Romanian Groups Note. The parameters represent standardized coefficients. First parameter next to an arrow is the coefficient in the Bulgarian sample; the second coefficient refers to the Romanian sample. ***p < .001. In this study, Bulgarians also perceived more threat and negative feelings toward Roma than Romanian students. We could interpret this result in light of actual intergroup contact theory (Allport, 1954). Bulgarian Roma typically live in urban area, whereas the Romanian Roma inhabit predominantly rural areas. Given the fact that the data for our study were collected in the cities, it is likely that Bulgarian adolescents were exposed to more frequent and proximal contact with Roma than their Romanian peers. According to contact theory (Pettigrew & Tropp, 2006), intergroup threat may counter negative expectations about out-group under optimal contact conditions, such as equal status and goals. Both of these optimal contact conditions are apparently lacking in Bulgarian context, as demonstrated by apparent status gap and the salience of perceived economic, symbolic and physical threat. 12 Romaphobia in Bulgaria and Romania Threat and Romaphobia The results of this study support the threat theory, according to which perceived threat to material and cultural values of the dominant group lead to negative feelings towards out-groups (Stephan & Stephan, 1996). Consistent with our expectations, perception of economic, symbolic, and physical threat was strongly related to adolescents’ levels of Romaphobia. Past research suggests that perception of threat among the dominant group reflects a socio-political context in which inter-group relationships take shape (Abu-Rayya & White, 2010; Montreuil & Bourhis, 2004). In both Romania and Bulgaria, the intergroup relationships are clearly challenged by economic instability and sociopolitical conflict between ethnocentrism and Eurocentrism (Dunbar & Simonova, 2003). On one hand, unfavorable views about Roma as a foundation of immoral customs and survival strategies may elicit unfavorable evaluations of Roma in terms of contempt and pity, i.e., downward contrastive comparisons (Cuddy, Fiske, & Glick, 2008; Fiske Cuddy, Glick, & Xu, 2002). On the other, a perceived discrepancy in status and goals may indicate both socioeconomic and emotional distance from Roma (Ljujic, 2012). In both Bulgaria and Romania, the salience of economic, symbolic, and physical threat may certainly be attributed to the circumstances of economic crises, but also to the apparent status differences between the Roma and majority population (Spirova & Stefanova, 2009). Our findings also indicate that a strong identification with one’s national group may lead to prejudices in case this nationalistic attitude is threatened by other groups. At a more general level, these findings correspond to earlier studies showing strong relationships between nationalism and prejudice which not only expresses a personal wish for ethno-cultural uniformity, but also entails unfavorable evaluations of subordinate out-groups (Li & Brewer, 2004; Woodock, 2007). The salience of threat among both Bulgarian and Romanian youth may be attributed to ethnocentric conception of in-group culture (Mummendey, Klink, & Brown, 2001). Nationalists derive their self-concept from the national group to which they belong; hence a perceived threat to one’s heritage culture and economic welfare may become the basis for negative prejudice, including Romaphobia. We also observed a significant positive relation between symbolic threat and ethnic identity. This finding points to the fact that for both Bulgarian and Romanian youth, the perception of threat to their in-group identity, values and beliefs, is related to their feelings of ethnic group belonging. They also show that when ethnic group membership is highly salient, ethnic identity is likely to play a key role in the way individuals view themselves and perceive members of the outgroup. A feeling of belonging and a secure, confident sense of their ethnic group membership appear to influence the way Bulgarian and Romanian youth perceive threats on their values and beliefs about Roma minority. Author(s) 13 Limitations and Future Research Our findings provide the first comparative perspective on antecedents and mediating factors of Romaphobia in Bulgarian and Romanian youth, given that issues related to Roma are of great concern and debate across all Europe. However, there are a number of limitations that need to be addressed. First, the results have to be verified using mixed methods on more representative samples including larger minority groups in Bulgarian and Romanian contexts. Our study was concerned with two mainstream samples, thereby limiting our ability to generalize any observed effects to other groups in these countries. A replication of the study should also involve mainstream samples where Roma live in more intense contact with the mainstreamers particularly in provincial areas in Bulgaria and Romania. Additional replication in minority groups in Bulgaria (Turkish-Bulgarian) and in Romania (Hungarian-Romanian) will increase our confidence in the current findings. Future studies should also include Roma samples to tackle their perception of threat and negative attitudes toward their community by members of the mainstream society. It would be desirable to examine more closely the Roma student’s experiences of belonging to a negatively stereotyped ethnic group. Perceptions of enduring or recurring experience of stereotype threat among Roma might have a negative impact on their self-concepts and well-being. The meaning and impact of threat and negative attitudes as perceived by Roma themselves and how these attitudes affect social integration and well-being of Roma remains to be addressed in future research (Dimitrova, Chasiotis, Bender & van de Vijver, 2014). Finally, an intriguing question remains regarding the relationship between perceived threat and Romaphobia. The findings presented here build on adolescents’ perspectives on this relationship. However, socialization processes may provide an insight into transmission of negative prejudice from relevant others (e.g., parents, peers, media, and political elite) to adolescents. Future studies should include multidimensional methods, which could model the more complex, potentially interactive relationship between threat and Romaphobia. Implications and Conclusions Although many other factors contribute to negative out-group attitudes, our study clearly shows that strong nationalism and perceived threats play a prominent role for Romaphobia among Bulgarian and Romanian youth. These findings call for future interventions that can be implemented in schools to combat Romaphobia by reducing perceived threats because they are a direct cause of interethnic conflict. 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