THE IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT FUNDING ON COFFEE PRODUCTION IN UGANDA ABSTRACT Coffee is the biggest foreign exchange earner for Uganda, a position it has attained for a number of years. A study has been conducted in the sub-counties of Nabweru and Nansana in Wakiso district to assess the impact of government funding on coffee production with specific objectives, to establish the relationship between fertilizer application, provision of improved coffee seedlings, availability of extension services, access to infrastructure, and access to market information with coffee production. Primary data was collected among coffee farmers. Data was cleaned and then analyzed with the help of Statistical Package for Social Scientists (SPSS) at univariate, bivariate and multivariate level. Study findings confirmed that there was fertilizer application, modern coffee seedlings, provision of extension services and availability of good infrastructure, methods of coffee spacing, pruning, coffee picking, and drying and nursery bed preparation. Coffee farmers had access to modern seedlings and farmers had benefited through increased output seedlings that are resistant to wilt and quick maturity. In conclusion the researcher recommends involvement of all further trainings on improved coffee production as well as government supply of materials and improved coffee seeds to ensure that coffee production are boosted in Uganda. Key: Words: Foreign exchange, Infrastructure, fertilizers. 1 SECTION ONE: INTRODUCTION This study is to assess the impact of government funding on coffee production in Uganda. This chapter will present the background to the study, the statement of the problem, the general objectives, the objectives of the study, the research questions, the hypotheses, the scope of the study and the study significance. Historically, it is well documented that agricultural sector assumes a dominant role in Uganda’s economy in terms of numbers employed. More importantly, agriculture has the potential to act as a base for the improvement of the livelihoods of both rural and urban populations. In rural areas such improvement would be achieved by enhancing productivity at the primary, i.e. production level. In rural towns and urban areas agricultural products constitute the base for the creation and expansion of value adding processing industries catering to domestic and regional markets, and for packaging/marketing operations, both for domestic and export markets (Oxford Policy Management, 2002). Although most of this agriculture is engaged in at the micro subsistence level, its ability to transform this sector is greatly constrained by a myriad of factors, among them limited access to formal financing (Robinson, 2006). The bigger and medium term financial institutions view the smallholder agriculture operators as too risky and too costly to service while the smaller financial institutions the majority of them being rural based and thus in a better position to cost effectively serve the agribusinesses with their proximity lack the financial and technical capacities to do so. There have however been modest attempts made by a number of rural based financial institutions working at the micro level to finance agriculture and agribusiness, though their attempts still remain “pockets of progress”. New global forces - the economic downturn, a food crisis and climate change are driving renewed interest in ways to improve the productivity of smallholder farmers in developing and emerging economies. Small holder farms can be efficient producers on a per hectare basis, however, limited capital for investment, exposure to risks such as weather, unreliable markets and market price fluctuations as well as imperfect knowledge of sustainable approaches and technologies mean most smallholder farmers are not optimizing potential returns. 2 At the production level, financial services for agriculture can enable farmers to introduce external or purchased inputs such as: irrigation or other productivityenhancing technologies; finance input and marketing costs; co-finance extension and information services; bridge the pre-harvest income gap; prevent forced sales of produce immediately following harvest at low prices; smooth seasonal income flows through deposit facilities, facilitate access to remittances, and bank overdraft lines; and eventually to insure against price or yield fluctuations. If agribusinesses cannot access financial services, their capacity to finance and supply farmers, and to buy and process farm produce, is restricted (PMA, 2008). Coffee is one of the world's largest traded commodities with over 90% of coffee production taking place in developing countries, while consumption takes place mainly in the developed economies. Worldwide, it is estimated that over 25 million smallholder producers rely on coffee for a living. The world coffee exporting and importing countries are organized under an intergovernmental body, the International Coffee Organization (ICO). Ethiopia remains the Africa’s leading coffee producer with production totaling followed Uganda. The international coffee market net growth trend continues to reflect supply tightness that will prevail over the next several years. The global consumption as of 2010 stands at 134 million bags compared to the world supply of 131.3 million bags. The buoyant global coffee consumption growth of about 2.4% per year is mainly attributed to expanded, emerging markets and the domestic consumption campaigns and programmes by the coffee producing countries. There is also marked growth in demand for specialty coffee in niche markets especially in Europe and United States of America. Therefore, the coffee producing countries will continue to strategically position themselves in order to benefit from the growth in the market. Global stocks are also at their lowest in both exporting and importing countries. Opening stocks in producing countries for coffee year 2010/11 were estimated at 18 million bags and 18 million in importing countries as of June 2011. Dwindling stock 3 levels and a buoyant consumption growth have supported global prices in the short term. Uganda is a member of the International Coffee Organization (ICO) which is the main intergovernmental organization for coffee, bringing together exporting and importing Governments to tackle the challenges facing the world coffee sector through international cooperation. Uganda is fully committed to the ICO’s mission to strengthen the global coffee sector and promote its sustainable expansion in a market-based environment for the betterment of all participants in the coffee sector. Uganda is also a member of Inter-African Coffee Organization (IACO) which is an intergovernmental organization composed of 25 African coffee producing countries. Uganda associates herself with IACO’s objective of taking up the challenges associated with coffee of African origin through regional and international cooperation. Recalling the fact that the government of Uganda introduced the Entandikwa credit scheme in 1995 and later modified it to a new Prosperity for All programme known as “bonna baggagawale”, these schemes have channelled huge amounts of money to agriculture especially among coffee farmers. While there has been an increase in funding to the coffee production in Uganda over the last six years, growth in production is still low in comparison to the neighbouring countries. In 2008/09, the sector received UShs 223 billion, amounting to 3.8 per cent of government spending was used to boost coffee production (MoFPED, 2010). According to MAAIF and UBOS (2011), coffee exports in FY2010/11 were 2.6 million 60-kilogram bags valued at US$338 million representing a 3.7% decline in volume and value compared to a target of 2.7 million bags. Very few studies have been conducted to ascertain the impact of government funding on agriculture. To that end therefore, it is imperative to establish the effect of government funding on coffee production in Uganda. The main objective of this study was to establish the effect of government funding on coffee production in Uganda. But the entire research aimed fulfilling specific objectives 4 like; to find out the relationship between fertilizer application and growth in coffee production, to find out the relationship between improved coffee seedling provision and growth in coffee production, To find out the relationship between agriculture extension services and growth in coffee production, To determine whether availability and access to infrastructure has an effect on coffee production, To establish whether access to market information has an effect on coffee production Conceptual Framework Figure 1.0: A conceptual framework showing the impact of Government funding on coffee production in Uganda. Independent Variables Dependent Variable Individual farmer Impact of Government funding as characteristics Agriculture extension services Fertilizer application Improved coffee seedlings measured by GDP contribution of coffee provision Intervening Variables Availability and accessibility to infrastructure Government policies Tax rateson the coffee Access to market explains information This above framework the impact of government financing Climateonchanges production in Uganda with the production of coffee being dependant government funding. Price fluctuations The findings of the study will provide useful information to the concerned policy makers such as government, donors, farmers associations and all the stakeholders in the agricultural sector. The findings of the study will provide an insight to how government finance can benefit the key production sectors in the country like coffee production. 5 The study will act as a reference for future researchers and scholars who may want to use it as a secondary source thereby adding on the existing literature. Uganda as a country is one of the leading coffee exporters in Africa. Considering that Uganda as agriculture sector has been experiencing increase in the funding, we would expect a good allocation of the funds to coffee production hence need to find out whether there is an impact of government funding on the production of coffee. The study was conducted among coffee farmers, NAADS extension workers, nursery bed operators and coffee processors in Wakiso district within the selected sub-counties of Nansana and Nabweru. Nansana is located on the main high way between Kampala and Hoima approximately 12 kilometres by road, North West of Kampala city. In 2011, the Uganda Bureau of Statistics estimated the population of Nansana at 89,900 people. On the other hand, Nabweru sub-county is also found in Wakiso district and it borders with Kawempe division of Kampala city. The study covered a period of 10 years starting with 1997 when the Entandikwa Credit scheme was introduced by the Government of Uganda to support farmers up to 2007 after the inception of NAADS. The impact of Government funding as measured by GDP contribution of Coffee was the dependent variable while individual farmer characteristics, agriculture extension services, fertilizer application, improved coffee seedlings provision, availability and accessibility to infrastructure as well as access to market information were the independent variables. The study also covered coffee production reports from major statistical centres such as UBOS, UCDA and MoFPED. 6 Coffee production refers to quantity and quality of coffee produced as a result of various inputs such as fertilizer and mechanisation. Coffee seedlings provision looks at the seedlings which have been provided or recommended to farmers for usage. Agriculture extension services refer to services rendered to farmers through workshops, trainings to provide them with necessary information regarding production and modernisation of agriculture. 7 SECTION TWO: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY This chapter discusses the research designs, sampling designs, data sources, data collection instruments, sample size, data presentation and analysis methods that were used in the study. Research design adopted both qualitative and quantitative approaches when collecting and processing data to establish the impact of Government funding on coffee production in Uganda. The qualitative approach was adopted because it was the best way to bring out respondents’ opinions and perceptions on the effects of government funding on coffee production in Uganda. Further, the approach was preferred because it was suitable for answering “what, why and how” social as well as institutional phenomena occur. The quantitative approach was adopted to measure the magnitude of the various constructs and variables that were conceptualized in the study. Most importantly, quantitative studies would lead to the establishment of the effect of Government funding on coffee production in Uganda through testing the hypotheses. Also, quantitative studies would lead to the understanding of the strength of each construct in their contribution to the main independent variable and its relationship with the dependent variable. A combination of both qualitative and quantitative approaches thus served as a strong basis for drawing compelling conclusions and recommendations during the study (Sekaran, 2000). The sample size of study consisted of 60 respondents comprising of 50 coffee farmers and 10 stakeholders who include NAADS extension workers (5), nursery bed operators (3) as well as coffee processors (2). 8 The Sampling design and Sample size of the study adopted purposive sampling technique where 60 respondents were selected for the study. Purposive sampling is a technique used where the researcher chooses the sample based on who they think would be appropriate for the study. The technique was very useful in reaching a targeted sample quickly and where sampling for proportionality was not the main concern (Babbie, 2001). Stratified sampling was also used in order to have respondents of similar characteristics grouped together during the interviews. The study had a Sample size of 60 respondents was selected in Nabweru and Nansana sub-counties of Wakiso district and their number was determined using the statistical inference formula; n Z2 2 pq e2 ………………………………………............................... (1) Where, n Is the total sample size that was selected Z is the area under the normal curve corresponding to the desired confidence level p 2 is the level of significance is the expected frequency value or true proportion of factor in the population. e is the maximum difference between the sample mean and the population mean. q =(1- p ) is the probability of failure. The variables were measured by operationally defining concepts for instance the questionnaire was designed to ask responses about the effect of Government funding on coffee production in Uganda. These were channelled into observable and measurable elements to enable development of an index of the concept. The researcher used both primary and secondary sources. Primary data was obtained from the respondents using questionnaires and key informant interviews to examine the effect of Government funding on coffee production in Uganda. 9 Secondary data was obtained from already existing information that included NAADS reports, Uganda Coffee Development annual reports, Ministry of Agriculture reports, and Uganda Bureau of Statistics on agricultural production. Data collection methods are an integral part of research design which involves selection of both qualitative and quantitative data in form of primary and secondary data (Amin, 2005). Primary data was collected by the researcher from Coffee farmers in Nabweru sub county while secondary data was obtained from already existing information. Generally, the researcher collected primary data using quantitative methods and secondary data using qualitative methods (Forshaw, 2000). The questionnaire was used on the basis that the variables under study could not be observed for instance the views, opinions, perceptions and feelings of the respondents. It was also used because the information was collected from a large sample in a short period of time yet the respondents could easily read and write (Sekaran, 2003). In this research, questionnaires with both structured questions and closed ended questions were administered to a group of 50 farmers. The researcher interviewed the respondents in Luganda which is the local language spoken in the sub-counties of Nabweru and Nansana of Wakiso district. With this method, the researcher interviewed NAADS extension workers, Nursery bed operators and coffee processors following questions on an interview guide. The researcher also summarized the responses in a note book reflecting what was being replied by the respondents. Secondary data was collected by reviewing existing published and unpublished information relating to the effect of Government funding on coffee production in Uganda. Relevant documents such as the internal project quarterly reports, midterm evaluation reports, project documents, newspapers, journals and magazines were also reviewed and vital information recorded. This information was used to supplement other methods of data collection in understanding the core areas and variables of the study. 10 The field questionnaires were first cleaned to remove errors, and then entered into Statistical Package for Social Scientists (SPSS) for analysis. Most errors were detected using descriptive statistics, scatter plots and histograms. These errors were checked by revisiting the questionnaires and coding missing data as “999”. The blank and not applicable data was coded “0” and there was also rectifying of the typing errors. SPSS programme version 17 was used for univariate, bivariate and multivariate analysis. This version is an improved one unlike the lower versions. It is user-friendly and can accommodate a big number of variables as well as simultaneous tabulation of variables. This type of analysis involved the description of a single variable and its attributes. The basic way univariate data was presented included creation of frequency distribution of the individual cases. This was done in a table format, bar graphs and pie charts. Keeping the dependent variable fixed, the researcher analyzed the impact of government funding to each of the independent variables. Bar graphs were also used to explain the bivariate data as well as testing of simple hypotheses of association between the dependent and independent variables. Bivariate analysis was also used in predicting a value of the dependent variable using the independent variables. The study results were presented in form of percentage distribution tables, pie charts, bar graphs, correlation coefficient as well as the logistic regression model. At multivariate analysis, a logistic regression model was fitted to determine the impact of government funding on coffee production in Uganda. A dependent variable with two outcomes; (1-Increase in coffee production yields, 0-No increase in coffee production yields) was considered during the study. Independent variables included; NAADS extension services, fertilizer application, improved coffee seedling provision, availability and accessibility to infrastructure as well as access to market information. Below is the logistic regression model that was used; Y 1 Es 2 FA 3C SD 4 AAI 5 AMI .................................................................(ii ) β 0 is a constant β i are unknown coefficients of each independent variable. 11 Y is a measure of GDP contribution of Coffee ES is the NAADS extension services provided to farmers like training, informing farmers of appropriate methods and seasons to plant. This variable was measured in such a way that outcome 1 was assigned if NAADS services had contributed positively to coffee production in terms of yields whereas outcome 0 was assigned if NAADS services provided did not bring a positive impact. FA is the fertilizer application among farmers which include type of fertilizer used, duration of fertilizer application and yields from fertilizer application. This variable was measured in such a way that outcome 1 was assigned if the application of fertilizers to coffee farmers had contributed positively to coffee production in terms of yields while outcome 0 was assigned if fertilizer application did not bring a positive impact in terms of coffee production. C SD is the availability of improved coffee seedling distribution that includes sources of coffee seedling and coffee seedling productivity. This variable was measured in such a way that outcome 1 was assigned if improved coffee seedling distribution positively contributed to coffee production while outcome 0 was assigned if improved coffee seedlings did not bring a positive impact. AAI is the availability and accessibility to infrastructure. This involves whether buyers easily access farmers gardens, the status of the road network as well as who provides and maintains the road network. Outcome 1 was assigned if infrastructure accelerated coffee production while outcome 0 was assigned if infrastructure did not. AMI is the access to market information that involves regular market information updates as well as the sources of market information. This variable was measured in such a way that outcome 1 was assigned if farmers accessed market information while outcome 0 was assigned if did not. 12 The researcher got an introductory letter from Uganda Martyrs University, introducing him to Wakiso district officials, community leaders as well as the respondents. The researcher was consequently granted a permission to conduct the study within their area. Pre-testing involves examining individual questions as well as each of the study instruments very carefully with the aim of ensuring that the questions measure what they are intended to measure, respondents understand the questions, and creating a positive impression that motivates respondents to answer (Amin, 2005). Pre-testing was conducted at Kawanda Agricultural Research Institute to establish the validity and reliability of the study instrument. The researcher obtained consent from all the respondents on presentation of an introductory letter from Uganda Martyrs University, Nkozi. The researcher observed extreme confidentiality while handling the responses. The respondents were informed that participation was voluntary and the research had no direct or indirect harm to them. The study was faced with some limitations like; Non-response errors that the researcher anticipated in the field while interviewing in the field. The researcher increased on the sample size to minimize the error in the study. Incomplete information due to time limitation on the side of respondents. The researcher made some prior appointments and also left some questionnaires to the respondents which he later picked after filing them. The research required money for logistical support like transport to the field, printing of questionnaires, photocopying drafts, printing and binding of final report. Nevertheless, the researcher sought financial assistance from the relatives to meet these costs. 13 SECTION THREE: PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS This chapter presents study findings as well as the interpretation and discussion of the findings. 3.1 Background characteristics of the respondents The background characteristics of the respondents in Nabweru and Nansana subcounties are presented in table 3.1. Table 3.1: Distribution of the respondents according to their sex Sex of respondents Frequency Percentage (%) Male 42 70 Female 18 30 Total 60 100 The study results indicated that majority of the respondents were males (70%) and only 30% were females. This was due to higher expectation from the returns of the coffee farming, males being landlords and family heads, and women being submissive to the partners they would let the husbands respondent on behalf of the family and the fact that males commanded a big say in managing family resources like proceeds from coffee Table 3.2: Distribution of the respondents according to their age Age of respondent Frequency Percentage (%) Below 20 years 8 13.3 20-30 years 17 28.3 31-40 years 16 26.7 Above 40 years 19 31.7 Total 60 100 It was further found out that most respondents (31.7%) were aged 40 years and above, (28.3%) were aged between 20-30 years, while (26.7%) who were aged 31-40 years. Most of the coffee farmers who were mostly the elderly had been in agriculture for quite some time and had appreciated the benefits of coffee farming and production. It was interesting to find out that some respondents reported that they had been in coffee industry since their childhood because the grandparents owned coffee gardens, 14 their own parents were coffee farmers and the respondents were also engaged in coffee farming since it was a family source of income. It was however observed that majority of the young people were not engaged in coffee farming because they were at school and others were engaged in informal employment such as saloon business and Bodaboda riding. Table 3.3: Distribution of the respondents according to their marital status Marital status Frequency Percentage (%) Married 32 53.3 Single 16 26.7 Divorced/separated 4 6.70 Widowed 8 13.3 Total 60 100 Results on the marital status of the respondent showed that majority of the respondents were married (53.3%), followed by those who were still single (26.7%) and widowed (13.3%). Very few coffee farmers had divorced or separated with their partners (6.7%). Most of the married respondents had amassed some assets including pieces of land where they had established coffee plantations. The married respondents had the biggest percent besides it would be easier to get farm labour because of big family size and coffee farming was looked at as an alternative source of income to sustain the family like paying school fees to the family. One widow testified to the researcher that she had been able to pay school fees of her children after the death of her husband because of coffee sales. Table 3.4: Distribution of the respondents according to their Education level Education level Frequency Percentage (%) No education 12 20.0 Primary 18 30.0 Secondary 23 38.3 University/tertiary 7 11.7 Total 60 100 15 As shown in table 3.4, findings indicated that the biggest proportion of respondents (38.3%) had attained secondary education followed by those with primary education (30%). Very few respondents indicated that they never attained formal education (20%) although most of these used indigenous knowledge in coffee farming. The high levels of literacy made it easy for farmers to adopt appropriate farming technologies like use of fertilizers and coffee farming needs an individual to be highly educated hence people with normal education were also found to be engaged in coffee farming. Table 3.5: Distribution of the respondents according to time spent in farming Time spent in coffee farming Frequency Percentage (%) <5 years 7 11.7 5-10 years 11 18.3 11-15 years 10 16.7 16-20 years 14 23.3 Over 20 years 18 30.0 Total 60 100 According to table 4.5, the study findings indicated that some respondents had been practicing coffee farming as early as seven (7) years old since they would start by coffee picking, digging in the gardens etc. The statistics showed that the biggest number of respondent (30%) had an experience of coffee farming of over 20 years, followed by those respondents (23.3%) who were in coffee farming for 16-20 years and 11.7% of the respondents reported to have spent less than 5years and these were majorly the people that operated coffee nursery beds of the new coffee breeds because the indigenous robusta coffee had been attacked by coffee wilt disease. 16 3.2 Fertilizer use on coffee production in Nabweru and Nansana Sub-counties Fertilizer use on coffee production in Nabweru and Nansana sub-counties is presented in figure 3.1 Figure 3.1: Distribution of respondents according to fertilizer application The pie chart in figure 3.1, indicates that majority of them (78.3%) used fertilizes, while a few of the farmers (21.7%) did not use. This implies that farmers were applying fertilizers though the biggest percentage of farmers was using the locally made organic manure like cow dung, compost manure from matooke peelings. Table 3.6: Percentage distribution on the type of fertilizers Type of fertilizers used Frequency Percentage (%) Organic manure 31 66.0 NPK 9 19.1 UPK 4 8.50 Urea 3 6.40 Total 47 100 Results in table 3.6, indicated that majority of the respondent (66%) used organic/ local manure, followed by those who used NPK fertilizer (19.1%), while the least used fertilizer was urea (6.4%). The biggest number of the respondents using organic manure was due to the fact that coffee farmers were applying compost manure/ locally made manure like from cow dung. From the discussion with the farmers, they reported that they got information about organic manure application from NAADS and it was affordable though they purchased modern fertilizers especially NPK and UPK from National Agricultural Research Organization (NARO) and agricultural drug shops. 17 Farmers received training from NAADS on the preparation of organic manure like cow dung and coffee husks in the financial year 2011/2012. 3.2.1 Duration of fertilizer application on the coffee farms. The farmers in coffee industry were asked to ascertain the duration of fertilizers. The results are presented in the figure 3.2. Figure 3.2: Duration of fertilizer application and coffee production According to the pie chart in figure 3.2, results indicate that majority of the respondents (44.7%) applied fertilizers once in a year; followed by those who applied fertilizers three times in one year (38.3%), while (17.0%) of the respondents applied fertilizers twice a year. While in the field it was observed that farmers were using local manure like compost manure and cow dung which they applied more often. Farmers reported that modern fertilizers like NPK and UPK were applied once in a year because they had a high concentration of nutrients and the chemicals were expensive. Fertilizers that were applied twice or even three times in a year were majorly organic since they were cheaper to buy or access amongst most farmers. 18 3.2.2 Government support in form of fertilizers The responses from farmers on whether they received government support in form of fertilizers are presented in table 3.7. Table 4.7: Distribution of the respondents according to fertilizer support received Fertilizers support received Frequency Percentage (%) Received fertilizer 12 25.5 Did not receive fertilizers 35 74.5 Total 47 100 The respondents were also asked if they received government support in form of fertilizers and majority indicated that they never received fertilizers (74.5%) while a few respondents indicated that they received fertilizers (25.5%). This implies that few farmers received government support in terms of fertilizers. Most of the beneficiaries were model farmers who received free fertilizers from NAADS for demonstration to other farmers in the area while the rest of the farmers were buying for themselves. 4.3 Coffee seedling provision in Nabweru and Nansana Sub-counties Percentage distribution on coffee seedling provision in the sub-counties of Nabweru and Nansana is presented in table 3.8 Table 3.8: Distribution of the respondents according to improved seedlings Improved seedlings Frequency Percentage (%) Used modern seedlings 48 80.0 Never used modern seedlings 12 20.0 Total 60 100 Statistics indicated that majority of the coffee farmers used modern coffee seedlings (80%) with an exception of a few who never used modern coffee seedlings (20%) but instead planted robusta coffee. Those who planted modern coffee got them from nursery beds, National Agricultural Research Organization in Kawanda as well as Coffee Research Institute, Mukono-Kituza Uganda. These coffee improved seedlings included; Kituza R1, R2, R3, R4, R5, R6, and R7. Table 3.9: Distribution of the respondents according source of improved seedlings Sources of coffee seedlings Frequency 19 Percentage (%) Bought 34 69.4 Government support 10 20.4 Other Donations 5 10.2 Total 49 100 Results in table 3.9 indicate that the majority of coffee farmers (69.4%) bought their coffee seedlings followed by (20.4%) farmers who got their coffee seedling from the government through NAADS coordinators. The least number of the coffee farmers (10.2%) got their seedlings through donations for instance the politician donated improved coffee seedlings during campaigns in 2011. Majority of those who bought modern coffee seedlings got them from either the National Agricultural Research Organization located in Kawanda and others got them from nursery bed operators. 3.3.1 Impacts of modern seedlings on coffee productivity Coffee farmers in Nabweru and Nansana were asked about the impact of modern coffee seedlings and the findings are presented in table 3.10. Table 3.10: Distribution of the respondents according to impacts of improved seedlings. Impacts of modern seedlings Frequency Percentage (%) Positive effects 39 81.2 No improvement 9 18.8 Total 48 100 The farmers in Nabweru and Nansana sub-counties informed the researcher that the improved coffee seedlings positively affected the production (81.2%) while a few of them did not notice any change in production (18.8%). This was attributed to the fact that some farmers poorly cared for their farms, some thought they did not need, or it was as a result of poor soils, or else it could have come from not following the instructions given by the extension workers e.t.c. 20 Table 3.11: Effects of improved coffee seedlings on productivity Effects of improved coffee seedlings Frequency Percentage (%) Quick maturity 6 14.6 More yields 19 46.3 Resistant to coffee wilt 7 17.1 Marketable produce/ seedlings 9 22.0 Total 41 100 Results in table 3.11 indicated that majority of the farmers realized increased yields(46.3%) from the planting of improved coffee seedlings followed by those who indicated that it was a marketable produce (22.0%) and resistant to coffee wilt disease (17.1%). The rest of the respondents also noted that improved coffee seedlings had an advantage of quick maturity (14.6%). Since the study also involved nursery bed operators, those in the business of selling seedlings reported that there was a high market for improved seedlings since farmers expected quick yield from those improved seedlings like Kituza R1, R2, R3 and R5 even farmers who had received post harvesting information like proper drying made their coffee seedlings more marketable. 3.4 Agriculture extension services on coffee production On the agricultural extension services on coffee production, farmers were asked if they ever received agricultural extension services on coffee production and results indicated that majority of the farmers (58.3%) had received agricultural extension services while 41.7% of the respondents had never received agricultural extension service. 3.4.1 Providers of extension service to coffee farmers Results on Agricultural extension service providers among coffee farmers are provided in the table 3.12. Table 3.12: Providers of extension service to coffee farmers Extension service providers Frequency Percentage (%) NAADS service providers 13 37.1 Agricultural officer 14 40.0 NGOs 7 20.0 Others 1 2.90 Total 35 100 21 The biggest number of coffee farmers in Nabweru and Nansana Sub-counties (40%) got information on extension services from the sub-county agricultural officers, followed by (37.1%) who got information on coffee farming from NAADS service providers while (20%) got information on coffee farming from NGOs like Agency for Integrated Rural Development (AFIRD) and farmer groups. 3.4.2 Form of extension services provided to coffee farmers in Nabweru and Nansana Sub-counties Results on the type of extension services provided to coffee farmers are provided in the table 3.13. Table 4.13: Extension services provided to coffee farmers. Extension services provided Frequency Percentage (%) Coffee spacing 15 44.1 Pruning 8 23.5 Coffee picking and drying 6 17.6 Nursery bed preparation 2 5.9 Weeding and spraying 3 8.8 Total 34 100 Findings in the table 3.13 showed that majority of the respondents (44.1%) got knowledge about coffee spacing, followed by pruning (23.5%), coffee picking and drying (17.6%) but the least number of farmers had benefited from nursery bed preparation (5.9%). Field findings further indicated that farmers were taught modern drying methods like using local mats and canvas mats locally known as “Ntundubale” such that stones are not mixed with dried coffee, that others were taught how to cement their compounds only those specifically mean’t for drying coffee. However it was noticed that those who did not manage cementing used cow dung and clay to smear their compounds. Among farmers who benefited from the training under weeding and spraying, said that spraying was much better since it killed pests like nematodes attacking coffee farms and other caterpillars eating up coffee leaves. 22 3.4.3 Benefits of extension services to coffee farmers The coffee farmers indicated that they had benefited from the extension services and results are presented in the figure 3.3. Figure 3.3: Percentage distribution of benefits of extension services to coffee farmers The majority of the coffee farmers who benefitted from the extension services in the area of increased produce was 35.3%, followed by those who benefited in the area of increased knowledge which was 32.4% and increased sales (26.5%). Among those who benefited from increased produce were able to fetch more profits which even assisted them to buy more land and paying for their children. 3.5 Availability and accessibility to infrastructure among coffee farmers in Nabweru and Nansana Sub-counties Respondents involved in coffee farming industry were interviewed on whether the buyers had access to their farms and results are provided in figure 3.4. 23 Figure 3.4: Percentage distribution of respondents on whether coffee buyers easily access coffee farms According to the results in figure 3.4, majority of the farmers (85%) said that buyers had direct access to their coffee farms because many were small scale coffee farmers who sold their produce to brokers who moved from home to home buying coffee while other farmers took their produce to the nearby coffee traders in trading centres. However a handful of respondents (15%) reported that buyers did not have direct access to their farms. In relation to this point, it was observed that majority of the farmers had good murram roads and pathways that enabled coffee buyers to reach the farms. 4.5.1 Status of the road network to coffee markets. Coffee farmers were also asked about the status of the road network to the markets and results are presented in the table 3.14 Table 3.14: Percentage distribution of the status of road network to coffee markets Status of road network Frequency Percentage Poor 14 23.7 Average 28 47.5 Good 17 28.8 Total 59 100.0 24 According to the responses of the respondents, the researcher found out that majority of the respondents (47.5%) said that their road network to the markets was average implying that they were passable followed by (28.8%) who reported that their road network was good because it was managed by the central government that always provided graders for levelling. Only 23.7% of the respondents reported that their roads are poor and are hardly passable, these referred to those roads deep in villages that are renovated by the communities through their own mobilisation called “Bulungi bwansi”. 3.5.2 Road maintenance in Nabweru and Nansana sub-counties The field respondents were also asked on the bodies responsible for maintaining road network in their areas as presented in figure 3.4. Figure 3.4: Percentage distribution of bodies responsible for road maintenance Accoring to figure (3.4), the researcher found out that 66.7% of the respondents reported that roads in the communities are maintained by the local government, Also results showed (30%) of the respondents said that roads are maintained by community’s administration, that is to say individuals who use them to reach their gardens while only (3.3%) reported that roads are maintained by UNRA. This mans that government maintian roads for easy transportation of agricultural produce including coffeeproduce. 25 3.6 Access to market information among coffee farmers in Nabweru and Nansana sub-counties Respondents were asked to state if they had access to market information and results are presented in figure 3.5. Figure 3.5: Access to market information among coffee farmers in Nabweru and Nansana sub-counties Findings indicated that majority of the farmers (72.9%) indicated that they had access to market information while (27.1%) did not have access to market information. The biggest percentage indicate that farmers were well informed about the prices of coffee, hence, they were able to get enough profits and the revenue from coffee would be increased, since coffee is bought and sold at proper prices as set by government. 3.6.1 Sources of market information Results on sources of market information are presented on the table 3.15. Table 3.15: Percentage distribution of sources of market information Source of information Frequency Percentage (%) Radio 5 11.4 Farmer Groups 21 47.7 NAADS Extension Officers 1 2.30 Buyers 17 38.6 Total 44 100.0 26 Findings in table 3.15 indicated that majority of the respondents (47.7%) were reported to have accessed market information though farmer groups, followed by those who mentioned buyers (38.6%). Some respondents mentioned accessing market information from the radio (11.4%) while only one respondent indicated that he received market information from NAADS extension officer. 3.7 DATA NAALYSIS 3.7.1 Correlation between independent factors and Coffee production in terms of yields A correlation test between independent factors and increase in coffee production in terms of yields was done to establish if there is any relationship as presented in table 3.8. The independent factors included fertilizer usage, improved coffee seedlings, agricultural extension services, access and availability of infrastructure as well as access to market information. Results indicate that there was a strong positive correlation between fertilizer application and increase in coffee yields (r=0.805*), on the other hand p=0.001<0.05, this implies that the variables was positively significant, keeping all other variables constant, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is a significant relationship between fertilizer application and increase in coffee yields. On the study about the relationship between modern coffee seedlings in relation to coffee production, a weak positive correlation was found (0.344*), while p=0.018<0.05 implying that if modern coffee seedlings are used, the production of coffee is increased positively but to a smaller extent. This was attributed to poor soils and changes in the climate like dry spells. On the other hand p=0.018<0.05, this implied that the variable was positively significant, hence we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is a significant relationship between improved coffee seedlings and growth in coffee production. On the relationship between extension services and coffee production, a weak positive correlation was found out(r=0.344*), while p=0.015<0.05, means that provision and availability of extension services brought about an increase in coffee yields though to a small extent. This was attributed to the fact that some of the farmers never followed properly the methods of coffee farming that were taught to them. 27 On the other hand p=0.015<0.05, this implied that the variable was positively significant, hence we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is a significant relationship between extension services and growth in coffee production. Similarly, there was a positive weak correlation between availability of infrastructure with increase in coffee production (r=0.261*), while p=0.044<0.05, implying that availability and accessibility of infrastructure boosts coffee production to a smaller extent. This was partly because some roads were affected by weather especially in a rainy season. On the other hand p=0.044<0.05, this implied that the variable was positively significant, hence we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that infrastructure contributes to growth in coffee production. The findings indicated that there was no statistical relationship between access to market information and increase in coffee production in terms of yields (r=-0.108*), while p=0.412>0.05 implies that access to market informant does not necessarily boost coffee production. A weak negative correlation was identified -0.108, this implied that access to market information, had no influence to coffee production. The variable was insignificant and hence we accept the null hypothesis since (p=0.412>0.05) indicates clearly the insignificance of the variable. 28 Table 3.16: Correlation between independent factors and Coffee production (yields) Correlations Fertilizer usage Modern coffee seedlings Extension services Infrastructure Market information Increase in Coffee production(yields) Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) Fertilizer usage 1.000 0.000 60 0.021 0.875 N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N 60 -0.017 0.898 60 -0.145 0.27 60 -0.167 0.201 60 0.805** 0.001 60 Modern coffee seedlings Extension services Market Increase in Coffee Infrastructure information production(yields) 1.000 0.000 60 0.039 0.768 60 -0.067 0.613 60 0.087 0.508 60 0.344* 0.018 60 1.000 0.000 60 0.039 0.768 60 0.086 0.594 60 0.344* 0.015 60 1.000 0.000 60 0.084 0.606 60 0.261* 0.044 60 **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed) *.Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). 29 1.000 0.000 60 -0.108 0.412 60 1.000 0.000 60 3.8 Results from multivariate analysis The findings presented below are from logistic regression model predicting the odds of determinants of coffee production in terms of yields. Table 3.17: Regression of the independent variables against the dependent variable Determinants of coffee Odds production(yields) [95% Conf. Ratio Std. Err. p-value Interval] 1.37 0.22 0.05** 1.02 1.99 1.658 0.224 0.000** 0.151 2.546 1.440 0.191 0.006** 0.457 4.760 1.374 0.220 0.048** 0.188 1.716 0.570 0.397 0.417 0.134 2.260 Fertilizer usage No(RC) Yes Modern coffee seedling provision No(RC) Yes Agricultural extension services No(RC) Yes Availability & accessibility to infrastructure No(RC) Yes Access to market information No(RC) Yes ** Statistically significant (p<0.05) At multivariate analysis, the effect of government funding on coffee production were studied using binary logistic regression model and the results in table 3.17 show that coffee farmers who used fertilizers were 1.37 times more likely to have an increased production in terms of yields unlike their counterparts who never applied fertilizers (reference category). The application of fertilizers and increase in yields among coffee farmers was statistically significant (p=0.05**) at 95% confidence interval. The fertilizers that were used included NPK, UPK, urea and organic manure. 30 In the same vein, coffee farmers that planted modern coffee seedlings were 1.65 times more likely to have increased coffee yields than their counterparts who never planted improved coffee species like Kituza R1, R2, R3, R4, R5, R6 and R7. The P value of 0.000 indicates a strong statistical relationship. For coffee farmers who received extension services, they were more likely to have an increased coffee yields (OR=1.440) than those who never received such services. This is confirmed by the level of significance (p=0.006) which is less than the critical value of 0.05 at 95% confidence interval. It is significant when the roads are goods, farmers altitude is busted and in the end according to OR -1.4 then the coffee production will be increased by 1.4 times and more to this good road attract more buyers to access the farmer so that every buyer produced is sold out indeed the P-value =0.043 indicated that good infrastructure contribute positive to the (GDP contribution). Indeed it was only access to market information that was not statistically significant (p=0.417>p=0.05) in terms of increase in coffee yields after performing a logistic regression. 31 SECTION FOUR: SUMMARY OF FINDINGS In this chapter, the conclusions and recommendations of the study are presented. The summary presents the short presentation of the findings, conclusions involve a summary of the most significant issues found out in the study and their discussion and recommendations are proposed as priority actions that could be undertaken by government of Uganda and other stakeholders to boost coffee production in Uganda. 4.2 Summary of findings Results from the background characteristics indicated that majority of the coffee farmers who responded to the study were males (70%) and few were females (30%). Similarly, it was found out that majority of the respondents were married (53.3%) followed by those who were single (26.7%). Majority of the respondents had attained secondary education (38.3%) and majority had also been in coffee farming for over 20 years (30%). Farmers had access to extension services and had benefited from a number of trainings like coffee spacing, pruning, coffee picking, and drying and nursery bed preparation. Coffee farmers were reported to be using fertilizers like NPK, UPK, Urea and organic manure. The latter is locally made from the decomposed wastes and the effectiveness of every fertilizer depended on the number of times a certain type of fertilizer was applied though some were reported to have been applied once a year or even more than that. Coffee farmers had access to modern seedlings and farmers had benefited through increased output seedlings that are resistant to wilt and quick maturity. Infrastructural development had improved although 23.7% of the respondents reported that they had poor roads and hardly passable. Study findings confirmed that fertilizer application, modern coffee seedlings, extension services and good infrastructure were significant variables in that coffee yields increased, while market information was insignificant since it had no or negative impact on the quality of coffee produces by farmers. 32 4.3 Conclusion Coffee is one of the Uganda main exports, implies that concerted efforts are needed to keep the performance high and this is possible through provision of fertilizer to farmers by government, use of improved coffee seedlings, availability of extension service like modern farming methods, infrastructural development like constructing roads. These innovations are even possible in situations where majority of the coffee farmers are farming on a small scale as the case of Nabweru and Nakasongola. 4.4 Recommendations Basing on the study findings and analysis, the study has a number of recommendations that have implications on policy design and implementation related to coffee farming and its productivity and they include the following; There is need for involvement of all stakeholders in enacting the national policy on fertilizers. This policy will specifically formalize fertilizer trade, create awareness of fertilizer use, create a private sector driven fertilizer market system, and promote optimal use of organic and inorganic fertilizers, supporting domestic fertilizer production as well as establishing a regulatory and monitoring systems of fertilizer products. Training, sensitisation and mobilisation of coffee farmers should be encouraged and should continue at all times since it forms the foundation for economic growth in Uganda. This is a form of extension services which should emphasize specifically care for coffee plantations as well as coffee drying and processing. Material supply by the government of Uganda especially modern coffee seedlings, fertilizers and herbicides should be timely and match the planting and harvesting season to avoid mismatch and resource wastage and be distributed to all farmers. This will enable farmers to grow on time and be able to harvest high output. 33 4.5 Areas for further studies Since the study only focussed on coffee farmers in Nabweru and Nansana sub-counties in Wakiso district, the small sample could have determined much the outcomes which led to some insignificant effects of government funding on coffee production. To that end therefore, a comprehensive study perhaps covering all coffee farmers in Uganda is recommended so that it could give a national picture of the impact of government funding on coffee production. BIBIOGRAPHY Forshaw, M (2000). Your Undergraduate Psychology Project: A BPS Guide Blackwell Publishing. 34 Sekaran, U., (2000). Research Methods for Business. USA: Hemttage Publishing Services. 35