Moving Offshore? A new wind energy market segment is emerging offshore. Over 500 MW has already been installed in the seas off the Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden, the UK and Ireland, where a first project has been realised at Arklow Bank, off the Wicklow coast. The less turbulent, high wind-speed conditions make offshore wind development very attractive. In Ireland’s case, where most potential development is located off the east coast and close to the heavy load centre of Dublin, there is a further advantage. However, the offshore wind industry is still at an early stage and the high development costs involved are unlikely to match the competitive onshore costs in the near future. Ireland still has many suitable onshore wind farm sites that can offer high wind-speeds and we can expect development to be focused there for some time to come. Research and Development EU funded Research and Development programmes such as those under the 5th Framework Programme have given great impetus to the wind industry in Europe over the past 15 years. The results of such programmes include the development of large MW-scale turbines, the first European Wind Atlas and support for demonstration projects such as the first offshore wind farm. Great advances have been made in wind power technology and further research is essential to take wind power to a position where it is fully competitive with the cheapest alternatives. If we are to achieve our European and National targets the industry needs to: • Continue reducing costs • Enable increased penetration of wind power SEI’s Wind Atlas; • Minimise social and environmental impacts Wind Speed at 100m a.g.l. Ireland’s Wind Atlas SEI’s Wind Atlas has been developed to map Ireland’s vast wind resource. The wind atlas will contribute to a new approach for the development of wind energy projects in Ireland. Wind speed and power are identified at 50, 75 and 100 metres above ground level (a.g.l.) representing the hubheights of current and future wind turbine technology. At 100 metres above the ground, the wind speed is such that almost the entire country has a competitive wind resource. Some locations around the country are better than others but every county has the wind resource to plan for wind energy projects in their areas. See the online wind atlas at www.sei.ie/windmaps What to Expect from Wind Energy… If Ireland adopts policy targets to provide 20 % of our electricity from renewable sources by 2010 increasing to 30 % by 2020, we could expect to see over 1,500 MW of wind energy installed both on and offshore by the end of this decade and up to 3,000 MW by the end of the next. The benefits that such a contribution to Ireland’s electricity supply by 2020 include: Benefit of wind energy over fossil fuel Clean electricity for domestic houses Abatement of Carbon Dioxide emissions (main greenhouse gas) Abatement of Sulphur Dioxide emissions (responsible for acid rain) Abatement of Nitrous Oxide emissions (greenhouse gas) Avoiding the need to import oil from abroad Creation of industry and local employment Quantified Benefit 2 million homes per year 8.1 million tonnes per year 147,000 tonnes per year 16,500 tonnes per year 19.3 million barrels per year 1,500 new jobs If Ireland achieves its Green Paper target of 500MW additional installed RES generating capacity by 2005, it would produce 2,100GWh in a total electricity system of around 28,000GWh. This would represent 7.5% of our electricity supply coming from renewable energy. Glossary and Facts: Power is measured in: 1,000 watt (W) = 1 kilowatt (kW) 1,000 kW = 1 Megawatt (MW) 1,000,000 kW = 1 Gigawatt (GW) Energy is obtained by multiplying time by power. Energy is measured in: 1,000 kilowatt hours (kWh) = 1 megawatt hour (MWh) 1,000,000 kWh = 1 Gigawatt hour (GWh) 1 kWh is roughly the electricity used by an electric cooker plate in one hour. The average household uses roughly 5 MWh per year for their domestic electricity requirements. Fossil fuel: Material that is extracted from the earth derived from the remains of living things e.g. coal, peat, oil or gas. They take thousands or millions of years to form. Greenhouse gas (GHG): Gases emitted, typically through the combustion of fossil fuels for energy, which contribute towards global warming and climate change. GHGs include Carbon Dioxide (CO2), Methane (CH4) and Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx). Other Sources of Information: Recommended Websites www.sei.ie www.sei.ie/windmaps www.windpower.org www.ipcc.ch www.iwea.com www.ewea.org www.mnag.ie www.retscreen.net Recommended Magazines Renewable Energy World www.jxj.com/rew/ New Energy www.wind-energie.de/englischer-teil/english.htm Sun and Wind Energy www.sunwindenergy.com Refocus www.re-focus.net Windpower Monthly www.windpower-monthly.com Wind Directions www.ewea.org Sustainable Energy Ireland, was established on May 1st, 2002, as a statutory authority charged with promoting and assisting the development of a sustainable national energy economy and is funded by the Irish Government under the National Development Plan 2000-2006 with programmes part financed by the European Union. The Renewable Energy Information Office, a national service of Sustainable Energy Ireland was established to promote the use of renewable resources and provide independent information and advice on the financial, social and technical issues relating to renewable energy development. Sustainable Energy Ireland, Renewable Energy Information Office, Shinagh House, Bandon, Co.Cork. t +353 23 42193 f +353 23 29154 e renewables@reio.ie w www.sei.ie/reio.htm Printed on recycled paper Sustainable Energy Ireland is funded by the Irish Government under the National Development Plan 2000-2006 with programmes part financed by the European Union The Wind Energy Industr y Status and Prospects The Wind Energy Industry Status and Prospects Currently, the wind industry in Europe is worth €30 billion and produces over 30,000 Megawatts (MW) of clean power. Ireland is one of Europe’s windiest countries whose resources remain largely untapped. By June 2004, Ireland had 225 MW of wind power plant installed in an electricity system whose total capacity exceeds 5,300 MW. Clearly there is plenty of room for growth.... MW EU 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Wind Energy in Ireland Ireland has a wind resource that is the envy of the rest of Europe. A wind turbine erected in typical Irish conditions produces twice as much electricity as one at a typical German site. Germany boasted over 14,000 MW of wind energy installations at the end of 2003 whereas Ireland had just 190 MW installed. Most of the wind farms in Ireland currently employ less than 20 turbines ranging in size from several hundred kilowatts to 2.5 MW. Larger wind farms and larger turbines are planned as developers strive to achieve the increased reliability, availability and efficiency that modern wind turbine technology has to offer. Ireland’s vast potential means that, whilst it would be a challenge, we could provide 30% of our electricity from wind power by 2020. Wind power installed in Europe by end of 2003 A Global Overview Even though wind power is a relatively young industry, it is a rapidly expanding one. From 2,500 MW in 1992 to over 40,000 MW by the end of 2003, the global industry has grown at a rate of over 30% per year. Almost 75% of this capacity has been installed in Europe. Penetration levels in the electricity sector have reached over 20% in Denmark. The Northern German State of Schleswig-Holstein meets 30% of the regions total electricity needs using 1,800 MW of installed wind power. The Navarre region of Northern Spain produces 50% of it's electricity (over 700 MW generating capacity installed) from wind power. EurObserv’ER’s EU Wind Barometer Incentive for Wind Wind power is one of the world’s fastest growing energy sources. Already wind turbines with a total generating capacity of over 30,000 MW have been built around Europe. This figure is expected to exceed 1.2 million MW by the year 2020. Over the past ten years wind power capacity has been expanding at an annual rate averaging more than 30%. In contrast, the nuclear industry is growing at a rate of less than 1% whilst coal has not grown at all since the late 1980’s. Europe is the centre of this young and high-tech industry and home to 90% of the world’s manufacturers of medium and large wind turbines. Wind energy is already competing with conventional generation and will continue to do so with fairer market conditions, access to grids and fairer competition rules. A sensible way to make wind power as competitive as conventional fuel is to make the fossil fuel sources pay for the damage they create to the local and global environment. The costs associated with accelerated global warming and harmful emissions can be charged as a levy on top of the price for fossil fuels according to the amount of carbon dioxide they emit. Wind energy is abundant and free and because it does not cause harmful emissions would be exempt of this carbon tax. In addition, wind turbines and project costs continue to decrease, making wind power even more competitive compared to conventional power generation. Type Renewables - Wind - Hydro - Biomass/LFG Total Total Mid 2002 Annual Capacity Added (MW) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total Added 2003 - 09 Total Mid 2009 127 14 15 156 130 3 10 143 221 3 20 244 221 3 20 244 1456 21 120 1597 1583 35 135 1753 221 3 10 234 221 3 20 244 221 3 20 244 221 3 20 244 High Renewable Energy Penetration scenario from ESB Generation Adequacy Report 2003-2009 How much Wind Power for Ireland? A report published in 2003 by industry experts Garrad Hassan ‘The Impacts of Increased Levels of Wind Penetration on the Electricity Systems of the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland’ reveals that there are no absolute technical limits on the percentage of wind generating capacity which may be connected to the combined systems: all technical issues can be resolved at some cost. Obviously, the costs will affect the decision to invest in a wind turbine and a scenario where all our power comes from wind is unlikely, despite it being technically possible. At approximately 3,300 MW of wind capacity, there are no locations left on the transmission systems at which wind generation can be connected without requiring transmission system reinforcement. This means that in the long term, 50% of our electricity consumption being provided for by wind energy is a realistic target. The table above shows projections for wind and other renewable energy forms and appears to concur with this idea. This high RES (Renewable energy supply) scenario is based on the assumption that 22% of Ireland’s electricity comes from renewable sources by 2010. This would imply that Ireland has reached the average EU RES target as set down in Directive 2001/77/EC. But Do We Want It? The answer is a resounding yes! According to a recently completed independent survey, wind energy has been embraced by the Irish public as a whole and even more strongly endorsed by residents where wind farms are planned and operational. Lansdowne Market Research carried out a study in 2003 - ‘Attitudes towards wind farms in Ireland’, key findings include: • Three quarters of the general Irish population would be willing to support government incentives to build wind farms with eight out of ten believing wind energy to be a good thing. • Two thirds of Irish adults are favourable to having a wind farm built in their locality with little evidence of the not-in-mybackyard effect. • Wind farms are more acceptable than other structures such as mobile phone masts, steel electricity towers or power stations. To view the full report, presentations and original questionnaires, see: www.sei.ie/reio.htm (Base: All Adults 15+) Q: How favourable/ unfavourable are you overall to the construction of more wind farms in Ireland? TOTAL Urban Very favourable 43 48 Fairly favourable 38 38 Neither Very unfavourable Fairly unfavourable 13 2 3 15 1 1 Rural Ever Seen Windfarm 41 52 39 36 11 5 4 2 7 3