Global Cash Flow Analysis Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Global Cash Flow = Repayment Where Is the Cash? Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 1 “Perfect” Global Cash Flow • Considers all existing and potential sources of income • Analyzes all asset holdings and balance sheet cash flow Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota “Perfect” Global Cash Flow • • • • • Personal income Business income, assets & inventories Real estate holdings Direct liabilities and debt service Contingent liabilities Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 2 Why? • “Because the examiner told me to…” • Find the weak thread(s) • How do they impact the stronger threads? Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota When? • Debt repayment for… – “Mom & Pop” “Self-employed” – Multiple entities not directly related – Multiple guarantors Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 3 How? • FINPACK Global Cash Flow uses tax return data – Balance sheets optional • • • • One primary entity Multiple other entities Multiple personal Proposed new income / debt payments Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota How? • Show each business / entity / personal cash flow and debt coverage • One “global” merged cash flow and debt service – No double-counting income Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 4 Slim Jim Sample 1040 - Example #1 Tax year 2010 2011 2012 Tax Return Tax Return Tax Return 7. Wages, salaries, tips, etc. 8a. Taxable interest 8b. Tax-exempt interest 9a. Ordinary dividends 10. Taxable refunds of state and local income taxes 11. Alimony received 12. Business income or loss 13. Capital gain or loss 14. Other gains or losses 15a. IRA distributions 15b. IRA distributions, taxable amount 16a. Pensions and annuities 16b. Pensions and annuities, taxable amount 17. Rental real estate, royalties, partnerships, etc. 18. Farm income or loss 19. Unemployment compensation 20a. Social security benefits 20b. Social security benefits, taxable amount 21. Other income 22. Total income 34,500 68 11,413 6,487 67,422 119,890 25,838 69 14,880 7,682 43,983 92,452 32,358 62 11,265 6,393 152,034 202,112 36. Total adjustments 37. Adjusted gross income 119,890 92,452 202,112 11,351 21,668 20,043 - - - 119,890 119,890 11,351 11,087 65,000 32,452 92,452 92,452 21,668 7,934 65,000 -2,150 202,112 202,112 20,043 17,418 65,000 99,651 12,092 6,240 5,000 23,332 12,092 4,800 5,000 21,892 12,092 4,800 5,000 21,892 19 19 9,120 24 24 -24,042 11 11 77,759 Statement type 60. Total tax Child support, other divorce income Cash Flow for Debt Service Total income + Other non-taxable income - Non-recurring income + Non-recurring expense = Recurring total income - Federal income tax - State, other taxes - Living expenses = Cash available for debt service Personal Debt Payments Mortgage payments Vehicle payments Credit card payments Other debt payments Total annual debt payments Debt to total income Debt to recurring income Personal debt margin FINPACK © Center For Farm Financial Management University of Minnesota Prepared by: Wynn Richardson University of Minnesota Example #1 • Other information… – Married couple, sole proprietor – All debt listed on the farm balance sheet • Approach to global cash flow? Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 6 Example #2 • Same couple from Example #1 • Partnership with in-laws on apartment building – $1.2 million loan balance • NOW what? Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 7 Slim Jim Sample Global Example #2 Actual $ 2010 2011 2012 Average Sch F - Slim Jim Farms Net farm profit or loss + Other non-taxable income + Depreciation + Interest (total) - Interest on current debt - Non-recurring income + Non-recurring expense = Cash available for debt service Debt payments Debt service coverage ratio Debt repayment margin 67,422 215,605 107,214 76,105 314,136 89,889 3.49 224,247 43,983 288,163 126,626 47,999 410,773 113,996 3.60 296,777 152,034 211,414 111,050 54,171 420,327 120,798 3.48 299,529 87,813 238,394 114,963 59,425 381,745 108,228 3.53 273,518 8825 - Prairie Home Apartments Net rental real estate income + Depreciation + Interest - Interest on current debt - Non-recurring income + Non-recurring expense = Cash available for debt service Debt payments Debt service coverage ratio Debt repayment margin 42,695 48,000 82,250 172,945 114,520 1.51 58,425 40,173 48,000 80,089 168,262 114,520 1.47 53,742 39,537 48,000 77,783 165,320 114,520 1.44 50,800 40,802 48,000 80,040 168,842 114,520 1.47 54,322 1040 - Jim & Sarah Total income + Other non-taxable income - Non-recurring income + Non-recurring expense = Recurring total income - Federal income tax - State, other taxes - Living expenses = Cash available for debt service Debt payments Debt service coverage ratio Debt repayment margin 141,238 141,238 11,351 11,087 65,000 53,800 23,332 2.31 30,468 112,539 112,539 21,668 7,934 65,000 17,937 21,892 0.82 -3,955 221,881 221,881 20,043 17,418 65,000 119,420 21,892 5.45 97,528 158,553 158,553 17,687 12,146 65,000 63,719 22,372 2.86 41,347 1040 - Ole & Lena Total income + Other non-taxable income - Non-recurring income + Non-recurring expense = Recurring total income - Federal income tax - State, other taxes - Living expenses = Cash available for debt service Debt payments Debt service coverage ratio 140,598 140,598 16,872 11,037 75,000 37,689 26,913 1.40 143,922 143,922 17,271 11,298 75,000 40,353 26,913 1.50 144,394 144,394 17,327 11,335 75,000 40,732 26,913 1.51 142,971 142,971 17,157 11,223 75,000 39,591 26,913 1.47 FINPACK © Center For Farm Financial Management University of Minnesota Prepared by: Wynn Richardson University of Minnesota Slim Jim Sample Global Cash Flow Analysis: Global Page 2 11/8/2013 9:05:14 AM Actual $ Debt repayment margin Global Debt Coverage Business and personal cash available for debt service - Business income included in personal income = Net global cash available for debt service Total debt payments Total debt coverage ratio FINPACK © Center For Farm Financial Management University of Minnesota 2010 10,776 2011 13,440 2012 13,819 Average 12,678 578,570 110,117 468,453 254,654 1.84 637,324 84,156 553,168 277,321 1.99 745,798 191,571 554,227 284,123 1.95 653,897 128,615 525,283 272,033 1.93 Prepared by: Wynn Richardson University of Minnesota Navigating the Maze • • • • Personal vs. Business debt coverage Net vs. Gross Recurring vs. Non-recurring Earnings vs. Distributions Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Personal vs. Business • Personal or Consumer debt coverage measure is Debt to Income – 40% is acceptable – 36% is preferable – Lower is better Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 8 Personal vs. Business • Business measure is Debt Coverage Ratio – 1.25% is preferable – Higher is better Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Home Mortgage Example • Desired Debt to Income 28 – 36% • Equivalent Debt Coverage Ratio 3.6 to 2.8 Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 9 Business Example • Debt Coverage Ratio 1.5 • Equivalent Debt to Income 67% Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Personal vs. Business • Merging personal and business, FINPACK uses Debt Coverage Ratio for global measure • What is a “good” measure? Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 10 What is a “Good” Measure? • 40% Debt to Income – 60% remaining for living expenses, taxes, toys, etc. • 1.25 Debt Coverage Ratio – Business has covered expenses with some cushion for taxes Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Net vs. Gross • What is a “good” measure? – Are you including personal living expenses? • “Net” method yes • “Gross” method no Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 11 Net vs. Gross • Net method similar to business range 1.25 1.50 Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Net vs. Gross • Gross method has higher ranges 1.75(?) 2.00(?) – Adjust targets for “lifestyle” Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 12 Recurring vs. Non-recurring • Easy answer Only include recurring items – What is recurring? • Averaging over several years flattens out highs & lows – Non-recurring may be “normal” Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Recurring vs. Non-recurring • Non-recurring items leads to more questions – What was done with the proceeds? – Answer is likely not on tax return Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 13 Earnings vs. Distributions • 1040 Schedule E shows pass-through entity income / losses • K-1’s also shows guaranteed payments and distributions • Who wins? Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota Earnings vs. Distributions • Control – Less than 30% or clear minority position • Use K-1 net distribution • Contingent liability (share of debt service) – More than 70% or clear control • Use entity earnings (Net profit + Depreciation + Interest) • Include entity debt service Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 14 FINPACK is a great tool, but it is no substitute for thinking!!! Clark Garland University of Tennessee Copyright © 2013 University of Minnesota 15