Topic: PROCESS CAPABILITY “Development of a Problem Solving Model for the Hong Kong Textiles and Clothing Industries” Project HKRITA Ref. No. : RD/PR/001/07 ITC Ref. No. : ITP/033/07TP Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Why Study Process Capability Process Capability Studies provide a baseline for us to understand how the process is operating relative to the specifications. It is the first, thorough look at how variability is affecting the process, and gives us metrics for quantifying that variability. Such studies also provide information regarding what the process could do under best conditions, and thus gives a performance target to shoot for. Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Variation Process Variation is the inevitable differences among individual measurements or units produced by a process. Sources of Variation • within unit (positional variation) • between units (unit-unit variation) • between lots (lot-lot variation) • between lines (line-line variation) • across time (time-time variation) • measurement error (repeatability & reproducibility) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Types of Variation Inherent or Natural Variation • Due to the cumulative effect of many small unavoidable causes • A process operating with only chance causes of variation present is said to be “in statistical control” Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Types of Variation Special or Assignable Variation • May be due to a) improperly adjusted machine b) operator error c) defective raw material • A process operating in the presence of assignable causes of variation is said to be “out-of-control” Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Capability Process Capability is the inherent reproducibility of a process’s output. It measures how well the process is currently behaving with respect to the output specifications. It refers to the uniformity of the process. Capability is often thought of in terms of the proportion of output that will be within product specification tolerances. The frequency of defectives produced may be measured in a) percentage (%) b) parts per million (ppm) c) parts per billion (ppb) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Capability Process Capability studies can • indicate the consistency of the process output • indicate the degree to which the output meets specifications • be used for comparison with another process or competitor Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Conventional Use of Distribution Curves Upper Limit Lower Limit We will use a smooth curve to represent an actual process distribution Representative Curve 15 20 25 X Dimension Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. 30 Process Capability vs Specification Limits a) b) c) a) Process is highly capable b) Process is marginally capable c) Process is not capable Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Three Types of Limits Specification Limits (LSL and USL) • created by design engineering in response to customer requirements to specify the tolerance for a product’s characteristic Process Limits (LPL and UPL) • measures the variation of a process • the natural 6σ σ limits of the measured characteristic Control Limits (LCL and UCL) • measures the variation of a sample statistic (mean, variance, proportion, etc) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Three Types of Limits Distribution of Individual Values Distribution of Sample Averages Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Capability Indices Two measures of process capability • Process Potential – Cp • Process Performance – Cpu – Cpl – Cpk Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Potential The Cp index assesses whether the natural tolerance (6 σ) of a process is within the specification limits. Cp = Engineering Tolerance Natural Tolerance = USL − LSL 6σ LSL Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. USL Process Potential Historically, a Cp of 1.0 has indicated that a process is judged to be “capable”, i.e. if the process is centered within its engineering tolerance, 0.27% of parts produced will be beyond specification limits. Cp Reject Rate 1.00 0.270 % 1.33 0.007 % 1.50 6.8 ppm 2.00 2.0 ppb Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Potential a) c) b) a) Process is highly capable (Cp>2) b) Process is capable (Cp=1 to 2) c) Process is not capable (Cp<1) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Potential he Cp index compares the allowable spread (USL-LSL) σ). It fails to take into against the process spread (6σ account if the process is centered between the specification limits. Process is centered Process is not centered Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Performance The Cpk index relates the scaled distance between the process mean and the nearest specification limit. C pu = USL − µ 3σ C pl = µ − LSL 3σ C pk = Minimum {C pu , C pl } Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Performance Cpk Reject Rate 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 0.13 – 0.27 % 0.05 – 0.10 % 0.02 – 0.03 % 48.1 – 96.2 ppm 13.4 – 26.7 ppm 3.4 – 6.8 ppm 794 – 1589 ppb 170 – 340 ppb 33 – 67 ppb 6 – 12 ppb 1– 2 ppb Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Performance a) b) Cp = 2 Cpk = 2 Cp = 2 Cpk = 1 c) Cp = 2 a) Process is highly capable (Cpk>1.5) Cpk < 1 b) Process is capable (Cpk=1 to 1.5) c) Process is not capable (Cpk<1) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Example 1 Specification Limits : 4 to 16 g Machine Mean Std Dev (a) 10 4 (b) 10 2 (c) 7 2 (d) 13 1 Determine the corresponding Cp and Cpk for each machine. Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Example 1A USL − LSL 16 − 4 = 6σ 6(4 ) Cp = = 0.5 C pk 16 − 10 10 − 4 USL − µ µ − LSL = Min ; = Min ; = 0.5 3σ 3σ 3(4 ) 3(4 ) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Example 1B USL − LSL 6σ = 16 − 4 = 1.0 6(2 ) Cp = C pk 16 − 10 10 − 4 USL − µ µ − LSL = Min ; = Min ; = 1.0 3σ 3σ 3(2 ) 3(2 ) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Example 1C USL − LSL 6σ = 16 − 4 = 1.0 6(2 ) Cp = C pk 16 − 7 7 − 4 USL − µ µ − LSL = Min ; = Min ; = 0.5 3σ 3σ 3(2 ) 3(2 ) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Example 1D USL − LSL 6σ = 16 − 4 6(1) Cp = = 2.0 C pk 16 − 13 13 − 4 USL − µ µ − LSL = Min ; = Min ; = 1.0 3σ 3(1) 3σ 3(1) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Potential vs Process Performance (a) Poor Process Potential Performance LSL USL (b) Poor Process USL LSL Experimental Design Experimental Design • to reduce variation • to center mean • to reduce variation Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Potential vs Process Performance a) Cp = 2 Cpk = 2 b) Cp = 2 Cpk = 1 c) Cp = 2 Cpk < 1 Cp – Cpk ≡ Missed Opportunity Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Process Stability A process is stable if the distribution of measurements made on the given feature is consistent over time. Stable Process Time Unstable Process Time Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Graphical Representation of Causes of Variations (Juran’s Trilogy) “Special Cause” 變異? 變異 變異不是來自原有系統本身, 變異不是來自原有系統本身, 但是卻代表一種改變. UCL CL LCL Foc u s of Si x Sig ma “Common Cause” 變異? 變異 在流程內與生俱來的變異. UCL CL LCL Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Steps to Study Process Capability • Select critical parameters for study – Parameters from specifications, contract etc. • Collect Data – Collect 60 data or more as far as possible – Define clearly the precision of each data (no. of significant figures, eg up to 2 decimal places) • Establish control – Control the input to the process • Analyze the data of the process collected – Assumption : The process performance is a normal distribution – Focus on mean and standard deviation of sample data • Analyze the source of variation – Find the factors that affect the process mean and process spread (standard deviation) • Establish process monitoring system – Tool – Statistical Process Control Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Summary on Indexes Capability index Cp Formula Short or long term USL – LSL 6σST Cpk Pp Short term Includes shift and drift Considers the process centering No No No Yes Long term Yes No Long term Yes Yes Short term USL – LSL 6σLT Ppk Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Example 2 – Customer request a metal bar from 2 suppliers Customer require 2mm +/- 0.1mm 2 +/- 0.1 mm Supplier A Supplier B Supplier A Cp = 1.11 Supplier B Cp = 0.62 Lower Specification Limit (LSL = 1.9mm) Mean (μ= 2 mm) Upper Specification Limit (USL = 2.1mm) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Location Change If the center of distribution was shifted, customer may not happy even receive a high Cp value. Cp can not reflect the condition of the center shift !! Same Cp value Distribution B Distribution A Out of specification LowerSpecificationLimit (LSL) Mean (μ) UpperSpecificationLimit (USL) Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. CpK Process Capability Index • A measure of conformance (capability) to specification • Compares sample mean to nearest specification against distribution width CpK can more precisely reflect the capability of distribution. Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. Example 3 – Process Variation on Two Suppliers Supplier A Supplier A Cp = 1.11 CpK = 0.22 μ = 1.92 mm LSL = 1.9 mm Supplier B Supplier B Cp = 1.11 CpK = 1.11 μ = 2.00 mm Mean (μ= 2.0 mm) USL=2.1mm Remark: Same SD but different Central Tendency affects Cpk seriously but remains same for Cp. Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved. - THE END - Copyright © 2009 – HKRITA. All rights reserved.