RAFFLES JUNIOR COLLEGE RAFFLES ASIA PROGRAMME OPENING CEREMONY CUM SEMINAR FRIDAY, 22 APRIL 2005, 3.00 PM, RJC LT2 "SINGAPORE AND ASIA : ENGAGING AND TRANSCENDING THE REGION" BY PROF TOMMY KOH Talking Points 1. Thank the Principal of RJC, Mr Winston Hodge, for inviting me. 2. Congratulate RJC for launching the Raffles Asia Programme, which is designed to provide the RJC's scholars in the humanities stream with an exposure to the history, culture, economics and geopolitics of Asia. I support this timely initiative. Since I support this initiative, I had no choice but to say yes when the Principal asked me to join you today to launch the programme and to share a few thoughts with you on the topic: "Singapore and Asia: Engaging and Transcending the Region". 3. In accordance with my wife's standing instruction, I wish to make three points. Singapore and Southeast Asia 4. First, it is Singapore's karma to live in Southeast Asia till the end of time. Some Singaporeans wish we were located in a different neighbourhood. I do not share their sentiment. I think Southeast Asia is a good neighbourhood and better than Northeast Asia, South Asia or West Asia. A few years ago, I visited Bhutan as the special envoy of the Prime Minister of Singapore. I remember vividly a remark that His Majesty the King of Bhutan said to me. He said he had often wished that Bhutan was located in Southeast Asia. However, the King's kind sentiment is not shared by many scholars and journalists in the West and by its Asian copy cats. They continue to bad mouth Southeast Asia, as a region, and ASEAN, as our regional organisation. As a result, both suffer from a negative image. The stereotypical image of ASEAN is that it is an ineffective talk shop. As for the region, I sometimes think that the positive image of the region is overshadowed by the negative image of Myanmar. 5. I want to try to persuade you this afternoon why our region, Southeast Asia, and our regional organisation, ASEAN, deserve your approbation and respect. The following are my ten reasons: (i) ASEAN has kept the peace in Southeast Asia for the past 37+ years. (ii) ASEAN has transformed the 10 disparate countries of Southeast Asia into a relatively cohesive family. (iii) ASEAN has played a catalytic role in the progressive liberalisation and integration of the 10 regional economies, through such instruments as AFTA, AIA, e-ASEAN, IAI etc. After 37 years, ASEAN has now reached a stage where we are talking about forging an ASEAN Community through the establishment of the three pillars, ie ASEAN Economic Community, ASEAN Security Community, and ASEAN Socio-cultural Community. (iv) The ASEAN family has developed a certain corporate culture, which is often referred to as The ASEAN Way. What does it mean? It means our preference for consensus, our habit of consultation, a spirit of give and take, our tradition of settling disputes by peaceful means, our acceptance of diversity, and being open and inclusive in our approach to the world. 2 (v) ASEAN's governments and the energies of its people have been and are being focused on developing their economies, reducing poverty, empowering women, and improving the quality of life of the people. As a result, until the financial crisis in 1997, Southeast Asia was the fastest growing region of the world. With the exceptions of Myanmar and the Philippines, the rest of the region has bounced back from the crisis. (vi) ASEAN has created a platform for the leaders of Southeast Asia to engage, not only among themselves, but in an annual dialogue with the leaders of the major powers, such as the US, EU, Russia, China, Japan, India, as well as other regional players, such as Korea, Australia, New Zealand. No other developing region of the world has such a track record. (vii) In addition, ASEAN has launched several constructive initiatives, such as, the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF), Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM), Forum of East Asia and Latin America Cooperation (FEALAC), ASEAN+China+Japan+ Korea (ASEAN+3) and the Asia-Middle East Dialogue (AMED) which will hold its inaugural meeting in June this year in Singapore. (viii) ASEAN has played a constructive role in world affairs by supporting the rule of law, free trade, market economy, and in combating terrorism, proliferation of WMD, transnational crime, piracy, etc. ASEAN is a strong supporter of the UN, ICJ, IMO, ICAO, WTO, UNEP, WIPO, etc. (ix) ASEAN serves as a role model for a divided world by showing that countries and peoples of diverse ethnicity, language, culture, religion can co-exist in tolerance, mutual respect and harmony. (x) ASEAN also serves as an exemplar of a group of developing countries which is not anti-North or anti-West but which, through its own efforts, and in cooperation with the rest of the world, have made significant progress in development and in the reduction of poverty. 3 Singapore, Northeast and South Asia 6. Second, Singapore should deepen its engagement with China, Japan, Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand. ASEAN is expected to invite China, Japan, Korea and India to the inaugural East Asia Summit (EAS) to be held in December 2005 in Malaysia. I hope that ASEAN will also agree to invite Australia and New Zealand. In order to qualify for an invitation, Australia and New Zealand will have to accede to the ASEAN Treaty of Amity and Cooperation. I hope they will do so. The following is a brief summary of Singapore's engagements with each of those countries. (i) Singapore has an FTA with Japan. Although Japan has suffered from a lost decade, it is still the world's second largest economy. Japan's GDP is three times bigger than that of China. It has world class companies and technology and a quality of life equal to that in the West. I am confident that Japan will break out of its malaise and become a dynamic economy and self-confident country again. Singapore should seek ways to deepen its engagement with Japan. (ii) Singapore has just concluded an FTA with Korea. Once dismissed as a basket case, Korea is today the world's 11th largest economy. Its driving ambition is to catch up with Japan. Korea has rebounded very well from the 1997 financial crisis. It has world class companies, such as Samsung Electronics, and world class technology in ship building, steel, consumer electronics and automobiles. Korea is clearly a country with a bright future. (iii) China's meteoric rise offers many opportunities and poses a few challenges to Singapore. We are major trading partners. Singapore is a major provider of FDI to China. China has become a major source of tourism and talent for Singapore. Singapore should secure an FTA with China, ahead of the completion of the ASEAN-China FTA. China's economy is likely to continue to grow at between 7-8% pa for the foreseeable future. 4 (iv) India is, like China, a continental country of over 1 billion people. India's commitment to opening up her economy and to reform and restructuring is now irreversible. India's economy is likely to grow at between 6-7% pa. Singapore's FTA negotiations with India are very advanced and should be completed in the coming months. Plugging into both the Chinese and Indian economies will put Singapore in a very favourable position in the coming decades. Singapore is in a good position to do so and to act as a bridge between China and India because of our knowledge and understanding of the histories, cultures, languages and religions of those two great civilisations. Historically, Southeast Asia has been the confluence of the two civilisations. It is therefore only appropriate that both China and India should be part of the East Asian Community we are seeking to build. (v) Singapore has FTAs with both Australia and New Zealand. We also enjoy good defence ties with both countries through the Fiver Power Defence Arrangements (FPDA). Australia and New Zealand are closely linked to Southeast Asia by virtue of geography, history, economics and political will. Australia and New Zealand are full dialogue partners of ASEAN and are full members of APEC, ARF, and FEALAC. They have also agreed to launch negotiations on an ASEANAustralia and New Zealand FTA during the ASEAN-Australia and New Zealand Summit last year in Vientiane. In view of all these commonalties, it would be natural and logical to invite them to the inaugural meeting of EAS. (vi) Singapore should play a positive role in the process of building the East Asia Community. At the same time, Singapore should ensure that the EAS would be outward-looking and inclusive so that this new and promising grouping would not be misperceived by others as posing a potential threat to them. Transcending Asia 7. Third, I have so far been talking about Singapore's engagement with Asia. My third point is about the need for Singapore to 5 transcend Asia. Why is there such a need? There is such a need because in our solar system the brightest sun is the United States and the second brightest sun is Europe. Singapore must plot a trajectory which would enable us to orbit around the US, Europe and Asia. Singapore has an FTA with the US and is currently negotiating a framework agreement with the EU, which can be viewed as a step towards a full FTA. In addition, we should seek to engage with other regions of the world which show potential, such as Latin America and the Middle-East. As a small country, Singapore is always seeking to expand its political and economic space. Our foreign policy must therefore rest on the twin pillars of engaging Asia and transcending Asia. Is there a contradiction between the two pillars? I do not think so. Conclusion 8. Let me bring my remarks to a conclusion. What is the relevance of my talk to the Raffles Asia Programme? The relevance is that for a person to prosper in this globalised world, the person must have three kinds of intelligence, IQ, EQ and CQ. By CQ, I mean cultural intelligence. If you wish to succeed in another country, for example, China, India or Indonesia, you need to know that country's language, culture and civilisation. You need to know how to behave in an appropriate way in that country's cultural box. It will help if you have, in addition, a network in that country. You should forge friendships with ASEAN scholars in our schools, JCs and universities. You should also participate in exchange programmes so that you will expand your network. I hope such exchanges could be part of the Raffles Asia Programme. You live in a very exciting new world, a world full of possibilities and opportunities. I wish you success in your life journey. ..... 6