AFM 371 Winter 2008 Chapter 16 - Capital Structure: Basic Concepts 1 / 24 Outline Background Capital Structure in Perfect Capital Markets Examples Leverage and Shareholder Returns Corporate Taxes 2 / 24 Background Background capital structure is the firm’s mix of financing instruments we will consider a highly simplified context with only straight debt and common shares let B denote the market value of the firm’s debt and let S denote the market value of the firm’s equity firm value V = B + S the pie: B S two questions: 1. What happens to the cost of various sources of funds if the firm changes its capital structure? 2. Is there an optimal capital structure? 3 / 24 Cost of Capital Review Background the cost of equity rS is the expected return on the firm’s common shares in the CAPM rS = rf + β [E (rM ) − rf ] note that this return can be in the form of dividends, capital gains, or both the cost of debt rB is the expected return on the firm’s debt, i.e. the rate of interest paid the weighted average cost of capital is given by rWACC = S B × rS + × rB B +S B +S note that we are ignoring (for now) the tax deductibility of interest payments read over chapters 11 and 13 to review these concepts 4 / 24 The Objective of Management since management is (in principle) controlled by the shareholders, we normally assume that management seeks to maximize the value of the firm’s equity however, as long as there are no costs of bankruptcy, maximizing equity value S is equivalent to maximizing firm value V example: a firm has 10,000 shares; share price is $25 debt has a market value of $100,000 firm value V = B + S = $100,000 + $25 × $10,000 = $350,000 suppose the firm borrows another $50,000 and pays it immediately as a special dividend the value of debt increases to $150,000, but how are shareholders affected? Background 5 / 24 The Objective of Management Cont’d Background consider three possible outcomes: S Dividend Capital gain/loss Net gain/loss V ↑ $380,000 $230,000 $50,000 -$20,000 $30,000 V → $350,000 $200,000 $50,000 -$50,000 $0 V ↓ $320,000 $170,000 $50,000 -$80,000 -$30,000 the change in capital structure benefits the shareholders if and only if the value of the firm increases managers should choose the capital structure that they believe will have the highest firm value (i.e. make the pie as big as possible) 6 / 24 Perfect Capital Markets we will begin by assuming perfect capital markets: information is free and available to everyone on an equal basis no transaction costs no taxes no costs of bankruptcy we will also assume (for simplicity) that all cash flows are perpetuities (just to make the calculations easier) two famous names: Modigliani and Miller (MM) MM Proposition I (No Taxes): The market value of any firm is independent of its capital structure let VU be the value of an “unlevered” firm (i.e. all equity financing) and let VL be the value of an otherwise identical “levered” firm (i.e. some debt financing) MM Proposition I (No Taxes) then simply says VU = VL Capital Structure in Perfect Capital Markets 7 / 24 Proof of MM Proposition I (No Taxes) let X be the identical income stream generated by each firm (i.e. U and L); VU = SU be the value of the unlevered firm; and VL = SL + BL be the value of the levered firm consider an investor who owns some fraction α (e.g. 5%) of the shares of U: α of U’s equity Investment αSU = αVU Return αX this investor can get the same return by investing in L: α of L’s equity α of L’s bonds Investment αSL = α(VL − BL ) αBL αVL Return α(X − rBL ) αrBL αX if VU > VL the investor would not buy any shares in U since the same return is available on a smaller investment in L Capital Structure in Perfect Capital Markets 8 / 24 Proof of MM Proposition I (No Taxes) Cont’d consider an investor who owns α of L’s equity: α of L’s equity Investment αSL = α(VL − BL ) Return α(X − rBL ) this investor can get the same return by investing in U and borrowing on personal account: α of U’s equity Borrow αBL Investment αSU = αVU -αBL α(VU − BL ) Return αX -αrBL α(X − rBL ) if VL > VU the investor would not buy any shares in L since the same return is available on a smaller investment in U we have shown that no-one would buy shares in U if VU > VL and that no-one would buy shares in L if VL > VU therefore VU = VL is the only solution consistent with market equilibrium Capital Structure in Perfect Capital Markets 9 / 24 Some Observations MM’s result is based on a no-arbitrage argument: if two investments give the same future returns, they must cost the same today a key (implicit) assumption is that individuals can borrow as cheaply as corporations one way to do this is through buying stock on margin with a margin purchase, the broker lends the investor a portion of the cost (e.g. to buy $10,000 of stock on 40% margin, put up $6,000 of your own money and borrow $4,000 from the broker) since the broker holds the stock as collateral, brokers generally charge relatively low rates of interest firms, on the other hand, often borrow using illiquid assets as collateral (and get charged higher rates) the same arguments apply to more complicated capital structures the same arguments apply if cash flows are not perpetuities Capital Structure in Perfect Capital Markets 10 / 24 Example #1 Examples given VU = $100M, X = $10M, r = 5%, BL = $50M, then MM Proposition I ⇒ SL = $50M suppose SL = $40M: suppose SL = $60M: 11 / 24 Example #2 suppose a firm has the following all equity capital structure: Original Capital Structure: All Equity Number of shares 1,000 Share price $10 Market value of shares $10,000 operating income differs across economic states as follows: State Probability Operating income EPS ROE Examples 1 0.20 $500 $0.50 5% 2 0.20 $750 $0.75 7.5% 3 0.20 $1,500 $1.50 15% 4 0.20 $2,250 $2.25 22.5% 5 0.20 $2,500 $2.50 25% Expected Value $1,500 $1.50 15% 12 / 24 Example #2 Cont’d Examples consider an alternative capital structure with 50% debt financing: Alternative Capital Structure: 50% Debt Number of shares 500 Share price $10 Market value of shares $5,000 Market value of debt $5,000 assuming an interest rate of 10%: State Probability Operating income Interest Equity earnings EPS ROE 1 0.20 $500 $500 $0 $0.00 0% 2 0.20 $750 $500 $250 $0.50 5% 3 0.20 $1,500 $500 $1,000 $2.00 20% 4 0.20 $2,250 $500 $1,750 $3.50 35% 5 0.20 $2,500 $500 $2,000 $4.00 40% Expected Value $1,500 $500 $1,000 $2.00 20% 13 / 24 Example #2 Cont’d Examples graphing EPS vs. operating income: EPS 4.00 3.50 50% debt 2.50 2.25 2.00 All equity 1.50 0.75 0.50 0.00 0 500 750 1500 2250 2500 Operating income 14 / 24 Example #2 Cont’d Examples since the expected ROE is higher under 50% debt, should the firm switch to this capital structure? not only have expected returns increased, but so has risk the MM argument is that is doesn’t matter, because investors can effectively create the payoffs from the alternative capital structure themselves (“homemade leverage”) assume the firm stays with the original all equity capital structure but a particular investor prefers the alternative suppose the investor buys 10 shares (at a cost of $100), but finances this by investing $50 and borrowing $50: EPS Earnings (10 shares) Interest (10% on $50) Dollar returns Percentage returns (on $50 invested) $0.50 $5.00 -$5.00 $0.00 0% $0.75 $7.50 -$5.00 $2.50 5% $1.50 $15.00 -$5.00 $10.00 20% $2.25 $22.50 -$5.00 $17.50 35% $2.50 $25.00 -$5.00 $20.00 40% 15 / 24 How Does Leverage Affect Shareholder Returns? note that from the previous example that leverage increases the expected returns and risk for equity, even if there is no chance of bankruptcy recall the weighted average cost of capital formula rWACC = B S × rS + × rB B +S B +S MM Proposition I implies that the weighted average cost of capital is constant (i.e. independent of capital structure) in the previous example: Leverage and Shareholder Returns 16 / 24 MM Proposition II (No Taxes) define r0 = cost of capital for all equity firm expected earnings for all equity firm = value of equity since r0 = rWACC , we have r0 = S B × rS + × rB B +S B +S this can be rearranged to yield MM Proposition II (No Taxes): Leverage and Shareholder Returns rS = r0 + B (r0 − rB ) S 17 / 24 MM Proposition II (No Taxes) Cont’d Cost of capital (%) graphing MM Proposition II: rS rWACC r0 Leverage and Shareholder Returns rB B/S 18 / 24 Corporate Taxes Corporate Taxes so far we have ignored corporate taxes, but the tax deductibility of interest payments gives a big advantage to debt financing let TC be the corporate tax rate, and recall from chapter 13 that rWACC = S B × rS + × rB × (1 − TC ) B +S B +S a levered firm makes interest payments of rB × B, and therefore has its corporate taxes reducted by rB × B × TC (the tax shield from debt) in an all equity firm, the after tax cash flow to the shareholders is EBIT × (1 − TC ) in a levered firm, the total after tax cash flow to the shareholders and bondholders is EBIT × (1 − TC ) + TC rB B 19 / 24 MM Proposition I (Corporate Taxes) Corporate Taxes the value of an all equity (unlevered) firm is the present value of the after tax cash flow to the shareholders VU = EBIT × (1 − TC ) r0 MM Proposition I (Corporate Taxes): VL = VU + PV(debt tax shield) assuming the amount borrowed is constant over time, we can calculate the present value of the debt tax shield by discounting the cash flow at the rate of interest to get: EBIT × (1 − TC ) TC rB B + r0 rB = VU + TC B VL = 20 / 24 Example #3 Corporate Taxes an investment project costs $100,000 and produces EBIT of $20,000 per year forever, TC = 36%. financing choices: U: all equity; L: $40,000 debt, rB = 5%, r0 = 10% EBIT Interest EBT Tax Net income Total cash paid to investors U $20,000 0 20,000 7,200 12,800 $12,800 L $20,000 2,000 18,000 6,480 11,520 $13,520 suppose the firm chooses U and issues 10,000 shares. It would have the following market value balance sheet: Physical assets $128,000 Equity $128,000 (10,000 shares) 21 / 24 Example #3 Cont’d Corporate Taxes now the firm announces it will switch to L by issuing $40,000 of debt and repurchasing shares in an efficient market, the stock price will react immediately to this announcement the firm value will rise by the present value of the tax shield, so the market value balance sheet becomes Physical assets $128,000 Equity (10,000 shares) the firm then issues the debt and carries out the repurchase: Physical assets $128,000 Debt Equity $40,000 22 / 24 MM Proposition II (Corporate Taxes) Corporate Taxes how does leverage affect rS and rWACC ? MM Proposition II (Corporate Taxes): rS = r0 + B × (1 − TC ) × (r0 − rB ) S 23 / 24 MM Proposition II (Corporate Taxes) Cont’d Cost of capital (%) graphing MM Proposition II: r0 Corporate Taxes rS = r0 + (B/S)(r0 − rB ) rS − r0 + (B/S)(1 − TC )(r0 − rB ) rWACC = (S/V )rS + (B/V )(1 − TC )rB rB B/S 24 / 24