CURRENT ISSUES OF THE ENERGY SECTOR IN POLAND Krzysztof Żmijewski Technical University of Warsaw OPTI_ENERGY Advisory Board Meeting Gliwice, March 2003 I. The main and basic problem of the Polish energy sector is its low productivity, which is coupled with the low efficiency of energy use. Energy consumption per capita in Poland is twice as low as in the EU; Energy consumption for GDP unit in Poland is twice as much as in the EU; Efficiency of power plants in Poland is 36.5%; Efficiency of power plants in the EU is 46.5%; Number of employees Installed capacity Sales * E.ON 39.5 thousand 34 GW 318 TWh Poland 120 thousand 34 GW 106 TWh *In addition, E.ON sells about 95 TWh of gas and more that 200 mln m3 of water. II. There is an enormous technical disproportion in the Polish energy sector, i.e. its technical structure isn’t quite tailored for the functional needs and expectations of the end-users. Power sector • There is an excess of active installed capacity: 34 GW installed capacity versus 22 GW of peak capacity demand, i.e. 155% with UCTE expectations of 125% and European trends of 110%; At the same time, a huge part of this over-capacity is worn out not only morally, but also technologically; In consequence, in the situation of great necessity for modernisation, the possibility for capital concentration for this goal is blocked. • Incorrect topology of the transmission grid of 400 kV – failure to close the north-eastern loop (Olsztyn/Mątki-Ełk-Białystok/Narew) and the north-western one (Szczecin/KrajnikPoznań/Plewiska-Ostrów Wlkp.); • Weak topology of the generation- lack of sources in the north and their concentration in the south; • Lack of a back-up measurement system regarding transfer between energy distribution companies on the lines of 110 kV; • Open topology of the distribution grid of 15 and 3 kV resulting in weak power supplies to rural regions; - big power drops even to 170 V frequent breaks in supplies instability of the voltage Gas industry • Inadequate retention of the system; • One-sided charging of the system (only from the East); • Backing out of the construction of the second branch of the Jamal gas-pipeline through Poland; • Inadequate capacity of border links; • Lack of technical access to the first branch of the Jamal gas-pipeline (there is only one! connection), which practically means that the above pipeline is an exterritorial gas corridor; • Inadequate development of the distribution network (low-pressured ) – white spots on the map of gas supply; District heating • The district heating network has the structure (technology, potential and topology) dating from the period of increased heat demand and old programmes of urban investments, which were not always completed; • Lack of possibility to adjust proper regulation increases heat losses; • Speed of the flow is very much different from that estimated during the design, which leads to heat losses; • Proper qualitative/quantitative regulation is rare; • Less than 20% of pipes are exchanged for pre-isolated ones; • Peak sources and own CHP sources are rare; • Efficiency of heat sources is 50-93% (in the EU- 75-93%); • Water leakage in the district heating systems is 7 replacements/a (in the EU 1-3 replacements/a); • Efficiency of heating sources 50-86% (in the EU 70-91%). III. The Polish power industry is experiencing a serious economic crisis. Power sector • The internal (domestic) price of electrical power is higher than prices in the neighbouring countries (this is due to costs of maintenance of non-productive capacities and high cost of energy from the Purchase Power Agreements – Long Term Contracts); • Export is possible only with prices resulting from marginal costs of the power-and-mining sectors, which can lead to accusations of dumping; • The possibility of cheap power supply from neighbouring countries of up to 20 TWh//a without any grid investments (those are also planned, which will lead to the increase of the aforementioned numbers); • Return on investments in the Polish power industry does not even reach minimum of 7%; • Tariffs are regulated mainly on a social basis; • The open market, where the best could be winners, is not functioning; • Low employment efficiency, necessity for outplacement of 60-80% of employees; • Lack of penalty for non-efficient activity (but the other way round); Gas sector • The national gas price for heavy chemical- or power industry is higher than, for example, in Germany; • An open market does not exist, neither does any competition; • PGNiG is very “strong” in relation to domestic users, and very “weak” in relation to the foreign supplier; District heating • A permanent trend of clients to run away from heating from centralised sources; • High burden of energy costs, especially heating, (about 10%) in domestic budgets (in the EU 3-5%); • Very low return on investments; • Lack of financial sources for modernisation and reconstruction, existing sources (depreciation fund plus profit) are not always fully used; • Weak diversity of profit sources (about 5%); • Necessity for outplacement of at least 50% of employees. Mining industry • High debt burden; • Only few mines register profits on operational activity; • National price (loco harbours) is higher than the price of foreign coal; IV. Polish power industry is facing an enormous challenge related to the necessity of adjustment to the environmental requirement (derivatives of the Kyoto protocol, SO2 protocol and EU regulations). • • • • • • Lack of green certificates; A conservative tax system (lack of coal/power tax); Lack of Emissions Trading Mechanism (lack of such systems as ATS, ETS, lack of Emissions Trading Platform, lack of legislation); Lack of BAT supporting mechanisms; Lack of Voluntary Agreements or any other similar mechanisms; Discrimination of ESCO-type companies ( executing TPF). V. Legislation is non-complete or non-functional, some solutions are only partial while others are non-existent. • Energy planning in gminas – binding – but not functioning; • TPA principle in the power and gas grids, as well as district heating networkbinding – but not functioning; • Grid codes – introduced by the “side-door”, i.e. illegally not binding – but functioning (blocking the market); • Power exchange – exists- but hardly functions; • Obligation to possess 2,5% energy from renewable sourcesexists- but does not function; • DSM, ESCO – exists – but does not function; • Desolate costs – long-term contracts – unsolved problem; • Transparency of the regulation – non-existent; • Mechanisms of support for energy efficiencydo not exist or do not function; • Energy labels and certificatesdo not quite function or do not exist; • Innovative systems of energy management in industry and buildingsnon-existent; • Linear infrastructure investment regulating law – does not exist; VI. In the Polish power sector, especially in its grid part, there is still a monopolistic and even authoritarian culture. • • • • Energy enterprises are not client-oriented; Marketing services and techniques, such as CRM, Call Centre, Key Account Managers do not exist at all or do not function; There is a lack of segmented offers which are tailored to fulfil the client’s expectations; existing segmentation is based exclusively on the volume of power bought and voltage or pressure at the connection point; Loyalty and promotion programmes do not exist. VII. Power sector does not have a definite functional (development, restructurisation and privatisation) strategy, which means that it does not execute this strategy, or executes a lot of different ones, which leads to the same conclusion. From the aforementioned seven points we can conclude that the Polish energy industry does not have a good housekeeper who cares about its condition and would allow it to fulfil its prime function of being a blood-system of the national economy. Independently from the ruling political option, the Polish state does not seem to be able to fulfil the role of a proper owner, using this for reaching of short-term goals of a non-economical character; the horizon does not stretch further that coming elections. Unfortunately, the privatisation process also does not take into account the demands of the strategy – which naturally results from its non-existence. Just for the record, let me remind you that the strategy should identify goals/problems and suggest methods to reach/solve them; strategy is not a slogan about securing the power safety of the state and protecting legitimate interests of the end-users. Thus, strategy must also describe ways to reach these, undoubtedly correct, goals.