DECEMBER 2012 Qatar Telecommunication Company (QTEL) Research Division Company Reports Coverage Initiation Report Please read Disclaimer on the back All rights reserved, AlJAZIRA CAPITAL © AGM - Head of Research RESEARCH DIVISION Abdullah Alawi +966 2 6618275 a.alawi@aljaziracapital.com.sa Senior Analyst Syed Taimure Akhtar +966 2 6618271 s.akhtar@aljaziracapital.com.sa Analyst Saleh Al-Quati +966 2 6618253 s.alquati@aljaziracapital.com.sa General Manager - Brokerage Division BROKERAGE AND INVESTMENT CENTERS DIVISION Ala’a Al-Yousef +966 1 2256000 a.yousef@aljaziracapital.com.sa AGM-Head of international and institutional brokerage Luay Jawad Al-Motawa +966 1 2256277 lalmutawa@aljaziracapital.com.sa Regional Manager - West and South Regions Abdullah Al-Misbahi +966 2 6618404 a.almisbahi@aljaziracapital.com.sa Area Manager - Qassim & Eastern Province Abdullah Al-Rahit +966 6 3617547 aalrahit@aljaziracapital.com.sa Aljazira Capital is a Saudi Investment Company licensed by the Capital Market Authority (CMA), License No. 07076-37 DECEMBER 2012 Qatar Telecom (QTEL) • Increase in Wataniya stake: QTEL recently raised its stake in Wataniya (Kuwait Telecom Operator) from 52.5% to 92.1%. Wataniya’s management was not able to fully capitalize on the opportunities that were being provided by the developing markets like Algeria, and Tunisia. With QTEL taking over the management of the company, backed by the strong historical result, we can see QTEL making some strategic decisions, even going as further as getting rid of the loss-making subsidiaries, which we believe will be the right move, given the negative impact these subsidiaries have been having on the company’s financials. Investment Snapshot 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Revenue Net profit for the period EBITDA Margins EBIT Margins Net Margins ROE ROA PE (x) EV/EBITDA (x) 31,765 5,943 50% 28% 19% 15% 6% 6.37 3.77 33,909 5,673 47% 25% 17% 13% 5% 8.64 4.31 36,883 6,139 47% 25% 17% 13% 6% 6.78 3.97 38,907 6,447 47% 24% 17% 13% 6% 6.46 3.71 40,351 6,275 47% 23% 16% 12% 6% 6.64 3.61 • Valuation: QTEL strong international presence along with its wide array of services, has resulted in a strong brand. We believe the increase in Wataniya stake will have a positive impact on the company’s earnings. We initiate our Coverage on QTEL with an “Overweight” stance. • Risks to our Valuation: • Foreign exchange risk: QTEL generates more than 80% of its revenue from the international markets, due to which it is always susceptible to foreign exchange movement. Given the prevalent risk of currency depreciation we have assumed a currency translation risk factor in our valuation. • Wataniya’s acquisition: The company has increased its stake in Wataniya (Kuwait) to 92.1%. Although we have assumed that this is the right step and QTEL’s management will be able to improves Wataniya’s earnings. However if the management is not able to execute it plans, we believe our estimation will have to subsided. We assumed a discount factor for Wataniya’s acquisition. Current Price: QAR 103.9 QAR 130 12-month price target: 25.1% Upside/(Downside): Price Chart QTEL-LHS Qatar Se-RHS 135 125 115 105 5-Oct-12 5-Nov-12 5-Sep-12 5-Jul-12 5-Aug-12 5-Jun-12 5-Apr-12 85 5-May-12 95 5-Mar-12 Data services the real growth driver: With the advent of smart phone, and a meteoric rise in their sales, telecom operators all across the globe are concentrating their efforts to the make the data services (internet) as efficient and fast as possible, and with the penetration levels crossing 100%, we believe the consumers are already switching from normal mobile to smart phones, which consequently will result in higher data demand. Overweight 5-Jan-12 • Customers base likely to slow down: QTEL had a cumulative customer base of over 102 mn towards the end of 3Q-2012, out of which in accordance with QTEL share in respective company’s, the diluted customer base stands at 68.1mn. QTEL customer base has shown a 3 Year CAGR of 14.2%.As penetration level crossed 100% in QTEL countries of operation, and 200% in Qatar, therefore, we expect the customer growth to slowdown. Our customer base growth assumption is roughly based on the future population growth, subscribers penetration and the company’s market share. Rating: 5-Feb-12 • Multinational Telecom operator: Qatar Telecommunication Company (QTEL) is a multinational Telecom operator that operates in the MENA and Asian region through its subsidiaries and affiliates. The government of Qatar holds 68% stake in the company directly and indirectly, which gives the company a strong financial backing. 5-Dec-11 • 9000 8900 8800 8700 8600 8500 8400 8300 8200 8100 8000 Key Information Reuters Code QTEL.QA Bloomberg Code QTEL:QD Country: Qatar Sector: Telecommunication Primary Listing: Qatar SE, Abu Dhabi SE M-Cap: 52 Weeks H/L: QAR 33,281mn 123.30/93.77 DECEMBER 2012 Valuation SOPM ( Sum of The Parts Method) • • • • • • • We have used SOPM method to arrive at the Price target of the company. The value of the company’s are calculated on Discounted Cash Flow Methodology. We have taken Debt : Equity of 47% : 53%. Since the QTEL operates on a multinational scale, it is always susceptive to currency risk. We have assumed currency risk factor based on the currency performance in the last 2 years We have also assumed the risk factor for QTEL, for raising its stake in Wataniya (Kuwait) and its subsidiaries. Required return on equity (Ke) is based on country risk on Damodaran’s assumptions for Jan-2012, Country default (spreads) are based on Moody’s rating. 2 yrs weekly beta’s are taken from Bloomberg, We have assumed Wataniya’s Beta for its subsidiaries. Required Return on Equity Qatar Indonesia Iraq Oman Kuwait Algeria Tunisia Palestine Maldives Saudi Arabia Wi-tribe Limited Risk Free rate Market Return 2.5% 4.4% 8.0% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 12.0% 6.0% 2.7% 8.0% 12.0% 12.1% 15.0% 10.3% 10.3% 15.0% 15.0% 30.0% 17.0% 13.9% 17.0% Beta (Bloomberg) Ke 0.77 0.85 1.00 1.19 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.10 1.00 9.8% 11.0% 15.0% 11.7% 10.9% 15.9% 15.9% 31.4% 17.8% 15.1% 17.0% Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Research Weighted Average Cost of Capital Qatar Indonesia Iraq Oman Kuwait Algeria Tunisia Palestine Maldives Saudi Arabia Multiple WdKd WeKe 4.7% 5.7% 6.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 5.7% 3.8% 6.2% 5.2% 5.8% 7.9% 6.1% 5.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.5% 9.4% 7.9% 8.9% Currency Wataniaya translation risk acqusition risk 0.0% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% WACC 9.9% 16.5% 19.6% 10.9% 16.5% 22.1% 22.1% 31.6% 21.1% 11.7% 15.1% Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Research Company Country Discounted FCF QTEL Qatar INDOSAT Indonesia ASIA CELL Iraq NAWRAS Oman WATANIYA Kuwait NEDJMA Algeria TUNISIANA Tunisia WATANIYA Mobile Palestine BRAVO Saudi Arabia Wataniya Telecom Maldives Maldives Wi-tribe Multiple Total FCF Net Debt FCFE No of Shares in mn Price Target 2012 2013 2014 2015 1,916 2,224 705 189 734 407 649 (43) (80) (49) (856) 5,796 1,922 2,105 650 188 695 368 587 (36) (79) (44) (820) 5,535 1,856 1,918 577 180 633 320 510 (29) (75) (39) (756) 5,095 1,844 1,798 527 177 594 286 456 (24) (73) (35) (717) 4,833 Terminal Value 23,815 12,679 2,870 2,029 4,187 1,371 2,187 (80) (692) (176) (5,137) 43,053 64,312 22,543 41,769 320 130 Source: Aljazira Research • Valuation: QTEL strong international presence along with its wide array of services, has resulted in a strong brand. We believe the increase in Wataniya stake will have a positive impact on the company’s earnings. We initiate our Coverage on QTEL with an “Overweight” stance. DECEMBER 2012 Qatar Telecommunication Company Qatar Telecommunication Company (QTEL) is a multinational telecom operator that operates in the MENA and Asian region through its subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company provides Wireless, Fixed line and data services to its customers in Qatar, Indonesia, Iraq, Oman, Algeria, Tunisia, Kuwait, Maldives and others. QTEL(Qatar) 100% Owned Asia Cell (Iraq) 30% Share Wataniya (Kuwait) 92.1% Stake Witribe Limited & Witribe Asia (Pakistan, Jordan, Phillipines) Asia Mobile Company 25% Stake Tunisiana(Tunisia) 69% QTEL Stake Wataniya (Palestine) 45% QTEL Stake Bravo (Saudi Arabia) 51% QTEL Stake Wataniya (Maldives) 92% QTEL Stake Indosat (indonesia) 65% Share Nedjma (Algeria) 81% QTEL Stake Source: Company reports, Zawya Qtel provides the following services through its subsidiaries in the country of domicile. Company Name Qtel Country Services Qatar Landline, Mobile, Data , 2G,3G, 4G LTE Indosat Indonesia Landline, Mobile, Data , 2G and SDR (Software Defined radio) technology which will ultimatley allow for flexible and seamless integration of 2G, 3G/3.5G Asia Cell Iraq First company to introduce mobile services in Iraq,Wireless Prepaid Serivce, GPRS/EDGE, 3G in trial phase Wataniya Kuwait Mobile Servies, Fully integrated Datad Network with 2G, 3G technology, Smart Phones services Nedjma Algeria Mobile services, core network fullyt 3G ready Tunisiana Tunisia Wireless, and Broad band services Nawras Oman Fixed Line, Mobile, 3G+ Wataniya Palestine Mobile services Bravo Saudi Arabia Push to talk (PTT), cellular communication Wataniya Maldives Mobile and data services, 3G and HSPDA ready network. Witribe Jordan, Pakistan, Philippines Wireless Broadband Source: Company reports Share Holding Structure The government of Qatar holds 68% stake in the company, directly and indirectly. Given the majority presence of the Qatari government in the shareholding structure means that QTEL stands on strong financial footing. QTEL Shareholding Structure Source: Zawya Abu Dhabi Other Qatari govermental Inv. Authority instituitions 10% 13% Public 22% Government of Qatar 55% DECEMBER 2012 Strong Multinational customer base- backbone of QTEL operations QTEL had a cumulative customer base of over 102 mn towards the end of 3Q-2012, out of which in accordance with QTEL share in respective company’s, the effective customer base stands at 68.1mn.QTEL customer base has shown a 3 Year CAGR of 14.2%. The biggest subscriber contribution comes from Indonesia which towards the end of 3Q2012 stood at 53%, followed by Algeria at 13% and Tunisia at 9%. However the revenue contribution from these countries is not proportional to the size of the customer base, as revenue from Indosat accounted for 27% of the total revenue, where as Qatar, which has total contribution of 3.85% to the customer base, accounted for 18% of the total revenues. Revenue Breakup Tunisia 7.90% Algeria 10.10% Kuwait 8.70% Source: Company reports Oman 5.40% Subscribers Breakup Others 2.60% Tunisia Qatar 18.30% Qatar 3.6% 9.30% Kuwait 5.40% Indonesia 27.20% Iraq 19.80% Algeria 13.10% Others 6.10% 53% Indonesia 53.10% Oman 1.70% Iraq 7.70% ARPU to remain flat-data services to drive growth With the introduction of new mobile products like smart phones and tablets, usage of internet on these devices have risen dramatically over the years. The demand for solid data packages from the mobile operators have been showing strong growth over the years. With introduction of EDGE, GPRS,2G 3G, 3.5G, 4G/LTE technology, the landscape of the world telecom operators is changing rapidly, reliance on mobiles for making calls alone is not enough. With higher smart phones sales expected in the coming years, and the introduction of these technologies in the cheaper segment of phones, data is becoming the main telecom play. The higher the quality of services the greater will be the subscriber base of the company. 25% 100 90 20% 80 70 15% 60 In mn QTEL Customers- Country Wise 50 10% 40 30 Source: Company reports, AlJazira research 5% 20 10 0% 2009 Qatar Tunisia 2010 Indonesia Oman 2011 2012 Iraq Others 2013 2014 Kuwait % Growth-RHS 2015 Algeria The Blended ARPU (Average Revenue Per Unit) of the group has fallen from QAR 100 in 1Q-2009 to QAR 97 in 3Q-2012. The blended ARPU of the company has more or less remained constant over the last couple of years. With increasing competition in the market, and the penetration levels of the country’s in which QTEL operates almost reaching 100%, we believe growth in customers will primarily depend on population growth, whereas the market share of the company in its respective markets are expected to remain constant. As discussed earlier, with strong smart phones growth expected and higher concentration of QTEL towards expanding its data network and remaining up to date with new technology will help QTEL in maintaining its forte over the coming years. Given the higher usage of data services on smart phones and tablet PC’s , we have adjusted our ARPU assumption for QTEL subsidiaries and expect the Blended APRU of the company to show a 4year CAGR of 5%. DECEMBER 2012 3,000,000,000 2,500,000,000 Tablets 2,000,000,000 Global Smart Phones’ Sales We are here Units 1,500,000,000 Smartphones 1,000,000,000 Source: Business Intelligence 500,000,000 Personal Computers 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 120 115 115 112 110 108 105 Average APRU of QTEL 102 103 101 100 100 99 97 95 99 97 100 98 97 95 90 Source: QTel 85 400 350 120% Source: Company Reports In million 330 326 321 317 312 300 Mobile Penetration Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1 2012 Q4 2011 Q3 2011 Q2 2011 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q3 2010 Q2 2010 Q1 2010 Q4 2009 Q3 2009 Q2 2009 Q1 2009 80 273 288 321 334 333 100% 234 250 200 110% 90% 80% 171 150 70% 100 60% 50 50% - 2007 2008 Population-(LHS) 2009 2010 Subscribers-(LHS) 2011 40% 2012 % Penetration-(RHS) QTEL Subsidiaries- Providing the impetus for growth QTEL growth has been the product of its expansion into the global market, with its presence felt in a number of countries. QTEL has aggressively expanded beyond its borders, given the small Qatari population and a highly saturated market, QTEL had to look beyond its borders to expand. Ownership Structure Qtel Indonesia Asia Cell Nawras Wataniya Nedjma Tunisiana Wataniya Bravo Wataniya Wi-tribe Country Qatar Indosat Iraq Oman Kuwait Algeria Tunisia Palestine Saudi Arabia Maldives Pakistan,Jordan & Philippines Mobile Penetration Subscribers QTEL Market Share in 2011 Revenue for 2011 in (mn) 162% 97% 78% 168% 136% 76% 111% 74% 202% 128% 2.38 51.94 8.98 1.96 1.96 8.51 6.62 0.47 0.16 0.32 72% 26% 35% 40% 40% 31% 56% 24% N/A 26% 5,704 8,550 5,934 1,939 3,223 2,961 2,779 273 255 124 122 Source: Company reports DECEMBER 2012 QTEL recently raised its stake in Wataniya from 52.5% to 92.1%, as the company was not able to fully capitalize on the opportunities that were being provided by the developing market like Algeria, and Tunisia. Wataniya’s Saudi arm, Bravo, the Push to Talk (PTT) service provider, has been showing weak performance, as the losses of the company has been expanding. The company was also impacted by the foreign exchange translation in some of its subsidiaries. With QTEL taking over the management of the company, backed by the strong historical result, we can see QTEL making some hard decisions, even going as further as to getting rid of the loss making subsidiaries, which we believe will be the right move, given the negative impact these subsidiaries have been having on the company financials. In hindsight this looks like the right direction for the company and the change in management of Wataniya group will take the company in the right direction, given QTEL’s management track record. Foreign Exchange translation-depressing ARPU One risk that is always prevalent for a multinational company is the foreign exchange risk, since the revenues are realized in the respective local currencies. QTEL due to its existence in international market has also been effected by the currency translation risk, especially in Indonesia, Kuwait, and Tunisia where the company’s ARPU has seen a decline. 17.0 0.00044 Indosat ARPU (Indonesia) 16.0 15.0 0.00042 13.0 0.00041 12.0 0.0004 11.0 10.0 0.00039 9.0 0.00038 8.0 Wataniya ARPU (Kuwait) Oct-12 Aug-12 Apr-12 Jun-12 Feb-12 Dec-11 Oct-11 Aug-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2011 Q2 2011 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q3 2010 Q2 2010 Q1 2010 Q4 2009 Q3 2009 Q2 2009 Q1 2009 160.0 Feb-11 0.00037 7.0 Dec-10 In QAR 14.0 IDR/QAR 13.4 150.0 13.3 140.0 13.2 Kuwaiti DInar Vs Qatari Riyal 13.1 130.0 13 .0 120.0 12.9 110.0 12.8 100.0 Aug-12 Oct-12 Aug-12 Oct-12 Jun-12 Apr-12 Feb-12 Dec-11 KWD/QAR 2.8 Tunisiana ARPU (Tunisia) Oct-11 Aug-11 Jun-11 Apr-11 Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1 2012 Q4 2011 Q3 2011 Q2 2011 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q3 2010 Q2 2010 Q1 2010 Q4 2009 Q3 2009 Q2 2009 Q1 2009 50.0 Feb-11 12.7 90.0 Dec-10 In QAR Indonesian Rupiah Vs Qatari Riyal 0.00043 Tunisian DInar Vs Qatari Riyal 2.7 45.0 2.6 2.4 2.3 35.0 2.2 2.1 30.0 Source: Company reports Jun-12 Apr-12 Feb-12 Dec-11 Oct-11 Aug-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1 2012 Q4 2011 Q3 2011 Q2 2011 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q3 2010 Q2 2010 Q1 2010 Q4 2009 Q3 2009 Q2 2009 Q1 2009 Feb-11 2 25.0 Dec-10 In QAR 2.5 40.0 TND/QAR Source: Oanda Going forward, given the weakness in these currency our assumption for growth in the ARPU for their respective company’s is subdued. QTEL eyeing Morocco’s biggest Telecom Operator In a recent news report, QTEL is eyeing a 53% stake in Maroc Telecom, the biggest Telecom operator in Morroco. The country has total population of 32mn, and mobile penetration level of 113% as of end of 1Q-2012.Maroc at the end of 2011 had mobile penetration of 53%. The company in 2012 posted revenues of USD 3.6bn and net income of USD 948mn, depicting a strong net margin of 26%. Given the solid performance of the company, and a strong profit margins. Maroc Telecom looks like a good acquisition opportunity. QTEL is competing with Etihad Etisalat for the stake. Heavy on Debt- Debt to Equity to remain above 45% Given the heavy expansion strategy of the company, and the needs of the day to day operation, QTEL has relied on debt to keep the liquidity position strong. The company as of 2011 had a total loan book of QAR 45.8bn, depicting a debt to equity ratio of 54%. Going forward we expect the company to maintain its capital structure and the debt to equity ratio is expected to stand at around the 50% mark. DECEMBER 2012 In QAR mn (Unless specified) Income Statement Revenue 2011 31,765 16% Operating expenses (9,958) Selling, general and administrative expenses (6,959) Depreciation and amortization (7,015) Finance costs (net) (1,902) Net profit before income taxes 6,854 Income tax (911) Net profit for the period 5,943 % Growth in Net Income 45% Attributable to: Shareholders of the Parent 2,606 Non-controlling interests 3,338 Basic and diluted EPS 14.8 Balance Sheet in QAR mn ASSETS Non-current assets Property, plant and equipment 33,065 Intangible assets 36,741 Total Non-current Assets 74,784 Current assets Accounts receivable and prepayments 5,817 Bank balances and cash 21,250 Total Current Assets 27,409 TOTAL ASSETS 102,194 EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Attributable to shareholders of the Parent Share capital 1,760 Retained earnings 9,837 Share Holders Equity 21,056 Non-controlling interests 18,337 Total equity 39,393 Non-current liabilities Interest bearing loans and borrowings 31,932 Total Non-current liabilities 35,697 Current liabilities Interest bearing loans and borrowings 13,851 Accounts payable and accruals 11,218 Total current liabilities 27,105 Total liabilities 62,801 TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 102,194 Cash Flow Net Income 5,943 Cash Flow from Operating Activities 7,937 Cash Flow from Investing Activities (8,279) Cash Flow from Financing activities (3,940) Changes in Cash (4,282) Ending Balance 21,250 Ratios 2011 Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio 1.0 Quick Ratio 1.0 Efficency Ratios Receivables Turnover 12.9 Days Receivables Turnover 28.3 Payables Turnover 9.3 Days Payables Turnover 39.1 Fixed Asset Turnover 0.8 Profitability ROE 15% ROA 6% ROIC 7% EBITDA Margins 50% EBIT Margins 28% Net Margins 19% Leveraging Ratios Debt/Equity 116% Debt/Capital 54% Debt/Assets 45% TIE 4.6 Valuations Dividend Yeild 6% Book Valuer Per Share (BVPS) 224 Market Capitalization(in QAR Bn) 17 Enterprise value (in QAR Bn) 59 PE (x) 6.37 PB (x) 0.42 EV/EBITDA (x) 3.8 % Growth in Revenue 2012 2013 2014 2015 33,909 36,883 38,907 40,351 7% 9% 5% 4% (10,620) (11,434) (12,010) (12,404) (7,477) (8,151) (8,618) (8,877) (7,542) (8,197) (8,817) (9,676) (1,921) (1,981) (1,993) (2,015) 6,596 7,139 7,496 7,297 (923) (999) (1,049) (1,022) 5,673 6,139 6,447 6,275 -5% 8% 5% -3% 3,858 1,815 12.0 4,911 1,228 15.3 5,157 1,289 16.1 5,020 1,255 15.7 34,346 37,401 76,742 36,102 37,798 78,923 37,384 38,226 80,653 40,449 38,644 84,146 6,102 6,715 7,177 7,502 24,389 23,911 24,046 19,882 30,859 30,988 31,699 27,876 107,601 109,911 112,351 112,022 3,203 11,224 29,827 13,337 43,164 3,203 13,666 32,268 14,250 46,519 3,203 16,353 34,956 15,225 50,181 3,203 18,904 37,506 16,165 53,671 38,134 41,988 36,857 40,835 34,030 38,092 30,231 34,353 8,798 8,277 9,327 8,799 11,614 12,244 12,715 13,162 22,448 22,557 24,078 23,997 64,436 63,392 62,171 58,351 107,601 109,911 112,351 112,022 5,673 9,302 (7,460) (11,841) (4,326) 24,389 6,139 10,182 (5,215) (7,967) 3,139 23,911 1.4 1.4 2012 2013 6,447 6,275 10,678 11,879 (6,739) (6,592) (10,863) (11,427) (478) 135 24,046 19,882 2014 2015 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 12.7 28.9 9.6 38.0 0.9 12.2 30.0 10.4 35.0 1.0 11.8 31.0 10.7 34.0 1.0 11.4 32.0 10.7 34.0 1.0 13% 5% 6% 47% 25% 17% 13% 6% 7% 47% 25% 17% 13% 6% 7% 47% 24% 17% 12% 6% 7% 47% 23% 16% 109% 52% 44% 4.4 97% 49% 41% 4.6 86% 46% 39% 4.8 73% 42% 35% 4.6 7% 135 33 69 8.64 0.77 4.3 7% 145 33 69 6.78 0.72 4.0 7% 157 33 68 6.46 0.66 3.7 7% 168 33 69 6.64 0.62 3.6 Source: Company Reports, Aljazira Research DECEMBER 2012 P/B EV/EBITDA (TTM) ROE ROA Dividend Yeild EBITDA Margins (TTM) Net Margins (TTM) MOBINIL-EGYPTIAN MOBILE SERV TELECOM EGYPT ORASCOM TELECOM HOLDING MOBILE TELECOMMUNICATIONS CO PAKISTAN TELECOM CO LTD QATAR TELECOM (QTEL) Q.S.C VODAFONE QATAR SAUDI TELECOM CO ETIHAD ETISALAT CO TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMET AS EMIRATES INTEGRATED TELECOMM EMIRATES TELECOM CORPORATION P/E COMPANIES 25.5 10.8 94.6 9.8 8.9 9.2 13.0 12.4 12.0 5.8 0.8 1.5 1.9 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.6 2.7 2.0 2.7 2.0 6.9 3.5 3.5 6.7 2.5 4.5 5.1 7.1 6.9 4.7 7.4 -11% 10% 6% 15% 1% 13% -7% 19% 32% 17% 23% 17% -2% 9% 2% 9% 0% 3% -6% 8% 17% 11% 12% 9% 0% 0% 0% 7% 0% 7% 0% 5% 5% 0% 0% 5% 30% 45% 47% 44% 28% 46% 0% 35% 37% 30% 37% 31% -3% 27% 4% 21% 1% 15% -37% 16% 26% 19% 15% 20% COUNTRY Egypt Egypt Egypt Kuwait Pakistan Qatar Qatar Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia Turkey United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates Source: Bloomberg COMPANY PROFILE AlJazira Capital, the investment arm of Bank AlJazira, is a Shariaa Compliant Saudi Closed Joint Stock company and operating under the regulatory supervision of the Capital Market Authority. AlJazira Capital is licensed to conduct securities business in all securities business as authorized by CMA, including dealing, managing, arranging, advisory, and custody. AlJazira Capital is the continuation of a long success story in the Saudi Tadawul market, having occupied the market leadership position for several years. With an objective to maintain its market leadership position, AlJazira Capital is expanding its brokerage capabilities to offer further value-added services, brokerage across MENA and International markets, as well as offering a full suite of securities business. RATING TERMINOLOGY Overweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a discount to its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Overweight” will typically provide an upside potential of over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months. Underweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a premium to its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Underweight” would typically decline by over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months. Neutral: The rating implies that the stock is trading in the proximate range of its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Neutral” is expected to stagnate within +/- 10% range from the current price levels over next twelve months. Suspension of rating or rating on hold (SR/RH): This basically implies suspension of a rating pending further analysis of a material change in the fundamentals of the company. For further queries about our special services, contact us at the toll free number 800 116 9999. Disclaimer The purpose of producing this report is to present a general view on the company/economic sector/economic subject under research, and not to recommend a buy/sell/hold for any security or any other assets. 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