The Dhaka Profile and Earthquake Risk Atlas is a compilation of physical & socio-economic profiles, built environment, hazards, vulnerability & risks information, and maps of Dhaka. It was based on the initial results and findings of the Bangladesh Urban Earthquake Resilience Project (BUERP). The Atlas will help in providing essential scientific data and information to improve capacity for earthquake resilience of Bangladesh. 1 2 3 4 Dhaka Profile Background Physical and Socio-economic Profile Components • Political • Physical • Socio-cultural • Built Environment www.emi-megacities.org A Member of the U.N. Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction Bangladesh Urban Earthquake Resilience Project February 2014 The Dhaka Profile and The Risk Atlas is supported Earthquake Risk Atlas is one by a Geographic Information of the tools that will assist to System (GIS) which will raise awareness and support enable users to generate their decision making and policies own maps for their disaster aimed at mitigating the impact risk resilient activities. By of earthquake hazards through having all data into a single structural and non-structural spatial database, stakeholders vulnerability reduction can work more efficiently measures. in planning and executing Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) Earthquake Hazards activities. Bangladesh Tectonics Historical Seismic Activity Modeled Sources Soil Classification Peak Ground Accelerations Liquefaction Earthquake Vulnerability and Risk Analysis Vulnerability Definition Physical Vulnerability • Building Exposure and Inventory • Buildings Vulnerability • Building Losses • Lifelines • Essential Facilities Social Vulnerability • Casualties • Population Affected • Economic and Property Losses Risk Definition Physical Risk Indicators Socio-Economic Impact Factors Urban Disaster Risk Index Physical Risk Socio-Economic Impact Risk Combined Risk Cover photo © Nasim Borno For more information on where to get a copy of the Dhaka Profile and Earthquake Risk Atlas, contact: Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Unit South Asia Sustainable Development Department The World Bank Office Dhaka Plot E 32, Sher-e-bangla Nagar, Agargaon Phone: 880-2-8159001-28 Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative Puno Building, 47 Kalayaan Avenue, Diliman, Quezon City, Metro Manila, Philippines 1101 T/F: +632 9279643; T: +632 4334074 www.emi-megacities.org EMI © 2013 Dhaka Profile and Earthquake Risk Atlas What’s inside the Dhaka Profile and Earthquake Risk Atlas It is intended to provide a scientific and systematized presentation 91 these technical information into a single, straight forward, easy-to- er Tu r a g Riv professionals, and specialists in the field of Hazard Vulnerability Risk Assessment (HVRA) as well as practitioners and researchers in Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) and its related fields can find relevant information. Stakeholders such as government officials, community leaders and the private sector involved in and has interests in urban DRRM can use information in the Risk Atlas for Bangladesh is exposed to significant seismic risk due to its proximity to the seismically active tectonic plates. A Magnitude 7.5 event on the Madhupur fault and a Magnitude 8 event on the Plate Boundary 2 fault have the greatest impact on the city of Dhaka, Bangladesh’s capital. Banani Lake W Gulshan Lake Intensity VIII • Bengal Earthquake, 1885. Magnitude 7 • Great Indian Earthquake,h1897. K Magnituderi8.1 The readers of this document will be informed of the earthquake hazard, identify physical and socio-economic vulnerabilities and be knowledgeable of the risks presented in the event of an earthquake in Dhaka. »» The Risk Atlas would be able to meet the need for reliable information in the formulation and development of Intensity VII e • Srimangal B Earthquake, 1918. Magnitude 7.6 ng rig a Bu Intensity VI (intensity where structural damage begins to occur) • 1923, Magnitude 7.1 • 1934, Magnitude 8.1 • 1935, Magnitude 6.0 • 1943, Magnitude 7.2 • 2001, Magnitude 5.1 Dhanmodi Lake comprehensive risk reduction and management strategies. »» g un ba »» This document would be a compilation of information that could serve as the scientific foundation for policy making and planning a Ri v for growth and development. er The data used in the brochure was shared to the Bangladesh Urban Earthquake Resilience Project (BUERP) courtesy of RAJUK in 2013 N S al How will this document benefit the reader? Severe The Madhupur fault event is to the north of the city. Ground motions generally decrease from north to south and are amplified in areas of soft soil. The Plate Boundary 2 fault is to the east of the city and ground motions decrease going east to west. What earthquakes have impacted Dhaka? educational, communication, and planning purposes. 0.471 Ground motion is the measure of the amplitude and period of seismic waves once it arrives at the earth’s surface.* Higher ground motion may bring higher damage or impact Building Structures provide the scientific foundation in improving capacity for earthquake The Risk Atlas is for everyone and can be used by anyone. Experts, Very Strong 327,503 wards understand presentation. These information could be utilized to Who should read this document? 0.216 Population Dhaka them through maps, tables, and charts. The Risk Atlas translates resilience of Bangladesh. million sq km Resilience Project (BUERP) by compiling physical, demographic, and Peak Ground Acceleration (g) with Soil Amplification 6.54 136.37 of the results and key findings of the Bangladesh Urban Earthquake socio-economic data with risk information and analyses, then, showing (Disaster Risk Management Online Program, Global Faciltiy for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, 2011) * What is the Purpose of the Dhaka Profile and Earthquake Risk Atlas? ¨ Fire Station K Hospital ca Police Station School Ground motion based on postulated magnitude 7.5 earthquake on the Madhupur Fault Buriganga River Latitude 23° 42 ′0″ N Longitude 90° 22′ 30″ E E WHAT CAN BE DONE? Awareness Raising Knowledge of hazards and risks by the general public will raise awareness and build social responsibility and social resilience. Competency Building ! Training of architects, engineers, planners, and construction professionals will improve standards for earthquake-resilient construction, thus protecting people and property. www.emi-megacities.org A Member of the U.N. Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction Expected losses from a postulated magnitude 7.5 earthquake on the Madhupur Fault February 2014 US$5.7 billion estimated losses over 200,000 injured & 50,000 fatalities Improving Response Having competent Emergency Management plans, drills, exercises and trainings for first responders. Implementation of Building Codes Implementation and enforcement of the building codes will ensure that buildings will protect their occupants and reduce damages and losses. Risk-Sensitive Land Use Plans Understanding of hazards and risks can inform land use plans and zoning ordinances to build away from hazardous areas and reduce exposure to earthquakes. Bangladesh Urban Earthquake Resilience Project 180,000 estimated damaged buildings For more information on where to get a copy of the Dhaka Profile and Earthquake Risk Atlas, contact: Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Unit South Asia Sustainable Development Department The World Bank Office Dhaka Plot E 32, Sher-e-bangla Nagar, Agargaon Phone: 880-2-8159001-28 Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative Puno Building, 47 Kalayaan Avenue, Diliman, Quezon City, Metro Manila, Philippines 1101 T/F: +632 9279643; T: +632 4334074 www.emi-megacities.org EMI © 2013 EARTHQUAKE RISK IN DHAKA How a magnitude 7.5 earthquake will affect the world’s densest megacity there are 327,503* Building Structures in Dhaka Bangladesh Ground motion is the measure of the amplitude and period of seismic waves once it arrives at the earth’s surface.** Higher ground motion may bring higher damage or impact Commercial 19, 225 (5.86%) Institutional 6, 308 (1.85%) Topography of the area surrounding the Ganges-Brahmaputra Delta (banglapire.org) Bangladesh is exposed to significant seismic risk due to its proximity to the seismically active tectonic plates. A Magnitude 7.5 event on the Madhupur fault and a Magnitude 8 event on the Plate Boundary 2 fault have the greatest impact on the city of Dhaka, Bangladesh’s capital. The Madhupur fault event is to the north of the city. Ground motions generally decrease from north to south and are amplified in areas of soft soil. The Plate Boundary 2 fault is to the east of the city and ground motions decrease going east to west. Industrial 9, 651 (2.95%) Intensity VII • Srimangal Earthquake, 1918. Magnitude 7.6 136.37 sq km Residential 266, 486 (81.44%) What earthquakes have impacted Dhaka? Intensity VIII • Bengal Earthquake, 1885. Magnitude 7 • Great Indian Earthquake, 1897. Magnitude 8.1 Dhaka 6.54 million Intensity VI (intensity where structural damage begins to occur) Population 91 Others 25, 833 (7.90%) • 1923, Magnitude 7.1 • 1934, Magnitude 8.1 • 1935, Magnitude 6.0 • 1943, Magnitude 7.2 • 2001, Magnitude 5.1 wards The Dhaka Profile and Earthquake Risk Atlas is a compilation of physical & socio-economic profiles, built environment, hazards, vulnerability & risks information, and maps of Dhaka. It is one of the tools that will assist to raise awareness and support decision making and policies aimed at mitigating the impact of earthquake hazards through structural and non-structural vulnerability reduction measures. The Atlas will help in providing essential scientific data and information to improve capacity for earthquake resilience of Bangladesh. For more information: Chapter 3 Chapter 1 Dhaka Profile Background Physical and Socio-economic Profile Components • Political • Physical • Socio-cultural • Built Environment Earthquake Vulnerability and Risk Analysis Vulnerability Definition Physical Vulnerability • Building Exposure and Inventory • Buildings Vulnerability • Building Losses • Lifelines • Essential Facilities Social Vulnerability • Casualties • Population Affected • Economic and Property Losses Risk Definition Physical Risk Indicators Socio-Economic Impact Factors Chapter 2 Bangladesh Tectonics Historical Seismic Activity Modeled Sources Soil Classification Peak Ground Accelerations Liquefaction Chapter 4 Earthquake Hazards ¨ Fire Station K Hospital ca Police Station School Peak Ground Acceleration (g) with Soil Amplification 0.216 Very Strong Urban Disaster Risk Index Physical Risk Socio-Economic Impact Risk Combined Risk The data used in the brochure was shared to the Bangladesh Urban Earthquake Resilience Project (BUERP) courtesy of RAJUK in 2013 Buriganga River 0.471 Severe *based on RAJUK Dataset Latitude 23° 42 ′0″ N Longitude 90° 22′ 30″ E W N E S (Disaster Risk Management Online Program, Global Faciltiy for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, 2011) **