Journal of Business and Policy Research Vol. 7. No. 2. July Issue. Pp. 41 - 49 Impact of the Individual Dimensions of Globalization on International Competitiveness in Regions Hanna G. Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło* and Stanislaw Maciej Kot† This paper examines the impact of the economic, social and political dimensions of globalization on international competitiveness. The statistical data regarding the KOF Globalization Index and World Economic Forum Competitiveness Index concern 132 countries in 2008. The competitiveness of low-income countries is driven only by the economic aspect of globalization. Social and political dimensions influence the competitiveness of middle-income countries, whereas only the social dimension is decisive in high-income countries. The effects of globalization on international competitiveness are specific to given geographic regions. JEL Classification: F43 1. Introduction Competitiveness is the set of institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of a country’s productivity (Sala-i-Martin et al. 2010). On the other hand, economic development seems to be also influenced by globalization (Stiglitz,2002)., Globalization is, however, a complex process consisting of social, political as well as economic dimensions (Dreher, 2006). Hence, two interesting problems arise: how these individual dimensions of globalization affect international competitiveness, and whether the impact of globalization on international competitiveness depends on a country’s economic development and geographical location. Searching for answers to these questions is the aim of our paper. Until now, these problems have not been analyzed. Recently, Salvatore (2010) has examined the relationship between globalization, international competitiveness and growth. However, he does not disaggregate globalization into its underlying dimensions. Our paper offers a deeper insight onto this relationship. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 offers a literature review. Section 3 discusses the methodological background, statistical data and a regression model. Section 4 presents the empirical investigation results. Section 4 provides general conclusions and political recommendations. 2. Literature Review An extensive literature exists on the effects of globalization (see among others, Stiglitz 2002, Bhagwati 2001, 2004, Friedman 2003, Gomory & Baumol 2004, 2004, Tanzi 2004, Bauman 2000, Intrilligator 2004, Sala-i-Martin 2006). Salvatore (2009) emphasizes that a great deal of controversy exists as to whether or not and, if so, to * . Hanna G. Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło, Department of Economics, Gdansk University of Technology, Poland. Email: had@zie.pg.gda.pl. † Stanislaw Maciej Kot, Department of Economics, Gdansk University of Technology, Poland. Email” skot@zie.pg.gda.pl. This author acknowledges the support of NCN grant N N111 295638 Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło & Maciej Kot what extent globalization has increased international competitiveness. He finds positive rank correlation between the KOF (2009) overall globalization index and the IMD (2009) competitiveness index based on statistical data for 53 countries. He does not consider, however, the impact of individual dimensions of globalization on international competitiveness. Dreher (2006) analyses whether the overall globalization index and subindices measuring individual dimensions of globalization affect economic growth. He shows that globalization indeed promotes growth. Actual economic flows and restrictions are strongly related with growth in developed countries. Information flows also promote growth whereas political integration has no effect. Salvatore (2010) argues that competitiveness affects a country’s growth potential In other studies some particular aspects of the relationship between globalization and competitiveness are addressed. Ivanishvili-Orbelani (2009) analyses the impact of globalization on national competitiveness in Georgia. Zhang (2010) addresses the problem of how globalization affects industrial competitiveness. He finds that foreign direct investment and international trade have a positive impact on industrial competitiveness. 3. The Methodology and Model The KOF (2009) index was used as a quantitative measure of globalization. This index aggregates the following six individual dimensions of globalization: actual flows, international trade and investment restrictions, personal contacts, information flows, cultural proximity, and political globalization. The first two dimensions describe economic globalization, whereas the next three social globalization. The weighted sum of these indices forms the overall globalization index (OGI) (Dreher, Gaston & Martens 2008). International competitiveness is measured by the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI), which defines the microeconomic and macroeconomic foundations of national competitiveness (World Economic Forum). GCI is a weighted average of many different components, each measuring a different aspect of competitiveness (Schwab & Porter 2008). The statistical data concerned 132 countries in 2008. This was the most current GCI and OGI data available when this paper was written. However, a broader time period will be taken into account in our further studies. The regression models were built for six geographic regions and four economic groups of countries, classified according to per capita GDP (WDI, 2010). We used linear regression models where the global competitiveness index GCI was a dependent variable and globalization dimensions were independent variables. World Bank classifies economies according to GNI/capita (2009) as follows: Low income economies: $995 or less Lower-middle income economies: $996 - $3,945 Upper-middle income economies: $3,946 – $12,195 High income economies: $12,196 or more 42 Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło & Maciej Kot All calculations presented in this paper were performed using the statistical package STATISTICA. We assumed a 5% significance level when testing statistical hypotheses. 4. Results The scatter plot in Fig.1 displays competitiveness and globalization. the relationship between international Fig. 1. International competitiveness against globalization. 6.0 GCI-Global Competitiveness Index 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 OGI-Overall Globalization Index We fitted linear regression function to empirical data. Eq. 1 shows the estimates of the regression function parameters (standard errors in parentheses): GCI = 1.73258 + 0.03831∙OGI (0.14838) (0.00225) (1) R2 = 0.70319 The obtained result confirms our first hypothesis that globalization has a positive effect on international competitiveness. This means that the more globalized the country, the more competitive it is. Table 1 presents the mean values of the OGI and GCI indices in the groups of countries classified according to per capita GDP. 43 Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło & Maciej Kot Table 1: Globalization (OGI), international competitiveness (GCI), and GDP/capita in the World’s economies, 2008 (mean values). * Country group Globalization Competitiveness GDP/capita Low income 44.90 3.36 1226.61 Lower middle income 57.13 3.88 3946.61 Upper middle income 63.10 4.08 10622.61 High income 78.97 4.85 31941.46 All countries 64.31 4.19 15009.39 Note: OGI - Overall Globalization Index (0-100), GCI – Global Competitiveness Index (0-6) * $International 2005 prices, PPP adjusted (WDI 2010). Source: Authors’ calculations using data from KOF (2009) and Schwab & Porter (2008). The analysis of the results in Table 1 shows that the richer country, the higher the levels of competitiveness and globalization. Table 2 shows the distribution of globalization and competitiveness in geographic regions. This Table also shows the GDP/capita mean of each region. The regions are arranged with respect to their GDP/capita in ascending order. Table 2: Globalization (OGI). international competitiveness (GCI), and GDP/capita in geographic regions, 2008, (mean values) * Geographic Region Globalization Competitiveness GDP/capita South Asia 46.54 3.78 2324.87 Sub-Saharan Africa 48.22 3.53 2737.79 Latin America & Caribbean 60.43 3.94 9035.89 East Asia & Pacific 64.46 4.48 16273.24 Europe & Central Asia 75.77 4.50 22228.91 Middle East & North Africa 65.64 4.45 22726.61 North America 82.82 5.55 39572.70 All Regions 64.31 4.19 15009.39 Note: OGI - Overall Globalization Index (0-100), GCI – Global Competitiveness Index (0-6) * $International 2005 prices, PPP adjusted (WDI 2010). Source: Authors’ calculations using data from KOF (2009) and Schwab & Porter (2008). Table 2 reveals three main groups of regions which slightly differ with respect to the advancement of the globalization process. The least advanced group comprises South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. Latin America & Caribbean, East Asia & Pacific, and Middle East & North Africa form the middle-advanced group of regions. Finally, Europe & Central Asia as well as North America form the group of most advanced regions. The above classification of geographic regions concerning the advancement of globalization does not correspond precisely to with the classification concerning international competitiveness. In the latter classification, Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Latin America & Caribbean are the least competitive regions. The Middle East & North Africa, East Asia & Pacific, and Europe & Central Asia fall into the medium range of competitiveness, while the USA and Canada, which form the North American region, are the most competitive countries in the World. The next two tables show the individual dimensions of globalization. These dimensions play the role of explanatory variables in the regression models. Table 3 contains the globalization sub-index mean values in the World’s economies. Table 4 shows the mean values of these indices in geographical regions. 44 Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło & Maciej Kot Table 3: Dimensions of globalization in the World’s economies, 2008 (mean values) Lower Upper High middle middle income income income Economic 44.77 57.83 65.65 81.35 Actual Flows 47.18 57.15 65.72 80.59 * Restrictions 45.06 57.38 64.25 81.09 Social 27.09 42.62 53.04 76.66 Personal Contacts 28.28 35.35 51.18 77.04 Information Flows 44.90 64.09 74.68 86.93 Cultural Proximity 6.06 27.50 31.20 65.09 Political 71.47 74.19 75.65 78.89 OGI 44.90 57.13 63.10 78.97 Note: OGI - Overall Globalization Index (0-100) * International Trade and Investment Restrictions. Source: Authors’ calculations using data from KOF (2009 ). Dimensions of globalization Low income All groups 65.71 66.48 65.40 54.77 52.97 71.69 38.32 75.77 64.31 Table 4: Globalization in geographic regions, 2008 (mean values) Dimensions of globalization South Asia SubSaharan Africa Latin East America Asia & & Caribbean Pacific Economic 37.68 49.00 63.13 66.43 - Actual Flows 36.78 51.80 64.98 66.91 * - Restrictions 41.37 47.82 63.25 66.79 Social 31.13 31.77 51.61 51.01 - Personal Contacts 25.81 33.07 47.43 44.07 - Information Flows 45.28 48.27 70.77 70.69 - Cultural Proximity 20.22 10.43 34.71 39.96 Political 81.78 72.38 68.14 74.68 OGI 46.54 48.22 60.43 64.46 Note: OGI - Overall Globalization Index (0-100) * International Trade and Investment Restrictions. Source: Authors’ calculations using data from KOF (2009). Europe & Central Asia 76.83 76.84 76.99 70.64 67.21 86.90 56.01 81.71 75.77 Middle East & North Africa 67.11 69.42 69.86 56.94 68.17 73.74 33.50 70.95 65.64 North America 73.70 67.34 80.06 83.91 73.55 88.01 90.36 94.12 82.82 Table 5 presents the regression parameter estimates for five World economy groups in 2008 (standard errors in parentheses). The following dimensions of globalization have a statistically significant impact on international competitiveness: international trade and investment restrictions in lowincome countries; information flows and political dimensions in lower-middle income countries; actual flows, cultural proximity, and political dimensions in upper-middle income countries, and finally personal contacts, information flows, and cultural proximity in high-income countries. It is worth noting that information flows have a negative impact on international competitiveness in high-income countries. The regression model estimates for geographic regions are presented in Table 6 (standard errors in parentheses). North America was put together with Europe & Central Asia because the former region consists of two countries only (USA and Canada). 45 Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło & Maciej Kot Table 5: The impact of globalization on international competiveness in the World’s economies, 2008 Dimensions of globalization Intercept Low Income 2.839285 (0.245039) p=0.000000 Lower-middle income 2.067923 (0.464728) p=0.000117 Actual Flows International Trade and Investment Restrictions Upper-middle income 2.327742 (0.344822) p=0.000000 0.014838 (0.003397) p=0.000155 0.012140 (0.005320) p=0.033567 Personal Contacts Information Flows 0.012201 (0.005336) p=0.029696 Cultural Proximity Political 2 Adjusted R MSE of estimation High income 4.315993 (0.592813) p=0.000000 0.166932874 0.238085338 0.013829 (0.003419) p=0.000355 0.005078 (0.002416) p=0.044708 0.008101 (0.003056) p=0.013061 0.352213109 0.311997521 0.478899402 0.236751897 0.012047 (0.005520) p=0.034717 -0.014028 (0.006944) p=0.049775 0.012958 (0.002510) p=0.000006 0.364416189 0.385275235 Source: Authors’ calculations using data from KOF (2009) and Schwab & Porter (2008). 46 Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło & Maciej Kot Table 6: The impact of globalization on international competiveness in geographic regions, 2008 Dimensions of globalization South Asia SubSaharan Africa Intercept 0.717308 (1.132139) p=0.571356 0.073927 (0.027236) p=0.072896 2.341152 (0.219561) p=0.000000 0.017874 (0.005151) p=0.002073 International Trade and Investment Restrictions Personal Contacts Latin America & Caribbean 1.125946 (0.457525) p=0.022602 0.013012 (0.004008) p=0.003864 East Asia & Pacific Middle East & North Africa 0.541241 (0.481577) p=0.283039 3.358111 (0.216160) p=0.000000 0.010215 (0.003698) p=0.011083 Information Flows 0.027993 (0.005047) p=0.000017 0.015809 (0.003197) p=0.000268 0.023348 (0.004214) p=0.000002 -0.014112 (0.006513) p=0.035832 0.011692 (0.001763) p=0.000000 0.626187 0.233261 0.777919 0.309566 0.028590 (0.005124) p=0.000120 Cultural Proximity Political Adjusted R MSE of estimation Europe & Central Asia & North America 3.522194 (0.447876) p=0.000000 0.026267 (0.004277) p=0.000050 2 0.614185 0.244133 0.591630 0.255391 0.612144 0.224552 0.832011 0.296441 Source: Authors’ calculations using data from KOF (2009) and Schwab & Porter (2008). An analysis of the results presented in Table 6 shows that international trade and investment restrictions are crucial for international competitiveness in the three poorest regions (South Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Latin America & Caribbean). Additionally, personal contacts play a significant role in Sub-Saharan Africa as do information flows Latin America & Caribbean. Information flows and the political dimensions of globalization affect the competitiveness of countries belonging to the East Asia & Pacific region. The competitiveness of countries from Middle East & North Africa depends on personal contacts only. Personal contacts, information flows, and cultural proximity are the dimensions of globalization which affect international competitiveness in Europe & Central Asia as well as North America. With the exception of information flows, all of these dimensions have a positive impact on competitiveness. Actual flows have no influence on international competitiveness in any of the regions studied here. However, this dimension is statistically significant in upper-middle income countries, as we mentioned when analyzing Table 5. 5. Conclusions and Political Implications Globalization variously affects a country’s competitiveness, depending on geographic location and economic development. Competitiveness in low-income countries is 47 Adamkiewicz-Drwiłło & Maciej Kot influenced only by international trade and investment restrictions (the economic dimension of globalization). In middle-income countries, information flows (the social dimensions of globalization), and political dimension are decisive for competitiveness. Finally, all the social dimensions of globalization affect international competitiveness of high income countries. Geography appears to diversify the way in which individual dimensions of globalization affect international competitiveness. International trade and investment restrictions are the main dimensions influencing competitiveness in South Asia, SubSaharan Africa, and Latin America & Caribbean. However, some social dimensions of globalization, such as personal contacts and information flows, are also important. The social dimensions of globalization influence the competitiveness of East Asia & Pacific, Middle East & North Africa, as well as Europe & Central Asia & North America. The political dimension of globalization influences competitiveness only in East Asia & Pacific. We can formulate the following political recommendations in order to enhance potential growth. Developing countries should ease international trade and investment restrictions, and also increase information flow and political globalization. On the other hand, developed countries should pay special attention to the social dimension of globalization. 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