A FRAMEWORK FOR THE CLASSIFICATION OF ACCOUNTS MANIPULATIONS Hervé Stolowy Gaétan Breton HEC School of Management (Groupe HEC) Department of Accounting and Management Control 1, rue de la Libération 78351 - Jouy en Josas Cedex France University du Québec à Montreal Department of Accounting Sciences P.O.B. 8888 Succursale Centre-Ville Montréal (Québec) H3C 3P8 - Canada Tel: +331 39 67 94 42 Fax: +331 39 67 70 86 E-mail: stolowy@hec.fr Tel: +1 514 987 3000 (4774) Fax: +1 514 987 6629 E-mail: breton.gaetan@uqam.ca June 28, 2000 This paper is a review of the literature on accounts manipulations in the U.S., but also in several other countries, including Canada, UK, and France. Although we tried to follow a comprehensive approach of this topic, we might have forgotten some references. We make our apologies to the authors who have not been cited. We wish to thank participants of the 2000 EAA Annual Meeting (Munich). Hervé Stolowy would like to acknowledge the financial support of the Research Center of the HEC School of Management and thanks Etienne Lacam for his research assistance. Résumé/Abstract Proposition d’un cadre conceptuel pour une A Framework for the Classification of Accounts classification des manipulations comptables Manipulations Les manipulations comptables ont fait l’objet de Accounts manipulations have been a matter of recherche, discussion et même controverse dans research, discussion and, even, controversy in plusieurs pays, comme les Etats-Unis, le Canada, le several countries such as the United States, Canada, Royaume Uni, l’Australie et la France. L’objectif de the United Kingdom, Australia and France. The ce cachier de recherche est de proposer un cadre objective of this paper is to elaborate a general conceptuel des framework for classifying accounts manipulations manipulations comptables à travers une revue through a thorough review of the literature. This approfondie de la littérature. Ce cadre est fondé sur le framework is based on the desire to influence the désir d’influencer la perception par les marchés market participants’ perception of the risk associated financiers du risque associé à l’entreprise. Le risque to the firm. The risk is materialized through the se matérialise à deux niveaux : le bénéfice par action earnings per share and the debt/equity ratio. The et le ratio dettes/capitaux propres. La littérature sur ce literature on this topic is already very rich, although sujet est extrêmement riche. Cependant, plusieurs we have identified series of areas in need for further domaines mériteraient de faire l’objet de recherches research. permettant la classification complémentaires. MOTS CLÉS . – MANIPULATIONS COMPTABLES _ KEYWORDS . – ACCOUNTS MANIPULATIONS – EARNINGS GESTION DU RÉSULTAT – LISSAGE DU RÉSULTAT – MANAGEMENT – INCOME SMOOTHING – BIG BATH NETTOYAGE DES COMPTES - COMPTABILITÉ CRÉATIVE ACCOUNTING – CREATIVE ACCOUNTING 1 1.0 INTRODUCTION This article examines the literature on accounts manipulations (AM): earnings management including income smoothing and big bath accounting, and creative accounting. This literature studied most of the time some specific aspects of AM. It failed to develop a general model encompassing all the activities included in the domain. Also, most reviews address only one category at a time. This review elaborates a general framework and takes into account the various components of AM. AM are mainly based on the desire to influence the market participants’ perception of the risk associated with the firm. On this basis, we develop a model dividing the risk into two components and identify the related targets in the financial statements. The first component of the risk is associated with the variance of return, measured through the earnings per share (EPS). The second component relates to risk associated with the financial structure of the company, measured by the debt/equity ratio. Our framework classifies the activities of AM in relationship with the two aspects of risk. This review is realized at a time when AM are highly criticized. For instance, SEC Chair, Arthur Levitt, in his September 28, 1998 speech “The Numbers Game”, attacked the earnings management and income smoothing practices of some public companies [Loomis, 1999]. Turner and Godwin [1999] reported some of the efforts that are underway in the Office of the SEC Chief Accountant to help achieve objectives laid out in Chairman Levitt’s speech. The remainder of our paper proceeds as follows. In the next section (2), we present our framework for understanding AM. That is followed by a review of the literature on each AM activity: earnings management (section 3), income smoothing (section 4), big bath accounting (section 5) and creative accounting (section 6). Then we discuss directions for future research (section 7). The final section (8) presents the conclusions. 2.0 THE FUNDAMENTAL OBJECTIVES OF ACCOUNTS MANIPULATIONS Copeland [1968, p. 101] defined manipulation as some ability to increase or decrease reported net income at will. At the same time, he implicitly acknowledged [p. 110] that the notion of manipulation had several meanings, recognizing that “maximizers”, “minimizers”, or other “manipulators” will not follow a pattern of behavior, which approximates that of “smoothers”. 2 However, we believe that AM have a broader sense than the one given by Copeland. They include the income statement classificatory practices, presented by Barnea et al. [1975, 1976] and Ronen and Sadan [1975a, 1981], but also those related to the balance sheet, far less well described in the literature [Black et al., 1998]. Actually, these practices represent a more important phenomenon now than when Copeland published his article. Moreover, the motivations for and the timing for the AM should be considered. Such AM practices share a conception of accounting as a tool to pursue the general strategy of the firm or of its management and the idea that the practices will reduce its perceived risk. Our framework is based on the fundamental principle that the provision of financial information aims at reducing the cost of financing firms’ projects. This reduction is related to the perception of the firm’s risk by investors. The risk is technically measured by the beta, which is based on the relative variance of earnings. Moreover, there is a structural risk revealed by the equilibrium between debt and equity. As a consequence, the objectives of AM are to alter these two measures of risk: the variance of earnings per share and the debt/equity ratio. Earnings per-share can be modified in two ways: firstly, by adding or removing some revenues or expenses (modification of net income) and secondly, by presenting an item before or after the profit used to calculate the earnings per-share (classificatory manipulations). Figure 1 presents our framework for classifying AM. 3 Figure 1 A Framework for Classifying Accounts Manipulations Accounts manipulations Modification of investors’ perception of the risk Return: Earnings per share (EPS) Earnings management (broad sense) Main research streams Name of the research stream Creative accounting (window dressing) Earnings management Income smoothing Big bath accounting Level of EPS Variance of EPS Reduction of current EPS to increase future EPS Type ,of research Fair amount of empirical research Fair amount of empirical research Representative authors Schipper [1989] Jones [1991] DeAngelo et al. [1994] Copeland [1968] Imhoff [1977, 1981] Eckel [1981] Ronen and Sadan [1981] Albrecht and Richardson [1990] Main objective Structural risk: Debt/equity ratio Few real empirical research Dye [1987] Walsh et al. [1991] Pourciau [1993] Academic perspective Professional perspective EPS Debt/equity ratio Few real empirical research No empirical research. Professional opinion Tweedie and Whittington [1990] Naser [1993] Breton and Taffler [1995] PierceBrown and Steele [1999] Griffiths [1986, 1995] Smith [1992] Schilit [1992] Stolowy [2000] Transactions Interpretations 4 Regarding the nature of the practices, the literature has mainly discussed manipulations that are interpretations of standards, for instance decisions on the level of accruals. But manipulation can also be premeditated, i.e. transactions can be designed in order to allow a desired accounting treatment. For instance, a leasing contract will be written in such a way that the leased equipment is not capitalized. We will now review the different categories of AM identified in our general framework. 3.0 EARNINGS MANAGEMENT 3.1 Definition Management artificially manipulates earnings to achieve some preconceived notion of “expected” earnings (e.g., analyst forecasts, management’s prior estimates or continuation of some earnings trend) [Fern et al., 1994]. Manipulations are done to manage investors’ impression of the firm [Degeorge, Patel and Zeckhauser, 1999]. This position is detailed by Kellog and Kellog [1991] who see two main motivations for earnings management (EM): to encourage investors to buy company’s stocks and to increase the market value of the firm. Dye [1988], in a completely theoretical paper, brings interesting arguments in the debate. EM is generally seen as coming from the managers taking advantage of an asymmetry of information with shareholders. This was the center of the definition provided by Scott [1997]. However, Dye brings at least two considerations in the debate. Firstly, the manipulations done to increase the remuneration of the executive are likely to be provided for by investors. Secondly, actual shareholders have an interest in the value of the firm to be better perceived by the market. Therefore, there is a potential transfer of wealth from the new shareholders to the old ones creating an external demand for EM [Schipper, 1989]. Accrual accounting differs from cash accounting by the timing. On the entire life of the firm there may be no difference between both methods. In a long-term perspective, returns are explained quite accurately by earnings [Degeorge, Patel and Zeckhauser, 1999; Lamont, 1998]. On the short term, the matching of revenues and expenses will create differences. There is a standardized way of treating these differences. EM, as it is not forgery, is just proposing another way of treating those differences, bringing the profits in the year in need while pushing the expenses away. It is essentially gambling, hoping that the profit will be 5 better in the future to cover those delayed expenses. Timing differences are recognized as the basis of EM by Jones [1991], when she writes: “Since the sum of a firm’s income over all years must equal the sum of its cash flows, managers must at some point in time reverse any ‘excessive’ earnings-decreasing (or increasing) accruals made in the past”. There are many reasons for managing earnings. Scott proposes the following definition: “Earnings management is the choice by a firm of accounting policies so as to achieve some specific manager objective” [1997, p. 352]. Healy and Wahlen [1998], in a review of the literature oriented towards standard-setters, propose the following definition: “Earnings management occurs when managers use judgment in financial reporting and in structuring transactions to alter financial reports, to either mislead some stakeholders about the underlying economic performance of the economy, or to influence contractual outcomes that depend on reported accounting numbers”. As Ayres [1994] states, there are three methods for managing earnings: (1) accruals management, (2) the timing for the adoption of mandatory accounting policies and (3) voluntary accounting changes. Most of the prior studies on EM have concentrated on how accounts are manipulated through accruals. Accruals management refers to changing estimates such as useful lives, the probability of recovering debtors and other year end accruals to try to alter reported earnings in the direction of a desired target [Ayres, 1994]. The timing for the adoption of mandatory accounting policies is a second form of EM, particularly in relation to the possibility of an early adoption. Another method of managing earnings is to switch from an accounting method to another one. EM is also supposed to have a signaling effect [Schipper, 1989]. Managers, having privilege information about future earnings, will take the opportunity to signal their confidence in the level of those future earnings [Scott, 1997]. However, if managers have doubts about the level of those future earnings, which incentive do they have to disclose it right away. We believe that EM is about keeping the boat afloat for the current year hoping, with or without clues, that the future will be better. Anyway, how readers would be able to discriminate between 6 misleading or signaling accounts manipulations? And, in a manager’s perspective, if the future is not better than the present, it will always be soon enough for signaling it. Researches on EM have been developed without controversial statements about the efficient market hypothesis, even if substantial manipulations have been described and investors strong reactions after the manipulations are made public implying that investors have been misled. 3.2 Methodology Studies on EM take mainly into consideration the accruals. Accruals are reputed to carry information to the market [Schipper, 1989]. Accruals also form the difference between profit and cash flow. Consequently, assuming the cash flows are not manipulated, the only way to manipulate the profit remains to increase or decrease the accruals. But, the question then is: to increase or decrease from which level? What is the normal level of accruals, the benchmark? Many of the subsequent studies refer to Jones [1991] for the methodology. The first problem is to determine which part of the accruals is normally related with the level of activity (non discretionary) and which part is open to manipulation (discretionary). Previous studies have focused on specific accruals as being more prone to be used for EM purposes. McNichols and Wilson [1988] have studied only the bad debt provision adjustment. Jones decided to take all the accruals (except those related to taxes) as more likely to express EM. However, to take into consideration the difference in the level of activity of the firm, Jones scaled the difference in accruals by total assets, not assuming that the level of discretionary accruals is constant. There is also the inclusion of the level of tangible fixed assets in the explanatory variables that control for the size. However, as we are going toward knowledge based firms, using the quantity of tangible fixed assets as a measure is less accurate and, following this logic, discretionary accruals will proportionally steadily increase in the economy. Different authors used different ways to define discretionary accruals. Table 1 presents a selection of study. 7 Table 1 Discretionary accruals Authors Measure of the discretionary accruals Healy [1985] Non discretionary accruals are estimated by a mean value over a certain period DeAngelo [1986] Total accruals Dechow and Sloan [1991] Non discretionary accruals are measure by the mean of the industry sector Jones [1991] Non discretionary accruals take into accounts the growth in revenues and fixed assets by standardizing by total assets at the beginning Friedlan [1994] DeAngelo’s model standardized by sales Robb [1998] Loan loss provision Francis, Maydew and Average discretionary accruals: difference between total accruals and estimated Sparks [1999] nondiscretionary accruals Navissi [1999] Total accruals For a more detailed description and comparison of the models and their evolution we refer the reader to Dechow, Sloan and Sweeney [1995]. Their paper compares the different model to detect EM and therefore exposes the characteristics of each model with its forces and weaknesses. The models studied are Healy [1985], DeAngelo [1986], Jones [1991], a modified Jones model and the industry model. They conclude that the modified Jones model is the best to detect EM. More recent models refine the Jones Model. The problem is the degree of sophistication in the separation of discretionary and non discretionary accruals. Jones introduced some good amelioration in deflating both sides of the equation by the total assets. This was to take into consideration the change in firm size during the period. However, assets are nor necessarily the best measure, mostly when firms are not involved in a manufacturing activity. Teoh, Welsh and Wong [1998] proposed to separate short term and long term accruals as not behaving in the same way. Some studies have taken the difference in cash flow movements as being a good measure of the real evolution of the firm. In the absence of natural income manipulation (playing with the timing of transaction) this measure appears to be the best. The main purpose of the modifications is to provide for the normal growth of the accruals produced by the growth of the firm. However, the use of total assets to do that is influenced by the old industrial model of the firm. Friedlan [1994] used the sales in the same purpose, which is more in line with the characteristics of non industrial firms. 8 3.3 Motivations and Findings Many motivations have been put forward in the literature, focusing a lot on the incentives managers have to manipulate earnings or on the consequences of their actions [Merchant and Rockness, 1992]. 3.3.1 Remuneration One good reason for managers to enter into EM would be their remuneration package. Healy [1985] is among the first to propose this explanation, recalling that earnings-based bonus scheme is a popular mean of rewarding corporate executives. It is logical to believe that managers receiving a remuneration partially based on the level of profit will manipulate this profit to smooth their remuneration. Such a view is consistent with the big bath accounting discussed later. Healy [see comments by Kaplan 1985] tests the association between managers’ decisions about accruals, accounting procedures and their income-reporting related to the incentives coming from their compensation packages. Two classes of tests are presented: accrual tests and tests of changes in accounting procedures. As a result, managers are more likely to choose income-decreasing accruals when their bonus plans upper or lower bounds are binding, and income-increasing accruals when these bounds are not binding. However, managers do not change accounting procedures to decrease earnings when the bonus plan upper or lower bounds are binding. In summary, Healy found a significantly higher number of accounting changes in companies having such bonus schemes. Gaver, Gaver and Austin [1995] examined the relationship between discretionary accruals and bonus plans bounds for a sample of 102 firms over the 1980-1990 period. Contrary to Healy [1985], they found that when earnings before discretionary accruals fall below the lower bounds, managers select income-increasing discretionary accruals (and vice versa). They believe that these results are more consistent with the income smoothing hypothesis that with Healy’s bonus hypothesis. McNichols and Wilson [1988] reached results similar to Healy through studying the bad debt provision. Guidry, Leone and Rock [1999] tested and validated the Healy hypothesis for business-unit managers (see comments by Healy 1999). 9 Holthausen, Larcker and Sloan [1995], using more sophisticated data, were able to find that managers having reached the top of their compensation possibilities decrease reported earnings. 3.3.2 Compliance with Debt Covenants Clauses Another motivation, also contained in the positive accounting theory [Watts and Zimmerman, 1986] would be the compliance of the firm with debt covenant clauses. Sweeney [1994] found significant manipulations for firms having defaulted the conditions of their contract. Defond and Jiambalvo [1994] obtained similar results for comparable firms for the years preceding the disclosure of a default. To the contrary, DeAngelo, DeAngelo and Skinner [1994] took a sample of firm having done some actions to conform to their debt contract (dividend cut). They found no evidence of EM. 3.3.3 Official Examination A third motivation is official examination following some allegations of ill behavior from a firm or a sector. Often it is a sector event like having exaggerated average profits in average for a sector, repetitive accidents like tanker breaks, dumping or the possible existence of a cartel. The normal behavior during such a period will be to decrease profits as huge profits are a signal of a monopolistic situation, illicit operations or the ability to repay for the damages caused. Profit-decreasing accruals were found by Jones [1991] during official investigations. Obviously, this motivation will have a reverse effect on earnings compared with the two preceding ones. Most likely, the situations demanding opposite moves will not happened at the same time. If they do happen together, the manager will have to make a trade off. In a recent study in the oil industry, over a period of 19 years, Hall and Stammerjohan [1997] reached similar results, showing that EM may be performed in response to firm and industry specific factors such as high debt levels, pending legal damage rewards and foreign competition. In the context of anti-dumping complaints against foreign competitors, Magnan, Nadeau and Cormier [1999] showed that Canadian firms reduce their reported earnings by a significant amount during the year in which they are under investigation. 10 3.3.4 Initial Public Offerings Initial public offerings seem to be a good opportunity to manage earnings. The firm has no previous price on the market, so manipulating earnings would increase the introductory price. This reasoning however is contradicted by studies finding a systematic initial underpricing of these issues. The case of IPOs is a little different than for seasoned issues. For new issues there is no settled value and a shortage of information, therefore investors will rely more heavily on financial statements information [Friedlan, 1994; Neill, Pourciau and Schaefer, 1995]. Earnings manipulations then appear as an opportunity for initial shareholders to increase their wealth [Aharony, Lin and Loeb, 1993] through possibilities of biasing information [Titman and Trueman, 1986; Datar et al., 1991] Testing these hypotheses Friedlan [1994] found that firms increase their income just before going public. However, he pointed out that firms are often going public in a period of growth implying a natural increase in earnings. But, he also found that accruals have turned losses into profits in 94% of the cases, which seems too high to be obtained by chance only. Aharony, Lin and Loeb [1993], on the other side, found no evidence of manipulation by the accruals. They believe to have two groups in their sample. One group employs high quality underwriter and auditor and the other does not. Companies using EM are in the second group and are smaller and more heavily leveraged. Teoh, Welsh and Wong [1998] compared the level of accruals of IPO and non IPO firms. They found a significant difference that is disappearing through time after the issuing. Neill, Pourciau and Schaefer [1995] reported a relationship between the size of the proceeds and the liberality of accounting policies. 3.3.5 Accounting Choices Bremser [1975] contrasted the reported earnings (EPS) of a sample of 80 companies electing to make accounting changes with those of 80 companies not disclosing changes. This study revealed that companies reporting discretionary accounting changes in the period under 11 review exhibited a poorer pattern or trend of EPS than a random sample of companies with no reported changes during the same period. DeAngelo, DeAngelo and Skinner [1994] studied accounting choices in company experiencing persistent problems with their level of profit. They took companies with losses for three years in a row accompanied by a reduction of cash dividends. They also constructed a control sample. At the end, on a ten-year period, they found very little difference in troubled and untroubled companies. Navissi [1999] provided evidence that New Zealand manufacturing firms made incomedecreasing discretionary accruals for the years during which they could apply for price increases. Lim and Matolcsy [1999] carried out a similar study in Australia and showed that firms subject to price controls adjust their discretionary accounting accruals downward to reduce reported net income and to increase he likelihood of approval of the requested rice increase. Ahmed, Takeda and Thomas [1999] showed that the loan loss provision are used for capital management but found no evidence of EM via loss provisions. 3.3.6 Minimization of Income Tax Maydew [1997] investigated tax-induced intertemporal income shifting by firms with net operating loss carrybacks. This research extends prior examinations of intertemporal income shifting by profitable firms [Scholes, Wilson and Wolfson 1992; Guenther 1994]. Eilifsen, Knivsflå and Sættem [1999], following Chaney and Lewis [1995], showed that if taxable income were linked to accounting income, there will exist an automatic safeguard against manipulation of earnings within the analyzed framework (see comments by Hellman [1999]). 3.3.7 Other Motivations Copeland and Wojdak [1969] developed Gagnon’s work [1967] on the impact of the purchase-pooling decision suggesting that corporate managers may account for mergers in a 12 manner which maximizes or smooths reported income. They found strong support of the income maximization hypothesis. Dempsey, Hunt and Schroeder [1993] found significant levels of EM with extraordinary items when managers are not also owners, which is consistent with the predictions coming from the agency theory. McNichols and Wilson [1988] proposed as motivation for EM the elimination of extreme values for profit. They found evidence that the profit is decreased when reaching too high values. To a degree, they made a test of income smoothing using the provision for bad debts. Han and Wang [1998] found evidence that oil companies used income decreasing accounting policies during the Gulf War to avoid the political consequences of a higher profit coming from increased retail prices. Bartov [1993] provided evidence that US firms manage earnings through the timing of income recognition from disposal of long-life assets and investments. In the same area, Black, Sellers and Manly [1998] examined the effects of accounting regulation on EM behavior in an international setting (Australia, New Zealand UK). They found no evidence of EM in the Australia-New Zealand sample and, in contrast, strong evidence of EM in the UK sample (before the change in the accounting standard on asset revaluation). Burgstahler and Dichev [1997] examined incentives to manage earnings around the zero values and to avoid losses. Cormier, Magnan and Morard [1998] recalled that three reasons motivate EM: political cost minimization, financing cost minimization and manager wealth maximization. They addressed issues related to regulatory bodies, enterprises in financial difficulty and takeover attempts. They presented an EM model based on a sample of Swiss companies and their results generally support hypotheses found in the literature. Cahan, Chavis and Elemendorf [1997] examined the earnings management of chemical firms at a time when US Government was reforming the legislation. They showed that the companies tookincome-decreasing accruals t the height of the debate. Labelle and Thibault [1998] used the political costs related to 10 major environmental crises and a model similar to 13 those of Jones [1991] and DeAngelo et al. [1994], to conduct on a longitudinal and crosssectional bases an empirical test of the political-cost hypothesis where size is replaced by the occurrence of the environmental crisis. The signs of all variables in the model match the predicted sign and are significant except for the proxy for environmental crises. As a consequence, results do not support the hypothesis of EM following an environmental crisis. Visvanathan [1998] concluded that deferred tax valuation allowances are not subject to widespread EM as some critics suggest. Wu [1997] showed that managers manipulated earnings downward prior to an MBO proposal. Table 2 synthesizes the issue of the motivation for earnings management. 14 Table 2 Objectives of Earnings Management and their Contexts 1 Objectives Contexts Examples Minimization of Inquiries or Jones [1991]; Rayburn and Lenway [1992]: US International political costs surveillance by Trade Commission; Cahan [1992]: Anti-Trust Division of regulatory bodies the Ministry of Justice; Key [1997]: cable television industry during periods of Congressional scrutiny; Makar and Pervaiz [1998]: antitrust investigations; Magnan, Nadeau and Cormier [1999]: anti-dumping complaints Environmental Cahan, Chavis and Elemendorf [1997]; Labelle and Thibault regulation [1998] Minimizing income tax Warfield and Linsmeir [1992]; Boynton et al. [1992]; Guenther [1994]; Maydew [1997] Negotiation: labor Liberty and Zimmerman [1986] contract Minimization of IPO’s Aharony et al. [1993]; Friedlan [1994]; Teoh et al. [1994]; the cost of capital Cormier et Magnan [1995]; Magnan et Cormier [1997] Renewal of debt DeAngelo et al. [1994]; Sweeney [1994]; DeFond and and Jiambalvo [1994] debt McNichols and Wilson [1988]; Press and Weintrop [1990]; covenants and Healy and Palepu [1990]; Beneish and Press [1993]; Hall restrictions on contracts financial distress Violation of [1994] dividend payments Maximization of Maximizing managers wealth term short total Healy [1985]; Holthausen et al. [1995]; Gaver et al. [1995]; Clinch and Margliolo [1993] compensation Changing of control DeAngelo [1986]; Perry and Williams [1994]; DeAngelo [1988] Non routine changes CEO Murphy and Zimmerman [1993]; Pourciau [1993]; Dechow and Sloan [1991]. 3.3.8. Earnings management and auditing Becker et al. [1998] examined the relation between audit quality and EM and showed that clients of non-Big Six auditors report discretionary accruals that increase income relatively more than the discretionary accruals reported by clients of Big Six auditors. 15 Francis, Maydew and Sparks [1999] found that the likelihood of using a Big 6 auditor is increasing in firms’ endogenous propensity for accruals. Even though Big 6-audited firms have higher levels of total accruals, it is also found that they have lower amounts of estimated discretionary accruals. This finding is consistent with Big 6 auditors constraining aggressive and potentially opportunistic reporting of accruals. 3.3.9 The Role of Financial Analysts and Financial Statement Analysis – The Detection of Earnings Manipulation Robb [1998] tested the hypothesis that bank managers have an incentive to manage earnings through discretionary accruals to achieve market expectations. The results suggest that managers make greater use of the loan loss provision to manipulate earnings when analysts have reached a consensus in their earnings forecasts. The implication of the work performed by Mozes [1997] on LIFO liquidation relates to the way analysts should deal with suspicions of income manipulation. If the observed income manipulation does not involve behavior inconsistent with sound business practice, it can be argued that analysts should not attempt to correct for the effects of such manipulations. The manipulation may be management’s method of signaling its expectation of future results. As a consequence, for this author, manipulated financial statements can measure firm’s performance as well as straight ones. The results of this study suggest that it may be more useful to analyze the forecasting implication of EM. Kasznik [1999] tested the relationship between earnings forecasts and EM. His hypothesis is that managers will try to present a result in the neighborhood of the forecasted result to keep their reputation and avoid legal actions. He found significant evidences supporting his hypotheses. Wiedman [1999; see comments by Beneish 1999c] presented a case study focusing on the use of financial statement analysis in the detection of earnings manipulation. Students are required to assess the probability that a set of financial statements contain fraud by analyzing excerpts from the company’s financial and proxy statements, and applying the Beneish [1997] probit model for detecting earnings manipulation. In the same area, Beneish [1999b] developed a model for detecting manipulation. The model’s variables are designed to capture either the 1 Adapted and updated from Cormier, Magnan and Morard [1998]. 16 financial statement distortions that can result from manipulation or preconditions that might prompt companies to engage in such activity. 3.3.10 Studies Outside the Anglo-Saxon System There are few studies on EM outside the Anglo-Saxon accounting system. Kinnunen, Kasanen and Niskanen [1995] have done one on Finnish firms. Finnish accounting rules are quite slacks and allow for far more accounting changes than American rules. Therefore, it is difficult to take accounting changes as a basis. So, they used the IASC standards as a benchmark to determine the range of a steady income. They also test for income smoothing. Kasanen, Kinnunen and Niskanen [1996] provided evidence of dividend-based EM in companies that have owners with preference for stable dividends. In Finland again, Kallunki and Martikainen [1999] investigated the adjustment process of theEM of a firm to industry-wide targets. Their results indicated that the management of a firm takes into account the extent of EM of other firms operating in the same industry when managing reported earnings. However, playing with accruals has some limits. Sometimes reality must prevail and the balance sheet must be cleared to allow a new start in capitalizing doubtful amounts or making new provisions. That is the function of the big bath accounting. Table 3 and appendix 1 present most of the main studies in the EM literature, theoretical and empirical. 17 Table 3 Earnings Management - Theoretical papers Authors Dye [1988] Discussion 1. Manipulations done by managers to increase their overall compensation are likely to be provided for by investors 2. Actual shareholders may benefit from a transfer of wealth from new shareholders if earnings management lead to a mispricing on the market Schipper [1989] 1. Can be a signaling device for managers 2. Assume that accounting numbers are input in the decision process 3. Make a distinction between real (timing of transactions) and artificial (timing of presentation) EM Ayres [1994] Mozes [1997] 4. Recognize the intergenerational problem for shareholders as for bondholders 5. There must be a blocked communication condition How earnings quality is perceived 1. Some accounting methods are perceived as high quality and other as low quality 2. Smoothed profits are perceived as low quality 3. Problems: GAAP adoption delay, accounting changes, etc 1. Deal with EM and financial analysts 2. It would be interesting to study the forecasting implications of EM 3. There may be a signaling effect in EM DePree and Grant Case study about the decision of managing earnings taking into account the interest [1999] of managers, shareholders, other stakeholders and the GAAP. They conclude that it is difficult to reconcile all interests involved and that it is necessary to use ethics to find a solution. 4.0 INCOME SMOOTHING The income smoothing (IS) manipulation has a clear objective, which is to produce a steadily growing stream of profits. To exist this form of manipulation necessitates that the firm makes large enough profits to create provisions in order to regulate the flow when necessary. It is mainly a reduction of the variance of the profit. Researches on IS proceed from the belief that market participants will be mislead by a steady stream of profit. This belief is based on casual observations on the one hand, but also on the method to estimate the risk. The variance of the profit is a measure of the risk associated with this profit. So, if for a given total amount of profit we diminish the variance, we will modify the perception the market will have of the risk associated with it. 18 The hypothesis that management smoothes income was mainly suggested by Hepworth [1953] and elaborated on by Gordon [1964]. However, Buckmaster [1992, 1997] found earlier references. Since Hepworth’s article, IS has been studied mostly in the US whether there had been also some researches in Canada, UK and France 2 . Several reviews of the literature have been realized: Ronen et al. [1977] (with comments by Horwitz [1977]), who discuss the motivation for smoothing, the objects of smoothing, the smoothing instruments and methodological problems in the tests; Imhoff [1977] and Ronen and Sadan [1981]. Table 5 presents a selection of studies on income smoothing. The appendix 2 presents a selection of studies on income smoothing. Michelson, Jordan-Wagner and Wooton [1995, p. 1179] explained that several studies have focused on three issues: (a) the existence of the smoothing behavior; (b) the smoothing ability of various accounting techniques; and (c) conditions under which smoothing is effective [Lev and Kunitzky, 1974, p. 268]. Smoothing studies have also focused on (a) the objectives of smoothing (management motivation), (b) the objects of smoothing (operating income, net income), (c) the dimensions of smoothing (real or artificial), and (d) the smoothing variables (i.e., extraordinary items, tax credits) [Ronen and Sadan, 1981, p. 6]. We will present our review on IS, along the following lines: (1) the concept; (2) the technique, (3) the research methodologies of empirical studies and (4) the motivations for smoothing. 4.1 The Concept of Income Smoothing 4.1.1 Numerous Definitions The supposition that firms may intentionally smooth income was first suggested by Hepworth [1953, pp. 32-33] and developed by Gordon [1964, pp. 261-262] with a series of propositions: • Proposition 1: the criterion a corporate management uses in selecting among accounting principles is the maximization of its utility or welfare. 2 The expression “income smoothing” has even been used in other contexts which will not be dealt with in this paper: consumption smoothing and savings [Alessie and Lusardi, 1997], uses of formal savings and transfers for income smoothing [Behrman et al. 1997]. 19 • Proposition 2: the utility of a manager increases with (1) its job security, (2) the rate of growth in his income, and (3) the rate of growth in the firm’s size. • Proposition 3: the achievement of the management goals stated in proposition 2 is dependent in part on the satisfaction of stockholders with the firm’s performance. • Proposition 4: Stockholders satisfaction with a firm increasing the rate of growth of income (or the average rate of return on equity) and the stability of the income, is essential for managers to be free to pursue their own objectives. The theorem was thus designed: “given that the above four propositions are accepted or found to be true, it follows that a management should within the limits of its power, i.e., the latitude allowed by accounting rules, (1) smooth reported income, and (2) smooth the rate of growth in income”. Copeland [1968], White [1970], Beidleman [1973], Lev and Kunitzky [1974], Ronen et Sadan [1975, 1981], Barnea, Ronen et Sadan [1976], Imhoff [1977, 1981], Eckel [1981], Koch [1981], Belkaoui and Picur [1984], Albrecht and Richardson [1990], and Michelson, JordanWagner and Wooton [1995] authored the main studies along those lines. Some of these authors have proposed their own definition of “income smoothing”. Table 4 presents, in chronological order, several definitions. 20 Table 4 Principal Definitions of “Income Smoothing” Copeland 101] [1968, p. “Smoothing moderates year-to-year fluctuations in income by shifting earnings from peak years to less successful periods”. Beidleman [1973, p. 653] “Smoothing of reported earnings may be defined as the intentional dampening of fluctuations about some level of earnings that is currently considered to be normal for a firm”. Ronen and [1975b, p. 62] “By smoothing, we mean the dampening of the variations in income over time”. Sadan Barnea, Ronen and Sadan [1976, p. 111] “Deliberate dampening of fluctuations about some level of earnings which is considered to be normal for the firm” Imhoff [1977, p. 86] “IS has typically been defined as a relatively low degree of earnings variability”. Imhoff [1981, p. 24] “IS is a special case of inadequate financial statement disclosure. The smoothing of income implies some deliberate effort to disclose the financial information in such a way as to convey an artificially reduced variability of the income stream”. Ronen and [1981, p. 2] “IS can be defined as a deliberate attempt by management to signal information to financial users”. Sadan Koch [1981, p. 574] “IS can be defined as a means used by management to diminish the variability of stream of reported income numbers relative to some perceived target stream by the manipulation of artificial (accounting) or real (transactional) variables”. Givoly and Ronen [1981, p. 175] “Smoothing can be viewed as a form of signaling whereby managers use their discretion over the choice among accounting alternatives within generally accepted accounting principles so as to minimize fluctuations of earnings over time around the trend they believe best reflects their view of investors’ expectations of the company’s future performance”. Moses [1987, p. 360] “Smoothing behavior is defined as an effort to reduce fluctuations in reported earnings”. Ma [1988, p. 487] “Smoothing reported earnings may be defined as the intentional reduction of earnings fluctuations with respect to some normal level”. Ashari, Koh, Tan and Wong [1994] “Deliberate voluntary acts by management to reduce income variation by using certain accounting devices”. Beattie et al. [1994, p. 793] “Smoothing can be viewed in terms of the reduction in earnings variability over a number of periods, or, within a single period, as the movement towards an expected level of reported earnings”. Fern, Brown Dickey [1994] and “Attempts to reduce earnings variability, especially behavior designed to dampen abnormal increases in reported earnings”. Fudenberg and Tirole [1995] “IS is the process of manipulating the time profile of earnings or earnings reports to make the reported income stream less variable, while not increasing reported earnings over the long run”. Imhoff [1981] reviewed the empirical literature dealing with the definition of IS. The inconsistencies of previous definitions are discussed and empirical evidence is presented 21 suggesting that the inconclusive results obtained by previous smoothing researchers are partly attributable to their definition. 4.1.2 Types of Smoothing Following previous studies of IS behavior (Dascher and Malcolm [1970, pp. 253-254], Shank and Burnell [1974, p. 136], Imhoff [1977] and Horwitz [1977, p. 27]), Eckel [1981] showed the necessity to distinguish between the potentially different types of smooth income streams (see figure 2 adapted from Eckel [1981 p. 29]). 22 Figure 2 Different Types of Smooth Income Streams Smooth Income Stream Intentionally Naturally Smooth Being Smoothed (“Natural Smoothing”) by Management (“Designed Smoothing”) Artificial Smoothing Real Smoothing (“Accounting Smoothing”) (“Transactional or Economic Smoothing”) Accounting manipulations undertaken Management actions undertaken to The income generating by management to smooth income. control underlying economic events process [Eckel, 1981, p. 29]. [Eckel, 1981, p. 29]. produces inherently a smooth income stream [Eckel, Accounting smoothing variety of Actual selection of projects and allocating over time the consequences timing of operating decisions. Non- of decisions already made and the accounting smoothing of the firm’s classification of these consequences input and output series through the within a period among different items making and timing of operating in decisions [Kamin and Ronen, 1978, the financial statements. Accounting smoothing does not result p. 144]. from changing the operating decisions and their timing but affects income Real through dimensions, business decisions (selection of an notably events’ recognition and the advertising plan or of an R&D allocation and/or classification of the project) [Koch, 1981, p. 576]. accounting variables represented by effects of the recognized events [Kamin and Ronen, 1978, p. 144]. The management can smooth earnings by altering the firm’s Artificial variables represented by production accounting decisions (selection of a decisions at year-end based on its depreciation the knowledge of how the firm has selection, of a method for the performed up to that time in the year investment tax credit) [Koch, 1981, p. [Lambert, 1984, p. 606]. method and 576]. 23 and/or investment 1981, p. 28]. Imhoff [1977] focused on the problem of distinguishing natural smoothing (caused by the economic events being reported) from designed smoothing. He recalled [p. 88] that Ball [1972, p. 33] differentiated between “the real effects and the accounting effects” on income and adds that a smooth earnings stream takes place by design, not as a result of some natural sequence of events. If we review this literature, we find many authors having given their definition of these different concepts. Albrecht and Richardson [1990, p. 714] indicated that Imhoff [1977] was the first researcher to attempt to separate management’s artificial smoothing behavior from the confounding effects of real smoothing actions or naturally smooth income streams. For Imhoff [1977, p. 89], it appears to be an impossible task to determine whether income has been smoothed by design or as the result of some natural course of events. He believes that the major assumption made in attempting to identify natural smoothers is that the level of income is dependent, to some extent, on the level of sales. If the pattern of the income stream is supported by a similar pattern for the sales stream, the smooth income stream might be viewed as a natural result of operations. Other solutions have been described in the literature. For instance, according to Wang and Williams [1994], two slightly different approaches were employed empirically to separate real IS from accounting IS. Under the first approach, a smooth income series is considered to be more likely due to real IS than merely accounting IS, if the firm’s underlying cash flows are also smoothed over the same period (i.e. the fluctuation in the firm’s cash flows from operations is in the lower fifty percent). Under the second approach, a firm is considered to be more likely engaged in accounting IS if its smooth income series is accompanied by variations in cash flows and accruals (i.e. reporting a significant increase in cash flows and at the same time a significant decrease in accruals, and vice versa). Within the framework of intentional smoothing, some studies attempted to look at the difference between artificial and real smoothing. For instance, Koch [1981, p. 576] demonstrated that smoothing is greater with the use of artificial (accounting) variables than with real (transactional) variables. Lambert [1984] used agency theory to examine the phenomenon of “real” IS. Eckel proposed a categorization for analyzing the definitions already existing in the literature. It must be remember that managers’ decisions are influenced by the environment of the firm and a mode of functioning (which is related to natural smoothing) implying certain 24 operational practices (which are related to real smoothing) and some accounting choices (which are related to artificial smoothing). In a practical sense, the three types of smoothing are often hardly distinguishable and, moreover can be considered as interrelated. Smoothing practices are based on numerous variables. 4.2 The Smoothing Techniques The researchers have identified different components of IS: (1) the object of smoothing, (2) the number of periods, (3) the smoothing variables, and (4) the smoothing dimensions. We will add a description of their research methodologies (5). 4.2.1 The Smoothing Objects The smoothing objects are the numbers whose series is presumed to be the target of the smoothing attempts. They represent the variables whose variations over time are to be dampened [Kamin and Ronen, 1978, p. 141 and 145]. Imhoff [1981, p. 24] wrote that the target of management’s smoothing efforts may vary across firms. Empirical studies dealing with IS show that the concept of “income” has been interpreted in different ways (see table 5). 25 Table 5 The Smoothing Objects Authors Dopuch and Drake [1966] Gordon, Horwitz and Meyers [1966] Archibald [1967] Gagnon [1967] Copeland [1968] Cushing [1969] White [1970, 1972] Dascher and Malcolm [1970] Barefield and Comiskey [1972] Beidleman [1973, 1975] Ronen et Sadan [1975a, 1975b] Barnea, Ronen and Sadan [1976, 1977] Kamin and Ronen [1978] Givoly and Ronen [1981] Imhoff [1981] Koch [1981] Amihud, Kamin and Ronen [1983] Belkaoui and Picur [1984] Moses [1987] Brayshaw and Eldin [1989] Craig and Walsh [1989] Albrecht and Richardson [1990] Ashari, Koh, Tan and Wong [1994] Beattie et al. [1994] Fern, Brown and Dickey [1994] Sheikholeslami [1994] Michelson, Jordan-Wagner and Wooton [1995] Bhat [1996] Saudagaran and Sepe [1996] Breton and Chenail [1997] Godfrey and Jones [1999] Objects of smoothing Net income Earnings per share Rate of return on stockholder’s equity Net income Earnings (less preferred dividends) Net income Earnings per share (unclear which type)) Earnings per share (unclear which type) Income (not clear which one) Before tax earnings (unclear which one) Earnings (unclear which one) Ordinary income per share before extraordinary items Extraordinary income per share Ordinary income (before extraordinary items) per share Operating income per share (before period charges and extraordinary items) Operating income Ordinary income Earnings per share (before extraordinary items), adjusted for stock splits and dividends. Fully diluted Earnings per share Net income Net income before extraordinary items Operating income Gross margin Earnings per share Net operating income per share Operating income Ordinary income Earnings (unclear which) Ordinary income before tax and extraordinary items Net income Reported consolidated net income after tax, minority interests and extraordinary items. Operating income Income from operations Income before extraordinary items Net income Income from operations Income before extraordinary items Net income after tax Reported profit after tax, but before extraordinary items Ordinary income (income before extraordinary items). Pre-tax income Net income Operating income Operating income after depreciation Pre-tax income Income before extraordinary items Net income Earnings after taxes and before extraordinary items Earnings (unclear which) Net income Net operating profit Imhoff indicated [1977, p. 86] that since no smoothing research study has considered more than one form of income, and since it is unclear in some research which form of income was used, it is impossible to infer how any particular form of income affects the research results 26 within or across studies. Since, several studies have included more than one smoothing object, as it appears from table 5. The choice of the smoothing object has to be discussed. For instance, Barnea, Ronen and Sadan have suggested that financial statements users focus on “ordinary income per share” which they feel “… should be the object of smoothing” [1976, p. 110]. Kamin and Ronen [1978, p. 144], who were mostly interested in real smoothing, believed that since operating income primarily reflects the operation inflow and outflow series, its potential for real smoothing is likely to outweigh its potential for accounting smoothing. White [1970, p. 260] selected Earnings Per Share (EPS) as an appropriate surrogate for reported performance because of the heavy emphasis placed on this measure in the annual report and traditional security analysis. 4.2.2 The Number of Periods Covered Empirical studies on IS had to face the question of the optimal number of periods involved in the research. Copeland [1968, p. 113] believes that investigating smoothing must be done on a sufficiently long period, and that the length of the period may influence the results of the study. His survey confirmed the hypothesis that classification of firms as smoothers and non smoothers based on observations over six years is more valid that a classification based on a two-year or a four-year observation period [p. 114]. A similar idea is developed by Beidleman [1973, p. 657] who states that an increase in the lenght of the period tends to reduce errors of misclassification of firms as smoothers when, based on another apparently “more valid” test, they appear to be nonsmoothers. As for Moses [1987, p. 362], he suggested that multiperiod studies capture smoothing achievement, whereas one period studies reflect attempts to smooth. From a statistical point of view, we could remind that time-series analyses can be performed for a variety of purposes including considerations of IS [Cogger 1981; Lorek, Kee and Vass, 1981]. 27 4.2.3 The Smoothing Variables The smoothing instruments, also known under the terminology “smoothing devices” [Moses, 1987, p. 360] are the variables used by managers in attempting to smooth particular accounting figures [Kamin and Ronen, 1978, p. 145]. According to Copeland [1968 p. 102], an accounting practice or measurement rule must possess certain properties before it may be used as a manipulative smoothing device. For this author, a perfect smoothing device must possess all of the following characteristics: A. Once used, it must not commit the firm to any particular future action. Effective smoothing devices should not establish a precedent to which the “principle” of consistency may apply. Practices, which, once used, commit the firm to report particular amounts in the future may smooth current income; however, use of them may cause anti-smoothing in the future. Future freedom of action is vital for longterm smoothing. B. It must be based upon the exercise of professional judgment and be considered within the domain of “generally accepted accounting principles.” A smoothing device should not force management to disclose the fact of its manipulation and obviously must not cause the auditor to qualify his opinion. C. It must lead to material shifts relative to year-to-year differences in income. In other words, to be effective, the manipulation must be material. Effectiveness relates to accomplishing specific goals; materiality refers to the net change in income caused by the alternative. D. It must not require a “real” transaction with second parties, but only a reclassification of internal account balances. This condition refers to the distinction between real and accounting smoothing. A smoothing device ought to involve only accounting interpretation of an event, not the event itself. E. It must be used, singularly or in conjunction with other practices, over consecutive periods of time. The term “smoothing” implies adjustments to income in two or more consecutive periods. In reaction to Copeland’s definition of the characteristics of a good smoothing instrument, Beidleman [1973, p. 658] proposed less strict conditions: 1. It must permit management to reduce the variability in reported earnings as it strives to achieve its longrun earnings (growth) objective. 2. Once used, it should not commit the firm to any particular future action. 28 Copeland’s specifications have been criticized by Schiff [1968], Kirchheimer [1968] and Beidleman [1973] as being too restrictive. Thus, the inclusion of discretionary “management decisions – and the timing of such decisions” [Schiff, 1968, p. 121] and “a wide range of devices, some of which are of the accounting type” [Kirchheimer, 1968, p. 119] would have provided a more complete compendium of techniques available to management to adjust reported earnings [Beidleman, 1973, p. 658]. Moreover, the flexibility that was introduced into characteristic A has been mitigated by the restraints implicit in B, C, D, and E [Beidleman p. 658]. Imhoff [1981, p. 25] reminds us that one of the more popular methods of investigating smoothing behavior has been to select certain key variables which are both observable and capable of being influenced through management actions, and to observe their effect on earnings. As shown in appendix 3 below, some of the hypothesized smoothing variables which have been investigated include the investment tax credit [Gordon et al. 1966], the classification of extraordinary items [Ronen and Sadan 1975; Godfrey and Jones 1999], dividend income [Copeland, 1968; Copeland and Licastro, 1968], gains and losses on securities [Dopuch and Drake, 1966], pensions, R&D, and sales and advertising expense [Beidleman, 1973; Dascher and Malcolm, 1970], choice of the cost or equity method [Barefield and Comiskey, 1972], and changes from accelerated to straight-line depreciation [Archibald, 1967]. Most of the earlier empirical studies on IS have considered only one manipulative variable at a time. However, the weakness of concentrating on one variable was acknowledged by both Gordon, Horwitz and Meyers [1966] and Copeland and Licastro [1968]. Copeland [1968, p. 107], criticizing an article by Archibald [1967], explained that he had only one observation on one manipulative variable, so that a pattern of behavior could not be determined. Thus, some declining profit firms reported in the Archibald’s sample may have been maximizers or randomly acting non manipulators. More fundamentally, Copeland [1968] raised the question of whether the classification of firms as smoothers and non smoothers differs substantially with the variables selected. His results showed that increasing the number of variables reduces the number of classificatory errors. 29 Eckel [1981] proposed a new conceptual framework to overcome the perceived weaknesses of the existing ones. The proposed framework suggested that an IS firm is one that selects ‘n’ accounting variables such that their joint effect is to minimize the variability of its reported income. Zmijewski and Hagerman [1981] proposed that companies do not select accounting procedures independently, but consider the overall effect of all accounting procedures on income. Ma [1988, p. 490] assumed that the failure to find significant evidence of IS might have been due to the difficulty of testing several smoothing variables simultaneously. 4.2.4 The Smoothing Dimensions Smoothing dimensions are the methods through which smoothing is presumed to be accomplished, such as allocation over time or classification [Kamin and Ronen, 1978, p. 145]. Barnea, Ronen and Sadan [1976, p. 110], Ronen and Sadan [1975a, pp. 133-134; 1975b, p. 62] and Ronen, Sadan and Snow [1977, p. 15] indicated that smoothing can be accomplished along several smoothing dimensions The dimensions are summarized in figure 3. 30 Figure 3 The Three Smoothing Dimensions Smoothing Management can schedule transactions so that their through an effects on reported income tend to dampen its event’s variations over time. For example, the delivery of occurrence goods can be included in, or excluded from, a and/or specific accounting period. recognition Inter-temporal Given that an event has occurred and has been Smoothing recognized in the firm’s accounting, management still through has partial discretion to determine the number of allocation future periods affected and the impact on each period over time through depreciation or amortization, for instance. Dimensions of smoothing Depending on the classification of income statement items, management can reduce the variance of income figures other than net income. Classificatory Classificatory Smoothing smoothing is effective only when the objects of through smoothing are income figures other than net income. classification For example, by classifying income or expense elements on the borderline between ordinary and extraordinary items, management can give a smoother appearance to the stream of ordinary income (before extraordinary items). As indicated in figure 3, classificatory smoothing is mainly based on borderline items, such as, in the US accounting, material write-downs of inventories, provisions for loss on major long-term contracts, and losses on dispositions of assets. The classificatory dimension with extraordinary items had not been investigated before the surveys carried out by Ronen and Sadan [1975a, 1975b] and Barnea, Ronen and Sadan 31 [1976]. These works showed strong support for the hypothesis that management behave as if they smoothed income through the accounting manipulation of extraordinary items. Gibbins [1977] studied the classificatory smoothing of income with extraordinary items. He explained that Barnea, Ronen and Sadan [1976] investigated the IS hypothesis using correlation analysis without data on management’s intentions. Doing so, they introduced the concept of “as if” smoothing. Then, Gibbins suggested to clearly establish intent to smooth as a cause of accounting adjustments. One approach would involve a search for behavioral evidence regarding intention, motivation, opportunity, smoothing models, etc. A second approach would involve the evaluation of alternative explanations and would require various research techniques following the explanation to be studied. Godfrey and Jones [1999] indicated that Australian managers of companies with highly unionized workforces, and therefore subject to labor-related political costs, attempted smoothed reported net operating profit via the classification of recurring gains and losses. Smoothing dimensions and smoothing objects are closely associated. Ronen, Sadan and Snow [1977, p. 16] investigated the interrelationships among the smoothing objects, dimensions and variables. 4.3 Research Methodologies3 Copeland [1968, p. 105] suggested that empirical tests of IS can be of three types: (1) directly ascertain from management by interview, questionnaire, or observation; (2) ask other parties such as CPA’s; or (3) examination of financial statements and/or reports to governmental agencies to verify, ex post, if smoothing had occurred. Eckel [1981, p. 30] noticed that by far the great majority of researchers selected the last method assuming the same conceptual framework: if the variability of normalized earnings generated by a specified expectancy model is lessened by the inclusion of a potential smoothing variable utilized by the firm, then the firm has “smoothed income”. This is confirmed by Albrecht and Richardson [1990, p. 713] who indicated that early empirical researchers in accounting examined ex post data to determine the existence of smoothing behavior. The general assumption was that if smoothed earnings resulted from the 32 choice of a smoothing variable, then IS behavior must have occurred. A classical approach to studying IS involves an examination of the relation between choice of smoothing variable and its effect on reported income [p. 714]. Ronen, Sadan & Snow [1977] suggested an interesting approach to research on IS. According to them, any researcher who wants to test for smoothing must simulate management’s decision-making process. Specifically, they address four methodological questions the researcher has to cope with: 1. What is management’s object of smoothing? 2. Through what dimension management is conducting smoothing? 3. What is management’s smoothing instrument? 4. What is the object of the smoothing behavior? With regard to the earnings trend, Imhoff [1981, p. 31] explained that the model used to assess the smoothness or the variance of the income varies through time (see table 6). Researches using a two-periods model assume the target earnings number as equal to the previous year’s earnings [Copeland and Licastro, 1968]. In other words, the measure of smoothness is the magnitude of the change in income from one year to the next. The studies which evaluated earnings using multi-period tests were based on the assumption that there should be a smooth increasing trend [Gordon, Horwitz and Myers, 1966]. They have employed exponential models [Dascher and Malcolm, 1970], linear time-series models [Barefield and Comiskey, 1972], semilogarithmic time trend [Beidleman, 1973] and firstdifference market income index models [Ronen and Sadan, 1975], to mention a few. Dopuch and Watts [1972] suggested that the Box and Jenkins techniques might be useful in ascertaining which smoothing model to use. Imhoff [1977], followed by Eckel [1981], developed a methodology based on the testing of the variability of income against the variability of sales. They assumed that the level of income is dependent to some extent on the level of sales. The basic idea is that a change in sales, at the margin, must create a relatively larger effect on the profit. Therefore, if the variance of the profit is less than the variance of the sales, we may conclude that the benefit had been smoothed. 3 Breton and Chenail [1997, p. 55] presented a summary of the various methodologies used in several studies. 33 Gonedes [1972] considered the IS hypothesis within the context of two kinds of stochastic processes: martingales and mean-reverting processes. A characterization of optimal smoothing action for an N period horizon was derived via dynamic programming tools. The smoothing object was formed by a series of rates of return: the rate of return on common equity, the rate of return on total assets, etc. Table 6 provides some examples of methodologies. Table 6 Examples of Methodologies Authors Archibald [1967], Copeland [1968], Copeland and Licastro [1968], White [1970] Methodology used or described Normal or target earnings equal the preceding year’s earnings. Gordon, Horwitz and Meyers [1966] • • • Exponential weighting of prior year normal earnings and current year actual earnings to calculate current year normal earnings Adjusts “normal” earnings using an exponentially weighted one-year growth rate and compares it with actual earnings per share to determine the direction of deviations from normality Two-period exponentially smoothed rate of return on book value per share. This is then multiplied by actual book value to calculate “normal” earnings. Cushing [1969] Weighted average of the four prior years’ earnings. Dascher and Malcolm [1970] Exponential curve. Imhoff [1977], Eckel [1981], Albrecht and Richardson [1990], Michelson et al. [1995] Comparison of the variance of sales and profit.. 4.4 The Motivations and Determinants for Income Smoothing As Bitner and Dolan [1996, p. 16] indicated, the initial phase of the smoothing literature, which has been presented in the paragraph 4.2 of this section, focused on detecting smoothing. The empirical question was whether firms deliberately dampen fluctuations around some expected earnings trend. While the results of early studies were inconclusive, recent evidence generally has supported the hypothesis. This finding has prompted a second era in the literature investigating the motivation for smoothing and the factors determining this smoothing. Belkaoui and Picur [1984, p. 528] repertoried various motivations for smoothing given in the literature. Early smoothing studies hypothesized that management was motivated to reduce 34 earnings and cash flow variability in an attempt to reduce firm’s perceived risk [Cushing, 1969; Ronen and Sadan, 1975; Beidleman, 1973]. As mentioned by Fern et al. [1994], later research suggested that capital markets were “efficient” and that investors would not be fooled by mere accounting gimmicks [Imhoff, 1975, 1981; Copeland, 1968; Beaver and Dukes, 1973]. However smoothing may survive through managers not believing in market efficiency. It seems interesting to refer to Ronen, Sadan and Snow’s opinion [1977, p. 12-13]: smoothing could be destined to (1) external users of financial statements, such as investors and creditors, and (2) management itself. More specifically, as far as management is concerned, it should be noted that the motivation to smooth income is not confined to top management. Lower management may attempt to smooth to look good to the top management. They may try to meet predetermined budgets, which in addition to serving as forecasts, also act as performance yardsticks. Belkaoui [1983, pp. 306-307] showed that the variability of income numbers exceeds, in many firms, the cash accounting based numbers. That would be a sign that some smoothing had been done. Such a measure can be used to detect natural income smoothing as differences in the variation of income and cash flows may indicate an aggressive policy for revenue recognition. The table 7 presents some motivations advanced by the literature. 35 Table 7 Examples of Motivations for Smoothing Authors Hepworth [1953] Motivations Managers are motivated to smooth income - to gain tax advantages - to improve relations with creditors, employees and investors. Stable earnings give owners and creditors a more confident feeling toward management. Beidleman [1973], - To reduce the uncertainty resulting from the fluctuations of income numbers in general and Lev and Kunitzky - To reduce systematic risk in particular by reducing the co-variance of the firm’s returns with [1974] Barnea et al. [1976] the market returns. Management may attempt to smooth income number to convey their expectations of future cash flows Ronen, Sadan and Smoothing could be aimed at Snow [1977] - external users of financial statements, such as investors and creditors, and - management itself. - Management compensation schemes are normally linked to firm performance represented by Brawshaw and Eldin [1989] reported income. Hence, any variability in this income will affect management compensation. - The threat of management displacement: variations in the firm performance might result in the intervention by owners to displace management by means of, for example, amalgamations, takeovers or direct replacement. Fern, Brown and - To affect a firm’s stock prices and risk Dickey [1994] - To manipulate management compensation - To escape restrictive debt covenant - To avoid political costs. Fudenberg and Tirole The paper builds a theory of IS based on the managers’ concern about keeping their position or [1995] avoiding interference, and on the idea that current performance receives more weight than past performance when one is assessing the future. Bhat [1996] - IS improves investors’ perception of the risk of the firm. - It helps to maintain a steady compensation scheme over time for managers. - Since it is hard for investors to gauge the quality of the management of a bank, IS provides an excellent alternative for low quality management to project an image of high quality management. - IS improves price stability of a stock by reducing its perceived earnings volatility. 36 4.4.1 Is Income Smoothing “Bad”? For Imhoff [1977, p. 85], there is no strong empirical evidence indicating that a smoothed income stream is either advantageous or disadvantageous to a firm or its equity holders. Ball and Watts [1972], and earlier Kennelly et al. [1971] interpreted their research findings as indicating that the market is efficient with respect to smoothing techniques. Yet, Gonedes [1972] has challenged this contention and Beidleman [1973] has further asserted that smoothing income is advantageous to both investors and market analysts. Whereas income smoothing has long been regarded as an opportunistic management move to “manipulate” financial statements, Ronen and Sadan [1980] proposed that IS may not be as evil as one might think. Specifically, they argued that the smoothing of income could enhance the ability of external users to predict future income numbers. In the same area, Wang and Williams [1994] demonstrated that, contrary to the widespread view that the accounting IS consists of cheating and misleading, it enhances the informational value of reported earnings. Their study provides consistent evidence indicating that smoothed income numbers are viewed favorably by the markets, and firms with smoother income series are perceived as being less risky. The findings suggested that IS can be beneficial to both existing stockholders and prospective investors. The study examines the relationship between accounting IS and stockholder wealth. Suh [1990, p. 704] also recalled that IS is often viewed as an attempt to fool the shareholders and investors. In contrast to these negative views on strategic accounting choice or IS, recent agency research in accounting has provided models in which these practices arise as rational equilibrium behavior. Hunt, Moyer and Shevlin [1995] reported that market value is positively associated with the magnitude of reduction in earnings volatility through discretionary IS. While IS has an opportunistic connotation, not all smoothing is necessarily opportunistic. Hand [1989] observed that managers may smooth earnings to align results with market expectations, and even to increase the persistence of earnings. If earnings are smoothed to mitigate the effects of transitory cash flows and adjust reported earnings towards a more stable trend, then IS can enhance the value relevance of earnings. Subramanyam [1996, p. 267] shows that discretionary accruals are priced by the market and that there is an evidence of pervasive IS improving the persistence and predictability of earnings. 37 Bitner and Dolan [1996] expanded upon the Trueman and Titman [1988] rationale, albeit in a non-agency setting, to propose equity market valuation as a motivation for smoothing. This study has suggested a theoretical link between income smoothness and market valuation as measured by the Tobin’s q. From this theoretical basis, they develop two testable hypotheses. Does the financial market show a preference for smooth income streams? And does it distinguish between naturally versus managed smoothness? The results indicated that, along with growth, the market does value smoothed income. But the market also appears to be sensitive to how smoothing is achieved, thus supporting semi-strong form of market efficiency. The empirical results reveal that equity market valuations discount for both artificial and real smoothing. In some studies, IS may not be anymore the object of studies, but a variable. For instance, Booth, Kallunki and Martikainen [1996] investigated whether the post-announcement unexpected return behavior differs between Finnish firms that naturally smooth and do not smooth their income. 4.4.2 Income Smoothing and Compensation Some researchers have argued that managers benefit from smoothing due to the structure of their compensation packages. Watts and Zimmerman [1978] and Ronen and Sadan [1981] provided the earliest theory of how income-related compensation schemes can induce smoothing behavior. Moses [1987] supported this theory empirically by linking smoothing behavior with the existence of bonus compensation schemes. Other researchers have sought to explain the rationale for smoothing in an agency setting. Lambert [1984] applied agency theory to show that optimal compensation agreements offered by principals may cause agents (managers) to smooth income (see below). Trueman and Titman [1988] also used an agency framework to demonstrate that managers have an incentive to present future debt holders with low variance income streams, thus lowering the required return of the debt holders and thereby the firm’s long-term cost of capital. 4.4.3 Determinants of Smoothing Ball and Foster [1982] have criticized the smoothing literature for not factoring motivations into the research design. Lambert [1984] suggested that the proper test for smoothing is to determine whether smoothing is more in evidence when there is relatively greater incentive 38 for it to exist. Moses [1987] added that studies of the economic consequences of accounting choices ([Kelly, 1983] and [Holthausen and Leftwich, 1983]) have developed factors to explain different accounting preferences across firms. The examples include taxes, political costs, contractual relationships, and ownership control. Beattie et al. [1994, p. 793] wrote that IS emerges as rational behavior based on the assumptions that (1) managers act to maximize their utility, (2) fluctuations in income and unpredictability of earnings are causal determinants of market risk measures, (3) the dividend ratio is a causal determinant of share values, and (4) managers’ utility depend on the firm’s share value [Beidleman, 1973; Watts and Zimmerman, 1986, p. 134]. Koch [1981] conducted a laboratory experiment to investigate the following determinants of IS: (1) the organizational structure that is likely to induce smoothing behavior, (2) the tradeoff which a manager is willing to make to smooth income, and (3) the manner in which a manager prefers to smooth income. Carlson and Bathala [1997] examined the association between differences in ownership structure and IS behavior. Several factors are identified: manager versus owner control, debt financing, institutional ownership, dispersion of stock ownership, profitability and firm size. As a result, dimensions reflecting differences in the ownership structure, executive’s incentive structure and firm profitability are important in explaining IS smoothing. 4.4.4 Agency Theory Lambert [1984] used agency theory to construct a simple economic model of the stockholdermanager relationship. He elaborated a two-period agency model where the principal chooses the manager’s compensation scheme to motivate the manager to engage in real IS activities, thus allowing the agent to smooth his compensation. Consistently with the agency hypothesis, Ma [1988, p. 488] showed that the degree of control which management has over the conduct of firm’s affairs will influence its smoothing behavior. On this aspect, various studies [Monsen, Chiu and Cooley, 1968; Larner, 1971; Smith 1976; Koch, 1981; Amihud, Kamin and Ronen, 1983] have provided evidence that management-controlled firms reported relatively smoother income series and have a lower systematic market risk than owner-controlled firms. 39 Dye [1988], following Lambert [1984], demonstrated, in an agency setting that a risk-averse manager who is precluded from borrowing in the capital markets has an incentive to smooth reported income. In contrast, Trueman and Titman [1988] showed that within a market setting an incentive exists for a manager to smooth income independently of either risk aversion or restricted access to capital markets. They have provided an explanation for corporate managers smoothing behavior, i.e., to lower claim holders’ perception of the variance of the firm’s underlying economic earnings [see comments by Newman 1988]. The purpose of Suh’s paper [1990] is to focus on accounting IS rather than real IS by incorporating information asymmetry regarding production technology into the model. The paper develops a two-period agency model in which an agent obtains, after the first period of operation, private information regarding future productivity of these operations. The agent’s private information and the multi-period nature of the agency relationship are two essential elements for explaining signal-contingent inter-period smoothing (through the choice of his report) as a rational equilibrium behavior. Demski [1998] proposed a new type of research. A two-period principal-agent formulation in which the manager has an option to misreport first-period performance is presented. The underlying model is a streamlined agency setting in which accounting recognition is an issue. 4.4.5 Sector Analysis The activity sector has been an area of research, on the basis of a dual economy perspective: core and periphery [Averitt, 1968, pp. 6-7]. Using this classification, Belkaoui and Picur [1984] hypothesized that companies in the core sectors would exhibit a lesser degree of smoothing behavior than companies in the periphery sectors because “firms in the periphery sectors have more opportunity and more predisposition to smooth both their operating flows and reported income measures than firms in the core sector” [p. 530]. Their method was to compare the change in operating income and the change in the profit before extraordinary items figure to the change in expenses. Their findings confirm their hypothesis. Albrecht and Richardson [1990] and Breton and Chenail [1997] found interesting to adopt the Imhoff-Eckel [1977-1981] income variability method of analysis to detect the relative incidence of IS in the core and periphery sectors of the economy. Both studies do not support 40 the Belkaoui-Picur hypothesis of differences in corporate behavior between core and peripheral activity sectors. Kinnunen, Kasanen and Niskanen [1995] tested a sample separated into core and periphery industries following the Belkaoui and Picur [1984] distinction. They found that core companies were more incline to practice IS which they explained by the international situation of the core sectors compared with the relatively more local statute of the periphery sectors. Besides that, several studies focus on one particular sector, namely the bank industry. For instance, Scheiner [1981] analyzed IS in the banking industry, with the loan loss provision as a smoothing instrument. He rejected the position that commercial banks use loan loss provisions to smooth income. Genay [1998] examined the performance of Japanese banks in recent years related to variables used by regulators and analysts to assess their situation. This paper showed that accounting profits are correlated with some bank characteristics and economic variables in puzzling ways. Additional evidence suggested that these puzzling or inconsistent results may be due to IS by banks. Specifically, Japanese banks appear to increase their loan loss provisions when their core earnings and the returns on the market are high. Westmore and Brick [1994] studied the Circular number 201, from the Comptroller of the Currency, which states that bank managers should follow relevant criteria when determining loan-loss provisions. An analysis estimates the tie between relevant criteria to the actual provision. Contrary to results of recent past studies, they found no evidence of IS. Grace [1990] studied the hypothesis that an insurer maximizes discounted cash flow subject to estimation errors and IS constraints. He provided evidence to support this hypothesis for the periods 1966-1971 and 1972-1979. Regression results for the latter period show that the level of reserves helped reduce tax bills and smooth earnings volatility, subject to uncertain future claim costs. Results for the period 1966-1971 indicated that reserve errors are unrelated to smoothing measures. Table 8 presents a listing of IS studies focusing on a specific sector or country (except from the US). 41 Table 8 Income Smoothing in a Specific Sector or Country Authors Sector and/or Country Scheiner [1981] Banking industry Ma [1988] Banking industry. Greenwalt and Sinkey [1988] Banks Wetmore and Brick [1994] Commercial banks Bhat [1996] Banks Genay [1998] Japanese banks Hasan and Hunter [1994] Thrift industry Grace [1990] Insurance Fern, Brown and Dickey [1994] Oil refining industry Gordon, Horwitz and Meyers [1966] Chemical industry Dascher and Malcolm [1970] Chemical and chemical preparations industries White [1970] Chemical industry and building materials industry White [1972] Chemical, retail and electrical and electronics companies Ronen and Sadan [1975a, 1975b] Paper, chemicals, rubber and airlines industries Barnea, Ronen and Sadan [1976] Paper, chemicals, rubber and airlines industries Brayshaw and Eldin [1989] UK companies Craig and Walsh [1989] Australian companies Chalayer [1994, 1995] French companies Sheikholeslami [1994] Japanese firms Ashari, Koh, Tan and Wong [1994] Listed companies in Singapore Beattie et al. [1994] UK companies Booth, Kallunki and Martikainen [1996] Finnish firms Saudagaran and Sepe [1996] UK and Canadian companies Breton and Chenail [1997] Canadian companies 4.4.6 Income Smoothing in Special Contexts Sheikholeslami [1994] hypothesized that IS practices are altered when firms list their stocks on foreign stock exchanges with more stringent accounting requirements than local stock exchanges. Comparing IS practices of a sample of Japanese firms listed on New York, 42 London, and Amsterdam stock exchanges with a comparable sample of locally listed Japanese firms, over the 1982-1987 period, results do not support the hypothesis. 5.0 BIG BATH ACCOUNTING Intuitively, big bath accounting is easy to understand. Every time we change the Minister of finance and the Government, the new one announces that the expected deficit will be higher than claimed by his predecessor because he found many hidden expenses in the closets. Briefly, he is taking the opportunity given by his arrival to clean the balance sheet and blame the poor result on his predecessor. It is working the same way in a firm. When a new CEO is appointed, an the turnover is quite high in the profession, he will clean the accounts to be able to use it in the future to smooth the earnings, reassuring the shareholders and making a constant stream of revenues for himself. Healy [1985, p. 86] explained that the reduction of current earnings by deferring revenues or accelerating write-offs is a strategy known as ‘taking a bath”. He described the situations that will influence income increasing or income decreasing accounting policies. The rationale is that when the lower limit of the bonus window cannot be reached efficiently, it is better to go as low as possible to clear the sky for future periods. Healy [1985] refined the explanation given in the above paragraph by adding situations that are not implying a change of managers. One of the oldest papers investigating the “big bath” accounting hypothesis was from Moore [1973] who noticed that new management has a tendency to be very pessimistic about the values of certain assets with the result that these values are often adjusted. Moore studied the income reducing discretionary accounting decisions, which were made after a change in management. The objective was to determine whether discretionary accounting changes were relatively more prevalent after management changes occurred than they are in a random sample of annual reports. New management can benefit from discretionary accounting decisions, which reduces current income in at least two ways. First, the reported low earnings may be blamed on the old management, and the historical bases for future comparison will be reduced. Second, future income would be relieved of these charges, so that improved earnings trends could be reported. As a result of this study, he found that the proportion of income reducing discretionary accounting decisions made by companies with management changes was significantly greater than the proportion in samples chosen from companies with no management turnover. 43 Without naming it directly, Pourciau [1993] tested the level of earnings management when non-routine executive changes occur which is a typical big bath accounting context. She found evidence that the incoming executive adopt income decreasing policies in the first year to better increase earnings in the following years, consistent with the big bath accounting hypothesis. The retained changes are those happening when there was few signs before the resignation which comes unplanned. The results after a big bath will depart significantly from casual results. The big bath is supposed to be used to open the door to a subsequent smoothed steady profit for years. Therefore, Walsh, Craig and Clarke [1991] analyzed a series of revenues (39 years, in the best cases) looking for outliers. Although they had a limited sample (23 companies), they found strong evidence of such behavior. Before that, Copeland and Moore [1972] looked at the frequency of such behavior. The practitioners world is also sporadically interested in this issue. Newsweek, as far as 1970 had something on big bath accounting4 and Forbes in 1986, for instance, had an article entitled Big Bath? Or a Little One? 6.0 CREATIVE ACCOUNTING In contrast with earnings management and income smoothing, which have mainly given rise to developments by academics, creative accounting is a concept dealt with by professionals (particularly journalists) and academics, to a lesser extent. 6.1 Creative Accounting in a Professional Perspective Creative accounting is an expression that has been developed mainly by practitioners and commentators (journalist) of the market activity. Their concern came from their observation of the market and not from any theory. They understood the motivations of such an activity to be misleading investors by presenting what they want to see, like a nice steadily increasing profit figure. So this term of creative accounting is quite general and refers to the work of 4 See, for example, The big bath. Newsweek (July 27, 1970): 54-59; The year of the big bath, Forbes (March 1, 1971): 1. 44 British people like Griffiths [1986, 1995 5 ], Jameson [1988], a financial journalist, who takes the accountant’s perspective and talks of “manipulation, deceit and misrepresentation”, Smith [1992], an investment analyst, who refers to “accounting sleight of hand”, and Pijper [1994; see comments by Peter 1994], an accountant who contrats and compares the initial successes and failures of the Accounting Standards Board. Mathews and Perera [1991, p. 228] include under the term such activity as “ ‘fiddling the books’, ‘cosmetic reporting’ and ‘window dressing the accounts’ (...)”. Griffiths [1986] begins his introduction assuming that “every company in the country is fiddling its profits. Every set of accounts is based on books, which have been gently cooked or completely roasted”. Taking into consideration the number of books published on the topic of “creative accounting” in the UK, one might think that this country is maybe the only one (or the “best” one) to develop creative accounting. In order to deny this assertion, Blake and Amat [1996] presented the results of a survey on the extent of creative accounting in Spain (see below). In France, the journalists compared several times financial accounting to an art: “the art of cooking the books” [Bertolus, 1988], “the art of computing its profits” [Lignon, 1989], “the art of presenting a balance sheet” [Gounin, 1991], “the provisions or the art of saving money” [Pourquery, 1991]. Ledouble [1993] did not hesitate to assimilate financial accounting to a “fine art”. Other journalists assimilated financial accounting to human beings. The accounts (financial statements) must be “dressed” [Audas, 1993; Agède, 1994], after having been “cleaned” [Feitz, 1994a et b; Silbert, 1994; Polo, 1994]. They can be make up [Agède, 1994], they may have their look improved [Loubière, 1992], or have a fiscal facelift [Agède, 1994]. Depreciation can be muscled and the provisions plumped [Agède, 1994]. According to Craig and Walsh [1989], disparaging references to “creative accounting practices” by Australian companies have appeared in the Australian financial press in recent years [e.g. Rennie, 1985]. Concern regarding the calculation of reported profit figures is neither merely a recent phenomenon, nor a phenomenon restricted solely to the financial reporting practices of Australian companies. Chambers [1973, Ch. 8], for example, cites numerous instances of the ways in which companies in the UK, USA and Australia “tinker with” reported profit figures and “cook the books”. This group may also include the book of Schilit [1993], Financial Shenanigans, that is doing in the US what the other authors quoted above have done in the UK. 5 See comments by Paterson [1995] 45 These works build on the presence of a fundamental asymmetry of information between managers, actual controlling shareholders and other actual or potential shareholders. Managers and controlling shareholders are taking advantage of this asymmetry to mislead other investors and decrease the capital cost of the firm, which, incidentally, is also the goal of every provision of honest accounting information to the market. So, in this category, here, we have no real theory, and no real method although a richness of observation and description of real situations, i.e., many interesting anecdotal evidence. Ronen and Sadan [1981] stated, about IS, that its perceived manifestation are in most cases negative. For example, the press, which is an agent of public opinion and feeling, views the smoothing phenomenon as revelations of “cheating”, of “misleading”, and of other “immoral” deeds on the part of managers of corporations. This opinion may easily be transposed to creative accounting. 6.2 Creative Accounting in an Academic Perspective Creative accounting enters in the academic literature, in the UK, under the label of windowdressing. Manipulations of such amplitude are hardly market anomaly. The behavior of market participants must be described differently than by the efficient market hypothesis. In fact, the functional fixation hypothesis would fit better a system where manipulations are widely spread and have dramatic effects on the investors understanding of the potential risk and return of the firms. Naser [1993] published a book entitled Creative Financial Accounting. Although including no empirical work, Naser synthesized many researches on the subject and try to determine the causes and consequences of the phenomenon. These studies goes over the effect on the earnings to consider also the effects on the gearing, which is the relationship between the debt and the equity and an expression of the structural risk of the firm that is not necessarily perceived through the variance of the profit. The methodology used by researchers in this stream is in depth analysis of accounts in order to find the doubtful applications of accounting procedures and standards. So, their analyses rely on the experience and knowledge of the researcher to discriminate between acceptable and unacceptable practices. The results of these studies suggested that accounts are effectively 46 manipulated to produce a better image of the firm and convince investors to accept a lower rate of return. Simpson [1969], before the first studies on earnings management, which imply a specific object and also a specific methodology, studied income manipulation. He repertoried situations where there had been a choice without any difference in the situations. After having determined which alternative produce the best image of the financial situation of the firm, he was able to determine if there had been manipulation. Obviously, such study depend very much on the expertise of the author to determine what would have been the best treatment under the circumstances and which produce the truest and fairest view. His results showed that managers make accounting choices to produce the desired results and that investors are not provided with the accounting information they are entitled to receive. In 1990, Tweedie and Whittington, in a standard setting perspective, examine some creative accounting schemes as reporting problems and found a large potential for misleading uses of accounting information taking advantage of vague standards Blake and Amat [1996] showed that creative accounting is as significant an issue in Spain as in the UK. This finding challenges the view that the prescriptive continental European accounting model is less open to manipulation than the flexible Anglo-American model. Shah [1996], taking another perspective, showed how creative accounting is not a solitary activity but that many participants join forces to by pass laws and standards. Among them, bankers and lawyers are featuring actors. He also showed how firms are ready to pay large bankers and lawyers fees to organize schemes presenting bonds as equity and avoiding amortization of goodwill, for instance. Therefore, there must be a strong belief that accounting presentation can modify the market perception of the value of the firm. Breton and Taffler [1995] conducted a laboratory experiment with 63 City stockbroking analysts to test their reactions to accounts manipulations. They proposed two sets of accounts; one heavily window dressed and the other clean. They found no evidence of corrections for window dressing made by analysts in their assessment of the firms. Pierce-Brown and Steele [1999] carried out a study of the accounting policies of the leading UK companies analyzed by Smith [1992]. They used agency theory variables to predict the 47 individual accounting policy choices and combinations of policies. They showed that size, gearing, the presence of an industry regulator and industry classification are good predictors of accounting policy choices. 6.3 Creative Accounting and Creativity Finally, we would like to add that “creative accounting”, as it is dealt with in a professional perspective, has almost nothing to do with “creativity”. For instance, even the twelve techniques listed by Smith in his much-debated book [1992] 6 (including accounting for pensions, capitalization of certain costs or brand accounting) are much more related to accounting alternatives than to creativity. More recently, Naser [1993] who, however makes a very interesting historical analysis of the concept of creative accounting, deals with very classical topics: accounting for short-term investments and accounts receivable (chapter 5), accounting for inventories (chapter 6), accounting for tangible fixed assets (chapter 7) and intangible assets (chapter 8), accounting for long-term debts (chapter 9)… To summarize our opinion, there is a harmful confusion between a so-called “creative” accounting and the existence of numerous accounting choices, which have always been known. These choices are based on real alternatives, but also on the relative freedom with regards to valuation. However, there is one circumstance when accounting will have been “creative”: when a legal, economic or financial innovation appears without any existing accounting standard to regulate it. In this case, creative accounting will be necessary and will translate legal or financial creativity. However, the vacuum created by the accounting standards may lead to reverse the reasoning: a legal or financial operation (scheme) would be organized because of its impact on financial statements. In-substance defeasance constitutes a good example of such an operation. In this context, Pasqualini and Castel [1993] have used the term “financial creativity with accounting objectives”. Some authors refer to “balance sheet management” [e.g., Black, Sellers and Manly, 1998, p. 1287] which includes, for instance, the need to reduce debt/equity ratio. These authors conducted a study, in order to extend prior research on asset revaluation, by demonstrating that UK firms that are doing asset revaluation differ from 48 those who do not, in terms of debt/equity ratio, market-to-book ratio and liquidity. They found their results difficult to interpret. 7.0 DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH Before concluding this paper, some directions for future research can to be mentioned. 7.1 Manipulations, Law, and the Concept of True and Fair View Is accounts manipulation legal? What is the link between accounts manipulation, law, fraud, and true and fair view? Although discussed by Merchant [1987], Belkaoui [1989], Brown [1999], and Jameson [1988], these questions have not received sufficient attention in the literature. New concepts have been proposed to study these questions: (1) creative compliance [Shah, 1996], describing the capacity of creative accounting to remain within the limits of the law although bending its spirit; (2) misrepresentation hypothesis [Revsine, 1991], stating that foggy accounting standards are useful for everybody. In the accounting education area, case studies started to be developed [Cohen et al., 2000]. Finally, the notion of true and fair view is not understood in the same way by every interested parties [Parker and Nobes, 1991; Rutherford, 1985]. Before, following the law was reputed to produce a true and fair view. Recently, these concepts tend to be separated [Briloff, 1976, p. 12]. More studies are necessary to clarify the relationship between accounts manipulation, law and true and fair view. 7.2 The Social Aspect of Accounts Manipulation Accounts’ first justification will be to report on the use of collective resources by individuals and firms. This reporting is assumed to be done by the reporting to shareholders. So, in a perspective where the firm exists to generate and disseminate wealth in a society, cheating with accounts is cheating with society in general. 6 See comments by Swinson [1992] and Cassidy et al. [1992]. 49 7.3 Economic Impact of Accounts Manipulation Hand [1989] observed that managers may smooth earnings to align results with market expectations, and even to increase the persistence of earnings. If earnings are smoothed to mitigate the effects of transitory cash flows and adjust reported earnings towards a more stable trend, then IS can enhance the value relevance of earnings. Subramanyam [1996, p. 267] showed that discretionary accruals are priced by the market and that there is an evidence of pervasive IS improving the persistence and predictability of earnings. In this context, we could remind that, in the classical version of the liberal economics, accounting information lead to better decision, i.e., to a better resources allocation. An efficient allocation of resources is the ultimate goal of any economic system. In that logic, biasing the accounts may lead to a sub-optimal allocation and consequently the spoiling of resources. This idea could be investigated further. 8.0 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS One objective of this paper was to distinguish between the different characterizations of accounts manipulation. In this context, several ideas, of course debatable, could be put forward. 1 – Income smoothing is one type of earnings management Whereas earnings management has been defined as “a process of taking deliberate steps within the constraints of generally accepted accounting principles to bring about a desired level of reported earnings” [Davidson et al., 1987] and called “disclosure management” by Schipper [1989], several authors believe that income smoothing is one part of earnings management: “A specific example of earnings management … is income smoothing” [Beattie et al., 1994, p. 793]; “A significant portion of this work (earnings management) has examined income smoothing, a special case of disclosure management” [Bitner and Dolan, 1996]; “One motivation of earnings management is to smooth earnings” [Ronen and Sadan, 1981]. 50 2 – Earnings management relates to income maximization (or minimization) and income smoothing refers to the trend of earnings More precisely, the smoothing behavior is defined as an effort to “reduce fluctuations in reported earnings” [Moses, 1987, p. 360], “rather than to maximize or minimize reported earnings” [Moses, 1987, p. 358; Ronen and Sadan, 1981]. Moreover, to smooth income, a manager takes actions that increase reported income when income is low and takes actions that decrease reported income when income is relatively high. This latter aspect is what differentiates income smoothing from the related process of trying to exaggerate earnings in all states [Fudenberg and Tirole, 1995]. 3 – Extreme earnings management performed by new management is referred to as “big bath accounting” As Moore [1973, p. 100] explained, new management has a tendency to be very pessimistic about the values of certain assets with the result that these values are often adjusted. This type of behavior is commonly known as “taking a bath”. Such a definition obviously expresses the positive way of seeing the situation. 4 – Creative accounting is a mixture of the other mechanisms Creative accounting has been used with various meanings and brings some confusion into the field of accounts manipulation. It mainly includes earnings management (without any reference to income smoothing) and focuses a lot on classificatory manipulations (either related to income statement or to balance sheet). We may believe that accounts manipulation is a sorry business. However, if we compare with all other activities in the world, we may wonder why accounts would not be manipulated. Not that far from accounting (normally taught in the same business schools) is the marketing, where cheating seems to be the rule and where they believe to be able to easily mislead people. The people targeted by the marketing are also market participants. Why would they be easy to mislead or, at least, to influence when they buy products and impossible to influence when they buy share? 51 The market may be efficient to a degree, but efficiency is not given. It is constructed every day by the accumulated work of analysts and journalists and other providers of information. 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Journal of Accounting and Economics. 3 (August): 129-149. 74 Appendix 1 Empirical Studies of Earnings Management – A Selected List Authors Motivations Sample Methodology Results Copeland and Wojdak Accounting for merger to Gagnon’s 55-58 data, plus 118 Changes in accounting Strong support for the hypothesis of [1969] maximize future income recent NYSE mergers treatments income maximization through a massive use of the pooling method Anderson and Louderback III Purchase-pooling decision 114 mergers of the NYSE (pre- Test for significnce of the difference No significant decline of the maximazing [1975] Opinion 16 period) and 64 mergers between proportions: Z statistic. (post-opinion period): behavior after APB 16. 1967-70. 1970-74 Bremser [1975] Healy [1985] Use of accounting changes for 80 firms with changes compared Comparison of both groups on Changing firms have a poorer pattern of EM to 80 without EPS and ROI profit Effects of bonus plans on Population = 250 largest US Non discretionary accruals = a If the profit is too low, managers will take accounting choices firms from Fortune mean value over a period a bath otherwise they will pick income - Sample = 94 firms for 239 firm- increasing or decreasing procedures years DeAngelo [1986] Proxy contest and 64 NYSE and American SE Discretionary accruals = total The empirical evidence does not support management buyout proposing a management buyout accruals the hypotheses (73-82) McNichols and Wilson Decrease the variance of 138 firms from the printing and Test of the change on bad Results are consistent with the income [1988] earnings publishing industry giving a discretionary bad debt decreasing hypothesis although not with When the profit is too low, total of 2038 firm-years provision, the discretionary the smoothing hypothesis managers will choose to take a portion being estimated with 4 bath benchmarks 75 Dechow and Sloan [1991] Jones [1991] CEO situation and R&D Compustat firms in specific SIC Non discretionary accruals = Positive evidence of income -increasing expenditure codes - 405 firms the mean of the industry sector accounting choices by CEO EM during an inquiry of the 23 firms in 5 industrial sectors Non discretionary accruals are Managers make income-decreasing International Trade established by providing for accounting choices during investigations Commission the normal growth of the firm (revenues and assets) by normalizing with total assets at the beginning Aharony, Lin and Loeb EM in an IPO context 229 industrial firms (1985-87) DeAngelo’s model; total No evidence of manipulation through the on a population of 1162 US accruals standardized by accruals firms average total assets EM from specific items 653 firm-year observations from Through a regression, the Highly geared and low income firms have manipulation: income Compustat, classified by income from asset sales is significantly higher revenues from asset recognition from disposals industrial sector explained by the variation of sales [1993] Bartov [1993] earnings per share and the book value of the debt/equity ratio Dempsey, Hunt and Effect of ownership structure Compustat firms with at least 3 groups: 1 - owner managed, When management and ownership are Schroeder [1993] on EM one extraordinary item between 2 - externally controlled, 3 - separated, high level of EM through 1960 and 1966. Total 248 firms management controlled. extraordinary items Classification into extraordinary items and ownership structure Pourciau [1993] The effect of nonroutine top 73 firms from Disclosure having Examination of unexpected As expected new CEO decrease income in executive changes on experience a nonroutine CEO earnings, accruals and cash their first year (big bath), unexpectedly accounting choices change flows and special items leaving CEO do the same in their last year 76 DeAngelo, DeAngelo and Potential problems to comply 76 firms from the NYSE with Looked for a movement in the No real significant income increasing Skinner [1994] with debt covenant dealt three years of losses within accruals around the dividend procedures through dividend cuts 1980-85 reduction date Accruals = net income - cash flows DeFond and Jiambalvo Possibility of a default of the 94 firms from the NAARS 2 measures: total accruals and EM occurs the year before the default [1994] debt covenant database disclosing a violation working capital accruals becomes publicly known 277 IPO firms from 1981 to DeAngelo’s model modified Income increasing procedures just before 1984 through standardizing by sales the IPO Debt covenants default 130 firms first time violators Direct test of the use of certain Significant manipulations when in danger possibilities (1980-89) with data on accounting methods, e.g. of defaulting Compustat LIFO vs FIFO between 1985 and 1988 Friedlan [1994] Sweeney [1994] EM in a IPO context Dechow, Sloan and To test the validity of 4 samples: 2 randoms of 1000 Models tested: Jones original, Jones modified is the best model although Sweeney [1995] available models in detecting each, 1 from firms having Jones modified, Healy, none is really complete EM extreme performances, and 1 of DeAngelo and the industry 36 firms prosecuted by the SEC model Gaver, Gaver and Austin Effects of bonus plans on 102 firms, between 1980 and Replication of Healy’s study No big bath. They increase the profit [1995] accounting choices 1990 using Jones’ model when too low and decrease it when too high Holthausen, Larcker and Effects of bonus plans on Sloan [1995] accounting choices Kinnunen, Kasanen and EM and economy sectors Niskanen [1995] Income-reducing procedures at the top 37 listed firms, 17 core and 20 Total EM = profit from IASC Opportunity for and use of EM is greater peripheric standards less profit presented in the core sector, and the sector is in Finnish standards making a difference 77 Neil, Pourciau et Schaefer EM in an IPO context [1995] Population = 2609 IPOs (1975- Classification of accounting Relationship between the size of the 84). Sample = 505 following methods: depreciation and proceeds and the liberality of accounting data availability stock valuation, as policies conservative or liberal Beneish [1997] Firms experiencing extreme Experimental: 64 firms charged The Jones model for selecting The model can detect the possibility of financial performance. by the SEC the aggressive accruers opportunistic reporting among firms with Distinguish GAAP violaters Control group: firms with high (control) large accruals from simply aggressive accruals - 2118 firms A regression to explain the Recommendations to improve Jones differences between violators model accruers and non violators through a set of variables Burgstahler and Dichev EM around profit = 0 or a 64466 observation-years (1977- Gaps in the density of the Strong evidence of EM when earnings [1997] negative value 94) distribution of earnings decrease or are negative Black, Sellers and Manly EM through asset disposals From data available in Global Comparison of the Testing for asset revaluation [1998]; Peasnell [1998] and accounting regulation in Vantage. 750 firms from characteristics of the revaluers No evidence of EM in Australia and New- an international context Australia, New-Zealand and and non revaluers Zealand but strong one in the UK UK, for a total of 1199 firmyears Cormier, Magnan and Firms in financial distress and 60 Swiss firms on 5 years on the Explain the level of total Principles of the agency theory (or Morard [1998] takeover attempts total of 172 listed Swiss firms accruals by a list of variables positive accounting theory) are applicable like the Beta, the cash flow, in Switzerland as well as in anglo-saxon structure of ownership, etc. countries Han and Wang [1998] EM to decrease political 76 firms in predetermined Sic DeAngelo’s model adjusted Evidence that oil companies used income visibility codes by total assets decreasing procedures during the Gulf war 78 Labelle and Thibault [1998] Environmental crises Sample of 10 firms having Jones model modified, No evidence of earnings management known an environmental crisis adjusted for the differences in following an environmental crisis reported on the front page of the cash flows New-York Times Teoh, Welsh and Wong IPOs, increased asymmetry of [1998] information 1649 IPO firms (1980-92) Four types of accruals Positive evidence of earnings discretionary and non, short management immediately after the issuing term and long term Beneish [1999a] Consequences of earnings Same sample than in 1997 Managers are more likely to sell their overstatement holdings and exercise stock appreciation rights in the period when earnings are overstated than are managers in control firms Beneish [1999b] Detection of earnings 74 companies and all Compustat manipulation companies matched by two-digit 8 variables. Identification of half of the companies involved in earnings manipulation SIC numbers. Data available for 1982-92 period. Degeorge, Patel and Manage investors impression Zeckhauser [1999] Quarterly data on 5387 firms Analysts’ expectations = a Firms are using EM to avoid reporting from 1974 to 1996 mean of forecasts. They study earnings below some threshold identified the distribution of changes in empirically in the study EPS and earnings forecasts to identify discontinuities Erickson and Wang [1999] Increasing stock value prior to 55 firms from 24 industries a stock for stock merger Total accruals = net income Income increasing procedures are found less operating cash flows. just before the merger Jones model to determine discretionary accruals 79 Jeter and Shevakumar Improve the methodology to 1000 firms-periods in each cash Modified Jones model to take The Jones model is not well specified for [1999] detect event-specific EM flow quartile into account the level of cash extreme cash flow flow Kasznik [1999] Managers will try to present 499 management earnings Jones model as modified by Found evidence of EM to align the earnings in the neighborhood forecasts from Lexis news Dechow, Sloan and Sweeney presented and the forecasted earnings EM facing price control in 3 groups: 1. 32 investigated, 2. Jones model Evidence of EM for the category 1 in year Australia 34 subject to be inquired, 3- not of analysts forecasts Lim and Matolcsy [1999] 0 subject to be inquired Magnan, Nadeau and EM by firms participating as 17 Canadian firms (1976-92 Model relating accruals to Evidence of reduction of earnings to Cormier [1999] plaintiffs in antidumping period) return, cash flow, PPE, control obtain favorable rulings from the tribunal investigations Navissi [1999] EM under price regulation and tribunal 62 firms from New Zealand (2 Dechow, Sloan and Sweeney samples). One control sample. model adjusted for the impact Evidence of EM of general price inflation Young [1999] To test the robustness of 5 models to measurement error 158 firms distributed over3 years 80 Mode tested: Healy, DeAngelo, modified DeAngelo, Jones, modified Jones Jones and modified Jones are the best models Appendix 2 Studies of Income Smoothing (IS) – A Selected List7 Authors Purpose of the paper Dopuch and To investigate the effects Drake [1966], Object of smoothing Net income. Variable (instrument) of Sample Methodology – Expectancy smoothing Period of analysis model Results - comments Gains and losses on sale of 12 firms. Time series regression No evidence of smoothing with of alternative accounting securities. 1955-64. techniques on net income. gain or loss of securities. Gordon [1966], rules for valuing non Dividends of non-subsidiary No expectancy model specified. Some evidence with dividend Savoie [1966] subsidiary investments. investments. Gordon, Horwitz To test the hypothesis Earnings per share. 21 firms in the Exponential weighting of prior and Meyers that firms attempt to Rate of return on chemical industry. years normal earnings and [1966] smooth income. stockholder’s equity. 1962-63. current year actual earnings. income. Investment tax credit. Income (unclear which). Inconclusive results. Exponentially weighted oneyear growth rate. Two-period exponentially smoothed rate of return. Archibald To discover how and [1967], Sprouse [1967], Cummings Net income. Change from accelerated 53 firms. Target earnings are the Mitigated results. A high why an accounting depreciation to straight-line 1962-64. reproduction of the preceding proportion of companies change is made. depreciation. year’s earnings. Descriptive smoothes income when their Investment credit. statistics (ratios). profitability is relatively low. [1967] 7 This table is based on an idea taken from Ronen, Sadan and Snow [1977], Ronen and Sadan [1981], Brayshaw and Edlin [1989] and Chalayer [1994]. The studies are presented in chronological order. For each study, the references following the first one, when mentioned, is related to comments or discussions. 81 Gagnon [1967], To find out whether there Earnings (less preferred Sapienza [1967], is any empirical basis for dividends). Wyatt [1967] assuming that managers Purchase-pooling decision. 500 mergers from the Discriminant function. Management’s choice is more NYSE. consistent with income 1955-58. maximization than with seek to smooth reported income normalization. income. Copeland [1968], To specify some Schiff [1968], Net income. Dividend income received 19 companies from Target earnings were the Defines what a good attributes of accounting from unconsolidated the NYSE. reproduction of the preceding smoothing device must Kirchheimer variables which have a subsidiaries reported by From 4 to 20 years. year’s earnings. possess. [1968] capacity for smoothing. parent at cost. Increasing the number of To evaluate earlier Other smoothing variables variables and the length of the investigations in terms of (extraordinary charges or time series reduces the error criteria so developed. credits, write-offs of fixed involved in classifying firms as To report on empirical assets or intangibles, smoothers or non-smoothers. investigations of three cessation or unusual changes hypotheses which have in pension charges, changes implications for further in accounting methods or research on income procedures, fluctuations in smoothing. contingency or selfinsurance reserves, changes in deferred charge or credit accounts…). Copeland and Study of accounting for Licastro [1968] Net income. Dividend income. 20 companies from Year-to-year changes. unconsolidated the NYSE. Chi-square statistics. subsidiaries reported by Periods from 5 to 12 the parent at cost. years (1954-65). 82 No evidence of IS. Cushing [1969] To study the effects of Earnings per share Reported changes in 249 cases of changes. A $0.01 increase in earnings per Evidence that management changes in accounting (unclear what type of accounting policies 1955-66. share over the preceding year; a chooses the periods in which to policy on the reporting EPS). (consistency qualifications distributed lag model. implement a change so as to earnings with emphasis variables in the auditor’s Weighted straight-line report favorable effects on on the IS effects of such report). projection based on the five current earnings per share. changes. White [1970] previous years. Study of discretionary Earnings per share Discretionary accounting 42 firms (chemical Target earnings were the Evidence that companies faced accounting decisions. (unclear which type). decisions. industry) and 54 reproduction of the preceding with highly variable firms (building year’s earnings. performance pattern and materials industry). declining earnings smooth 1957-66. income. However, those faced with variability in positive earnings do not smooth income. Dascher and Examine companies in Income (not clear Pension costs. 52 firms. Time series regression Malcolm [1970] the chemical and which). Dividend from 1955-66 and 1961- techniques on net income. chemical preparations unconsolidated subsidiaries industries. reported by the parent at Results considered being consistent with the smoothing x 66. Exponential of the form y = ab . assumption. 30 firms. 10 (cost Linear relationship between Modest support for the basis); 14 (equity); 6 earnings and time. Parametric hypothesis that firms select method of accounting for (both methods). two factor analysis of variance that method which produces unconsolidated 1959-68. design with repeated measures smoother earnings. cost. Extraordinary charges and credits. R&D costs. Barefield and Differential impact of the Before tax earnings Comiskey [1972] cost versus the equity (unclear which). Cost or equity method. subsidiaries. on one factor. 83 White [1972] Study of discretionary Earnings per share Discretionary accounting 42 chemical Target earnings were the Mixed results with companies accounting decisions (unclear which type). decisions. companies, 39 retail reproduction of the preceding faced with highly variable (other companies than in companies and 41 year’s earnings. performance pattern and the previous study). electrical and declining earnings smooth electronics income. companies. 1957-66 or 1959-68. Beidleman The paper addresses 3 Earnings (unclear Pension and retirement 43 firms. Linear time trend. Many firms employ certain [1973, 1975], questions: which). expense. 1951-70. Semi logarithmic time trend. devices to normalize reported Imhoff [1975] Is it desirable for Incentive compensation. Correlation of residuals from earnings. management to have R&D expense. time-series regressions of Evidence of smoothing with smooth earnings? Remitted earnings from reported income with similarly the instruments: pension costs, If desirable, can unconsolidated subsidiaries. derived residuals of variables incentive compensation, R&D management create the Sales and advertising which have smoothing and sales and advertising appearance of smooth expense. potential. expense. earnings? Plan retirements. If desirable and possible, do firms succeed in their attempt to normalize reported income? Lev and To suggest that firms 260 firms. Mean-standard deviation Reveal a significant Kunitzky [1974] actively engage in the No object. No instrument. 1949-68 (15 years of portfolio model. association between the extent smoothing of various continuous annual Overall risk and systematic risk. of smoothness of sales, capital input and output series, data). expenditures, dividends, and such as sales and capital earnings series and the risk of expenditure, in order to common stock. decrease environmental uncertainty. 84 Ronen et Sadan To report the results of a Ordinary income per Extraordinary items 62 firms. Correlation coefficient between Strong support of the [1975a, 1975b] test for classificatory share before (classificatory smoothing). 1951-70. the ordinary income series and smoothing hypothesis. smoothing with extraordinary items. the extraordinary income (or extraordinary items. Extraordinary income expense) series. To present evidence that per share. First differences income market firms make use of index. whatever discretion they Submartingale. have to “smooth” income. Firms from four industries: paper, chemicals, rubber and airlines. Barnea, Ronen Tests of whether Ordinary income Classification of non 62 firms from 4 Regression of the extraordinary Strong support for the and Sadan [1976, extraordinary revenues (before extraordinary recurring items as either industries: paper, items deviations on the hypothesis that management 1977] and expenses are used to items) per share. ordinary or extraordinary. chemicals, rubber smoothed variables deviations. behave as if they smoothed smooth ordinary or Operating income and airlines. Linear time trend. Industry income before extraordinary operating income over (before period charges 1951-70 leader trend. items through the accounting time. and extraordinary items) manipulation of extraordinary per share. items Imhoff [1977] To question the 94 industrial firms. Suggested that IS can be studied definition of what No object. No instrument. 1962-72 (or 1961- by comparing the variance of constitutes IS and to 71). sales to the variance of income. suggest an alternative Regressions for the net income definition. and sales time –series as well as Empirical study on the the association between net possible existence of income and sales. smoothing. 85 No evidence of IS. Kamin and Factors associated with Operating income. Discretionary items: 310 U.S. industrial Time trend. Compared to owner-controlled Ronen [1978] IS. Examined the effects Ordinary income. Operating expenses (not firms. Market trend. companies, manager-controlled of the separation of included in the cost of sales). 1957-71. ones tend to smooth income. ownership and control on Ordinary expenses including Barrier entry have an effect on IS under the hypothesis non-manufacturing IS. that management- depreciation and fixed controlled firms are more charges. likely to be engaged in smoothing as a manifestation of managerial discretion and budgetary slack. Eckel [1981] To offer an alternative Net income. conceptual framework (Artificial smoothing). No instrument. for identifying IS 62 industrial To compare the variability of Finds only two firms that companies. sales and the variability of appeared as if they smoothed 1951-70. income. income. 50 companies and 42 Submartingale. The manifestations of end-of- Polynomial regression. year actions by managers are behavior. Givoly and To test the hypothesis Earnings per share Sales (real smoothing). Ronen [1981] that the observed first (before extraordinary companies. three quarters’ results items), adjusted for 1947-72. trigger actions by stock splits and attempt on their part to alter management during the dividends. fourth quarter reported. consistent with the possible fourth quarter that appear as smoothing behavior. Scheiner [1981] To examine whether the Operating income Loan loss provision. provision for loan losses before the loan loss has been used to smooth provision and income between: the loan loss provision income in the banking taxes. and current operating income; industry. 107 banks. Spearman Rank Correlation 1969-76. Coefficient Test (association the loan loss provision and the measures of business failure). 86 No evidence of IS. Amihud, Kamin To test for the Net operating income Operating expenses per 56 firms. Method used in Kamin and Manager-controlled firms and Ronen differences between per share. share. 1957-71. Ronen (1978). Detrend of time exercise IS to a greater extent [1983] owner-controlled and series. than owner-controlled firms. manager-controlled firms with respect to their risk. Belkaoui and To test the effects of the Operating income. Operating expenses not Examination of 114 Correlation coefficient between IS is stronger in the periphery Picur [1984] dual economy on IS. Ordinary income. included in cost of sales. core companies and the deviations of the smoothing sector that in the core area. Ordinary expenses. 57 periphery objects with the deviations of Operating expenses plus companies. the smoothing variables. ordinary expenses. Not mentioned. Moses [1987] To test for associations Earnings (unclear Discretionary accounting 212 change events. between smoothing and which). changes (switch to Lifo, 1975-80. T-tests and regression analysis. IS is associated with firm size, bonus compensation plans, and variables commonly used change in pension method or divergence from expected to proxy for particular assumptions, depreciation, earnings. economic factors. tax credit, consolidation, changes in amortization, depreciation estimates, changes in expense/capitalization policies). Ma [1988] To examine the income- Operating income. smoothing practice in the Income (unclear which). Loan loss provision. US banking industry. 45 largest banks. Equation showing the 1980-84. relationship between operating income, charge-off and loanloss provision. 87 Strong evidence of IS. Brayshaw and To test the impact of Ordinary income before Eldin [1989] accounting for exchange tax and extraordinary differences. Exchange differences. 40 UK companies. Linear time trend expectancy Including exchange differences 1975-80. model. in either of the two streams of items. Wilcoxon sign-test. income (operating income Net income. T-test. and/or net income) results in greater variations therein. Variations in operating profit due to the inclusion of these differences are more significant that the variations in net profit. Craig and Walsh To discover whether the Reported consolidated Extraordinary items 84 companies from [1989] accounts of a sample of net income after tax, adjustments (timing, amount the Sydney Stock Cox and Stuart test. Strong evidence that large listed Australian companies are Australian listed minority interests and and period of reporting). Exchange. engaged in profit smoothing. companies contain extraordinary items. Example: gain or loss on sale 1972-84. evidence of IS. Artificial smoothing. of a non-current asset. Albrecht and To determine the Operating income. No instrument. Richardson importance of smoothing [1990] 128 core companies Stepwise logit procedure in IS exists and is fairly evenly Income from and 128 periphery order to fit a multivariate model distributed in various sectors of in accounting practice. operations. companies. of smoothing behavior. the economy (No difference To describe the type of Income before 1974-85. Eckel income variability between core and periphery companies that smooth extraordinary items. method. sector firms). income. Net income. 88 Ashari, Koh, Tan To identify the factors Income from operations 153 companies listed Four hypotheses relating IS to IS is practiced and operational and Wong [1994] associated with the Income before No instrument. in the Singapore size, profitability, industry and income is the most common IS incidence of IS. extraordinary items. stock exchange. nationality. objective. Net income after tax. 1980-90. T-tests of differences, chisquare tests of independence and logit analyses Use of an IS index (Eckel). Total assets Net income after tax to total assets, industry sector and nationality Beattie et al. Study of classificatory Reported profit after Classification of items either 228 UK companies. Smoothing index based on Four variables are associated [1994] choices within an tax, but before above the line (exceptional 1989-90 (one year). accounting risk, market risk, with classificatory choices explicit, incentives-based extraordinary items items) or below the line agency costs, political costs, consistent with smoothing (extraordinary items). ownership structure and behavior: earnings variability industry. (+), managerial share options Multivariate regression. (+), dividend cover (-) and approach. outside ownership concentration (-). Fern, Brown and To examine IS behavior Ordinary income Dickey [1994] in the petroleum (income before industry. (Update of the extraordinary items). No instruments specified. 26 oil refiners. Methodology of Ronen and Evidence of a political 1971-89. Sadan [1981]. motivation to practice IS is reported. No evidence of Ronen and Sadan [1981] significant classificatory IS but survey). To link evidence of significant inter- smoothing behavior to a temporal IS. specified motivation (i.e. avoidance of political costs). 89 Sheikholeslami To study the hypothesis Operating income. 24 firms listed Methodology of Imhoff [1977] No significant difference [1994] that IS practices are Pre-tax income. No instrument. abroad. Firms non and Eckel [1981]. between the two samples. altered when firms list Net income. listed abroad. 456 companies. Regression of unexpected The market response to 1977-86. income on cumulative abnormal earnings for firms with a returns. smooth income series is four their stocks on foreign 1982-87. stock exchanges. Wang and To examine the Williams [1994] relationship between No object. No instrument. accounting IS and stockholder wealth. times as large as that for other firms. Michelson, To test for an association Operating income after No instrument (variation in 358 firms. Coefficient of variation method Find that firms that smooth Jordan-Wagner between IS and depreciation. sales). 1980-91. [Eckel, 1981]. income have a significantly and Wooton performance in the Pretax income. lower mean annualized return [1995] marketplace. Income before than firms that do not smooth The paper examines: extraordinary items. income. Smoothing firms have The tendency of major Net income. lower betas and higher market corporations to become value of equity. income smothers The difference in the mean returns on the common stock of smoothing and non smoothing companies The relationship between perceived market risk and IS. 90 Bhat [1996] Examination of the IS Earnings after taxes and hypothesis for large before extraordinary banks. items. Loan-loss provisions. 148 banks. Regression of logarithms of Banks with a close relationship 1981-91. earnings after taxes and loan- between their earnings before loss provisions against the year loan-loss provisions and after 2 and computation of R for each taxes and loan-loss provisions bank. tend to have smooth earnings. Small banks with high risk and poor financial condition are likely to smooth their earnings. Saudagaran and To replicate Moses’ Earnings (unclear Discretionary accounting 58 UK companies Sepe [1996] [1987] investigation. which). changes. and 20 Canadian Moses. Lack of association companies. between the smoothing 1983-86. variable and firm size. Breton and To test the presence of IS Chenail [1997] by Canadian companies. Net income. No instrument. T-tests and regression analysis. Results different from those of 402 Canadian Imhoff [1977] and Eckel [1981] The results support the companies. model. hypothesis that IS is widely 1987-91. practiced. Results for certain industrial sectors show a greater propensity for smoothing. The results do not support the Belkaoui-Picur hypothesis of differences in corporate behavior between core and peripheral activity sectors. 91 Carlson and To examine the Bathala [1997] association between No object No instrument 265 firms. Albrecht and Richardson [1990] Dimensions reflecting 1982-88 methodology. Logistic ownership differences, regression model executive’s incentive structure differences in ownership structure and IS and firm profitability are behavior. Several factors important in explaining IS are identified: manager smoothing versus owner control, debt financing, institutional ownership, dispersion of stock ownership, profitability and firm size Godfrey and IS in companies subject Jones [1999] to labor-related political Net operating profit Extraordinary items 1,568 Australian Least squares regression Evidence of IS associated with (recurring gains and losses) firms listed between analysis the degree of management costs 1985 and 1993 92 ownership Appendix 3 Examples of Smoothing Variables Gains and Dividends InvestChange Purchase- Changes Unusual Investment Loss Discre- Pen- Extra- R&D Opelosses on of nonment tax from pooling in accoun- gains in common carrytionary sion ordinary costs rating or sale of subsidiary credit accelerated decision ting and stocks forward accoun- costs items ordisecurities investments to straightpolicies losses tax ting (classinary line benefit decisions ficatory expendepreciation or interses temporal Dopuch & Drake [1966] x x Gordon et al. [1966] x Archibald [1967] x x Gagnon [1967] x Copeland [1968] x Copeland & Licastro x [1968] Cushing [1969] x White [1970, 1972] x Dascher & Malcolm x x x x [1970] Beidleman [1973] x x Barnea et al. [1976] x Kamin & Ronen [1978] x Eckel [1981] x x Amihud et al. [1983] x Belkaoui & Picur [1984] x Moses [1987] x Ma [1988] Brayshaw & Eldin [1989] Craig & Walsh [1989] x Beattie et al. [1994] x Bhat [1996] Saudagaran & Sepe x [1996] Godfrey & Jones [1999] x 93 Loanloss provision Exchange differences x x x