Pre-Feasibility Study DAIRY FARM (25 Animal) Small and Medium Enterprise Development Authority Government of Pakistan www.smeda.org.pk HEAD OFFICE Waheed Trade Complex, 1 Floor , 36-Commercial Zone, Phase III, Sector XX, Khayaban-e-Iqbal, DHA Lahore Tel: (042) 111-111-456, Fax: (042) 5896619, 5899756 helpdesk@smeda.org.pk st REGIONAL OFFICE PUNJAB Waheed Trade Complex, 1st Floor, 36-Commercial Zone, Phase III, Sector XX, Khayaban-e-Iqbal, DHA Lahore. Tel: (042) 111-111-456 Fax: (042) 5896619, 5899756 helpdesk@smeda.org.pk REGIONAL OFFICE SINDH REGIONAL OFFICE NWFP REGIONAL OFFICE BALOCHISTAN 5TH Floor, Bahria Complex II, M.T. Khan Road, Karachi. Tel: (021) 111-111-456 Fax: (021) 5610572 helpdesk-khi@smeda.org.pk Ground Floor State Life Building The Mall, Peshawar. Tel: (091) 9213046-47 Fax: (091) 286908 helpdesk-pew@smeda.org.pk Bungalow No. 15-A Chaman Housing Scheme Airport Road, Quetta. Tel: (081) 831623, 831702 Fax: (081) 831922 helpdesk-qta@smeda.org.pk March, 2002 Pre-Feasibility Study Dairy Farm (25 Animals) DISCLAIMER The purpose and scope of this information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general idea and information on the said area. All the material included in this document is based on data/information gathered from various sources and is based on certain assumptions. Although, due care and diligence has been taken to compile this document, the contained information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ substantially from the presented information. SMEDA does not assume any liability for any financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of undertaking this activity. Therefore, the content of this memorandum should not be relied upon for making any decision, investment or otherwise. The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to carry out his/her own due diligence and gather any information he/she considers necessary for making an informed decision. The content of the information memorandum does not bind SMEDA in any legal or other form. DOCUMENT CONTROL Document No. PREF-16 Revision 1 Prepared by SMEDA-Punjab Approved by GM Punjab Issue Date March 2002 Issued by Library Officer 1 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 1 1.1 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) INTRODUCTION Project Brief Dairy farming is an agro-based project. Buffaloes & cows are raised for milk production in an organized manner for commercial purpose. Dairy animals are purchased from the animal markets or breeders located in Sahiwal, Sheikupura, Faisalabad. Dairy animals are fed on a high protein diet (concentrate) along with green fodder. The morning and evening milk may be sold at the farm gate to the middleman or directly to the final consumer. The milk price varies according to its type (buffalo or cow) and the season. Currently, the pure buffalo and cow milk is sold at Rs 18 and Rs 15 per liter respectively in the Lahore milk market. At a village level, the buffalo milk is sold at Rs 13 per liter and cow milk at Rs 11 per liter. Milk prices are lower in winter and higher in summer. 1.2 Opportunity Rationale Dairy farming is a profitable business for small landholders. More than 70% farmers hold less than 5 acres of land. Fodder can be grown on this land to feed the dairy animals. Fodder is cultivated on the land to feed the dairy animals. Dairy farming is one of the best projects to be effectively carried out on small land holdings. The return of the land used for feeding animals is higher as compared to land used for traditional cropping. 1.3 Proposed Capacity The feasibility study suggests a herd size of 25 animals, which will grow into 50 animals within 10 years. This size is economical to justify the overhead costs. Cows are also proposed in the herd as they are high yielders and efficient converters of feed into milk. A herd mix of 75% buffaloes and 25% cows is recommended for 25-animal dairy farm. Buffaloes (Nilli, Ravi, Kundi) with second lactation (calving) 19 heads Cows (Crossbred /Sahiwal) with second lactation (calving) 6 heads A cow, on average, yields 14 liters of milk a day over a lactation period of 305 days whereas the buffalo, on average, yields 10 liters a day over a lactation period of 280 days. 1.4 Total Project Cost The total cost of the project is Rs 1.58 million, out of which capital cost of the project is Rs 1.3 million (for purchasing the animals and constructing the building infrastructure) and the rest is working capital cost requirement. 2 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 2 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) CURRENT INDUSTRY STRUCTURE Dairy farming is not yet considered as a commercial enterprise due lack of proper planning for the marketing of the milk. More than 90% of farming is done on subsistence level. There are very few progressive farmers, which are running the business of dairy farming in a professional manner. Milk processing was started in the country in late 1970s, which is still facing challenges due to competition with the unprocessed milk. The processed milk has achieved only 2% of the total milk market share. Processed milk is not the consumer's preference due to high price differential. There are 28 milk-processing plants in the country, which were installed in mid 1980s to promote the usage of processed milk. Most of these milk plants are closed due to lack of professional management, inadequate milk supply and poor marketing campaign of processed milk. Table 2-1 Milk Processing Plants currently in operation 3 Project Products Location Noon Pakistan. Nestle Milkpak. Prime Dairies. Idara-e-Kisan (Halla). Chaudhry Dairy. Am-Pak Dairy. Royal Dairy. Milk powder/ butter UHT milk /Ghee Pasteurized milk/yogurt Pasteurization milk/UHT UHT milk, milk powder Pasteurization milk/ UHT milk Bhalwal-Sarghodha Sheikupura &Kabir wala Manga-Lahore Pattoki/Lahore Bhaipheru Raiwind-Lahore Karachi MARKETING Metropolitan cities are the major markets for the consumption of milk. Currently, the Gowallas1 collect milk from farmers in villages and deliver it to the consumer’s doorstep in the cities. Milk collection networks of different processing companies collect milk directly from the farm and transport it to the processing facilities. 3.1 Total Market Size and Growth Pakistan is the fifth largest milk producer in the world. Milk production is 25 million tons from 8 million animal heads. Raw milk is used for drinking and tea making purpose. In rural areas, milk is used to make desi ghee, yogurt, curd milk (lassi) and butter. Rural as well as the urban households are the major consumers of the milk. Milk is also used to make Khoya and different types of sweets. Milk processing companies use milk as a raw material to formulate different types of milk i.e. pasteurized milk, UHT milk, condensed milk, skimmed milk, milk powder, etc. Different value added products like yogurt, ice cream, butter and cheese are also produced from the raw milk. 1 Local term used for milkman 3 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study Dairy Farm (25 Animals) The daily milk intake of Lahore is 2-3 million liters and that of Karachi is 4 million liters. The demand for milk is increased during summers as the consumption of curd milk (lassi) rises due to hot weather. The processed milk market has increased its share in quality conscious consumers. During the last two decades, processed milk has achieved 4% share in the milk market of Lahore. According to the conservative estimates, the milk market is growing at a growth rate of 4.5% annually with increase in milk consumption. 4 4.1 4.1.1 FARM INPUTS Land Land Requirement About 16 acres of land is required for a dairy farm project of 25 animals. Majority of this land would be used for growing fodder for the animals. The other part would be used for building a shed for the animals for protecting them from hostilities of the weather. Table 4-1 Land Requirement Description Shed for Cows Open Paddock for Cows Shed for Buffaloes Open Paddock for Buffaloes Shed for Calves Open Paddock for Calves Shed for Calves (older than one year) Open Paddock for Calves (older than one year) Stores for fodder, concentrate & machine room Utensils & milk storage Servant Room, Wash room Water Pond Land for fodder Total Land Requirement 4.1.2 Area (Acres) 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 15.90 16.08 Land Lease Lease is a better option for a new investor. Land on lease is available in rural areas for a period of 5-15 years. Advance rent for a few years will be charged initially. Good agricultural land is available with an annual rent of Rs 3,000-5,000 per acre. 4 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 4.1.3 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Suitable Locations Rural and suburban areas where agriculture land is available on lease or self-owned can be used for staring a dairy farm. The land should have ground water availability to irrigate fodder crops. 4.2 4.2.1 Animals Herd Mix The ideal herd should consist of 50% cows and 50% buffaloes for the viability of a farm. This is a fact that the cows are high yielders as compare to buffaloes. But due to consumers’ preference of buffalo milk, a herd mix of 75% buffaloes and 25% cows is recommended for 25 animal dairy farm. This means that there will be 19 buffaloes and 9 cows in the herd. 4.2.2 Buffalo Breed Kundi and Ravi are the best breeds of buffaloes in Pakistan. The average purchase price of high yielding buffalo on average is Rs 30,000. The price of an animal is dependent on the season. The prices of buffalo are higher in the summer and the monsoon season, while they are lower in winter. Milk animals in second lactation are preferred, as the probability of higher milk production as compared to milk production from buffaloes in third and fourth lactation periods. 4.2.3 Cow Breeds Crossbred cows and the cows of Sahiwal breed are available at an average price of Rs 30,000. The price of animals is again dependent on the season. In summer, the prices of cows are higher, but are lower than average in winter months. 4.2.4 Buffalo Bull A bull needs to be kept at the farm for impregnation of the buffaloes, as buffaloes can be silent during the mating period. Bull prices are in the range of Rs 8,000-10,000. 4.2.5 Animal Breeding Animal breeding is done to improve progeny. This can also be used for reducing calving intervals. Animal breeding through artificial insemination (AI) will result in better herd management which in turn, would lead to higher milk yields. Cost of AI is Rs. 100 per animal for cows. 4.2.6 Animal Markets Animal markets (mandies), Government and private livestock farms are the main sources for purchasing milk animals. Animal markets are situated in different places in Punjab. Sheikupura, Okara, Sahiwal, Arifwala, Muridke and Jhelum are some of the important markets. These markets operate on rotational basis in a week, or once a month. 5 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study Dairy Farm (25 Animals) There are different contractors available in the market who help locating the proper animal. These contractors work on commission basis and the commission rate charged may vary from 1-2% of the animal cost. 4.2.7 Animal Housing Animal housing consists of a built up animal shed, a brick soling paddock for animals, one room for milk storage and another for storing farm equipment. It should be facilitated with drinking water for animals. The housing should have proper drainage system to keep hygiene at the farm. There is no hard and fast rule for the designing of sheds for animals. It should be airy with protection of the animals from extreme temperatures and strong winds. As the capital cost will be budgeted for 4 years, therefore the initial infrastructure cost has been calculated on the basis of 4th year infrastructure requirement. Table 4-2 Space Requirement Description Shed space for a cow/buffalo Open Paddock for a cow/buffalo Shed for a calf Open paddock for a calf Shed for a calf (older than one year) Open Paddock for a calf (older than one year) Stores for fodder & concentrate plus machine room Utensils & milk storage Servant room, wash room Water pond 4.3 Sq ft 39 80 26 40 36 60 12 4 10 14 Total Infrastructure Cost Description Shed for Cows Open Paddock for Cows Shed for Buffaloes Open Paddock for Buffaloes Shed for Calves Open Paddock for Calves Shed for Calves (older than one year) Open Paddock for Calves (older then one year) Stores for fodder, concentrate & machine room Utensils & milk storage Servant Room, Wash room Water Pond Total Infrastructure Cost Sq.ft 273 560 741 1,520 468 720 320 533 395 329 329 623 6,809 6 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Rate/Sq.ft 150 5 150 5 150 5 150 5 150 150 200 20 Total Cost 40,950 2,800 111,150 7,600 70,200 3,600 47,952 2,664 59,184 49,320 65,760 12,454 473,634 Pre-Feasibility Study 4.4 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Farm Machinery The pre-feasibility suggests, hiring a tractor for fodder sowing. Only few farm equipments like fodder chopper, water pumps, milk utensils will be purchased. Table 4-4 Farm Equipment Farm supplies Calf feeder Teat Dip Cup Toka machine (fodder cutter) Water pump Generator (Peter engine–20HP) Tube Well Miscellaneous Supplies Freezer Cart (Mule drawn) Ceiling Fans Exhaust Fans Miscellaneous farm utensils Electrical fixtures(lighting, etc) Total Cost (Rs) Additional investment required during 4 years2 Total Machinery Cost 4.5 4.5.1 No. 5 3 1 1 1 1 Rate 1,200 350 12,000 5,000 20,000 18,000 Rate Rs 6,000 1050 12,000 5,000 20,000 18,000 Rs 1 1 3 3 20,000 5,000 2,000 1,800 20,000 5,000 6,000 5,400 7,500 7,500 113,450 21,100 134,550 No. Feed Feed Ration This is given fed with the fodder to increase animal productivity. This ration feed includes cotton seed cakes, corn gluten, wheat bran, molasses, and choker3. About 1 kg of concentrate is required for the production of 3 liters of milk. The concentrate feed price is Rs 4.5 per kg. 4.5.2 Mineral Mixture This is used as a feed supplement. It includes a mix of minerals (magnesium, iron, sodium and salts). Mineral mixtures are good source of energy and increase the animal productivity to give milk. 2 As the capital cost will be budgeted for 4 years, therefore the initial machinery and equipment cost has been calculated on the basis of 4th year machinery requirement. 3 A byproduct of flour used as feed for dairy animals 7 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 4.5.3 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Fodder Crop Fodder is grown at the land, which is acquired on lease or owned by the entrepreneur. Only good nutritional fodder crops are suggested to grow. Fodder corps of berseem, millet, and lucern are grown in winter season while maize and hybrid sorghum are sown in summer. The fodder yield varies between 10 tons to 40 tons per acre depending upon the fertility of land. 4.5.4 Daily Fodder Requirement There is no fixed fodder requirement for the animals but a rule of thumb says that an animal needs daily fodder equal to 9%-10% of its body weight. According to estimates, buffalo consumes 40-55 kg fodder daily while cow consumes about 30-40 kg. 4.5.5 Wheat Straw (Toori) This is used as the roughage component of animal feed. Its price varies from Rs 15-30 per 40 kg, the lowest being during the wheat-threshing season in early May. Table 4-5 Daily Feed Requirement Animal Daily Requirement (kg) Cost/kg Amount 50 5 3 0.08 0.78 4.50 4.08 3.88 14.30 22.26 59 5 3 0.08 0.78 4.50 4.83 3.88 14.30 23.00 Cow Green Fodder Dry Concentrate Total Buffalo Green Fodder Dry Concentrate Total 4.6 4.6.1 Medication Vaccination & Medicine Vaccination & medicine is required to prevent any disease outbreak in the animal herd. Each new animal will be vaccinated before entering into the farm. It will cost Rs. 250 for both cow and buffalo per year. 4.6.2 Insemination Charges Insemination charges will be Rs 300 per animal for both cow and buffalo. 8 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 4.7 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Labor Requirement For a dairy enterprise, manpower is required for performing different activities at the farm e.g. feeding, milking, etc. One mature person can handle eight milk animals easily. Three farm workers are recommended for handling twenty-five animals. A supervisor cum farm manager can be hired to look after all the farm activities. A semi skilled person with primary education is capable of handling the administration and account matters at the dairy farm. Table 4-6 Labor Requirement Description Assistant Manager Workers Total Labor Cost 5 No. Salary/month 1 5,000 3 2,500 4 7,500 Annual Salary 60,000 90,000 150,000 FARM OUTPUT 5.1.1 Lactation Period The lactation period is the period during which the animals provide milk. These animals are called wet animals. Generally the lactation days of cows are 305 days and that of buffaloes is 280 days. For calculation, the feasibility has taken 77% of the total number of cows as wet cows and 67% of the total number of buffaloes as wet buffaloes. The calving interval in a buffalo is about 18-20 months, while cow has15-16 months. 5.1.2 Milk Composition Cow milk is relatively lower in fat contents, which is 3-4% and is higher in solids i.e. 9.5%. The buffalo has higher fat contents, which are 6-8% and lower solids i.e. 6.5%. 5.1.3 Progeny Development The proposed farmer will develop his own progeny for quality animals. The first progeny will be capable of giving milk after 3 years in case of cows and 4 years in case of buffaloes. 5.1.4 Increase in Milk Yield The milk yield will be improved as a result of controlled breeding. The feasibility has taken this increase as 12% in cows and 8% in buffaloes for the first four progenies. After that, it remains constant in the later years. Low yielding animals are sold in the market. On an average, cows are productive for 7 to 8 years while buffaloes are productive for 8 to 9 years. 5.1.5 Sale Price Near the urban market, the selling price of buffalo’s milk will be Rs 13 while cow’s milk will be Rs 11 per liter. 9 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 5.1.6 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Evening Milk Milk can be stored in a freezer with a capacity of 250 liters at the farm if milk collection is not possible in the evening. 5.1.7 Farm Revenues Farm revenue will increase with the passage of time, as the milk production will increase with the growth in herd size. 5.1.8 Male Calves Male calves will be sold at the end of year for Rs.3, 000-4,000 per animal. They can also be reared in separately for beef production. 6 KEY SUCCESS FACTORS Healthy and high yielding milk animals is the keys to success of a farm. 7 7.1 THREATS FOR THE BUSINESS Animal Disease Animal diseases like foot and mouth, diarrhea & digestive disorders are very common in the animals. Only proper vaccination can keep the animals healthy. A mortality loss of upto 2% in cows and 1% in buffaloes is acceptable. 7.2 Perishability of Product Milk is a perishable commodity. The natural shelf life of milk is 4 hours at room temperature after milking. Milk cannot be stored for more than 4 hours if appropriate refrigeration facility is not available. 10 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 8 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) PROJECT COST Table 8-1 Project Economics Account Head Building/Infrastructure Machinery & equipment Animal Cost4 Pre-operating costs5 Total Capital Cost Raw material inventory Upfront land lease rental Cash Total Working Capital Total Project Cost (Rs) Total Cost (Rs) 473,634 134,550 765,000 32,500 1,405,684 18,747 80,000 80,000 178,747 1,584,431 Table 8-2 Project Returns Equity 27% 177,130 6.05 IRR NPV (Rs) Payback Period (yrs) Project 22% 491,518 5.47 Table 8-3 Financing Plan Financing Equity Debt 4 5 Ratio 50% 50% Rs 792,216 792,216 Includes cost of supporting animals i.e. a donkey and a bull costing Rs. 5,000 and Rs. 10,000 respectively. Includes 5 months salary of Assistant Manager and 1 month salary of workers. 11 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 9 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Financial Analysis 9.1 Projected Income Statement Statem ent Sum m aries SM ED A Incom e Statem ent Y ear 1 863,729 34,690 898,419 Y ear 2 873,534 94,204 967,738 Y ear 3 777,010 130,688 907,698 Y ear 4 792,359 128,138 920,497 Y ear 5 909,263 211,263 1,120,526 Y ear 6 1,009,966 196,077 1,206,043 Y ear 7 1,118,466 260,243 1,378,709 Y ear 8 1,174,389 253,503 1,427,892 Y ear 9 1,361,002 325,096 1,686,098 Y ear 10 1,496,196 358,497 1,854,693 224,967 13,750 11,212 249,929 648,490 230,843 13,860 12,639 257,342 710,396 215,757 12,128 12,560 240,445 667,253 182,011 12,097 13,456 207,564 712,934 220,294 14,039 15,284 249,617 870,909 240,319 15,443 17,487 273,249 932,794 265,767 16,952 19,412 302,131 1,076,577 273,960 17,800 21,963 313,723 1,114,169 319,011 20,315 25,631 364,957 1,321,141 337,940 22,184 29,838 389,961 1,464,731 G eneral adm inistration & selling expenses Administration expense Land lease rental expense O ffice expenses (stationary etc.) Professional fees (legal, audit, consultants, etc.) D epreciation expense Amortization of pre-operating costs Subtotal O perating Incom e 150,000 80,000 3,000 4,319 37,137 3,250 277,705 370,785 164,604 80,000 3,292 4,368 37,137 3,250 292,651 417,745 144,504 80,000 2,890 3,885 37,137 3,250 271,666 395,587 158,573 80,000 3,171 3,962 37,137 3,250 286,093 426,840 217,515 80,000 4,350 4,546 37,969 3,250 347,631 523,279 238,693 88,000 4,774 5,050 37,969 3,250 377,735 555,059 261,932 88,000 5,239 5,592 37,969 3,250 401,982 674,595 287,435 88,000 5,749 5,872 37,969 3,250 428,274 685,895 315,420 88,000 6,308 6,805 40,780 3,250 460,563 860,579 346,129 88,000 6,923 7,481 40,780 3,250 492,563 972,169 Earnings Before Interest & T axes 370,785 417,745 395,587 426,840 523,279 555,059 674,595 685,895 860,579 972,169 Interest expense on long term debt Subtotal Earnings Before T ax 120,198 120,198 250,587 101,008 101,008 316,737 78,559 78,559 317,028 52,297 52,297 374,543 21,574 21,574 501,704 555,059 674,595 685,895 860,579 972,169 Taxable earnings for the year Tax N ET PR O FIT/(L O SS) A FTER TA X 250,587 112,764 137,823 316,737 142,532 174,205 317,028 142,663 174,365 374,543 168,544 205,999 501,704 225,767 275,937 555,059 249,776 305,282 674,595 303,568 371,027 685,895 308,653 377,242 860,579 387,260 473,318 972,169 437,476 534,693 Balance brought forward Total profit available for appropriation D ividend Balance carried forward 137,823 68,911 68,911 68,911 243,117 121,558 121,558 121,558 295,924 295,924 295,924 501,922 501,922 501,922 777,860 777,860 777,860 1,083,142 541,571 541,571 541,571 912,598 456,299 456,299 456,299 833,542 416,771 416,771 416,771 890,089 445,045 445,045 445,045 979,737 489,869 489,869 Revenue from sale of milk O ther Incom e (Sale of anim als) Total Cost of sales Cost of goods sold (Feed Cost) M edicine, V accination & Insem ination Charges D irect electricity & feul charges Total cost of sales G ross Profit 12 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 9.2 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Projected Cash Flow Statement Statement Summaries SMEDA Cash Flow Statement Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Rs. in actuals Year 9 Year 10 137,823 37,137 3,250 (1,451) 176,758 174,205 37,137 3,250 376 214,968 174,365 37,137 3,250 2,264 217,016 205,999 37,137 3,250 (4,756) 241,630 275,937 37,969 3,250 (3,245) 313,910 305,282 37,969 3,250 (4,120) 342,381 371,027 37,969 3,250 (2,445) 409,801 377,242 37,969 3,250 (7,153) 411,308 473,318 40,780 3,250 (4,411) 512,937 534,693 40,780 3,250 43,688 622,411 792,216 (112,973) (132,162) (154,611) (180,873) (211,596) 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 (80,000) (80,000) (80,000) (80,000) (80,000) (88,000) 792,216 16,638 1,504,432 (112,973) (132,162) (154,611) (164,236) (219,596) 88,000 (88,000) - 88,000 (88,000) - 88,000 (88,000) 54,187 54,187 88,000 (88,000) - 88,000 88,000 - - (54,187) (54,187) - - Year 0 Operating activities Net profit Add: depreciation expense amortization expense Raw material inventory Cash provided by operations Financing activities Change in long term debt Add: land lease expense Land lease payment Issuance of shares Cash provided by / (used for) financing activities Investing activities Capital expenditure Cash (used for) / provided by investing activities (18,747) (18,747) (1,405,684) (1,405,684) - - - (16,638) (16,638) - NET CASH 80,000 63,785 82,806 62,405 60,756 94,314 342,381 409,801 411,308 512,937 710,411 Cash balance brought forward Cash available for appropriation Dividend Cash carried forward 80,000 80,000 80,000 143,785 68,911 74,874 74,874 157,680 121,558 36,121 36,121 98,526 98,526 98,526 159,283 159,283 159,283 253,597 253,597 253,597 595,978 541,571 54,407 54,407 464,209 456,299 7,909 7,909 419,217 416,771 2,446 2,446 515,384 445,045 70,339 70,339 780,750 489,869 290,881 13 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 Pre-Feasibility Study 9.3 Dairy Farm (25 Animals) Projected Balance Sheet Statement Summaries SMEDA Balance Sheet Assets Current assets Cash & Bank Raw material inventory Pre-paid annual land lease Total Current Assets Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Rs. in Year 9 actuals Year 10 80,000 18,747 80,000 178,747 74,874 20,199 80,000 175,072 36,121 19,823 80,000 135,944 98,526 17,558 80,000 196,085 159,283 22,314 80,000 261,597 253,597 25,560 88,000 367,157 54,407 29,679 88,000 172,087 7,909 32,124 88,000 128,033 2,446 39,277 88,000 129,724 70,339 43,688 88,000 202,027 290,881 290,881 Fixed assets Building/Infrastructure Animals Revaluation Surplus/ (loss) Net value of animals Machinery & equipment Total Fixed Assets 473,634 765,000 765,000 134,550 1,373,184 449,953 426,271 402,589 395,545 371,031 346,518 322,004 765,000 765,000 765,000 765,000 765,000 765,000 765,000 (12,960) (176,068) (78,577) (56,068) (16,140) (25,966) 45,922 752,040 588,932 686,423 708,932 748,860 739,034 810,922 121,095 107,640 94,185 80,730 67,275 53,820 40,365 1,323,088 1,122,843 1,183,197 1,185,207 1,187,166 1,139,372 1,173,291 349,641 765,000 60,509 825,509 28,946 1,204,096 322,520 765,000 144,163 909,163 15,288 1,246,971 295,399 765,000 765,000 1,629 1,062,028 Intangible Assets Pre-operation costs Total Intangible Assets TOTAL ASSETS 32,500 32,500 1,584,432 29,250 29,250 1,527,410 26,000 26,000 1,284,787 22,750 22,750 1,402,032 19,500 19,500 1,466,304 6,500 6,500 1,340,320 3,250 3,250 1,452,248 1,352,909 792,216 792,216 679,243 679,243 547,081 547,081 392,469 392,469 211,596 211,596 Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Other liabilities Long term debt Total Long Term Liabilities Shareholders' equity Paid-up capital Gain/ (Loss) on revaluation of animals Retained earnings Total Equity TOTAL CAPITAL AND LIABILITIES 792,216 792,216 1,584,432 - 13,000 13,000 1,324,458 (0) 9,750 9,750 1,311,075 (0) (0) 792,216 792,216 792,216 808,853 808,853 808,853 808,853 (12,960) (176,068) (78,577) (56,068) (16,140) (25,966) 45,922 68,911 121,558 295,924 501,922 777,860 541,571 456,299 848,167 737,706 1,009,563 1,254,707 1,570,573 1,324,458 1,311,075 1,527,410 1,284,787 1,402,032 1,466,304 1,570,573 1,324,458 1,311,075 14 PREF-16/March, 2002/1 16,250 16,250 1,570,573 (0) 863,040 60,509 416,771 1,340,320 1,340,320 (0) 863,040 144,163 445,045 1,452,248 1,452,248 (0) 863,040 489,869 1,352,909 1,352,909 Pre-Feasibility Study Dairy Farm (25 Animal) 10 Key Assumptions Table 10-1 Financial Assumptions Project life (years) Debt Equity ratio Interest rate on long-term debt Interest rate on short term debt Debt tenure (years) Debt payments per year Discount rate Dividend rate6 10 50:50 16% 16% 5 4 15% 50% Table 10-2 Revenue Assumptions Starting herd size Target herd size (in 10 years) Milk Yield per Cow (liters/day) Milk Yield per Buffalo (liters/day) Milk sale price (cow) (Rs) Milk sale price (Buffalo) (Rs) Capacity utilization Production Capacity in first year (liters) 25 50 14 10 11 13 100% 68,993 Table 10-3 Expense Assumptions Price of a Cow (Rs) Price of a Buffalo (Rs) Price of one year male calf (Rs) Raw material inventory (months) Up-front land lease (months) Office expenses (stationary etc) Professional fees 30,000 30,000 3,500 1 12 2% of admin. expenses 0.5% of revenue Table 10-4 Economy-Related Assumptions Electricity growth rate Water growth rate Machinery & equipment price growth rate Wage growth rate 6 10% 10% 10% 10% Dividend is calculated on the basis of 50% of the profit available for appropriation given that the cash available for appropriation is more than the dividend payment. 15 PREF-16/March, 2002/1