Financing in Indonesia for F&B and Retail Denny S Hanubrata November 7, 2013 Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. DBS Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Overview of Indonesia Key Indicators GDP 2012: US$878 bn – 16th largest economy in the world Country Overview Seven macro trends Favorable demographics Favorable Demographics (young and growing population) will likely drive further increases in GDP per capita Urbanization Urbanization will drive the bulk of the economic growth of Indonesia. Foreign exchange reserves: US$95,675.33 million (Sep 2013) Population: 247mio (2013) Real GDP growth: 6.3% (average of 2009-12) 6.3% (average of 2013-23) GDP per capita: US$3,599 (2012) US$8,380 (2023) Inflation: 4.6% (average of 2009-12) 5.0% (average of 2013-23) Foreign Direct Investment remains strong particularly in manufacturing Manufacturers are now consistently seeing parts of their value-chain being transferred to Indonesia due to low cost advantage and near to the market Rural revolution Government support as investment increase to narrow infrastructure gaps between rural and urban Rise of consumers, growing affluence and burgeoning middle class Indonesia’s middle class is expected to grow to 3545% of the total population by 2030 Low credit penetration Growth in Indonesia’s banking industry - demand has not been artificially pulled forward, hence the marginal return on credit growth is still quite high Exports 2012: US$210.7 bn Imports 2012: US$212.8 bn Emerging digital and technology driven nation Emerging digital and technology driven nation Source: McKinsey, Business Monitor, Bank Indonesia, Kompas, Country meterinfo and other research report 1 DBS Indonesia -Indonesia Indonesia’s macro Indonesia: The Asian Growth Story Today: 16th largest economy in the world 2020: Economy larger than Singapore, Thailand and Malaysia combined 2030: 7th largest economy in the world Some blips in the near term but long term growth story still intact Upside, with *infrastructure developments +0.5% to 1% 5.8 – 6 Continued growth trajectory (current state) 10 years average GDP growth of 5.7% Presidential Election Year GDP per capita (current US$) 1,076 1,871 Doubled in 5 years Possibility that the full impact of government’s latest measures be visible only after presidential election 3,557 Sources: DBS Group Research, McKinsey, IMF, World Bank * Realization of Indonesia MP3EI Economic Masterplan 2011 – 2025 3 Indonesia’s macro Some blips in the near term; allows for economy to adjust Slower GDP growth and volatility in the Rupiah, a result of weaker global economy Indonesia economy: Domestic Consumption Driven Model (59% of GDP) Slower Growth in Exports AFC ’97 14,950 GFC ’08 12,400 With the impending tapering of Fed’s stimulus, volatility expected over next couple of months. Aug’13 10,741 Weakening since late 2011 Rupiah under some pressure, exacerbated by portfolio outflows GFC ’08 USD 52bn 4.7 mths Jun’13 USD 98bn 5.8 mths AFC ’97 USD 18bn 3.5 mths Foreign reserves have fallen from a high of USD 124bn (Aug’11) to below the USD 100bn mark lately (Jun’13) Sources: ASEAN Briefing, DBS Group Research, CEIC, World Bank 4 Indonesia’s macro Indonesia: The Asian Growth Story Indonesia’s long term growth potential remains strong Indonesia’s Huge Potential Large domestic Challenges Megatrends Powering Indonesia’s Growth into the Future •1 Rise of consumers – growing affluence and burgeoning middle class •2 Growing investments signaling investor confidence •3 Broad-based growth across Indonesia •4 Emerging digital and technology driven nation •5 Infrastructure development will provide upside •6 Growth in Indonesia’s banking industry Weak infrastructure market Young population; growing working age segment Lower labor costs Abundant and Political uncertainty Corruption, excessive bureaucracy Shortage of local talent untapped resources Sound economic fundamentals 5 Business in Indonesia Doing Business in Indonesia Looking at the several demographic facts at Indonesia 65+ yrs 5% Others 19% 0-14 yrs 30% 30 - 64 yrs 36% Hindu 2% Budhist Other 1% 1% Christian 8% Bali 2% Sumatera 21% 15-29 yrs 29% • Indonesia’s population is young – half the population is below the age of 25 and 30% under the age of 14. Only 5% are aged 65 years and over. Java 59% • Java population accounts for the lion’s share of Indonesia’s population, so too it accounts for the bulk of economic activity. Muslim 88% • HALAL FOODS - Almost 90% of the Indonesian population is of Muslim faith but there are significant numbers of believers in other faiths. Indonesians of Islamic faith generally adhere to accepted Islamic dietary restrictions. Source: Central Bureau Statistics 6 F & B Industry in Indonesia Halal Certification • The Indonesian authorities do not require halal certification for all foodstuffs. • However, given 88% of the population is Muslim, “Halal” remains a very significant aspect and is strongly recommended. • In addition the Indonesian Islamic Council (MUI) prefers all food products to be halal accredited. 3 Steps of LPPOM MUI Halal Certificaton: 1. 2. Pre-Audit Fill in 3 application forms: halal certification, the declaration on ingredients, and company’s affirmation forms Attach information with specification, halal certificate and document on Halal Assurance System LP POM MUI sending official letter of schedule audit Auditing process to the factory Process Audit Auditing Process Covers : a. Management of Halal Assurance System. b. All documents regarding to the raw material c. Whole process of production d. Sampling if necessary The Field Auditing : a. Production location (every location, branches and toll manufacturing). b. Factory location in the country origin . c. Factory location for base form of raw material. 3. Post Audit Company prepare Halal Assurance System. Company regular report system to LP POM MUI every 6 months and every changes raw material, supplier, factory process, etc. Unscheduled inspection by LP POM MUI to the company factory. 7 Business in Indonesia Doing Business in Indonesia Roadmap for those setting up business in Indonesia Preparation Establish an Indonesian Legal Entity to conduct capital investment activities. 1• 2 3 Setting Up Preparing facilities, infrastructures and licensing / non-licensing arrangements for capital investment Registration to BKPM Must establish an Indonesian legal entity within 6 months, or will be declared null and void. 1• Deed Establishment by Notary If it is a foreign capital investment, the legal entity shall be in the form of a Limited Liability Company (LLC). 2 Ratification of Legal Entity Obtain ratification from the Minister of Law & Human Rights of the Republic of Indonesia. Regional License The company is required to have a regional license issued by the regional government. Operational Permit Company may directly arrange for Operations Permit to the Ministry or technical service office relevant to its field of business. Ready for Operation Company is ready to conduct production activities (industry) or to conduct operational activities (services). Business Permit To submit an application to the institution operating One Stop Service. Next step (required application): ● For a trading company → General Importer Identification Number (API-U). ● For non-trading companies → import duty exemption for goods and materials. Source: BKPM 8 Foods & Beverages - Retail Indonesia Top 15 Industries Food & Beverage potential remains strong for the next 20 years 2023 2012 In S$ million Personal and household services 470 Textile manufacturing 3,274 Estate crops (e.g. CPO, coffee, tea) 484 Telecommunication 3,328 Textile manufacturing 498 Transportation (land, water, air) 3,456 Restaurants 3,457 Oil and gas manufacturing 3,496 Oil and gas manufacturing Telecommunication Transportation (land, water, air) General Government Fertilizers, chemical and rubber products 544 634 Estate crops (e.g. CPO, coffee, tea) 666 Fertilizers, chemical and rubber products 698 General Government 732 Food crops (e.g. rice, corn) Property Non-oil and gas mining (e.g. coal, metal) 930 Non-oil and gas mining (e.g. coal, metal) Oil and gas mining 1,094 Oil and gas mining Automotive and Machinery Manufacturing 1,155 Automotive and Machinery Manufacturing Infrastructure 1,384 Food, beverages and tobacco manufacturing 1,565 Infrastructure Growth rate assumption (Source:BMI & BI) Transportation, Oil & Gas manufacturing & mining (9%) Textile manufacturing, Property, Non oil & gas mining (10%) Automotive and machinery manufacturing (12%) Infrastructure (13%) Property 865 1,606 Food, beverages and tobacco manufacturing Food crops (e.g. rice, corn) Restaurant (14%) Estate crops ( (16%) General government (17%) F&B and Tobacco manufacturing (18%) Food crops (23%) 4,489 5,219 5,685 7,310 8,019 8,708 11,020 11,724 15,021 16,866 9 Foods & Beverages - Retail F & B Industry in Indonesia Investment and Competition The food industry is included in the investment realization in the Top 5 Domestic Investments (DCI) and Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in Indonesia. Foreign Direct Investment Realization Based on Capital Investment Activity, 2011 Domestic Direct Investment Realization Based on Capital Investment Activity, 2011 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 100% 36% Total: IDR 76 Tn 10.40% 12% 9.20% 9% 11% 12.30% 1 27.00% 0.9 4.00% Total: IDR 19.5 Tn 0.8 6.30% 5.60% 0.7 9.10% 0.6 9.60% 18.50% 0.5 100% 0.4 19.80% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 • Investment realization in the food industry ranks fifth in FDI in 2011, while it ranked the third for domestic investment. • In terms of the number of businesses, large medium-scale enterprises in this industry is very small (<1%). However, they control the turnover by 85%. • Food and beverage manufacturers in Indonesia have faced non-tariff barriers for export, such as food safety and labeling requirements. • In addition to competition with domestic products, business competition in the food and beverage industry with imported products in 2012 is estimated to be tighter. Source: Central Bureau Statistic, The Investment Coordinating Board Foods & Beverages - Retail F & B Industry in Indonesia A sharp growth in Food and Beverage industry over the past few years. Why Indonesia for F&B? • The large and growing number of Indonesia population • The fairly strong domestic economy and people’s purchasing power • The increasing middle-class segment in the country, which increases demand for imported food. • Indonesia is expected to become one of the world's largest food suppliers. • The nature of products related to basic needs. • Increasing urbanization, growing health consciousness, and changing life styles. • Government support: Government has planned to allocate more investments in the food industry in its Master Plan for Acceleration and Expansion for Economic Development (MP3EI). Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Industry Contribution of the food & beverage and tobacco industry to the non-oil and gas manufacturing industry Share of Food & Beverage and Tobacco Industry Output to Total Non-Oil Manufacturing Industry Output 33.20%33.60% Food & Beverage and Tobacco Industry Output Growth 11.22% 10.40% 9.19% 8.94% 8.15% 7.21% 30.40% 29.80% 28.60%28.50% 5.05% 2.75% 2.34% 2.78% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 • Contribution of the food & beverage and tobacco industry output to the total non-oil and gas manufacturing industry output for several years shows an increasing trend to 33.6% in 2010. • On the other hand, the industry output growth is somewhat unstable. • Indonesia experienced the second highest growth in the food & beverage and tobacco industry output in 2011, reaching 9.2%. Foods & Beverages - Retail F & B Industry in Indonesia F&B Retail is still prospective • Mass Grocery Retail sales are forecast to increase by a compound annual average rate of 13.7% over the five years to 2017. • Modern retail outlets such as supermarkets and convenience stores are springing up quickly across Indonesia's urban cities. • The convenience sub-sector attracts strong attention from retailers as well, given that there would be much less interference in the sector from regulators. • Traditional retail in the form of small, independent grocery stores and open-air markets continues to play a strong role in the country. 80 2,500,000 60 2,000,000 1,500,000 40 1,000,000 500,000 20 0 0 2010 2011 2012e 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f Total mass grocery retail sector (IDRbn) Supermarkets & Hypermarkets Convenience stores (IDRbn) Total mass grocery retail sector growth, IDR, (y-o-y) • Supermarkets is expected to continue enjoy the strongest growth. • The convenience store will benefit from the increasingly demanding nature of Indonesia's urban residents and from its ability to expand in crowded towns and cities where saturation restricts the expansion of larger formats. Source: Indonesia’s Modern Retail Sector: Interaction With Changing Food Consumption and Trade Patterns / EIB-97 Economic Research Service/USDA 12 Foods & Beverages - Retail F & B Industry in Indonesia Modern Retail Markets Indonesia market share concentration across modern retail outlet would be as follows: Hypermart Supermarket 0.50% Superindo 8.30% 6.60% 19.40% 54.30% 25.80% 2.70% Carrefour 1.90% 1% Hypermart 1% Giant Foodmart Giant Macan Yaohan Supermarket Grand Lucky Carrefour Express 79% Hero Others Convenience Store 0.80% 2% 4.70% • Since 1999, the minimart/convenience store presence has grown rapidly. Alfamart 18.200% Indomaret 40.30% Alfa Midi Circle K Yomart 34% Others • This segment is highly concentrated, dominated by the domestically owned firms, such as Alfamart and Indomaret. • In the last 10 years, hypermarket and convenience stores, rather than super-markets, have driven the modern food-retail industry’s growth in Indonesia. Source: USDA, Economic Research Service calculations using Euromonitor data 13 Financing Products for F&B Retail Foods & Beverages - Financing Trade Products - Manage your trade transactions efficiently and improve your cash flow Import Services • Letter of Credit or SKBDN - Provide assurance to your suppliers when the complying documents are presented • Import Financing - Finance the purchase of your goods and take ownership earlier • Inward Bill Collection (DA/DP) - Facilitate your trade activities with our documentary collection service • Shipping Guarantee - Take delivery of your cargo quickly to avoid costly demurrage charges Export Services • Letter of Credit Negotiation/Discounting - Convert receivables to cash immediately • Transferable Letter of Credit - Purchase goods quickly and easily by transferring your export Letter of Credit • Outward Bill Collection (DA/DP) - Collect your payments easily and efficiently • Pre-Export Financing - Improve your working capital with pre-shipment financing • Export Factoring - Minimise your export risks with credit protection Related Services • Accounts Payable Financing - Increase your turnaround time with this customised invoice financing solution • Accounts Receivable Financing - Improve your cash flow by monetising your receivables with DBS Accounts Receivable Financing (ARF). • Banker’s Guarantee/Standby Letter of Credit- Provide payment assurance to your beneficiaries 14 Financing Products for F&B Retail Foods & Beverages - Financing Business Loan - Fund the growth of your business with a wide range of financing solutions tailored to your needs Working Capital • Supply-Chain Financing - Free up valuable cash trapped in the supply chain with DBS Supply-Chain Financing (SCF). This innovative working capital solution benefits all parties involved by leveraging our relationship with a corporate anchor to inject liquidity into the supply chain. • Overdraft - Enjoy greater flexibility with immediate access to funding • Revolving Credit Facility - Enjoy steady access to funding and free up cash that can be invested back into the business to help you grow. • Inventory Financing - Increase liquidity, build your stock and grow your business with Inventory Financing under a Collateral Management Agreement (CMA). Term Loan • Term Loan - Grow your business with minimal disruption to your cash flow. Grasp the opportunity to expand your business with a DBS Term Loan. Enhance your cash flow and improve your day-to-day business operations with attractive interest rates. 15 Financing Products for F&B Retail Foods & Beverages - Financing Treasury Products - Manage your risk and grow your business with our range of treasury solutions Foreign Exchange • FX Value Today - Convert your currencies immediately • Spot FX - Convert your currencies for future delivery • FX Forward - Protect your foreign currency receivables and payables from exchange rate volatility with a DBS FX Forward contract. • FX Option - Hedge against exchange rate volatility with a DBS FX Option, which can be customised to suit your needs. Interest Rates • Interest Rate Swap - Protect your business against interest rate volatility through DBS’ Interest Rate Swap. We can help you manage the interest expense you pay on your loans. • Cross-Currency Swap - Hedge against both currency and interest rate exposures with DBS Cross-Currency Swap. This is an agreement between two parties to swap future interest payments. 16 DBSI contact number • Denny S Hanubrata, office email : dennysh@dbs.com • Mobile phone +628129933278 • Samuel Yuliady, office email : samuelyuliady@dbs.com • Mobile phone +6285959939290/+6281212730780 • William Prasetia Jaya, office email: williamprasetia@dbs.com • Mobile phone +6287781958642/+6281806267328 PT. Bank DBS Indonesia DBS Bank Tower, 37th Floor Ciputra World 1 Jalan Prof. Dr. Satrio Kav 3-5 Jakarta 12940 www.dbs.com/id 17 APPENDIX 18 Some of our Customers at F&B Retail Foods & Beverages - Retail Strong commitment has been provided by DBSI to our customers Garuda Food GarudaFood is a food and beverage company subordinated to Tudung Group. In addition to GarudaFood, Tudung Group also subordinates agribusiness companies operating iniCrude Palm Oil field and peanuts. In a national level, GarudaFood is positively perceived as one of the admired food and beverage companies. Survey made by Frontier and BusinessWeek Indonesia Magazine indicated that GarudaFood was in the third position of Indonesian Most Admired Company ( IMAC) . To accelerate the achievement of its vision, in 2011 GarudaFood Group with nonalcohol divion of Suntory Beverage & Food, a company from Japan established a subsidiary PT Garuda Suntory Beverage, focused on the development of the beverage Mitra Alam Segar – Wings Group WINGS Group is one of the largest and most established consumer goods manufacturer in Indonesia focusing in laundry, household, personal care, and Food & Beverage products. Ale – Ale & Teh RIO currently is the leading brand in its category. PT. Alam Segar is one of the companies incorporated in the Wings group that operates in the Food & Beverage products. General Food Ind – Petra Food Headquartered in Singapore and listed on the mainboard of the SGX-ST since November 2004, Petra Foods Limited (“Petra Foods”) markets and distributes its own brand of chocolate confectionery products in its core markets of Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore and Malaysia. In addition, their chocolate confectionery products are sold in over 10 other countries including Thailand, Brunei, India, South Korea and Vietnam. The Group has an established portfolio of chocolate confectionery brand names in Indonesia including "SilverQueen" and "Ceres" which were introduced in the 1950's and "Delfi" in the 1980's. Aneka Coffee Industri PT. Aneka Coffee Industry (ACI) was established in 1995 as a joint venture company by PT. Prasidha Aneka Niaga Tbk, a subsidiary of Prasidha Group Indonesia's largest coffee processor and exporter, Itochu Corporation - Japan's number one trading house, and UCC Ueshima Coffee Co., Ltd. - a strong player in retail coffee business. ACI, located in Sidoarjo-East Java, Indonesia, is one of the biggest instant and roasted ground coffee manufacturers in South East Asia. ACI exports to various industrial buyers throughout the world instant coffee products. Special and distinct blends of instant coffee according to customers' specific requirements are often made to help customers create differentiated products. ACI also provides private labeling and toll manufacturing services. To establish an identity for itself in the coffee industry, ACI sells "Prima" branded instant coffee products and "Alami" branded ground coffee products in selected international and domestic markets. Amanfood Industri (Ligo Group) PT. Aman Food Industri, a company that concentrates on beverage products, was established in 2008. The factory is located in Wanaherang, Bogor and currently, AFI has 4 different flavored beverages- Orango, Blackcurrant, Strawberry and Guava, labeled under the brand NICE LHO! and one tea product under the brand TEH SEMESTA. Through continuous innovation and outstanding human resources, AFI has grown tremendously, coming up with new product ranges as well as increasing production capacity. In addition, products manufactured by AFI are in line with the regulations of Health Department of the Republic of Indonesia. To maintain the quality of products, AFI also implements the GMP method (Good Manufacturing Practice). AFI commits to deliver excellent products at a reasonable price to our customers. AFI has marketing & distribution channel that encompass whole level from distributor to retail and covering area of Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tangerang and Bekasi. 19 DBSI Corporate Profile DBS Corporate Profile Well-Positioned at the Crossroads of Asia We are a leading financial services group in Asia Largest commercial banking group in Singapore and Southeast Asia Established in 1968 as Singapore’s development bank Market capitalisation: SGD 32.4 bn (equivalent to USD 25.3 bn)1 Total assets: SGD 340.8 bn (equivalent to USD 262.2 bn)2 Net profit: SGD 2.65 bn (FY2010) vs. SGD 3.03 bn (FY 2011) Credit ratings of Aa1/AA-/AA- (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch) , one of the highest in Asia More than 18,000 staff representing over 30 nationalities Present in 50 cities in 15 markets Over 200 branches & 2,000 SSBs* 1as at 30 May 2012 at 31 December 2011 *SSBs comprise ATMs, AXS Stations, cash deposit machines (CAM) & coin deposit machines 2as 20 DBSI Corporate Profile DBS Corporate Profile Awards and Accolades 2012 – 2013 • Best Treasury and Working Capital Bank for MNC/Large corporate • Best Cash Management Solution: Payments Integration and Workflow Management for GM Autoworld Indonesia • Best Trade Finance Solution • Best Structured Trade Deal • Best Transaction Bank • Best Cash Management Solution • Best Risk Management Solution • Best Wealth Manager, Indonesia • Best Overall Domestic Cash Management Services for Small Business • Best Foreign Cash Management Bank in Indonesia • Best Foreign Cash Management Bank Across All Categories for Small Business • Best Foreign Cash Management Bank in Indonesia for Small Corporate • Banking Efficiency Awards • Best Foreign Bank in Indonesia • Best Arranger of Institutional Loans for Indonesian Borrowers • Best Bank in the Conventional Bank with Asset above 25-100 Trillion Category • Best Foreign Exchange Bank • Bank with Very Good Rating on 2012 Financial Performance • Platinum Awards for Best Supervisor 21