This article was downloaded by:[Northeastern University] On: 13 September 2007 Access Details: [subscription number 779068882] Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK Justice Quarterly Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~content=t713722354 Community policing: Did it change the basic functions of policing in the 1990s? A national follow-up study Jihong "Solomon" Zhao a; Ni He b; Nicholas P. Lovrich c a University of Nebraska at Omaha, b Northeastern University, c Washington State University, Online Publication Date: 01 December 2003 To cite this Article: Zhao, Jihong "Solomon", He, Ni and Lovrich, Nicholas P. (2003) 'Community policing: Did it change the basic functions of policing in the 1990s? A national follow-up study', Justice Quarterly, 20:4, 697 - 724 To link to this article: DOI: 10.1080/07418820300095671 URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07418820300095671 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.informaworld.com/terms-and-conditions-of-access.pdf This article maybe used for research, teaching and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, re-distribution, re-selling, loan or sub-licensing, systematic supply or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae and drug doses should be independently verified with primary sources. The publisher shall not be liable for any loss, actions, claims, proceedings, demand or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with or arising out of the use of this material. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 COMMUNITY POLICING: DID IT C H A N G E THE BASIC F U N C T I O N S OF P O L I C I N G IN THE 1990s? A NATIONAI, FOLLOW-UP STUDY* J I H O N G "SOLOMON" ZHAO** University of Nebraska at Omaha NI HE*** Northeastern University N I C H O L A S P. LOVRICH**** Washington State University This article examines changes in organizational priorities related to the three core functions of American policing--crime control, the maintenance of order, and t h e provision of services--during the era of community-oriented policing (COP). The change in priorities is analyzed using panel data from three national surveys of more than 200 municipal police departments conducted in 1993, 1996, and 2000. The primary finding is that police corefunction priorities remained largely unchanged during this period. However, the systematic implementation of COP programs reflects an all-out effort to address all three core functions of policing at a higher level of achievement. If the ability to change is an essential trait for organizations t h a t are seeking to r e m a i n competitive and to ensure a fit with * Address all correspondence to Jihong "Solomon" Zhao, Department of Criminal Justice, University of Nebraska at Omaha, Omaha, NE 68182; e-mail: j zhao@mail.unomaha.edu. ** Jihong "Solomon" Zhao is an associate professor in the Department of Criminal Justice at the University of Nebraska at Omaha. He was formerly a senior researcher in the Omaha Department of Correction. His research interests include police organization, with a particular emphasis on organizational change, culture, and individual behavior and values. *** Ni He is an assistant professor in the College of Criminal Justice, Northeastern University, Boston. He received his Ph.D. in criminal justice from the University of Nebraska at Omaha. He has previously published work on police organization and comparative crime statistics. His current research interests include policing, quantitative methods, and comparative criminology. **** Nicholas P. Lovrich has been the Claudius O. and Mary W. Johnson Distinguished Professor of Political Science since 1998 and has served as the director of the Division of Governmental Studies and Services at Washington State University for the past 24 years. He served as the editor-in-chief of the Review of Public Personnel Administration from 1990 to 2000. He has coauthored 7 books and published over 130 articles in the areas of political science, public administration, and criminal justice. JUSTICE QUARTERLY, Vol. 20 No. 4, December 2003 © 2003 Academy of Criminal Justice Sciences Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 698 ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE IN POLICING their respective environments, then the ability of American police organizations to adapt to societal change is an important trait to study. By the end of the 1980s, change in the societal environment in which American police departments operated created significant pressures to adopt innovative practices. Two decades of rising crime and an ever-worsening drug abuse problem prompted a dramatic increase in public fear of crime. The apparent inability of traditional police organizations to control crime (e.g., Greenwood, Chaiken, & Petersitia, 1977; Kelling, Pate, Dieckman, & Brown, 1974) led to the gradual erosion of public confidence (Crank & Langworthy, 1992). During this period, numerous scholars speculated about the extent to which the broad adoption of community policing, a dramatic form of organizational change, would succeed in reforming police organizations and restoring public confidence in law enforcement (for a review, see Greene, 2000). 1 Among these scholars were Kelling and Moore (1988), who proposed a "three-era" framework to conceptualize the history of police reform in the United States. It is not surprising that community policing was identified as the most recent substantial reform era in police practices. The three eras identified by Kelling and Moore were the political era (from the 1860s to the early 1900s), the professional era (from the early 1900s to the mid-1980s), and the c o m m u n i t y era (from the mid-1980s to the present day). Kelling and Moore argued that reform in each era is reflected in substantive changes in two primary areas: the reorientation of police strategies and activities and the reordering of the priorities of police core functions. For example, community policing is said to emphasize crime control as an indirect result of the other core activities of maintaining order and providing services. Many systematic evaluations of the effectiveness of innovative strategies and practices that are associated with community policing have been conducted and reported (see, e.g., Rosenbaum, 1994; Skogan & Hartnett, 1997; for a review, see Cordner 1997; Zhao, Lovrich, & Thurman, 1999). Many municipal, county, and state police agencies have changed their organizational mission statements and modified their methods of operation, often developing and implementing innovative strategies and programs in the process. For example, Greene (2000) identified the existence of four distinct types of police operation: traditional policing, community policing, 1 In this paper, t h e t e r m s reform, change, community policing, a n d community-oriented policing(COP) are used interchangeably, reflecting the idea of innovations in police operations. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 699 problem-oriented policing, and zero-tolerance policing. Notwithstanding all the evaluation studies, however, there has been relatively limited research on the extent of the reordering of priorities of core police functions that may have occurred in association with community policing. Have the maintenance of order and the provision of services become equally important functions to crime control, as Kelling and Moore (1988) speculated and as the image of the "broken windows" metaphor of Wilson and Kelling (1982) suggests? At this time, after more than a decade of implementation, it is possible to ask, Does community policing represent a genuine paradigm shift in policing, or is it more properly understood as a change in operational activities that is intended to make police agencies appear to be adaptive and innovative while their core priorities remain unchanged? This article represents the third installment in a continuing effort to monitor change in the priorities of police core functions during the 1990s, when community policing came into full swing (Greene, 2000). In two previous studies based on data collected from the same sample of 281 police agencies broadly distributed across the country (Zhao, Lovrich, & Robinson, 2001; Zhao & Thurman, 1997), we found that the priorities assigned to core police functions remained relatively stable between 1990 and 1996. To update the monitoring of progress in the implementation of community policing, we surveyed the same set of police agencies again in 2000. We constructed a panel data set that pulled together these three surveys from 1993, 1996, and 2000. These panel data enabled us to investigate two important research questions: (1) Did the priorities assigned to core police functions change as a result of the widespread reorientation of police practices in the 1990s? and (2) Was any observed change in the prioritization of core functions due to discernible aspects of a police department's external and/or internal environment? LITERATURE REVIEW Organizational change can be analyzed at two distinctive levels: innovations that take place at the operational level and changes that are at the level of organizational goals and priorities. ~ Change in organizational goals and priorities will lead to change in innovative activities and programs that are undertaken at the operational level (Donaldson, 1995). At the same time, the implementation of more innovative activities leads to a further change in goals. 2 According to contingency theory, the two levels are closely associated. A change in goals should be reflected in a corresponding change in operations, and vice versa. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 700 ORGANIZATIONALCHANGE IN POLICING In other words, organizational goals and priorities largely dictate what means will be adopted to achieve organizational ends (goals) (Thompson, 1967). Normally, there is a strong link between organizational goals and daily activities. This reasoning is illustrated well by the example of typical police operations during the professional era. Police operations, such as motorized patrol and criminal investigation, represent elements of "reform" that were adopted in the professional era to reflect the primacy of the goal of more effective crime control emphasized during this period (Walker, 1977). There was a strong similarity between what the police wanted to do (crime-fighting goals and priorities) and how to do it (patrol and investigative operational activities). In the case of community policing, foot patrol and storefront stations have been adopted widely in recent years to address neighborhood social disorder, which has become an important focus of police work during the community era (Maguire, 1997). Based on our reading of the management literature, we argued previously (Zhao et al., 2001; Zhao & Thurman, 1997) that organizational goals are far from unitary in character. The Noble laureate Herbert Simon (1964, p. 1) closely examined the phenomenon of organizational goal phenomena, and in his article "On the Concept of Organizational Goal," argued convincingly that the construct of organizational goal is "seldom unitary, but generally consists of a whole s e t of constraints that action must satisfy." Organizations are expected to perform a number of functions and pursue a variety of goals. Simon observed that while none of the goal-derived core functions can be completely ignored, limited resources force all forreal organizations to establish priorities among their functions on the basis of the pressures they experience from their external and/ or internal environments (Lawrence & Lorsch, 1969). A consensus exists among scholars that American policing has been characterized by three distinctive goal-derived functions throughout its nearly 150-year history: crime control, order maintenance, and service provision (Trojanowicz & Bucqueroux, 1990; Walker, 1999; Wilson, 1968). The history of change in American policing has involved systematically establishing new priorities for the three core functions while continuing to meet at least the minim u m requirement of maintaining some effort on all three (Kelling & Moore, 1988). For example, proponents of the professional model of policing that came into prominence in the decades before the advent of community policing viewed crime control as the primary function of police, and viewed order maintenance and service provision as requiring only secondary attention and limited organizational support (Thurman, Zhao, & Giacomazzi, 2001). Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 701 A key characteristic of community policing is said to be its purposeful and systematic reprioritization of the three core functions by shifting efforts away from the preoccupation with crime control inherent in the professional model and giving greater attention to order maintenance and service provision (Goldstein, 1990; Maguire, 1997; Oliver 2000; Thurman et al. 2001). For example, Eck and Rosenbaum (1994, pp. 7-8) observed that "community policing rearranges priorities among functions and adds new ones. Nonemergency services take on greater importance." Similarly, Moore (1994) pointed out that a COP-directed rearrangement of police functions places greater emphasis on order maintenance and other nonemergency services. Typical COP programs, such as foot patrol, storefronts and mini-stations, school resource officers, geographic assignment, and citizen-engaged neighborhood crime prevention activities, are specifically directed toward the order maintenance and service provision functions and secondarily address crime-reduction goals for offenses like theft and burglary (Zhao et al., 2001). APPLICATIONS OF CONTINGENCY THEORY AND INSTITUTIONAL THEORY Although they differ mainly in the range of exogenous factors that are assumed to be at work (Donaldson, 1995), both contingency and institutional theories of organizational change have their intellectual roots in general systems theory, originally developed in the biological sciences in the 1920s and adapted to the social sciences in the 1950s (Bertalanffy, 1956). Contingency theory emphasizes the immediate external task environment (e.g., the use of technology, size of a company, and socioeconomic characteristics of the community) within which an organization operates (Hage & Aiken, 1970; Van de Ven & Drazin, 1985; Woodward, 1958), whereas the institutional perspective accords primary significance to the broad cultural and political environments (e.g., the political culture and social norms in a community) within which organizations emerge (DiMaggio, 1983; Meyer & Rowan, 1977; Selznick, 1948). According to contingency theory, the driving force behind organizational change is the external environment, particularly the task environment with which an organization is confronted. For example, in their study of 20 industrial firms in the United Kingdom, Burns and Stalker (1963) developed their well-known and widely used categories of mechanistic versus organic organizations to describe the interdependent relationship between organizations and Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 702 ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE IN POLICING their environments. 3 Other contingency theorists have explored patterns in the incidence of innovation and use of technology (Dewar & Hage, 1978; Mohrman & Mohrman, 1990; Woodward, 1958) and the relationship between organizational size and organizational environment (Blau & Schoenherr, 1971; Kimberly, 1976). The contingency perspective features two cardinal assumptions about organizational change. First, individual organizations must adapt themselves to the external environment when their existing goals are affected by changes in their operating conditions. The external environment is conceptualized as posing demands to which organizations must respond (Hage & Aiken, 1970). In addition, organizational environments are perceived as being dynamic, which leads to the second cardinal assumption that a "fit" must be maintained between an organization and its environment over time. A good fit between the two means higher levels of performance and efficiency (Van de Van & Drazin, 1985), Donaldson (1995, p. 32) argues that to find an optimal fit, organizations have to be able to alter both their goals and operations. For example, characteristics of the task environment (e.g., stable and predictable versus turbulent) are likely to affect organizational arrangements for managing resources and conducting ongoing operations. The contingency perspective seems to apply to the analysis of organizational change in policing quite well. The traditional strategies of crime control that were developed during the professional era became increasingly ineffective in the late 1960s and 1970s because of rapid increases in crime rates, urban disturbances, and fear of crime across the nation (Greenwood et al., 1977; Kelling et al., 1974). There was a poor fit between the societal environment and the prevailing structural and strategic organization of policing (Brown & Wycoff, 1987; Kessler, 1993; Wycoff & Skogan, 1994). To be more effective, police agencies would have to change. For example, more t h a n 30 years ago, Germann (1969) and Angell (1971) argued that there was a need for American police agencies to change in order to adapt themselves to a changing social environment (e.g., President's Commission, 1967). Similarly, examining the proper role of American police in a democratic society, Goldstein (1977) stated that the model of policing in wide use during the professional 3 A key to understanding these two types of organizations is knowing that organizational configuration (e.g., structure, supervision, and the division of labor) is contingent on an effective matching up with the organizational environment. In this regard, Lawrence and Lorsch's (1969) classic study on the impact of the external environment on three types of manufacturing industries--pharmaceutical, chemical, and container firms--constitutes one of the most influential works in organizational theory. Its findings confirmed the view that organizational different'ration and integration are determined, to some important degree, by the specific environment that surrounds an organization. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 703 era was essentially contradictory to some of the basic values of American society. The publication of Wilson and Kelling's "broken windows" thesis in 1982 helped to support the claim that order maintenance should supplant crime control as the top priority of police work. Wilson and Kelling argued that because social disorder provides a climate in which criminal incidents flourish, local police agencies should develop preventive strategies to resolve the problems of disorder that underlie crime, rather than simply to respond to crime once it has been committed (Goldstein, 1990). The proponents of community policing tend to emphasize three primary propositions concerning organizational change. First, police agencies should respond to an environment that has changed dramatically with respect to public expectations about government in general, and about police services in particular. For example, police agencies should control disorder and reduce fear of crime in a neighborhood or community. Empirical research and theoretical developments in policing challenged the continued viability of the professional model. Numerous scholars and prominent police practitioners suggested that law enforcement organizations needed to adapt to new societal demands and find a better fit with their environment (Oliver, 2000; Kelling & Moore, 1988; Trojanowicz & Bucqueroux, 1990). The second proposition is that organizational change should lead to a corresponding establishment of new priorities among police functions (Eck & Rosenbaum, 1994). A primary argument for this proposition is that police need to address the real social disorder and social inequality underlying crime incidents (see, e.g., Capowich & Roehl, 1994; Eck & Spelman, 1987). The third proposition concerns the systematic linkage between a police agency's operational activities and its manifest organizational priorities. For example, Wasserman and Moore (1988) argued that the formal adoption of COP should lead to activities that are directed toward social order and service provision, suggesting that the implementation of more COP programs (such as foot patrols, storefronts, school resource officers, and geographic assignment), is likely to reflect a reprioritization of core police functions. With respect to community policing, then, the relationship between reported goals/priorities and innovative activities can be described as reciprocal. Institutional theory posits that organizations are deeply embedded in a particular social and cultural context and hence do not change easily. Organizational goals and structural arrangements are influenced significantly by the distinctive cultural and political Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 704 ORGANIZATIONALCHANGE IN POLICING elements at play when an organization comes into being and matures into an established social entity (Meyer & Rowan, 1977; Meyer & Scott, 1983); these founding foundations have a lasting legacy. As a consequence, organizational change phenomena and associated behavior cannot be analyzed or explained solely on the basis of a rational analysis of the changing character of the immediate environment (Scott, 1995). A crucial component of institutional theory is the concept of legitimacy; in the institutional perspective, the term legitimacy refers to "the degree of cultural support for an organization--the extent to which the array of established cultural accounts provide explanations for its existence, functioning, and jurisdiction" (Meyer & Scott, 1983, p. 201). According to institutional theorists, legitimacy is not automatically given in rationalized organizational settings; formal organizations have to work hard and act "appropriately" to gain it and sustain it over time (Meyer & Rowan, 1977). To sustain organizational legitimacy and, at the same time, adapt to significant environmental change, organizations can engage in "loosely coupled" activities--that is, the simultaneous maintenance of deeply foundational and highly legitimated activities, along with the adoption of innovative and unconventional ones (Magnire & Katz, 2002; Meyer, Boli, & Thomas, 1994). Meyer and Scott (1983, p. 211) argue that "institutionalized organizations like local government are likely t o . . . buffer themselves from work activities, through ritualization or decoupling of structure and activities." Simply stated, organizational change can reflect the purposeful organizational effort both to generate public support and to sustain internal "legitimacy" by making the organization look "adaptive" to outsiders and appear "stable" to insiders at the same time. Thus, organizational change can take the shape of a process of creating new programs and instituting new symbols and rituals, while the core mission of an organization and its functional priorities remain substantially intact (Meyer & Rowan, 1977). In his classic work, The Functions of Police in Modern Society, Bittner (1972) pointed out that an essential feature that distinguishes policing work from other types of work is the authorized use of coercive force. Moreover, he contended that as a direct consequence of the exclusive legitimate right to use coercive force, crime control is naturally taken as the top priority of police agencies (Bittner, 1967). For example, Manning (1988) argued that crime control is universally perceived as the organizational mandate of police agencies. Applying Bittner's theoretical framework to the analysis of COP, Klockars (1988, p. 241) noted: Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 705 [T]he modern movement toward w h a t is currently called "community policing" is best understood as the latest in a fairly long tradition of circumlocutions [italics added] whose purpose is to conceal, mystify, and legitimate police distribution of nonnegotiable coercive force. Klockars joins Bittner in arguing t h a t the very nature of police work makes it impossible to change the priorities among the core crime control, order maintenance, and service provision functions in the w a y COP is intended to do. Manning (1988) addresses the same issue by characterizing the COP movement as little more than "old wine in new bottles," a concept developed more to influence and manipulate public opinion than to reorder priorities among police functions (also see Manning, 1995). Viewed from the perspective of Bittner, Klockars, and Manning, the primary purpose of COP programs is to make police agencies look "progressive" to their local constituents. Once they are out of the limelight, however, police officers tend to proceed with the business of policing in pretty much the same w a y they always have, notwithstanding the public pronouncement of support for COP. 4 In his case study of the Seattle Police Department, Lyons (1999) concluded that the implementation of a community policing program did not result in change in the core functions of policing; the organization's goals and structural arrangements remained largely intact. Furthermore, in an edited book on the progressive militarization of the American criminal justice system, Kraska (2001) argued t h a t crime control has become even more important as a core function of policing during the community policing era than it was in the past. A good example of the enhancement of the crime-fighting function is the rapid increase in the number of SWAT (Special Weapons and Tactics) teams housed in American police agencies (Kraska & Cubellis, 1997). The purpose of SWAT is straightforward: Highly trained teams can be swiftly deployed with an impressive use of force in circumstances that call for a quasimilitary police response. The troublesome sign, according to Kraska and Cubellis, is that a great n u m b e r of small cities adopted SWAT teams in the 1990s, but the presence or absence of SWAT teams was unrelated to local crime rates. In a case study of the creation and operation of a gang unit in a large police department in the Midwest, Katz (2001) observed that the unit was rarely involved in the sorts of disorder activities for 4 Buerger (1994) added to this critique of COP by noting that community policing really entails little community empowerment; rather it emphasizes community cooperation. In most COP programs, the community is expected to be the "ears and eyes" of the police, dutifully providing information about crime and criminals, and is urged to rally to the support of the local police force on important occasions. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 706 ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE IN POLICING which it was reportedly intended. Instead, the actual function of the unit was to make the police department look proactive and appear to be tough on crime. According to Katz, organizational image took precedence over actual operations. In two previous articles, we investigated perspectives of police executives on the priorities of core police functions in over 200 police departments throughout the country. A primary finding of our research was that the mean ratings of police core functions changed little between 1993 and 1996 (Zhao et al., 2001). There was little sign that the priority ratings of order maintenance and service provision increased over these years. In addition, the ratings assigned by police chiefs to core police functions were relatively unaffected by such factors as local crime rates and population size (Zhao et al., 2001; Zhao & Thurman, 1997). In the following analysis, we extend the earlier investigation by examining change in the prioritization of core police functions from 1993 to 2000. The central argument we set forth is that priorities that are assigned to core police functions are largely independent of the extent of implementation of innovative programs and strategies. In other words, a police department may implement numerous community policing programs and activities, but the priorities that are assigned to core police functions are likely to remain stable (loose coupling). Recall that Bittner (1967, 1972) argued forcefully that the very nature of police work makes it exceedingly difficult (if not impossible) to change it in any fundamental way. 5 It is important to note that we do not directly "test" the utility of contingency or institutional theories in police reform, per se. The discussion of the two theories presented here serves as a broad theoretical backdrop against which the nature of change in contemporary police agencies can be understood. In the following analysis, the explanatory variables that we test for their impact upon police agency priorities were derived primarily from the immediate environment of police organizations. The hypotheses tested are worded in accordance with expectations derived from contingency theory. In this regard, a close association between organizational goals or priorities and the organization's task environment is assumed. Of course, institutional theory predicts the lack of such a connection. 5 One reviewer pointed out that real organizational change is difficult for reasons beyond those given here; even if police leaders want to change priorities and operations--and even perhaps the core functions of policing--they are resisted by employees and hampered by external constraints, ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 707 Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 METHODOLOGY Sources of Data The data used in this analysis were derived from a longitudinal study of municipal police departments entailing a series of surveys conducted by the Division of Governmental Studies and Services (DGSS) at Washington State University in 1993, 1996, and 2000. DGSS has conducted mail surveys of police chiefs from the same set of 281 municipal police departments in 47 states at roughly threeyear intervals since 1978. The cities in the sample were selected from among those that were initially included in the representative National Survey of Municipal Police Department in cities of over 25,000 population, conducted by the International City Management Association in 1969. In the most recent round of surveys (2000), 223 departments (79% of the original sample) participated. In 1996, 245 police departments (87% of the original sample) completed and returned questionnaires. In 1993, the responses of 224 departments (80% of the original sample) were available for our final analysis. An important additional source of information was the Uniform Crime Report (UCR), from which crime data for each participating city were obtained. Measures The dependent variables included in the analysis reflect the level of priority assigned to core-area police functions, as measured by responses to Wilson's (1968) list of 16 police activities reflecting the crime control, order maintenance, and service provision functions. A 4-point scale, ranging from very low priority to high priority, was used in the survey of police chiefs to gather priority ratings on each of the 16 items. A factor analysis of the 1993 survey data identified five distinctive factors (or clusters) representing identifiable police functions--CRM1 (control of violent crime), CRM2 (control of gang and drug offenses), CRM3 (control of property crime), ORDER (order maintenance), and SERVICE (service activities) (see Appendix A for a summary of the indices that were created and a description of the survey questions/response categories). 6 In this 6 The five core functions of policing are based on the m e a n ratings of top police administrators. There m a y be other priorities, such as actual workload or budget allocations, t h a t were not measured. The exploratory factor analysis featuring v a r i m a x rotation was first conducted on the basis of the 1993 data. Both scree plots a n d eigenvalues (i.e., those greater t h a n 1) were used to determine the n u m b e r of factors to retain. The confirmatory factor loadings for the subsequent years, 1996 a n d 2000, showed similar loadings of variables on each of the five indices. In addition, the a l p h a levels of each index were checked to m a k e sure t h a t reliable i n t e r n a l association exists a m o n g survey items in t h e 1996 a n d t h e 2000 surveys (see Appendix A for more details). Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 708 ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE IN POLICING a n a l y s i s , t h e police f u n c t i o n indices w e r e c o n s t r u c t e d u s i n g t h e s a m e s u r v e y i t e m s f r o m t h e 1996 a n d 2000 d a t a . F i v e i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e s w e r e u s e d to t e s t for t h e effects of a n u m b e r of p o t e n t i a l l y i m p o r t a n t e n v i r o n m e n t a l a n d o r g a n i z a t i o n a l v a r i a b l e s t h o u g h t to b e a s s o c i a t e d w i t h t h e p r i o r i t i z a t i o n of police functions. T h e first v a r i a b l e of i n t e r e s t is t h e level of v i o l e n t c r i m e r e p o r t e d to t h e local police. D a t a on v i o l e n t c r i m e w e r e o b t a i n e d for 1992, 1995, a n d 1999, a n d t h e v i o l e n t c r i m e r a t e w a s l a g g e d one y e a r for e a c h of t h e t h r e e w a v e s of s u r v e y s . 7 I t is r e a s o n a b l e to s p e c u l a t e t h a t a n i n c r e a s e in t h e r a t e of v i o l e n t c r i m e in a n y comm u n i t y c o n s t i t u t e s a direct c h a l l e n g e for t h e local police a g e n c y in t h e e x t e r n a l e n v i r o n m e n t . T h u s , o u r first h y p o t h e s i s is this: H1. A n increase in serious violent crime will be associated with a shift toward a higher priority on crime control. T h e second i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e of i n t e r e s t is t h e e x t e n t of a d o p t i o n of C O P p r o g r a m s , s I n t h e 1993, 1996, a n d 2000 s u r v e y s , police chiefs w e r e a s k e d to i d e n t i f y w h i c h C O P e l e m e n t s t h e y h a d i m p l e m e n t e d a m o n g a list of 18 specific a r c h e t y p i c a l C O P p r o g r a m s t h a t w e r e d e r i v e d f r o m t h e l i t e r a t u r e on C O P d i s c u s s e d e a r l i e r (see A p p e n d i x B for a list of t h e p r o g r a m s g ) . A f u n d a m e n t a l objective of c o m m u n i t y policing is to i n c r e a s e t h e i m p o r t a n c e of t h e o r d e r m a i n t e n a n c e a n d service f u n c t i o n s in m a i n t a i n i n g public safety. T h i s s h i f t of police f u n c t i o n s c o m p o r t s w i t h t h e " b r o k e n w i n d o w s " t h e o r y , w h o s e a d v o c a t e s h o l d t h a t t h e o r d e r m a i n t e n a n c e a n d service funct i o n s a r e as i m p o r t a n t as t h e c r i m e control f u n c t i o n in a c h i e v i n g public s a f e t y goals. G i v e n t h i s line of r e a s o n i n g , it s e e m s r e a s o n a b l e to e x p e c t t h a t m u n i c i p a l police a g e n c i e s t h a t a d o p t e d m o r e i n n o v a t i v e C O P p r o g r a m s d u r i n g t h e s t u d y p e r i o d w o u l d be m o r e likely to a l t e r t h e t r a d i t i o n a l o r d e r i n g of police f u n c t i o n s , a w a y f r o m c r i m e control, t h a n w o u l d d e p a r t m e n t s t h a t e i t h e r s t a b i l i z e d or d e c r e a s e d t h e n u m b e r of C O P p r o g r a m s . H e n c e , o u r second h y p o t h e s i s is as follows: 7 Similar to the 1993 study, the four Part 1 crimes against persons (murder, rape, robbery, and assault) that are published in the UCR make up the violent crime index~ The index was constructed using the sum of z-scores of these crimes because the frequencies of murder and rape were significantly lower than those of the other two crimes. s Several studies on community policing programs have taken a distinctly multidimensional approach. For example, Zhao (1996) categorized COP programs as externally focused or internally focused. The externally focused programs were created to deal with demands from the external environment, such as calls for a special task force or the initiation of a foot patrol program. The internally focused programs, such as quality circles, are used primarily to address managerial issues (also see Maguire & Katz, 2002). In this study, community policing programs are treated as a single dimension to evaluate the effect of COP implementation on change in the priorities of police agencies. 9 The use of innovative programs to measure the extent of change is common in the literature on organizational change (Damanpour, 1991; Kimberly, 1976). Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 709 H2: An increase in the number of community policing programs adopted will be associated with a shift in priorities from crime control to order maintenance and service provision. The third independent variable of interest concerns a key organizational resource that enables an agency to implement, community policing--the number of commissioned officers that are available for deployment. Community policing constitutes a laborintensive change in policing; under the COP philosophy, police ofricers engage in frequent individual interactions with local residents and initiate time-consuming problem solving activities. Since its inception in 1994, the Office of Community Oriented Policing Services has been mandated to facilitate organizational change, in part, by placing 100,000 more community policing officers on the streets in local police agencies (by either adding new positions or reassig~ning existing staff). In our research, this workforce-availability variable was measured by the number of sworn officers per 1,000 population in each department in 1993, 1996, and 2000. It seems reasonable to presume that an agency that reported an increase in police officers per 1,000 population should also be likely to report some degree of reprioritization of police functions toward the order maintenance and service provision functions. Therefore, our third hypothesis is this: H3. The greater the increase in the rate of commissioned officers added between 1993, 1996, and 2000, the greater the extent of the shift in the priorities of police functions away from crime control and toward order maintenance and service provision. The fourth independent variable of interest is city size. Population size reported in the 1990 census was used in 1993, and the population estimates of 1995 and 1999 reported in the UCR were used for 1996 and 2000, respectively. Meagher (1985) found significant variation in police activities by city size in a national study of 249 municipal departments of widely varying sizes. Officers in smaller agencies spent significantly more time providing services than did their counterparts in larger agencies. Similarly, officers in police departments in large cities tended to spend more time on the crime control function than did their counterparts in police departments in smaller cities (see also Crank & Wells, 1991; Flanagan, 1985; Weisheit, Wells, & Falcone, 1994; for further discussion of the variables city size and region, see Appendix C and Zhao & Thurman, 1997). Our fourth hypothesis is as follows: H4. Police chiefs in small cities will rate order maintenance and service functions as higher priorities than will their counterparts in large cities. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 710 ORGANIZATIONALCHANGE IN POLICING The final independent variable of interest is the police chiefs subjective evaluation of the growth in COP over the course of the previous three years. This variable attempts to capture a subjective j u d g m e n t of the extent of COP implementation in the surveyed police departments during the 1990s; it is possible that important changes took place to implement COP that are not reflected in the number of COP programs or activities that were supported. The subjective measure was derived from a survey item that reads as follows: "How would you characterize the changes that have taken place in your COP program s i n c e . . . ? Has your program . . . ?" which presents a 3-point response, ranging from 1 = "reduced in scale" to 2 = "remained the same" to 3 = "increased in scale," during the previous three years. Our fifth hypothesis is as follows: H5: Police agencies that reported an increase in COP implementation will rate the order maintenance and service functions higher than will their counterparts that reported otherwise. The Panel Model We believe that the pooled cross-sectional time-series (or panel data) analysis is an appropriate statistical technique to use in the current study, for the following reasons. First, panel data are both arrayed across cross-sectionally differentiated entities (cities) and are temporally differentiated. The intersection of time and space (city-year) serves as the unit of analysis. The city-year definition of a pooled observation enables us to overcome the "small-N" problem. Second, panel-data models permit inquiry into variables t h a t elude study in simple cross-sectional or time-series arrays because their variability is negligible or nonexistent across either time or space. Panel analysis allows for systematic comparisons of cross-sectionally and longitudinally varying causal factors. Third, panel data models enable us to construct and test more complicated models than could be studied with either purely cross-sectional or purely time-series data. Finally, when assumptions are met, regression estimates obtained from panel data analysis are more efficient (Baltagi, 2001; Judge, Hill, Griffiths, Lutkepohl, & Lee, 1988). Two major models of pooled regression analysis are suggested by Judge et al. (1988): (1) the Least-Square D u m m y Variable (LSDV) regression model and (2) the Error-Components (or Random-Effects) Generalized Least-Square (GLS) regression model. Judge et al. (1988) suggest that two important considerations need to be addressed before deciding on a model for pooling. First, one must consider the relative sizes of N (i.e., cross-sectional units), T (i.e., time-series units), and K (i.e., number of variables included). Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 711 When T is large and N is small, there is little difference between parameters estimated using either model. However, when N is large and T is small, the p a r a m e t e r estimations can differ significantly. Taylor (1980) argues that the error components model using GLS estimation is more appropriate when (1) T is equal to or greater than 3 and N - K is equal to or greater than 9; and (2) T is equal to or greater than 2 and N - K is equal to or greater than 10. In our case, we had three waves of data (T = 3), a total of 281 police agencies (N = 281), and eight variables (K = 8) in each regression equation. Therefore, all the criteria suggested by Taylor (1980) were met. Second, one should always consider the critical distinction between conditional and unconditional inference. When the individuals in the sample are randomly drawn from the population, or one is more interested in inferences about the population, unconditional inference that is implicit in the error components model is appropriate (Hsiao 1995; Judge et al. 1988). Based on these criteria, we concluded that the Random-Effects model using GLS estimation was the most appropriate for our study. 1° Our general model can be written as follows: Yit = ~'Xit + c~i + 7~ + ~it Ecti = E ~ t = 0 Ec~i2 = ~ 2, Ec~ic~j = 0 for i ¢ j Ee~tej~ = o~2, if i ~ j and t ~ s (E~it~j~ = 0, otherwise) where Y~t is the dependent variable for city i at year t, Xit is a set of explanatory variables, and ~ it is the error term. Note that the effects of omitted (i.e., unobserved or unmeasured) city-specific variables, a~, are treated as random. The time-specific component 7t represents two year d u m m y variables (1996 and 2000; 1993 is the reference category) that control for the unknown factors impacting the rating of police-function priorities that are not accounted for by the other variables. We also assume that a~,7~ and Eit are uncorrelated with Xit. T h e model thus specified is the one-way random-effects model, also known as the error components model (Baltagi, 2001; Hsiao, 1986, 1995; Judge et al., 1988). All estimations were conducted in STATA. 11 zo The Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects and the Hausman specification tests were examined systematically. The results of the Hausman test indicated that coefficients associated with fixed-effects and randomeffects models were not significantly different from one another. The results of the Breusch and Pagan test weighed in favor of the random-effects models. 11 It is also worth mentioning that by specifying t~e random effects (re) option in STATA, one obtains the Baltagi-Wu GLS estimator of the random-effects model. This estimator is able to accommodate both unbalanced panels and unequally spaced data (see Baltagi & Wu, 1999, for a further discussion of this issue). 712 ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE IN POLICING Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 FINDINGS T h i s section d i s c u s s e s t h e m e a n r a t i n g s of t h e t h r e e core functions in t h e m u n i c i p a l police d e p a r t m e n t s , followed b y t h e m u l t i v a r i a t e a n a l y s i s of t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n t h e p r i o r i t i e s of police f u n c t i o n s a n d t h e s e t of i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e s . T h e c o m p a r i s o n of m e a n r a t i n g s a m o n g t h e 1993, 1996, a n d 2000 s u r v e y s a r e disp l a y e d in T a b l e 1. Table 1. Descriptive Statistics: D e p e n d e n t and I n d e p e n d e n t Variables 2000 Mean SD Dependent Variables CRMI: Against persons CRM2: Drug and gangs a'c CRM3: Against property b'c ORDER: Maintenance of order ¢ SERVICE: Service 3.76 3.38 2.94 2.91 2.48 Explanatory Variables UCR: Violent crime z-scored COP: Number of COP programs a'b COP: Growth assessment ~'b OFFICER: per 1,000 population c CITY SIZE (in 100,000) .00 1.00 8.68 5.12 2.65 .57 2.44 2.52 1.88 3.39 .44 .72 .50 .51 .60 1996 Mean SD 3.79 3.61 2.95 2.86 2.46 .37 .57 .47 .50 .51 .00 1.00 10.36 4.79 .38 2.86 .85 2.10 1.90 3.00 1993 Mean S D 3.77 3.56 2.84 2.79 2.37 .35 .53 .53 .53 .59 .00 1.00 8.69 5.19 2.64 .54 2.07 .89 1.81 3.17 n 223 245 224 t-test: 2000 and 1996, p < .05. b t-test: 1996 and 1993, p < .05. t-test: 2000 and 1993, p < .05. d See Appendix D for individual UCR violent crime rates per 100,000 in 1992, 1995, and 1999. T h e f i r s t p a r t of T a b l e i s e t s f o r t h t h e five d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e s , w h i c h reflect t h e t h r e e core police functions. T h e d i s p l a y o f m e a n r a t i n g s r e v e a l s s o m e i n t e r e s t i n g findings. First, t h e r e w a s little c h a n g e in t h e m e a n r a t i n g of C R M 1 o v e r t h e 1 9 9 3 - 2 0 0 0 period. C R M 1 w a s c o n s i s t e n t l y r a t e d t h e top p r i o r i t y a m o n g t h e core functions. Second, t h e m e a n r a t i n g s s h o w s o m e s i g n i f i c a n t v a r i a t i o n for t h e n e x t police priority, CRM2. Overall, t h e r a t i n g of C R M 2 w a s l o w e r in 2000 (3.38) t h a n in 1996 (3.61) a n d 1993 (3.56). I n c o n t r a s t , t h e r a t i n g of C R M 3 w a s s i g n i f i c a n t l y h i g h e r in 2000 (2.94) a n d in 1996 (2.95) t h a n in 1993 (2.84). Third, t h e r e w a s a s t e a d y i n c r e a s e in t h e m e a n r a t i n g s of ORD E R . I n t h e 2000 s u r v e y , t h i s f u n c t i o n r e c e i v e d a m e a n r a t i n g of 2.91, w h i c h w a s s i g n i f i c a n t l y h i g h e r t h a n its r a t i n g in 1993 (2.79). Finally, t h e o r d e r of m e a n r a t i n g s a m o n g t h e s e five f u n c t i o n s rem a i n e d s i m i l a r across t i m e , w i t h C R M 1 t h e h i g h e s t p r i o r i t y a n d Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 713 SERVICE the lowest. This pattern is consistent across all three waves of data. The means for the independent variables are displayed in the second part of Table 1. The violent crime rate declined steadily from 1992 to 1999 (see Appendix D). All four types of violent crime showed a decrease in mean levels. This finding is consistent with the overall national pattern of trends in violent crime; the crime rates leveled off in the early 1990s and declined later in the decade. It is interesting that the n u m b e r of community policing programs that were reported by the departments surveyed fluctuated somew h a t during the study period, suggesting that the rate of implementation of community policing did not maintain the momentum demonstrated between 1993 and 1996. At the same time, the sizable standard deviation observed in 2000 (5.12) for this measure indicates that a noteworthy amount of shifting between the initiation and termination of COP programs was taking place in this period. The variable representing the subjective evaluation of the growth of COP shows a pattern of change similar to that reported for the implementation of COP programs. There was significant growth between 1993 (2.64) and 1996 (2.86), followed by a decline in 2000 (2.65). There was also a significant increase in the number of officers per 1,000 population, growing from 2.07 in 1993 to 2.44 in 2000. There was only a minor variation in city populations in our sample over this period. A multivariate analysis was performed to determine the extent to which the five measures of "contingencies" account for the reordering of priorities among the core police functions from 1993 to 2000. The first three columns of Table 2 set forth the results for the indicators of crime control priorities. The R-squares of these three models estimating the influence of independent variables on the m e a n priority ratings of police functions are relatively low. While some hypothesized relationships failed to achieve statistical significance, those that are discussed next were exceptions. First, the variable representing the number of COP programs that were adopted and maintained is a consistently significant predictor of the three dependent variables measuring crime control functions (CRM1, CRM2, and CRM3). However, the magnitudes of the respective coefficients are relatively small. For example, an increase in one COP program results in an increase of .017 in the mean rating of CRM1, a .043 increase in the mean rating of CRM2, and a .015 increase in the mean rating of CRM3. Second, the U C R measure of the violent crime rate has a significant effect on the ratings of both CRM2 and CRM3. The relationship between the violent crime rate and the priority given to controlling drugs and gangs 714 ORGANIZATIONALCHANGE IN POLICING Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 T a b l e 2. O n e - W a y R a n d o m - E f f e c t s GLS R e g r e s s i o n A n a l y s i s U s i n g U n b a l a n c e d P o o l e d Data: T h e Effect of Independent Variables on Core Police Functions (standard errors in parentheses) UCR Violent Crime Officers per 1,000 COP: Number of programs COP: Growth City size Yr_1996 Yr_2000 aa a~it p CRM1 b .004 (.006) .014 (.009) .017" (.005) .014 (.029) .000 (.000) -.016 (.034) -.029 (.033) .212 .334 .287 CRM2 b .017" (.008) .001 (.014) .043* (.009) .008 (.045) .000 (.000) .014 (.052) -.170" (.051) .327 .501 .299 CRM3 ORDER SERVICE b b b -.027* -.014" -.030* (.007) (.007) (.008) .024* -.000 -.004 (.012) (.012) (.014) .015" .047* .021" (.007) (.007) (.008) .081' .049 .073 (.039) (.040) (.044) .000 .000 .000 (.000) (.000) (.000) .066 -.001 .032 (.047) (.048) (.051) .089 .106" .082 (.046) (.047) (.050) .185 .107 .258 .461 .472 .498 .139 .048 .212 R2 .03 .12 .05 .09 .06 Wald X2 15.26" 67.94* 31.72" 60.43* 30.73* n 632 628 632 632 632 * p < .05. Note: aa is the panel-level standard deviation, ae~ is the standard deviation of sit, and p reflects the fraction of variance that is due to random effects. (CRM2) is positive, b u t t h e r e is a r e v e r s e r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n t h e violent crime r a t e a n d t h e p r i o r i t y given to t h e control of p r o p e r t y c r i m e (CRM3). In addition, s t a t i s t i c a l l y significant associations w e r e f o u n d b e t w e e n t h e p e r c e i v e d g r o w t h in COP, t h e r a t e of ofricers per 1,000 population, a n d t h e p r i o r i t y given to CRM3. T h e coefficient for t h e 2000 d u m m y v a r i a b l e is statistically significant in the model w i t h CRM2 as t h e d e p e n d e n t variable. This finding i n d i c a t e s t h a t , c o m p a r e d to 1993, t h e police chiefs gave a lower prio r i t y to d e a l i n g w i t h d r u g s a n d g a n g s in 2000. T h e r e s u l t s of the analysis of t h e effect of i n d e p e n d e n t variables on O R D E R a n d S E R V I C E are d i s p l a y e d in the last two colu m n s of T a b l e 2. Again, t h e R - s q u a r e s of t h e s e two models are r e l a t i v e l y low. S i m i l a r to t h e findings n o t e d in o u r p r e v i o u s studies (e.g., Zhao & T h u r m a n , 1997), t h e U C R Violent C r i m e I n d e x is negatively associated w i t h b o t h O R D E R a n d SERVICE. A l t h o u g h t h e m a g n i t u d e of t h e coefficients is r e l a t i v e l y small, the statistically significant r e l a t i o n s h i p s i n d i c a t e t h a t w h e n t h e violent crime r a t e is h i g h e r in a city, t h e local police d e p a r t m e n t is likely to d e v o t e less a t t e n t i o n to its o r d e r m a i n t e n a n c e a n d service provision functions. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 715 At the same time, the variable for the number of COP programs adopted and maintained is significantly and positively associated with these two functions of policing. The coefficient for the 2000 d u m m y variable is statistically significant in the model for ORDER. This finding means that compared to 1993, police chiefs gave a higher priority rating to the order maintenance function in 2000. The mean rating of ORDER was 2.91 in 2000, a significant increase from 2.79 in 1993. D I S C U S S I O N A N D CONCLUSION In previous articles (Zhao et al., 2001; Zhao & Thurman, 1997), which compared the results of the 1993 and 1996 surveys, it was reported that the priorities of American police strongly reflected the professional crime-fighting model. The priority ratings of core police functions were unrelated to variation in several departmental and environmental variables (e.g., the crime rate, number of COP programs, the number of commissioned police officers, and the size of cities). In this study, we examined the relationship between the priorities accorded to core police functions and organizational environmental conditions from 1993 to 2000, with a particular focus on evidence of any shift away from crime control as a predominant priority in policing. This was a period during which community policing became a broadly diffused innovation across the country. The findings of this study clearly indicate that during the period under study, the core functional priorities of American policing remained largely in alignment with the dictates of the professional model. Police chiefs' subjective ratings of priorities were generally unaffected by changes in local crime rates, by the addition of COP officers, by their own subjective evaluation of the growth of COP, and by change in city size between 1993 and 2000.12 We came to this conclusion on the basis of the evidence that the R-squares for each model were relatively low, particularly for crime control functions. Two opposing theories, contingency theory and institutional theory, were used to provide a broad theoretical backdrop against which to investigate change in police organizations. According to contingency theory, the relationship between the task environment add organizational goals and activities should be linked; that is, organizational change reflects changes in the external environment. For example, change in local crime rates may lead a police agency 12 One reviewer rightfully pointed out t h a t our model may be underspecified without the inclusion of m e a s u r e s of police-community relations (PCR) and community disorder. We also concur with this reviewer t h a t jurisdiction-level measures of PCR a n d disorder would be difficult, if n e t impossible, to obtain. Therefore, proper caution in reading our results is warranted. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 716 ORGANIZATIONALCHANGEIN POLICING to reorder priorities for the allocation of its resources. In contrast, institutional theory proposes a loosely coupled relationship between organizations and their respective environments. Our findings lend considerably more support to institutional theory than to contingency theory as a general framework for understa_nding change in American policing. Explanatory variables derived largely from contingency theory failed to predict change in police organizations in our panel model. The results gleaned from these statistical models should be robust; the panel data analysis enabled us to capture unobserved variation caused by such factors as the local environment and unique geographic influence, factors that cannot be controlled for in cross-sectional data. Even with controls for the unobserved systematic variance, the R-square for control of crime against persons CRM1 remains low. These findings suggest that when local crime rates increase, police agencies pay less attention to the provision of services and to order maintenance than to crime fighting. This situation is opposite to the recommendations of some COP advocates, who argue that to reduce local crime rates, the police need to address minor offenses and improve police-community relations. The findings with respect to mean ratings of the five core functions reveal that the ratings for two core functions, the control of crime against persons and service provision, remained highly consistent over the entire decade. The ratings of the other three functions showed some statistically significant fluctuations over time, particularly with respect to drug and gang offenses. This result may signify that there was a high degree of consensus on what is the top priority (control of crime against persons) and what is the lowest priority (service provision). These findings, together with the multivariate analysis reported in Table 2, suggest that Bittner (1967, 1972) was correct when he argued that the priority accorded to the control of violent crime is genuinely independent of the influence of either internal organizational or external environmental factors. In addition, our findings concerning the relationship between the implementation of COP programs and the ratings of core functions of policing shed some light on a fundamental question: What overall impact does COP have on policing operations? Our analysis showed that the extent of implementation of COP is a statistically significant predictor of all core functions of policing. On the basis of the analysis presented here, we argue that COP can be characterized as a comprehensive effort by local police simultaneously to control crime, to reduce social disorder, and to provide services to the citizenry. Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 717 The longitudinal data explored in this analysis extend only a decade. This is too limited a time period to support a definitive judgment about the extent to which COP will ultimately represent a paradigm shift in American policing. 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ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 721 Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 APPENDIX A~ Summary of Indices Created Cronbach's Alpha CRM1 CRM2 CRM3 ORDER SERVICE Total variance explained (%) Eigenvalue 2000 1996 1993 2000 1996 1993 .80 .74 .66 .68 .54 .76 .60 .56 .63 .67 .63 .75 4.59 2.53 1.25 1,20 1.i0 66.6 3.59 2.10 1.64 1.18 1.09 60.1 4.58 1.82 1.26 1.07 1.03 61.1 Correlation coefficients were calculated between the two items (drug crime and gang crime). They are .52 (2000), .38 (1996) and. 14 (1993). All three correlations are statistically significant at the .05 level. Note: CRM1 = crimes against persons: homicide, robbery, rape, and assault; CRM2 = Drug and gang crimes; CRM3 = crimes against property: burglary, vandalism, and property damage); ORDER = maintenance of order: neighborhood trouble, family trouble, and vagrancy; and SERVICE = (Fire, power outage, downed trees, and emergency services (accidents, ambulance calls), lost-and-found persons and property, stray animals, and drunkenness. Survey Instrument Section 3: Law Enforcement Priorities This section asks about how your department establishes priorities in its efforts with respect to a range of problems that are commonly faced by police agencies. Please indicate the level of priority your department assigns to each problem area. Q-8 Priority of Attention Ratings for Common Police Problems Very Low Low Moderate High Priority Priority Priority Priority A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. I. J. K. L. M. N. O. P. Burglary Robbery Stranger assault Rape Gangs Open drug dealing on the streets Vandalism Accidents, illnesses, ambulance calls Fire, power out, or tree down Lost or found person or property Property damage Drunkenness Stray animals Family trouble Neighbor trouble Vagrancy [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [B [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] D [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] Note: 1 = very low priority, 2 = low priority, 3 = moderate priority, and 4 = high priority. The spreadsheet format of the original questionnaire was not used. 722 ORGANIZATIONALCHANGE IN POLICING Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 A P P E N D I X B. List of COP Programs and Strategies Externally focused change-reorientation of police operations and crime prevention 1. Department sponsorship of community newsletter 2. Additional officers on foot, bicycle, or horse patrol 3. Use of storefronts for crime prevention 4. Use of task units for solving special problems in a targeted area 5. Victim contact program 6. Crime prevention education of the general public 7. Fixed assignment of officers to neighborhoods or schools for extended periods 8. Permanent reassignment of officers to neighborhoods or schools for extended periods 9. Use of citizen survey to keep informed about local problems 10. Neighborhood watch 11. Business watch 12. Increased hiring of civilians for non-law-enforcement tasks 13. Community service officers (uniformed citizens who perform support and community liaison activities) 14. Unpaid civilian volunteers who perform support and communityliaison activities Internally or Managerial Focused Changes 15. Reassessment of rank and assignments 16. Reassignment of some management positions from sworn to civilian personnel 17. Addition of the position of master police officer to increase rewards for line officers 18. Quality circles (problem-solving among small groups of line personnel) Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 ZHAO, HE, AND LOVRICH 723 APPENDIX C. Characteristics of Participating City/ Agencies in All Three Waves of the Survey 2000 n City Size (population) 49,999 or fewer 50,000-99,999 100,000-249,999 250,000-999,999 1 million or more Size of Police D e p a r t m e n t (number of sworn officers) 25-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-9,999 10,000 and more Region West North Central South Northeast 62 82 85 43 6 % 1996 n % 1993 n % 22.3 29.5 30.6 15.5 2.2 48 78 78 43 5 19.0 31.0 31.0 17.1 2.0 62 79 73 44 5 23.6 30.0 27.8 16.7 1.9 51 23.0 124 55.9 25 11.3 21 9.5 1 0.5 60 135 24 22 1 24.8 55.8 9.9 9.1 0.4 60 117 24 18 1 27.3 53.2 10.9 8.2 0.5 67 67 65 38 28.3 28.3 27.4 16.0 62 67 64 31 27.7 29.9 28.6 13.8 56 66 57 34 26.3 31.0 26.8 16.0 724 ORGANIZATIONALCHANGE IN POLICING Downloaded By: [Northeastern University] At: 16:25 13 September 2007 APPENDIX D: UCR Rate per 100,000 P o p u l a t i o n UCR Violent Crime Rates 1995 1992 Mean SD Mean SD Mean SD Homicide 7.05 9.27 9.97 10.74 11.52 13.40 Rape 38.78 31.08 50.75 37.40 62.23 44.53 Robbery 213.33 208.34 322.95 314.92 390.99 361.42 Assault 359.81 326.15 529.35 417.06 633.47 537.70 Source: UCR for 1999, 1995, and 1992, respectively. 1999