Anirudha Dutta Senior Research Analyst Prakhar Sharma Investment Analyst Amar Gill Head of Thematic Research Mr & Mrs India Autumn 2007 Asia’s middle class revealed Foreword To understand the consumption trends, priorities and changing mores of an Indian society in transition, we surveyed 1,616 households in 16 state capitals equally spread across the country’s four major regions. While still conservative, households are increasingly aspiring to a modern lifestyle and optimism is high. Anirudha Dutta Senior Analyst CLSA India Read together with our Chain Reactions reports published this year, we cover a broad cross-section of consumers in terms of socioeconomic groups. Given Indians’ historical propensity not to disclose correct incomes, we use the same methodology as market researchers. We employ socioeconomic classification, which takes into account education, job profile and asset ownership to determine household categories. Nearly 67% of the chief respondents hold at least a graduate degree, 29% are shopkeepers or petty traders and 21% are executives. We believe this adequately reflects the reality that is Indian society where a large cross-section of the population is engaged in the informal sector. Our survey results are fascinating to say the least. While the middle class is yet to completely shed its conservative image, households are changing rapidly. More than 70% of respondents live in their own homes, 91% have mobile phones, 19% of households own four-wheel vehicles and 72% own two-wheelers. Penetration of consumer durables and electronics among the middle class is well above national averages. While some of the responses in percentage terms, like intention to buy homes, may appear small, it is to be seen in the context of sheer number of households in India in the relevant income group. Children continue to be the main focus of Indian families, and aspirations in terms of education and career choices are running very high. Rising prices, children’s education and medical costs are key concerns for Mr & Mrs India. Some 52% of households believe that governance has worsened in the past 10 years and say that improving the economy and reducing corruption are the two key priorities for the government. What is also important in a country as large and diverse as India, is to understand trends across regions and cities. To this end, Mr & Mrs India covers households across 16 cities, while our survey of employees in the financial services sector as highlighted in our Chain Reactions reports had respondents from 249 cities. Our findings here provide interesting insights into the similarities and differences with other markets we have covered in our Mr & Mrs Asia series. Mr & Mrs India appear more conservative, have fewer loans and own less goods. Our Mr & Mrs India report offers unparalleled access to the homes, minds, hearts and wallets of India’s growing band of middleincome households. Our partner in this survey is Mindscape, the Consumer Insights Division of Technopak Our Mr & Mrs Asia series In May 2007, China Reality Research (CRR), our unique research network in China, undertook a comprehensive study of middle-class families across the country, culminating in Mr & Mrs China. We then repeated the effort with Mr & Mrs Hong Kong. These first reports in our Mr & Mrs Asia series were well received, addressing the need for granular information that provides a better understanding of the region’s macro data. With Asian consumers set to drive global growth as US consumers pull back, we strive to understand the mindset and aspirations of households across the region, as well as their evolving spending and saving patterns. We asked: Why is the savings ratio so high in most Asian countries? What do families save for? How do they save? What is their appetite for equities? What do they spend on? ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 2 Key findings An average family of 4.3 people lives typically in a 900sf apartment; 71% own properties, but only 9% have a mortgage Half of households have seen their income rise in the past 12 months, of which onethird saw income rise more than 20%; 19% own cars, 100% of households have TVs and 91% have mobile phones; 20% have credit cards 63% of respondents expect their income to increase in the next 12 months Household savings are low at 13% of annual income; mainly to meet emergency needs, healthcare and education costs Risk aversion is high: 84% have not taken loans, only 11% have invested in equities Land and properties account for 51% of wealth, with 30% in cash and deposits Slightly more than half say governance has worsened in the past 10 years; improving the economy and reducing corruption are seen as top priorities for the government Children’s future and education a key concern and priority; other major concerns are rising prices and medical costs ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 3 Investment conclusions Property - Room to grow: Among our respondents, 12% want to buy property over the next 18 months; 39% of the new purchases are upgrades and 30% for investments; with incomes rising at 12% pa, positive for property demand. Our key picks are DLF and Unitech Retail financial services: As incomes rise, so does demand for credit seen in 33% Cagr in consumer credit over FY02-07; propensity to take loans is increasing, although 84% have not taken any loans. 22% households intend to purchase insurance. Our key picks are HDFC, ICICI Bank and Max India Telecoms - Ringing in growth: Penetration at 91% and average ownership at 1.4 mobile phones has catching up to do relative to China with 99% penetration and 1.8 phones per household. Bharti Tel remains our key investment pick Autos - Mixed message: Of the 21% households planning to buy vehicles, 58% intend to buy cars, 34% motorcycles and 3.8% want to buy a scooter. For four-wheel automobiles, there is a strong preference for Maruti, while the two-wheeler choice is Hero Honda. Maruti, Tata Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra are our top picks Consumption and retail: A low penetration of consumer durables indicates strong growth ahead; most popular brands are LG, Samsung and Nokia. Sony is preferred in high-end electronics segment. Shopping in malls is gaining popularity. Shoppers Stop is our key pick Education - Invest in future: With children’s education a key priority, thematic investment opportunities in this sector will yield long-term gains. Educomp is our key pick in this space ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 4 Snapshot of Mr & Mrs India Top-three Top-three wishes wishes for for government government are are to to improve improve the the economy economy and and education, education, and and reduce reduce corruption corruption Very Very high high aspirations aspirations for for children children with 43% wanting their with 43% wanting their kids kids to to get get aa master’s degree and 29% a doctorate master’s degree and 29% a doctorate Windfall Windfall benefits benefits to to be be used used for for property property purchase purchase and and saving saving for for children’s children’s future future Large Large families families with with average average size size of of 4.3 4.3 people people Singapore Singapore is is the the favourite favourite destination for destination for foreign foreign travel travel Inflation Inflation is is the the major major near-term near-term worry worry 12% 12% intend intend to to buy buy aa property property in in the the next next 12-18 12-18 months; months; 39% 39% want want to to buy buy to to move move to to aa better better house house and and 30% 30% want want to to buy buy for for investment investment purposes purposes 50% 50% of of households households have have seen seen an an average average rise rise of of 12% 12% in in their their income income in in the the past past 12 12 months months Our Our respondents respondents are are spending spending 25% 25% of of their their household household budget budget on on groceries groceries More More than than 12% 12% intend intend to to buy buy aa car in the next 1-3 years; Maruti car in the next 1-3 years; Maruti remains remains the the people’s people’s choice choice 35% 35% of of households households have have credit credit cards cards issued issued by by ICICI ICICI Bank Bank LG LG is is the the most most popular popular brand brand in in consumer durables; Sony consumer durables; Sony takes takes that that position position in in digital digital cameras, cameras, MP3 players and MP3 players and music music systems systems LG, LG, Samsung, Samsung, HP HP and and Compaq are the preferred Compaq are the preferred computer computer brands brands ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 5 Demographics: Who and where? India has 203 million households; with a 30% urban population spread across 5,000 cities and towns The population is officially classified as per socioeconomic (SEC) groups based on education, employment and ownership of assets The above classification addresses the issue of underdeclaration of income, which is estimated to be high SEC A is about 10% of the urban population, while SEC B is 17% and SEC C is 21% SEC classification of urban India SEC A 10% SEC E 28% SEC B 17% SEC C 21% SEC D 24% Median age: India is a young nation 2000 India 2025 31 24 US The lower end of SEC A and SEC B is normally defined as being middle class 39 36 China 39 30 Russia 37 UK 38 0 10 20 30 Source: Technopak ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 6 40 44 44 (years) 50 Demographics: Young and fertile India’s population pyramid in 2000 . . . India forms a traditional pyramid 80+ Female Male 70-74 The fertility rate at 2.9 births per woman is among the region’s highest 60-64 50-54 The population grew at 1.7% in 1990-2005, against 2.1% growth in the previous two decades 40-44 30-34 20-24 10-14 (%) 0-4 (60) (40) (20) 0 20 40 The country’s labour force will grow at 1.70-1.84% up to 2015 60 Source: United Nations; Hokenson & Company . . . and expected pyramid in 2025 Growth in India’s labour force 80+ Female Male 70-74 (% YoY) 2.4 60-64 2.2 50-54 2.0 40-44 1.8 30-34 1.6 20-24 1.4 10-14 1.2 (%) 0-4 (60) 2.6 (40) (20) 0 Source: United Nations; Hokenson & Company 20 40 60 1.0 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 Source: ILO; Hokenson & Company ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 7 Demographics: Low dependency India’s population classified by education Graduate Professional 1% Graduate General 9% Post graduate - Post graduate General Professional 2% 0% Illiterate 19% Literate, but not formal 2% College but not graduate 4% School to Std 4 6% School to Std 5-9 34% SSC/HSC 23% Source: Technopak India’s population classified by occupation 65% of population is below 35 years, of which half are below 25 years 13 million people enter the workforce each year in urban India 81% of urban India is literate but graduates are less than 12% of the population Skilled and unskilled workers make up 23% of the population; only 8% hold white-collar jobs Unskilled worker 13% Not working 36% Skilled worker 10% Petty trader 12% Businessman 1% Retired 2% Student 18% ExecutiveMiddle/ Senior 1% ExecutiveJunior 7% Self-employed professional 0% Source: Technopak ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 8 Income: Growing affluence Over 70m households (34% of total) earn US$2,000-44,000 per annum 0.6m households earn more than US$44,000 per annum Distribution of households by annual income (m) 140 132.25 (%) No of households 30 Cagr over FY06-10 (RHS) 120 25 20 100 15 80 10 Households earning US$2,000-44,000 to hit 106m by 2010, or an 11% Cagr Income profile shows a classical pyramid shaped society Market researchers believe that household income is massively understated - baggage of the era of controls and usurious taxes Independent studies suggest 1.6m households earn over US$100,000 per annum and about 100,000 people have more than US$1m in assets 60 53.28 5 40 0 13.18 20 3.21 1.12 11-22 22-44 0 (US$'000) <2 2-4 4-11 0.45 0.10 0.05 (5) (10) 44-110 110-222 >222 Source: NCAER India has 100,000 US-dollar millionaires 3,500 3,000 (000) 2,920 2,500 2,000 1,500 795 1,000 485 500 345 248 161 120 119 100 Brazil Russia India 0 US Germany UK China Canada Australia Source: Capgemini, Merrill Lynch ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 9 Demographics: Across the land Our survey was conducted across 16 cities, interviewing 1,616 families 30% live in joint families shouldering responsibilities for senior citizens We surveyed 1,616 families across 16 cities Ludhiana Chandigarh Average family size is 4.3 and average number of children per family is 1.05 New Delhi Lucknow Jaipur Guwahati Patna This seems low as 38% of households have no children; within those that have children, the average is 1.7 Nearly 70% put annual income at Rs72-240k (US$1,800-6,000); annual expenditure is Rs134,680 (US$3,370) Most households have high levels of ownership of durables such as DVD players, refrigerators, TVs and mobile phones although only 19% have a car Bhopal Ahmedabad Kolkata Bhubaneshwar Hyderabad Mumbai Bangalore Bangalore Chennai Cochin ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 10 Demographics: Chief wage earners We interviewed the chief wage earner (CWE); average age is 41.9 years Over 3% of CWEs are below 25 years of age and 38% are over 45 years Age distribution of respondents 45 years and above 38% More than 87% of CWEs are married, 12% are unmarried and less than 1% are divorced Distribution of respondents by marital status Not married 12.2% 15-24 years 3% 25-34 years 28% 35-44 years 31% Family’s chief wage earner Female 4% Divorced 0.4% Married 87.4% Male 96% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 11 Demographics: Jobs and schooling Classification of survey respondents by socioeconomic (SEC) groups Respondents evenly divided between SEC A (48%) and SEC B (52%) Over 66% of respondents are graduates and post graduates; 23% have 10-12 years of formal high-school education 21% are officers or executives, 12% are salesmen or engaged in clerical jobs, 19% are businessmen, 28% own shops Classification of respondents by education 55.7 27.6 12.2 11.9 9.5 9.0 8.6 7.7 7.5 Business: 1-9 employees Executives Middle/senior 10.7 College undergraduate Shop owner Clerical/salesmen Executive junior 22.9 Graduate/PG Professional SEC B 52% Classification of respondents by occupation Graduate/PG General SSC/HSC SEC A 48% Supervisory level No response 9.8 Business: No employee School 5-9 years 0.9 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.0 Self-employed professional Business: 10+ employees School up to 4 years 0.0 Illiterate 0.0 0 Skilled worker Petty trader (%) 10 20 30 40 50 60 Unskilled worker 0 (%) 5 10 15 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 12 20 25 30 Who are they? Very few have made big-ticket purchases in the past 12 months But more than 50% plan to do so in the next 12-18 months Savings are low at 13% of annual income; 10% save more than 20% Our sample is very risk-averse with 84% never having taken out a loan 11% of households have invested in equities and another 10% intend to; 85% do not plan to invest in equities Over 81% have life insurance but only 21% have medical insurance Only 4% have travelled overseas in the past 12 months, but nearly 10% plan to do so in the next 12 months ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 13 Homes: Small is beautiful Family composition 30% are joint-family households 36% of households have five or more members; average age of members in the household is 31.4 years Extended nuclear 12% Non nuclear 43% Nuclear family 58% Average apartment is just over 900sf Joint family 30% High prices in Mumbai and Delhi mean average sizes are just 551sf and 527sf Distribution by family size 2,500 1 to 2 10% (SF) 1,949 2,000 1,500 1,000 1,387 1,321 1,088 970 1,139 864 772 652 565 602 527 551 1,086 620 310 500 5 to 6 27% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 14 Patna Ludhiana Lucknow Jaipur Guwahati Cochin Chandigarh Bhubneshwar Bhopal Ahmedabad Hyderabad Bangalore Kolkota 3 to 4 54% Chennai 0 Mumbai 11+ 1% Delhi 7 to 8 6% 9 to 10 2% Average size of house across cities Homes: High level of ownership Distribution of type of residence 45% live in owned/family house; 9% have a mortgage on their home Own house Others 0.1% 0.5% Own/family house Govt alloted (loan o/s) 1.4% 9.1% Rented/ leased 27.1% 28% live in rented accommodation 40% own a plot of land; more than half of these own agricultural land Own/family house (loan repaid) 35.4% Belongs to parents/ parents in law 26.5% 84% have not taken any loans; about 2% have taken more than one loan Type of property owned by respondents Number of loans taken 70.1 Independent house 3 or more 0% 23.9 Agricultural land 2 2% 16.3 Plot/non-agricultural Commercial/shop 12.4 Flat/apartment 12.2 Don't own any assets 10.8 Can't say 10.1 0 10 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets 1 14% No loan 84% (%) 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 15 Homes: Low intention to buy Planning to buy a property? Can't say 6% Yes 12% Low intention to buy is unsurprising given the high level of ownership (71%) and rising property prices No 82% Reasons for buying a property Business 0% Investment 30% Only 12% plan to buy a property in the near future; 82% have no intention of purchasing property Can't say 2% Upgrade 39% 39% planning to purchase property are seeking to upgrade, 29% plan to move up from renting and 30% want to buy for investment purposes Moving from renting to owning 29% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 16 Homes: What they desire Type of property planned to be bought Independent house Of those who want to buy, 39% plan to buy an independent house, 31% plan to buy flats and 13% plan to buy agricultural land 39.4 Flat/apartment 30.6 Plot/nonagricultural 26.3 Agricultural land 12.7 Commercial/shop 6.9 0 (%) 10 20 30 40 50 Type of assets planned to be bought by region 80 (%) 68 70 North West South East 60 50 36 40 36 39 42 42 37 36 25 30 17 20 10 39 3 7 7 10 7 3 4 9 5 0 Agricultural land Plot/ non-agri land Flat/apartment Independent house In western India, 36% respondents intend to buy agricultural land and 68% intend to buy a flat/apartment Those intending to buy agricultural land reside predominantly in Mumbai, where people are buying agricultural property to get away from the big city on weekends Most people in west India want to buy a flat; given the high real-estate costs, many middle-income households cannot afford an independent house Commercial Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 17 Loans: Future not yet mortgaged Type of loan taken Sharp credit growth: 33% consumer-loan Cagr over FY02-07; but middle-income households are still debt averse 84.0 Not taken any loan Personal loan 6.7 Housing loan 6.6 Among our respondents, 7% have housing loans, a similar number have personal loans and 3% borrow to buy cars 3.1 Car loan Other durables loan 1.2 Housing and other 0.8 Housing and vehicle loan 0.7 Education loan 0.6 (%) 0 20 40 60 80 100 13% have taken loans to purchase consumer durables; 10% have taken personal loans to meet medical expenses Purpose of loan 2.9 Land purpose Of those with personal loans, 26% used them to buy vehicles, 32% to meet family expenditure and 21% for their business 3.8 Repairing of house Personal problem A significant number of loans also taken to meet emergency expenses 4.9 Emergency/medical reasons 10.4 12.9 Durables 20.5 Business Vehicles 25.6 Family functions 27.4 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) Propensity for debt rises with income: 15% in income bracket of <Rs0.2m pa have taken a loan but this jumps to 22% for those earning more than Rs0.4m pa 30 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 18 Incomes: Lying to the taxman? Distribution of respondents by annual income Rs0.11-0.15m 35% Rs0.16-0.2m 19% Up to Rs0.1m 31% Can't say 2% Rs0.21-0.4m 11% Rs0.41-0.8m 2% Rs0.81-2.5m 0% Above Rs2.5m 0% 31% earn less than Rs0.1m pa and 96% less than Rs0.4m pa Our sample selection was based on SEC classification, a standard practice of market researchers in India to avoid the issue of underdeclared income With 49% being small businessmen, shop owners or self employed, it is not surprising they don’t give real incomes Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets Distribution by income: CLSA sample and national average CLSA sample (%) Official stats (%) Up to Rs0.1m 30.8 64.9 Rs0.11-0.2m 53.7 26.2 Rs0.21-0.4m 10.5 6.5 Rs0.41-0.8m 2.4 1.6 Rs0.81-2.5m 0.1 0.6 Above Rs2.5m 0.1 0.3 Can't say 2.4 Na 100.0 100.0 Total Source: NCAER, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets Distribution of respondents by occupation No response 8% Employed 43% Business and self employed 49% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 19 Incomes: Rising at a good clip Change in income of respondents in last 12-months Income increased by 12%, as per our survey; real GDP per capita has grown at 10% over FY02-07 No response 1% Unchanged 40% 50% of our sample have seen incomes rise in the past 12 months; 9% have seen their incomes decline Increased 50% Of those with income increases, one-third saw a >10% rise Average rise in income was lowest in west India at 10% and highest in the east at 18% Decreased 9% Rate of increase in income (%) 41 to 50 1% 50+ 1% Regional rate of increase in income 20 Can't say 8% (%) 18 18 31 to 40 0% 16 14 14 12 21 to 30 5% 10 11 12 North South 10 8 11 to 20 18% 6 0 to 10 67% 4 2 0 West Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 20 India East Incomes: Optimistic Expected rise in income in next 12 months 11 to 20 17% 21 to 30 6% Other 16% 31 to 40 1% 41 to 50 2% 50+ 0% Cant say 12% 0 to 10 62% How has life changed in past 10 years? About the same 11% 63% expect their incomes to rise in the next 12 months; average expected increase is 12.7% 83% of respondents believe that they are better off than 10 years ago 84% expect further improvement in their lives over the next five years Expectations for the next five years? About the na same 2% 11% na 1% Worse off 5% Worse off 2% Better off 83% Better off 85% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 21 Key concerns Biggest worry of survey respondents Unemployment 10% Daughter's marriage 10% Medical costs 10% Education fees 18% Housing price/ rents 7% Retirement 4% Can't say/nothing 2% Repayment of loans 2% Other 7% None 1% Rising interest rates 1% Others 1% Rising prices 34% Biggest worries of financial-sector employees Retirement 20% Property prices 32% Child education 14% Unemployment 13% Healthcare 21% Rising price levels is the biggest worry for 34% of the respondents; education fees (18%) and medical costs (10%) are the next two biggest concerns 10% say unemployment is a major concern; 10% worry about their getting their daughters married Housing costs/rent and rising interest expense are low down in the order of concerns among those surveyed 20% of financial-sector employees worry about financing retirement expenses; only 4% of all survey respondents worry about retirement In China, unemployment (27%), healthcare (27%) and property prices (26%) are the biggest concerns Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 22 Savings: Below national average Rate of savings across SEC and regions 18 (%) Our respondents save 13% of their income; Mr & Mrs China save 20% of their income 17.1 17 16 15 14 13.1 This is significantly lower than the 29% national average for households, partly as our survey does not weight for higher savings of affluent 13.7 12.6 13 12.7 12.6 12 11 10.1 10 9 8 Overall SEC A SEC B North West South East What would they do if given 10 million rupees? If given Rs10m, 49% would buy property, 44% would save and invest for children’s future and 32% would start a business; 10% would donate some money to charity 48.8 Buy property 44.1 Save for kids' future 32.5 Start own business 10.4 Buy a car 9.8 Donate 5.8 No response 4.5 Holiday abroad Others 3.1 Settle loans 2.8 Buy durables 2.6 Retire 2.5 0 (%) 10 20 30 40 50 High propensity to save in the south, consistent with their relatively conservative image 60 In contrast, 91% of Mr & Mrs China would “live the good life” if they received one million yuan Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 23 Savings: Children are key priority Key reasons for saving Children are families’ central priority Emergency requirements 61.5 Children's education Main reasons for savings: emergency requirements (62%), children’s education (55%), healthcare (35%), children’s marriage (30%) and property purchase (24%) 55.0 Healthcare 34.9 Children's marriage 30.1 Buying a property 23.6 Retirement 13.5 Buying household durables 11.6 Buying a car 8.5 Hholiday trip 4.3 0 10 (%) 20 30 40 50 60 70 Key reasons for saving by region 90 North South (%) 80 West East Health and education are key concerns due to the poor state of public services and the high cost in the private sector Retirement savings is low down on the priority of our sample households More people save for purchase of property in the south; healthcare in the east; children’s education in the west 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Healthcare Children's education Children's marriage Emergency requirements Buying a property Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 24 Investments: Property barons? Distribution of wealth by assets Cash 21% Fixed deposits 9% Mutual fund Equity 2% Govt sec 2% Other 16% Bonds 2% 51% of wealth is in land and property; 21% in cash and 9% in fixed deposits Shares 1% Mutual fund Debt 0% LIC 0% Pension fund 0% Land and property 51% Surprisingly no one mentioned jewellery as significant holding Can't say 12% Distribution of investment from savings Cash 24% 3% of total savings (ie, 8% of financial assets) in equities or mutual funds Fixed deposits 10% Govt sec 4% Stocks & equity funds 3% Bonds 2% Other 17% Property 44% LIC 2% Mutual fund Debt 1% Others 10% National distribution of investment from savings Shares and debentures 5% Currency 9% PF/PPF 11% Deposits 47% Insurance funds 13% Claims on govt 15% Source: RBI, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 25 Investments and insurance: Safe bets Most profitable investment Fixed deposits 10% Govt sec 4% Cash 22% For 42% of the respondents, land and property has been the best investment Stocks 2% Bonds 2% LIC 2% 11% have invested in stocks and equity mutual funds in the past 12 months and 10% plan to buy stocks or equity mutual funds Mutual fund Equity 1% Other 17% Land & property 42% Others 3% Can't say 12% 80% of households have purchased some insurance product, but 78% have no plans to buy new insurance Insurance penetration: Life and general 90 In comparison, 48% of families in China have commercial insurance and 21% plan to buy insurance (%) 86 85 80 80 80 76 75 75 Insurance penetration is highest in south India (86%) and lowest in the east of the country (75%) 70 65 60 South North Overall West East Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 26 Expenditure: Food and groceries is 25% Breakdown of consumption basket Others 25% of expenditure goes towards food and groceries 10.0 Furnishing 0.6 Vacations 0.7 9% is spent on education and 8% on entertainment Jewellery 1.3 Rent & utilities 1.3 Homecare 1.5 Household help 2.2 Cable & internet 2.2 Loan repayment 2.3 Mobile phones, vehicles and property are the popular high-value purchases Apparels 2.8 Toys & gifts 3.0 Footwear 3.1 Healthcare 3.2 Communication Average spent on property and land was more than Rs500,000 71% have not bought any major item in the past 12 months 3.7 Personal care 4.2 Stationery 4.3 Fuel & transport 4.3 Mobile phones 7.7 Entertainment 8.3 Education 8.9 Food & groceries 24.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 30 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 27 Four-wheel autos: 19% penetration Four-wheeler ownership 2+ 0% 2 1% 1 18% 19% of our households have a four-wheel automobile, significantly higher than the national average of eight per 1,000 people Among those who own four-wheel drives, an overwhelming 65% own Maruti vehicles 21% of households are planning to purchase a vehicle in the next three years; 64% plan to take out loans to buy vehicles None 81% Of the above, 58% plan to purchase cars, 34% motorcycles and 4% scooters Four-wheelers - Owned and preferred 35 (%) 31 30 Owned Preferred for next purchase 45% of those who intend to buy cars prefer Maruti and just over 7% prefer a product from Tata Motors 25 20 14 15 10 14 11 8 10 9 8 9 7 5 5 2 5 1 6 3 0 Maruti Alto Maruti 800 Maruti Zen Hyundai Santro Tata Indica Maruti Mahindra Maruti Swift Scorpio Wagon R Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 28 Two-wheelers: 72% penetration Two-wheeler ownership 72% of households own two-wheelers; while the average number of twowheelers per family is 1.15 3 2% 2 11% Other 3% More than 36% of two-wheelers are from the Hero Honda stable; Bajaj is a distant second at 19% 3+ 0% 1 86% No response 1% Of the 21% of households planning to purchase a vehicle in the next three years, 34% plan to buy motorcycles and only 3.8% want to buy a scooter Two-wheelers - Owned and preferred 25 20 22 Owned Preferred for next purchase 18 15 10 45% want to buy a Hero Honda model; 19% would prefer a Bajaj Auto model (%) 10 11 11 6 5 8 5 5 4 5 4 1 3 4 3 0 Hero Hero Honda Honda Splendor Passion Bajaj Pulsar TVS Victor Bajaj Discover Hero Honda CBZ Hero Bajaj CT Honda 100 CD Dawn Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 29 TVs: The media revolution Television ownership TV penetration is 100%, with 92% of households owning a colour TV Only 6% of households have LCD or plasma TV; lower prices and rising aspirations will lead to fast growth LCD/Plasma 6% CRT/regular 87% B/W 7% LG, Sony and Samsung are the most popular TV brands (similarly for plasma/LCD TVs) Of those who plan to buy a TV over the next 12 months, 48% would prefer a LG; Sony is a distant second at 15%; homegrown Indian brands are losing out Televisions - Owned and preferred 60 50 (%) Currently owned 48 Preferred for next purchase 40 30 22 20 15 7 10 13 10 14 14 6 9 6 1 4 7 3 3 4 3 0 LG Sony Samsung Onida Videocon Sharp BPL Other Sansui Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 30 Computers: Very low penetration PCs/laptop ownership Only 17% of households have computers, compared to 65% in China LG is the most popular brand for personal computers; 37% of owners have unbranded PCs 1 16% None 84% Other 17% 1+ 0% Among those who plan to purchase computers over the next 12 months, most prefer LG, Samsung and HP No response 0% While 37% of respondents own unbranded PCs/laptops, only 26% intend to buy an unbranded model PCs/laptops - Owned and preferred 45 40 (%) Owned 37 Preferred for next purchase 35 30 26 25 21 20 19 13 15 9 10 11 13 9 10 2 5 4 4 2 2 1 0 Unbranded LG HP Samsung Compaq Lenovo IBM Zenith Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 31 Mobile phones: Ringing in growth Mobile phones per household 3 7% 5 1% 4 2% 6+ 0% 91% of households have mobile phones; among these, average ownership is 1.4 phones 0 9% China enjoys 99% penetration with 1.8 phones per household 2 24% Subscriber growth is likely to remain strong 1 57% An overwhelming 73% own a Nokia handset; popular brands, including LG and Motorola, lag behind Popular brands of mobile phones Nokia 73.4 LG 12.7 9.9 Others Motorola 6.3 Samsung 6.2 Sony 2.9 Panasonic 0.6 BenQ 0.1 Blackberry 0.1 0 (%) 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 32 Consumer durables: Penetration is still low Popular brands of washing machines 41% of households have washing machines; LG, Videocon and Samsung are the three most popular brands 22 LG 14 Videocon 11 Samsung Godrej 79% have refrigerators; Godrej and LG are the preferred brands 8 BPL 5 IFB 5 3 Onida Others 32 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (%) 35 Popular brands of refrigerators Popular brands of VCD/DVD players 28 Godrej Sony 6 Onida Samsung 6 Videocon 10 4 4 Sansui 3 2 Others 21 0 13 LG Videocon BPL 14 Samsung 12 Voltas 23 Philips 22 LG Kelvinator 45% have VCR/DVD players; Sony, Philips and Samsung are the most popular brands 5 10 15 20 (%) 25 30 2 Panasonic 2 BPL 2 Others 25 0 5 10 15 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 33 20 25 (%) 30 Consumer durables: Penetration is still low Popular brands of digital cameras Sony 38 Canon 15 Fewer than 10% of households have vacuum cleaners, microwave ovens, airconditioners and digital cameras 13 Kodak Konica 10% have MP3 players and/or iPods; Sony is the market leader in digital cameras, MP3 players and music systems 6 Panasonic 5 LG 3 Yashica 2 Nikon 2 Others 16 0 5 10 15 (%) 20 25 30 35 40 Popular brands of MP3 players Popular brands of music systems Sony 30 Samsung Sony 16 LG 9 Panasonic 5 Sansui 8 Samsung 8 8 6 Akai 1 5 Panasonic Others 23 0 LG BPL 1 Bose 20 Other 3 DK/CS 33 Philips 15 Philips In India, foreign brands lead in market share; in China, the top-three brands in most categories are local brands 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 30 35 4 Sansui (%) 2 0 5 10 15 20 25 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 34 30 35 40 Shopping: Call of the mall? Items bought from malls Only 30% regularly shop at malls Most prefer malls due to better choice, convenience and suitability for the family 5 Home furniture 9 Jewellery Among those who shop in malls, food & groceries and clothes & accessories are the most common items purchased 11 Toys/gifts 16 Books/CDs 19 Home appliances 52 Clothes 67 Food & groceries 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 (%) 70 80 83% of households buy food & groceries from local neighbourhood stores, Big Bazaar and Food Bazaar are most popular among the organised retailers Preferred stores for purchase of food & groceries Reason for shopping at malls Neighbourhood stores 62 Better variety 83.2 Big Bazaar 49 Convenience 46 Spend time with the family Cheaper goods 23 Recreation 22 Multiple activities 22 0 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets 10 20 9.3 Foodworld 9.3 Reliance Fresh 30 Spend time with friends 17.9 Subhiksha 7.3 Vishal Megamart 5.1 Spencer's Daily 3.7 Trinethra (%) 30 40 50 60 70 2.2 Heritage Fresh 0.6 Nilgiris 0.6 0 (%) 20 40 ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 35 60 80 100 Online: Still not logged on Accessed internet in the past 30 days No response 1% Only 25% households had used the internet in the previous 30 days Yes 25% 75% log on at their place of work Homes (28%) and cyber cafés (24%) were the next two popular places to log on 80% log on for work, 53% to check personal emails, 29% to chat with friends and 13% to help a child with his or her studies No 74% Place for accessing internet Purpose for accessing internet Office 74.5 Home 11.3 Jobs search 9.6 Buying 0.2 0 12.7 Downloads 0.9 Personal 29.5 Project and studies 2.8 na 53.2 Chatting 24.0 Friend's place 79.9 Emails 28.1 Cybercafé Professional work (%) 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 6.6 Banking 0.3 Others 0.5 0 (%) 20 40 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 36 60 80 100 Online banking: Underpenetrated Use of online banking in the past 12 months Yes 7% Only 7% of households have used online banking facilities in the past 12 months Online banking is most popular for money transfers with 54% of respondents using the service No 92% Other uses of online banking are for account statements (36%) and bill payment (28%) DK/CS 1% West India has highest penetration of online banking (10%) followed by the south (8%) Regional penetration of online banking 12 Purpose of using online banking (%) Transfer amount 10.4 10 54.2 Statements/advices 8.1 Pay bills 8 3.8 4 28.2 21.9 Order cheque books 5.5 6 35.9 Order debit card 9.7 Business 2 0.9 Professional 0.0 (%) 0 West South East North 0 10 20 30 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 37 40 50 60 Dining out: Gaining an appetite Frequency of eating out The average family dines out 9.6 times a year 24.1 Once a month Average number of people per dining experience is 3.04; average bill is Rs503 23.7 Once in 2-3 months 18.7 Never Once a year or less often 34% eat out at least once a month 9.2 8.6 Once in 4-5 months Most prefer to eat at home with families 7.3 Once a fortnight But dining out is becoming increasingly popular - 60% of IT and financial-sector employees eat out at least once a week 4.6 Twice a year Once a week or more often 2.6 0 (%) 5 10 15 20 25 30 Frequency of IT and financialservice employees eating out Average bill for eating out Don’t know 18.1 More than Rs2,000 120 0.9 100 Rs1,001-2,000 5.9 Rs501-1,000 17.7 Rs251-500 37.0 Up to Rs250 0 5 10 15 20 0-1 1-2 2-4 More than 4 11 11 80 13 14 60 36 33 40 42 IT Financial 40 20 20.5 (%) (%) 25 30 35 40 0 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 38 Credit cards: 20% penetration Distribution by number of credit cards owned 2 4% 3 1% 20% of respondents have credit cards (compared to 30% in China) More than 3 2% Low penetration partly due to high number of self employed who find it hard to get cards as often they do not file IT returns 1 13% Average number of cards owned by those who have credit cards is 1.58 with a monthly average credit card bill of Rs10,852 None 80% 35% of respondents having ICICI Bank credit cards; SBI and Citibank are the next two popular credit card issuers Who are the credit-card issuers? ICICI Visa has over 54% and MasterCard has 36% market share among payment gateways 35.1 SBI 22.0 Over 38% of households are unaware of annual credit-card fees and 40% are unaware of interest rates charged for revolving credit 13.5 Citibank HDFC 8.3 HSBC 8.3 Stan Chart 6.2 ABN Amro 2.3 Amex 1.1 Others 3.0 0 5 (%) 10 15 20 25 30 35 90% of those who do not own a card, do not intend to apply for one 40 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 39 Parents: Living in 29% of households Financial situation of parents 40% have parents who are financially stable but 22% of parents/parents-in-law have no pension or fixed income Don’t know/no parents 29% Financially stable 40% Have no income 22% 29% households have parents/parents-inlaw living with them 45% of respondents do not spend anything on their parents; the average spend on parents for the other 55% is Rs6,650 pa Partly selfsustained 9% Expenditure on parents/senior family members No spending 45.0 Above Rs50,000 0.4 Rs20,001-50,000 With neither 11% With children and senior citizens 16% 2.0 Rs10,001-20,000 Profile of dependents 5.2 Rs5,001-10,000 9.2 Below Rs5,000 38.2 0 10 20 30 40 (%) 50 With senior citizens, no kids 12% No children/ senior citizen 61% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 40 Children: Education is a priority Distribution by number of children 3 6% 72% of households have children and average number of child per household is 1.05; or 1.7 per household with children 5+ 1% 4 2% 2 23% 43% want their children to get a Master’s degree (31% in China) and 29% want their children to get a PhD (25% in China) 0 38% 94% want their children to be proficient in English; some interest in French, German and Spanish 1 30% Preferred level of education for children Language that parents would like children to learn English 42.6 Master's degree Hindi 28.8 PhD 57.3 Indian languages 13.8 Bachelor's degree 93.5 10.3 French 5.5 MBA/MLA 1.6 None High school 1.4 German 2.0 MBBS 1.0 Spanish 1.3 Japanese 0.8 Others 0.7 Chinese 0.7 3.1 Others No response 7.7 0 10 (%) 20 30 40 50 3.4 0 (%) 20 40 60 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 41 80 100 Children: Investing in the future Annual expenditure on children’s education No response 19% Above Rs100,000 1% Below Rs5,000 30% Rs50,001100,000 2% Rs20,00150,000 12% Rs10,00120,000 14% Average spend on child’s education is Rs12,760 pa; the spend in south is highest at Rs17,400 Average spend on additional coaching/tuition is Rs5,754 pa, with 54% of households spending some money on extra academic activities 41% of parents want their children to study abroad (56% in China); 76% of these say it is for better educational facilities Rs5,00110,000 22% Average pocket money is about Rs500 per month with most spent on food (58%), books (32%), stationery and toys Pocket money given to children up to Rs100 10% Nil 33% Reason for educating children in a foreign country Better educational facilities 75.8 Rs101 to 250 13% Better employment prospects Rs1,001+ 6% Rs751 to 1,000 11% Rs251 to 500 23% Rs501 to 750 4% 43.1 Better quality of life 20.4 (%) 0 10 20 30 40 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 42 50 60 70 80 Children: Ambitions for the next generation Preferred choice of profession for children Engineer 34% would like their children to become engineers, 27% doctors and 16% management jobs 34.1 26.8 Doctor 16.0 Management 12.2 Businessman Professor/teacher 10.1 2.4 Accountant Actor/artists 1.1 Sports person 1.0 Journalist 0.8 IAS/IPS 0.7 0.3 Lawyer Others (%) 0.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Preferred foreign country where children should work US 58.9 Canada 13.9 UK 12.8 Australia 10.0 Singapore 7.9 Middle East 4.6 Rest of Europe 4.5 Japan 3.2 Malaysia 3.0 Africa 1.6 New Zealand 1.5 Hong Kong 1.4 China 1.1 Rest of Asia 0.6 0 Government services have lost their sheen in the new economic environment in India 41% of parents would like their children to work abroad 2.4 Other N America Parental influence is still very strong in India; while in Hong Kong, 72% have no preference for children’s occupation 59% of parents who want their kids to work abroad prefer the US (%) 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 43 Transport and travel: How and where? Destination for overseas official travel Middle East Members of only 4% of households have travelled abroad; 60% of the travel was for work, 40% was for a holiday 28.9 US 16.3 Indian subcontinent 11.6 Malaysia 29% of the overseas trips were to the Middle East and 16% to US, these two being the most travelled destinations on official work 9.1 Hong Kong 8.5 Singapore 7.9 6.1 UK Australia 3.1 Other N America 3.1 Rest of Europe 2.9 Rest of Asia 2.9 0 5 (%) 10 15 Purpose of foreign travel 20 25 30 35 55% of households use two-wheelers to go to work, 19% use public transport; in China 59% use public transport Mode of transport to office Public transport 19% Personal/ holiday 40% Private car 9% Bicycle/walk 8% Taxi/auto 5% No response 2% Business/ official 60% Other 4% Company car 1% Two-wheeler 55% Company bus 1% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 44 Travel and vacation: All work, no play? 41% of households have not taken a vacation in the past 12 months Number of vacations taken 2 17% 30% of households take more than one family vacation per year 3 4% 4 2% 5 0% 1 30% Singapore and the US are the most popular destinations for future holidays; 21% would like to travel to Singapore; 18% to the US 6+ 1% Other 6% Can't say 5% None 41% 67% respondents travel by train for domestic holidays; 6% use airlines Preferred destination for overseas travel Singapore Can't say US Middle East Indian sub-continent Canada Rest of Europe New Zealand Malaysia UK Thailand Australia South America Mode of travel for domestic holidays 21.0 20.8 67 Railway 17.7 11.1 5 7 Own transport 4.9 3.5 3.2 3.0 1.8 1.7 1.6 0 43 Bus 7.8 6.7 4 Air (FSC) 2 Air (LCCs) (%) (%) 10 15 20 25 0 10 20 30 40 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 45 50 60 70 80 Governance: Holding India back? How has India’s political condition changed? 52% of respondents believe the political situation and governance in India has worsened in the past 10 years; 46% think it has improved No response 2% Better off 46% Respondents believe that the economy, reducing corruption and improving education should be top concerns for the government Worse off 52% Only 10% in the south feel the need for economic improvement as the south is doing comparatively well, while 27% in the east place the economy as top priority Concerns that the government should address Improve the economy 20.6 Reduce corruption 16.4 Improve education 15.6 8.7 Employment opportunities Reduce pollution 6.8 No response 6.6 Control crime 5.9 Control inflation 5.8 Reduce inequality 5.2 3.6 Better public housing Better healthcare 2.7 Better democracy (%) 2.0 0 5 10 15 20 Reducing corruption is a concern for 23% of households in the north, at the seat of political and bureaucratic power, higher than the national average of 16% 25 Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ©2007 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets (“CLSA”) IMPORTANT: The content of this report is subject to CLSA's Legal and Regulatory Notices as set out at www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html, a hard copy of which may be obtained on request from CLSA Publications or CLSA Compliance Group, 18/F, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, telephone (852) 2600 8888. Page 46 Pollution: Not a general priority Is pollution the biggest concern? 12 Only 7% placed environment as a top priority for the government (%) 10 10 8 8 8 7 6 5 6 4 4 2 Within regions, only 4% in the north rank pollution as a top priority, while the east is most concerned at 10% 0 All India SEC A SEC B East South West North How much would you pay to reduce pollution? More than Rs500 1% Can't say 4% Rs101-500 13% Nil 31% Rs1-100 51% Source: CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets 65% would pay extra to reduce pollution, but are only willing to spend Rs88 on average 65% are unwilling to pay more taxes to reduce pollution This is likely partly due to uncertainty whether government will produce effective results The CLSA Group, CLSA's analysts and/or their associates do and from time to time seek to establish business or financial relationships with companies covered in their research reports. 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