Managing Operations: A Focus on Excellence Transformation Process Inputs Throughput Cox, Blackstone, and Schleier, 2003 Chapter 14 The Tools of Quality: Exceeding Customer’s Expectations The Seven Tools of Quality 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Control chart Run chart Pareto chart Flow chart Cause and effect diagram Histogram Scatter diagram CBS Chapter 14 14-2 Statistical Process Control • A method of inspection by which it can be determined whether a process is in control • Differs from Acceptance Sampling in that SPC does not make judgements about the quality of the item processed. • Key tool is the Control Chart of which several types exist. CBS Chapter 14 14-3 1 SPC Defined • All processes are affected by multiple factors and, therefore, SPC can be applied to any process. • There is inherent variation in any process which can be measured and “controlled.” • SPC does not eliminate variation, but it does allow the user to track special cause variation. • “SPC is a statistical method of separating variation resulting from special causes from natural variation and to establish and maintain consistency in the process, enabling process improvement.” (Goetsch & Davis, 2003. p. 631) CBS Chapter 14 14-4 Variation in Processes • Common Cause variation - the variation which in inherent in the process itself; when sampled, a normal distribution is found; a process is said to be in statistical control when only common cause variation exists. • Special (or Assignable) Cause variation - the variation in process output that might be traced to a specific cause; the process is said to be out of control when a special cause variation exists. CBS Chapter 14 14-5 Rationale for SPC Control of Variation Continuous Improvement Predictability of Processes Elimination of Waste Product Inspection CBS Chapter 14 14-6 2 Creating Control Charts • All control charts rely on the periodic sampling and measurement of items. • The data collected will allow the calculation of a centerline, and upper and lower control limits. • The centerline is the mean of all samples, whereas the control limits are, conceptually, the mean +/- three standard deviations. CBS Chapter 14 14-7 Interpreting Control Charts SPC is based upon the Central Limit Theorem which tells us, in effect, that the samples will follow a normal distribution regardless of the shape of the parent distribution. 2σ (68%) µ 4 σ (95.5%) 6 σ (99.7%) Interpreting control charts is, then, all about probabilities – if the observations aren’t probable, then there must be a special cause variation. CBS Chapter 14 14-8 Interpreting Control Charts Special Cause Variation is assumed to exist if: 1. Any point falls outside the control limits. 2. Nine consecutive observations fall on one side of the mean. 3. Six consecutive observations are increasing (or decreasing.) 4. 14 observations alternate above and below the mean. 5. Two of three consecutive points fall in zone C in one-half of the chart. 6. Four of five consecutive points fall in zone B in one-half of the chart. CBS Chapter 14 µ+3σx µ+2σ µ+1σ UCL C = 2.1% B = 13.75% A = 34% µ A = 34% µ+1σ B = 13.75% µ+2σ C = 2.1% µ-3σx LCL 7. 15 consecutive observations in the A zones. 8. Eight consecutive points outside of the A zones. 14-9 3 Risks of SPC • SPC has the same Type I and Type II risks as acceptance sampling • If the process if in fact in control but we conclude that it is out of control, we have committed a Type I error. • If the process if in fact out of control but we conclude that it is in control, we have committed a Type II error. CBS Chapter 14 14-10 Common control charts for variables & attributes Data Category Chart Type Statistical Qty Variables data X-bar & R Mean & Range X-tilde & R Median & Range X-Rs Individual values P-chart Percent defective Np-chart Number of defectives C-chart Number of defects U-chart Number of defects per unit (area, time, length, etc.) Attributes data CBS Chapter 14 14-11 What SPC does not do • SPC only determines whether a process is in statistical control NOT whether the process is producing within specifications nor whether the process is even capable of producing within specifications. • We must rely on another measure AFTER we have assured that the process is in control using SPC. CBS Chapter 14 14-12 4 Process Capability • Process capability is the ability of the process, as it currently exists, to product within specifications. • One measure known as Cp compares the natural variation of the process to the specification width. • Another, more precise, measure known as Cpk compares the natural variation of the process to the specification width and target. CBS Chapter 14 14-13 Process Capability Process Capability (PC) is the range in which "all" output can be produced – the inherent capability of the process. Definition: PC = 6 σ µ 6 σ (99.7%) CBS Chapter 14 14-14 Process Capability and Process Specifications Process output distribution Output out of spec Output out of spec 5.010 4.90 4.95 5.00 5.05 X 5.10 5.15 cm Tolerance band LSL USL CBS Chapter 14 Inherent capability (6σ ) 14-15 5 Process Capability and Process Specifications This process is CAPABLE of producing all good output. Ê Control the process. Lower Spec Limit Upper Spec Limit × This process is NOT CAPABLE. Ê INSPECT - Sort out the defectives CBS Chapter 14 14-16 Process Capability Index Index Cpk compares the spread and location of the process, relative to the specifications. Cpk = { the smaller of: – OR Upper Spec Limit - X 3σ – X - Lower Spec Limit 3σ CBS Chapter 14 14-17 Cpk Values Cpk = 1.0 LSL Cpk = 1.33 USL Cpk = 1.0 LSL CBS Chapter 14 LSL Cpk = 3.0 USL Cpk = 0.60 USL LSL LSL USL Cpk = 0.80 USL LSL USL 14-18 6 Run Charts Number of defectives x x x x x x x x Time Figure 14.13. Run chart CBS Chapter 14 14-19 Pareto Chart Comments 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 x x x x x Crust too hard Few toppings Need more cheese Too much sauce Service too slow Figure 14.14. Pareto Analysis of problems at a pizza parlor CBS Chapter 14 Element 14-20 Flow Chart Time (distance) Brief Description 5 min. Sale is made. Items sold are entered into POS terminal. D 4 hours Average delay until the end of the day. 1 min. Inventory records are updated for sales and receipts by computer. D 14 hours Delay until order review. 20 min. Manager builds an order to maximize discount/minimize freight costs by ordering reorder items and other items required to reach discount. → 3 days Mail order to vendor. 3 days Vendor processes order. → 3 days Vendor ships order. 5 min. Inspect shipment for damage. → 5 min. Move shipment to stock room. D 2 days Temporarily placed in stock room until time is available to stock shelf. → 2 min. Move coffees to proper shelves. 30 minutes Coffees/teas placed in correct display containers. ∆ 15 days Wait until time to pay invoice. 5 min. Pay invoice. Summary of Work Elements Element Number Time/distance Percentage 6 3 days 61 min. 11 D 3 2 days 18 hrs. 11 → 4 6 days 7 min. 22 ∆ 1 15 days 56 1 5 min. 0 Figure 11.7. Process flow chart—current method of inventory replenishment CBS Chapter 14 14-21 7 Cause and Effect Diagram Out of Gas BATTERY FUEL Old Cable Corroded Dead Fuel Line Closed Lights Left On CAR WON’T START Loose Wire STARTER SOLENOID Wires Corroded WIRES Figure 14.15. Ishikawa (cause and effect) diagram for “car won’t start” CBS Chapter 14 14-22 Histogram 18 16 14 14 25 23 14 20 10 8 11 8 6 3 4 2 15 15 8 6 6 Frequency 11 12 14 11 11 10 10 9 3 5 4 4 2 1 0 0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Result Figure 14.16a. Histogram of expected results 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Result Figure 14.16b. Histogram of actual results 11 CBS Chapter 14 12 14-23 Possible Histogram Shapes 14 14 12 Frequency 12 12 10 9 9 Frequency 9 8 6 6 6 8 6 6 4 4 3 4 3 3 2 0 12 12 10 2 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Figure 14.18. Bimodal histogram 0 9 Category 1 2 3 4 5 C a te g o r y F ig u r e 1 4 .1 9 . C liff-lik e h isto g r a m 10 14 9 12 8 Frequency 7 Frequency Frequency 17 6 5 4 3 10 8 6 4 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Figure 14.20. Saw-toothed histogram CBS Chapter 14 9 10 11 Category 12 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Figure 14.21. Skewed histogram 8 9 10 Category 14-24 8 Points Scored Scatter Diagram 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Figure 14.22. Scatter diagram 350 400 450 Yards Gained Rushing CBS Chapter 14 14-25 The Seven “New” Tools 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Affinity diagram Relational diagram Tree diagram Matrix diagram Program decision process chart Arrow diagram Matrix data analysis CBS Chapter 14 14-26 Affinity Diagram A method to “get your arms around” a complex problem. Similar to a brainstorming session wherein each participant writes his/her idea for a cause on an index card. 2 7 1 8 6 5 13 11 3 10 CBS Chapter 14 4 9 12 14 16 15 14-27 9 Affinity Diagram A method to “get your arms around” a complex problem. Similar to a brainstorming session wherein each participant writes his/her idea for a cause on an index card. The possible causes are then arranged into groups of similar causes. The groups might be functional areas. Group 1 Group 2 4 8 Group 3 2 13 1 12 6 10 3 15 5 14 9 16 11 Group 4 7 CBS Chapter 14 14-28 Relational Diagram Used to logically examine the interrelationships among the causes within a particular grouping. The problem is written to the left and the causes are placed according to their relationship to the problem -- the further away the weaker the relationship. 5 1 12 Statement of problem 16 9 14 CBS Chapter 14 14-29 Relationship Diagram Example Losses not defined Planning work Accepting current reality Status quo is rewarded Busy maximizing department profit Short-term profit goals Schedule is overloaded Too many projects Employees lack understanding Lack incentive for improvement Lack time to develop employees Improvement work competes with day-to-day work Management is not setting a good example CBS Chapter 14 Figure 14.23. Relational diagram 14-30 10 Tree Diagram Used to identify and sequence the tasks necessary to accomplish an objective (the opposite of the problem) using the affinity diagram and the relationship diagram as a reference. 1 4 6 2 8 5 3 13 12 10 7 15 14 11 9 16 Objective CBS Chapter 14 14-31 Tree Diagram Example Interaction must occur with frequency Make group meetings more Effective Publish and adhere to agenda, with team input Develop procedures to assure team effectiveness Require each function to periodically report status Provide system to communicate progress Improve interaction among functional areas represented in the group, in the creation and implementation of an effective business plan Distribute tracking charts of team performance Each function shows its plan to fulfill overall plan Show functional interdependencies in plan development Identify relationships in dependencies in project plan Interaction techniques Participate in joint training of planning methods Use consensus building techniques in plan development and implementation Use facilitator approach at meetings Figure 14.24. Example tree diagram CBS Chapter 14 14-32 Matrix Diagram A\B B1 B2 B3 B4 B5 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 L-shaped C5 C5 C4 C4 C3 C3 C2 C2 C1 C1 B1 B2 B3 B4 B5 D5 D4 D3 D2 B1 D1 A1 A1 A2 A2 A3 A3 A4 A4 B2 B3 B4 B5 A5 A5 T-shaped CBS Chapter 14 X-shaped 14-33 11 Dept 1 Dept 2 Dept 3 1 1 2 5 1 3 1 2 T 10 2 3 1 A 3 4 1 S K 6 1 2 13 1 3 2 2 2 1 8 2 1 12 1 2 14 1 7 3 2 1 11 3 1 2 9 2 1 16 1 2 15 1 2 CBS Chapter 14 Matrix Diagram Example The matrix L-diagram is often used to identify and assign responsibility for tasks identified in the tree diagram. 1 = primary 2 = secondary 3 = tertiary 14-34 Case received via mail. Program Decision Process Chart Case scanned by paralegal No conflict of interest Conflict of interest Attorney and paralegal meet with client Sent to another attorney Attorney and paralegal "discover” evidence A settlement offer is made Plaintiff settles Plaintiff doesn't settle File motion to dismiss case File trial motions Hold hearing on motions Judge orders mediation Judge doesn't order mediation No settlement Mediate settlement Set trial date Depose witnesses Go to trial Figure 14.27. Sample program decision process chart CBS Chapter 14 14-35 Arrow Diagram Operations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Foundation Framework Scaffolding Exterior Interior walls Plumbing and electrical work Doors and windows Interior painting Interior finished Final inspection and delivery CBS Chapter 14 Figure 14.28a. Gantt chart to plan the construction of a house 14-36 12 Arrow Diagram 4 1 2 5 3 6 7 8 10 9 Figure 14.28b. Arrow diagram for construction of a house CBS Chapter 14 14-37 What is QFD? A specialized method for making customers part of the product development cycle. It translates customer wants into what the organization produces enabling the organization to: • Prioritize customer needs; • Find innovative responses to those needs; and, • Improve processes to maximize effectiveness. CBS Chapter 14 14-38 Structure of QFD 6 2 1 Customer Input 2 Manufacturer’s Current Requirements/Specifications to Suppliers 3 Planning Matrix importance rating competition rating target values scale-up needed sales points 4 Relationships 1 4 5 CBS Chapter 14 3 5 Prioritized list of manufacturer’s critical process requirements 6 Process requirement trade-offs 14-39 13 QFD Example X = conflicting requirement + = supporting requirement Tapes from CD 4 Large speakers 5 Light weight 6 Good balance 4 Good sound 1 Inexpensive 2 Attractive 4 CBS Chapter 14 3 Color choices 6” Speakers Plastic handle Plastic case PRIORITY Tape recorder Product characteristics X A = Competitor 1 B = Competitor 2 C = Our Boom Box WORST BEST A B + C B C + C A C B B AC C X X + B A C + BC AB A Figure 14.29. House of quality for a boom box Technical features Customer Requirements Matrix 1 14-40 QFD Process Applied technologies Technical features Matrix 2 Applied technologies Matrix 3 Manufacturing processes Matrix 4 Quality control processes Matrix 5 Statistical process control Matrix 6 Manufacturing processes Quality control processes Statistical process control Specifications for the finished product CBS Chapter 14 14-41 Taguchi Loss Function COSTS $ L = k(T-x)2 where: L = loss k = a constant (typically a measure of intolerance of deviation) T = target x = observed value 0 12 OUNCE AMOUNT Figure 14.30. The Taguchi loss function CBS Chapter 14 14-42 14 Business System Model L IC Y Y PH CT JE OB EM EN T & GY TE ES IV INFORMATION SYSTEMS SO ILO PO RA ST S AL GO ORGANIZATION GE PH MA NA G NA MA NT ME NT O L ME TR GE ON CE NA & C AN TS MA ING RM EN N FO REM AN N PL ER U IO P T AS TA ME EN EM PL N IM SIG DE THE ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND SUPPLIERS, GOVERNMENTS, ECONOMIES, CONSUMER TASTES, UNIONS, ETC. CUSTOMERS SUPPLIERS PHYSICAL RESOURCES PEOPLE BUSINESS PROCESSES INPUT TRANSFORMATION THROUGHPUT FIGURE 1.6g. BUSINESS SYSTEM MODEL CBS Chapter 14 14-43 15