EC2 Polikar Lecture 11 Engineering Economics – Part II Annuities & Sinking Funds Dr. R. Polikar Recall 1. Draw proper cash-flow diagram (yearly, quarterly, etc. compounding) 2. Do not add values unless they are located at the same point on the time-line 3. Make sure your final answer is rounded to nearest $0.01 (no significant digits) - keep all significant digits the calculator holds in any intermediate steps in the calculation 4. Make sure answer is reasonable 5. The compound interest relations are F = C P r C = 1 + n nN Annuities Annuities involve a series of equal payments at regular intervals - examples include installment payments, mortgage payments, retirement benefits, sinking funds, etc annuities Annuities 0 A A A A 1 2 3 4 year F = A + (1+r)A + (1+r)2A + (1+r)3A F = A [1 + (1+r) + (1+r)2 + (1+r)3] F = A (1 + u + u2 + u3) u=(1+r) (1) uF=A(u + u2 + u3 + u4) multiply (1) by u (2) uF - F = A (u4-1) subtract (1) from (2) (1+r)4-1 u4-1 F= A u-1 = A r F r = interest rate Sinking Funds F AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA 0 1 year 2 3 Future worth: F = A + (1+i)A + (1+i)2A + (1+i)3A + . . . + (1+i)nN-1 A r: interest rate n: compounding period where i= r n Sinking Fund F AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA Future worth = ? i= 0 1 year 2 F = A + (1+i)A + (1+i)2A + (1+i)3A + . . . + (1+i)nN-1 A 3 r n multiply each side of the equation by (1+i) Subtract the first equation F(1+i) = (1+i)A + (1+i)2A + (1+i)3A + . . . + (1+i)nN-1 A + (1+i)nN A from the second (sum of a geometric series) F(1+i) - F = i F = (1+i)nN A - A = A [(1+i)nN - 1] = A [(1+ r )nN - 1] = A (C - 1) n r A(C − 1) F = A(C − 1) ⇒ F = n rn Sinking Funds F AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA 0 1 year 2 3 A (C - 1) F= r n or F = S A where S= (C - 1) sinking fund factor r n r = + C 1 n nN Sinking Funds Sinking funds are often used to accumulate sufficient money to replace worn-out or obsolete equipment. Example: How much money would be accumulated by a sinking fund to purchase new equipment if $90 is deposited at the end of each month for 3 years at a rate of return of 10 percent (values are compounded monthly)? F AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA A = 90: n = 12 N = 3: r = 0.10 0 1 C = (1 + 0.1 12 year )12(3) = 1.348 1818 F = S A = $3 760.36 2 S= C-1 0.1/12 3 = 41.781 821 Example Installment Loan Example: You want to purchase a new car and you can afford to spend $200 per month for 3 years compounded monthly. You have a $3 000 down payment. The interest rate is 4%. What price car can you afford (today)? P1 P2 = $3 000 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA A = 200: n = 12 N = 3: r = 0.04 0 1 year C = (1 +0.04 12 )12(3) = 1.127272 2 S= 3 C −1 = 38.18157 0.04 12 S A = $6 774.15 C purchase price = 6 774.15 + 3 000 = $9 774.15 P1 = Recall: F=P*C F=S*A Analysis of Alternatives Analysis of Alternatives: Engineers must make comparison of alternative projects. Definitions: First cost - this is the initial cost of the purchase and includes items such as freight, sales tax, and installation Life - this refers to the number of years of service the user expects from the item or property Salvage - this is the net sum to be realized from the disposal of an item or property after service. It normally includes recovered value less removal costs, freight out, etc. Alternatives must be compared for the same length of time, and replacements due to short-life expectancies must be considered. The method of comparisons include: comparison of present worth called capitalized cost comparison of uniform costs called average annual cost (or a corresponding uniform period of time such as average monthly cost) comparison of future worths Example Consider the purchase of two computer-aided-design (CAD) systems. Assume the annual interest rate is 12% compounded yearly. Initial cost (P1) System 1 System 2 $100 000 $65 000 Maintenance and operating cost (A2)$4 000 / year $8 000 / year Salvage after 5 years (P3) $5 000 $18 000 F P1 0 A2 A2 1 2 year n = 1: r = 0.12: N1 = 5: N2 = 5: N3 = 0 A2 A2 3 4 A2 P3 5 Example Sinking fund Initial cost (P1) System 1 System 2 $100 000 $65 000 Maintenance and operating cost (A2)$4 000 / year $8 000 / year Salvage after 5 years (P3) $5 000 P1 0 $18 000 A2 A2 1 2 year A2 A2 3 4 F A2 P3 5 n = 1: r = 0.12: N1 = 5: N2 = 5: N3 = 0 F = F1 + F2 + F3 = P1 C1 + A2 S2 + P3 C3 C1 = (1 + 0.12)5 = C2 = 1.7623417 : C3 = 1: S2 = C2 -1 0.12 = 6.3528475 Example option 1 F = F1 + F2 + F3 = P1 C1 + A2 S2 + P3 C3 = 100 000(1.7623417) + 4 000(6.3528475) + 18 000 F = $219,645.56 option 2 (lower cost option) F = F1 + F2 + F3 = P1 C1 + A2 S2 + P3 C3 = 65 000(1.7623417) + 8 000(6.3528475) + 5 000 F = $170,374.99 Example option 1 F = F1 + F2 + F3 = P1 C1 + A2 S2 + P3 C3 = 100 000(1.7623417) + 4 000(6.3528475) + 18 000 F= P= A= $219,645.56 F C = $124 632.79 F = $34,574.35 yr -1 S option 2 (lower cost option) F = F1 + F2 + F3 = P1 C1 + A2 S2 + P3 C3 = 65 000(1.7623417) + 8 000(6.3528475) + 5 000 F= P= A= $ 170,374.99 F C = $96,675.34 F -1 S = $26,818.68 yr Annuity Summary Given A, n, N, r ; solve for F, the sinking fund Given A, n, N, r ; solve for P, the retirement plan Given P, n, N, r ; solve for A, the mortgage, installment payments r C = 1 + n S= nN C −1 ; r n ; F = CP F = SA Solutions of the sinking fund equation for N C −1 r ; C = 1+ F = S A ; F = CP ; S = r n n nN given r,n,P,a solve for N Eliminate F, S, C from these equations: CP C − 1 r S A = CP; S = ; C = 1+ = r A n n −1 C= = rP −1 nA r 1+ n nN nN rP r 1− = 1+ n A n Solution for N if r, n, P, A are known rP ln 1 − nA N= − r n ln 1 + n Summary − nN Summary Solutions of the sinking fund equation for r C −1 r ; C = 1+ F = S A ; F = CP ; S = r n n nN Solution for r if N, n, P, A are known, no direct solution can be found. Eliminate F, S, C from these equations: CP C − 1 r S A = CP; S = ; C = 1+ = r A n n −1 C= = rP −1 nA r 1+ n nN rP r 1− − 1+ n A n nN rP r 1− = 1+ n A n − nN =0 − nN Engineering Economics F=CP compound interest formula: used for single payments F=SA sinking fund formula: used for uniform payments Help r C ≡ (1 + n )nN S≡ (C - 1) r n compound interest factor sinking fund factor F = future worth: P = present worth: A = uniform amount r = rate of return: n = compounding time per year: N = years for the project All calculations in engineering economics (at least for ENG102) can be done by combinations of these four relations! MAKE SURE YOU HAVE THEM ON YOUR REFERENCE SHEET and know how to use them!!!