NEW ECONOMIC SCHOOL Masters in Finance Fixed Income Management Module 2, 2015-2016 Maria Krasnikova Maria.krasnikova@gmail.com Course description The course is designed to provide a theoretical framework for the practical analysis of fixed income instruments. While the primary focus is the valuation of the specific bond issue, the course also applies to the general principles of the credit analysis (including analysis of HY bonds) & basic concepts of the portfolio management. We'll discuss valuation of Russian Eurobonds, compare Russian issues with LATAM & Asian peers and develop a model of EM bond portfolio. Following recent sell-off in Russian bond space, we’ll focus on the analysis of HY & even distressed bonds and introduce several scenarios of corporate debt restructuring. Specifically we'll cover three major topics: Valuation of fixed income instruments (is a MUST). Following the lectures you should be able to calculate bond prices, duration, understand yield spreads & nature of shifts in the yield curve; Bond portfolio management strategies. Based on our valuations we'll discuss portfolio strategies of hedge funds & traditional institutional asset managers. Finally we'll build a model portfolio of EM bonds at beg of Y2013 & follow its dynamic for 9m2014; HY bonds is one of the most profitable segments and your goal is to understand the fundamental principles of HY bond valuation. We'll discuss the practice of work with CIS distressed debt, the background of exchange offers & restructurings. During the last lecture we'll have simulation game following case discussion. Course requirements, grading, and attendance policies Your course grade will be determined by results of your quizzes, case preparation, class participation & final exam. (30%) Quizzes. You'll have a 10-min quiz at the beginning of each class. Don't be shy, don't panic, it is just a simple check of the lecture materials we discussed the class before. You'll get a score for each quiz (max 10 points – 10 questions). (10%) Case write-up. There is only one case on restructuring & we'll use this case for the simulation game. According to the conditions of the game there are 2 groups of participants (investors & the Company). Although I would ask you to form 2 groups for the game, I'll expect that each of you would prepare individual write-up before the class to be well-prepared for the case discussion. So, your total grade for the case would be based on your home write-up & class participation. (10%) Class participation. I expect you to attend all classes & to be ready to answer even unexpected questions. (50%) Final exam covers core topics from the course. It'll test your ability to apply the basic concepts of fixed income theory we discussed to the practical problems. You are allowed to have 1 page of notes during the final & calculator. NEW ECONOMIC SCHOOL Masters in Finance Course contents Class 1. Bond fundamentals Features of debt securities Classifications of bond instruments (types & sectors) Applications in bond structuring (options, calls, etc) Practical example: Structure of the bond issue Class 2. Valuation of debt securities Valuation of bonds Term structure theory & volatility of interest rates Bond indexes & credit ratings Credit spreads: specific of relative bond pricing Practical example: valuation of the bond Class 3. Portfolio management Basics of the corporate credit analysis (implications of defaults) Asset allocation decisions on the bond market Bond portfolio strategies: passive, active, global fixed-income Practical example: Portfolio modeling Class 4. High-yeld bonds Structure of the asset management industry Hedge funds: strategies & risk appetite Distressed debt & restructurings Bonds vs equity: conflict of interests Case study: Restructuring of Mechel's debt Academic integrity policy Cheating, plagiarism, and any other violations of academic ethics at NES are not tolerated.