COMPANY CONTROL AND TAKEOVERS AS A GROWTH STRATEGY Luboš Smrčka and Jan Plaček COMPANY CONTROL AND TAKEOVERS AS A GROWTH STRATEGY Luboš Smrčka and Jan Plaček Company Control and Takeovers As a Growth Strategy Published by Oxford Tutorials 25 Lakeside Oxford OX2 8JF www.oxford-tutorials-publishing.co.uk FIRST EDITION Copyright © Luboš Smrčka and Jan Plaček 2015 The Authors assert his moral right to be identified as the authors of this work REVIEWERS Xavier Mateos-Planas, Queen Mary University of London http://econ.qmul.ac.uk/staff/xaviermateosplanas.html Gijs van Dijck, Tilburg University https://www.tilburguniversity.edu/nl/webwijs/show/g.vandijck_nl/ Cover designed by Oxford Tutorials This work was written as one of the outputs of the research project “Research of insolvency practice in the CR, with the aim of forming proposals for changes in the legislation that would enable increased yields from insolvency proceedings for creditors, which would contribute towards increasing the competitiveness of the Czech economy”, registered at the Technology Agency of the Czech Republic under the registration no. 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Printed and bound in Great Britain by: Oxford Tutorials, 25 Lakeside, Oxford, OX2 8JF CONTENTS AUTHORS’ FOREWORD TO THE EXTENDED ENGLISH EDITION .... 7 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................. 11 Summary......................................................................................................................15 1 PRICE, VALUE AND USEFULNESS.............................................. 17 1.1 The price of assets and the real use of assets........................................................25 1.2 Objective and subjective value .............................................................................34 1.3 Analysts and their influence on determining value ..............................................38 1.4 A Few stories from the lives of analysts...............................................................45 1.5 The deceptiveness of mergers and acquisitions....................................................49 1.6 The merger of Hewlett-Packard – Compaq ..........................................................54 1.7 Searching for the “right price” and right methods................................................66 Summary......................................................................................................................67 2 MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS FROM A THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE.................................................................................... 69 2.1 A brief history of mergers and acquisitions..........................................................69 2.2 Motives for mergers and acquisitions...................................................................77 2.2.1 Economies of scale .........................................................................................78 2.2.2 Economies of vertical integration ...................................................................79 2.2.3 Other sensible motives....................................................................................80 2.2.4 Dubious reasons for mergers ..........................................................................83 2.2.5 Other reasons for mergers or acquisitions ......................................................87 2.3 Types of merger and acquisition ..........................................................................88 2.3.1 Types of merger..............................................................................................89 2.3.2 Types of acquisition........................................................................................92 2.4 Friendly and hostile takeovers..............................................................................93 Summary......................................................................................................................95 3 LEGAL FRAMEWORK OF MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC................................................................. 97 3.1 Czech legislation and the law of the European Union........................................100 3.2 The Act on Transformations of Commercial Companies and Cooperatives .............................................................................102 3.2.1 Specific problems of transformations of companies.....................................103 3.2.2 Approval of mergers by regulatory bodies ...................................................109 3.2.3 Further accounting and legal issues of mergers ............................................112 3.2.4 Cross-border mergers: some dubious questions and selected aspects ..........113 3.2.5 Further remarks on mergers: domestic mergers............................................121 3.3 The deceptiveness of the merger process ...........................................................124 Summary....................................................................................................................125 4 THE BEAUTY OF HOSTILE TAKEOVERS .................................. 127 4.1 The influence of the cycle on the number of takeovers ......................................130 4.2 Typical hostile takeovers....................................................................................133 4.3 Some examples from abroad ..............................................................................135 4.3.1 The special case of Cities Service ................................................................135 4.3.2 The case of Porsche and Volkswagen...........................................................142 4.4 Some examples from the Czech Republic ..........................................................150 4.4.1 The old times of the Third Privatization Wave and the Včela Cooperative .153 4.4.2 The takeover of Sazka ..................................................................................157 Summary....................................................................................................................170 5 REDISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH IN THE CONTEXT OF INSOLVENCY PROCEEDINGS................................................... 173 5.1 The substance of insolvency processes ..............................................................175 5.1.1 The macroeconomic significance of insolvency...........................................176 5.1.2 Several remarks on the relationship between asset seizure and insolvency..............................................................................................178 5.1.3 Bankruptcy and the situation of a debtor in bankruptcy ...............................181 5.1.4 Space for profit and space for loss................................................................185 5.2 Redistribution processes.....................................................................................190 5.2.1 The insolvency raider ...................................................................................191 5.2.1.1 Criminal cases ............................................................................... 192 5.2.1.2 Information asymmetry .................................................................. 195 Summary....................................................................................................................198 6 A SUPPLEMENT ON INSOLVENCY SURVEYS .......................... 201 6.1 Some survey results............................................................................................203 Summary....................................................................................................................206 CONCLUSION................................................................................... 209 BIBLIOGRAPHY ............................................................................... 217 SUMMARY ........................................................................................ 221 INDEX................................................................................................ 223 AUTHORS’ FOREWORD TO THE EXTENDED ENGLISH EDITION As regards a company’s growth strategy, we have always been rather sceptical that it might be effectively described in theory, in the sense that the result would be a summary of generally valid principles which simply have to be followed and success will come for sure. In our lives, we have had many opportunities to observe successful entrepreneurs, investors and managers at work, and our professional experience has been quite comprehensive, too. Yet we do not recall having been the witnesses to a purposeful utilisation of the Ansoff Matrix or Porter five forces analysis other than during painfully boring consultancy company presentations. On the other hand, one cannot deny that correct strategic decision is a “science” in its own manner and most certainly stems from an enormous foundation of knowledge and experience. This too is perhaps the reason why we do not see an endless number of clearly correct strategic decisions around us. The mention of the Ansoff matrix is not intended as a denial or relativisation thereof. It is in fact a theoretically precise concept which many people do follow – although more or less intuitively. Usually, it is successfully applied on the basis of a detailed and accurate understanding of reality rather than on the basis of theoretical cognition. The same applies to Porter’s analysis. But this book is not about matrices or analyses; it is about real decisions which have a higher strategic level than the daily fight for market share. A growth strategy can be a persistent trench war for every buyer just as well as a fast outflanking manoeuvre and a surprising move which decides the entire tiring battle for single dollars, pounds or euros “on another playground”. For the goal is success. If everyone around is prepared to play football, is able to play football perfectly and has the best equipment for football, one can natural- 8 COMPANY CONTROL AND TAKEOVERS AS A GROWTH STRATEGY ly compete with them in the game called football, although the probability of a repeated win is small. There is, however, another method. It would suffice to bring cricket equipment, draw up a cricket pitch and be able to play cricket well. It is all the same to capital whether its value increases by means of the game known as football or the game known as cricket; the key thing is that its value increases and brings profit. Your main problem is to convince the others to agree to a cricket tournament. Let us imagine two companies fiercely vying for the majority of the market with a similar product. Their duel is hard, full of innovation and based on the most modern insights in growth strategy, marketing, advertising, public relations, on technological development…This fight can be won (more can be profited) in many ways; one of the truly elegant is to buy out the strategic distributor of parts which supplies both competitors. Of course, over the past hundreds of years, modern societies have imposed regulation of such methods and have found ways to make them more difficult, for they have quite justifiably gained the impression that after similar victories, benefits move in a direction which is unfavourable for society as a whole. It is therefore not possible for the most part to arrive at a pitch and announce at the last minute a cricket tournament instead of one in football. Nevertheless, “There are possibilities...”, as is sung in a Czech pop song. This book concerns precisely those remaining possibilities of surprising solutions. Company control and takeover is an area which, given certain possibilities and combinations of events, offers enormous space for increasing the value of capital. Likewise, a merger or friendly or hostile takeover can lead to enormous problems and long-term stagnation of participants or to unusually surprising results which no-one expects. One of these is described in the section on the Porsche’s attack on Volkswagen, whilst at its end we see a complex model containing what amounts to the assumption of Porsche by the Volkswagen concern. Incidentally, the latest development on this front is especially instructive, and could not be captured in the text as such. In April 2015, Ferdinand Piech, grandson of the founder of Porsche and VW Ferdinand Porsche, left the Board of Trustees after he unsuccessfully tried to depose Martin Winterkorn, the Executive Chief of the concern. Other members of the Porsche clan, especially Wolfgang Porsche, President of Porsche SE, were behind his end. This family cannibalism spanning dozens of years has thus provided the public with a new instructive chapter. As we can see, history knows no “personal” victors, nor does it try to focus on “historical victory” in the sense of organisation which overcomes time. Growth strategy therefore makes sense especially as a maximally depersonified approach which enables above-standard valorisation of capital Authors’ Foreword to the Extended English Edition 9 within a reasonable time, not as an attempt to organise conditions over a liberally long time. A defensive strategy is the beginning of the end, and similarly, if it is constructed as a mechanism for fulfilling personal ambitions, it necessarily collapses. From this perspective, takeover or control of companies is a sovereign area for de-personified strategy, for – as will later be said several times – a successful takeover is precisely the moment when all the players around are eager to play football, but then a team equipped to play cricket arrives and drily informs them of a change of plan. Like many other decision-making processes, strategic decision-making processes have a specific problem – they cannot be repeated. The gauge thereof is ultimately always the dollar, pound or euro, and you either earn or lose them. We have in specific cases tried to survey who finds success through the transaction, who is the mover, and who takes the risk. We have been especially interested in who would find mergers worthwhile and who would not. This is a direct and simple approach; it might make numerous people flare up and seem cynical to them, not moral enough. Nevertheless, it is the only one recognised by practice. The world is full of moral victors who, even after thirty years, feel the bitterness of the “hand of God”. Yes, it is hard to accept when everyone plays football and one team changes the game to handball for a moment. On the other hand, reality has taught us to be somewhat sceptical towards mergers and generally towards friendly approaches when taking over companies. In fact, we might find only a few solid reasons to say that such a transaction can be advantageous for all parties concerned, which is the basis of the friendly approach. A win-win situation emerges only in relatively exceptional cases and is more likely to be an incidental result of such a transaction. If we want to utilise takeover as a transmission gear towards growth and abovestandard profit, it is not sufficient to understand the area of takeover and control as a classical market, where one company profits by taking the products of another company, whilst this other company profits by supplying its products. For in mergers and acquisitions, every single transaction is a specific market and a win-win situation is the least frequent one. Therefore, the hostile takeover seems more interesting to us, since we sense therein a far greater profit potential for the attacker. The friendly takeover, which has to take both sides of the transaction into consideration and find a way to share the benefits so as to satisfy both sides, cannot generate a profit greater than what is more or less the usual return at the given time in the given region. Hostile takeover exerts far greater pressure on individual economic subjects participating in the event, therefore demanding high efficiency; and although it shares benefits unequally, perhaps even unfairly, it is by all means far more interesting.