15 Market research Activity 15.1 (page 265): We know who our customers are 1 Explain four benefits to IKEA’s managers of having detailed research information about their customers. [12] • • • • IKEA will be able to predict the impact of demographic changes in society on its sales. For example, as IKEA knows that its core customers are aged between 25 and 50 years old, it can analyse demographic projections to see if this core group is increasing or decreasing in size. Such knowledge will contribute to decisions about the marketing mix. Understanding customers will help IKEA design products and store layouts to appeal to them. Research will also guide decisions about other elements of the marketing mix. For example, IKEA can identify the importance of designing products for children, as the majority of customers have children. The importance of value to customers is also understood from the research. This knowledge will help reduce the risks associated with new product launches. As the nature of customers in the 24 countries in which IKEA currently operates is known, this will help in making decisions about entering new geographical markets. IKEA may focus expansion on countries with similar groups of customers to its current customers. Understanding customers will help identify remedial action that can be taken to support products that have declined in popularity. Alternatively, it will contribute to decisions to divest where it is felt that a product no longer has a viable future. Activity 15.2 − research activity. Activity 15.3 − answer provided on Student’s CD-ROM. Activity 15.4 (page 274) 1 How effective do you think this questionnaire is? Give reasons for your answer. Include comments on the suitability of each question and the use of a self-completed questionnaire. [10] 1 – Customers may not wish to give their name. 2 – Customers may be reluctant to give their address. It may be more useful to ask respondents to identify in which region/area they live. 4 – What is ‘often’? Different respondents will interpret the meaning of ‘often’ in different ways. Some form of scale would be useful. 5 – Not everybody is married. The question as phrased is only applicable to male respondents. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 1 6 – No time frame is indicated. Options would be useful for quantity purchased per week or month. 7 – The answer is quite likely to be no. Frequency of purchase from Metro would be more useful. 8 – List of suppliers should be provided. It may be more useful to know from which petrol supplier a motorist most frequently purchases and why. 9 – This question would be better if options affecting choice were provided and respondents were asked to rate importance of each option. Questions about aspects of Metro’s service would be more useful for marketing purposes. 10 – This is badly phrased and makes little sense. Overall the questionnaire will provide little useful information about motorists’ petrol-buying habits. The questions are not sufficiently focused and do not provide the respondent with a suitable range of answer options. The use of a self-completed questionnaire at Metro petrol stations is satisfactory. However, response rates are likely to be low as customers are not encouraged to complete it on the spot. It is unlikely that many motorists will return the questionnaire on their next visit to a Metro petrol station. 2 Assume that you have been asked by Metro to prepare an improved questionnaire. a Ask 8–10 questions that you believe will give the type of data that Metro are looking for. [8] 1 Please identify the zip-code area you live in. 2 Gender Male Female 3 Age Chapter 15 16–25 46–55 26–35 56–65 36–45 Over 65 © Cambridge University Press 2010 2 4 5 6 7 On average how often do you buy petrol? More than once a week Every three weeks Once a week Every four weeks Once a fortnight Less than once a month Please rate the following aspects of Metro on a scale of 1 to 5. Customer service: 5 = Excellent 1 = Poor 5 4 3 2 1 Opening hours: 5 4 3 2 1 Shop: 5 4 3 2 1 Price: 5 4 3 2 1 Which petrol-station brand do you prefer? Metro Shell Esso Jet Mobil Other BP No preference If you have a preference, which of the following factors has most influenced your preferred petrol-station brand? Price Promotional offers Customer service Convenience of location Advertising 8 Other Are there any improvements you would like to see to Metro petrol stations? b Briefly justify why you have asked each question in the form you have. [4] 1 – Zip codes provide a simple way of identifying the area within which respondents live. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 3 2 – Tick boxes allow respondents to quickly answer questions. 3 and 4 – Tick boxes allow quick response and for 4, avoid the respondent having to interpret what is meant by ‘often’. 5 – The use of a Likert scale enables a more meaningful analysis of customer opinion than using Yes/No responses. 6 – By offering a choice of likely responses, it will be easier to present and analyse the data once they have been collected. 7 – Tick boxes allow easy analysis of collected data and focus on key marketing issues for Metro; more likely to get a response than using an open question. 8 – Allows respondents freedom to answer question as they wish; this may provide more detailed feedback. However, there is a risk that there will be very few responses to the question as it is open. Overall the questionnaire uses mostly closed questions to encourage respondents to give relevant answers. It will be easy to input the data on to a spreadsheet for analysis. c Advise Metro on how the questionnaire should be distributed and collected. [4] Ideally, Metro requires a representative sample so that it can draw valid conclusions from the data collected. A random sample would provide a reliable estimate about both the whole target market and about the chances of error occurring. However, a random sample requires that Metro has information about the target population. It is often expensive and time consuming for firms to draw up a list of the whole population and then contact and interview the sample taken. A relatively cheap method of collecting data would be to use a postal survey and to encourage response by including a stamped addressed envelope and some sort of incentive for returning the questionnaire. A postal survey could reach a wide geographical spread of households, and, although response rates are typically low, it is a cheap method of collecting data. If Metro has knowledge about the target market from secondary research, it may be possible to use a quota sample, but this will require face-to-face interviews with respondents to ensure that the right number of each group within the population is represented. This will be a more expensive process than completing a simple postal survey. Activity 15.5 (page 279): Presenting data at ACM Ltd 1 Explain possible reasons why the directors did not want the data left in table format. [4] • • Data left in table format are typically more difficult to interpret; it is not as easy to see trends and key relationships within the data. It is important for shareholders to be able to quickly interpret what the data show without having to do a series of calculations. Graphs offer a more visual way of representing data and will show more clearly e.g. the sharp decline in share price in May. Another example of the visual impact of graphs is their ability to show the greater regional variation in sales of product A relative to the other products. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 4 2 Select appropriate graphs or charts and present these data neatly. State the reasons for your choice of presentation in each case. [10] Share price A line graph is the most appropriate format for illustrating the change in the share price over time. This would allow shareholders to identify the trend in the share price. The graph below clearly shows that the share price trend is upwards. A line of best fit could be added to make this even more apparent. Share price $ 3.5 3 Price $ 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2009 sales A range of graphs could be used to show the data regarding sales. Some of these are shown below. A pie chart is useful for showing total product sales as it clearly indicates the proportions of the total sales accounted for by each of the three products. This allows easy comparison of the relative importance of each product in generating sales revenue. Sales by product $m Product C Product A Product B Pie charts could also be used to represent data for the regional sales of each product. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 5 Bar charts could be used to show product sales in each region. The bar chart below shows the variation in sales of Product A in each region. The data are easy to interpret and precise figures for sales can be identified. Product A 450 400 Sales $m 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 South-east South-west North East West In the bar chart below, product sales in each region are shown for all three products, allowing easy comparisons of sales to be made. It is clearly visible which products are most popular in each of the regions. Sales $m Product sales by region (1) 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Product A Product B Product C Southeast Southwest North East West Another bar chart is shown below that illustrates the contribution of each product to total sales in each of the regions. This is effective in showing the relative popularity of each product regionally, but it is not easy to identify the exact sales of each product by region. However, it is more useful than a series of pie charts as total sales are shown for each region. A disadvantage of pie charts is that they do not clearly illustrate differences in total sales in each region. Sales $m Product sales by region (2) 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Product C Product B Product A Southeast Chapter 15 Southwest © Cambridge University Press 2010 North East West 6 Activity 15.6 (page 281) Prove to yourself that the median for ‘This year’ data is 8. Explain why this is the median. [4] An approximation of the median value is: number of values 2 Thus the median = 20 ÷ 2 = 10th result. This year 0, 2, 3, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 8, 10, 11, 12, 12, 12, 14, 15, 18, 20, 22 The tenth result is 8. Activity 15.7 (page 284): Analysing research results 1 a What was the mean number of visits made by the respondents to the survey? [3] The mean is the arithmetic average. mean = total visits/respondents = 110/20 = 5.5 Answer: 5.5 visits per month b What was the modal number of visits? [3] The modal value is the most common value. Both these numbers occur three times. The modal number of visits is 4 and 7. c Calculate the median of these data. [4] First sort data from smallest to largest. 1 1 2 2 [1 mark] 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 (n + 1) 2 = 21/2 = 10.5th value Median value is: median value 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 9 9 10 10 Thus the median value is 5.5 visits per month. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 7 d Discuss the usefulness of each of these average measures to the oil company. [8] The mean may be distorted by extreme values, particularly in such a small sample. Thus, if one of the respondents makes a high number of visits, this will push the mean upwards. The modal value is of less use with regard to the proposed promotional campaign as it is just the most common number of visits and, therefore, does not take account of all the data. In this case, there is also more than one modal value, which could cause confusion. The median is the middle value in a range of ordered data. This is most useful when a typical value is required. It is also more representative than the mean when there are a few significantly high or low results. That is not the case in this survey as there is a fairly even spread of results from one to ten visits per month. As the oil company wishes to assess the possible future costs of a promotion based on the number of visits made to a petrol station, it is important to take account of all data and, therefore, the mean would be the most appropriate average. e Calculate the range and the inter-quartile range. [6] The range measures the dispersion of the data. Range = 10 – 1 = 9 visits The inter-quartile range measures the middle 50% of the data. IQR = upper quartile − lower quartile UQ = ¾ (n + 1) = 15.75th value = 8 visits LQ = ¼ (n + 1) = 5.25th value = 3 visits This means that 50% of respondents visit between three and eight times a month. Therefore, the IQR = 8 – 3 = 5 visits f Which of these would be likely to be more useful to the oil company? [4] As the promotion will be related to the number of visits made to a station, the mean would be useful as it would give an idea of the overall cost of the promotion and it includes all data in the calculation. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 8 2 a Calculate the mean number of litres purchased on each visit. [4] Midpoint (x) [1 mark for identifying midpoints] Litres 1 ≤ 10 Number of customers (f) 5.5 Frequency x midpoint f × x 2 11 10 ≤ 20 15 5 75 20 ≤ 30 25 10 250 30 ≤ 40 35 2 70 Totals ∑ f = 19 ∑ fx = 406 An estimate of the mean number of litres purchased on each visit is: ∑fx ∑f 406 = 19 = 21.4 litres b What is the modal group? [2] Most common. 20 to less than 30 litres. c Estimate the median result. [4] (n + 1) 2 20 = 2 = 10th result Median = This will be in the 20 to less than 30 litres class. Approximately 23 litres. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 9 Cumulative frequency This can be confirmed from a graph of the data shown below: 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 Litres d Explain how these results could assist the oil company when planning a promotion campaign based on petrol purchases. [9] The data could be interpreted in a number of different ways. These results could help make key decisions about the promotional campaign. For example, it might be concluded that to target the promotion at motorists purchasing more than 10 litres was undesirable as this would not significantly encourage a higher level of fuel purchase as almost all motorists already purchase 10 litres or more. In contrast, as the modal value of fuel purchase is 23 litres, the promotion could be targeted at encouraging motorists to purchase 30 or more litres. Thus, the campaign could have a significant impact on increasing the amount of fuel purchased by motorists. Revision case study 1 − research activity. Revision case study 2 (page 287): Low market share at Cosmos 1 What evidence is there in the case that this business has used secondary research methods? [6] Definition of secondary research. The firm has knowledge of the market: • low market share • Cosmos’s sales low compared to other brands • proportion of the population under 18 expected to increase in the next ten years • sports participation rates of most age groups increasing. 2 List four sources of secondary data that Cosmos could use if the business was based in your own country. [4] • • • • • • • market intelligence reports such as Key Note or Mintel (don’t have to be named) (population) census other government data, e.g. on the economy trade magazine or association data from other soft drinks firms, e.g. published accounts newspaper articles Cosmos’s own sales records. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 10 3 Analyse two possible reasons why the results of the telephone survey were so disappointing. [8] • • • 4 There were insufficient phone calls. One hundred is not enough to gain a meaningful sample. If the sample size is too small, then the results are unlikely to be representative. Names were picked at random from the telephone directory. Cosmos did not sample the target population; younger consumers are less likely to be listed in the phone book – hence too many older respondents included in the sample. Telephone surveys will typically have a high rejection rate. Thus, a representative sample is less likely. People prepared to complete the survey may tend to have similar characteristics, e.g. not working. A survey conducted face to face may have been more useful. Suggest and justify an alternative primary research technique that Cosmos could have used to achieve more useful results. [10] Answers may consider a number of options including: • A face-to-face questionnaire survey using judgement sampling − the interviewer would choose appropriate respondents, e.g. young/sporty people. This would enable Cosmos to find out whether the image of its drinks was youthful in the eyes of the target population. Using a questionnaire would enable quantitative data to be collected. The sample would need to be large enough to give Cosmos some confidence in the results. However, unless a probability sample is used, it is not possible to identify the degree of confidence you have in the results. Conducting a random sample may be difficult as Cosmos would need a database of the target population from which to draw respondents. • A focus group of young people − this would allow Cosmos to collect more qualitative data about its drinks and the competition. In a focus group, more in-depth information is collected that could indicate why advertising was not being more successful, whether the taste of the drink was right, the quality of the packaging and whether the image was positive. However, running a focus group successfully requires a skilled market researcher who is able to pursue relevant lines of questioning and avoid unduly influencing the group. This makes focus groups relatively expensive and the information collected is unlikely to be representative as the sample is so small. • In-depth interviewing − this would also collect qualitative data as it is less structured than using a simple questionnaire. This is time consuming and labour intensive, therefore it is relatively expensive. However, the data collected should reveal much about consumers’ impressions of Cosmos’s products and help explain why Cosmos is being less successful. Answers might consider postal surveys, observation and test marketing. Evaluation may consider: Evaluation should justify which primary research technique is suitable. Justification may relate to: • relative cost and ease of implementing the technique • likelihood of gaining representative data Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 11 • • the merits of qualitative versus quantitative data timescale for collecting the data. Revision case study 3 (page 287): Market research dilemma at GCB Ltd 1 Examine the likely reasons why the directors considered it to be important to enter a new market segment. [6] • • • • 2 It was important to diversify the product range to reduce reliance on current market segment. They needed to reduce risk by being in more market segments. Currently their research indicates that 90% of sales are to private households. The commercial market is large and, therefore, potentially offers significant growth in sales for GCB Ltd. The market they compete in is highly competitive, so it will be hard to increase sales. Using appropriate methods of presentation, chart the data in Tables 1 and 2. Give reasons for your choice of presentation method. [14] Sales 2009 (units) 9% Rotor mower 27% 18% Hover mower Strimmer mower Motor mower 46% Reason: A pie chart is a good method of illustrating the relative importance of sales to the firm. The chart clearly shows which products contribute the highest sales volumes. Sales 2009 (units) 6000 Sales units 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Rotor mower Hover mower Strimmer mower Motor mower A bar chart is effective for showing sales volumes as it is easy to identify the actual level of sales and compare relative sales. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 12 Sales revenue 2009 350000 Revenue ($) 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 Rotor mower Hover mower Strimmer mower Motor mower Relative number of consumers A bar chart effectively shows sales revenue in both absolute and relative terms. 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Garden size (sq. metres) 400 450 A histogram could be used as the data in Table 2 are grouped data and the class intervals are not constant. A histogram shows the relative frequency of the result in the class interval. The height of the bars in histograms is adjusted according to the width of each class interval. Number of customers; Garden size (sq. metres) 201 – 400 10 – 100 1,000 1,500 101 – 200 2,000 A pie chart effectively shows the relative proportion of sales according to garden size. Any reasonable answer. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 13 3 If there had been time, recommend ways in which GCB Ltd could have researched the market for Robomow before starting to produce it. Was it wise to launch this type of product without detailed market research? [12] Research methods could have included: Secondary research − this should be done before primary research as it will help identify trends and the scope of the necessary primary research. • Trade association/magazines − if GCB Ltd is a member of a trade association, it will have access to information from the association. This is likely to include data on sales in the market segment that GCB is considering. • Market intelligence reports − these can be expensive but are the product of professional market research. Organisations, such as Mintel, will publish reports into consumer and industrial markets, including the gardening sector. Such a report will provide detailed background information on market size and growth. • Government data – GCB may be interested in data on the economy and predictions for future economic growth. Primary research − this is typically more expensive and time consuming to collect, but is specific to the needs of GCB. GCB’s primary research will be constrained by the size of its marketing budget and the time available to conduct the research. It would be important to get a representative sample of the market it intends to enter. Identifying and sampling potential customers should be relatively easy, as it is private business and government organisations that GCB is interested in. • A survey could be conducted by contacting potential customers by telephone or by post. By using a questionnaire, quantitative data could be collected. This would enable GCB to evaluate the demand for the product and the key elements of the marketing mix, such as price. • A random sample should be used if possible to ensure that results are representative. • In-depth interviews with potential clients would be useful for gathering qualitative information. However, this is more expensive and depends on whether businesses are willing to participate. Evaluation may consider: Evaluation may consider the cost and time implications of the research in relation to the resources available to GCB Ltd. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 14 Essay 1 a Explain the essential differences between primary and secondary market research. [7] Primary research Secondary research • Primary research is the collection of • Secondary research is the collection • • • first-hand data – original information gathered by the firm or on behalf of the firm. For example, a supermarket carrying out a survey to establish customer needs. The data collected have never been published in any form. The data will be directly related to a firm’s specific needs. A consumer survey will be designed to discover specific aspects of consumer needs relevant to the firm. Primary research is typically expensive to collect. This is because it requires significant labour input and expertise if the results are to be trusted. • • • of data from second-hand sources, e.g. a supermarket using government statistics on the demographic profile of a particular region. These are pre-existing data that have already been published in some form. Data may, for example, be found on the internet, in libraries or sourced from the government. Trade magazines such as Appliance Retail Magazine in Australia would be used by retailers of consumer electronics as a source of information. Usually the data have not been collected to meet the specific research needs of the firm – they were collected for some other purpose. Secondary research is relatively cheap to collect. For example, a market intelligence report from an organisation such as Mintel will cost less than $2,000. Many secondary data are available for free. b Examine why some new products fail even if they have been subject to extensive market research. [18] Answers may include some of the following: Definition of market research • This is the collection, collation and analysis of data relating to the marketing and consumption of goods. Research may be primary and/or secondary research. • Market research is considered to be essential to the success of new product development and critical to reducing risk. Examples of products that have failed, despite thorough market research include: ‘New Coke’ − Coca-Cola launched a new-formula Coke after extensive research suggested that it would be popular. The product was quickly withdrawn as consumers did not respond favourably to the changed formula. • Toshiba HD players − this format was withdrawn toward the end of 2008. • Nestlé Boosted Smoothies were withdrawn after just four months on the market in 2008. • In contrast to the above examples, Sony ignored consumer research which indicated that there was no requirement for Walkmans! • Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 15 Product failure following extensive market research is likely to be the result of one of two factors: • flawed market research • external influences. Flawed market research − this can be the consequence of the following factors: Primary market research may have been inappropriately carried out. Factors that can reduce its reliability include: • Sample size for surveys must not be too small. A small survey has an increased risk of being unrepresentative of the wider population. • The sample must be representative of the target population. If non-probability samples are used, there is an increased chance that the results will be unrepresentative of the target population. Non-random sampling introduces statistical bias into the results. However, it may be difficult to conduct probability samples due to constraints of time, money and information about the target population. • Questionnaires must be carefully constructed to avoid problems of introducing question bias. • The individuals responsible for collecting information may introduce bias to the results. The behaviour of an interviewer will affect the outcome of an interview. • Consumers may not be honest when responding to questions. Secondary research is problematic because: • It is often out-of-date. In fast-moving consumer markets, data quickly become outdated as the external environment changes. • It was undertaken for another purpose. External factors − these may cause the failure of some products because: • Technological change may mean that the product is quickly out-of-date. • Competitors may launch products at the same time which more closely meet the needs of consumers. The failure of Toshiba’s HD player was a result of the film studios deciding to adopt Sony’s Blu-ray technology. • The economic environment may undermine sales. As developing new products may take a number of years, by the time the product is launched a downturn in economic activity could lead to a loss of sales. • Products are not supported by a suitable marketing mix: – insufficient promotional support – failure to secure appropriate distribution − therefore, the product is not available to the consumer. Top tip Evaluation may consider: Evaluation may note that the reliability of market research information cannot be guaranteed and that the firm has no control over changes in the external environment. When considering how market research should be conducted, it is important to consider the resources available to the firm. Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 16 Further reading The Times 100 series of case studies has many useful examples of the role of market research including: Using market research to relaunch a brand. This looks at the relaunch of First Direct, the internet-banking subsidiary of HSBC. How market research helps Portakabin to remain at the cutting edge. Portakabin has produced modular buildings for over 45 years. These case studies can be accessed by clicking on the following link:: http://www. thetimes100.co.uk/index.php Chapter 15 © Cambridge University Press 2010 17