Journal of Travel Research http://jtr.sagepub.com/ Perishability, Yield Management, and Cross-Product Elasticity: A Case Study of Deep Discount Season Passes in the Colorado Ski Industry Richard R. Perdue Journal of Travel Research 2002 41: 15 DOI: 10.1177/0047287502041001003 The online version of this article can be found at: http://jtr.sagepub.com/content/41/1/15 Published by: http://www.sagepublications.com On behalf of: Travel and Tourism Research Association Additional services and information for Journal of Travel Research can be found at: Email Alerts: http://jtr.sagepub.com/cgi/alerts Subscriptions: http://jtr.sagepub.com/subscriptions Reprints: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsReprints.nav Permissions: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav Citations: http://jtr.sagepub.com/content/41/1/15.refs.html Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 AUGUST 2002 JOURNAL OF TRAVEL RESEARCH Perishability, Yield Management, and Cross-Product Elasticity: A Case Study of Deep Discount Season Passes in the Colorado Ski Industry RICHARD R. PERDUE In September 1998, selected ski resorts in Colorado initiated a deeply discounted season pass program, offering a 75% discount from the previous year’s prices to FrontRange skiers (Colorado residents). The purpose of this study was to assess the effects of this discount program on skier behavior. Specifically, the influence of the discount programs on skier behavior, cross-product elasticity, and market alienation was assessed, comparing the 1997-1998 and 1998-1999 seasons. While the results are somewhat confounded by the poor snow conditions of the 1998-1999 season, the discount programs appear to have significantly influenced skier loyalty to the respective resorts. Finally, while declines in destination skier satisfaction with the levels of lift line and slope crowding were also identified, the discounted pass programs do not appear to have directly influenced the destination skiers’ overall satisfaction. The evolution of tourism marketing theory and strategy is predicated on understanding the distinguishing characteristics of the tourism experience (Pine and Gilmore 1999). Building on the services marketing literature (Shostack 1977; Berry 1980; Fisk, Brown, and Bitner 1993), intangibility and perishability are clearly two of those characteristics. Intangibility, the inability to effectively sense the service product (particularly prior to purchase and consumption), has been described as “the most basic and universally cited difference between goods and services” (Zeithaml and Bitner 2000, p. 12). Due to service intangibility, in combination with the related concepts of heterogeneity and simultaneous production and consumption, service quality has evolved as the central or core research topic in services marketing (Fisk, Brown, and Bitner 1993; Rust, Zahorik, and Kenningham 1996; Lovelock 2000; Zeithaml and Bitner 2000). Numerous researchers have extended this service quality focus to tourism experiences (i.e., Bejou, Edvardsson, and Rakowski 1996; Baker and Fesenmaier 1997; Childress and Crompton 1997; Augustyn and Ho 1998). Perishability, the inability to inventory unsold services, has received substantially less attention from services researchers but is equally if not more important to tourism marketing strategy. By itself, the perishability of the tourism experience is a relatively benign characteristic. However, in combination with the high fixed costs and cyclical demand patterns of most resorts, perishability is a key marketing strategy issue (Relihan 1989; Lieberman 1993; Lewis, Chambers, and Chacko 1995). Specifically, if demand is relatively constant and predictable, production can be tailored to meet the level of demand. However, the demand for most tourism destinations, particularly resorts, varies widely on both weekly and seasonal cycles (Allcock 1989; Williams and Dossa 1998). Furthermore, most tourism products are characterized by high fixed or sunk costs for infrastructure such as lodging units and attraction venues (Moutinho 1989). Consequently, tourism marketing strategy focuses heavily on attempting to manipulate demand to fit the available capacity. Yield management is the underlying conceptual basis of these strategies. While pricing and discounting have historically been the predominant marketing strategies of yield management, virtually all aspects of marketing strategy are increasingly being focused on the problem. In September 1998, selected ski resorts in Colorado initiated a deeply discounted season pass program, offering a 75% discount from the previous year’s prices. The purpose of the research reported in this article was to assess the effects of this discount program on skier behavior. Yield management was used as the conceptual framework to guide this assessment. The following sections first will present a conceptual discussion of yield management, identifying the key variables to be included in the study. Next, a historical perspective on the season pass program will be presented, followed by the research methodologies and results. The conclusions will focus on both an assessment of the season pass programs and its implications for yield management in the ski resort industry. YIELD MANAGEMENT Initially developed by the airline industry, yield management is commonly defined as “the application of information systems and pricing strategies to sell the right capacity to the right customers at the right time” (Kimes and Chase 1998, Richard R. Perdue is a professor of tourism management in the Leeds School of Business at the University of Colorado at Boulder. Journal of Travel Research, Vol. 41, August 2002, 15-22 © 2002 Sage Publications Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 16 AUGUST 2002 p. 156). Implicit in this definition are the key yield management criteria of (a) a time-perishable, relatively fixed capacity; (b) cyclical or fluctuating demand; (c) multiple market segments that have different purchase processes and elasticities; (d) a combination of low marginal sales costs and high fixed costs for capacity; and (e) a “price structure” whereby different market segments pay different prices for essentially the same service product consumed at essentially the same time (Kimes 1989; Lewis, Chambers, and Chako 1995). The common airline example is the situation wherein different coach passengers, flying on the same flight at the same time, pay different prices, depending on a variety of purchase restrictions or “fences” such as time of purchase, length of stay, and willingness to stay away from home over a Saturday night. Since the 1980s, yield management has been extended to applications in the lodging, rental car, health care, and restaurant sectors as well as with nonprofit firms (Relihan 1989; Chapman and Carmel 1992; Carroll and Grimes 1995; Metters and Vargas 1999; Waters 2000). Withiam (1999) reported that switching to a yield management system at the Vail Resort, Inc. properties at Keystone Resort and the Great Divide Lodge in Breckenridge, Colorado, resulted in more than $1 million in incremental revenue. Specific illustrations of yield management in the ski resort industry include Best (1997), Devlin (1999), and Lazarus (2000). The process of yield management is straightforward. A resort must first identify its primary market segments and establish a target price or price structure for each segment. Second, for a particular time period (e.g., night), the resort forecasts demand by each target price. Third, starting at the highest price or “rack rate,” the available capacity is allocated to “price buckets,” a target number of units to be sold at each price. This continues until the available capacity is allocated. For example, on a high-demand night, all of the rooms may be allocated to the highest price, and none are made available at any of the discounted prices. On a low-demand night, a significant portion of the resort’s rooms may be available at a very deep discount. Fourth, the resort tries to establish rate restrictions or “fences” to limit access to the discounted prices to the intended market segments. Finally, most resorts forecast the no-show and cancellation rates at each price and develop a corresponding overbooking policy. Importantly, for a given night, this process is continuously being updated based on reservation sales. Resorts that cater to convention visitors may develop the initial yield solution as much as 3 years in advance and then update it on a monthly basis until a year in advance, after which it is updated on a weekly basis. If the number of reservations exceeds forecasts, the availability of discounted rooms might be reduced. Similarly, the level of discounting may be increased if necessary. A significant advancement in recent years is the use of the Internet for last-minute discounting of unsold inventory through e-mail mailing lists and Web sites such as Travelocity.com, Priceline.com, and Intellitrip.com (Wald 1998; Keates 1998; Stoddart 1999). A substantial body of research exists concerning each of these steps (Weatherford and Bodily 1992), particularly on sales forecasting (Schwartz and Hiemstra 1997; Chang, Garcia-Diaz, and Var 1998), customer perceptions of price fairness (Kimes 1994), and the effects of yield management on service quality (Kimes and Chase 1998). There are two major criticisms of yield management systems. First, and most important, yield management systems tend to focus a company on short-term profit maximization, resulting in potential declines in service quality and customer satisfaction (Desiraju and Shugan 1999; Kraus 2000; Lovelock 2000; Zeithaml and Bitner 2000). Two potential service quality problems exist. Service quality naturally tends to deteriorate when operations are continuously run at or near full capacity (Rust, Zahorik, and Kenningham 1996). As waiting times and crowding increase, there is a natural decline in service quality. In addition, employee fatigue frequently adds to the problem. Another major concern is the possibility of the customers who are paying higher prices becoming alienated by perceived price unfairness (Kimes 1994; Zeithaml and Bitner 2000). In either situation, loss of high-value customers or a resort’s service reputation in exchange for short-term revenue maximization is not a viable long-term strategy (Rust, Zahorik, and Kenningham 1996; Hallowell and Schlesinger 2000). The second yield management criticism is the common failure to include ancillary spending in the decision process (Kimes 1989; Reece and Sobel 2000). The formula for yield is as follows: Yield % = (Occupancy Rate %) (Price Efficiency %) where Occupancy Rate % = average number of units sold , number of units available Price Efficiency % = average daily rate collected . rack rate (normal full price) Occupancy rate, price efficiency, and yield are all expressed as percentages. Yield is essentially the percentage of the total potential revenue collected during a specific time frame. If a resort operates at 100% occupancy and 100% price efficiency, it is achieving its full revenue potential or 100% yield (Moutinho 1989). Importantly, occupancy rate and price efficiency tend to be negatively correlated. In a given demand environment, as prices increase (i.e., the availability of discounts decrease), sales generally tend to decrease, resulting in a yield curve such as that shown in Table 1. Operating at the maximum yield point (A) is not necessarily the best choice, even if focusing on short-term profit maximization. As unit variable costs increase, a more viable alternative may be to operate at a slightly higher price efficiency and lower occupancy rate (B), thereby reducing variable costs with relatively little change in yield. Given that most resort environments tend to have relatively small variable costs, a more important strategy may be to focus on supplemental product sales revenues (e.g., restaurant, equipment rental, souvenirs, activity lessons, etc.). If supplemental spending is high, a viable strategy may be to operate at a lower price efficiency and higher occupancy point (C) and rely on supplemental sales for increased profits (Lewis, Chambers, and Chacko 1995; Norman and Mayer 1997; Adams 2000). Cross-product elasticity is defined as the probability of supplementary purchases, given the initial purchase. As cross-product elasticity increases, lead product prices can be lowered to attract greater occupancy and supplemental product sales. Furthermore, target market selection may be a function of differences in cross- Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 JOURNAL OF TRAVEL RESEARCH TABLE 1 HYPOTHETICAL YIELD TABLE (IN PERCENTAGES) Price Efficiency 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Occupancy Rate Yield 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 20 27 32 35 C 36 A 35 B 32 27 20 product elasticity across different potential markets. Given that supplemental product profit margins tend to be higher than for lead products, focusing on cross-product elasticity can be a very successful strategy. EVOLUTION OF THE BUDDY PASS As with many service sectors (Meidan 1989; Braun, Soskin, and Cernicky 1992), pricing strategy in the ski resort industry, particularly for lift tickets, tends to be competition based. In late spring or early summer, one of several major resort firms assumes a price leadership role by announcing lift ticket prices for the upcoming season. The other resorts then tend to follow the price leader by adjusting their prices accordingly. For most Colorado ski resorts, particularly those located on the Interstate 70 corridor west of Denver, two major market segments exist: the destination/nonresident skier who visits on a ski vacation lasting at least 2 nights and the FrontRange/resident skier who typically visits on a day or weekend trip basis. As would be expected, the destination skier tends to spend substantially more per day than the FrontRange skier, but the Front-Range skiers, by their sheer numbers, frequently make up the majority of lift tickets sold. The lift ticket price announced in the late spring/early summer is generally the “window price” aimed at FIT destination skiers who stay in lodging not owned by the resort company. A number of different discount programs exist depending on the time of year and a variety of eligibility fences. At any given time, most Colorado ski resorts have a price structure of 15 to 20 different prices for a lift ticket on a given day. In September 1998, three resort corporations in Colorado initiated a deeply discounted season pass program, offering a 75% discount from the previous year’s prices. The initial entry into the program was Keystone Resort, which offered a “family” season pass wherein a Colorado resident family composed of two adults and two children could purchase four season passes for $800. Prior to 1998, an individual season pass at Keystone was priced at $800. Thus, in an attempt to position itself as a “family resort,” Keystone essentially offered a family pass program for the same price as the previous year’s individual season pass. Copper Mountain and Winter Park resorts both immediately matched the Keystone program. Winter Park then extended the program to four “friends or buddies,” not necessarily related to each other. Again, Copper Mountain and Keystone matched the new 17 price program. To gain competitive differentiation, Keystone then extended its pass program to include Breckenridge and Arapahoe Basin ski areas. Vail Resorts, Inc. owns both Keystone and Breckenridge and has a marketing partnership with Arapahoe Basin. The program grew into a “price war” to determine which resort could sell the most “buddy passes” and gain the related publicity. As the program evolved, the resort companies kept reducing the eligibility fences by including nonresidents of Colorado, extending the purchase deadline, and recruiting “buddy groups” composed of people unknown to each other. Overall, the resorts sold 66,000 “buddy passes.” In prior years, the resorts combined had normally sold less than 10,000 season passes. A small discount program aimed specifically at families grew into a major sales promotion with international publicity. Importantly, as the program evolved and changed, the resort managers were forced to make immediate decisions on whether to match the program price and eligibility changes. As identified through interviews with resort marketing research managers, there were four basic assumptions underlying these decisions. Because of the reduced lift ticket prices, skiers owning the buddy pass would (a) increase their frequency of skiing, (b) increase their loyalty to the associated resort, and (c) increase their cross-product elasticity. In addition, it was also assumed that destination skiers, who pay substantially higher overall prices, would not be negatively affected by the buddy pass program. More specifically, destination skiers’ crowding perceptions and overall satisfaction would not be negatively affected. The purpose of this research was to test these four assumptions. Two surveys were conducted: a panel survey of Front-Range skiers and on-mountain surveys of destination skiers. While the different resorts developed unique names for their passes, the term buddy pass will be used generically to represent the passes offered by all three resort companies. FRONT-RANGE SKIER PANEL STUDY Method A panel study was used to monitor Front-Range skier behavior over the 1998-1999 ski season. As opposed to a single end-of-season survey, the panel methodology allowed for better measurement with fewer recall problems and for monitoring changes in behavior over the course of the season (Babbie 1992; Kinnear and Taylor 1991). Panel recruitment and the initial survey were conducted in November 1998, with subsequent panel survey waves in January, March, and May 1999. Panel recruitment was by random digit dialing telephone surveys within the Front-Range area of Colorado. The panel was screened to include individuals who (a) either downhill skied or snowboarded, (b) were at least 16 years of age, (c) did not work in the ski or market research industries, (d) skied at least 1 day the previous season, and (e) planned to ski during the upcoming (1998-1999) season. A total of 1,209 panel members were recruited, of whom 300 owned one or more of the buddy passes. Of these individuals, 885 (73.2%) completed all four survey waves, 257 (85.7%) and 628 (69.1%), respectively, for buddy pass holders and nonholders. The initial survey collected demographic information, 1997-1998 skiing behavior, planned 1998-1999 ski behavior, Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 18 AUGUST 2002 and preference for selected ski mountain attributes. The skiing behavior questions asked respondents which areas they had skied last year and, for each skied area, the number of days. The planned 1998-1999 ski behavior questions focused simply on whether the respondents planned to ski more frequently during the upcoming season as compared to the previous season. The preference data were collected by asking respondents to indicate the importance of a selected set of ski mountain attributes on a scale ranging from 1 = not at all to 5 = very important. The attributes were selected on the basis of previous on-mountain consumer satisfaction results. Finally, the initial survey also collected yes/no data on the use of various discount programs that were available during 1997-1998 ski season, on ownership of various discount cards and coupons available for the 1998-1999 season, and on ownership of the three buddy passes. The subsequent surveys waves focused on ski participation during the interim periods, again measured by asking, “Which areas?” and “How many days at visited areas?” During the March survey, respondents were asked to recall their last ski trip and indicate how much they had spent for lift tickets, lodging, meals/drinks/entertainment, parking, resort retail shops, ski lessons, and rental equipment. To convert to per capita expenditures, respondents were asked, “Including yourself, how many people were these expenses for?” In addition, respondents were asked to “recall a similar trip that you took last year” and indicate whether they spent more, less, or about the same this year as compared to last year. Respondents who had not skied during the January to March period were not asked the expenditure questions. Results Tables 2 and 3 present demographic, ski involvement, and 1997-1998 ski behavior comparisons of buddy pass owners and nonowners. The buddy passes holders tended to be younger, male, and more likely to be single. Furthermore, the pass holders also tended to be more involved and active skiers. Specifically, the pass holders were more likely to rate themselves as expert skiers/snowboarders and were more likely to own their equipment. While the nonholders (being older) tended to have more years of experience, the pass holders skied almost twice as many days during the preceding 1997-1998 season and took significantly more overnight ski trips. On the importance of ski mountain attributes, when compared to the nonholders, the pass holders rated terrain and snow conditions as significantly more important. Conversely, the nonholders gave higher ratings to family skiing, food and drink, friendly staff, and lodging. Lift ticket prices were slightly but not significantly more important to the nonholders (4.45) as compared to the pass holders (4.32). Table 4 presents the differences in 1998-1999 skier behavior of pass holders versus nonholders. As noted, the analysis of skier days and overnight trips was weighted to control for underlying differences in skier involvement between pass holders and nonholders. Specifically, the analysis was weighted so that there were no differences in 19971998 skier days between the two groups. Even with the weighted analysis, the buddy pass holders skied more frequently and took more overnight ski trips during the 19981999 season. For both skier days and overnight trips, the buddy pass average was more than twice the nonholder average. Given that this analysis is weighted for prior skier TABLE 2 RESPONDENT DEMOGRAPHICS Respondent Characteristic Buddy Pass Nonpass (n = 300) (n = 909) Age (%) 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 or older Total Gender (%) Female Male Total Annual income (%) Under $20,000 $20,000-$24,999 $25,000-$29,999 $30,000-$39,999 $40,000-$49,999 $50,000-$74,999 $75,000-$99,000 $100,000-$149,999 $150,000 or more Total Marital status (%) Married Single Total Number of people in household Households with children (%) Statistic χ2 = 29.9*** 27.2 36.2 21.8 9.4 5.0 0.3 99.9 24.4 24.8 27.8 16.0 3.6 3.3 99.9 30.0 70.0 100.0 43.7 56.3 100.0 10.8 6.0 7.6 12.4 12.7 17.5 17.5 10.8 4.8 100.1 6.4 4.0 6.1 14.2 10.4 20.1 18.8 12.7 7.4 100.1 36.8 63.2 100.0 51.3 48.7 100.0 2.66 21.7 2.97 47.4 χ2 = 17.5*** χ2 = 11.4 χ2 = 18.9*** t = 3.8*** χ2 = 61.8*** ***α ≤ .0001. involvement, much of this difference can be attributed to the buddy passes. Still, both groups skied less frequently than they had the previous year. The 1998-1999 season was a relatively poor year for snow. As has been noted by others (Echelberger and Shafer 1970), the availability and quality of snow are the predominant determinant of ski area patronage. It is important to note that while buddy pass skier days declined by 13% as compared to 61% by the nonpass holders, this difference cannot be attributed to the buddy passes. Rather, it is most likely due to the previously noted differences in skier involvement. Table 4 also presents the effects of the buddy passes on market share for the three resort companies involved in the promotion. For resort companies A and B, the buddy pass holders increased their skier days by about 5 days. By comparison, the nonholder skier days decreased by about 1 day. For resort C, skier days declined for both pass holders and nonholders. As noted earlier, the 1998-1999 season was a relatively poor snow year. Resort C suffered from extremely poor snow conditions. For all three resort companies, the buddy pass significantly increased skier loyalty. The resort’s proportion of skier days by buddy pass holders increased by an average of 32.4%. In the March survey wave, respondents were asked “how much they had spent on their last ski trip” for eight expenditure categories. In addition, they were also asked, “including Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 JOURNAL OF TRAVEL RESEARCH 19 TABLE 3 TABLE 4 RESPONDENT SKI INVOLVEMENT AND 1997-1998 SKI BEHAVIOR INFLUENCE OF BUDDY PASSES ON SKIER BEHAVIOR Respondent Characteristic Buddy Pass Nonpass (n = 300) (n = 909) Ski involvement Years of skiing experience 17.2 Self-rated skiing ability (%) Expert 31.9 Advanced 27.6 Advanced intermediate 31.9 Intermediate 5.6 Beginner 2.6 Don’t know 0.4 Total 100.0 Years of snowboarding experience 6.2 Self-rated snowboarding ability (%) Expert 16.5 Advanced 30.1 Advanced intermediate 22.3 Intermediate 18.4 Beginner 6.8 Don’t know 5.8 Total 99.9 Equipment ownership (%) Own 94.0 Rent 3.3 Both 2.7 Total 100.0 Mountain attribute importance ratingsa Family skiing 2.25 Terrain 4.65 Food and drink 2.51 Snow conditions 4.64 Friendly staff 3.44 Lodging 2.75 1997-1998 ski behavior Days skied/snowboarded last year 16.2 Number of overnight ski trips 3.0 19.0 Measure of Skiing Behavior Statistic t = 2.1* χ2 = 42.3*** 15.6 23.9 43.3 13.6 2.5 1.1 100.0 8.5 t = 1.1 χ2 = 16.4** 6.1 20.9 30.1 22.4 15.8 4.6 99.9 χ2 = 66.9** 71.6 23.7 4.7 100.0 3.18 4.43 2.89 4.46 3.62 2.95 t = 9.3*** t = 5.3*** t = 4.9*** t = 4.0*** t = 2.3* t = 2.3* 9.4 t = 6.9*** 1.8 t = 4.1*** a. Only those mountain attributes with significant differences between buddy pass holders and nonholders are reported. Respondents indicated the importance of a selected set of ski mountain attributes on a scale ranging from 1 = not at all to 5 = very important. *α ≤ .05. **α ≤ .001. ***α ≤ .0001. yourself, how many people were these expenses for.” The expenditure category data were converted to expenditures per person and added to determine total expenditures per person. As shown in Table 5, there were few differences in expenditures by category. As would be expected, the nonpass holders spent more per person on tickets. Similarly, given the earlier data on self-reported skiing ability, the higher expenditure on lessons by nonpass holders was also expected. Overall, the nonpass holders spent more per Skier daysa Total days for 1998-1999 season Changes in days skied from 1997-1998 season Overnight ski trips for 1998-1999 season Changes in overnight trips from 1997-1998 season Market shareb Resort A Days Change in days from 1997-1998 season Proportion Change in proportion from 1997-1998 season Resort B Days Change in days from 1997-1998 season Proportion Change in proportion from 1997-1998 season Resort C Days Change in days from 1997-1998 season Proportion Change in proportion from 1997-1998 season Buddy Pass Nonpass (n = 257) (n = 628) t-Values 14.1 6.3 10.3*** –2.1 –10.0 7.9*** 1.6 0.7 5.0*** –1.2 –1.3 11.1 1.8 13.9*** 4.8 74.7 –1.3 24.2 7.1*** 20.3*** 36.9 1.5 10.5*** 12.0 0.8 5.9*** 5.3 77.4 –0.8 11.7 3.0** 12.3*** 31.4 –1.9 4.0*** 5.8 0.9 6.0*** –2.4 68.4 –1.0 12.4 0.7 10.2*** 29.0 –3.0 3.9*** 0.2 a. The analyses of 1998-1999 skier days comparing pass holders and nonholders were weighted by 1997-1998 skier days to correct for differences in skier involvement between the two groups. b. The analysis of market share is based on actual (unweighted skier days). Resort names have been deleted for confidentiality purposes. **α ≤ .001. ***α ≤ .0001. person, but the difference is not statistically significant. Cross-product elasticity for the pass holders is estimated as the mean per person expenditure of $54.05. For every additional day of skiing at the respective resorts, the buddy pass programs resulted in $54.05 in incremental spending. Based on previous research on resort spending behavior, it is estimated that 35% to 40% of this spending ($19 to $22) occurred at the study resorts. Due to the associated recall error (Babbie 1992), it was unreasonable to ask respondents to report expenditures by category for a specific trip the previous year. Consequently, respondents were asked, “Compared to a similar trip last year, did you spend more, less, or about the same this year?” Generally, the respondents were equally spread across the “more this year,” “more last year,” and “about the same” Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 20 AUGUST 2002 TABLE 5 EXPENDITURES PER PERSON Expenditure Measure Buddy Pass Nonpass (n = 257) (n = 628) t-Values Last trip (per person, in U.S. dollars) Tickets 9.08 Lodging 16.29 Meals 21.22 Parking 0.72 Retail 4.97 Lessons 0.19 Rental equipment 1.49 Other 0.09 Total 54.05 Expenditures compared to similar trip last year (%) Spent more this year 35.1 Spent more last year 37.7 Spent same as last year 27.2 Total 100.0 19.90 19.64 18.31 0.81 4.43 1.64 1.99 3.36 70.08 3.9*** 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 2.4* 0.9 0.9 1.2 χ2 = 2.1 34.9 32.1 33.0 100.0 *α ≤ .05. ***α ≤ .0001. categories (see Table 5). There were no significant differences between buddy pass holders and nonholders. Similarly, it is not possible to determine if buddy pass ownership resulted in reallocation of the total expenditure amount across the different categories. It is not possible to determine if the buddy pass resulted in more expenditures in other categories, such as meals and retail, which are somewhat higher for the pass holders. DESTINATION SKIER SATISFACTION STUDY Method Most ski resorts monitor customer satisfaction throughout the ski season, using on-mountain surveys. To determine the influence of the buddy pass on destination skiers, we conducted a secondary analysis of the data for the 1997-1998 and 1998-1999 seasons from four resorts, two of which offered and two which did not offer buddy passes. The questionnaire and data collection methods were essentially similar over the four mountains. At randomly assigned times and lifts, skiers were approached as they entered the lift lines and asked to participate in the survey. Those who agreed to participate completed the survey during the lift ride. The number of surveys completed per week was proportionate to the level of business. Similarly, the number of surveys completed on each lift was proportionate to the lift’s relative level of use. Surveys were completed in the afternoons to allow consumers an opportunity to experience the mountain prior to completing the survey. This analysis was limited to nonresidents of Colorado. Still, the analysis included 6,342 cases, with a minimum of 1,177 cases in each of the season-by-mountain type cells. Factor and Cronbach reliability analyses were used to develop summary measures of crowding and overall customer satisfaction. Specifically, principal axis factor analysis with varimax rotation was used to determine the unidimensionality of the proposed scales. Cronbach reliability analysis was then used to assess the final set of scale items. Crowding was measured by asking respondents their satisfaction (1 = dissatisfied to 5 = satisfied) with three items: base area line wait, upper mountain line wait, and crowding on the slopes. As expected, these items loaded heavily on one factor (eigenvalue = 2.21, KMO = .752, Bartlett χ2 = 3,808). All factor loadings exceeded .60. The Cronbach reliability analysis resulted in a standardized alpha = .696. Given the relatively small number of scale items and the disparity in the wording of the individual items, this alpha coefficient was deemed acceptable (DeVellis 1991; Spector 1992). Importantly, since this is a measure of crowding satisfaction, higher scores mean crowding is decreasing. The overall satisfaction measure is a summary measure of four items: satisfaction (1 = dissatisfied to 5 = satisfied) with the overall mountain experience and agreement (1 = disagree to 5 = agree) with “I will encourage friends to go to this resort,” “I will say positive things to friends about this resort,” and “I will consider this resort as my first choice for future Colorado trips.” Again, the items loaded heavily on one dimension (eigenvalue = 3.01), with factor loadings exceeding .50 (KMO = .752, Bartlett’s χ2 = 25,914). The Cronbach alpha was equal to .759. Results As shown in Table 6, satisfaction with the level of crowding on the buddy pass mountains declined significantly between the 1997-1998 and 1998-1999 seasons. Conversely, the crowding measure for the nonpass mountains was essentially constant. Furthermore, the ANOVA results reflect a strong interaction effect of mountain type by season on crowding. However, these crowding results did not carry over to overall satisfaction. Both the buddy pass and nonpass mountains experienced declines in overall skier satisfaction. As noted earlier, the 1998-1999 season was characterized by relatively poor snow conditions, especially during the Christmas/New Years period, which is particularly important to destination skiers. Still, the Pearson correlation between the crowding and overall satisfaction measures was .365, implying that increases in crowding would result in some loss in overall satisfaction. CONCLUSIONS Prior to discussing the conclusions of this study, it is important to point out a key limitation. As noted at various points in the article, much of what happens at a ski resort in a given year is a function of snow conditions. Both levels of skier days and skier satisfaction are largely a function of this very uncontrollable factor. Hence, the effects of the buddy pass programs on skier behavior and satisfaction are confounded by changes in snow conditions from season to season and from resort to resort. Research involving a larger number of resort settings with corresponding variance in snow conditions would be necessary to control for this limitation. Still, the following four conclusions seem warranted. First, the evolution of the buddy pass programs provides important insights into resort pricing practices. Previous Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 JOURNAL OF TRAVEL RESEARCH TABLE 6 DESTINATION SKIER SATISFACTION Season Satisfaction Measure 1997-1998 1998-1999 t-Values Satisfaction with level of crowdinga Buddy pass mountains 12.8 Nonpass mountains 13.3 Factorial ANOVA results Differences between mountain type 182.3*** Differences between seasons 21.0*** Interaction of mountain type and seasons 21.0*** Overall satisfaction Buddy pass mountains 17.7 Nonpass mountains 18.2 Factorial ANOVA results Differences between mountain type 57.6*** Differences between seasons 22.3*** Interaction of mountain type and seasons 2.2 12.3 13.3 5.8*** 0.3 17.4 17.8 2.2* 4.7*** a. Higher scores equate to lower levels of crowding. ***α ≤ .0001. research (Meidan 1989; Braun, Soskin, and Cernicky 1992) had documented the importance of competitive pricing practices in tourism. The evolution of the buddy passes illustrates the speed and complexity that often accompanies resort pricing, particularly for promotions and special programs. Resort managers literally have to make critical pricing decisions within an hour or two of becoming aware of competitor actions. There is very little time for research and analysis. Furthermore, responding to competitor actions can cause dramatic shifts in marketing strategy and objectives. The Keystone family pass was initially intended to be a relatively small program targeted to Colorado families. As it evolved and changed, the program became dramatically larger and shifted to targeting young, single, male, frequent skiers. If Vail Resorts/Keystone evaluates the program relative to the initial target market and positioning, it was clearly a failure. However, if evaluated relative to the new target market, the program clearly reached this market and significantly influenced their skiing behavior. Second, the buddy pass programs clearly influenced skier behavior. Due to the relatively poor snow year, overall frequency of skiing declined, despite the buddy pass programs. The decline in skier days was significantly less for the buddy pass holders, but they were the more involved skiers anyway. However, as expected, the buddy passes clearly influenced resort loyalty. Pass holders became much more loyal to the respective resorts, averaging a 32% increase in the proportion of days skied at the respective resorts. Third, cross-product elasticity was relatively high for the buddy pass holders. The buddy pass holders averaged 21 spending $54.05 per ski day per person, with approximately $21 being spent at the respective resorts. Thus, to the extent that the buddy pass programs increased skier loyalty (days spent at the respective resorts), spending in other categories increased overall resort revenue. For resort company A (see Table 4), each buddy pass sold resulted in 4.8 additional skier days. At $21.00 per day, that equates to $100,800 in incremental revenue for every 1,000 buddy passes sold. This more than offsets the decline in lift ticket revenue associated with the buddy pass program. Lacking longitudinal spending data, it is not possible to determine if the buddy pass programs resulted in a reallocation of spending across other expenditure categories. However, the buddy pass holders did not spend significantly less than the nonholders. One conjecture would be that pass holders reallocated the money historically spent on tickets into other spending categories. If so, the buddy pass may have actually increased cross-product elasticity. Fourth, destination skier satisfaction with the level of crowding decreased significantly at the buddy pass resorts. To the extent that crowding dissatisfaction carries over to declines in destination skier repeat visitation and word-ofmouth recommendations, the buddy pass program may significantly influence the resort’s mix of customers and longterm profitability. However, it will take several years for this impact to manifest itself. While there were no differences in overall destination skier satisfaction between the buddy pass and nonpass mountains, a substantial body of research indicates that overall satisfaction in outdoor recreation settings declines with increasing levels of crowding (Tarrant and English 1996; Manning et al. 1999). In this study, satisfaction declined between the 1997-1998 and 1998-1999 seasons for both buddy pass and nonpass resorts, reinforcing the importance of snow conditions as the dominant factor influencing both ski frequency and satisfaction. The influence of the buddy pass programs on skier satisfaction is also confounded. Recruiting and retaining a viable workforce in rural resort communities is frequently cited as a major challenge for Colorado ski resorts (Wyrick 1995; Gonzalez 1998; Blevins 2000). Many resorts, including all of the buddy pass resorts, have traditionally used numerous parttime employees to help meet this shortage. One of the primary benefits of these part-time jobs was a free ski pass. When season pass prices fell from $800 to $200, many of these part-time employees were no longer interested in the resort positions. Consequently, again based on interviews with resort marketing research managers, resort service quality suffered due to an unintended, significant increase in resort employee shortages as a result of the buddy pass programs. In conclusion, yield management provided a robust conceptual framework for determining the impacts of the buddy pass program. Clearly, the issues of cross-product elasticity and market alienation are important to this evaluation. Furthermore, the results show the importance of moving beyond yield management as an isolated pricing process. Rather, yield management should be viewed as a strategic process, including not only pricing but also product and promotional strategies (Kimes and Chase 1998). Product strategies include the development of new products aimed at developing off-peak business, such as the current emphasis on conference centers and golf courses at Colorado ski resorts. In addition, anticipating the implications of new programs on Downloaded from jtr.sagepub.com at Bibliothek d. Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien on December 9, 2010 22 AUGUST 2002 existing service quality and both customer and employee satisfaction is critical. Promotional strategies include both the timing and utilization of different tactics and media but also, increasingly, the use of the Internet and e-mail for last-minute discounting promotions. 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