CGA-CANADA ACCOUNTING THEORY & CONTEMPORARY ISSUES [AT1] EXAMINATION March 2011 Time: 3 Hours Marks Note: All references to the Handbook refer to the CICA Handbook. 30 Question 1 Select the best answer for each of the following unrelated items. Answer each of these items in your examination booklet by giving the number of your choice. For example, if the best answer for item (a) is (1), write (a)(1) in your examination booklet. If more than one answer is given for an item, that item will not be marked. Incorrect answers will be marked as zero. Marks will not be awarded for explanations. Note: 2 marks each a. Which of the following statements describes the effects of accounting for financial assets at fair value through profit and loss under IAS 39? 1) 2) 3) 4) Tends to increase the volatility of other comprehensive income Tends to decrease the volatility of other comprehensive income Tends to increase the volatility of net income Tends to decrease the volatility of net income b. Which of the following statements describes post-announcement drift? 1) Prices of good news firms tend to drift upwards and prices of bad news firms drift downwards for 60 days beyond the earnings announcement date. 2) Future earnings are more highly correlated with current cash flows than current accruals. 3) Noise traders are more active after good news announcements than after bad news announcements. 4) Stock prices of firms announcing good earnings news increase and those of firms announcing bad earnings news fall, surrounding the earnings announcement date. c. Which of the following statements describes the features of a first-best contract between a risk-averse manager and a risk-neutral owner of an enterprise under direct monitoring? 1) 2) 3) 4) The owner does not bear any risk and the manager bears all the risk. The manager is never able to meet his or her reservation utility. The owner bears all the risk and the manager does not bear any risk. The manager is easily able to shirk. d. Which of the following statements explains why firms with high levels of research and development (R&D-intensive firms) exhibit a low level of association between net income and stock prices? 1) Net incomes of R&D-intensive firms are low, while stock prices react positively to the firms’ R&D activities. 2) R&D-intensive firms are low-risk firms. 3) R&D-intensive firms are high-growth firms. 4) R&D-intensive firms exhibit low recognition lags. Continued... EAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 1 of 7 e. Which of the following statements explains why accounting policy changes required by accounting standards matter to management? 1) 2) 3) 4) f. New accounting policy rules affect net income. New accounting rules lead to lower reliability of accounting numbers. Managers do not believe markets are efficient. New accounting rules interfere with existing contracts. Hanna (1999) asserted that managers’ bonuses are often based on core earnings. Which of the following statements reflects one implication of this assertion? 1) Managers have a tendency to reduce core earnings. 2) Managers have a tendency to delay recognizing revenue. 3) Managers have a tendency to incur excessive amounts of non-recurring charges in the current period. 4) Managers have a tendency to increase operating earnings. g. Which of the following statements describes what is meant by Positive Accounting Theory (PAT)? 1) PAT attempts to predict and explain the reasons why firms make income-increasing accounting policy choices. 2) PAT attempts to predict and explain the reasons why firms make income-decreasing accounting policy choices. 3) PAT attempts to predict and explain the reasons why firms make income-increasing as well as income-decreasing accounting policy choices. 4) PAT attempts to predict and explain the effects of accounting policy choices on debt covenants and managerial bonus plans. h. Which of the following statements about Ball and Brown’s (1968) research is correct? 1) On average, the share prices of firms that reported higher earnings than the previous year did not change over a 12-month period preceding the month of the earnings announcement. 2) On average, the share prices of firms that reported higher earnings than the previous year did not change over a 12-month period following the month of the earnings announcement. 3) On average, the share prices of firms that reported higher earnings than the previous year increased over a 12-month period preceding the month of the earnings announcement. 4) On average, the share prices of firms that reported higher earnings than the previous year increased over a 12-month period following the month of the earnings announcement. i. Which of the following is a reason for differential market response to reported earnings? 1) 2) 3) 4) j. Beta Causation Earnings sensitivity Prospect theory Which of the following implications of the adoption of fair value accounting is consistent with the stewardship role of net income? 1) 2) 3) 4) Fair values enhance relevance of net income. Fair values enhance sensitivity of net income. Fair values reduce reliability of net income. Gains and losses realized by using fair value accounting for available-for-trade securities are recorded in other comprehensive income. Continued... EAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 2 of 7 k. From an accounting perspective, there are two important assumptions in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Which of the following is an important assumption of the CAPM? 1) 2) 3) 4) l. Transaction costs do not depend on share prices. There is no inside information. Financial statements are perfectly reliable. Current share price is readily available and is completely accurate. Under which of the following circumstances is the proportion of accounting-based performance measures larger than the proportion of market-based performance measures in a company’s managerial compensation plan? 1) When a short-term decision horizon is in the firm’s best interests 2) When a long-term decision horizon is in the firm’s best interests 3) When accounting-based performance measures are more sensitive than market-based performance measures 4) When accounting-based performance measures are less precise than market-based performance measures m. Which of the following statements is consistent with the information approach to decision usefulness? 1) It measures usefulness by the extent of volume or price changes following the release of the information. 2) It measures usefulness by the extent of changes in annual earnings to information content. 3) It measures usefulness by the extent of year-to-year changes in quarterly earnings to information content. 4) It measures usefulness by the extent of changes in accounting policies to information content. n. An efficient securities market is best described by which of the following statements? 1) 2) 3) 4) The only significant risk factor is a firm’s beta. All investors are rational. All publicly available information is impounded in prices quickly. Transaction costs equal zero. o. Hobbes contemplated the consequences of living in a world without any morality. In this context, what actions will banks take if they suspect that all borrowers manipulate their financial statements? 1) 2) 3) 4) EAT1M11 Banks will refuse to lend. Banks will reduce the interest rates charged on loans. Banks will require borrowers to provide financial information using only fair value accounting. Banks will hire fewer people for processing loan applications. ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 3 of 7 14 Question 2 This question is based on the article entitled “Earnings Management,” which appeared in the December 31, 2002 issue of CFO.com magazine. The article discusses the methods and reasons why company managers undertake earnings management. Required 4 a. The article quoted Arthur Levitt, chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), as saying “I recently read of one major US Company that failed to meet its so called ‘numbers’ by one penny and lost 5 percent of the value of its stock on one day.” The phrase “so called numbers” in Levitt’s statement refers to the firm’s expected earnings per share for the period. Calculate the firm’s earnings response coefficient using the information provided by Levitt. Assume the following: 5 The market index did not change that day The firm has a beta of one The firm has an alpha of zero (in the market model) b. The article states that earnings management practices are widespread and are aimed toward “meeting earnings estimate [which] became something of a religion for corporate executives. It’s easy to understand why, too: Many senior managers had their pay tied to share price performance.” The phrase “meeting earnings estimates” refers to a situation where reported (or actual) earnings are greater than expected earnings. Discuss why managers whose pay is tied to a firm’s share price performance would want to report earnings that are greater than expected earnings. 5 10 c. The article reports that many firms are now improving their financial disclosure practices. It states that many managers appear more interested in making sure that investors can trust their reported numbers. Explain the effect of better disclosure quality on the cost of capital. Provide one explanation. Question 3 The following questions are independent. 5 a. Reliable financial statement information has several dimensions. Identify three dimensions of reliable financial statement information and explain each of the three dimensions. 5 b. Ideal Inc. operates under ideal conditions of certainty. It has a capital asset that will generate $1,000 twice: first, at the end of the first year, and second, at the end of the second year of its operation. The discount rate is 10%. (3) i) (2) ii) Calculate the net income of the firm for its second year of operation if the firm pays a $50 dividend at the end of the first year. Show calculations. EAT1M11 Calculate and explain why the present value of future cash flows to the firm at the beginning of the first year equals its market value under ideal conditions. ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 4 of 7 14 Question 4 This question is based on the article entitled “To FASB or not to FASB” which appeared in The Economist on June 10, 2010. The article discusses the differences in proposals published by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) regarding the accounting treatment of financial instruments. The major difference between the two proposals concerns the accounting treatment of loans made by banks. The IASB proposes that these loans, when held to maturity, are recognized at historical cost, but the fair value of the loans would be disclosed in the footnotes to the financial statements. The FASB wants changes in fair values of loans held to maturity to be reflected in income. Assume that the FASB proposal is adopted as U.S. GAAP. Required 4 a. The article states that “The crafting of accounting rules is more art than science, thanks to the need to balance the interests of companies, their investors and — especially in banking — their regulators.” Identify and discuss which theory of regulation this statement is consistent with. 5 b. The article provides information about the total carrying value (at cost) and the corresponding fair value of loans issued by a number of U.S. banks. For example, The Regions Financial Bank (RFB) shows carrying values of $83 billion and fair values of $70.2 billion, and the difference ($12.8 billion) is 160% of its shareholders’ equity. The corresponding figures for Citigroup Bank are $670 billion carrying value, $658 billion fair value, and the difference ($12 billion) is 10% of the bank’s shareholders’ equity. Discuss whether the application of the new FASB rule will have any effect on the ability of these banks to raise funds by issuing bonds. Indicate which of the two banks will find it easier to raise funds by issuing bonds. Assume that both banks have a minimum net worth covenant that requires them to maintain a certain minimum amount of shareholders’ equity as a condition of the loan. 5 c. Consider U.S. Bank A Inc., which records its loans at cost and discloses their fair values in the footnotes. Now that the FASB proposal has become U.S. GAAP, Bank A has to change the accounting treatment for its loans. Changes in fair values of loans to be held to maturity will now be reflected in Bank A’s net income. Assume that the CEO of the bank is paid a bonus as a percentage of net income. Discuss whether the CEO will need a greater or smaller percentage of the net income as a bonus to maintain her reservation utility, or if no change is expected as a result. EAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 5 of 7 12 Question 5 Two recent exposure drafts (EDs) issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) in May 2010 and November 2009, respectively, reflect the different approaches taken by these two standard-setting bodies on accounting for loan assets. The IASB ED suggests that gains and losses on loan assets are recognized in other comprehensive income or reported in the notes to the financial statements. The FASB ED is recommending recognizing changes in market values of loan assets in banks’ net income. Required 4 a. 4 b. Some commentators have stated that these FASB fair value proposals for loans to be held to maturity will not lead to transparency unless there is “one standard fair value” for each loan. Explain what “standard fair value” means in this context. Indicate whether you agree with these commentators. Briefly discuss the effect of “transparency” on reliability of accounting numbers. 4 c. 10 Compare and discuss the volatility of net income of a financial institution (for example, a bank) calculated under the FASB standards versus the IASB standards. Consider two banks, Bank B and Bank C, which are otherwise comparable, but Bank B (located in the United States) follows FASB standards for recognizing changes in the market value of loan assets in net income, and Bank C (located in Europe) follows the IASB standard of recognizing loan assets at historical cost, thus ignoring changes in fair values of loan assets. Compare the sizes of predicted lending portfolios for Banks B and C and discuss how the accounting standards would influence lending practices. Question 6 On February 15, 2011, ProCorp Inc. announced that its earnings per share for the next quarter is expected to increase to 45 cents per share. ProCorp also released its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2010 on the same date. The earnings per share in the prior quarter (ended December 31, 2010) were 17 cents per share, exactly what analysts had forecasted for that quarter. ProCorp supported its forecast about the next quarter by pointing out the success of its new product launch and favourable product acceptance rates in new markets. At the end of trading on February 14, 2011, ProCorp’s shares had increased 30% for the year to date. On February 15, 2011, ProCorp’s shares opened the day on the stock exchange at $36 and closed at $41. The stock exchange index increased 37 points on the day to close at 9,715. ProCorp’s beta is 1.9 and the Bank of Canada rate on February 15, 2011 was 4.5%, or about 0.0001 per day. Required 4 a. 2 b. Assuming the securities market is efficient, explain why ProCorp’s share price increased on February 15, 2011. 4 c. EAT1M11 Calculate the abnormal return of ProCorp’s shares for February 15, 2011. (Use the market model for abnormal returns and use CAPM for calculating .) Identify and explain two assumptions about individual investors that underlie the CAPM. ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 6 of 7 10 Question 7 Nathaniel is planning to invest $100,000 for one year. There are two companies that interest Nathaniel but he can only invest in one of them. Nathaniel is a rational, risk-averse investor with utility equal to the square root of the net return on his investment. His choices are: 1. Action a1: Nathaniel invests $100,000 in Bikes Inc. shares. 2. Action a2: Nathaniel invests $100,000 in Cars Inc. shares. Nathaniel’s payoff from these investments depends on the future price of gasoline. If the price of gasoline is high, Nathaniel will earn a net return of $1,500 on Bikes shares and only $400 on Cars shares. Alternatively, if the price of gasoline is low, Nathaniel will earn $1,000 on Cars shares and only $500 on Bikes shares. Nathaniel’s prior probability on the price of gasoline being high is 30%. Required 3 a. Determine which action Nathaniel should take based on his prior probabilities. Show calculations. 2 b. After undertaking extensive research, Nathaniel determines that gasoline refiners are expecting good news. That is, gasoline refiners expect the price of gasoline to be high. Nathaniel has determined that if future gasoline prices are going to be high, there is an 80% probability that gasoline refiners will expect good news. Alternatively, if future gasoline prices are going to be low there is a 30% probability that gasoline refiners will expect good news. Provide the information system, using a 2 × 2 matrix, that depicts this new information. 5 c. Since gasoline refiners are expecting good news, determine whether Nathaniel should invest in Bikes or Cars. Show your calculations. END OF EXAMINATION 100 EAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 7 of 7 ACCOUNTING THEORY & CONTEMPORARY ISSUES [AT1] EXAMINATION AT1 Before starting to write the examination, make sure that it is complete and that there are no printing defects. This examination consists of 7 pages. There are 7 questions for a total of 100 marks. READ THE QUESTIONS CAREFULLY AND ANSWER WHAT IS ASKED. To assist you in answering the examination questions, CGA-Canada includes the following glossary of terms. Glossary of Assessment Terms Adapted from David Palmer, Study Guide: Developing Effective Study Methods (Vancouver: CGA-Canada, 1996). Copyright David Palmer. Calculate Compare Contrast Criticize Define Describe Design Determine Diagram Discuss Evaluate Mathematically determine the amount or number, showing formulas used and steps taken. (Also Compute). Examine qualities or characteristics that resemble each other. Emphasize similarities, although differences may be mentioned. Compare by observing differences. Stress the dissimilarities of qualities or characteristics. (Also Distinguish between) Express your own judgment concerning the topic or viewpoint in question. Discuss both pros and cons. Clearly state the meaning of the word or term. Relate the meaning specifically to the way it is used in the subject area under discussion. Perhaps also show how the item defined differs from items in other classes. Provide detail on the relevant characteristics, qualities, or events. Create an outcome (e.g., a plan or program) that incorporates the relevant issues and information. Calculate or formulate a response that considers the relevant qualitative and quantitative factors. Give a drawing, chart, plan or graphic answer. Usually you should label a diagram. In some cases, add a brief explanation or description. (Also Draw) This calls for the most complete and detailed answer. Examine and analyze carefully and present both pros and cons. To discuss briefly requires you to state in a few sentences the critical factors. This requires making an informed judgment. Your judgment must be shown to be based on knowledge and information about the subject. (Just stating your own ideas is not sufficient.) Cite authorities. Cite advantages and limitations. Explain In explanatory answers you must clarify the cause(s), or reasons(s). State the “how” and “why” of the subject. Give reasons for differences of opinions or of results. To explain briefly requires you to state the reasons simply, in a few words. Identify Distinguish and specify the important issues, factors, or items, usually based on an evaluation or analysis of a scenario. Illustrate Make clear by giving an example, e.g., a figure, diagram or concrete example. Interpret Translate, give examples of, solve, or comment on a subject, usually making a judgment on it. Justify Prove or give reasons for decisions or conclusions. List Present an itemized series or tabulation. Be concise. Point form is often acceptable. Outline This is an organized description. Give a general overview, stating main and supporting ideas. Use headings and sub-headings, usually in point form. Omit minor details. Prove Establish that something is true by citing evidence or giving clear logical reasons. Recommend Propose an appropriate solution or course of action based on an evaluation or analysis of a scenario. Relate Show how things are connected with each other or how one causes another, correlates with another, or is like another. Review Examine a subject critically, analyzing and commenting on the important statements to be made about it. State Clearly provide a position based on an evaluation, e.g., Agree/Disagree, Correct/Incorrect, Yes/No. (Also Indicate) Summarize Give the main points or facts in condensed form, like the summary of a chapter, omitting details and illustrations. Trace In narrative form, describe progress, development, or historical events from some point of origin. CGA-CANADA ACCOUNTING THEORY & CONTEMPORARY ISSUES [AT1] EXAMINATION March 2011 SUGGESTED SOLUTIONS Marks 30 Time: 3 Hours Question 1 Note: 2 marks each Sources/Explanations: a. 3) Topic 5.5 (Level 1) As the definition suggests, these are financial assets that affect net income and thus do not affect other comprehensive income. Thus, options 1) and 2) are incorrect. If financial assets are at fair value through profit and loss, this will increase and not decrease net income volatility. Thus, option 4) is incorrect. b. 1) Topic 5.2 (Level 1) Option 2) is not post-announcement drift and the factual content of this statement is still under debate. Option 3) is not post-announcement drift either. Option 4) is not post-announcement drift; it is simply a manifestation of market efficiency. c. 3) Topic 7.3 (Level 1) The owner bears all the risk and the manager none in a first best contract under direct monitoring. This happens because under direct monitoring, the owner can observe the manager’s actions and thus there is no moral hazard. The manager can be paid a salary and has no risk. The owner bears all the risk. Thus, option 1) is incorrect. If the manager’s salary is adequate, then he can meet his reservation utility. Thus, option 2) is incorrect. The manager cannot shirk because he is subject to direct monitoring. Thus, option 4) is incorrect. d. 1) Topic 5.2 (Level 1) Expensing of R&D expenditure reduces net income, but if the stock market reacts positively to the future cash flow potential of R&D activities then the association between net income and prices will be low. Options 2) and 3) are incorrect because low-risk and high-growth firms tend to have a high, not low, association between net income and prices. Option 4) is incorrect because the recognition lag is high, not low, for R&D intensive firms. e. 4) Topic 6.5 (Level 1) New accounting rules lead to changes in accounting numbers and thus might affect existing contracts such as compensation or debt contracts. Managers are motivated to avoid the adverse effects of these new rules, if any, on existing contracts. Thus, new accounting rules matter to managers. Option 1) is an inferior answer to option 4) because managers will react to changes to net income for a reason, and option 4) indicates one set of possible reasons for managers to react to new accounting rules. Option 2) is incorrect because loss of reliability in net income, if any, arising from new rules may reduce the quality of earnings, but there must be a reason why changes in quality of earnings matter to managers and option 2) does not indicate that. Option 4) is still a better answer. If managers do not believe that markets are efficient then it should not matter to them for investment reasons. Option 4) provides the contractual reason. Thus, option 3) is incorrect. Continued... SAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 1 of 7 f. 3) Topic 8.10 (Level 1) By incurring excessive amounts of non-recurring charges in the current period, managers will artificially inflate future core earnings and hence future bonuses. Options 1) and 2) are incorrect because they both decrease bonuses. Option 4) is incorrect because increasing operating earnings might not necessarily increase core earnings. g. 3) Topic 6.4 (Level 1) PAT attempts to explain and predict accounting policies using one of the three hypotheses, namely, the bonus plan, debt covenant, and political cost hypotheses. The accounting policies could be income increasing or income decreasing. Thus, options 1) and 2) are incorrect. Option 4) is incorrect because the argument is reversed here. PAT attempts to explain the effects of debt covenants and bonus plan on accounting policies and not the other way around. h. 3) Topic 4.2 (Level 1) Ball and Brown showed that firms reporting higher earnings than in the previous year enjoyed increases in share price over a period of 12 months preceding the earnings announcement. The other answers are incorrect. i. 1) Topic 4.3 (Level 1) The higher the beta the lower the market response to reported earnings or earnings response coefficient (ERC). Causation refers to a setting where a change in one variable or event causes the change in another variable or event. This is not a reason for differential market response. Earnings sensitivity is the effect of managerial effort on earnings. This might be distantly related to ERC, but option 1) is the better answer. Prospect theory is an alternative to rational decision theory in which investors view gains and losses differently. This is not related to ERC. Thus, option 4) is incorrect. j. 2) Topic 8.3 (Level 1) Sensitivity is the extent to which managerial effort is realized in net income as the performance measure, which is an important managerial stewardship role. Options 1) and 3) relate to the investment decision role of accounting numbers and are thus incorrect. Option 4) has nothing to do with the managerial stewardship role of fair value accounting and is incorrect. k. 2) Topic 3.4 (Level 1) It is assumed that beta is known and that there is no inside information. Inside information imposes risk in addition to beta. Option 1) is incorrect because CAPM assumes zero transaction costs and not constant (or non-zero) transaction costs. Only with zero transaction costs can rational investors fully diversify, so that beta is the only relevant risk measure. Option 3) is incorrect because CAPM does not rely on any information that is exclusively available in financial statements. Option 4) is incorrect because CAPM does not require a current share price to be available. l. 1) Topic 8.3 (Level 1) Research has shown that it is possible to control a manager’s decision horizon by adjusting the proportion of accounting-based (such as bonus plans) versus market-based performance measures (such as ESOs) in a managerial compensation plan. By focusing on short-term accounting performance targets, it is possible to motivate managers to strive to achieve the short-term goals of the firm. Thus, option 2) is incorrect. Options 3) and 4) are backwards. Accounting-based performance measures are less sensitive and more precise than market-based performance measures. Continued... SAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 2 of 7 m. 1) Topic 4.1 (Level 1) Investors gather information to predict future returns on their investment decisions. If accounting information is useful, investors would make buy-hold-sell decisions based on that information, and this would result in security price changes. Options 2), 3), and 4) are changes in accounting numbers and do have information, but that is not the information perspective because earnings lag share prices. Option 1) is the best answer because it refers to volume and price changes. n. 3) Topic 3.1 (Level 1) An efficient stock market in the semi-strong form is a market where all public information is incorporated in prices quickly. Option 1) is incorrect because there is evidence that risk factors such as firm size and book-to-market ratio also affect share return. Option 2) is incorrect because there are noise or equity traders in the market whose portfolio choice decisions are not totally based on rational decision theory, such as maximization of expected utility. Option 4) is incorrect because transaction costs do not preclude a market from being efficient. o. 1) Topic 2.8 (Level 2) Under conditions of no morality, banks will probably stop lending. Option 2) is incorrect because banks will more likely raise interest rates if manipulation is suspected. Option 3) is incorrect because fair value accounting provides even greater opportunities for manipulation. If the banks stop lending, as option 1) suggests, they will need fewer employees. Thus, option 4) is dominated by option 1). On the other hand, if banks continue to lend, they will need more loan officers (and not less) to exercise greater scrutiny of suspected manipulated financial statements. Thus, option 4) is incorrect. 14 Question 2 Source: Topics 4.3, 8.9, and 9.2 (Levels 1 and 2) 4 a. Earnings response coefficient = Abnormal returns / Unexpected earnings Abnormal returns = Actual returns – ( + × Market returns) Actual returns = –0.05, = 0, = 1 Abnormal returns = –0.05 Unexpected earning = –0.01 ERC = –0.05 / –0.01 = 5 per dollar of unexpected earnings 5 b. If reported earnings are greater than forecasted or predicted or expected earnings, share prices will rise. If, on the other hand, reported earnings are less than expected earnings, share prices will fall. Changes in share prices will change the value of the executive stock options held by managers. The higher the price, the greater the profit the manager earns from exercising the option. Thus, managers are keen to ensure that reported earnings exceed forecasted earnings. 5 c. There are a number of reasons why better disclosure helps firms achieve higher stock prices: Better disclosure leads to lower information asymmetry and this facilitates trading by institutional investors because of higher liquidity as a result of lower information asymmetry. This increases demand for the shares and raises share prices and conversely lowers the cost of capital. Better disclosure also reduces investor concerns about potential insider trading and will increase the demand for the shares. This will increase share prices and thus lower the cost of capital. (This answer is a variant of the previous answer.) Better disclosure also might increase the number of informed investors in the market. This will increase the degree of diversification of the share and reduce its cost of capital, leading to increased prices. Note: Only one of the three answers is required for full marks. SAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 3 of 7 10 Question 3 Source: Topics 1.4 and 1.5 (Level 1) a. 5 Representational faithfulness. A correspondence between the accounting valuation or description of an item and the real item the information represents. Freedom from bias. No influence or prejudice has resulted in altered values. For example, an accounting valuation is biased if management manipulates the valuation for its own purposes. Verifiability. Different accountants and auditors should be able to independently arrive at the same value if the information is verifiable. 5 (3) b. i) (2) The present value of the firm at the beginning of the first year at t = 0 is = 1,000 / 1.1 + 1,000 / 1.21 = $1,735.54. The owner of the firm will not sell the firm for less than $1,735.54 because he will earn less than 10% if he sells for less. The buyer will not pay more than $1,735.54 because she could have earned more by keeping the funds with herself. If she buys the firm for $2,000, for example, she will get only 10% of $1,735.54 or $173.55, and she could have received 10% of $2,000 or $200 if she kept the cash and did not use it to buy the asset. Thus, the demand and supply will equate only at $1,735.54, which is the market value of the firm. ii) PV (at t = 1) = 1,000 / 1.10 = $909.90 = Amortization for year 2 NI for second year = ($1,000 – $909.09 + [10% interest on ($1,000 – $50)] = $90.91 + $95.00 = $185.91 14 Question 4 Source: Topics 6.4, 7.3, 7.4, and 10.1 (Level 1) 4 a. This statement is consistent with the interest group theory of regulation, which states that regulation is the product of compromise between the needs of a number of pressure groups or constituencies in the industry and the economy. One of the important features of this theory is that the regulator constitutes an interest group, which is what is indicated in this statement. Note: A superior answer will identify all 3 groups (FASB, IASB, regulators) as interest groups. 5 b. The Regions Financial Bank will find it harder to raise bonds as compared to Citigroup Bank. Its net worth covenant would have been violated as a result of the new rule and it would have to renegotiate the conditions (covenants) of the loan. It will be hard for this bank to borrow more money by issuing bonds. The situation is not so dire for the other bank. 5 c. SAT1M11 The net income of the U.S. bank, Bank A, will become more volatile as a result of the application of the rule. If the CEO’s pay is linked to net income, her compensation risk will increase. She will require a greater proportion of the bank’s net income to maintain her reservation utility. ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 4 of 7 12 Question 5 Source: Topics 4.5, 5.5, and 6.4 (Levels 1 and 2) 4 a. As the market value of the loan changes over time, the unrealized gains and losses will be recognized in net income under FASB rules. This will introduce volatility in net income. However, under IASB standards, these changes in the value of the loan will not be recognized in net income. Thus, net income is less volatile under IASB. 4 b. In this case, “one standard value” means that the market value of the loan can be determined without any ambiguity. Sometimes, market values are not known unambiguously. For example, present value calculations might have to be made and this leads to application of judgment by the manager, and the decision of the manager could be biased or erroneous. The market value number will depend on the assumptions made by management. This will lead to loss of reliability. Transparency is related to reliability. The more reliable the number, the more transparent it is for the given relevance. Note: Give full marks if the student explains that managers need to estimate market values. 4 c. Bank B (the U.S. bank) would likely make fewer loans than the European counterpart. For example, U.S. banks will not make loans that have a greater risk of default. As default risk increases, the value of the loan will fall and the bank will have to write the loan down, leading to fluctuations in its net income. Even if the value of the loan recovers later, this will increase volatility in its net income, which increases the probability of the bank violating its debt covenant and makes managerial bonuses more risky. U.S. banks will attempt to avoid these adverse consequences of net income volatility by issuing fewer loans. Thus, the size of the lending portfolio of Bank B will likely be smaller than Bank C. Note: To get full marks, students need to explain: i) the relative effects of the two rules on net income volatility and ii) the consequences of this increased volatility. SAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 5 of 7 10 Question 6 Source: Topics 3.1 and 3.4 (Level 1) 4 a. Using the market model: Rjt = αj + βjRMt + ϵt Rjt = 5 / (41 – 5) = 5 / 36 = 0.1389 αj = 0.0001 × (1 – 1.9) = 0.0001 × (–0.9) = –0.00009 RMt = 37 / (9,715 – 37) = 37 / 9,678 = 0.0038 The abnormal return is: ϵt = 0.1389 – [–0.00009 + (1.9 × 0.0038)] = 0.1389 – (–0.00009 + 0.00722) = 0.1318 or 13.18% 2 b. ProCorp forecast that profits and earnings per share would increase next quarter. This forecast was supported by information about the success of the new product and its high acceptance rates. The forecast of increased future profits constituted new information to the investors and the efficient market reacted by increasing prices. 4 c. The market model assumes: 1. Individual investors are rational. In making decisions, the chosen action is the one that yields the highest expected utility. 2. Individual investors are risk averse. Risk aversion is the reluctance of a person to accept an action with an uncertain payoff rather than another action with a more certain, but an equal or even possibly lower, expected payoff. SAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 6 of 7 10 Question 7 Source: Topic 2.2 (Level 1) 3 a. EU(a 1 ) 0.3 1,500 0.7 500 = 0.3 × 38.73 + 0.7 × 22.36 = 27.27 EU(a 2 ) 0.3 400 0.7 1,000 = 0.3 × 20 + 0.7 × 31.62 = 28.14 Therefore, Nathaniel should take action a2 and purchase Cars Inc. shares as its expected utility is higher. 2 b. Refiners’ Information Good News Bad News High 0.8 0.2 Low 0.3 0.7 State 5 c. Using Bayes’ theorem: P(H / GN ) 0.3 0.8 0.24 0.53 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.45 P(L / GN) = 1.00 – 0.53 = 0.47 Nathaniel’s expected utility of each action is now: EU(a 1 ) 0.53 1,500 0.47 500 = 0.53 × 38.73 + 0.47 × 22.36 = 31.03 EU(a 2 ) 0.53 400 0.47 1,000 = 0.53 × 20 + 0.47 × 31.62 = 25.46 Therefore, Nathaniel should now choose a1 and invest in Bikes Inc. because it has a higher expected utility. END OF SOLUTIONS 100 SAT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Page 7 of 7 CGA-CANADA ACCOUNTING THEORY & CONTEMPORARY ISSUES [AT1] EXAMINATION March 2011 EXAMINER’S COMMENTS General Comments Some students had difficulty with this AT1 examination, demonstrating a lack of understanding, or in some cases awareness, of important course concepts such as calculation of expected utility and theories of regulation. Many students had difficulty applying course material to real-world situations (Questions 2 and 6). Numerous students did not know formulae for CAPM and Bayes’ theorem. Knowledge of short formulas such as these helps in understanding and applying them. These formulas will not always be given as part of the question. Specific Comments Question 1 Multiple choice (Levels 1 and 2) Overall performance on this question was unsatisfactory, although there were a number of students received excellent marks. Question 2 Earnings management (Levels 1 and 2) Performance on this question was unsatisfactory. a. This question required knowledge of the CAPM (although the question simplified the formula considerably by stating α = 0, β = 1, with no change in the market index). Nevertheless, many students did not complete this part. b. This part was reasonably answered by most students. It was generally recognized that exceeding earnings expectations results in a rise in share price. Where marks were lost, it was usually because of a too-brief or incomplete discussion of why. A more complete answer would indicate that, when earnings exceed expectations, share price rises because rational investors increase their probabilities of high future firm performance, and go on to point out that a rise in share price increases the value of stock options held by the manager. Questions that ask students to “discuss” require a detailed answer. c. This part was also reasonably answered. However, many answers were vague. For example, some students simply said that more investor trust lowers cost of capital. This is correct, but an explanation of why was also required. A good explanation is that greater trust lowers investors’ concerns about inside information and adverse selection, and thus lowers estimation risk. The “lemons” model then indicates that share price will rise or, equivalently, that cost of capital falls. Question 3 Reliability; Ideal conditions; Present value of future cash flows (Level 1) Performance on this question was satisfactory. a. Most students knew the three components of reliability. However, explanations of representational faithfulness tended to be vague. The correct explanation is that to be representationally faithful the valuation or description of the accounting item should correspond with reality. Nevertheless, a variety of reasonable explanations were accepted. Continued... AT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 b. i) The numerical portion of this part was well answered. However, few students gave an adequate explanation of why present value and market value are equal under ideal conditions. A full explanation would outline the process of arbitrage under which, the moment market value does not equal present value, investors would earn arbitrage profits by buying or selling shares in the firm, until equality is restored. b. ii) Several students missed the $95 of interest earned in year 2 on opening cash. A few students attempted to calculate net income for year 1, whereas year 2 was asked for. A number of students incorrectly treated the $50 of dividends paid as a deduction in determining net income. This type of error should not be made at this level of the CGA program. Question 4 Accounting treatment of loans made by banks (Level 1) Performance on this question was satisfactory. a. This part was generally well answered, although some students seemed to be unaware of the two theories of regulation. b. This part was well answered by most students. c. Most students recognized the key point in this part, that fair valuing loans in net income increases earnings volatility. There is no effect on expected net income since fair value is just as likely to rise as to fall. It is also crucial to realize that greater net income volatility decreases the manager’s expected utility of bonus compensation, hence the need for a higher percentage of net income to maintain reservation utility. It is not correct to suggest, as several students did, that reservation utility falls. Reservation utility is treated as a constant in a one-period context such as this question. Reservation utility will only change as the manager’s reputation rises or falls over time. Changes over time in reservation utility are beyond the scope of AT1. In addition, some students suggested that part of the compensation should be allocated to a performance measure other than net income. Question 5 Loan assets (Levels 1 and 2) Performance on this question was satisfactory. a. This part was well answered by most students. b. This part was well answered by most students. However, some students simply stated that they agreed with the commentator, but did not provide a rationale. c. This part was generally well answered, although a number of students missed the point. The point is that greater volatility of loan values creates net income volatility. Banks dislike volatility since they like to report steady, and steadily increasing, earnings, both to create an impression of solidity in the minds of investors (recall empirical evidence that the stock market rewards firms that report steadily increasing earnings), and to reduce the likelihood of violating debt covenants. A few students did not state a conclusion as to which bank would have the smaller loan portfolio. Students must be sure to read the question carefully. In addition, a few students responded from the perspective of an investor in terms of both banks, instead of answering the question asked. Continued... AT1M11 ©CGA-Canada, 2011 Question 6 Abnormal returns; CAPM (Level 1) Performance on this question was unsatisfactory. a. There were numerous errors in answering this part, due mainly to lack of knowledge of the CAPM formula and/or using the annual interest rate rather than the daily rate. Part marks were awarded where appropriate. b. This part was well answered by most students. To their credit, most students realized that the market had already reacted to the increase the increased earnings for the quarter, since it equalled the analysts’ forecast. The share price rise was due to the new information in the management forecast. c. This part was well answered by most students. However, a number of students did not read the question properly, giving assumptions about the CAPM rather than about investors. Question 7 Single-person decision theory (Level 1) Performance on this question was unsatisfactory. a. This part was well answered by most students, although some students had difficulty calculating expected utility. In particular, some students put the probabilities inside the square root sign. b. Those students who understood the information system concept received full marks. Those who did not were awarded part marks if one diagonal was correct. Note that information system probabilities add to 1 going across the information system table. That is, for each possible state of nature, the probabilities add to 1. c. AT1M11 Again, those students who knew the Bayes’ theorem formula usually did well. Those who did not did poorly, although part marks were awarded where appropriate. ©CGA-Canada, 2011