DRAFT PROGRAM SESSION PROGRAMME 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) (Statistics for Strategic Development) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management and Technology C-II Block, M.A. Johar Town, Lahore, Pakistan Jointly organized by Islamic Countries Society of Statistical Sciences 44-A, Civic Centre, Sabzazar, Multan Road, Lahore, Pakistan. Tel: +92-42-37840065, Fax: +92-42-35752547 Email: secretary@isoss.net URL: www.isoss.net University of Management and Technology C-II Block, M.A. Johar Town, Lahore, Pakistan. Tel: +92-42-35212801-10, Fax: +92-42-35184789 Email: ocm.hd@umt.edu.pk URL: www.umt.edu.pk National College of Business Administration & Economics 40-E/1 Gulberg-III, Lahore (Pakistan) Tel: +92-42-5875853, 5753430/5752716-19 Email: drmunir@brain.net.pk URL: www.ncbae.edu.pk 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) INAUGURAL SESSION Monday, December 19, 2011 0900-1000 Hrs. Registration and Caucus of delegates 1000-1015 Hrs. Recitation from Holy Quran 1015-1030 Hrs. 1030-1045 Hrs. 1045-1100 Hrs. 1110-1115 Hrs 1115-1130 Hrs. Address by Professor Dr. Hassan Sohaib Murad, Rector, University of Management &Technology, Lahore Address by Professor Dr. Munir Ahmad Founding President/Patron ISOSS and Rector, NCBA&E Address by Professor Dr. Shahjahan Khan, President ISOSS University of Southern Queensland, Australia. Inaugural Address by Dr. Manzoor Hussain Soomro, Chairman, Pakistan Science Foundation, Islamabad. Vote of Thanks by Professor Dr. M. Hanif Mian, Senior Vice-President ISOSS Lahore University of Management Sciences. 1130-1200 Hrs. Tea / Refreshment 1200-1300 Hrs. Key-Note Speech on “Multi-Class Data Exploration Using Space Transformed Visualization Plots” by Prof. Dr. Ali S. Hadi, President-Elect ISOSS (2011-2013) Distinguished University Professor, Founding Director of the Actuarial Science Program at the American University in Cairo, Egypt 1300-1430 Hrs. Lunch and Prayer Break 2 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) SESSIONS PROGRAM Monday, December 19, 2011 0900-1300 Hrs. 1300-1430 Hrs. 1430-1600 Hrs. 1600-1630 Hrs. Inaugural Session Lunch and Prayer Break Room-1: Session-1 Statistics and Probability-1 Room-2: Session-7 Survey Sampling Room-3: Session-8 Experimental Design Refreshment Tuesday, December 20, 2011 0900-1100 Hrs. 1100-1130 Hrs. 1130-1300 Hrs. 1300-1430 Hrs. 1430-1600 Hrs. 1600-1630 Hrs. Room-1: Session-2 Room-2: Session-9 Room-3: Session-10 Refreshment Room-1: Session-3 Room-2: Session-11 Room-3: Session-12 Lunch and Zohar Prayer Room-1: Session-4 Room-2: Session-13 Room-3: Session-16 Refreshment Statistics and Probability-2 Statistical Education Population Studies Statistics and Probability-3 Official Statistics Business and Management-1 Statistics and Probability-4 Economics and Econometrics-1 Business and Management-2 Wednesday, December 21, 2011 0900-1100 Hrs. 1100-1130 Hrs. 1130-1300 Hrs. 1300-1430 Hrs. 1430-1600 Hrs. 1600-1630 Hrs. 1630-1830 Hrs. 1830-1930 Hrs. 2000-2100 Hrs. Room-1: Session-5 Statistics and Probability-5 Room-2: Session-14 Economics and Econometrics-2 Room-3: Session-17 Environmetrics Refreshment Room-1: Session-6 Statistics and Probability-6 Room-2: Session-15 Economics and Econometrics-3 Room-3: Session-18 Health Sciences and Bio-Statistics Lunch and Zohar Prayer Room-1: Session-19 Statistical Information Communication Technology Room-2: Session-20 Computer Science and IT Room-3: Session-21 Engineering Statistics Refreshment /Asr Prayer ISOSS BUSINESS SESSION Certificate/Plaques Distribution Ceremony GALA DINNER AT ----------------- Thursday, December 22, 2011 0930-1800 Hrs. TOUR AT KHEORA SALT MINES starting from HEC Guest House i.e. 55-B/II, Gulberg-III, Lahore. 3 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) TECHNICAL SESSIONS 19.12.2011 (1500 – 1630 Hrs) Room-1 Technical Session-1: Statistics and Probability-1 Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. SHAHJAHAN KHAN, AUSTRALIA Rapporteur: DR. MASOOD ANWAR, ISLAMABAD S# 1. 2. Paper Title of Paper No. 8 KEY NOTE SPEECH Estimation of the Poisson Parameter in Truncated Samples M-38 On Discordance Test for the Wrapped Normal Data 3. 5 4. 10 5. 23 6. 7. 25 28 8. 29 9. 31 10. 33 Name of Author(s) Country Dr. Djaballah Khedidja CONFIRMED Algeria Adzhar Rambli, Ibrahim Mohamed, Abdul Ghapor Hussin, Safwati Ibrahim Dr. Masood Anwar Dr. Munir Ahmad Mr. Irshad Ullah Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan CONFIRMED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED Characterizations of some discrete CONFIRMED distributions via negative moments CONFIRMED Data Quality Enhancement Using Data Mining Approach Bootstrapping Pseudo- R squared Mr. Zakariya Yahya Algamal Measures for Binary Response Variable Model Allele-based N-Test in linkage analysis Dr. Sajjad Ahmad Khan CONFIRMED Shahjahan Khan CONFIRMED Testing Base Load with Non-Sample Prior Information on Process Load Budi Pratikno NOT COMING Mr. Alamgir, CONFIRMED A simulation study to compare the Prof. Dr. Salahuddin CONFIRMED performance of various tests for detection of outliers Characterization of Some Probability Mr. Md. Izhar Khan Distributions by Conditional Expectations of Dual Generalized Order Statistics Optimum Step Stress Accelerated Life Shazia Zarrin, Testing For Mukherjee-Islam Failure Mustafa Kamal Model Arif-Ul-Islam 4 Iraq Pakistan Australia Australia Pakistan Pakistan India INDIA INDIA INDIA 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 19.12.2011 (1500 – 1630 Hrs) Room-2 Technical Session-7: Survey Sampling Chairman: DR. M. HANIF MIAN, SENIOR VICE-PRESIDENT ISOSS, LAHORE Rapporteur: MS. NAILA ALAM, NCBA&E, LAHORE S# 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Paper Title of Paper No. M-32 KEY NOTE SPEECH Estimators in the Presence of NonResponse Using Multi-Auxiliary Variables in Two-Phase Sampling 44 A New Cost Effective Estimator in case of Non-response in Two- Phase Sampling M-14 Some Exponential Type Estimators In Two Phase Sampling M-15 A General Class of Estimator of Population Mean in Presence of Non– response M-17 Some New Calibration Estimators For Population Total Name of Author(s) Dr. Zahoor Ahmad Irsa Zafar Dr. Muhammad Hanif CONFIRMED Country CONFIRMED Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Dr. Muhammad Hanif CONFIRMED Muhammad Ismail Muhammad Qaiser Shahbaz Dr. Muhammad Hanif CONFIRMED Noor Amin Dr. Muhammad Hanif CONFIRMED Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Naila Alam, CONFIRMED Zahoor Ahmed, CONFIRMED Dr. Muhammad Hanif CONFIRMED Muhammad Moeen, CONFIRMED M-25 Mixture Ratio and Regression Estimators using Multi-auxiliary variables Muhammad Qaiser Shahbaz, and attributes in Single phase sampling Dr. Muhammad Hanif CONFIRMED M-73 Regression-Cum-Ratio And Exponential Zahoor Ahmad Estimators For Two-Phase Sampling In Iqra Maqsood The Presence Of Non-Response At First Muhammad Hanif Phase M-100 An improved class of regression Saba Riaz estimators for the population mean using Javid Shabbir multi-phase sampling scheme in the presence of non-response M-102 Estimation of Finite Population Aneel Ahmed Coefficient of variation in Simple Javid Shabbir Random Sampling M-105 Efficient estimators under two Honour waheed successive occasions using auxiliary Dr. Javid Shabbir information and non response Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 5 Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 19.12.2011 (1500 – 1630 Hrs) Room-3 Technical Session-8: Experimental Design Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. MUNIR AKHTAR, COMSATS, WAH CANTT. Rapporteur: DR. RASHID AHMAD, ISLAMIA UNIVERSITY, BAHAWALPUR S# 21. 22. 23. 24. Paper Title of Paper No. 125 KEY NOTE SPEECH Universally Optimal Neighbor Designs in Blocks of Size Three 115 Locally Modified D-Optimal Design for Logistic Models 162 Some Classes of Minimal Neighbor Designs In Blocks of Unequal Sizes 163 Some Contribution to the Construction Of Neighbor Balanced Designs 25. M-30 Partially Neighbor Balanced Circular Designs for “2n” and “2n+1” Treatments Simultaneously 26. M-93 Biometrics support and agricultural statistics system: Tools of productivity increase 27. 167 Estimating the Change Point of Binary Profiles based on Genetic Algorithm 28. M-107 Statistical Study of Agriculture Development In Pakistan Name of Author(s) Dr. Munir Akhtar Dr. Rashid Ahmed CONFIRMED Country Pakistan Pakistan Mr. Davood Poursina Dr. Hoshang Talebi NOT COMING Dr. Mohammad Zafar Yab CONFIRMED Mr. Farrukh Shehzad CONFIRMED Mr. Farrukh Shehzad CONFIRMED Dr. Mohammad Zafar Yab CONFIRMED Iran Iran Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Naqvi Hamad, Muhammad Hanif Pakistan Pakistan CONFIRMED Osman. M. Siraj May be coming M. Singh Sudan Syria Mr. Alireza Sharafi, Mr. Majid Jalili, Dr. Majid Aminnayeri Dr. Amirhossein Amiri Ms Ambreen Zeb Khaskhelly Engr.Imran Anwar Ujan Iran Iran Iran Iran Pakistan Pakistan 6 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (0900 – 1100 Hrs) Room-1 Technical Session-2: Statistics and Probability-2 Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. ALI S. HADI, EGYPT Rapporteur: MISS MEHWISH HUSSAIN, KARACHI S# 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. Paper No. Title of Paper Key Note Speech Meta Analysis 34 Trends in Research Publications of Pakistani Statistical Journals 38 Instrumental variable estimator of regression slope when the explanatory variable is subject to measurement error 39 On Some Properties and Estimation of Size-Biased Polya-Eggenberger Distribution 73 On The Bayes Estimators Of The Parameters Of Zero-Inflated = Generalized Power Series Distributions 83 The Variance of the Profile in Digital Search Trees 87 Some new result of Stochastic orders in reliability and cumulative residual entropy 88 Beta Binomial Approximation by Poisson 90 Mixture of Multivariate Stable Distributions 139 Point Estimation using Simulation with R Name of Author(s) Dr. Shahjahan Khan Country Australia Ms. Mehwish Hussain; CONFIRMED Pakistan Mr. Waqas Ahmed Farooqui Pakistan CONFIRMED(Paper presenter) Mr. Anwar Saqr NOT COMING Libya Dr. Shahjahan Khan CONFIRMED Australia Dr. Anwar Hassan India Dr. Peer Bilal Ahmad; may be confirmed Dr. Anwar Hassan India India Dr. Ramin Kazemi Iran Mrs. Zahra Bami, Dr. Baratpour, Dr. Abasnejad Mashhadi Ms. Simin Mansouri Boroujeni Mr. Gholamreza Mohammdian Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Mr. Mohammad Fayaz Iran 7 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (0900 – 1100 Hrs) Room-2 Technical Session-9: Statistical Education Chairman: DR. MUHAMMAD QASIM RIND, ISLAMABAD Rapporteur: MS. AMMARA NAWAZ CHEEMA, ISLAMABAD S# 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. 51. 52. Paper Title of Paper No. M-75 KEY NOTE SPEECH Problems in the Use of Educational Technology 59 Redundant Use of Mobile Affects Student’s GPA 60 Impact of use of Face book on Student’s GPA 107 Functional Training and its impact on the development of statistical awareness 121 Use of Internet by Students and Professionals in Pakistan 126 Sources of Stress in Academe: A Study on the Universities of Punjab 130 The effect of using e-education in academic achievement For students of the Faculty of Education Razi Article Statistics 140 The Promotion of Statistical literacy Within Islamic Countries 153 Logistic regression analysis of high and low mathematics ability of university undergraduate students: What are the contributing predictors? 155 On Comparison of Span of Knowledge of Qira'at between University and Madrasah Students in Pakistan M-26 Researchers’ Perception And Attitude Towards Statistical Analysis Name of Author(s) Country Dr. Aamna Saleem Khan Pakistan Dr. Muhammad Qasim Rind CONFIRMED Pakistan Ms. Ammara Nawaz Cheema Confirmed Pakistan Ms. Ammara Nawaz Cheema Confirmed Pakistan Mr. Waleed Ameen Abd Elkhalek Mohamed Mr. Ahmad Tisman Pasha Egypt Ms. Aqsa Akbar Mr. Muhammad Akram Naseem Dr. Jasim Al-Tameemi Pakistan Pakistan Iraq Mr. Hossein Hajizadeh Iran Velo Suthar Rohani Ahmad Tarmizi, Habsah Midi, Mohd. Bakri Adam Mr. M. Abdul Waheed Haris, Confirmed M. Ibrahim Shamsi Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Pakistan Pakistan Muhammad Safdar CONFIRMED Dr. Amtul Hafeez CONFIRMED Kamran Masood CONFIRMED Shakil Ahmad Ghazi CONFIRMED Muhammad Abdul Malik CONFIRMED M-77 A Highly Job Embeddedness Employee Anam Abid, Is Less Likely To Leave: Evidence From Farzeen Sajjad The Higher Education Sector Faisal Qadeer M-84 Functional Training and its impact on the Waleed Ameen Abd Elkhalek Mohamed development of statistical awareness M-104 Impact of Education on Gender Dr Zahid Ali Channar Discrimination: A comparative study of public & private organizations of Pakistan M-113 Academicians’ Perception About The Shahinshah Babar Khan Use Of Statistical Package For Social Sciences (SPSS) In Research Of Social Sciences At Higher Education Level Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Egypt 8 Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (0900 – 1100 Hrs) Room-3 Technical Session-10: Population Studies Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. BAKI BILLAH, AUSTRALIA Rapporteur: MR. M. IRFAN CHANI, NCBA&E, LAHORE S# 53. 54. 55. 56. 57. Paper Title of Paper Name of Author(s) No. Dr. Asep Saefuddin CONFIRMED 53 KEY NOTE SPEECH A Brief Review of Geoinformatics Analysis on Poverty Data in Indonesia CONFIRMED 49 Factors affecting newborn care practices Dr. Md. Shahjahan, in Bangladesh Prof. M. Kabir 81 Health Concerns Of The Elderly: A Case Professor Ishmael Kalule-Sabiti Study Of The Mafikeng Local Mr. Paul Bigala Municipality, North West Province, South Africa 146 Risk Prediction for Long Term Mortality Molla M. Huq, Dr. Baki Billah CONFIRMED Following Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG) surgery for the Christopher M. Reid Australian population 164 Using time dependent coefficient rates model for assessing the impact of breastfeeding on weight loss in less than two years old children 58. M-27 Will Uganda achieve a demographic dividend in the near future? 59. M-35 Comparison of Growth Charts of Children of Karachi And Larkana in the Frame Work of Quantile Regression 60. M-54 Fertility, Urbanization and Female Labour Force Participation in Pakistan: An Empirical Analysis Country Indonesia Bangladesh Bangladesh South Africa South Africa Australia Australia Australia Dr. Alireza Abadi CONFIRMED Mrs. Gelareh Rahimi Dr. Yadollah Mehrabi Dr. Nahid Kholdi Dr. Natal Ayiga CONFIRMED Charles Lwanga MAY BE COMING Dr. Nazeer Khan CONFIRMED Sundus Iftikhar Iran Muhammad Irfan Chani CONFIRMED Amatul R. Chaudhary Amjad Ali Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 9 South Africa Uganda Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (1130 – 1300 Hrs) Room-1 Technical Session-3: Statistics and Probability-3 Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. BASHIR ULLAH KHAN, CANADA Rapporteur: MR. UMAIR KHALIL, PESHAWAR S# 61. 62. 63. 64. 65. 66. 67. 68. 69. 70. 71. Paper Title of Paper No. 75 KEY NOTE SPEECH Improved Estimation In Simple Linear Regression Models With Autocorrelated Errors 89 Efficient Uk’s Redescending M-estimator for Robust Regression 97 A Sieve Bootstrap Approach to Constructing Prediction Intervals for Long Memory Time Series 109 Statistical Data Quality Techniques 116 Characterization Through Distributional Properties Of Dual Generalized Order Statistics 119 A proposed approach on multivariate clustering analysis using Simulated Annealing- A case study on location problem 123 The Impact of Outliers on the Performance Evaluation of different Estimators for the Location and Scale Parameters of Cauchy Distribution 124 Clustering observations using Simple Linear Regression Models nested 128 A Comparative Study of Three Improved Robust Regression Procedures 132 Relations For Marginal And Joint Moment Generating Functions Of Generalized Exponential Distribution Based On Lower Generalized Order Statistics And Characterization 30 A Bivariate Gamma-Type Probability Function And Associated Statistical Functions Name of Author(s) Country Dr. Bashir Ullah Khan CONFIRMED Canada Umair Khalil CONFIRMED Pakistan Mr. Amjad Ali CONFIRMED Pakistan Mr. Sayed Kamal Sayed Mohamed A.H. Khan Mr. Imtiyaz Ahmad Shah M. Ahsanullah Dr. Mahdi Bashiri, NOT COMING Mr. Mohammad Khanloo NOT COMING But want to publish paper in proceedings Egypt India India USA Iran Iran Mr. Alamgir, CONFIRMED Mr. Dost Muhammad Khan Pakistan Pakistan Dr. Behrooz Kavehie; Miss Shahrzad Goudarzi Mr. Dost Muhammad Khan, Douglas M Hawkins, Muhammad Fazli Qadir Dr. R.U. Khan Iran Iran Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan India Dr. Abdus Saboor Dr. Munir Ahmad Pakistan Pakistan 10 CONFIRMED CONFIRMED 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (1100 – 1300 Hrs) Room-2 Technical Session-11: Official Statistics Chairman: MR. SHAMIM RAFIQUE, DG, BUREAU OF STATISTICS, PUNJAB Rapporteur: ENGR. IMRAN ANWAR UJAN, SINDH UNIVERSITY, JAMSHORO Paper Title of Paper No. 72. M-96 Key Note Speech History of Statistics in Pakistan 73. 101 The Development of Official Statistics S# 74. 75. 76. 77. 78. 79. Name of Author(s) Country Mr. Shamim Rafique Pakistan Mrs. Ghada Elsayed Elzankaly Egypt 127 Principal Component Regression with Dr. Camelia Goga, France Survey Data. Application on the French Mr. Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad, France CONFIRMED Media Audience Ms. Aurelie Vanheuverzwyn France 78 Sampling using the SCILAB program Mrs. Haidy Samy Mohamed Mahmoud Egypt 79 Forecasting with Box–Jenkins models Mr. Mahmoud Mohamed Elsarawy Egypt 80 Bootstrap Techniques in sampling Mr. Mahmoud Mohamed Elsarawy Egypt 104 Sampling Ms. Mona Salah Hamed Mohammed Egypt 108 The Use of Statistical Sampling in Audit Ms. Bahega Ibrahim Mohamed Sayed Egypt with the Application to Review the financial Operations of CAPMAS Mr. M.U. Jumani, Statistics Division D.G., FBS Rashida Bokhari Dr. Yayha Waliullah (Karachi) 11 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (1100 – 1300 Hrs) Room-3 Technical Session-12: Business and Management-1 Chairman: DR. ISMET BEG, PAKISTAN Rapporteur: DR. M. FAISAL QADEER, NCBA&E S# Paper No. Title of Paper Key Note Speech 80. M-78 Data Quality Management Using Data Mining Techniques 81. M-79 Using the mathematical formula to measure employee performance as a function of their experience 82. M-91 Determinants of Food Inflation in Pakistan 83. M-92 Street vendors and their business places: an exploratory study in Lahore 84. 85. 86. 87. 88. 89. Name of Author(s) Dr. Ismet Beg IRSHAD ULLAH Muhammad Shafique Faisal Qadeer, Muhammad Arsalan Munir Ahmad Sadia Batool Pakistan Pakistan CONFIRMED Farha Khizar, Tahreem Sadiq Faisal Qadeer M-94 Strategies for Innovation: New Learning Samiah Ahmed Practices for the Knowledge ERA S.A. Lodhi M-95 The relevance of personal Asma Sharif, characteristics of faculty in comparing Sadaf Shabir, their performance and fairness Saira Farooqi perceptions Faisal Qadeer Ms. Anam Siddiqui CONFIRMED M-55 Minimizing Potential Issues in Higher Education by Professionally Developing Mr. Hassan Danial Aslam NOT COMING University Teachers M-117 Disaster Management: Framework for Mehreen Ashraf , Enhancing Scenario Development using Suleman Aziz Lodhi, C2 Architecture Khalil Ahmed M-118 Banks’ Performance Enhancement: Abdul Aziz Khan Niazi, Framework for Adequacy of Credit Karamat Azim Documentation M-119 Performance Excellence through Shahid Mehmood Integration of KM Philosophy in TQM Suleman Aziz Lodhi, Practices Khalil Ahmed 12 Country Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (1430 – 1600 Hrs) Room-1 Technical Session-4: Statistics and Probability-4 Chairperson: MRS. FARIBA HEMATI, CENTRAL BANK OF IRAN, TEHRAN Rapporteur: SYED ANWAR HASNAIN, NCBA&E, LAHORE S# 90. 91. 92. 93. 94. 95. 96. Paper Title of Paper No. M-34 KEY NOTE SPEECH Cross-Validation Technique for the Choice of Stopping Criterion and Model Selection in Stepwise Logistic Regression 85 Sample Size Estimation for Multilevel Modeling 136 Robust Bayes Prediction for the Gamma distribution under an Asymmetric Scale Invariant Loss Function 137 Robust Bayes Estimation of a Gamma Scale Parameter under Precautionary Scale Invariant Loss Functions 141 An Improved Mean Survival Time Technique Under the Influence of Different Censoring Percentages 142 Preliminary Test Methodology in View of Asymmetry with Elliptically Contoured Distribution 144 A Survey on Burr XII Distribution and Estimation of it's Parameters 97. 147 98. 149 99. 168 100. 166 Name of Author(s) Country Prof. Dr. Salahuddin Zafar Mahmood Pakistan Pakistan Mr. Iftikhar-ud-din CONFIRMED Dr. Qamar-uz-zaman Mrs. Leila Golparver; Mr. Ali Karimnezhad; Prof. Ahmad Parsian Mrs. Leila Golparver; Mr. Ali Karimnezhad Prof. Ahmad Parsian Dr. Qamruz Zaman; Professor Dr. Karl Peter Pfeiffer Pakistan Pakistan Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Pakistan Austria Dr. Zahirul Hoque UAE May be Confirmed Mr. R. Arabi Belaghi; Dr. M. Arashi; Dr. S.M.M. Tabatabaey Bayesian Analysis of the Adaptive Type- Mrs. Fariba Hemati CONFIRMED II Progressively Hybrid Censoring Dr. Esmaile Khorram Scheme in Presence of Competing Risks Root Transformation Method for Mohammad H. Doroudyan Monitoring Correlated Variable and Amirhossein Amiri Attribute Quality Characteristics Acceptance sampling plan under Dr. Enam abd-Rahman generalized exponential distribution Karaiya Salman Hussian On Bayesian Reliability Estimation of Dr. Dhwyia Salman Hussian Generalized Linear Failure Rate Dr. Nashaat Jaisam Al-Anber Distribution 13 Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 20.12.2011 (1430 – 1600 Hrs) Room-2 Technical Session-13: Economics and Econometrics-1 Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. HAZEM I.A. SHEIKH AHMED, PALESTINE Rapporteur: MR. M. NAEEM AKHTAR, ISLAMABAD Paper Title of Paper Name of Author(s) No. Dr. M. Shafiqur Rahman CONFIRMED 101. 55 KEY NOTE SPEECH Relationship among GDP, per capita GDP, Literacy rate and Unemployment rate 102. 6 ARIMA mortality regression module of Dr. Hazem I. A. El Shekh Ahmed CONFIRMED lung cancer in Palestine 103. 1 Understanding the Customer Awareness Mr. Muhammad Naeem Akhtar, about Islamic Banks and the Mr. Ahmed Imran Hunjra, Relationship between Customer Dr. Kashif ur Rehman, Satisfaction and Service Quality Mr. Khalid Khan CONFIRMED 104. 50 Estimation of Consumption Function under the Permanent Income Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan 105. 52 Is Devaluation Contractionary? Evidence Mr. Muhammad Shahbaz for Pakistan Ms. Ammara Nawaz Cheema Confirmed 106. 57 Measuring Return In Portfolio Mr. Ahmad Nawaz Cheema. Ms. Ammara Nawaz Cheema Confirmed 107. 58 Consumption pattern of household Food-Away-From-Home in PAKISTAN Ms. Naheeda Akhtar Omair Ali 108. 63 Construction of several diamond Models Ms. Ammara Nawaz Cheema Confirmed 109. M-69 Prediction of Household Expenditure on Zahoor Ahmad the Basis of Household Characteristics Abeeda Fatima 110. M-70 Classification Of Households With Zahoor Ahmad Respect To Poverty By Using Cluster Zainab Ejaz Analysis 111. M-71 Determinants Of Labour Participation: Zahoor Ahmad Evidence From Pakistan Labour Force Khadija Fatima Survey 2009-10 S# 14 Country Oman Palestine Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (1430 – 1600 Hrs) Room-3 Technical Session-16: Business and Management-2 Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. MUHAMMAD ZAFAR YAB, LEEDS, LAHORE Rapporteur: MR. M. ABDUS SALAM, KARACHI Paper Title of Paper No. 112. 95 Extending instrumental variable method for the effect of time-varying treatment by adjusting unmeasured confounders 113. 105 (Spatial Analysis and effective role in supporting decisions- making) The Application of the establishment of the National Map Project for the development of unsafe areas (slums) In Egypt 114. 118 Statistical Modeling to Determine Critical Timing for Chickpea Pod Borer Management S# 115. M-29 116. M-49 117. M-50 118. M-51 119. M-52 120. M-53 121. M-74 Name of Author(s) Country Mrs. Neda Jalali; Dr. Manouchehr Babanezhad Iran Iran Mrs. Nahla Seddik Mohamed Egypt Mr. Muhammad Amin CONFIRMED Pakistan Dr. Muhammad Aslam Pakistan Dr. Abid Farid Pakistan Mr. Alamzeb Pakistan Statistical Analysis of firm’s Competitive Mr. Muhammad Abdus Salam Pakistan CONFIRMED Advantage Madeeha Jabeen CONFIRMED Role of line manager in implementing Pakistan Human resource management and Human Resource Development Impact of organizational culture on Saba Sattar Pakistan coworker support Impact Of Employee’s Willingness On Faryal Siddiqui Pakistan Organizational Change Sumaira Aslam CONFIRMED Corporate Governance and Pakistan Madiha Latif CONFIRMED Organizational Performance: An Pakistan empirical study on KSE listed Pakistan Zain-ul-Abideen NOT COMING companies: Evidence from Pakistan Rizwana Iqbal CONFIRMED Impact of Organizational Change to Pakistan Achieve Competitive Edge Classification Of Countries With Respect Zahoor Ahmad Pakistan To Their Governance Using Self Aysha Saleem Pakistan Organizing Feature Maps (SOM) 15 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (0900 – 1100 Hrs) Room-1 Technical Session-5: Statistics and Probability-5 Chairman: DR. SADKI OURIDA, ALGERIA Rapporteur: MRS. SAJEELA TAZEEN DARA, LAHORE Paper Title of Paper Name of Author(s) No. Dr. SADKI Ourida CONFIRMED 122. 46 KEY NOTE SPEECH Asymptotic properties of a kernel Elias Ould-Saïd estimator of the conditional quantile for right censored data 123. 41 Bayesian Prediction of Matrix Elliptical Dr. Mohammad Arashi CONFIRMED Multivariate Models with Conjugate Prior Dr. Shahjahan Khan 124. 158 Comparison between Two Classifier Saeedeh Pourahmad, NOT COMING Methods: Logistic Regression Analysis Mohammad Reza Pakyari and Decision Tree Method in Unknown Shahram Paidar Causative Factors' Diseases 125. 161 Presenting MCDM & DEA graphically Mr. Javad Ebrahimi 126. 165 A Data Envelopment Analysis method Mr. Majid Jalili, for optimizing multi-response problem by Dr. Mahdi Bashiri, NOT COMING Dynamic Taguchi Method Dr. Amirhossein Amiri 127. 170 New presenting product quality Mr. Javad Ebrahimi graphically Sajeela Tazeen Dara CONFIRMED 128. M-18 A note on Bathtub Hazard Rate Munir Ahmad CONFIRMED 129. M-28 Robust Estimators for Partial Least Fatemeh Maleki Squares Regression Models CONFIRMED 130. M-36 Comparison of three different methods A. Rasheed for outlier detection in bioequivalence T. Ahmad studies 131. M-40 Compare some parametric and non Dr. Nazar Mostafa J. ALsarraf CONFIRMED parametric estimation methods for Gumbel- min distribution by simulation Dr. Waleed A. Arhema AL-Elaiwe Dr. Ghufrani.K Mohammed Salih CONFIRMED 132. M-41 Comparison of some Estimation Dr. Nazar Mostafa J. ALsarraf CONFIRMED methods for Rayleigh Distribution with simulation Dr. Waleed A. Arhema AL-Elaiwe 133. M-82 New Variational Model for Image Haider Ali Selective Segmentation Based on Noor Badshah, Covariance and Local Statistical Ghulam Murtaza Functional S# 16 Country Algeria France Iran Australia Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Iran Pakistan Pakistan Iran Pakistan Pakistan Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (0900 – 1100 Hrs) Room-2 Technical Session-14: Economics and Econometrics-2 Chairperson: PROFESSOR DR. RUKHSANA KALEEM, UMT, LAHORE Rapporteur: MR. MUMTAZ M. KHAN, LAHORE Paper Title of Paper No. 134. 74 KEY NOTE SPEECH Endogeneity, Hausman Test And BT Cotton Productivity In Pakistan 135. 71 Reproduction of the variance scaling structure for rainfall in Peninsular Malaysia using Bartlett Lewis Model 136. 84 Analysis of the Difference in the Group Price Index Based on Two Consecutive Base Years 137. 98 Forecasting the Real wages in Egypt using time series modeling 138. 99 Detecting of Outliers in prices data 139. 100 Pattern And Trend Of The Labour Force In Egypt 1996 – 2006 140. 102 The impact of Labor market trends on: The unemployment rates in Egypt using time series model analysis by SPSS Program 141. 103 Construction of indices (applied study) 142. 106 Forecasting Inflation in Egypt 143. 110 Managing Poverty in Egypt between 2000:2009 144. 114 An alternative index (Case study of IRAN) S# Name of Author(s) Country Dr. Khuda Bakhsh Pakistan Mr. Ibrahim Suliman Hanaisha Malaysia Mr. Ebrahim Nasirifar Iran Mr. Ahmed Nasser Zaki Egypt Ms. Al shimaa Afifi Abd El Whab Mrs. Awatef Abd Elfatah Egypt Egypt Ms. Embareka farouk abouellil Egypt Mrs. Manal Ragai Youssef Mrs. Sara Osman Abdel Mawla Ms. Eman Ahmed Egypt Egypt Egypt Mr. Iman Hosseinipour Iran 17 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (0900 – 1100 Hrs) Room-3 Technical Session-17: Environmetrics Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. M. AYUB KHAN YOUSAFZAI, KARACHI Rapporteur: MISS HINA SALEEM, HYDERABAD S# 145. 146. 147. Paper No. Title of Paper Key Note Speech 47 Modelling the daily rainfall amounts of Dir and D.I.Khan, Pakistan for Agricultural Planning 48 Statistical Distribution Of Significant Wave Height Data Of North Sea 67 Environmental Statistics: Past, Present and Future 148. M-31 Statistical analysis of precipitation of Pakistan through spss17 149. M-33 Correlation Analysis between Surface Temperature and NDVI on Spatial Growth of Karachi City Using LANDSAT 7 imagery 150. M-43 Estimation of the parameters of wet dry weeks of Markov probability model in terms of rainfall in Barind region Name of Author(s) Dr. Zahid Hussain CONFIRMED Dr. Asma Ahmad Shariff Hina Saleem, Shoaib Muhammad Huma Saleem Maqsood Alam Pakistan Malaysia CONFIRMED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED Maqsood Alam Rabia Tabssum M. A. B. Barkotulla Dr. M. Sayedur Rahman M. M. Rahman A.T.M. Jahangir Alam 151. M-44 Dynamics of Social Networking, Md. Nazrul Islam Mondal Knowledge of HIV/AIDS and Md. Nazrul Hoque, Determinants of Risky Sexual Behavior Md. Rocky Khan Chowdhury among Male Migrant Workers in Rajshahi City, Bangladesh 152. M-45 Transport Equation for the Joint M. H. U. Molla Distribution Function of Velocity M. A. K. Azad* Temperature and Concentration in M.Z. Rahman Convective Turbulent Flow in Presence of Dust Particles M Ayub Khan Yousuf Zai CONFIRMED 153. M-46 Quantifying the Effects of Turbulent Atmosphere on Small Satellites at Khusro Mian Pakistan Ionospheric Environment 154. M-103 Optimization Of Water Distribution For Tatheer Raja Efficient Cropping Using Stochastic Muhammad Yousaf Shad Programming 18 Country Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Bangladesh Bangladesh Bangladesh Bangladesh Bangladesh USA Bangladesh Bangladesh Bangladesh Bangladesh Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (1130 – 0100 Hrs) Room-1 Technical Session-6: Statistics and Probability-6 Chairman: DR. IBRAHIM MOHAMED, MALAYSIA Rapporteur: DR. M. ASLAM, F.C. COLLEGE (UNIVERSITY), LAHORE Paper Title of Paper No. 155. 27 KEY NOTE SPEECH Detection of Outliers In Functional Relationship Model For Circular Variables Via Complex Form 156. M-47 On the Role of the Multivariate Fatigue Life Distribution in Modeling Multi-Site Fatigue 157. M-48 Economic Design of Time Truncated Sampling Plans for Weibull Distribution using Percentiles as Quality Parameter S# Name of Author(s) Abdul Ghapor Hussin CONFIRMED Saleha Naghmi Habibullah CONFIRMED Sam C. Saunders Muhammad Aslam CONFIRMED Muhammad Azam Chi-Hyuck Jun NOT COMING Munir Ahmad 158. M-58 Estimation of the Location Parameters Riffat Gabeen, Based Upon Lower Record Values From Azaz Ahmad Prof. Abdus Samad Hirai CONFIRMED The Weibull Distribution from the Complete and Type II Singly and Doubly Censored Data 159. M-59 Estimation of the Parameters based on Saba Aziz, Lower Record Values from the Gumbel Azaz Ahmad Distribution for Type II Singly and Doubly Prof. Abdus Samad Hirai CONFIRMED Censored Data 160. M-81 On Selection of Autoregressive Order in Samir Safi CONFIRMED Case of Incorrectly Model Specification 161. M-83 Change In The Perception Of SocioBushra Shamshad Religious Values In The Pakistani Dr Junaid Saghir Siddiqi Society: Using Latent Structural Modeling 162. M-85 On Moments of Weighted Mean of Two Syed Anwer Hasnain Sample Correlation Coefficients Munir Ahmad 163. M-101 A general family of estimators when the Ayesha Tahira study variable is an attribute Javid Shabbir 164. M-106 Assessing Process Capability Index By Suboohi Safdar Operating Characteristic Curves Under Dr. Ejaz Ahmad Non Normality 165. M-112 Double sampling for stratification with Aneela Saghir sub-sampling the non-respondents Javid Shabbir when utilizing information on the auxiliary attribute 19 Country Malaysia Pakistan USA Pakistan Pakistan Korea Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Palestine Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (1130 – 1300 Hrs) Room-2 Technical Session-15: Economics and Econometrics-3 Chairperson: PROFESSOR DR. A.R. CHAUDHRY, NCBA&E, LAHORE Rapporteur: MISS SYEDA SADIA BATOOL, KARACHI S# Paper No. Title of Paper Name of Author(s) Key Note Speech Alamgir; CONFIRMED 166. 117 Testing Goodness-of-Fit in Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Amjad Ali Moving-Average Models with Conditional Hetroscedasticity CONFIRMED 167. 129 Recursive method for AR parameters in Dr. Sadaf Manzoor the presence of outlier in Poisson noise 168. 138 Human Capital Formation and Economic Muhammad Irfan Chani, CONFIRMED Development in Pakistan: A Time Series Amjad Ali Analysis Amatul R. Chaudhary 169. 145 A Panel Data Analysis of the Mr. Sajjad Haider Bhatti Relationship between GDP per Capita and its Shares of Consumption, Government Expenditures and Investment 170. 148 Application of two non-parametric time Mrs. Parvin Jalili series models for Iran Inflation forecasting Miss Syeda Sadia Batool CONFIRMED 171. 150 Causal Nexus and Seasonal Cointegration of Macroeconomic Price Indices: Evidence from Pakistan 172. 154 Statistical analysis of e-readiness effects Ms. Laya Bashiri on the Iran's export 173. 156 introduction to data mining of time series Mr. Behzad Mahmoodi by using stacked generalizers (case study islamic countries stock market) 174. 160 Long-Run Memory Forecasting Using Ms. Arfa Maqsood Fractionally Integrated ARMA Model 175. 169 Autoregressive Model Driven by Discrete Mrs. N. Modarresi, Samples of Semi-Selfsimilar Levy Dr. S. Rezakhah process 176. M-23 Credit Risk Models for Managing Bank’s Amjad Zarei Agricultural Loan Portfolio in Iran 20 Country Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan France Iran Pakistan Iran Iran Pakistan Iran Iran Iran 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (1130 – 1300 Hrs) Room-3 Technical Session-18: Health Sciences and Bio-Statistics Chairman: DR. HAMID YAHYA HUSSAIN, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES Rapporteur: MS. NAILA ROZI, KARACHI Paper Title of Paper Name of Author(s) No. 177. M-60 KEY NOTE SPEECH Mahin Ahmad, Conversion time to insulin in patients Mah Jabeen, Dr. A. Ahmad CONFIRMED with type 2 diabetes 178. M-61 KEY NOTE SPEECH Mahin Ahmad, Optimising insulin therapy in patients Anthonia Yeside Laleye Dr. A. Ahmad CONFIRMED with type 2 diabetes 179. 7 What Can Biostatistics address in health Dr. Hamid Yahya Hussain CONFIRMED related concerns? 180. 21 Analyzing Determinants Of Health Mrs. Nada Ahmed Abdel Fattah Inequality Among Children In Egypt 181. 51 Non-Parametric and Parametric Duration Ms. Mehwish Hussain CONFIRMED CONFIRMED Analysis of Coronary Artery Disease with Dr. Nazeer Khan Chest Pain in Past Mudassir Uddin 182. 64 Trends and determinants of modern Osuafor Godswill N. contraceptives use among married women in Nigeria. CONFIRMED 183. 91 Multivariate disease mapping of seven Mr. Behzad Mahaki, prevalent cancers in Iran using shared Dr. Yadollah Mehrabi, component model Dr. Amir kavousi, Dr. Mohammad E. Akabari 184. 93 Estimation for Stochastic Volatility Dr. Raed Alzghool Model: Quasi-likelihood 185. M-42 Mathematical structure of DNA double Naila Rozi helix & X-Ray Diffraction Nasir uddin khan Engr. Imran Anwar Ujan CONFIRMED 186. M-56 Telemedicine based Disease Diagnosis Dr. Asad Ali Shaikh Systems Waseem Javeed Soomro Dr. Sareer Badshah CONFIRMED 187. M-24 The Web-Net of Maternal Demographics, Physical Health, Health Status and Pregnancy History in the Public Hospitals CONFIRMED 188. M-67 Hypochondria Among Medical Students Syed Adnan Ali of DMC 189. M-99 Predictive Strength Of Risk Factors Of Nadia Shabnam Stroke Hina Khan S# Dr. Abdul Rehman Khawaja Dr. M. Riaz 21 Country UK UK UK UK UK UK U.A.E. Egypt Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan South Africa Iran Iran Iran Iran Jordan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (1430 – 1600 Hrs) Room-1 Technical Session-19: Statistical Information Communication Technology Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. S.M. AQIL BURNEY, KARACHI Rapporteur: DR. AKHTAR RAZA, KARACHI S# Paper No. Title of Paper Key Note Speech Risk Theory & Insurance: A Stochastic and Soft Computing Approach 190. M-63 Recent Trends in Computer Intrusion Detection System and Network Monitoring: A Statistical Modeling Approach. 191. M-64 Time Series Models Forecasting And Control For the Management of Computing Infrastructure And Resources. 192. M-65 Statistical Approach To Design Analog VLSI/LOW Power LOW NOISE CMOS AMPLIFIER For Wireless Application. 193. M-66 Artificial Intelligence Techniques in Special Education Using Information Technology. 194. M-108 Efficient Classification Methods for NIDS: A Statistical Approach Name of Author(s) Country Dr. S.M. Aqil Burney, University of Karachi Pakistan Dr. Muhammad Sadiq Ali Khan Pakistan Dr. Akhter Raza Pakistan Dr. Zamin Khan Pakistan Dr. Asif Ali Pakistan Dr. M. Sadiq Ali Khan Dr. S.M. Aqil Burney Mr. Jawed Naseem 195. M-109 Conceptual model for handling fuzziness Nadeem Mahmood in temporal relational databses Dr. S.M. Aqil Burney 196. M-110 Fuzzy time Series Model for Taiwan Tahseen Ahmed Jilani Stock Exchange Forecasting Using Dr. S.M. Aqil Burney Fuzzy Logical Relationships and Genetic Usman Amjad Algorithm 197. M-111 Traceability Management Framework for Dr. S.M. Aqil Burney Patient Data in Healthcare Environment Hussain Saleem Nadeem Mahmood Tahseen A. Jilani 22 Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (1430 – 1600 Hrs) Room-2 Technical Session-20: Computer Science and IT Chairman: PROFESSOR DR. KHALIL AHMED, NCBA&E, LAHORE Rapporteur: MR. IRSHAD ULLAH, LOWER DIR S# Paper No. Title of Paper Key Note Speech Computer Science Algorithms in space Science 199. 134 Adaptive Recurrent Stochastic Neural Network for Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting 200. M-76 Computer Hacking Forensic Investigation Process 198. 9 201. M-80 Techniques used for hacking the information 202. M-86 Knowledge-Based Framework to Enhance Rescue Performance using GIS 203. M-87 A Concept for Personage’s Learning Style Centered Technology based Adaptive Pedagogical System 204. M-88 Cognitive Model for Social Bots to Learn Opponents Mixed Strategy using Adaptive Neural Networks 205. M-89 SKANS: Secure Knots at the Ends 206. M-90 Building Concious Cybernetic Enitities using QuBIC Model and Framework Based on Unified Theory of Mind 207. M-97 Underlying Issues in Knowledge Elicitation towards Automation 208. M-98 Framework for Decision Making with Technological Inference in Management 209. M-114 A Quantum Inspired Sparse Distributed Memory (QI-SDM) Model for Clean Patterns Retrieval 210. M-115 Emotional state transition modeling using artificial neural networks 211. M-116 Role of emotion oriented agents in information media for effective communication 212. M-120 Using Quantum Cryptography for Securing Wireless Personal Area Networks 213. M-121 GIS Framework using SDI for Disaster Management 214. M-122 Framework for Risk Assessment of Vehicle CNG Mechanism using Fuzzy Control System Name of Author(s) Mr. Irshad Ullah Dr. Asim Karim Mr. S.H. Alizadeh, Dr. S. Reza khan CONFIRMED Country Pakistan Pakistan Iran Iran Nadia Qasim, CONFIRMED Dr. Muhammad Qasim Rind CONFIRMED Dr. Sheikh Muhammad Saleem Nadia Qasim, CONFIRMED Dr. Muhammad Qasim Rind CONFIRMED Aiesha Ahmad, Khalil Ahmed UK Pakistan Pakistan UK Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Muhammad Anwaar Saeed*, Khalil Ahmed Pakistan Pakistan Asma Kanwal Wajahat M. Qazi, Pakistan Pakistan Syed Ali Raza, Tanwir Ahmad, Asma Basharat Wajahat M. Qazi Khalil Ahmed Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Nida Anwar Khalil Ahmed Leena Anum Khalil Ahmed Sagheer Abbas, Khalil Ahmed Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Atifa Athar Khalil Ahmed Atifa Athar Khalil Ahmed Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Muhammad Shakeel Khalil Ahmed Pakistan Pakistan Umer Farooq Khalil Ahmed Yousaf Saeed Sagheer Abbas Yousaf Saeed*, Khalil Ahmed Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan Pakistan 23 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) 21.12.2011 (1430 – 1600 Hrs) Room-3 Technical Session-21: Engineering Statistics Chairperson: MISS FAHIMEH MOSTAJERAN, IRAN Rapporteur: PROFESSOR M. ASLAM, F.C. COLLEGE (UNIVERSITY), LAHORE S# Paper No. Title of Paper Key Note Speech 215. 111 Quality Control Name of Author(s) Mr. Mahmoud Mohamed Sayed Ahmed 216. 120 Statistical analysis of the number of the Miss Fahimeh Mostajeran CONFIRMED galaxies in cubic cells in the universe Dr. M. Aslam, FCC M. Aslam et al. 24 Country Egypt Iran 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) WORKSHOP-1 ON SUCCESSFULLY PUBLISHING RESEARCH PAPERS IN INTERNATIONAL JOURNALS to be held on December __, 2011 at ______________________ WHO SHOULD ATTEND AND WHAT IT OFFERS? All M.Phil./Ph.D. students and early career researchers and academics in various fields should attend the workshop. The course is for those who wish to improve research competency and effectiveness in research. It will provide guidance, direction and practical ways of writing and publishing good quality articles. Also the workshop would help the M.Phil./Ph.D. students to advance their work to fulfill the requirements of their dissertation and learn new technologies in dissertation writings. The workshop will be most relevant to develop academic and technical skills, and improve subject knowledge to meet the expatiations of the publication requirements in international journals. COURSE OUTLINE 1. Importance of Research Publication. 2. Writing Papers. 3. Plagiarism. 4. Selecting Journals. 5. Submitting Papers. 6. Review and Revision. 7. Publication Citation Impact Factor. 8. Collaboration. 9. Mentoring. RESOURCE PERSONS 1. Professor Dr. Shahjahan Khan University of Southern Queensland Australia 2. Professor Dr. Ali S. Hadi Distinguished University Professor, Founding Director of the Actuarial Science Program, The American University in Cairo, Egypt 3. Professor Dr. Munir Ahmad Rector, National College of Business Administration & Economics, Lahore, Pakistan Dr. Shahjahan Khan (Chief Editor, JAPS) and Dr. Ali S. Hadi (Chief Editor, ISR) are the most experienced and distinguished teachers and researchers in the areas of their expertise. They have supervised a large number of research and higher degree students in Australia and USA. Both of them have written and published a large number of research papers in top rated international journals. They have collaborated with many prominent researchers across the world. They have substantial experience of research and have the competency to motivate participants in moving ahead in their research activities. Dr. Munir Ahmad is a Professor of Statistics at National College of Business Administration and Economics, Lahore and has published many research papers in national and international journals and supervises 15 Ph.Ds and 35 M.Phils. and is author of many books. All three presenters have extensive experience as editor and reviewer of a wide range of international journals. 25 11th Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-11) on December 19-22, 2011 at University of Management & Technology, Lahore (Pakistan) WORKSHOP-2 ON TECHNOLOGY BASED TEACHING ITS EFFECTIVENESS AND ENHANCING STUDENT’s SATISFACTION to be held on December __, 2011 at ______________________ WHO SHOULD ATTEND AND WHAT IT OFFERS? The workshop is open to students, academic managers/administrators, and teachers at College and University levels. The workshop is devised for academic staff who wish to review and improve their teaching quality and effectiveness both at College and University levels. It will help the participants to acquire techniques to be a good teacher and to be more useful to the students. The workshop provides essential knowledge and guidance to develop, delivery, and assess courses and enhance teaching skills and effectiveness using educational technologies. The workshop will strengthen knowledge and help in effective teaching and learning. Hazrat Ali (AS) has stated that “teaching is learning”. Workshop will help in improving teaching skills for learning and professional development. Resource persons have vast experience in tertiary teachings and are fully competent in training teachers in their disciplines. COURSE OUTLINE Basic Course 1. Course Development, Course Objectives. 2. Skill based Contents. 3. Instructions. 4. Content Delivery 5. Mode of Delivery 6. Assessment, Reflecting Course Objectives. 7. Improving Quality. 8. Feedback Implementing Teaching Technologies 1. Computer and Internet. 2. Multimedia, Class Recordings. 3. Statistical Packages. 4. Online Teaching. 5. Video Conferencing. 6. On-line Assessment. Enhancing Student Satisfaction 1. Beyond Certificate, Course Objectives and Skills. 2. Cooperative Approach Involving Students. 3. Negotiate and Meet Student Expectation. 4. Effect Course Support System Confidence of Students. 5. Student Feedback. 6. Institutional Support and Admission Laboratory. RESOURCE PERSONS 1. Professor Dr. Shahjahan Khan University of Southern Queensland, Australia 2. Professor Dr. Muhammad Hanif National College of Business Administration & Economics, Lahore, Pakistan 3. Dr. Khalil Ahmad National College of Business Administration & Economics, Lahore, Pakistan 26