Vertical Coordination in Transition Countries: A comparative study of agri-food chains in Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, Russia, Ukraine John White1 and Matthew Gorton2 1 2 Faculty of Social Science and Business, University of Plymouth, UK. John.White@plymouth.ac.uk School of Agriculture, Food and Rural Development, University of Newcastle, UK. Matthew.Gorton@ncl.ac.uk Version: September 2004 Report prepared for The World Bank (ECSSD) project on “Vertical Coordination in ECA Agrifood Chains as an Engine of Private Sector Development: Implications for Policy and Bank Operations” (Contract No.7615040/7620016) Table of Contents Part A: Introduction, Research Methodology and Summary of Key Findings .......... 3 Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 3 Methodology ................................................................................................................... 4 Key Findings ................................................................................................................... 5 Part B: Analysis of Interview Findings ........................................................................... 9 Sources of Supply ........................................................................................................... 9 Contract Assistance Measures ...................................................................................... 10 Foreign Investment ....................................................................................................... 11 Marginalization of Small Farmers? .............................................................................. 12 Product Quality ............................................................................................................. 14 Product Quality and Contracting .................................................................................. 15 First Mover Advantage and the Impact of Contracting ................................................ 16 FDI, Product Quality and Contracting .......................................................................... 18 Exporting and Relationships with Investment and Contracting ................................... 19 Future Developments .................................................................................................... 22 Qualitative Findings on Business Constraints and National Government and World Bank Priorities .............................................................................................................. 23 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations .................................................................. 24 References ........................................................................................................................ 27 Appendix 1: Country Comparisons .............................................................................. 29 Appendix 2: Sector Comparisons .................................................................................. 32 Appendix 3: Dairy Industry ........................................................................................... 35 Appendix 4: Interview Questionnaire ........................................................................... 37 2 Part A: Introduction, Research Methodology and Summary of Key Findings Introduction Restructuring and privatisation in the ECA region has led to the separation of many previously horizontally and vertically integrated enterprises together with the emergence of de novo businesses. Enterprises have had to forge their own relationships with buyers and suppliers in an environment of both weak public institutions for enforcing contractual obligations and property rights, and a high level of macroeconomic instability. These problems have been identified as impediments to growth with the dislocation to, and failure of, inter-enterprise relationships being a causal factor in the falls in output witnessed in the early years of transition (Blanchard and Kremer, 1997; Gow and Swinnen, 2001). With the break-up of former state and collective farms, established food processors in the Former Soviet Union (FSU) have lost guaranteed, state directed, supplies and demand. Food processors have had to establish their own relationships to effectively procure agricultural raw materials. In meeting this challenge processing enterprises can source farm level output through three main mechanisms: spot markets, vertical ownership integration or contracting. Contracting appears to be the favored mechanism of many large food and agribusiness companies in the region and the introduction of contracting has been linked to significant improvements in productivity (Gow et al. 2000). However, while case study evidence points to the potential role of contracting as an engine for growth in agri-food supply chains there is a lack of systematic evidence on its impact. Unresolved issues concerning the impact of contracting and vertical integration on the FSU agri-food sector were identified in a recent World Bank concept paper on this topic. The concept paper, which defined the parameters for this report, identifies five main unresolved issues concerning: Under what conditions do contract relationships emerge and what role does government play? What is the role of foreign direct investment (FDI)? What triggers beneficial spillover effects of foreign investment and how general are such developments? Is there an optimal model of contracting or should contractual relationships vary due to differences in markets and stages of transition? What are the key equity issues and does the process of vertical contracting lead to the exclusion of small farms? This study sought to collect and analyze data from the ECA region to help answer these questions, providing a basis for identifying options for improved policies and investments. 3 Methodology To investigate the issues outlined in the concept note, a standardized survey instrument was designed to obtain data from agri-business enterprises. As the survey was concerned with contracting and investment, purposive sampling (Lincoln and Guba, 1985) was employed. Purposive sampling can be defined as the selection of cases ‘from which the most can be learned’ (Merriam, 1998, p.61). Under this method, ‘sample elements are handpicked because it is believed they can serve the research purpose’ (Churchill, 1999, p.503). In this case, only interviewees that met certain criteria were selected. The criteria chosen were: a) b) c) Senior executives of agri-food industry enterprises (excluding microenterprises and those that had just been established); Enterprises had made recent capital investments in the agri-food sector; Enterprises were engaged in contracting with farmers. These criteria were designed to ensure that the sample contained companies that were engaged in activities that the study sought to understand and evaluate. A quota of 12 companies per country was drawn up by researchers in each state, who checked that potential interviewees met the criteria listed above. For each country a target of 4 milk processors, 4 plant based enterprises (sugar, milling, fruits etc.) and 4 value-added companies (reflecting products of national importance that varied between states such as wine, brandy and speciality cheeses / ice cream) was set. This division was designed to pick up on sub-sector differences and reflect the broad balance of the agri-food sectors in the FSU. The survey instrument contains both open and closed questions. Numerical data was obtained on firm performance and background characteristics, the value of capital investments, contract relationships with farmers, the impact of contracting, quality standards and contract breaches. Open ended questions were designed to obtain qualitative information on the rationale for investments, contract decisions and future prospects. Interviews were conducted in relevant national languages with responses translated into English for cross-national analysis. Fieldwork was undertaken by: Naira Mkrtchyan and Vahe Heboyan (Armenia), Alexander Didebulidze (Georgia), Mikhail Dumitrashko and Anatolie Ignat (Moldova), Alexander Yermolov (Russia) and Alexander Skripnik (Ukraine). The sample of 60 enterprises collectively accounted for 18,556 employees in 2003 and had a combined turnover of 215.6 million USD. The mean level of employment for the sample was 309 full-time equivalents with an average turnover of just under 3.6 million USD per annum (Table 1). The sample therefore incorporates some major players in the FSU agri-food sector. 4 Table 1: Sample Characteristics by Country Country Armenia Georgia Moldova Russia Ukraine Sample size 12 12 12 12 12 Mean employment (2003) 134 527 259 218 409 Mean turnover (2003) 3,305,602 1,460,057 3,678,057 1,808,042 7,712,667 60 309 3,592,885 Total Key Findings This section summarizes the key findings of the interviews. For each point, reference is made to the relevant tables in Section B of the report. 1. Contracting between processors and farmers became more prevalent over the period 1997 to 2003 in the cases studied. The use of contracts with both small and large farmers grew but growth in the latter case has been greater. By 2003, more enterprises had contracts with larger farms than smaller farms but the reverse was true for sourcing from spot markets where relationships with small farmers are more prevalent. The use of other agents such as traders and intermediaries as a source of supply has also increased (Table 2). 2. As part of a contract a processor may provide support measures, such as credit, physical inputs and technical advice, to farmers. 38.3 per cent of processors in the sample offer credit to at least some of the farms that supply them. The corresponding figure for physical inputs is 33 per cent. On average the processors that offer credit and physical inputs do so to approximately one half of the farms that supply them and around 60 per cent of processors have a minimum size of farm below which they do not offer such support. Investment loans and machinery are far less commonly granted to farms and, when they occur, are offered on a more selective basis. Processors report that they rarely discriminate against smaller farmers in providing agronomic support, guaranteed prices or prompt payments (Table 3). 3. While several contract support measures are provided on a selective basis, overall their use is spreading to a larger number of farms. Only in a minority of cases is the mean percentage of farms to which a contract support measure is currently offered, lower than in the first year that the measure was introduced by the processor. The measures that are now more selectively offered are investment loans, harvesting and handling support and prompt payments. The impact of the first two measures has not been as successful as often hoped and the change in the number of farms with access to the latter two support measures has been small (Table 3) 5 4. Interviewees were asked to assess the mean impact of each contract support measure employed on farm yields and quality of output (measured as the percentage change in farm output reaching higher and basic standards as a result of the contract support measure). The mean impact across all contract support measures employed was a rise in farm yields by 9.1 per cent and an average increase of 9.5 per cent in the amount of farm level output reaching higher [extra class / premium class] standards. The impact on the amount of farm level output reaching basic standards was less as most agricultural output was judged to be reaching this level prior to the implementation of contract support. The measures with the greatest impact on yields were veterinary support, physical inputs and specialist storage (especially cooling equipment in the dairy sector) and a set of market measures (prompt payments, guaranteed prices and market access). In terms of raising quality, quality control support, veterinary support, physical inputs, market access and prompt payments have had the greatest impact. The returns to investment loans and machinery have been relatively poor (Table 3). 5. The majority of contract support measures have been introduced since 1999 and for proactive reasons. Proactive reasons were classified as a motivation to enhance product quality, improve competitive offerings and meet consumer demand. There is no relationship between year of introduction and the impact on yields or farm level quality. However the mean impact of contract support measures introduced for proactive reasons has been significantly greater than where measures have been introduced reactively (matching the support of competitors, protecting supply base). This suggests that the impact of contracting is not uniform or related to specific time-periods but is greatest for first-movers (Tables 10 and 11). 6. By analyzing changes in the proportion of agricultural raw materials supplied to processors that fell into premium, acceptable and rejected / unusable categories, changes over time in the quality of farm level output can be assessed. The majority of processors (61.7 per cent) saw an improvement in quality over the period 1997-2003. 11.7 and 26.7 per cent saw no change or worse farm product quality respectively. Those that saw an increase in product quality procured a significantly greater proportion of agricultural raw materials using contracts and also employed a significantly greater number of contract support measures (Tables 7, 8 and 9). 7. Many have expressed a concern that the spread of contracting leads to the marginalization of small farms. Marginalization can be looked at in two main ways: the number of small farms dealt with and the terms and conditions of those relationships. Regarding the first aspect, from the survey data there is little systematic evidence of marginalization: only just over 1 in 5 processors (21.7 per cent) reported that they were dealing with fewer small farms (defined as less than 1 hectare or 5 cows in the dairy sector) in 2003 than 1997. In contrast, 55 per cent are dealing with more small farms although the share of total raw materials 6 sourced from small farms has fallen in just over one-third of processors sampled. As demand has stabilized and increased in the FSU, processors have looked to source more agricultural raw materials and small farms have not, in the vast majority of cases, been excluded. However their terms and conditions as evidenced by the selective granting of contract support measures may be worse (see Table 3). 8. The results highlight more positive impacts of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) than negative. FDI-firms have made significantly greater capital investment (both as a total and per employee). Most of this investment has been in upgrading processing facilities. Western FDI-firms also employ a significantly greater number of contract support measures and, maybe somewhat surprisingly, source a significantly greater proportion of agricultural inputs from small farms. All but one of the 13 firms that have reduced the number of small farms that they deal with are owned by domestic private investors (Tables 4 and 12). 9. Exporting is associated strongly with FDI. As a result there is a high degree of overlap between the characteristics of exporters and FDI-firms. Exporters have made greater capital investments, source a greater proportion of the agricultural raw materials from small farms and significantly less from other agents. Exporters do employ a greater number of contract support measures (Table 13). 10. Few processors have specific plans to reduce the number of farmers they deal with. About one third expect to be dealing with fewer farmers in future but this is largely accounted for by farmer led initiatives (switching to different agricultural activities and exit from small scale agriculture as macroeconomic prospects recover) (Tables 14 and 15). 11. The most widespread problems faced by processors are ineffective or inappropriate market governance, problems procuring agricultural raw materials and meeting the challenge of the greater internationalization of markets. Supporting internationalization was identified as an investment and policy priority particularly as currently exporting is, with a few notable exceptions, largely limited to FDI-firms. International technical assistance and advice on exporting was seen as particularly important given that such specialist support typically cannot be obtained from local educational establishments. 12. A breakdown of results by country and sector is provided in Appendices 2 and 3 respectively. When interpreting the results in the appendices the small size of subsamples should be noted. The number of contract support measures offered is significantly higher in Armenia, Georgia and Moldova than Russia and Ukraine. This may reflect the greater level of FDI in the Armenian, Georgian and Moldovan samples, given the previously found link between FDI and contract support (Tables 12 and 16). Moldova also has the most fragmented supply base although some consolidation was witnessed in the period 2001-3. 7 13. Bearing in mind the small size of some sub-samples, contract support measures are most widely used in the sugar sector (mean of 5.75 measures employed per processor) and for wine / brandy. This may reflect how (a) sugar processors and wineries are procuring directly from farmers rather than agents / distributors, (b) FDI has been more significant in these sectors and (b) quality requirements are more acute in these sectors. A noticeably low proportion of supply comes from small farms in the sugar sector (6.3 per cent) although sugar refineries do deal with a large number of small farms (mean of 1275 in 2003). In the wine / brandy sector over three-quarters of grapes come from small farms and this may reflect why so many wineries in the FSU wish to purchase vineyards to provide a more stable supply of grapes that meets their quality requirements (Tables 18 and 19). 14. Analyzing only companies engaged in the dairy sector (Appendix 3) it is evident that contracting is most extensively developed in Moldova and Armenia. This can be discerned both in terms of the share of raw materials sourced using contracts with farms and the mean number of contract support measures employed. In Moldova this may reflect the higher level of Western-FDI and in Armenia a relatively high proportion of dairy output is exported. These findings are in line with the relationships between both Western FDI and exporting with contracting found for the full sample. 8 Part B: Analysis of Interview Findings Sources of Supply Table 2 details the different sources of supply utilized by processors in four years (1997, 1999, 2001 and 2003). Small farms were defined as producers with less than 1 hectare of land or, for the dairy sector, less than 5 animals. Table 2 presents the number of enterprises using a particular potential relationship to source farm-level output and the valid percentage figure corrects for missing data for earlier years in a small number of cases. Table 2: Use of potential supply relationships in sourcing agricultural raw materials (1997-2003) 1997 No. Valid % Spot markets - all - with small farmers - with larger farmers Contracts - all - with small farmers - with larger farmers Own farms Other agents 1999 No. Valid % 2001 No. Valid % 2003 No. Valid % 22 23 10 44.0 44.2 19.6 24 23 15 46.2 44.2 28.3 28 27 16 48.2 45.8 27.6 31 30 15 52.5 50.0 25.4 24 19 22 4 10 46.2 35.8 42.3 7.5 18.5 35 22 34 5 18 66.0 40.7 63.0 9.3 32.7 44 25 42 10 29 74.6 42.4 71.2 17.2 49.2 47 27 45 15 30 78.4 45.0 75.0 25.0 50.0 Table 2 reveals that the use of all potential means for sourcing agricultural raw materials increased over the period 1997 to 2003. This reflects the impact of macroeconomic recovery and the overall growth in processor level output during this period and a requirement to source more raw materials. The greatest growth has been recorded for contracting with larger farmers (from 42.3 to 75 per cent of the sample), using other agents and own farms, albeit the latter is from a low base. More enterprises have contracts with larger farms than with small farms but the reverse is true for sourcing from spot markets, where relationships with small farms are more prevalent. Between 1999 and 2003, there was relatively little change in the number of enterprises using spot markets as a source of supply with a slight decline in the number of processors using spot markets with larger farms in 2003 compared to 2001. These figures would suggest significant reforms are occurring in farmer – processor relationships: contracting is becoming more prevalent, especially with larger farmers; the use of spot markets as a source of supply is stagnating and the use of other agents such as intermediaries and traders increasing. One quarter of the sample was also engaged in farming in 2003 and most of this vertical ownership integration has occurred recently: in 1997 only 4 interviewees reported that their enterprise also had farming operations. 9 Contract Assistance Measures Table 3 details the distribution and mean impact of contract support measures on farm performance. Measures are listed in descending order of frequency with the most popular measures applied being prompt payments, transportation and monetary credit. One-third of the sample also provides physical inputs to at least some of the farms which supply them. Investment loans from processors to farmers are infrequent. Regarding those firms that apply a specific measure, the mean percentage of farms which received that measure in the first year of its operation and the current mean percentage of farms that have access to the measure is detailed, alongside the percentage of processors that operate a minimum size policy for applying a particular measure. These figures give an insight into the diffusion of measures and whether small farms are being excluded. Measures such as agronomic support, guaranteed prices and prompt payments are typically applied to the vast majority of farms with which a processor deals. Only 1 processor that offered prompt payments reported that they discriminated against small farms in applying the measure. Support measures such as investment loans and the provision of machinery are more selectively applied – the majority of processors that offer these supports do so selectively. Around 60 per cent of processors that offer credit and physical inputs also have a minimum farm size below which they do not offer these supports. Regarding diffusion, out of the 15 possible support measures listed in Table 3, in only 3 cases is the mean percentage of farms to which the measure is offered currently lower than in the first year the measure was introduced by the processor. This suggests that measures tend to be offered to more farms over time rather than assistance becoming more selective. The three cases where the mean has fallen are: investment loans, harvesting and handling support and prompt payments. The first two are capital intensive measures and the fall in the percentage of farms to which prompt payments are offered is small. The last three columns of Table 3 assess the mean percentage change in farm level yields, percentage of output that reaches higher standards and the percentage change in the amount of output meeting basic standards. The support measures with the largest impact on yields are the provision of specialist storage, veterinary support and physical inputs, followed by a set of market measures (prompt payments, guaranteed prices and market access). Each of these measures is credited with increasing yields by over 10 per cent. Specialist storage in the form of on-farm cooling tanks has been particularly important in raising yields and quality in the dairy sector, a trend also noted by Dries and Swinnen (2002). The impact of investment loans has been modest and this may explain why the number of farms to which this support is offered has been falling. The provision of machinery is also credited with having a low impact on farm level yields. In terms of raising the quality of output, particularly the percentage of output reaching higher standards, the most beneficial measures have been quality control support, veterinary support, physical inputs, market access and prompt payments. The link between quality control, veterinary support and higher quality farm level output appears reasonable. Machinery, financial and business support, and rather surprisingly, agronomic support, have had the lowest mean impact. Support measures have had less 10 impact on the amount of farm-level output that reaches basic standards, as most farm output already passes this threshold. For the latter, the most significant measures have been quality control, specialist storage and machinery. Table 3: Distribution and Impact of Contract Support Measures Distribution of support measure to farms Measure Prompt payments Transportation Credit Physical inputs Quality control Guaranteed prices Agronomic Support Farm loan guarantees Machinery Specialist storage Harvest / handling Market access Business / fin. management Veterinary support Investment loans Average No of firms offering support measure % of sample offering support Mean % of farms offered to in 1st year Mean % of farms offered current 28 46.7 88.0 84.5 % of firms operate minimu m farm size for measure 3.7 27 23 20 19 14 45.0 38.3 33.3 31.7 23.3 64.2 39.8 48.2 76.8 86.7 69.6 50.9 51.2 79.4 91.7 13 21.7 82.0 11 18.3 10 9 Impacts of specific contract support measure on farms Ave. % % chge in % chnge change in farm in farm farm output output yields due reaching reaching to higher basic measure standard standard 11.4 12.0 2.1 46.2 60.8 57.9 15.8 14.3 6.8 9.3 12.4 7.6 11.1 5.7 8.8 14.2 17.2 8.9 3.5 3.0 3.5 5.6 1.1 84.5 8.3 6.5 5.0 1.4 7.0 15.1 27.3 6.8 6.0 0.0 16.7 15.0 19.4 32.8 30.5 32.9 60.0 33.0 5.0 10.0 4.0 8.3 5.2 4.4 7 11.8 30.6 18.6 71.4 9.3 5.4 2.6 6 6 10.0 10.0 68.3 45.8 69.7 47.5 0.0 50.0 11.2 6.2 14.2 4.2 2.0 2.5 5 8.3 58.0 66.0 40.0 17.0 17.0 0.0 4 6.7 4.0 0.3 75.0 5.5 5.0 2.5 58.2 60.4 35.2 9.1 9.5 2.9 Foreign Investment Fourteen companies in the sample of 60 have received foreign direct investment (FDI). Of the 14-FDI firms, 11 have Western foreign investors and in three cases the investment has come from another FSU state. In comparing against domestically owned firms this distinction between Western FDI and FSU FDI is maintained. Regarding mean turnover and employment, there are no significant differences between three groups (Table 4). The mean turnover per employee, which is often used as a measure of productivity, is higher for the Western-FDI firms but the difference is not statistically significant. However significant differences are apparent regarding the amount of capital investment. Over the 11 previous six years, the mean level of capital investment in those enterprises that had received Western- and FSU-FDI was approximately 1.7 and 2.8 million USD respectively, compared to a mean of 0.73 million USD for those entirely domestically owned. A similar significant difference is observed when comparing the amount of capital investment per employee. Table 4: Characteristics of Foreign Investment Enterprises Employment (2003) Turnover USD (2003) Turnover per employee (2003) Total capital investment Capital investment per employee ** Significant at the 5% level Mean for Western foreign investors’ firms (n=11) 705 6,239,307 Mean for FSUFDI firms (n=3) F-test 230 1,633,333 Mean for domestically owned firms (n=46) 220 3,087,842 20,000 8353 14,625 1.010 1,706,570 8,431 2,766,667 13,063 726,686 4,648 2.388 1.380 4.712** 3.084** Marginalization of Small Farmers? To investigate whether small farms are being excluded from food supply chains, the survey solicited information on the share of agricultural raw materials procured from small farms by each processor in four years (1997, 1999, 2001 and 2003). Similar data was collected regarding the total number of small farms that each processor dealt with in the same four years. Small farms, as discussed above, were defined as producers with less than 1 hectare of land or, for the dairy sector, less than 5 animals. From these questions it is possible to analyze how the share of total agricultural raw materials sourced by processors from small farms has changed since 1997 together with an assessment of the number of small farms with which they have a relationship (Table 5). If data was not available for 1997, the assessment was made on the difference between the least recent year for which information was available and the figures for 2003. A comparison is also drawn for the 2001-2003 only, to identify the most recent trends. 12 Table 5: Change in share of agricultural raw materials sourced from small farms and number of small farms dealt with Decrease No change Increase Never deal with small farmers Total Change in share of agricultural raw material Change in number of small farms dealt with sourced from small farms 1997-2003 2001-2003 1997-2003 2001-2003 No. Percent No. Percent No. Percent No. Percent 22 36.7 18 30.0 13 21.7 11 18.3 12 20.0 20 33.3 3 5.0 8 13.3 15 25.0 9 15.0 33 55.0 28 46.7 11 18.3 13 21.7 11 18.3 13 21.7 60 100.0 60 100.0 60 100.0 60 100.0 For the period 1997-2003, Table 5 indicates that in just over one third of enterprises, the share of agricultural raw materials sourced from small farms declined with an increase registered in about a quarter of interviewees’ businesses. Twelve firms report no change and 11 have never dealt with small farmers. In terms of the number of small farms dealt with, however, a majority report an increase. This increase in the number of small farms in many cases was due to political reforms (land reform and decollectivization) rather than processors’ strategies. For example 10 out 12 companies in Moldova reported an increase in the number of small farms they dealt with over the period 1997-2003. During this era, Moldova implemented a radical National Land Program that saw the break up of former state and collective farms with distribution of land and physical assets to members. Only 13 of the enterprises interviewed reported that they dealt with fewer small farms in 2003 than in 1997 and 3 indicated no change over this time period. This implies that there are a number of processors for which while the share of agricultural raw materials sourced from small farms is declining are nonetheless dealing with more small farms. For the 2001-2003 period slightly fewer processors recorded a growth in the number of small farm suppliers and this may reflect some consolidation. Overall, there is a lack of evidence of small farms being systematically excluded. The characteristics of the 13 enterprises that reduced the number of small farms that they dealt with between 1997 and 2003 are presented in Table 6. Of the 13 enterprises, 6 are located in Russia, 3 in Georgia, 2 in Armenia and 1 each in Ukraine and Moldova. Compared to the rest of the sample, those firms which have reduced the number of small farms that they deal with are larger when measured by the total number of employees but this is significant only at the 10 per cent level. There are no significant differences between the two groups regarding their turnover, percentage of sales to the domestic market and foreign investment. On this measure, there is no evidence of a linkage between FDI and the exclusion of small farms. 13 Table 6: Comparison of the characteristics of firms that have reduced the number of small farms that they deal with compared to the rest of the sample No. of employees (2003) Turnover (2003) % of sales to domestic market % of enterprise shares owned by domestic private investors % of enterprise shares owned by Western foreign investors * Significant at the 10% level Mean for firms that have reduced no. of small farm suppliers (n=13) 602 2,566,883 80.4 86.2 Mean for rest of sample (n=47) 6.15 228 3,876,673 71.2 80.2 13.4 t-test -1.788* .686 -.813 -.560 .842 Product Quality For the years 1997, 1999, 2001 and 2003, dairies were asked to indicate the percentage of milk delivered to them that was extra class, first class, second class and rejected / unusable. Enterprises without dairy operations were asked, for the same years, to indicate the percentage of agricultural raw materials supplied to them that was of premium quality, acceptable quality and rejected / unusable. From these figures it is possible to assess changes in the quality of farm produce supplied to processors. An improvement indicates that a greater proportion of produce fell into premium / extra class categories with less being deemed unusable or rejected.1 Table 7 reveals that the majority of firms report an improvement in the quality of farm level produce supplied to them. 16 reported that quality worsened with 7 enterprises indicating no change. Table 7: Overall change in the quality of farm produce supplied to processors (1997-2003) Classification category Worse No change Improvement Total Frequency 16 7 37 60 Percent 26.7 11.7 61.7 100.0 A breakdown of changes in quality by country (Table 8) reveals that 7 of the 12 companies in the Russian sample indicate that quality decreased over the assessed period. The 3 companies in Moldova that had suffered from a decrease in product quality were all engaged in fruit and vegetable processing. In 2003, Moldova suffered from a particularly cold winter and dry spring and this was seen as the main explanation for failing yields and quality in these cases (FAO, 2003). Similar reasons were given by the interviewees for the two cases of worsening product quality in Armenia. In Russia and Ukraine there is no clear link with a particular sector or factor. 1 The comparison was made for 1997 to 2003. If data for 1997 was not available, the comparison was made for 1999 with 2003. 14 Table 8: Overall change in the quality of farm produce supplied to processors by country Armenia Georgia Moldova Russia Ukraine Total Worsen 2 1 3 7 3 16 Change in product quality No change Improve 2 8 0 11 0 9 0 5 5 4 7 37 Total 12 12 12 12 12 60 Product Quality and Contracting It is possible to look at the linkage between the product quality data reported above and contracting in two ways. First, are there significant differences between the firms that report improving, no change and worsening product quality and the percentage of agricultural raw materials procured using contracts? Second, one would expect that an improvement in product quality is associated with the use of the contract assistance measures detailed in Table 3. Table 9 reveals that there are significant differences between firms that report worse, no change and improved product quality on both these measures. Those firms that report an improvement in the quality of agricultural raw materials supplied to them procure a greater proportion using contracts. On average those that have witnessed an improvement in farm level product quality, procure 56.5 per cent of agricultural raw materials using contracts compared to only 30.3 per cent for those that have suffered from worsening product quality. A significant difference is also apparent regarding the mean number of contract assistance measures employed (based on the 15 possible assistance measures listed in Table 3) and product quality. The mean number of contract assistance measures employed by firms that have witnessed improved product quality is 4.24 compared against 2.00 and 1.86 for those registering a worsening situation and no change respectively. Table 9: Relationship between contracting and product quality Change in product quality supplied Worse No change Improve Total Percentage of raw material bought using contracts in 2003 30.3 37.9 56.5 47.4 F-test (ANOVA comparison of 3.014* means) *** 1% level of significance, * 10% level of significance Mean number of contract support measures used 2.00 1.86 4.24 3.37 6.195*** 15 First Mover Advantage and the Impact of Contracting For each contract support measure employed, information was elicited from interviewees on their motivation for introducing the measure. Motivations were divided into proactive reasons (improve product quality, gain a competitive advantage, meet customer needs) or reactive (defend supply base against competition, survival etc.). While not all explanations could be divided into proactive or reactive reasons, in about 190 cases motivations could be categorized in this manner. The mean impact of contract support measures when employed for proactive or reactive reasons is compared in Table 10. Table 10: Mean impact of contract support measures introduced for proactive or reactive reasons Mean % change in yields Mean % change in output meeting highest grade Mean % change in output reaching basic standards Motivation Reactive Proactive No. 44 150 Mean 5.07 10.33 Std. Dev. 8.98 11.45 Reactive Proactive 43 150 3.17 11.35 8.41 13.29 Reactive Proactive 43 148 1.67 3.22 4.83 6.03 t-test -2.803*** -3.812*** -1.546 *** significant at 0.01 level Table 10 reveals that the mean impact on yields and the percentage of output reaching highest grade standards was significantly larger for measures introduced for proactive reasons. For the percentage of output reaching basic standards, where impacts overall are more modest, no significant differences are evident. For the other two measures the differences between the proactive and reactive groups are striking: the mean impact on yields is twice as great for the proactive group and the differential for the percentage change in output reaching highest grade standards is even higher. This suggests that the impact of contracting is not uniform but depends on the nature of the market and the degree to which other firms also offer contract assistance measures. First movers in offering contract assistance measures appear to reap the greatest rewards. Where contracting is introduced to protect the supply base of a processor which is under threat from others, contracting still has a positive effect on yields and quality but the benefits are far smaller. While there are significant differences between the impact of contract support measures introduced for proactive and reactive reasons, there are no significant relationships with year of introduction (Table 11). The survey recorded the year in which each contract support measure was introduced and they have been coded into four categories: up to and including 1996, 1997 to 1999, 2000 to 2001 and 2002 to 2003. The mean impact on yields and percentage change in farm output reaching the highest standards was highest for measures introduced in the period 2000 to 2001, but differences between year groups are not significant. This would suggest the impact of contracting is related more to 16 market conditions such as the contract relationships of competitors rather than the specific year of introduction. 17 Table 11: Comparison of Impact of Contract Support Measures by Year Introduced Year groups 1996 and previous Mean No. Std. Dev. 1997-1999 Mean No. Std. Dev. 2000-2001 Mean No. Std. Dev. 2002-2003 Mean No. Std. Dev. Total Mean No. Std. Dev. Mean % change Mean % change in Mean % change in in yields output meeting output reaching basic highest grade standards 6.88 9.96 3.09 34 34 34 8.34 9.06 6.52 9.24 9.92 3.55 77 77 76 11.65 11.91 6.40 11.18 10.81 2.44 50 49 48 12.61 16.36 5.73 8.36 6.31 1.78 32 32 32 9.89 12.31 3.10 9.18 9.55 2.89 193 192 190 11.14 12.84 5.82 Anova F-test 1.078 0.866 0.824 FDI, Product Quality and Contracting Comparing firms which have received FSU or Western FDI with the rest of the sample regarding contracting and product quality, significant differences are apparent (Table 12). First, Western FDI enterprises use a significantly greater number of contract support measures (as listed in Table 3) than the other 2 groups. Western FDI firms use an average of 4.91 contract support measures compared to means of 1.67 and 3.12 for FSU-FDI firms and wholly domestically owned companies respectively. Second, and somewhat surprisingly, both Western and FSU FDI firms source a significantly greater proportion of agricultural raw materials from small farms. Enterprises with Western and FSU foreign investment source on average 57.3 and 63.3 per cent of their agricultural raw materials from small farms (both spot markets and contracts) respectively compared to 30.9 per cent for domestically owned companies. Domestically owned companies source a significantly greater proportion from other agents (30.2 per cent of total supplies) compared to a mean of 5.7 per cent for Western FDI-firms (Table 12). Both Western and FSU FDI-firms are also engaged in far greater levels of exporting. While about four-fifths of the output of wholly domestically owned firms is sold on the domestic market, the respective figures for Western and FSU FDI-firms are only 47.9 and 55.7 per cent. 18 Table 12: Characteristics of Foreign Investment Enterprises regarding contracting Mean for Western foreign investors’ firms (n=11) Mean for FSU-FDI firms (n=3) Mean for domestically owned firms (n=46) F-test between three groups Total number of 4.91 1.67 3.12 2.857* contract support measures used % of supplies 73.3 3.66 44.0 5.256*** bought using contracts (2003) **% of supplies 17.5 66.7 21.8 2.8836* bought from spot markets (2003) % of supply from 57.3 63.3 30.9 3.685** small farms (both spot markets and contract) 2003 % of supply from 33.6 7.0 34.9 1.206 large farms (both spot markets and contract) 2003 % of supply 5.7 11.3 30.2 2.852* bought from other agents % of output sold 47.9 55.7 80.2 4.272** on domestic market * Significant at the 10% level; ** Significant at the 5% level, *** significant at the 1% level T-test comparing Western FDI and domestic owned only -2.059** -2.382** 0.402 -2.417** 0.125 2.244** 2.809*** Exporting and Relationships with Investment and Contracting From the 60 enterprises in the dataset, 32 are engaged in exporting (53.3 per cent). About one quarter of the sample export more than 50 per cent of their total output and as detailed in Table 12, both Western FDI and FSU-FDI firms export a significantly greater proportion of their output. Examining other associations, Table 13 presents a correlation coefficient matrix detailing the relationships between the percentage of sales to the domestic market and the key variables on contracting, use of contract support measures and investment. The correlations between the percentage of total sales accounted for by the domestic market and other variables are marked in bold font. There are significant, negative correlations between the percentage of sales to the domestic market and total investment, capital investment per employee, the proportion of total supply from small farms and the total number of contract support measures. In other words exporting is associated with greater capital investment and exporters source proportionally more from small farms and employ a higher number of contract support measures. Given the linkage between 19 exporting and FDI, the similarity between the supply relationships with exporting (Table 13) and the supply characteristics of FDI-firms (Table 12) is understandable. 20 Table 13: Correlation Coefficient Matrix for Relationships between Exporting, Contracting and Investment Value of total investments Value of total investments % of supply from small farms (both spot markets and contract) 2003 Total number of contract support measures used % of sales to domestic market % of ag. supply from other agents (2003) % of raw material bought using contracts (2003) % of supply Total number from small of contract farms (both support spot markets & measures used contract) 2003 1 .232* .210 1 % of raw Capital % of sales to % of ag. supply from other material bought investment per domestic employee market agents (2003) using contracts (2003) (2003) Total employment (2003) -.313** -.298** -.015 .563*** .151 -.023 -.353*** -.576*** .096 .373*** -.128 1 -.322** -.303** .393*** .042 .104 1 .295** .048 -.232* .227* 1 -.512*** -.278** -.063 1 .188 -.084 1 -.153 Capital investment per employee (2003) Total employment (2003) 1 *** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level; ** Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level; * Correlation is significant at the 10% level 21 Future Developments As part of the survey, interviewees were asked how and why the number of suppliers to their enterprise would change in future. From these responses, predicted changes in the number of suppliers were categorized as likely to decrease, no change or increase (Table 14). Table 14: Predicted change in number of suppliers Predicted likely change Frequency Valid Percent Decrease 19 32.2 No change 16 27.1 Increase 24 40.7 Total1 59 100.0 1 One interviewee did not feel able to make a prediction The largest single category (40.7 per cent) predict that their enterprise will increase its number of suppliers in future and the main reason for this is an expected expansion in demand. While just under one-third predict a decrease in the number of suppliers, this does not imply that the majority within this group have a policy of deliberately excluding certain farms. Out of the 19 cases, 12 cite principally farmer led reasons for their predictions of a future fall in the number of suppliers. The two main farmer led reasons cited were a movement into different agricultural activities (for example milk farmers slaughtering their dairy cows because of high current meat prices) and an exit of small farmers as a result of an upturn in fortunes in the rest of the economy which will make the low returns to small-scale agriculture less attractive. The latter pattern has been witnessed in many Central European states and should not be interpreted as a deliberate marginalization of small farms. Only 7 interviewees cited that they have specific initiatives for reducing the number of farmers they deal with and in 3 cases this was linked to backward integration into farming. While noting the small size of sub-samples, comparisons can be drawn between current supply practices and predicted future changes in suppliers (Table 15). There are no significant differences in the size of enterprises predicting increases, decreases or no change in the number of suppliers. However, those that are predicting a future rise in the number of suppliers, currently deal with a small number of large farms (mean of 19 compared to averages of 113 and 223 for the decrease and no change groups respectively). It may be that they are operating in regions with a dearth of large farms and thus to meet rises in demand they require an increasing number of suppliers. The firms predicting a future growth in the number of suppliers also deal with substantial numbers of small farms (mean of 883), although differences between the three groups are not statistically significant. There are no significant differences between the predicted increase, decrease and no change groups in terms of the amount supplied via spot markets or contracts with large farms. However, regarding contracts with small farms there are significant differences with those predicting a fall in the number of suppliers sourcing a high proportion of total 22 supply from small farms via contracts (31.8 per cent compared to just 1.9 per cent of the no change group). This may suggest that small farms could be squeezed in future although other questions have indicated that the fall in small farms is more likely to be farmer-led than as a result of specific plans to exclude them by processors. Table 15: Comparison between current supply practices and predicted future changes in number of suppliers Practices / figures for 2003 Means for predict decrease group 171 31.8 Means for no change group Total employment 315 Share of supply from contracts 1.9 with small farms Share of supply from contracts 28.4 36.3 with large farms Share of supply from spot markets 19.9 13.0 with small farms Share of supply from spot markets 7.7 5.1 with large farms Share of supply from other agents 8.2 39.3 Number of small farm suppliers 351.4 600.9 Number of large farms suppliers 112.5 222.9 *** Significant at the 0.01 level; ** Significant at the 0.05 level; Means for increase group F-test 424 19.6 0.712 5.288*** 23.5 0.932 20.8 0.325 1.3 1.534 28.9 883.0 19.0 4.750** 0.535 2.292 Qualitative Findings on Business Constraints and National Government and World Bank Priorities In addition to collecting numerical data, respondents were asked several open-ended questions: to identify the key constraints that their business faced, the impact of national government decision-making on their enterprise, and the role they saw for international agencies such as the World Bank. These questions generated a rich and diverse set of answers some of which were specific to particular states and markets. This section summarizes the most widespread opinions on these issues. Regarding business constraints, the most commonly cited problem was a lack of effective market governance. This has two main elements: first, the continued operations of ‘shadow / black’ economy producers that avoid taxes, social security obligations and have engaged in counterfeiting brands and smuggling. Such producers, by avoiding these obligations, have a lower cost structure and are able to undercut other producers. For example, one cheese manufacturer in Armenia suggested that differences in tax payments accounted for a 25 per cent variation in producers’ costs and a winemaker in Moldova indicated that excise duties on alcohol were equal to 50 per cent of the cost of raw materials. Counterfeiting has undermined the value of nationally well known brands, particularly in the wine and spirits sector. One Georgian wine producer indicated that counterfeiters were falsifying one of their premium brands and were selling it at a price lower than which the company was paying for its raw materials. Clearly, from a 23 marketing perspective it is difficult to develop premium brands and added value products in a business environment characterized by weak governance and legal protection. Second, demands for bribes by inspection agencies and state officials were reported as still being widespread. For example one Moldovan fruit and vegetable processor reported that about twenty different state controls were introduced in their industry on a yearly basis with little benefit to consumers or producers, only those administrating them. This point was echoed by most interviewees in Georgia. The culture of national state administrations was seen as a major impediment to the effective implementation of loans and aid from international agencies. The most frequently cited resource issue was problems procuring raw materials. As final demand in the region has increased, and in some cases farm production has been severely disrupted by land reform, the procurement of supplies of sufficient quantity and quality has become more challenging and this has motivated the increased diversity of sources (Table 2) and the investment in contracting and contract support measures (Table 3). This has been particularly noticeable in the dairy sector but not limited to it; respondents from wineries and the fruit and vegetable sector reported similar difficulties. While the survey did not explicitly collect data on prices, real increases in both raw material and final product prices were reported by many. Internationalization is perceived as the main marketing challenge, both in terms of coping with growing imports and also effectively serving a wider geographical market either at the national or international level. The main barriers to exporting are perceived as harmonizing production with international standards, establishing effective distribution and poor bargaining terms as a result of the strong negotiating positions of intermediaries (in particular supermarkets). Distributors often default on exclusivity agreements, carrying competitors’ lines, despite the existence of contracts which prohibit such actions. Helping meet the challenge of the internationalization of markets was identified as an investment / policy priority. As identified in Table 12, export experience is largely confined, with a few notable exceptions, to FDI-firms. For wholly domestically owned firms, international assistance to aid the harmonization of national and international standards and provide technical advice on exporting was seen as particularly important as, as one respondent remarked, such specialist advice typically cannot be obtained from local universities, colleges and other educational agencies. To conclude, the most widespread problems faced by processors are ineffective or inappropriate market governance, problems procuring agricultural raw materials and meeting the challenge of the greater internationalization of markets. These challenges are common across the states surveyed and should form the basis of any policy initiatives. Conclusions and Policy Recommendations Overall, the spread of contracting has been beneficial. Based on survey findings, farm-processor contracting has become more prevalent in the FSU region, contract support measures have stimulated improvement in yields and the 24 quality of output, and such supports have been introduced in the majority of cases for proactive reasons. There is a significant association between improvements in product quality and the percentage of output bought using contracts and the mean number of contract support measures employed. Improving yields and output Investment loans and machinery grants have been mainstays of many development projects yet the impact on yields and improvements in product quality of these two measures in the FSU has been modest. Specialist storage (especially cooling tanks in the dairy sector), veterinary support, prompt payments, guaranteed prices and physical inputs have had bigger effects on average yields. Improving the proportion of output reaching higher standards has been achieved most successfully through quality control, market access, veterinary support and physical inputs. This suggests that improvements to yields and quality are linked to five main factors: a) Preserving the quality of what is already produced. A major problem in the FSU has been the storage of production prior to processing. In the dairy sector the lack of effective cooling facilities rapidly decreases the value of milk produced and in the arable sector, post-harvest losses through inappropriate storage have eroded competitiveness (Striewe, 1999). Investments in farm level production will generate poor returns if the effective means to store output prior to processing are absent. b) The impact of veterinary support on yields and product quality has also been significant. While returns to agronomic support have been modest, interviewees repeatedly stressed that a willingness to learn, take on board advice and a professional attitude was as, if not, more important than size in establishing a fruitful farm-processor relationship. Land reform programs have created a more diverse and fragmented agricultural base in most FSU states. Disseminating technical advice to farms becomes more difficult under these conditions and attention needs to be given to how this can be best achieved. While farmprocessor contracting is one mechanism for the dissemination of technical advice, with processors rarely discriminating against small farms on such measures, a question remains as to whether such private support mechanisms are sufficient in all areas. c) Premiums are an important element in stimulating improvements in quality at the farm level. This underpins why market access, as a potential contract support measure, is linked to above average improvements in yields and quality. The availability of financial premiums for higher quality is linked to both final demand on the domestic market and export opportunities. While poverty is still endemic in the FSU, a new middle class is emerging and there is an important opportunity for domestic firms to meet the demand for value-added products both nationally and internationally. 25 d) The provision of physical inputs has had an above average (compared to other contract support measures) impact on yields and quality. The mean impact of the provision of physical inputs has been greater than credit. This may reflect that credit can be more easily diverted to other, non-farm activities and difficult to monitor (Gow et al. 2000). Both public and private sector support in the region has suffered from resources being diverted from the intended programs, particularly where the use of resources has been difficult to monitor. Programs that improve market access and the dissemination of veterinary and quality control advice are likely to have beneficial effects on yields and quality, and offer an additional advantage in that they should be easier to monitor and thus less likely to suffer from diversion of resources. Given interviewees’ discussion of inappropriate market governance, evaluating support measures in terms of the ease with which resources can be diverted to alternative uses should be one criterion used in assessing any future policy choices. e) Improvements in yields and quality are also linked to a set of market measures particularly prompt payments and guaranteed prices. Cash flow is a major concern and the linkage between delayed payments and falls in output has been discussed elsewhere (Gow and Swinnen, 2001). The positive benefits of FDI are apparent and FDI should be encouraged. While not significantly different in terms of their size, both Western and FSU-FDI firms have made significantly greater capital investments, particularly in upgrading processing faculties. Upgrading processing facilities, particularly so that they can access export markets, has been identified as a major challenge for the FSU successor states. Western FDI-firms offer significantly more contract support measures which is linked to improving yields and increasing farm-level quality. One often expressed concern of FDI is that it can lead to the marginalization of small farms (Escobal et al. 2000). To date there is no evidence of this – only one FDI-firm has reduced the number of small farms it deals with and results presented indicate that FDI-firms actually source a significantly greater proportion of supplies from small farms. In dealing with the debate on the marginalization of small farms two sets of distinctions should be noted. First, marginalization can be defined in terms of (a) an exclusion of small farms from formal food supply chains and (b) small farms being offered significantly worse terms and conditions. There is little evidence that small farms are being excluded but they may receive poorer terms and access to contract support measures (for example around 60 per cent of processors that offer credit and physical inputs to farmers do have a minimum farm size below which this contract support measure is not offered). However, contract support measures have overall become available to an increasing number of farmers after their introduction rather than support becoming progressively more selective. There is thus little indication that the introduction of contract support measures reduces farm access to inputs and technical advice. Secondly regarding marginalization, a decrease in the number of small farms a processor deals with can come from either farm or processor level initiatives. To date, farm level 26 initiatives such as switching to different agricultural activities or exiting small-scale agriculture altogether appear more important than processor led strategies. As economies recover in the FSU, the exit of labor from small scale agriculture is inevitable and should not be taken as an indicator of processor led exclusion. The qualitative data collected indicates that the most widespread problems faced by processors are ineffective or inappropriate market governance, problems procuring agricultural raw materials and meeting the challenge of the greater internationalization of markets. Helping meet the challenge of internationalization was identified as an investment and policy priority. It is noticeable that exporting is, with a few notable exceptions, largely limited to FDI-firms and most domestically owned firms lack experience in this field. International assistance to aid the harmonization of national and international standards and provide technical advice on exporting was seen particularly as important given that such specialist advice typically cannot be obtained from local educational establishments. References Blanchard, O. and Kremer, M. (1997), ‘Disorganization’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol.112, No.4, pp.1091-1126 Churchill, G. A. (1999), Marketing Research: Methodological foundations, Orlando: Dryden Press. Dries, L. and Swinnen, J.F.M. (2002), Finance, Investments, and Restructuring in Polish Agriculture, Research Group on Food Policy, Transition & Development, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, mimeo Escobal, J., Agreda, V. and Reardon, T. (2000), ‘Endogenous institutional innovation and agroindustrialization on the Peruvian coast’, Agricultural Economics, Vol.23, pp.267277 FAO, (2003), Moldova: Tight food supply envisaged following a severely cold winter and exceptionally dry spring, FAO Global Information and Early Warning System on Agriculture and Food, 22nd July, http://www.fao.org/docrep/005/y9985e/y9985e00.htm Gow, H.R., Streeter, D.H. and Swinnen, J.F.M. (2000), ‘How private contract enforcement mechanisms can succeed where public institutions fail: the case of Juhocukor a.s.’, Agricultural Economics, Vol.23, No.3, pp.253-265 27 Gow, H.R. and Swinnen, J.F.M. (2001), ‘Private enforcement capital and contract enforcement in transitional economies’, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol.83, No.3, pp.686-690. Lincoln, Y. S. and Guba, E. G. (1985), Naturalistic Inquiry, Beverly Hills: Sage. Merriam, S. (1998), Qualitative Research and Case Study Applications in Education, San Francisco: Jossey-Bass. Striewe, L., (1999), Grain and Oilseed Marketing in Ukraine, Iowa State University Ukraine Agricultural Policy Project (UAPP), Kiev. 28 Appendix 1: Country Comparisons Table 16 summaries cross-country comparisons for mean values and ANOVA F-tests relating to market structure, firm characteristics, supply base and contracting. Table 16: Comparison of Market Structure, Firm Characteristics, Supply Base and Contracting by Country Armenia Georgia Moldova Russia Ukraine F-test Market Structure % of sales to domestic 63.92 53.86 51.58 96.25 99.83 6.827*** market of sales to other CEECs 27.50 29.88 39.42 1.50 0.10 5.709*** / FSU % of sales to EU-15 0.42 6.82 6.83 1.25 0.00 1.831 % of sales to RoW 8.17 9.44 3.00 1.00 0.07 1.870 Firm Characteristics Employment (2003) Turnover (2003) Value of investments (USD) Capital investment (USD) per employee (2003) % of cap. privately owned % of cap. foreign owned Supply Base No. of suppliers (2003) No. of suppliers (2001) No. of suppliers per employee (2003) No. of suppliers per employee (2001) 133.92 3,305,603 607,250 526.58 1,460,057 651,908 259.00 3,678,057 2,009,909 218.08 1,808,042 409,667 408.75 7,712,667 1,520,500 8,064 3,290 9,878 3,610 3,978 2.245* 80.58 70.26 61.88 94.92 100.00 3.188** 19.42 21.41 37.54 0.00 0.00 673.0 534.5 4.6 388.6 252.8 6.2 728.7 550.7 2.9 184.7 155.8 8.3 1,650.9 879.3 10.5 1.261 0.675 0.301 6.0 5.7 3.3 6.7 1.5 0.327 Contracting % of raw material 59.25 32.42 64.96 46.42 33.75 bought using farm contracts (2003) Mean number of 4.00 3.67 5.33 1.50 2.33 contract support measures employed % of supply from small 42.67 40.58 55.67 25.89 22.08 farms (both spot & cont.) % of supply from large 33.25 30.58 37.46 26.61 38.33 farms (both spot & cont.) Number of small farms 605.64 338.17 639.64 165.00 1,409.09 dealt with (2003) Number of large farms 186.42 17.58 79.92 14.67 216.00 deal with (2003) * Significant at the 10% level; ** Significant at the 5% level, *** significant at the 1% level 0.623 2.184* 2.861** 3.667*** 1.834 4.758*** 1.919 0.296 0.982 1.195 29 From Table 16, the discussion presented here is limited to those findings which are most noteworthy. The percentage of sales accounted for by the domestic market varies significantly between countries. In Russia and Ukraine most sales are made within national boundaries, while for Armenia, Georgia and Moldova a greater proportion of sales are exported. The greater proportion of exports for Armenia, Georgia and Moldova reflects the smaller size of their domestic market and limited national opportunities for growth. On closer examination it is revealed that the majority of exports go to other CEECs / FSU. No statistically significant differences are recorded for export sales to the EU-15 or the rest of the world. Whilst differences exist between countries in terms of firm size as measured by the mean number of employees (the mean figure for Armenia being nearly four times that for Georgia), these differences were not found to be statistically significant. By contrast, differences in mean turnover between countries were statistically significant at the ten per cent level, with Georgian and Russian firms reporting the lowest turnovers, and Ukraine the highest. Given the number of comments made relating to high taxation rates and the shadow economy, one must be careful in interpreting turnover data - it is not always clear whether data reflect genuine differences in terms of the performance of firms, or rather a difference in terms of willingness to divulge accurate financial data. The mean values of capital investments are significantly higher in Moldova and Ukraine, than for Armenia, Georgia and Russia. When analyzing the amount of capital investment per employee the highest figures are recorded for Moldova and Armenia. Capital investment in both absolute terms and relative to firm size has been modest in the Georgian and Russian samples. The Moldovan results reflect the higher level of foreign direct investment which is linked significantly with capital investment (see Table 4). No statistically significant differences were recorded between countries in relation to firms’ supply bases. Whilst recognizing this, it is interesting to note the extent to which supplier numbers vary from country to country. For example, Ukrainian firms utilized nearly ten times as many suppliers as their Russian counterparts in 2003. In part this reflects differences in firm size, differences are far less apparent when considering the number of suppliers per employee. The number of suppliers per employee can be taken as indication of the degree of fragmentation of the supply base. The lowest supplieremployee ratio was recorded for Moldova, which along with Armenia was the only country to see a reduction in the supplier-employee ratio between 2001 and 2003. The fall in Moldova may reflect a degree of consolidation in land management following land reform and radical decollectivization in the late 1990s Only one statistically significant relationship was identified for contracting, namely the mean number of contract support measures employed. The number of support measures offered is significantly higher in Armenia, Georgia and Moldova than Russia and Ukraine. This may reflect the greater level of FDI in the Armenian, Georgian and Moldovan samples, given the previously found link between FDI and contract support (Table 12). 30 Table 17 details the use of contract support measures by country. Contract support appears to be most well developed in Moldova and least prevalent in Russia and Ukraine. The figure for Moldova may reflect: the importance of export markets, the importance of wine / brandy, fruit and vegetable and sugar production (see Appendix 2) and the influence of FDI. Credit is widely given in Moldova and a majority also provides prompt payments and transportation. In Russia, by contrast, apart from transportation and machinery, other support measures are offered by processors in 25 per cent or less cases. It is noticeable that not a single processor in Russia reports that they offer prompt payments or guaranteed prices. The Russian sample is overwhelmingly domestically owned and it may be that if FDI occurred and foreign investors started providing better farm level support, domestically owned processors would be forced to improve their offerings. Table 17: Percentage of firms in each country offering particular support measure to at least some of the farms they deal with Armenia No of firms Measures Credit Physical inputs Machinery Transportation Agronomic support Veterinary support Bus / financial man. support Harvest / handling support Farm loan guarantees Investment loans Specialist storage Quality control Market access Prompt payments Guaranteed prices Mean number of contract support measures Georgia Moldova Russia Ukraine 12 12 12 12 12 41.7 50.0 0.0 16.7 16.7 25.0 8.3 0.0 25.0 0.0 8.3 50.0 33.3 75.0 50.0 4.00 8.3 16.7 8.3 83.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 8.3 41.7 33.3 8.3 75.0 25.0 3.67 75.0 41.7 25.0 58.3 41.7 16.7 41.7 16.7 41.7 25.0 16.7 33.3 8.3 66.7 25.0 5.33 25.0 25.0 41.7 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.50 41.7 33.3 8.3 16.7 16.7 0.0 0.0 16.7 16.7 0.0 8.3 41.7 0.0 16.7 16.7 2.33 31 Appendix 2: Sector Comparisons The main characteristics of firms in each sector and their contracting and supply relationships are summarised in Table 18. Table 18: Comparison of Means for Market Structure, Firm Characteristics, Supply Base and Contracting by Sector Liquid Speciality Wine / Fruit and Sugar Other milk dairy brandy Veg. No. of companies 20 10 10 8 4 8 Market Structure % of sales to dom. markt % of sales to other CEECs / FSU % of sales to EU-15 % of sales to RoW Firm Characteristics Employment (2003) Turnover (2003) Value of investments (USD) Capital invest (USD) per employee (2003) % of capital privately owned % of capital foreign owned Supply Base No. of suppliers (2003) No. of suppliers (2001) No. of suppliers per employee (2003) No. of suppliers per employee (2001) Contracting % of raw material bought using farm contracts (2003) Total number of contract support measures employed % of supply from small farms (both spot & cont.) % of supply from large farms (both spot & cont.) Number of small farms deal with (2003) Number of large farms deal with (2003) Total 60 96.8 2.1 78.5 16.0 24.0 62.3 46.2 35.3 95.0 5.0 84.4 6.8 73.1 19.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 5.5 2.6 11.1 12.2 7.6 0.0 0.0 5.6 3.3 3.1 4.3 283.9 3,739,089 530,167 94.1 1,914,178 446,333 245.2 5,867,101 1,831,119 193.5 2,498,179 1,322,125 462.5 8,022,500 2,850,000 760.9 1,362,887 436,463 309.3 3,592,885 1,005,963 2743.6 9221.2 7231.2 10,303.7 6140.4 2040.3 5754.4 85.9 91.5 67.7 70.6 74.4 90.0 81.5 11.0 8.0 32.3 16.9 25.6 10.0 15.7 689.9 185.5 6.28 75.0 61.7 2.90 1638.8 1196.4 11.24 484.8 399.0 13.64 1979.3 2298.5 3.52 54.1 47.0 0.47 715.5 457.7 6.55 1.45 3.33 12.76 11.71 3.37 0.57 4.82 58.8 38.5 47.8 51.3 52.4 22.9 47.4 3.25 3.50 4.20 3.63 5.75 1.00 3.37 33.8 28.7 79.1 41.4 6.3 16.7 37.4 39.7 19.8 12.0 57.4 61.1 22.5 33.2 635 30 1604 382 1275 39 618 88 39 30 103 704 10 103 32 Comparing across the 6 sectors, liquid milk, sugar and the ‘other category’ are most oriented to the domestic market. Exporting is significant in the wine / brandy and fruit and vegetable sectors, where in both cases most exports go to other CEECs and FSU states. Little is exported to the EU-15 or the rest of the world. Developing export markets outside of the FSU remains a major challenge. The largest companies by employment are in the sugar and ‘other’ industries. By turnover, sugar, wine / brandy and liquid milk processing have the largest mean sizes. The highest mean capital investments have been recorded in the sugar, wine / brandy and fruit and vegetable sectors. In each sub-sector, the majority of firms are privately owned but foreign investment has been highest in wine / brandy and sugar processing. There are significant differences between sectors in terms of their supply bases. Table 18 records the mean number of suppliers (sum of farms dealt with via spot markets and contracts and other agents / distributors). In most sectors, processors deal with a large number of suppliers: the means for the sugar and wine / brandy sectors in 2003 were 1979 and 1639 respectively. Comparing the number of suppliers in 2001 and 2003, in all sectors except sugar, the total number of suppliers increased between the two dates. In the sugar industry, the mean number of suppliers fell from 2,299 in 2001 to 1,979 in 2003, although one should remember that only 4 companies are included in this sector. The mean number of suppliers per employee in the processing plant gives an indication of the degree of fragmentation of the supply base. The highest fragmentation is recorded in the fruit and vegetable sector with, in 2003, a mean of 13.6 suppliers per employee in processing. This may reflect how fruit and vegetable production has low entry barriers. The most concentrated supply bases using this measure are recorded in the speciality dairy (cheese, ice cream, kefir etc.) and sugar sectors. Analysing the use of contracts and the balance between small and large farm suppliers it is evident that a greater proportion of raw materials are bought using contracts with farmers in the liquid milk, fruit and vegetables and sugar sectors. In the speciality dairy sector the use of other agents and wholesalers is more prominent and this probably reflects a degree of specialisation in farm relationships (see Appendix 3). A noticeably low proportion of supply comes from small farms in the sugar sector (6.3 per cent) although sugar refineries do deal with a large number of small farms (1,275 in 2003). In the wine / brandy sector over three-quarters of grapes come from small farms and this may reflect why so many wineries in the FSU wish to purchase vineyards to provide a more stable supply of grapes that meets their quality requirements. In the other category, the use of other agents / distributors is also significant and in this sub-sector the use of contract support measures is limited. Contract support measures are most widely used in the sugar sector (mean of 5.75 measures employed per processor) and for wine / brandy. This may reflect how (a) processors are procuring directly from farmers rather than agents / distributors, (b) FDI has been more significant in these sectors and (b) quality requirements are more acute in these sectors. 33 Table 19 provides a more detailed guide to the use of particular support measures in each sector. While noting the small number of responses, credit, agronomic support, harvest / handling support and farm loan guarantees are offered by 3 out of the 4 sugar refineries. All four of the sugar processors offer physical inputs to at least some of the farmers they deal with. Most wineries offer transportation and agronomic support. Veterinary support is less prevalent than agronomic support and investment loans are not common in any industry. Prompt payments appear to be more common in the wine / brandy, fruit and vegetables and speciality dairy sectors. In these cases many deals are based on cash transactions. Two out of the four sugar refineries offer guaranteed prices; in contrast to the liquid milk sector where only 2 out of the 20 dairies offer such support. Table 19: Percentage of firms in each sector offering particular support measure to at least some of the farms they deal with Liquid milk No of firms Measures Credit Physical inputs Machinery Transportation Agronomic support Veterinary support Bus. / financial man. support Harvest / handling support Farm loan guarantees Investment loans Specialist storage Quality control Market access Prompt payments Guaranteed prices Mean number of contract support measures 20 Speciality dairy 10 Wine / brandy 10 50.0 30.0 35.0 55.0 0.0 15.0 15.0 50.0 20.0 0.0 40.0 10.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Fruit and Veg. Sugar Other 8 4 8 30.0 50.0 10.0 60.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 37.5 25.0 37.5 37.5 0.0 12.5 75.0 100.0 0.0 25.0 75.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 12.5 75.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 20.0 25.0 75.0 0.0 10.0 15.0 45.0 5.0 30.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 20.0 60.0 40.0 0.0 10.0 50.0 10.0 70.0 20.0 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 63.0 37.5 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 0.0 12.5 12.5 12.5 25.0 12.5 3.25 3.50 4.20 3.63 5.75 1.00 34 Appendix 3: Dairy Industry The largest sub-sector in the sample is firms that have some involvement in dairy processing (30 companies). This group is, however, quite diverse with 2 distinct product groups: liquid milk pasteurizers and second, specialty dairies for which value-added ice cream, dairy and / or cheese products are their most important lines. In a few cases dairy processing is not the main activity of the enterprise but their activities in monitoring milk quality were noted (Section 4 of the questionnaire), with the questions set drawing on previous survey work by Dries and Swinnen (2002). Considering procedures for testing milk quality and adjusting payments accordingly (Table 20) all processors test for fat content and the overwhelming majority also assess consistency, residiums and germ content. While all but two dairies modify payments based on fat content, adjustments for other dimensions of quality such as cell, protein and germ content are less common. Table 20: Testing and adjustment of payments for milk a) Fat content b) Cell content c) Germ content d) Milk consistency e) Dry defatted residium f) Protein content Number of % of dairies test Number of dairies dairies test milk milk on purchase adjust payments on purchase based on level 30 100.0 28 20 66.7 7 24 80.0 11 28 93.3 14 24 80.0 8 19 63.3 9 % of dairies adjust payments based on level 93.3 23.3 36.7 46.7 26.7 30.0 Broadly speaking, dairies are procuring milk in two main ways depending on the nature of their operations (Table 21). Plants that principally pasteurize liquid milk have contracts with large and small farmers as their core supply line and source additional supplies through spot markets and from other agents (wholesalers, intermediaries). Dairy plants that have much smaller volumes, such as niche ice cream and cheese producers use wholesalers, other dairies and intermediaries as their most important source of liquid milk (mean of 46.6 per cent) and some no longer have direct connections with farmers (Table 21). Table 21: Differences in sourcing of milk depending on type of dairy Total percentage of raw material bought using contracts in 2003 Share of total raw materials from other agents 2003 Type of dairy liquid milk Number 20 Mean 58.80 Std. Deviation 36.3 ice cream, cheese and specialist 20 38.50 43.6 liquid milk 20 24.10 26.2 ice cream, cheese and specialist 10 46.60 44.2 This suggests some form of specialization in contracting. It is rational for most of those that are using relatively small amounts of milk on an infrequent basis not to invest in 35 contract support measures and direct linkages with farmers where they can form a stable relationship with a suitable wholesaler or other dairy. Analyzing both liquid milk processors and specialty dairies by country (Table 22) it is evident that contracting is most extensively developed in Moldova and Armenia. This can be discerned both in terms of the share of raw materials sourced using contracts and the mean number of contract support measures employed. In Moldova this may reflect the higher level of Western-FDI and the previously discussed linkage between Western FDI and contracting (Table 12). In Armenia the relatively high level of contracting cannot be linked directly to FDI as all of the dairies in this country are owned by domestic investors. However a relatively high proportion of Armenian output is exported and a significant correlation between exporting and the mean number of contract support measures was found for the full sample (Table 13). Table 22: Comparison of Ownership and Contracting in Dairy Sector Only (both liquid milk and specialty dairies) by country Armenia Ownership and Exports % of cap. privately owned % of capital owned by Western foreign investors % of output sold on the domestic market Contracting % of raw material bought using farm contracts (2003) Mean number of contract support measures employed % of supply from small farms (both spot & cont.) Georgia Moldova Russia Ukraine Total 100.0 80.0 43.3 91.3 100.0 87.7 0.0 20.0 55.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 64.2 100.0 92.5 95.4 99.7 90.7 69.2 42.5 81.3 58.0 27.2 52.0 5.67 3.50 5.25 2.43 1.56 3.33 23.66 17.50 71.25 29.29 28.89 32.07 36 Appendix 4: Interview Questionnaire Section A: Background Information (some of this may be completed prior to the interview) 1.1 What is the nature of the enterprise? (e.g. dairy, slaughterhouse). ________________________________________________________ 1.2 What percentage of the enterprise, if any, is owned by the following? a) private domestic investors? b) co-operative(s) b) state d) foreign investors ________% ________% ________% ________% If there are foreign investors, detail: a) country of origin____________________ b) Year first foreign capital invested __________ c) Year foreign investor became majority owner (if applicable) _______ Useful to give brief details on main owners and recent changes ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 1.3 If the enterprise was privatised, in what year did this occur? ________ 1.4 What percentage of your final value of goods do you supply to: Domestic markets ______% Other countries in Central and Eastern Europe / former Soviet Union ______% EU countries ______% Rest of the world ______% (Check adds up to 100%!) 1.5 For the following years detail numbers employed and turnover 1997 1999 2001 2003 Number of people employed in the company Turnover (USD), (approx. if no accurate figures) 37 Section B: Investments 2.1 Thinking about capital investment in the agri-food sector, what have been the company's two most recent significant investments? Investment 1 (detail nature of investment and rough value) ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ Investment 2 (detail nature of investment and rough value) ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 2.2 What was the rationale for these two investments? (as prompts may want to discuss the following possible motives: improve technology, reduce costs, meet high quality standards, adjust to changing market trends etc.) Investment 1 ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ Investment 2 ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 2.3 Where are the investments located (i.e. particular towns, countries)? Investment 1 ______________________________ Investment 2 ______________________________ 2.4 What were the rationales for choosing these particular locations (as prompts may want to discuss the potential role of market access, past investment, skilled labour, cheap labour etc.) Investment 1 ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 38 Investment 2 __________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 2.5 Has the company in the last 3 years abandoned any planned investments? Yes or No? _________ If yes, discuss reasons for this ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ Section 3: Contracting and Procurement 3.1 For the following years what percentage of agricultural raw materials supplied to the company were obtained through the following ways? (columns should add to 100%, do not fill in shaded area) 1997 1999 Spot markets (no contracts) with farms - farms with less than 5 animals / 1 ha* - farms with more than 5 animals / 1 ha Contracts with farmers - farms with less than 5 animals / 1 ha - farms with more than 5 animals / 1 ha Supplied by company’s own farms Other agents / intermediaries *(if livestock and dairy use animal figures, if crops use hectares [ha]) 2001 2003 39 3.2 For the following years, how many suppliers were you dealing with for each of the possible procurement channels (if livestock and dairy use animal figures, if crops use hectares [ha]) 1997 1999 2001 2003 By spot markets with farms (no contracts) - farms with less than 5 animals / 1 ha - farms with more than 5 animals / 1 ha Contracts with farmers - farms with less than 5 animals / 1 ha - farms with more than 5 animals / 1 ha Other agents / intermediaries 3.3 For the following years, what have been the average yields of farmers that supply you under the following arrangements? (Yields: for example litres of milk per cow, for crops tonnes per ha) 1997 1999 2001 2003 Farms that supply via spot markets (no contracts) - with less than 5 animals / 1 ha - with more than 5 animals / 1 ha Farms that processor has contracts with - with less than 5 animals / 1 ha - with more than 5 animals / 1 ha 40 3.4 What have been the main reasons behind the change in the number of suppliers? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 3.5 How and why is the number of suppliers likely to change in the future? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 3.6 How does the net cost of agricultural raw materials sourced under contracts compare with (a) spot markets _________+ /- % (for example 10% higher) b) production on own farms (if any) _________+ /- % 3.7 If appropriate, what are the main reasons for differences in the costs of agricultural raw materials sourced through spot markets, under contract and for own production? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 41 3.8 Considering your contracts with farms, do you offer any of the following types of support? Possible Support Measure Offer yes If yes or no Year Outline motivation for % of % of introducd introduction and main farms farms features of support at time dealt with dealt with of introduction (terms, to which to which conditions etc.) support support offered in currently first year offered introducd How and why has use of measure changed since first introduced? Is there a min. What has been the What has been the size of farms to impact of the impact of the support on which support support measure on the quality of farm is offered? If the quantity production? (obtain yes give: ha/ produced by farms? figures for average % no of livestock (obtain figure for change in output etc. average change in meeting (a) highest yields) grade standards and (b) minimum standards) Credit Physical Inputs (e.g. seeds, feed, including prefinancing feed etc.) Machinery Transportation Agronomic Support 42 Possible Support Measure Offer yes If yes or no Year Outline motivation for introducd introduction and main features of support at time of introduction (terms, conditions etc.) % of % of farms farms dealt with dealt with to which to which support support offered in currently first year offered introducd How and why has use of measure changed since first introduced? Is there a min. What has been the What has been the size of farms to impact of the impact of the support on which support support measure on the quality of farm is offered? If the quantity production? (obtain yes give: ha/ produced by farms? figures for average % no of livestock (obtain figure for change in output etc average change in meeting (a) highest yields) grade standards and (b) minimum standards) Veterinary Support Business and financial management support Harvest & handling support Farm loan guarantees (given by processor to banks) Investment loans 43 Possible Support Measure Offer yes If yes or no Year Outline motivation for introducd introduction and main features of support at time of introduction (terms, conditions etc.) % of % of farms farms dealt with dealt with to which to which support support offered in currently first year offered introducd How and why has use of measure changed since first introduced? Is there a min. What has been the What has been the size of farms to impact of the impact of the support on which support support measure on the quality of farm is offered? If the quantity production? (obtain yes give: ha/ produced by farms? figures for average % no of livestock (obtain figure for change in output etc average change in meeting (a) highest yields) grade standards and (b) minimum standards) Specialised storage Quality control Market access Prompt payments Guaranteed prices 44 3.9 For the following years, what percentages of total raw material / supply costs were accounted for by transaction costs? (costs of negotiation, monitoring and enforcement of contracts with suppliers) 1997 1999 2001 2003 Transaction costs as % of total supply costs 3.10 What investments, if any, has the company made to better monitor the quality of supply and contract enforcement? Detail nature of investment(s) and year made. ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 3.11 In the following years, what percentage of contracts were not completed / broken by farmers? 1997 _____% 1999 _____% 2001 _____% 2003 _____% 3.12 What are the main reasons for contract breaches? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 3.13 What do you do when farmers break the terms of contracts? (Discuss informal means, penalties, legal action etc.). ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 45 Section 4: DAIRY SPECIFIC QUESTIONS (i.e. only to be asked in dairy cases) 4.1. Do you test milk and adjust payments for the following? Test milk Since Adjust on when? payments purchase (year) based on (yes / no) level (yes / no) a) Fat content b) Cell content c) Germ content d) Milk consistency e) Dry defatted residium f) Protein content Since when? (year) Motivation for introduction (e.g competition, need for better quality) 4.2 For the following years please indicate what percentage of the milk you procured fell into the following categories? (totals for each year should add up to 100%). Milk quality 1997 % of milk delivered 1999 % of milk delivered 2001 % of milk delivered 2003 % of milk delivered Extra class 1st class 2nd class Rejected / unusable Section 5: NON-DAIRY QUESTIONS (i.e. only to be asked in none dairy cases) 5.1. For what attributes, if any do you test for raw material quality and / or adjust payments based on assessments (for example meat –fat content; grapes – sugar content)? Attribute (e.g. sugar content, fat Test on Since Adjust Since Motivation for content) purchase when? payments when? introduction (e.g (yes / no) (year) based on (year) competition, need for level (yes / better quality) no) a) b) c) d) e) f) 5.2 For the following years please indicate what percentage of agricultural raw materials (e.g. grapes, sugar beat) that you procured fell into the following categories? (totals for each year should add up to 100%). 1997 1999 2001 2003 % of delivered % of delivered % of delivered % of delivered Premium quality Acceptable quality Rejected / unusable 46 Section 6: Opinions on Business Development and Government Intervention 6.1 What do you see as the main current constraints faced by your business? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 6.2 What strategies / measures is the company taking to overcome these constraints? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 6.3 What future constraints and opportunities do you expect to be faced by your business? How do you expect to deal with these future issues? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 6.4 6.5 What future do you foresee for small (individual) farms in this country? Discuss reasons. ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ What future do you foresee for corporate farms (companies, transformed collective farms etc.) in this country? Discuss reasons. ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 47 6.6 Does current national government policy present any problems for your business? If yes, discuss main features. (dig beyond simple answers for underlying issues) ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 6.7 What changes to national government policy would improve the performance of your enterprise? Why do you think such measures would be beneficial? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 6.8 What would you see as the main role to be played by international agencies such as the World Bank? ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 6.9 Additional points / notes ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________ 48