Economics 111 Winter 2002 Professor Flavin Sketch of solutions to problem set 3 1. a) Bank A Assets Reserves Securities Loans Liabilities 30 Deposits 20 170 Total Liabilities Net worth 220 Total Liabilities and Net worth Total Assets 200 200 20 220 Bank B Assets Liabilities Reserves Securities Loans b) 30 Deposits 40 250 Total Liabilities Net worth Total Assets 320 Total Liabilities and Net worth Required Reserves 200 M .10 20 M Bank A: Excess Reserves 30 M 20 M 10 M Required Reserves 300 M .10 30 M Bank B: Excess Reserves 30 M 30 M 0 300 300 20 320 c) Bank A Assets Reserves Securities Loans Total Assets Liabilities 20 Deposits 30 170 Total Liabilities Net worth 220 Total Liabilities and Net worth 200 200 20 220 Bank B Assets Reserves Securities Loans Liabilities 40 Deposits 30 250 300 2 Total Liabilities Net worth 320 Total Liabilities and Net worth Total Assets 300 20 320 d) Bank A Assets Reserves Securities Loans Liabilities 19 Deposits 30 170 Total Liabilities Net worth 219 Total Liabilities and Net worth Total Assets 199 199 20 219 Bank B Assets Reserves Securities Loans Total Assets Liabilities 41 Deposits 30 250 Total Liabilities Net worth 321 Total Liabilities and Net worth 301 301 20 321 e) Required Reserves 199 M .10 19.9 M Excess Reserves 19 M 19.9 M .9 M Required Reserves 301 M .10 301 . M Bank B: Excess Reserves = 41M-30.1M=10.9M Bank A has a reserve deficiency because its excess reserves are less than zero. Bank A can satisfy its reserve requirements in several ways. It can: Borrow .9 M on the federal funds market, either from bank B or another bank that has excess reserves of at least .9 M to lend; Obtain a discount loan of .9 M from the Federal Reserve System; Sell .9 M of its securities; Make a .9 M repurchase agreement (REPO or RP). That is, bank A sells its securities and agrees to repurchase them at a specified date. Bank A: 2. a) We want to find an expression for m , the money multiplier, that relates the change in the money supply to a given change in the monetary base. In symbols, M mB . Banking Sector Let EX Excess Reserves and RR Required Reserves . Reserves are defined as: R RR EX , thus R RR EX . (1) Required reserves are defined as: RR rD , thus RR rD . (2) R RR EX The banking sector is in equilibrium when: e , thus D D 3 EX eD . (3) Substituting equations (2) and (3) into (1), we have: R rD eD ( r e )D . (4) Nonbank Private Sector By definition, money supply is equal to the sum of currency in circulation and deposits: M C D , thus M C D . (5) C The nonbank private sector is in equilibrium when c , thus D C cD . (6) Substituting (6) into (5), we have: M cD D (1 c )D . (7) By definition B C R , thus B C R (8) In equilibrium equations (4) and (6) hold, substituting them into, (8), we have: B cD ( r e )R ( r e c )D . (9) Thus, rearranging: 1 (10) D B . (r e c) Finally, substituting (10) into (7), we have: 1 c M B (11) rec 1 c Therefore, m . rec 1 c 1.15 411 . b) m r e c .10.03.15 1 c 1 1 10 c) m r e c r .10 d) When e 0 and c 0 the value of the multiplier is lower because they reduce the reserves available for lending and deposit expansion. In other words, excess reserves and currency holdings represent leakages in the multiple expansion of deposits. 3. Fed sells $2 million in Treasury bonds to Wells Fargo: Federal Reserve Assets Securities -$2M Reserves Liabilities -$2M Wells Fargo Assets Reserves Securities Liabilities -$2M +$2M Change in Monetary Base = B C R 0 $2M $2M. That is, the monetary base falls by $2 million. 4. False. 4 If r 0 , the money multiplier is infinity only if e and c are also zero: 1 c 1 . If r 0 , e 0 , and c 0 , then m rec 0 If the required reserve ratio were zero, is it plausible that banks would hold zero excess reserves? No; even in the absence of reserve requirements, banks would hold some nonzero level of reserves so that they can redeem deposits on demand. If the required reserve ratio were zero, these reserves (voluntarily held for liquidity purposes) would count as excess reserves, so that e would be nonzero. Thus even if the currency ratio were zero, the money multiplier would still be finite. 5. Consider the expression for the money multiplier which you derived in question 1. The phenomenon that the public came to distrust bank deposits and therefore hold more of their money in the form of currency can be modeled as an increase in the currency ratio, c. Similarly, the response of banks in the form of holding higher levels of excess reserves can be modeled as an increase in the excess reserve ratio. By inspection, one can see that an increase in e reduces the multiplier. By taking the derivative, we can also show that an increase in c reduces the money multiplier. In fact, the money multiplier did fall substantially during the depression, due to the increases in currency holding by the public and to the increases in excess reserve holdings by the banking sector. The fact that the Fed did not react sufficiently strongly by increasing the base caused the money supply to fall, prolonging the depression. 6. a) Whether the Fed is purchasing Treasury securities, gold, or Godiva chocolates, an open market purchase has exactly the same effect of increasing the monetary base. Since the increase in the monetary base comes about because the Fed pays for the asset (securities, gold, chocolate) with a check written on itself and therefore injects into the banking system additional reserves, the particular nature of the asset which the Fed buys makes no difference in terms of the effect of the purchase on the monetary base. b) For practical reasons, conducting open market operations by buying or selling chocolate is not a good idea for two reasons. First, chocolate is bulky to store (if you’re buying $100 million worth of it) and does not keep indefinitely. Within a year or so, the value of the chocolate would fall due to spoilage. Second, if the Fed attempted to conduct open market operations in the chocolate market, purchases or sales of the dollar amount typically involved in control of the monetary base would severely distort the price of chocolate relative to other goods in the market. That is, the market is too narrow to withstand fluctuations in demand of the magnitude that would be required. Besides, why should my holiday plans to buy chocolate be frustrated when the Fed decides to buy 5 million pounds in order to increase the monetary base? Besides the fact that Treasury securities are not vulnerable to physical deterioration, and are essentially costless to store, a second advantage is that the market for Treasury securities is very broad (broad enough to withstand large purchases and sales by the Fed). Further, when the Fed buys Treasury securities, the relative price that is affected is the price of bonds (or the interest rate). Thus conducting open market operations by buying and selling Treasury securities will have an impact on bond prices and interest rates (financial variables), instead of distorting the relative price of some innocent commodity like chocolate. 7. a) To avoid having a reserve deficiency, Wells Fargo can borrow reserves from another bank through the Federal Funds market, borrow reserves from the Fed via a discount loan, sell some of 5 its marketable securities, or engage in a repurchase agreement in which it sells a Treasury bond to another bank or firm with an agreement to repurchase the bond subsequently. b) 1) The level of excess reserves will fall. 2) The Federal Funds rate will rise. 3) The volume of discount lending will rise. 8. When the Fed sells foreign assets, its international reserves fall. Since its liabilities fall, the monetary base falls, and the US money supply falls. This increases the domestic (US) nominal interest rate (causing the vertical line representing the expected return to domestic deposits to shift right), and also increases the expected nominal exchange rate at t+1 (because the reduction in the money supply has reduced expectations of US inflation) which causes the line representing the expected return to foreign deposits to shift up. The dollar appreciates. In the long run, the domestic nominal interest rate return to its original level, but nevertheless, the exchange rate remains higher than it was before the intervention. 9. As before, the sale of foreign assets results in a decline in the international reserves of the Fed. However, because the intervention is offset, or sterilized, by an open market operation, there is no effect on the monetary base or the money supply, and therefore no effect on the exchange rate. 10. With 3 francs you could buy 3/60 th ounce of gold and exchange the gold for one dollar, so the exchange rate is 3 francs per dollar. 11. The central bank would need to buy foreign assets, thus increasing its international reserves and the monetary base. The increase in the money supply causes the domestic interest rate to fall, so that the line representing the expected return to domestic deposits shifts left. Since Bretton Woods was a fixed exchange rate system, the expected future exchange rate does not change (i.e., remains as the par value) so that the expected return to the foreign deposit line does not change. The market exchange rate declines to the par value.