The Eurasia Center 4927 Massachusetts Ave. NW Washington, DC 20016 www.eurasiacenter.org President@eurasiacenter.org Palestinian Territories: Overview Politics First – An Economy at the Whim of a Crisis: The economy of the Palestinian territories, here defined as the West Bank and Gaza Strip, is completely and inexorably linked to the Israeli economy, and consequently to the political situation that has embroiled the region since Israel declared its independence in 1948. Because of security precautions taken by Israel, especially since the second intifada began in 2000, many Palestinians who work in Israel have been unable to work in Israel. Moreover, their ability to export goods has been severely impaired. Ultimately, because of the political issues surrounding Israel and Palestine and the resulting security situation, the economy of the Palestinian territories is in a dire situation. High population density and Israeli security controls placed on the Gaza Strip since the end of the second intifada have degraded economic conditions in this territory. Israeli-imposed border closures, which became more restrictive after HAMAS seized control of the territory in June 2007, have resulted in high unemployment, elevated poverty rates, and the near collapse of the private sector that had relied on export markets.1 There were changes to the restrictions on Israeli imports in 2010 that affected their economic activity, but regular exports from the Gaza Strip are still prohibited. Economic Indicators: 1 The GDP of Palestine in 2009 was $12.79 billion.2 This GDP reflects Palestine’s status as one of the poorest regions in the world, with 38% of its population under the poverty line.3 GDP per capita is at $2,900.4 Growth in the GDP of Palestine, however, was 7%, showing at least some signs of recovery from the poor conditions existing since the second intifada began in 2000.5 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html 3 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html 4 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 5 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 2 Inflation remains relatively at 5%, but unemployment is disturbingly high at 40% (2011) in Gaza Strip and 23.7% in West Bank territory. This problem has been exacerbated by Israeli security precautions which prevent many Palestinians from obtaining work in Israel.6 Economic Structure: Palestine’s economy is primarily service based, accounting for 55.5% of jobs and 73.9% of output and income.7 GDP by sector: o agriculture: 3.7% o industry: 13.6% o services: 82.7%8 The economy, which is inexorably linked to the economy of Israel, has been severely impaired by the second intifada and the resulting security precautions of Israel, namely sealed borders and checkpoints making it difficult for Palestinians to find jobs in Israel.9 The chief exports of Palestine include olives, fruit, vegetables and limestone.10 Political Considerations: 6 The Palestinian territories are governed by what is known as the Palestinian Authority, a conglomerate organization of many different parties representing the Palestinian people. In January 2006, the Islamic Resistance Movement, HAMAS, won control of the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC); Palestinian Authority security forces have operated only in the West Bank and not in the Gaza Strip since HAMAS seized power in June 2007; law and order and other security functions are performed by HAMAS security organizations (2008).11 The political environment of the Palestinian territories has become greatly complicated by the March 2006 elections of Hamas as the majority party.12 Hamas is recognized by many countries, particularly the United States and the European Union as a terrorist organization, who proceeded to block foreign aid to prevent increased financing to the organization.13 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html 8 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 9 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/gz.html 10 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 11 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 12 Report of the US Department of State on the Israeli-Arab Conflict: www.state.gov 13 Report of the US Department of State on the Israeli-Arab Conflict: www.state.gov 7 Another complicating factor over Hamas’ victory is their refusal to recognize Israel, a major obstacle in any peace talks.14 Nonetheless, Israel still controls maritime, airspace, and other access to the Gaza Strip; Israel also enforces a restricted zone along the border inside Gaza.15 In May 2011, under the backings of Egyptian-sponsored reconciliation negotiations, Fatah and Hamas agreed to reunify the Palestinian territories, but the parties have struggled to finalize any details on governing and security structures. The status quo remains with Hamas in control of the Gaza Strip and Abbas and the Fatah-dominated PA governing the West Bank. Abbas (who on behalf of the Palestinians in September 2011 submitted a UN membership application) has said he will not resume negotiations with current Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin NETANYAHU until Israel halts all settlement activity in the West Bank and East Jerusalem.16 Attractions: Tourism – Religious Sites of Significance: The Palestinian territories are home to some of the most religiously important sites in the Judeo-Christian tradition. Most notable amongst these is the city of Bethlehem, the Biblical birthplace of Jesus of Nazareth. Bethlehem is also the site of the Church of the Nativity, the oldest Christian church, as well as Rachel’s Tomb, a significant site for Judaism. Troubled Spots: Climate: The Palestinian territory, located in the Middle East near the Mediterranean coast, is mostly arid and has major issues with water shortage.17 Political Issues: Most experts agree that the economy will continue to be insurmountably impaired until some sort of accommodation is reached between the Palestinian Authority and the Israeli government that would enable restored border travel.18 o After violence in 2008 between Israel and HAMAS that brought but spiraling end-of-year violence resulted in the 14 Report of the US Department of State on the Israeli-Arab Conflict: www.state.gov CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 16 Ibid 17 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 18 Report of the US Department of State on the Israeli-Arab Conflict: www.state.gov 15 deaths of an estimated 1,100 to 1,400 Palestinians and left tens of thousands of people homeless Security: As it stands, the Palestinian territory is one of the most dangerous regions in the world, which significantly inhibits economic activity of any kind.19 International Pressure: In the year since the election of Hamas, the Palestinian Authority has come under increasing pressure to form a unity government that would, among other things, explicitly recognize the State of Israel and its right to exist. As long as Hamas continues to refuse to recognize Israel, countries including the United States have halted their foreign aid, further exacerbating the many issues in the Palestinian territories.20 Environmental Section: Held Hostage by Politics: The Palestinian territories, here defined as the Gaza Strip and West Bank, are environmentally speaking rather inhospitable. They are extremely arid and a water shortage is a major problem. Moreover, the current political situation, namely the current dispute with Israel over land and international recognition, make environmental initiatives virtually impossible to pursue. The Palestinian territories are unable to sign any international legislation pertaining to the environment, and they lack the resources to undertake any domestic initiatives of their own. Demographics: 19 20 21 The Palestinian territories are comprised of the Gaza Strip and West Bank, which have populations of 1,657,155 and 2,568,555 people respectively, yielding a combined population of 4,225,710.21 The Gaza Strip is predominantly Arab Muslim, primarily Sunni, comprising roughly 99.3% of the population.22 The West Bank, on the other hand, has large Jewish and Christian minorities: o Muslim: 75% o Jewish: 17% o Christian: 8% (Note: In terms of ethnicity, the Christian population is predominantly Palestinian Arab as well) Life expectancy for males in the Gaza Strip is 72.27 years and 75.68 years for females. The numbers are roughly similar for the West Bank. 23 Age composition: Report of the US Department of State on the Israeli-Arab Conflict: www.state.gov Report of the US Department of State on the Israeli-Arab Conflict: www.state.gov CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html 23 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html 22 o Gaza Strip: 0-14 years: 43.9% 15-64 years: 53.5% 65 years and over: 2.6%24 o West Bank: 0-14 years: 35.8% 15-64 years: 60.5% 65 years and over: 3.7%25 With more than half of the country’s population within the age group 15-64, and roughly 40% (average between the Gaza Strip and West Bank) under 14 years of age, the population of the Palestinian Territories is one of the youngest in of the world.26 Population growth is estimated at an average of 3.2%27 Education: 24 Education in the Palestinian territories is divided into four primary sections: o Pre-primary; o Primary; o Secondary – High School; o Tertiary – University level.28 Approximately 30% of all children are enrolled in some kind of pre-primary education program.29 86% of all children are enrolled in a primary education program, which is completed by 98% of those enrolled.30 88% of girls and 83% of boys go on to secondary school.31 Of students at age for tertiary education, only 49% enroll.32 Literacy in the Palestinian Territories is at 92.4%: o male: 96.3% o female: 88%33 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 26 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 27 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gz.html 28 UNESCO Institute of Statistics: http://www.uis.unesco.org/profiles/EN/EDU/countryProfile_en.aspx?code=5880 29 UIS: http://www.uis.unesco.org/profiles/EN/EDU/countryProfile_en.aspx?code=5880 30 UIS: http://www.uis.unesco.org/profiles/EN/EDU/countryProfile_en.aspx?code=5880 31 UIS: http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=198 32 UIS: http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=198 33 CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/we.html 25 Graph from the UNESCO Institute of Statistics Geography/Natural Resources: The Gaza Strip is a small strip of land on the coast of the Mediterranean and is completely within the country of Israel. Acknowledgements: Research and Data Development Provided by: David Stern and Tara Jakubik, Research Assistants under the Supervision and Coordination of: Dr. Gerard Janco, President, Eurasia Center