RELIGIOUS PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES (Remember, this information should be used as a base to build from. For current direct marketing statistics please refer to these titles: The Direct Marketing Statistical Fact Book the Direct Marketing Response Rate Study the Catalog Age 150 the Consumer Directory of Mail Order Catalogs and the Business to Business Directory of Mail Order Catalogs.) Religious Products This small sales size segment ($590 Million) is divided by denominationality (Christian versus Jewish/Other) and by spiritual orientation (devotional versus gifts). The top five businesses, all five of which are Christian devotional in orientation with $188 Million in sales, account for about one-third (33%) of segment sales. Religious Products 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses: Mail Order $Sales ($Million): Average Sales Per Business ($Million): 270 590 2.2 5 Leading Businesses Name of Business Sub-Segment Sales ($Million) Christian Book Distributors Augsburg Fortress Publishers Concordia Publishing House Word Family Record & Tape Club Nelson Word Church Services Christian: Devotional Christian: Devotional Christian: Devotional Christian: Devotional Christian: Devotional 63.6 52.8 35.0 25.0 20.0 V-179 RELIGIOUS PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Religious Products 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 250 SUB-SEGMENT: Christian NO. OF BUSINESSES: 180 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 2.9 Unavailable at Retail: • Devotional Products: • Specialties • Specialty range and depth • Gifts/Cultural Products: • Price • Specialties • Line range & depth PRODUCT DOMAIN: Devotional Products: Clerical and individual educational, worship, meditation and devotional products Gifts/Cultural Products: Cultural, ethnic and gift products with a religious association or source CHARACTERISTICS MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: Products: Devotional • Bibles/commentaries • Educational videos • Reference Materials • Curriculum materials • Furniture • Ritual items • Clergy vestments • Home devotional products • Study Aids • Computer software • Parishional supplies • Worship music • Counseling resources Products: Gifts • Audio tapes • Greeting cards • Religious jewelry • Book clubs • Handicrafts • Stationery • Confirmation gifts • Message checks • Videocassettes/records • Food specialties LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Christian Book Distributors Abbey Press International Bible Society Augsburg Fortress Publishers Integrity Music Paulist Press Concordia Publishing House Inspirational Network Great Christian Books Guideposts Alpha Omega Publications Leaflet Missal Co. Word Family Record & Tape Club David C. Cook Publishing Gethsemani Farms Nelson Word Church Services Eagle System’s Children’s Books & Video Christian Herald Association Evangelical Christian Books C.M. Almy & Son V-180 Christian Gift Center RELIGIOUS PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Religious Products SUB-SEGMENT: Judaic/Other 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 70 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 90 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 0.8 Unavailable at Retail: • Devotional Products: • Specialties • Specialty range and depth • Gifts/Cultural Products: • Price • Specialties • Line range & depth Devotional Products: Clerical and individual educational, worship, PRODUCT DOMAIN: meditation and devotional products Gifts/Cultural Products: Cultural, ethnic and gift products with a religious association or source MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: CHARACTERISTICS • Bar Mitzvah gifts • Books • Cultural gifts • Decorative accessories • Meditation supplies LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) None V-181 RELIGIOUS PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Generic Industry Religious product market serviced by specialty religious products stores, departments and boutiques in larger stores, sales to laity by religious institutions, product premium fund-raising channels and mail and phone order direct response Christian products at $3.0B in annual sales in 1996, including $1.3B in religious books; religious books sales growth 1992-1996 at 100% compared to 18% for overall adult books; Christian music at 3% of overall recorded music sales, 30% sold through secular retailers Ownership Private--92% Public—8% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership Gaylord Entertainment: Word Family Record & Tape Club Guideposts Associates: Guideposts Thomas Nelson Inc.: Nelson Word Church Services News Corp.: Zondervan Market Segment Laity Clergy Teachers Choir directors Administrators Merchandising Economy for institutional market Religious and cultural specialties for laity Icon oriented decoration accessories and jewelry Customer Sourcing Devotional: direct mail, religious magazines, newspapers Gifts: direct mail, catalogs, religious magazines, newspapers Customer Base Marketing Direct mail, catalogs Seasonality Religious and secular seasonality Operations Monastic order based (Abbey Press, Gethsmani Farms) Publishing house based Problems Low order size Infrequency of ordering Institutional demand seasonality V-182 RELIGIOUS PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Opportunities Trends Increased adaptation of secular consumer catalog promotional and presentation technology 1997 Segment Events: BMG Direct acquires Word Family Record & Book Club from Gaylord Entertainment Co. Dual consumer/institutional markets Limited retail store competition Dual ethnic/denominational markets Seasonal, religious life event gift occasions Dispersed religious, ethnic communities V-183 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES Sporting Goods This large sales size consumer specialty segment ($2,990 Million) is dominated by the Athletic Equipment sub-segment ($750 Million) accounting for 25% of segment sales. The next two subsegments, Hunting Equipment and Fishing/Aquatic Equipment combined ($1,155 million) account for 39% of segment sales. Sporting Goods 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses: Mail Order $Sales ($Million): Average Sales Per Business ($Million): 700 *2,990 4.3 5 Leading Businesses Name of Business Bass Pro Shops Golfsmith Sportsman’s Guide Eastbay Running Store Orvis Co. Sub-Segment Fishing/Aquatic Equipment Athletic Equipment Hunting Equipment Apparel Oriented Fishing/Aquatic Equipment Sales ($Million) 280.0 126.0 125.5 142.5 95.9 *Note: Reclassification Non fashion oriented portion of Apparel: Great Outdoors ($380 million sales) reclassified as Sporting Goods: Apparel Oriented. V-184 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: Athletic Equipment 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 750 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 195 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 3.8 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Price • Specialty • Specialty depth RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Individual athletic equipment specialties CHARACTERISTICS Athletic equipment specialization Upscale demographics Consumer high tech performance appeal LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Golfsmith Golf Star Greg Norman Secret Edwin Watts Golf Shops Professional Golfers Association of America Adams Golf Austad’s World of Golf Team Paradise Sevylor Mueller Sporting Goods Soccer Madness Sportime International Baseball Express Fairway Golf And Tennis Sportsline USA Greenspring Warehouse Kil-lir Enterprises Golf Day Applied Golf Competitive Edge TSI Soccer World Industries Strictly Golf Golfworks Ringside Products International Golf Tech Dynacraft Golf Products Mastergrip Links Direct Bost Enterprises V-185 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 580 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 110 Hunting Equipment AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 5.3 Unavailable at Retail: • Price • Specialties • Line range and depth • Trade brand names PRODUCT DOMAIN: Hunting outfitting for all seasonal, type of quarry and method of hunting categories MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: CHARACTERISTICS Equipment specialization Consumer high tech performance appeal Limited specialty retail store competition LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Sportsman’s Guide Dillon Precision Products Gun Parts Smoky Mountain Knife Works Natchez Shooter Supplies Pachmyr Gun Works Herter’s Brownells Stoeger Industries Edge Co. Dunn’s Supply Mid South Shooting Supply Midway Arms American Industries Bowhunters Warehouse Bushnell Sports Optics Walter Craig A. G. Russell Knives Manta Survival Knife V-186 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: Fishing/Aquatic Equipment 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 575 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 105 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 5.5 Unavailable at Retail: • Price • Specialties • Line range and depth • Trade brand names PRODUCT DOMAIN: Fishing and aquatic sports equipment and supplies MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: CHARACTERISTICS Low order size Importance of proprietary products Increasing retail discount store competition Consumer high tech performance appeal LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Bass Pro Shops J.D.’s Tackle Vortex Fishing Systems Orvis Co. Northsman Wenoka Sea Style G. Loomis Folsom Louisiana Ski Limited Enterprises Pacific Watersports Accessories V-187 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 380 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 60 Apparel Oriented AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 6.3 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Specialties • Specialty range and depth RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Functional Athletic, Team Sports Sporting Goods Apparel: Tennis, golf, running sports, boating, skiing, skating CHARACTERISTICS Upscale demographics Private label, specialty products Seasonally skewed LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Eastbay Running Store Simply The Best Sports King Of The Mountain Sports Road Runner Sports Adolph Kiefer & Associates S.I.R. Outdoor Catalog Eurosport The Finals Any Mountain Ltd. European Catalog Jacques Moret Bodywear Reliable Racing Supply V-188 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: Marine Equipment 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 380 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 130 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 2.9 Unavailable at Retail: • Price • Specialties • Line range and depth • Trade name brands PRODUCT DOMAIN: Specialty boats and outfitting equipment across all marine specialties MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: CHARACTERISTICS High order size Depth of inventory of specialties Marine gift products Upscale demographics Mail order/retail store business synergies LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Overton’s Tempo Products Raritan Engineering Co. West Marine Products Moore & Battle Ltd Gougeon Brothers E&B Marine Supply ITT Jabsco Boaters Catalog Tidewater Workshop Defender Industries Avon Marine Marine Surplus Depot Northwest River Supply V-189 We-No-Nah Canoe SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: Hiking, Mountaineering/Ski Equipment 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 125 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 30 MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 4.2 Unavailable at Retail: • Specialties • Specialty range and depth Hiking, mountaineering and skiing specialties and accessories CHARACTERISTICS Equipment specialization Limited specialty retail store competition Upscale market Consumer high tech performance appeal LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Recreational Equipment Inc. Burton Snowboards Sessions Snowboard Shop SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: 1998 SALES ($MILLION): NO. OF BUSINESSES: 35 105 MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Performance Snowboarding Equestrian Supplies AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 3.0 Unavailable at Retail: • Specialties • Specialty range and depth Horse-rider and horseowner riding apparel, equipment and supplies CHARACTERISTICS High Order Size Upscale demographics Limited specialty retail store competition Mail order/retail store business synergies LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) State Line Tack Libertyville Saddle Shop Chick’s Harness & Supply V-190 . Miller Harness Co SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Sporting Goods SUB-SEGMENT: Camping Supplies 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 95 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 35 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 2.7 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Price • Specialties • Specialty range and depth RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Camping full line and specialty products CHARACTERISTICS General camping line or specialties Mid scale, down scale market LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Campmor Huntmaster Survival Gear Hard Hat V-191 Igloo Products SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Generic Industry Athletic and sports equipment, footwear and clothing at $39.2B in 1995, $41.7B in 1996, at $43.0 in 1997, projected at $44.3 in 1998 Bicycles, pleasure boats, RV's and snowmobiles at $19.3B in 1995 with 10% growth, $19.9 in 1996, at $21.2B in 1997, projected at $22B in 1998 Growth in sporting goods retail sales in 1995 of 5.0%, in 1996 at 6.1%, in 1997 at $3.0%, projected at 3% in 1998 Athletic and sports footwear in 1995 at $11.4B, at $12.8B in 1996, $13.3B in 1997, projected at $13.7B in 1998 Sports clothing at $11.1B in 1996, $11.9B in 1997, projected at $12.4B in 1998 Equipment sales flat at $17.4B in 1995, at $17.7B in 1996, (4.6% decline), 17.7B in 1997, projected at $18.2B in 1998 Exercise equipment at $3.2B in 1996, with treadmill sales at $1B+ Strong gains in golf equipment, 26 million golfers (5 million women) shift to more elaborate and expensive equipment, $15B/year spending in equipment and merchandise, $1.25B on golf related gifts by non-golfers Marine accessory market at $1.2B Increased specialty retail store discount competition (fishing products) Camping market -- rough being taken out of roughing-it; minimalism out of fashion -- huge family tents, comfort enhancement, foldable kitchens 450,000 fly fishermen Corporate wilderness adventure market at $100 million 54 million active skiers Ownership Private--81% Public—19% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership Adorama: Leisure Pro Atlanta Cutlery: Atlanta Cutlery Boy Scouts of America: Boy Scouts Of America Bausch & Lomb: Bushnell Sports Optics Delia*s: TSI Soccer Encore House: Marine Surplus Depot Genesis Direct: Competitive Edge, Hot Off The Ice, Soccer Madness H I G Capital Management: Back In The Saddle Hanover Direct: Austad's V-192 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Conglomerate Ownership (cont.) MacAndrews & Forbes: Coleman Co. Northern Hydraulics: Herter’s Orvis: Orvis Co. Petsmart: Wiese Vet Supply Trend-Lines: Golf Day Venator Group: Eastbay Running Store West Marine: E & B Supply, West Marine Market Segmentation Male: Fishing, Camping, Hunting, Mountaineering, Marine Upscale: Marine Equipment, Equestrian Equipment, Sporting Goods Apparel Mid scale, down scale: Fishing, Camping, Hunting Equipment Merchandising Increased emphasis on soft goods Customer Sourcing Substantial class and special consumer interest magazine sourcing with cold catalog list prospecting Customer Base Marketing Database media: Catalog, direct mail Heavy frequency of mailings to active customers Emphasis on customer service and guarantee Seasonality Seasonality dictated by sporting or recreational specialty of business Operations Decreasing, involvement in own manufacturing Automated fulfillment for peakload apparel oriented businesses Problems Increasing price competition from retail mass merchandisers for non proprietary products Inventory variety coverage for specialty equipment marketers Seasonality of specialty product demand Opportunities Consumer high tech appeal in performance and look Increased Soft Goods mix Trends Diversification of outdoors catalog into dual season, Spring and Fall, merchandising Increasing consolidation in Marine Equipment sub-segment Increasing turmoil in Hunting Equipment sub-segment V-193 SPORTING GOODS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS Trends (cont.) CHARACTERISTICS 1996 Segment Events Successories acquires British Links West Marine acquires E & B Marine Petsmart acquires State Line Tack Gander Mountain re-enters bankruptcy 1997 Segment Events Genesis Direct acquires Competitive Edge Golf Woolworth acquires Eastbay Herter’s acquires Restle Decoy Co. Genesis acquires Soccer Madness Boaters World acquires Outer Banks Outfitters 1998 Segment Events H I G Capital Management acquires Back In The Saddle Genesis Direct acquires Edge Co. Genesis Direct closes down Training Camp Genesis Direct in first public offer (Competive Edge Golf, Not Off Me Ice, Soccer Madness) V-194 STATIONERY CONSUMER SALES Stationery This small sales size segment ($690 Million) is skewed toward a mid-scale female market. Sales segment stresses are low order size, infrequent ordering and retail price competition. Stationery 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses: Mail Order $Sales ($Million): Average Sales Per Business ($Million): 110 690 6.3 5 Leading Businesses Name of Business Checks In The Mail Current Checks Current Concepts Direct Designer Checks Sub-Segment Specialized Stationery Specialized Stationery General Stationery General Stationery Specialized Stationery V-195 Sales ($Million) 85.7 84.3 84.2 79.2 54.9 STATIONERY CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Stationery SUB-SEGMENT: Specialized Stationery 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 405 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 90 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 4.5 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Specialties • Specialty depth RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Personalization, personalized checks, announcement, stationery specialties CHARACTERISTICS Difficulty of trasitory market prospecting Personalized stationery, appointment books, address labels, annoucements, invitation stationery, rubber stamps, wine labels LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Checks In The Mail Check Gallery Wedding Thoughts Designer Checks Hero Arts Now and Forever Wedding Stationery Artistic Greetings Checks Inkadinkado Image Checks Styles Super Checks Custom Direct Check Printers Rexcraft V-196 STATIONERY CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Stationery SUB-SEGMENT: General Stationery 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 235 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 10 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 22.5 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Price • Line range and depth RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: General line of personal and home stationery CHARACTERISTICS High product margin Combined self-use/fund-raising markets Mid scale, down scale market Low order size and order frequency Holiday gift season orientation LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Current Artistic Greetings Concepts Direct American Stationery Co./Rytex Co. V-197 Bruce Bolind STATIONERY CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Stationery SUB-SEGMENT: 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 50 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 10 Greeting Cards AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 5.0 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Price • Specialty messaging • Line range and depth RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Alternative messaging or special purpose greeting cardline CHARACTERISTICS High product margin Multiple seasonal potential Holiday season oriented paper products: • General and specialized and personalized greeting card lines Gift wrapping Calendars LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Trumble Greetings Henderson Bailey V-198 STATIONERY CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Generic Industry Personalized check business at $3.5B Overall Greeting Card industry sales at $6.3B, Hallmark Cards share at 42%, growth at 1-2% per year; American Greetings at 35%, Gibson’s at 7% High gross margins and distribution costs of consumer stationery products Retail distribution through consumer stationery specialty store chains and boutiques and departments in department and mass merchandising stores Ownership Private—76% Public--24% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership Artistic Direct: Artistic Greetings Deluxe Corp.: Current Checks MDC Communications: Artistic Greetings Checks Taylor Corp.: Current Market Segmentation Female Mid scale, down scale: Current Mid scale, upscale: Small specialty marketers Merchandising Product differentiation merchandising: Personalization of design message or art Regional, imported, ethnic specialties Functional specialties (wine labels) Convenience specialties (address labels, bookmarks) Educational specialties (calendars, scrolls) Personal Expression products (themed checks) Order enlargement merchandising Discounts, gifts forgiving of delivery charges for exceeding order thresholds Fund-raising reselling orientation Current Customer Sourcing Shelter and special interest magazine advertising and cold catalog and insert and other direct mail sourcing Customer Base Marketing Catalog publishing and direct mail solos V-199 STATIONERY CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Seasonality Heavy Fall holiday and year-end emphasis Operations Generally do own manufacturing Product design and differentiation Gift marketing peakload oriented fulfillment and customer service High product margin, low order size Problems Low order size and order infrequency Peakload order fulfillment requirements Retail competition for unpersonalized stationery Transitory market prospecting (Bridal, Birth announcements) Opportunities High product margins Combined self-use/fund-raising marketing New product specialties (personalized checks) Combined consumer/business-to-business markets Trends Competitive holiday season overlap by Business Supplies mail order stationery specialists (Amsterdam, Brookhollow, Baldwin Cooke) Explosive growth of mail order personalized checks Continuing domination of segment by Current, resumption of growth 1997 Segment Events Deluxe Corp. offers Social Expressions (Current) for sale 1998 Segment Events: MDC communications acquires Artistic Greetings (Checking Business) Thomas Wykoff acquires Artistic Greetings (Non Checking Business) Taylor Corp. acquires Current Social Expressions from Deluxe Corp. V-200 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES Toys/Games/Children's Products This large sales size segment ($2,020 Million) lacks any dominant company. Specialization is essential to avoid retail price competition. A key market is mothers of young children with development of educational toy and game lines as complement to apparel. Toys/Games/Children's Products 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses: 570 Mail Order $Sales ($Million): 2,030 Average Sales Per Business ($Million): 3.5 Internet $Sales ($Million): 50 5 Leading Businesses Name of Business Pleasant Co. Disney Catalog Delia*s Georgetown Collection Opportunities Unlimited Sub-Segment Specialty Toys/Novelties/Emblems Children’s/Mothers’ Products Children’s/Mothers’ Products Specialty Toys/Novelties/Emblems Specialty Toys/Novelties/Emblems V-201 Sales ($Million) 247.4 200.0 93.4 55.0 37.4 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Toys/Games/ Children's Products 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 750 SUB-SEGMENT: Specialty Toys/Novelties/Emblems NO. OF BUSINESSES: 285 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 2.6 Unavailable at Retail: • Price • Specialties • Specialties depth • Personalization PRODUCT DOMAIN: Fun, entertainment, identification, model building, doll house and special interest novelty products MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: CHARACTERISTICS Novelties-low order size Limited specialty retail store conpetition Specialty lines: • Wooden Toys • Rocketry • Novelties • Doll Houses • Magic supplies LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Pleasant Company Magic Attic Club Mary Meyer Stuffed Toys Georgetown Collection Dover Publications Stardust Hartford Miniatures Neptune Fireworks Creative Learning Institute Passport International Ltd. Serengeti House Of Miniatures Dee’s Delights Hi-Q Products Barbie Gourmet American Entertainment Johnson Smith Marvel Entertainment Group Brainstorms Celebrity Fan Club TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES V-202 SEGMENT: Toys/Games/ Children's Products 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 555 SUB-SEGMENT: Children's/Mothers' Products NO. OF BUSINESSES: 80 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 6.7 Unavailable at Retail: • Price • Specialties • Line range and depth • Trade brand names PRODUCT DOMAIN: Children's apparel and home furnishing products and maternity apparel MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: CHARACTERISTICS Price competition High product return rate Maternity/children's market Specialty retail store competition Apparel, children's room furniture, traditional toys LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Disney Catalog Baby Faces Airshop Delia*s Wooden Soldier Motherwear Hearthsong Girlfriends La Gifts For Grandkids Hanna Andersson Corp. Mothers Work Maternity Just Nikki Children’s Wear Digest Biobottoms Storybook Heirlooms My Twinn V-203 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Toys/Games/ SUB-SEGMENT: Educational Products Children's Products 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 350 NO. OF AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESSES: 55 BUSINESS ($MILLION): 6.4 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Specialties • Line range and depth • Trade brand names RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Child development programs, specialties and materials CHARACTERISTICS Upscale market Premium priced Child growth developmental lines Mail order company brand name loyalty LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) One Step Ahead Childcraft Education Corp Childswork/Childsplay Constructive Playthings Zaner-Bloser Right Start Troll Learn & Play Brighter Child Society Gifted Children’s Catalog Multimedia Tutorial Services Atlas Editions Teaching Tots Toys To Grow On Sensational Beginnings Child Development Program Sights And Sounds For Kids Hand In Hand V-204 Holt Education Outlet TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Toys/Games/ Children's Products 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 185 SUB-SEGMENT: NO. OF BUSINESSES: 75 General Toys AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 2.5 Unavailable at Retail: • Price • Specialties • Trade brand names PRODUCT DOMAIN: General toy lines and toy specialties MAIL ORDER RATIONALE: • Line range and depth CHARACTERISTICS Specialty retail store competition Upscale markets High end traditional lines Hobby lines Toy novelty lines LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) FAO Schwarz Hobby Store Distributing Child’s Dreams Back to Basics Toys .Play Visions Mike Feinberg Co. eToys, Inc. Hasbro, Inc Toys ‘R Us Sherman Specialty Co. America’s Hobby Center V-205 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Toys/Games/ SUB-SEGMENT: Games/Play Equipment/Gambling Children's Products 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 180 NO. OF AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESSES: 75 BUSINESS ($MILLION): 2.4 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Specialties • Line range and depth RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Games, game playing, gambling and outdoor playing equipment CHARACTERISTICS Games-upscale market Videogame market growth Board games, play--yard equipment, card games, games of chance, spectator sports simulation games LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Opportunities Unlimited Video Game Junkies World Wide Games. Bits & Pieces U.S. Games Systems American Gambling Systems Puzzlemania Spilsbury Puzzle Co ICD Corp. V-206 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS Generic Industry CHARACTERISTICS Ownership Children's apparel market at $20B Toy sales at $22.6B in 1997 Teen market in 1997 at $122B (Teenage Research) Teen girls’ apparel market at $34B Aggregate spending for children 6-12 $24B in 1997; nearly doubled every decade in 60s, 70s, 80s, tripled in 90s; spending shifts from almost all candy in 60s, to only 1/3 food and drink, in 90’s, 2/3 on playthings, clothes, monies, games Pre-teen girls’ market at $4.5B, 9% growth in 1997 Doll market at $4B, collectible and specialty dolls at $400 million Educational toys at $0.6B Video Game market at $6.6B in 1998; computer game market at $2.0B Juvenile furniture market at $2.25B Die-Cast miniature car market at $250 million Edutainment product market to $550 million at 25% growth rate PC entertainment software crimping growth of videogame market Retail dominance by national specialty toy superstore chains Hobby specialty store proliferation Baby boomer upscaling of children's specialty market Rapid growth of electronic and video toys Increasing home centered family entertainment Internet toys and hobbies market at $21 million School uniform market at $400-500 million Private--69% Public—31% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership Hathaway: World Book Direct Marketing Bertelsmann: Child Development Program Harriet Carter: Funny Side Up Clair’s Stores: Just Nikki Delia*s: Delia*s, Storybook Heirlooms Diplomat Corp.: Biobottoms, Playclothes Walt Disney: Disney Catalog Duncan Hill: Kids Club, Natural Baby, Perfectly Safe 800 Trekker:: Brainstorms, 800 Trekker Sci Fi Collectibles Foster & Gallagher: Hearthsong, Childcraft Education Corp., Troll Learn & Play V-207 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Conglomerate Ownership (con't) Genesis Direct: Biobottoms, Gifts for Grandkids, Global Friends, Hand In Hand, Lilliput Motor Co. Hasbro, Inc. : Hasbro, Inc. Highlights For Children: Puzzlemania, Zaner-Bloser KBB (Netherlands): FAO Schwarz L.L. Knickerbocker: Georgetown Collection, Magic Attic Club Lakeshore Curriculum Materials: Toys To Grow On MacAndrews & Forbes: Marvel Entertainment Group Mattel Co.: Pleasant Company S&S Worldwide: World Wide Games Toys ‘R Us: Toys ‘R Us Troll Associates: Troll Associates TransAmerica Mailings: Stork Kit U.S. Toy Co.: Constructive Playthings ValueVision: Serengeti Wand Partners: Bits & Pieces Market Segementation Children's Products/Mother's: Upscale General Toys/Special Toys: Family-oriented, mid scale Games/Playing Equipment, and Novelties, Emblems: Male, mid scale Merchandising Customer Sourcing Space advertising and cold catalog list sourcing Customer Base Marketing Database media: Catalog, direct mail Gift oriented marketing Seasonality Year round with emphasis on Fall Operations General non manufacturing Specialty merchandise sourcing Gift marketing oriented customer service Children's educational household products and toys High end traditional toys Hobby and gaming Identification and recognition specialties V-208 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS Problems CHARACTERISTICS Price competition for low end traditional toy lines from retail mass merchandisers Difficulty of marketing to teenagers compared to marketing through parents for younger children Children's Apparel problems: Quick exit of children out of demographic profile Quick outgrowing of apparel Necessary inventory of colors and patterns Opportunities Trends Rapid growth acquisitions and public financing followed by dispositions and acquisitions by others (Right Start) Recognition of the segment by conglomerates followed by partial withdrawal (Walt Disney) Children's catalogs growth spurred by mini birth boom Development of educational toy and game market High failure rate of upscale children's product catalogs Diversification of markets from other segments into mail order children's apparel: Lillian Vernon, Lands' End, Sharper Image, Patagonia Upsurge in children's apparel oriented and infant equipment catalogs Recessionary shift to playwear from better fashions Accelerating trend to consolidation and acquisition Rapid emergence of teen girls fashion magazine like catalog market Delias, Zoe, Girlfriends 1996 Segment Events Diplomat Corp. acquires Biobottoms Genesis Direct acquires Gifts For Grandkids Andrew Hamilton Co. acquires Just For Kids from Walt Disney Foster & Gallagher acquires Magic Cabin Dolls Fulcrum Direct acquires Oshkosh Direct and Playclothes ValueVision International acquires Serengeti Foster & Gallagher acquires Troll Learn And Play 1997 Segment Events Wand Partners acquires Bits & Pieces 800-Trekker acquires Brainstorms from Cordell Enterprises Upscale potential of Educational Toy market Dual institutional/consumer marketing Electronification as basis for new product development Edutainment product marketing V-209 V-210 TOYS/GAMES/CHILDREN’S PRODUCTS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS Trends (Cont.) CHARACTERISTICS Genesis Direct acquires Childswork/Childsplay Genesis Direct acquires Hand In Hand Genesis Direct acquires Lilliput Motor Co. Ltd. Kids Stuff acquires Natural Baby Genesis Direct acquires Niños Fulcrum Direct acquires Storybook Heirlooms from Andrew Hamilton Co. Gymboree catalog out of business Kids Stuff in first public offer 1998 Segment Events: Delia*s acquires After The Stork, Just For Kids, Playclothes, Storybook Heirlooms and Zoe Genesis Direct acquires Biobottoms Mattel Inc. acquires Pleasant Co. Fulcrum Direct bankrupt and holdings available for sale (After The Stork, Oshkosh B’Gosh, Playclothes, Storybook Heirlooms) Genesis Direct closes Global Friends and Niňos Genesis Direct in first public offer (Lilliput, Gifts For Grandkids, Niňos, Childwork/Childsplay, Hand In Hand, NASCAR) V-211 INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES Insurance This is the largest ($27,310 Million) of all the financial consumer services sales segments and is dominated by the 5 leading insurance businesses (61 percent). The segment is made up of the Closed Market sub-segment (54 percent), businesses with a market franchise like United Services Automobile Association (military) and AARP/Prudential (Seniors), the Open Market sub-segment (42 percent), businesses without the franchise of a captive or retail base consumer market, and Catalog Retailers (4 percent) companies with a retail related base. Conglomerate ownership is by diversified financial conglomerates (Citicorp, Leucadia) and major catalog retailers with large proprietary credit card base (J.C. Penney, Montgomery Ward). Insurance 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses: Mail Order $Sales ($Million): Average Sales Per Business ($Million): 136+ 27,310 200.8- 5 Leading Businesses Name of Business Sub-Segment United Services Automobile Association GEICO AARP/Prudential J.C. Penney Life Insurance Co. 21st Century Insurance Closed Markets Open Markets Closed Markets Catalog Retailers Open Markets V-212 Sales ($Million) 6,631.0 4,285.0 3,975.6 944.3 907.9 INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Insurance SUB-SEGMENT: Closed Markets 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 14,830 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 50+ AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 296.6 Unavailable through Brokers or Agents: MAIL ORDER • Price • Program type• Application convenience RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Life, health, credit, home, auto insurance with specific institutional, membership or demographic qualifications CHARACTERISTICS Special affiliated markets: Military, retired professionals General consumer lines with emphasis on life and health insurance Company may be creation of serviced organization (original relationship of Colonial Penn and American Association of Retired Persons) Opportunities for full line of financial investment, financial management and merchandising services Underwriting benefits of defined markets LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) United Services Automobile Washington Physicians Group Jewelers Mutual Insurance Association Co. AARP (American Association Of National Chiropractic Mutual Keystone Insurance Co. Retired Persons) Insurance Co. American Bankers Insurance Co. Chicago Motor Club Insurance Florists’ Mutual Insurance Of Florida Co. Teachers Insurance & Annuity Agricultural Workers Mutual Attorneys Liability Association Auto Insurance Insurance Co. National General Insurance Co. .AAA Life Insurance Co. IDS Property Insurance Co. Amex Assurance Group American Family Life Union Labor Life Insurance Co. Insurance Co. CUMIS Insurance Society Uniformed Services Benefit Preferred Physicians Association Medical Risk Retention Group MIC General Insurance Co. New York Schools Insurance Lawyers Mutual Liability Reiprocal Insurance Co. Of North Carolina Veterans Life Insurance Co. Savers Property & Casualty Automobile Club Of Insurance Co. Missouri Group BCS Life Insurance Co. Academy Life Insurance Co. Minnesota Lawyers Mutual Insurance Co. Armed Forces Insurance Exchange Podiatry Insurance Co. Of Southern States Insurance America Exchange V-213 INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Insurance SUB-SEGMENT: Open Markets 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 11,290 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 80+ AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 141.1- Unavailable through Broker or Agents MAIL ORDER • Price • Program type• Application convenience RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Life, health, credit, home, auto insurance open to the general public CHARACTERISTICS Open market mass merchandising without the franchise of an affiliated market Multimedia advertising combining direct mail and broadcast Emphasis on casualty as well as life and health (continued) V-214 INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) GEICO Insurance Nationwide Group Life Insurance Co. Of North America Allianz Life Insurance Co. Of North America Guarantee Trust Life Insurance Co. Savings Bank Life Insurance Co. Of Massachusetts Fidelity Security Life Insurance Western Diversified Services Physicians Mutual Insurance Co. Depositors Insurance California Casualty Co. Fidelity Security Life Insurance Western Diversified Services 21st Century Insurance Co. Amica Mutual Insurance Co. Colonial Penn Insurance Co. Union Fidelity Life Insurance Gerber Life Insurance Co. Globe Life & Accident Insurance Co. CIGNA Direct Marketing Allstate Direct Marketing Central States Indemnity Co. Of Omaha Minnesota Mutual Life Insurance Co. Providian Direct Marketing Property/Casualty Insurance Colonial Penn Life American International Group Providian Life & Health Insurance Co. Physicians Life Insurance Co. Wawanesa Mutual Insurance Co. IntraAmerica Life Insurance Co. Central States Health & Life Co. Of Omaha Liberty Life Insurance Co. Guarantee Reserve Life Insurance Co. Old American Insurance Co. Provident Mutual Life Insurance Co. Merastar Insurance Co. U.S. Healthcare Garden State Life Insurance Co. Zurich Life Insurance Co. Of America Balboa Life Insurance Co. V-215 Wausau Underwriters Insurance Co. Foremost Corporate Group Pension Life Insurance Co. First Providian Life And Health Insurance Co. National Benefit Life Insurance Co. Midland Mutual Life Insurance Co. Federated American Insurance Nacolah Life Insurance Co. Funeral Directors Life Insurance Co. Pacific Guardian Life Insurance Co. Companion Life Insurance Co. Life Of Boston Insurance Co. North American Co. For Life & Health National Merit Insurance Co. North American Co. For Life & Health Royal Insurance Co. Of Puerto Rico United World Life Insurance Medico Life Insurance Co. Interboro Mutual Indemnity Insurance Co. Atlantic Southeastern Insurance Co. INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Insurance SUB-SEGMENT: Catalog Retailers 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 1,190 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 6 AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 198.3 Unavailable through Brokers or Agents: MAIL ORDER •Price • Program Type RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Life, health, credit, home, auto insurance CHARACTERISTICS Parent's retail-related customer base as a semi-closed market Emphasis on life and casualty coverage Mid scale, down scale demographics Premium payment convenience LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) J.C. Penney Life Insurance Co. Montgomery Ward Life Insurance Co. . Montgomery Ward Insurance Co .Forum Insurance Co. V-216 J.C. Penney Casualty Insurance Co. Signature Life Insurance Co. of America INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES FACTORS Generic Industry CHARACTERISTICS Ownership Total insurance market at $599B Life insurance market at $281B including annuities Health insurance market at $73B Property/Casualty market at $269B Auto insurance market at $100B Auto insurance becoming increasingly price-sensitive Increasing share of homeowners insurance sold by banks and mortgage lending institutions Chronic customer acquisition and claim pressures Increasing shifts to term insurance coverage Recent dependence on investment income to compensate for shrinking underwriting income Home insurance – increasing share sold by banks and other lending institutions Severe catastrophic losses of Casualty insurers in 1992 and 1993; earnings depressed with cutthroat competition and high claims Health and Life insurers doing better than Casualty insurers with growing markets and strong prices Conversion of mutual insurance companies to publicly held companies as disintegrating walls between financial services increases demand for equity to expand operations Internet emerging as a method of obtaining information and transacting business, 60% of insurers to offer enhanced on-line purchasing services in period from 1998, 2002, Internet with potential substantially reduce insurances, marketing and selling costs Internet emerging as a method of obtaining information and transacting business, 60% of insurers to offer advanced on-line purchasing services in period from 1998-2002. Internet with potential to substantially reduce insurers’ marketing and selling costs Private--41% Public—59% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership Aegon N.V.: Academy Life Insurance Co., First Providian Life And Health Insurance Co., Providian Direct Insurance, Property And Casualty Group, Providian Life And Health Insurance Co., Veterans Life Insurance Company Aetna: U.S. Healthcare John Alden: Western Diversified Services V-217 INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Conglomerate Ownership (continued) Allstate Co.: Allstate Direct Marketing American Association Of Retired Persons: AARP Life, Health, Auto and Home American Automobile Association: AAA Life Insurance Co., Chicago Motor Club Insurance Co. American Express: American Centurion Life Assurance Co., Keystone Insurance Co., IDS Property Insurance Co., American Family Life Insurance Co. American International Group: American International Group, American Bankers Insurance Co. Of Florida Armed Forces Group: Armed Forces Insurance Exchange Berkshire Hathaway: Central States Health & Life Co. Of Omaha, Central States Indemnity Of Omaha, GEICO Blue Cross: BCS Life Assurance Co. CIGNA: CIGNA Direct Marketing, Life Insurance Co. of North America CUNA Mutual Insurance Society: CUMIS Insurance Society CitiGroup: National Benefit Life Insurance Co. Conseco: Colonial Penn Life General Electric: Amex Assurance Group, Union Fidelity Life Insurance General Motors: MIC Life Insurance Group, National General Insurance Co. Kemper: Zurich Life Insurance Co. of America Leucadia National: IntraAmerica Life Insurance Co. Mutual Of Omaha: America Life Insurance Co. Of New York, Companion Life Insurance Co., United World Life Insurance Nationwide Group: Nationwide Group, Wausau Underwriters Insurance Co. Novartis AG: Gerber Life Insurance Co. J.C. Penney: J.C. Penney Casualty Insurance Co., J.C. Penney Life Insurance Co. Physicians Mutual: Physicians Life Insurance Co., Physicians Mutual Insurance Co. Sammons Enterprises: Nacolah Life Insurance Co., National Mutual Benefit, North America Co. for Life & Health Textron: Balboa Life Insurance Co., Family Insurance Co. USAA: United Services Automobile Association V-218 INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Conglomerate Ownership (continued) Montgomery Ward: Forum Insurance Co., Signature Life Insurance Co. Of America, Montgomery Ward Insurance, Montgomery Ward Life Insurance Co. Winterthur Swiss Group: Federated American Insurance Co., National Merit Insurance Co. Groups: Professional, occupational, fraternal Demographic: Young parents, senior citizens Self-employed, small businessmen Dispersed markets: Small town, rural Merchandising Life Health and accident Annuity, financial investment programs Home and auto casualty Income protection Retail credit insurance Special health programs Legal services Customer Sourcing Group endorsed direct mail promotions Merchandise buyer base of retail business Mail order merchandise buyers Compiled demographically selected lists Customer Base Marketing Database media: Direct mail, telemarketing Renewal marketing Cross selling of other insurance lines Expanding benefit limits and family member coverage Seasonality Year round Operations Separation of underwriting, marketing and administrative functions, responsibility for which often assumed by different companies Highly marketing and computer process oriented Market Segmentation V-219 FACTORS Problems INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES CHARACTERISTICS Increasing customer acquisition costs Wear-out of productivity of promotional programs Prospecting target segment and renewal timing identification Stress on low price necessary for promotional success Investment cost of direct response systems Medical screening limitations increasing risk Renewal timing uncertainty in replacement insurance marketing Possible fickleness of third party clients Opportunities Trends Centralization of insurance mail order marketing at Allstate Increased scrutiny of potential of insurance mail order by insurers in the face of increased costs and decreased market coverage of the Agency system Decreased response of third party promotional market Decreased prospecting response rates Slump in premium sales for traditional direct response insurance markets: Accidental Death And Dismemberment Guarantee Issue 50+ Term Life Hospital Cash Insurance Further decline of Colonial Penn with absorption into Leucadia National Submergence of National Liberty into Providian Absorption of GEICO by Berkshire Hathaway Continued rapid growth of USAA and expansion into full line of financial investment products and merchandise services AARP other mainstay of Closed Markets with increasing support role of Hartford Enhanced ability of direct response insurance to identify creditable prospects with improved databases and modeling Affinity group/third party marketing House list cross-selling Guaranteed acceptance marketing Insurance market for women Diversification into investment related products Middle and low income markets vacated by agents Market segment specialization Opportunities for direct response insurers to pick up slack of increasing number of consumers priced out of Casualty insurance coverage V-220 INSURANCE CONSUMER SALES FACTORS Trends (Cont.) CHARACTERISTICS 1996 Segment Events: Aegon N.V. acquires Providian GE capital acquires Union Fidelity from AON 1997 Segment Events: Conseco, Inc. acquires Colonial Penn from Leucadia Irish Life PLC acquires Guarantee Life Insurance Co. 1998 Segment Events: Cendent acquires Providian Auto & Home Insurance from Aegon N.V. V-221 GENERAL MERCHANDISE - CATALOG RETAILERS CONSUMER SALES Catalog Retailers This second leading general merchandising segment ($4,913 Million) is dominated in sales by the Retail Based mail order sub-segment (87 percent) compared to the solely Mail Order Based sub-segment (13 percent). Profitability and growth is moderate for both segments. Catalog retailers' share of total mail order sales had declined with the explosive emergency of specialty mail order marketing, a counterpart in-mail order to the loss of share of market in retail of department stores to specialty stores. Catalog retailers, for many years, losing share of market to specialty mail order marketers at the high end and to discount mass merchandisers at the low end, have made efforts to spawn specialty catalogs out of their general catalogs and to upgrade their market and increase their fashion orientation (Spiegel). Sears, Roebuck after severe losses closed down its Catalog Division in 1993, but later revived its big Holiday book and licensed and then suspended specialty catalogs with Hanover Direct Similar joint catalog venture by Montgomery Ward with Fingerhut has been suspended with sale of Montgomery Ward Direct to ValueVision International. Outside of Spiegel and J.C. Penney mail order merchandising by the erstwhile Catalog Retailers is now confined to direct mail syndication. Catalog Retailers 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses: Mail Order $Sales ($Million): Average Sales Per Business ($Million): 4 4,913.0 1,228.3 Catalog Retailers Name of Business Sub-Segment J.C. Penney Spiegel Sears, Roebuck & Co. Montgomery Ward Retail Based Mail Order Based Retail Based Retail Based V-222 Sales ($Million) 3,600.0 663.0 550.0 100.0 GENERAL MERCHANDISE - CATALOG RETAILERS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: General Merchandisers- SUB-SEGMENT: Catalog Retailers 1998SALES ($MILLION): 4,250 NO. OF BUSINESSES: 3 Retail Based AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 1,416.7 Unavailable at Own Retail: MAIL ORDER • Ordering convenience • Special offers RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Own products, third-party syndicated products CHARACTERISTICS Sears, Roebuck and Montgomery Ward: • Promotional activity now largely confined to direct mail product syndication J.C. Penney • Specialty catalogs and seasonal big books • Emphasis on soft goods merchandising and telephone ordering LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) J.C. Penney Sears, Roebuck & Co. V-223 Montgomery Ward GENERAL MERCHANDISE - CATALOG RETAILERS CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: General MerchandisersCatalog Retailers 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 663.0 SUB-SEGMENT: Mail Order Based NO. OF BUSINESSES: 1 Unavailable at Retail: MAIL ORDER • Trade brand names RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Apparel, home furnishings AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESS ($MILLION): 663.0 • Price • Ordering convenience CHARACTERISTICS Increasing proportions of more profitable soft goods in lines Conflict between prospecting on basis of price appeals and merchandising of an upgraded line Return of sales growth and profitability problems in 1997 LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Spiegel V-224 GENERAL MERCHANDISE - CATALOG RETAILERS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Generic Industry Vulnerability to business cycle downturns Subject to acute profit pressures in consumer credit financing in periods of rising interest rates Positioning and competitive problems against discount retailers and specialty retailers Ownership Private--2% Public--98% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership J.C. Penney: J.C. Penney Otto Versand: Spiegel Sears, Roebuck & Co.: Sears, Roebuck & Co. Montgomery Ward: Montgomery Ward Market Segmentation Retail Store based: Family oriented Mid scale, down scale Suburban, smaller metro market Mail Order based: Career women oriented Upscale Urban, suburban, major markets Merchandising General merchandise line with increasing emphasis on soft goods and specialty products Private labels and national brands Middle price range with emphasis on customer service Customer Sourcing Retail Based: Retail store credit card base Mail Order Based: Shelter magazines and mini catalog cold list prospecting Customer Base Marketing Continued circulation dependent on customer ordering activity above threshold General distribution of limited number of full catalogs and selected distribution of larger number of merchandise specialized catalogs Seasonality Follows general retail seasonal patterns with emphasis on Fall and Spring V-225 GENERAL MERCHANDISE - CATALOG RETAILERS CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Operations Promotional operations dependent on retail credit card base Consumer credit key marketing, financial and administrative function Highly automated telephone ordering and product fulfillment system Problems Rising printing and postage costs for full catalogs Repositioning failure of Aldens, success of Spiegel Inadequate positioning of specialty catalogs against specialty competition Customer franchise limitations on upgrading lines and prices Trends Collapse and suspension of Sears own catalog operations Shift to home delivery to store pick-up Closedown of Catalog Division Suspension of Montgomery Ward catalog marketing with Fingerhut, Sears with Hanover Direct Decline of Big 5 catalogs to Big 4 (Aldens drop-out), in 1985 to Big 3 (Montgomery Ward drop-out), in 1994 to Big 2 (Sears dropout) Newly developed catalog circulation balance between two or three general catalogs and a portfolio of specialty catalogs Shift from point-of-sale and mail order to phone order Diversification of Spiegel into apparel and sporting goods via acquisition Attempted shift from full promotional responsibility to low risk shared relationships (Montgomery Ward, Sears) Disguised rental of credit card lists through syndication relationships with third parties Increased investment and emphasis on telemarketing V-226 DEPARTMENT/SPECIALTY STORES CONSUMER SALES Department/Specialty Stores Department store organizations with exhausted trading area potentials and deterred by rising physical costs of territorial expansion are exploring the strategic potential of mail order as a means of gaining a national franchise Department/Specialty Stores 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses: Mail Order $Sales ($Million): N/A (Most department stores) 12,800.0 5 Leading Businesses Name of Business Federated/Macy's May Department Stores Dillard Nordstrom Dayton Hudson Sub-Segment Trading Area Mail Order Trading Area Mail Order Trading Area Mail Order Trading Area Mail Order Trading Area Mail Order V-227 Sales ($Million) 1,160.0 800.0 500.0 350.0 270.0 DEPARTMENT/SPECIALTY STORES CONSUMER SALES SEGMENT: Department/ SUB-SEGMENT: Trading Area Mail Order Specialty Stores 1998 SALES ($MILLION): 12,800 NO. OF AVERAGE SALES PER BUSINESSES: NA BUSINESS ($MILLION): -Unavailable at Own Retail: MAIL ORDER • Ordering convenience • Special offers RATIONALE: PRODUCT DOMAIN: Emphasis on Apparel, Cosmetics, Home Furnishings CHARACTERISTICS Generally subordinated to retail store merchandising strategies, formulas, and requirements Important function is to sustain customer store shopping awareness and generate traffic LEADING BUSINESSES ($5 MILLION+ SALES) Federated Department Stores/Macy’s Nordstrom Belk Department Stores May Department Stores Dayton-Hudson Neiman-Marcus Dillard V-228 DEPARTMENT/SPECIALTY STORES CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Generic Industry Escalating staffing and operating costs Increasing competition for department stores from specialty stores at the high end and discount stores at the low end. Ownership Private--2% Public--98% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership Belk Department Stores: Belk Department Stores Dayton Hudson: Dayton Hudson Dillard: Dillard Department Stores Federated Stores: Federated Department Stores/Macy's Harcourt General: Neiman-Marcus May Department Stores: May Department Stores Mercantile Stores: Mercantile Stores Co. Nordstrom: Nordstrom Market Segmentation Female Mid scale, upscale Large metro area, suburban Merchandising Customer Sourcing Trading Area Mail Order: Retail store credit card basis Customer Base Marketing Catalog publishing and statement inserts Emphasis on gift and telephone marketing Merchandising and traffic generation functions Seasonality Follows general retail store pattern Operations Retail credit card basis Schedule offshoot of retail operations Problems Subordination of mail order merchandising to traffic generation function Fashion apparel Decorative accessories Cosmetics/toiletries, personal accessories High soft goods percentage Middle, high end prices V-229 DEPARTMENT/SPECIALTY STORES CONSUMER SALES FACTORS Trends CHARACTERISTICS Increased recognition of mail order compared to store traffic generation function of catalog in the face of saturated store expansion opportunity and store sales slowdowns in business cycle downturns Increasing separation of mail order from store operations and emphasis on telemarketing in mail order operations Radical organization ownership disruption with acquisitions by May, Harcourt General and Federated V-230 OIL COMPANIES CONSUMER SALES Oil Companies Oil Company syndication to proprietary credit card bases is a stagnant general merchandise sales segment ($300 Million). Growth of oil company syndication sales is limited by the size and inflow to the credit card bases, their mid scale demographics and the financial turbulence of the syndicator's responsible for merchandising sourcing and fulfillment. General Merchandise: Oil Companies 1998 Consumer Sales Segment Size: No. Of Mail Order Businesses Mail Order $Sales ($Million): Average Sales Per Business ($Million): 8 280 35.0 5 Leading Businesses Name of Business Shell Mail Order Mobil Merchandise Center Amoco Texaco Exxon Merchandise Center Sub-Segment Oil Company Syndication Oil Company Syndication Oil Company Syndication Oil Company Syndication Oil Company Syndication V-231 Sales ($Million) 55.0 48.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 OIL COMPANIES CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Generic Industry Ownership Consumer image problem of oil companies Merger consolidation among oil companies Private--0% Public--100% Government--0% Conglomerate Ownership First Data Corp.: Shell Mail Order, Unocal Ford Motor Co.: Amoco General Electric: Exxon Merchandise Center Ito-Yokado: Citgo Mobil: Mobil Merchandise Center Standard Oil of California: Chevron Texaco: Texaco Market Segmentation Gasoline credit card base Male Mid scale, down scale Same regional distribution as gasoline marketing Merchandising Sourced through merchandise distributors Male: Audio-Video Consumer electronics Watches, personal accessories Luggage, leather goods Female: Cookware, dinnerware Household appliances Jewelry Customer Sourcing Source through inflow to retail credit card base Regular program to activate and reactivate credit card base Customer Base Marketing Statement inserts, solo package, insert package and catalog Frequency of promotion determined by prior order behavior Installment credit payment convenience Seasonality Regular year round program supplementing monthly statement inserts with periodic special mailings V-232 OIL COMPANIES CONSUMER SALES FACTORS CHARACTERISTICS Operations Oil company assumes payment collection responsibility Syndicator responsible for promotional, advertising, product fulfillment responsibilities Fulfillment either by manufacture drop shipment or from syndicator inventory Problems Trends Increased uncertainty about continuity of mail order customer base syndication as a result of oil industry company mergers (demise of Gulf syndication followed by recent revival) Shake-out among syndicator suppliers squeezed by increasing promotional costs and tight sales margins Stagnant oil company merchandising sales Disposition by oil companies of financial responsibility of businesses to outside financial specialty firms 1996 Segment Events First Data Corp. takeover of financial responsibility for Shell Mail Order and Unocal General Electric (GE Capital) takeover of financial responsibility for Exxon Merchandise Center Ford Motor Co. (The Associates) takeover of financial responsibility for Amoco Merchandising sourcing to avoid wear-out of consumer interest Limited spending potential of retail card base Financial instability of syndicators Diminishing customer response Credit card base demarketing (Remember, this information should be used as a base to build from. For current direct marketing statistics please refer to these titles: The Direct Marketing Statistical Fact Book the Direct Marketing Response Rate Study the Catalog Age 150 the Consumer Directory of Mail Order Catalogs and the Business to Business Directory of Mail Order Catalogs.) V-233