CHAPTER 4: POPULATION: WORLD PATTERNS, REGIONAL TRENDS OVERVIEW low rates of both. The transition model may 1. Population geography deals with the growth, not prevail in all world areas because (1) the composition, and distribution of people in death rate has already been lowered without relation to spatial variations in physical and corresponding economic development; (2) cultural geographic conditions. Demographic emigration as a release for rapid population measures basic to the geographic analysis growth is no longer available as it was for of population include the crude birth rate, Europe; and (3) existing populations are crude death rate, and rate of natural already so large that even lower rates of increase. increase 2. The population pyramid gives a visual still mean great numerical additions. summary of the age and sex structure of 6. The world’s population is unevenly distributed, national populations. The shape of the with most people found north of the equator, pyramid differs regionally and between in lowland zones, on continental margins, developed and developing countries. and (decreasingly) in rural areas. Four great 3. Stage of economic development is a principal world population clusters exist in East Asia, correlate of birth and fertility rates; the South Asia, Europe, and eastern Anglo highest rates are found in the agricultural America. regions of developing countries. Death rates are less clearly associated with 7. Population density measures include crude density and physiological density. in Overcrowding or overpopulation is not a underdeveloped countries, mortality declines density measure; it is a value judgment have occurred with improved sanitation and concerning numbers related to resources medical care. and environmental degradation. developmental level. Even 4. The doubling time for world population 8. Population data are not fully reliable, but steadily decreased to a low of 39 years in projections based on alternate assumptions 1990; since then the trend has reversed, concerning them suggest that for some with doubling times rising to over 50 years at world the start of the 21st century. The expanding increasing seriously. Thomas Malthus called base population is so large that each attention to the inevitability of unsupportable additional population doubling results in massive numerical increases. areas, population growth in pressures 1798. are Neo- Malthusianism is one spur for national 5. Following a pattern set in northwestern programs of population control, though Europe after the Industrial Revolution, many demographic momentum assures continued countries have completed a four-stage growth for many developing countries even demographic transition during which high if stringent family planning is adopted. birth and death rates have been replaced by EXPANDED KEY WORDS LIST agricultural density anecumene arithmetic density boomers Cairo Plan carrying capacity census cohort cornucopians crude birth rate (CBR) crude death rate (CDR) crude density demographic equation demographic momentum demographic transition demography dependency ratio doubling time ecumene epidemiologic transition homeostatic plateau infant mortality rate J-curve Malthus mortality rate natural change natural increase neo-Malthusianism net migration nonecumene overpopulation physiological density population density population geography population momentum population projection population pyramid rate of natural increase rates replacement level S-curve total fertility rate (TFR) underpopulation urbanization zero population growth (ZPG) LECTURE AND DISCUSSION TOPICS 1. The World Population Data Sheet, reproduced in the book appendix, provides a wealth of possibilities for class discussion and individual or team student reports. Use it to explore such topics as "world population patterns: A.D. 2025" or "infant mortality, safe water, and per capita gross national product." The data may be used to construct population profiles for individual countries or world regions. The profiles may be a springboard for class discussion not only of population itself but of populationrelated concerns of development, environmental degradation, provision of social services, international tensions, and others. Furthermore, use the data to explore the range of common variables. For example, have students search for the highest and lowest birth rate, death rate, and Total Fertility Rates. This helps them develop the ability to quickly determine if the rate for a specific country is high, low, or average. 2. Evaluate the so-called “population explosion” against the background of such concepts or theories as physiological and crude densities, Malthusianism and neo–Malthusianism, population pressure, and the homeostatic plateau. 3. Discuss national political, economic, and investment considerations that might logically be associated with a population pyramid with sharply angled sides, or one with nearly vertical sides. Relate these scenarios, with student participation, to possible United States political decisions apt to arise in the near and long term. 4. Using either a team approach or general class discussion, consider and debate alternative solutions to defined problems of, for example, world, regional, or national population growth; the consequences of demographic momentum; neo-Malthusian solutions and their objections. 5. Review the argument presented by Thomas Malthus and explore its applicability to the contemporary world. With class participation, explore whether technological developments since the late 18th century have altered the thrust of Malthus’ predictions and how well his predictions pertain to the developing countries today. 6. Discuss the points of view presented at the Cairo Conference and Cairo + Five by religious leaders, environmentalists, developing world economists, and advocates of feminist empowerment. Contrast the final conference declarations to earlier advocacy of “population control” measures. 7. Have students use the following link to download and discuss population pyramids for countries around the globe. Assign them countries such as the United Arab Emirates that have odd pyramids (in this case due to guest workers). Contrast a slow-growing country from Eastern Europe with a rapidly expanding developing country. http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idbpyr.html