500syll 1/26/06 COURSE SYLLABUS ECO 500 - BUSINESS STATISTICS Winter 2006 - 2007 INSTRUCTOR: Dr. Roger Even Bove OFFICE: Anderson Hall, Room 317d MAILING ADDRESS: Department of Economics & Finance West Chester University West Chester, PA 19383 - 2220 TELEPHONE: 610-436-2134 E-MAIL ADDRESS: rbove@wcupa.edu WEBSITE: http://courses.wcupa.edu/rbove/eco500/500key.html Check this at least once a week for exam hours, problem solutions, changes in office hours, etc. This site is also accessible through Blackboard. PREREQUISITES: MAT107, ECO111, ECO112, and ECO251 or MAT121 or the equivalent. You will be expected to compute sample variances and use a Normal table from the second meeting of the course. To be successful in this course, Students must be able to manipulate data and formulas using a spreadsheet package such as Excel. Excel proficiency is required of Business majors. See SKILLS below. OFFICE HOURS: These hours frequently conflict with faculty meetings. Check the website before coming in. Fall term Office Hours MW 4:00 – 5:30 PM TR 3:30 – 5:00 PM F 3:00 – 4:00 PM Winter Term Office Hours R 3:30 – 5:30 and after class in Business Center Spring Term Office hours TR 3:30 – 5:30 MWF Noon-2:00 PM I am also usually available after 5:30 PM Monday and Wednesday afternoons and after 5PM on Tuesday and Thursday afternoons. You are encouraged to come in at your convenience without appointment (Call in advance to be sure that I am in). If you don't understand what is going on in class, please come to my office REQUIRED TEXTS: Berenson, Mark L., David M. Levine and Timothy C. Krehbiel. Basic Business Statistics, 10th ed. Prentice-Hall, 2005. ISBN 0131852051 (or 9th ed., PrenticeHall, 2004. ISBN 0131037919). Supplementary Materials & Tables For ECO 251 & 252. Available from Dynamic Student Services, 20 Linden St. for about $8.00. Buy this soon!!!!!! Douglas Downing and Jeffrey Clark, Business Statistics, 4th ed., Barrons Educational Series, 2003. ISBN 076411984 (D and C in outline.) 1 500syll 11/26/06 RECOMMENDED TEXTS: Ryan, Joiner and Ryan, Minitab Handbook, 5th. ed., Duxbury Press, Boston, 2005. Shelly, Cashman, and Vermaat, Office 2003, Introductory Concepts and Techniques, 2nd ed., Thomson,2006. ISBN:1418853593 Larry Gonick and Woolcott Smith, The Cartoon Guide to Statistics, Harper Collins, 1993 (can be ordered from book or comics stores). These will be on reserve in the library. Student Solution Manual for Berenson Text. ALSO SUGGESTED: There are a number of statistics and other economics books available for $2 in the Economics Department offices. COURSE DESCRIPTION: This course teaches students to analyze data and solve problems using descriptive statistics and probability theory. Topics covered include discrete and continuous probability distributions, and sampling distributions. The course will stress practical business applications of statistical theory. Students will be required to obtain and interpret descriptive statistics using Excel and Minitab. It will teach students how to develop testable hypotheses and use hypothesis testing to analyze data and answer questions. This course also covers confidence intervals, analysis of variance, simple regression, multiple regression, and correlation. The course will stress practical business applications of statistical theory. Students will be required to perform regression and an analysis of variance using Excel and Minitab and interpret the results. COURSE REQUIREMENTS: This course requires you to solve problems in homework and tests. Very little learning occurs by just listening in class or reading the text. It is suggested that you get into the problem-solving habit. If you have difficulty with a problem, ask for an explanation. You will help yourself, promote classroom discussion, and probably help fellow students in the process. You will also be assigned several computer problems. Get the help you need on these. Their solutions and their interpretation will be part of exams. If you fail to hand them in or don't bother to find out what they mean, the instructor will consider himself apprised of your lack of interest in passing this course. There may also be graded assignments. These are not to be considered optional, but are graded so that they cannot hurt your grade and may help it. SKILLS: This course includes four skills important for business students: critical thinking, quantitative methods, use of appropriate technology and written communication. In addition to the prerequisites above you are expected to be able to express yourself in writing. All e-mails to the instructor should be in grammatically correct, but not terribly formal, English with the spelling checked! On exams and other assignments you are expected to turn in legible and clear papers. You will be given an exercise in Excel in the first few weeks of the class. Assistance will be available, but you will be expected to do the work on your own. 2 500syll 1/26/06 EQUIPMENT etc.: Get a decent calculator and read the instruction book! If you need advice on what to get, ask a Finance instructor. (Hewlett Packard HP10B Professional) Then get another calculator as a backup! If both fail you during an exam, talk to the instructor then, not after you do badly on the exam. Buy a stapler; it will pay for itself in papers not lost. Make sure that you have access to a copy of Excel with statistical functions enabled. To enable statistical functions, enter Excel and use the Tools pull-down menu. Select Add-Ins and check Analysis Tool Pack and MegaStat. CLASS CANCELLATION: If the university is not officially closed, assume your class will meet unless there is a notice on departmental stationary, signed by the chairperson or a representative of the graduate program, posted on the classroom door. If there is any doubt, check with the secretary on the third floor. EXAMINATION POLICY: University policy is that there is no excused absence from a scheduled examination. Therefore, a scheduled and preannounced exam, which is missed, will not be made up and a grade of F will be recorded, with the limited exception of cases in which the absence is wholly involuntary and unavoidable, and the reason for which is documented by evidence, which can be verified by the instructor. Practically speaking, such cases normally include only illness attended by physician or nurse, and unavoidable absences on official University business. Not included would be absences due to "oversleeping," "not ready for the exam," "other exams the same day," "change in outside schedule," "job interview," "extra-curricular club or organization events," "car wouldn't start," etc. If the exam time is merely inconvenient, students will be given the opportunity to take the exam early. Nevertheless, please contact the instructor immediately after any missed exam. Most exams will be open book. Students may bring any material that they wish to the exam, but experience shows that a concise and well-studied set of notes and formulas works best, though no formula has any value unless you have practiced using it and know that you can get the same values as in the problems and examples done in class. Please DO NOT SHARE MATERIALS during exams. Do not use cell phones during exams. Though it may be reasonable to discuss questions on take-home exams, copying will be severely punished. CUT POLICY: This is a graduate course. Each session is extremely important and exams are based on lecture materials. Students are expected to attend every class. A poor attendance record will be considered evidence that you do not care about your grade. Most legitimate excuses are acceptable on a one-time basis. However, continuous absences due to 'work schedules' are not! Legitimate excuses are University - Sanctioned events (as specified in the Ram’s Eye View), illness, family emergencies (not family vacations or hunting trips) and employer requirements. 3 500syll 11/26/06 ACADEMIC DISHONESTY: EVALUATION POLICY: The business faculty is committed to vigorously enforcing the University’s academic dishonesty policy. At a minimum, students will receive a 0 in an assignment; at the maximum, students may be dismissed from the University. Academic dishonesty and plagiarism are defined in the Undergraduate Catalog. With respect to term papers, projects, and other written work, students must use quotation marks and reference when using another author’s exact words. Students must also reference when paraphrasing an idea or the words of an author. Student progress in this course is determined by one two-hour examination, (which will be announced at least one week in advance), two take-home exams and a final exam. Class participation and homework evaluations may also be considered. Primary weight is on the exams (2/9 of grade each) and the final exam (1/3 of grade). A number of graded assignments and take-home exam sections may also be assigned during the year. Because these are difficult to grade, neatness is expected. Neatness means paper neatly trimmed on the left side if it has been torn, multiple pages stapled and paper written on only one side. You do not have a right to complain about slowness in grading if you do not turn in a paper that can be graded rapidly. Grading will be on a curve based on numerical scores from these exercises and the performance of previous classes. Hour exams will be returned with answer keys. Final grades will not be posted and will be sent to you only if you request them by e-mail. Putting an e-mail address on your exam will not result in a response. Grades are final unless a legitimate mistake is found. ACCOMODATIONS: We at West Chester University wish to make accommodations for persons with disabilities. Please make your needs known by contacting me and/or the Office of Services for Students with Disabilities at ext. 3217. Sufficient notice is needed in order to make the accommodations possible. The University desires to comply with the ADA of 1990. NON-DISCRIMINATION: (Affirmative Action Policy) West Chester University is committed to providing leadership in extending equal opportunities to all individuals. Accordingly, the University will continue to make every effort to provide these rights to all persons regardless of race, religion, sex, national origin, ancestry, age, marital status, sexual orientation, disability, or veteran status. This policy applies to all members of the University community, including students, staff, and administrators. It also applies to all applicants for admission or employment and all participants in University-sponsored activities. Any individual having suggestions, problems, complaints or grievances with regard to equal opportunity or affirmative action is encouraged to contact the Director of Social Equity. The University prohibits discrimination, including sexual harassment, of any individual based on race, color, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, marital status, age, religious creed, disability or veteran status. 4 500syll 1/26/06 COURSE OUTLINE: Berenson et. al. references are all to the 9th or 10th edition . TOPIC AND CHAPTER MEETING A. Introduction-Uses of Statistics Berenson et. al. Ch. 1, 7.4 D and C Ch. 1 NOV 28 B. Sources and Types of Data Berenson et.al. Appendices A, B and C D and C pp. (399-408) 419-429 C. Presentation of Data Berenson et. al. Ch. 2 Minitab Ch. 1,2,3 D. Frequencies and Populations D and C Ch. 2 E. Sampling, Descriptive Statistics D and C pp. (227-229, 239-241) 251-254, 263-267 F. Measures of Central Tendency Berenson et. al. Ch. 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 3.6 G. Measures of Dispersion and Asymmetry Berenson et. al. Ch. 3.3 through 3.6. H. Probability D and C CH 3,4,5 Berenson et. al. Ch. 4 I. Permutations and Combinations Berenson et. al. Ch. 4.4 D and C pp. (74-84) 81-96 J. Random Variables Berenson Ch. 5.1 D and C Ch. 6 K. Two Random Variables ‘Formulas for Functions of Random Variables’ Berenson et. al. Ch. 3.5, 5.1, 5.2 D and C Ch. 9 L. Discrete Distributions Berenson et. al. Ch. 5.3-5.6 (5.6 is on CD-ROM) D and C Ch. 7 D and C pp. (230-231) 254-255 M. Continuous Distributions Berenson et. al. Ch. 6 D and C Ch. 8 N. DEC 5 DEC 12 JAN 2 Statistical Sampling Berenson et. al. Ch. 7 (7.6 is on CD-ROM) D and C Ch. 8 5 500syll 11/26/06 O. Hypothesis Testing - 1 Population Berenson et. al. Ch. 9 Material on variances in syllabus Supplement. D and C Ch. 13 (pp. 245-258 [whole chapter]) D and C Ch. 17 [18] (Sign Test material) Minitab Ch. 8.4 - 8.6, 13.1-13.2 P. Power Functions and Operating Characteristics Berenson et. al. Ch. 9.6 (9.7 on CD-ROM in 9th edition) Q. Hypothesis Testing - 2 Populations Berenson et. al. Ch. 10, (also 12.7-12.8 in 10th ed, 12.1 in 9th ed.) Material on variances Minitab Ch. 9, 13.3 D and C Ch. 13 (pp. 259-266) [284-293] D and C Ch. 17 [18] (Wilcoxon Tests) R. JAN 11 Chi Squared Tests JAN 16 Berenson et. al. Ch. 12.1-12.6, (Ch. 12.2-12.5 and 12.5 on CD-ROM in 9th edition) Minitab 12 D and C Ch. 13 (pp. 267-275) [all of Ch. 14] S. Analysis of Variance Berenson et. al. Ch. 11 also 12.9-12.10 in 10th ed.) Minitab Ch. 10, 13.4, 16 D and C Ch. 14 [15], Ch. 17 [18] Friedman Test, Kruskal-Wallis Test) T. Simple Regression Berenson et. al. Ch. 13 D and C Ch. 15 [16] Minitab Ch. 11.1 - 11.3 JAN 23 U. Multiple Regression Minitab 11.4 Berenson et. al. Ch. 14 D and C Ch. 16 [17] JAN 30 V. Regression Extensions Minitab 11.7-11.9, 15 Berenson et. al. Ch. 15 D and C Ch. 15 (pp. 343-346) [Ch 16, pp 374-379] W. Correlation Berenson et. al. Ch. 3.5,13.7, 14.5 (3.6, 13.7, 14.5 in 9th ed.) Make-up and Review Final Exam 6 JAN 9 FEB 6 FEB 13