NERC & EPRI Confidential
[Product ID #]
Draft Report, June 2008
EPRI Project Manager
R. Entriken
ELECTRIC POWER RESEARCH INSTITUTE
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NERC & EPRI Confidential
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1 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................1-1
Key Measurements .............................................................................................................1-1
Adequacy........................................................................................................................1-1
Security ..........................................................................................................................1-1
Acceptable Level of Reliability ........................................................................................1-2
Reporting .............................................................................................................................1-2
LTRA ..............................................................................................................................1-2
Summer Assessment ......................................................................................................1-2
Ad Hoc ............................................................................................................................1-3
Data Collection ....................................................................................................................1-3
GADS .............................................................................................................................1-3
TADS ..............................................................................................................................1-3
DRDTF Efforts ................................................................................................................1-3
Issues ..................................................................................................................................1-3
Demand Response Performance ....................................................................................1-3
Consistency Across Regions ..........................................................................................1-3
2 USE CASE: LONG-TERM RESOURCE ADEQUACY ..........................................................2-1
Reporting .............................................................................................................................2-1
Schedule.........................................................................................................................2-1
Key Measurements .........................................................................................................2-1
Capacity Margin .........................................................................................................2-1
Available Capacity Margin ..........................................................................................2-2
Potential Capacity Margin ..........................................................................................2-2
Committed Capacity Margin .......................................................................................2-2
Uncommitted Capacity Margin ...................................................................................2-2
Net Internal Demand ..................................................................................................2-3
Net Capacity Resources .............................................................................................2-3 xi
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Data Collection ....................................................................................................................2-3
Demand Response Data .................................................................................................2-3
Generation Data .............................................................................................................2-4
Margin Data ....................................................................................................................2-5
Data Processing ..................................................................................................................2-5
Margin Calculations ........................................................................................................2-5
Issues ..................................................................................................................................2-5
Data Requirements .............................................................................................................2-6
3 USE CASE: SUMMER ASSESSMENT ................................................................................3-1
Key Measurements .............................................................................................................3-1
Data Processing ..................................................................................................................3-1
Reporting .............................................................................................................................3-1
Issues ..................................................................................................................................3-1
Data Requirements .............................................................................................................3-1
4 USE CASE: CONDITIONAL PERFORMANCE ....................................................................4-1
Key Measurements .............................................................................................................4-1
Data Processing ..................................................................................................................4-1
Reporting .............................................................................................................................4-1
Issues ..................................................................................................................................4-1
Data Requirements .............................................................................................................4-1
Creating Additional Chapters ...............................................................................................4-2
A APPENDIX .......................................................................................................................... A-1 xii
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Figure 1-1 First Figure Caption ................................................................................................4-2
Figure A-1 First Appendix Figure Caption .............................................................................. A-1 xiii
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Table 1-1 First Table Caption ..................................................................................................4-2
Table A-1 First Appendix Table Caption .................................................................................. A-1 xv
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1
Given the current growth of demand response as a resource in support of system reliability and the continued expectation of DR becoming even larger and more prevalent, NERC has concluded that it is imperative to gain greater insight on this phenomenon through further investigation.
With regional quantities approaching gigawatts, DR is of a size where its dependability and scheduling make a significant difference in planning and operations.
Key question is how does DR perform under different conditions.
Worked on performance measures with Bernie. Additional data is needed to answer questions about performance under different conditions.
Conditions are weather, frequency, duration, time of day, day of week, season
Need to know data requirements for each use case. Having this we can balance the cost of data collection with the value of the reporting.
Key Measurements
This section sets the context for the DRDTF Use Cases, by identifying key concepts at NERC for what constitutes Reliability and an Acceptable Level of Reliability (ALR). NERC has two key measurements for assessing system reliability: Adequacy and Security. These measures are described in more detail in the following subsections. A third subsection describes ALR.
Adequacy
Adequacy — The ability of the bulk power system to supply the aggregate electrical demand and energy requirements of the customers at all times, taking into account scheduled and reasonably expected unscheduled outages of system elements.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Security
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Security — The ability of the bulk power system to withstand sudden disturbances such as electric short circuits or unanticipated loss of system elements from creditable contingencies.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Acceptable Level of Reliability
The Characteristics of a System with an Acceptable Level Reliability
1.
The System is controlled to stay within acceptable limits during normal conditions.
2.
The System performs acceptably after credible Contingencies.
3.
The System limits the impact and scope of instability and cascading outages when they occur.
4.
The System’s Facilities are protected from unacceptable damage by operating them within Facility Ratings.
5.
The System’s integrity can be restored promptly if it is lost.
6.
The System has the ability to supply the aggregate electric power and energy requirements of the electricity consumers at all times, taking into account scheduled and reasonably expected unscheduled outages of system components.
Source: Definition of “Adequate Level of Reliability,” Western Interconnection Reliability Advisory
Board, March 3, 2008. http://www.westgov.org/wirab/ALRpresent.ppt
Reporting
This section describes the major reporting functions of NERC in order to define the end use of demand response data. There are three major reliability reports: the Long-Term Reliability
Assessment Report (LTRA), the Summer Assessment Report, and the Winter Assessment
Report. We describe in more detail the LTRA and the Summer Assessment, since the Winter
Assessment is in its definition and creation very similar to the Summer Assessment. We also describe Ad Hoc reporting, which can be useful both regionally and system-wide.
LTRA
Summer Assessment
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Ad Hoc
Data Collection
This section describes the existing NERC data collection activities in support of the major reports. NERC collects data from industry regarding equipment availability. Two reporting functions are now established, one for generation and one for transmission. The DRDTF is working on the definition of a third reporting function for Demand Response.
GADS
TADS
DRDTF Efforts
Issues
This section describes important issues raised in recent NERC reports. The reason for recognizing these issues in the context of Use Cases is to understand what could be future needs.
The formation of the DRDTF is, as an example, a response to a perceived long-term need to better characterize and reveal the capabilities of demand response acting in support of system reliability.
Demand Response Performance
Consistency Across Regions
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NERC publishes each year a report on Long-Term Resource Adequacy (LTRA). It utilizes forecasts of supply and demand, looking forward over a decade, to forecast future system reliability and to raise issues regarding a continued business-as-usual strategy. Important longterm issues can lead to the way that NERC assesses reliability.
Demand response (DR) is expected to grow as a resource in support of reliability, and this Use
Case documents the kind of data collected presently for generation resources and describes how demand response is the same and how it is different from generation. By this means, demand response data analogous to that collected for generation can contribute to improved LTRA reporting.
Reporting
This section describes the LTRA report, how it is created, and how its content contributes to reliability assessment.
Schedule
The LTRA reporting cycle begins in March when each of the each of the eight regional entities submits information. A peer review process is used to validate each regional report, along with a line of approvals through NERC committees leading to the Board of Trustees. The final version of the report, published in October, also includes issues raised during a public workshop, which provides further review.
The main
Key Measurements
Capacity Margin
Capacity Margin — Capacity that could be available to cover random factors such as forced outages of generating equipment, demand forecast errors, weather extremes, and capacity service schedule slippage.
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Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Available Capacity Margin
Available Capacity Margin — The difference between committed capacity resources and peak demand, expressed as a percentage of capacity resources.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Potential Capacity Margin
Potential Capacity Margin — The difference between committed plus uncommitted capacity resources and peak demand, expressed as a percentage of capacity resources.
This is the capacity that could be available to cover random factors such as forced outages of generating equipment, demand forecast errors, weather extremes, and capacity service schedule slippage.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Committed Capacity Margin
Committed Capacity Resources — Generating capacity resources that exist, under construction, or planned that are considered available, deliverable, and committed to serve demand, plus the net of capacity purchases and sales.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Uncommitted Capacity Margin
Uncommitted Capacity Resources — Capacity resources that include one or more of the following:
Generating resources that have not been contracted nor have legal or regulatory obligation to deliver at time of peak.
Generating resources that do not have or do not plan to have firm transmission service reserved (or its equivalent) or capacity injection rights to deliver the expected output to load within the region.
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Generating resources that have not had a transmission study conducted to determine the level of deliverability.
Generating resources that are designated as energy-only resources or have elected to be classified as energy-only resources.
Transmission-constrained generating resources that have known physical deliverability limitations to load within the region.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Net Internal Demand
Net Internal Demand — Projected total internal demand less interruptible demand and direct control demand-side management. The regions are not expected to reach their peak demand simultaneously. Demand served under liquidated damages contracts is included.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Net Capacity Resources
Net Capacity Resources — Net generating capacity resources (existing, under construction, or planned) considered available (net operable), deliverable, and committed to serve demand, plus the net of capacity purchases and sales.
Source: NERC 2007 Long-Term Resource Adequacy Assessment
Data Collection
[X] NERC (2008). Instructions for NERC Long-Term Assessment Data Reporting Form ERO-
2008LTRA
Demand Response Data
Line 2 – Total Internal Demand
Divided into traditional categories of DR capabilities: Direct Control Load Management,
Contractually Interruptible (Curtailable), Critical Peak-Pricing (CPP) with Control, Load as a
Capacity Resource.
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Line 3 – Net Internal Demand 2-2a-2b-2c-2d
Line 4 – Demand Response Used for Ancillary Services
Divided into categories of reserve capabilities: Spinning Reserves, Non-Spinning Reserves,
Regulation, and Emergency.
Generation Data
Line 5 – Total Internal Capacity = 6+7
Line 6 – Existing Capacity/Existing Capacity Adjusted for Net of All Re-ratings, Retirements and Adjustments
(“iron in the ground”)
Line 6a – Certain Adjusted for Net of All Re-ratings, Retirements and Adjustments (“iron in the ground”)
Divided up by technology and energy available on-peak. Technologies are wind, solar, hydro, and biomass.
Line 6b – Uncertain Adjusted for Net of All Re-ratings, Retirements and Adjustments (“iron in the ground”)
Divided up by technology and energy available on-peak. Technologies are wind, solar, hydro, and biomass. There is a further technical category for “Energy Only” and “Inoperable” designations.
Line 7 – Planned and Proposed Capacity Additions = 7a+7b
Line 7a – Planned Capacity
Divided up by technology and energy available and unavailable on-peak. Technologies are wind, solar, hydro, and biomass. There is a further technical category for “Energy Only” designations.
Line 7b – Proposed Capacity
Divided up by technology and energy available and unavailable on-peak. Technologies are wind, solar, hydro, and biomass. There is a further technical category for “Energy Only” designations.
Line 8 – Transmission-Limited Resources
Line 9 – Deliverable Internal Capacity = 6a+7a
Line 10 – Capacity Purchases and Incoming Adjustments
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Divided according to Firm, Non-Firm, Expected, and Provisional.
Line 11 – Capacity Sales and Outgoing Adjustments
Divided according to Firm, Non-Firm, Expected, and Provisional.
Line 12 – Net Capacity Resources
Line 13 – Total Potential Resources
Line 14 – Adjusted Potential Resources
Line 15 – Confidence of Proposed Capacity, using engineering judgment
Line 15a – Net Proposed Resources After Confidence Percentage Is Applied
Margin Data
Line 16 – Region/Subregion Target Margin
Data Processing
Margin Calculations
Line 3 – Net Internal Demand 2-2a-2b-2c-2d
Line 5 – Total Internal Capacity = 6+7
Line 7 – Planned and Proposed Capacity Additions = 7a+7b
Line 17 – Margin Calculation: Existing Certain and Net Firm Transactions
Line 18 – Margin Calculation: Net Capacity Resources
Line 19 – Margin Calculation: Total Potential Resources
Line 20 – Margin Calculation: Adjusted Potential Resources
Issues
Intermittent generation resources
Fuel supply and transportation
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Data Requirements
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Key Measurements
Data Processing
Reporting
Issues
Data Requirements
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Key Measurements
Data Processing
Reporting
Issues
Data Requirements
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